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Fanning the Flames of Hate: Social Media and Hate Crime 煽动仇恨的火焰:社交媒体和仇恨犯罪
Pub Date : 2020-06-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3082972
Karsten Müller, Carlo Schwarz
This paper investigates the link between social media and hate crime. We show that antirefugee sentiment on Facebook predicts crimes against refugees in otherwise similar municipalities with higher social media usage. To establish causality, we exploit exogenous variation in the timing of major Facebook and internet outages. Consistent with a role for “echo chambers,” we find that right-wing social media posts contain narrower and more loaded content than news reports. Our results suggest that social media can act as a propagation mechanism for violent crimes by enabling the spread of extreme viewpoints.
这篇论文调查了社交媒体和仇恨犯罪之间的联系。我们发现,Facebook上的反难民情绪预示着,在社交媒体使用率较高的其他类似城市,针对难民的犯罪行为也会发生。为了建立因果关系,我们利用了Facebook和互联网主要中断时间的外生变化。与“回音室”的作用一致,我们发现右翼社交媒体帖子包含的内容比新闻报道更狭隘、更有内涵。我们的研究结果表明,社交媒体可以通过使极端观点的传播成为暴力犯罪的传播机制。
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引用次数: 395
Measuring Infrastructure in Bea&Apos;S National Economic Accounts 在美国国民经济核算中衡量基础设施
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.3386/W27446
J. Bennett, R. Kornfeld, Daniel E. Sichel, David B. Wasshausen
Infrastructure provides critical support for economic activity, and assessing its role requires reliable measures. This paper provides an overview of U.S. infrastructure data in the National Economic Accounts. After developing definitions of basic, social, and digital infrastructure, we assess trends in each of these categories and their components. Results are mixed depending on the category. Investment in some important types of basic infrastructure has barely or not kept up with depreciation and population growth in recent decades, while some other categories look better. We also show that the average age of most types of infrastructure in the U.S. has been rising, and the remaining service life has been falling. This paper also presents new prototype estimates of state-level investment in highways, highlighting the wide variation across states. In addition, we present new prototype data on maintenance expenditures for highways. In terms of future research, we believe that deprecation rates warrant additional attention given that current estimates are based on 40-year old research and are well below those used in Canada and other countries. We also believe that additional creative work on price indexes for infrastructure would be valuable. Finally, all of the data in this paper will be downloadable on the BEA website, and we hope that the analysis in this paper and the availability of data will spur additional research.
基础设施为经济活动提供关键支持,评估其作用需要可靠的衡量标准。本文概述了美国国民经济账户中的基础设施数据。在定义了基础、社交和数字基础设施之后,我们评估了这些类别及其组成部分的趋势。根据类别不同,结果也不尽相同。近几十年来,对某些重要基础设施的投资几乎跟不上货币贬值和人口增长的速度,而其他一些领域的投资看起来要好一些。我们还发现,美国大多数基础设施的平均寿命一直在上升,而剩余的使用寿命一直在下降。本文还提出了州一级公路投资的新原型估算,突出了各州之间的巨大差异。此外,我们提出了新的原型数据的维护支出的高速公路。就未来的研究而言,我们认为,鉴于目前的估计是基于40年前的研究,并且远低于加拿大和其他国家使用的估计,折旧率值得额外关注。我们还认为,在基础设施价格指数方面进行额外的创造性工作将是有价值的。最后,本文中的所有数据都可以在BEA网站上下载,我们希望本文中的分析和数据的可用性将刺激更多的研究。
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引用次数: 5
A Neglected Subject: How Grand Politics Affects Public Administration 一个被忽视的主题:大政治如何影响公共行政
Pub Date : 2020-05-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3591968
A. Roberts
Specialists in public administration often deny a significant connection between questions of administration and high-level politics. But there is a close and important connection: the subjects we examine at the middle- and micro-levels of administration are largely determined by choices made in the higher realm of grand politics. Understanding the connection between grand politics and administration is especially important during turbulent phases of history such as the last twenty years. One way to comprehend grand politics and its connection to administration is through the analytic lens of governing strategy. Leaders of states invent strategies that identify key national objectives and the main lines of national policy, and institutions are built or reformed to give expression to those strategies. But strategies are fragile, and consequently the institutional architecture of the state requires constant renovation.
公共行政专家经常否认行政问题与高层政治之间的重大联系。但其中有一个密切而重要的联系:我们在中层和微观行政层面研究的主题,在很大程度上是由宏观政治的更高领域做出的选择决定的。在过去20年这样动荡的历史时期,理解大政治与行政管理之间的联系尤为重要。理解大政治及其与行政管理的联系的一种方法是通过治理战略的分析镜头。国家领导人制定战略,确定关键的国家目标和国家政策的主要路线,并建立或改革机构以体现这些战略。但战略是脆弱的,因此国家的制度架构需要不断更新。
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引用次数: 1
After the Coronavirus Vaccine’s Discovery: Concerns Regarding a COVID-19 Vaccination’s Distribution 冠状病毒疫苗发现后:对COVID-19疫苗分布的担忧
Pub Date : 2020-05-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3608750
Usman W. Chohan
The fervent global quest for the development of a vaccine against the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) begs the frightening questions: who will go first in receiving it? and will everyone get to receive it at all? This working paper seeks to highlight the risk that mercantilist market-logic approaches to hoard or overprice a future vaccine poses for human lives, and how it might reproduce global inequalities in a fatal manner. It draws upon the literature on socioeconomic disparities in vaccination to argue that the infrastructure for international dissemination of the vaccine must be built in advance and in a manner that forsakes the hostile mercantilism that has accompanied a shifting and combative international order.
全球对新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)疫苗开发的热切追求引出了一个可怕的问题:谁将首先获得疫苗?每个人都能收到吗?本工作文件旨在强调重商主义市场逻辑囤积或高估未来疫苗的做法对人类生命构成的风险,以及它可能如何以致命的方式再现全球不平等。它借鉴了关于疫苗接种方面的社会经济差异的文献,认为必须提前建立疫苗国际传播的基础设施,并以一种放弃伴随变化和好斗的国际秩序而来的敌对重商主义的方式建立。
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引用次数: 4
Financing Land Acquisition for Infrastructure Projects 为基础设施项目征地融资
Pub Date : 2020-05-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3607831
B. Chowdhry
Land acquisition for infrastructure projects that require large amount of funding can be financed by an equity-like protocol. The auction protocol does not require a knowledge of the reservation value of the land acquired nor does it require a determination of post-development value of the land in the surrounding area. Competition among private players transfers the value of pecuniary externalities, manifested in land price appreciation, to the gov ernment which it can use to partially finance the project that may also have non-pecuniary positive externalities valued by society.
需要大量资金的基础设施项目的土地征用可以通过类似股权的协议来融资。拍卖协议不要求了解所收购土地的预留价值,也不要求确定周边地区土地的开发后价值。私人参与者之间的竞争将货币外部性的价值(表现为土地价格升值)转移给政府,政府可以利用这些价值为项目提供部分资金,而这些项目也可能具有社会所重视的非货币正外部性。
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引用次数: 3
Study of the Influence of Properties of Dusty Ferromagnetic Additives on the Increase of Cement Activity 含尘铁磁添加剂性能对水泥活性提高影响的研究
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/202016606002
S. Sakhno, L. Yanova, O. Pischikova, S. Chukharev
Sustainable development of construction materials is directly related to research on the processes of hydration of binders. Builders need better types of cement, with lower cost and energy consumption in production. The development of spin chemistry methods allows us to consider the processes of hydration and structure formation of binders from the spin state of the elements involved in chemical reactions. Magnetic interactions have a significant effect on the spin dynamics and the control of the spin multiplicity of radical pairs. The practical implementation of magnetic effects on a binder can be carried out in various ways. However, a long-term impact can be achieved only by introducing ferromagnetic substances into the binders. In the paper presented the results of a study of the influence of the characteristics of finely dispersed powdered ferromagnetic additives on the strength characteristics of cement. Ferromagnetic additives regulate the behavior of the reactants during rotation during the hydration of the binders due to magnetic interactions and control the reactivity of the chemical reaction. A comparative analysis revealed that it is most expedient to use as powdery ferromagnetic additives are the waste from mining and processing enterprises of the Krivorozhsky field. The work investigated the magnetic and dispersed characteristics of 12 different dust. The experiments showed that the origin of dust and the method of their capture are determined their magnetic characteristics. Preparation of samples with the dust and determination of the strength characteristics of cement were carried out by standard methods. The results obtained made it possible to reveal the laws of the effect of the dispersed and magnetic properties of various dust on the degree of activation of binders.
建筑材料的可持续发展直接关系到粘结剂水化过程的研究。建筑商需要更好的水泥品种,在生产过程中成本更低,能耗更低。自旋化学方法的发展使我们能够从化学反应中所涉及的元素的自旋状态来考虑水化过程和粘合剂的结构形成。磁相互作用对原子的自旋动力学和自旋多重性的控制有重要影响。在粘合剂上实际实现磁效应的方法有多种。然而,只有通过将铁磁性物质引入粘合剂才能实现长期影响。本文介绍了细分散粉末状铁磁添加剂的特性对水泥强度特性影响的研究结果。铁磁添加剂在结合剂水化过程中由于磁相互作用而调节反应物在旋转过程中的行为,并控制化学反应的反应活性。对比分析表明,Krivorozhsky油田采矿和加工企业的废弃物最适合作为粉状铁磁添加剂使用。研究了12种不同粉尘的磁性和分散特性。实验表明,尘埃的来源和捕获方法确定了尘埃的磁性特征。用标准方法制备试样和测定水泥的强度特性。所得结果揭示了不同粉尘的分散性和磁性对粘结剂活化程度的影响规律。
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引用次数: 9
The Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Oil Prices, CO 2 Emissions and the Stock Market: Evidence from a VAR Model COVID-19大流行对油价、二氧化碳排放和股票市场的影响:来自VAR模型的证据
Pub Date : 2020-05-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3587906
Héla Mzoughi, C. Urom, G. Uddin, K. Guesmi
This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on oil prices, CO2 emissions and stock market volatility over the period January 22, 2020 – March 30, 2020 using an unrestricted VAR. We demonstrate that although the increasing number of COVID-19 infections causeda decrease in the price of crude oil, the negative response of the oil market is short-lived.However, the response of economic activities as measured by CO2 emissions to a shock on COVID-19 infections is negative throughout the forecast period. Also, we find that the current situation created by COVID-19 led appears to have had a stronger impact on equity market volatility than on crude oil prices and CO2 emissions. Lastly, we find that the share of forecast error variance in the level of CO2 emissions is stronger than that of the energy and stock markets. Taken together, our findings shed light on the need for economic intervention to speed up recovery and boost investor’ perception of long-term growth.
本文使用无限制VAR检验了2020年1月22日至2020年3月30日期间COVID-19大流行对油价、二氧化碳排放和股市波动的影响。我们证明,尽管COVID-19感染人数的增加导致原油价格下跌,但石油市场的负面反应是短暂的。然而,在整个预测期内,以二氧化碳排放量衡量的经济活动对COVID-19感染冲击的反应为负。此外,我们发现,COVID-19导致的当前形势对股市波动的影响似乎比对原油价格和二氧化碳排放的影响更大。最后,我们发现预测误差方差在二氧化碳排放水平中的份额大于能源和股票市场的份额。综上所述,我们的研究结果揭示了经济干预的必要性,以加速复苏,增强投资者对长期增长的看法。
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引用次数: 56
The Secret Price of Student Debt 学生债务的秘密代价
Pub Date : 2020-05-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3759929
Student Borrower Protection Center
The Student Borrower Protection Center and Credit Builders Alliance examined how borrowers with different levels of student debt repay common financial products—credit cards, mortgages, and auto loans—to determine the added cost to each borrower for owing student loans. Specifically, this analysis breaks down the additional price a borrower with moderate and high student debt burdens will pay for these credit products compared to a borrower with lower or no student debt burden.

In this study, a borrowers’ debt burden was calculated using student loan debt-to-income ratios, meaning the portion of a borrower’s income going towards their student loan payment. A high ratio indicates a high student debt burden. The cost of the credit products was based on publicly available information regarding the average repayment term and balance of the products.

Key findings include:

A typical borrower could pay $29,000 in extra charges. An individual with a high student debt burden could pay as much as $29,000 more in total over the repayment term for a typical auto loan, mortgage, and credit card compared to the same borrower with a lower level of student debt stress. A borrower with a moderate student debt burden would pay more than $11,000 in extra charges for the same package of credit products.

A borrower experiencing financial strain during the pandemic shoulders an even bigger added cost. Research shows that families rely on credit card debt to weather economic shocks, including job losses and unexpected bills. As the pandemic drives unprecedented levels of unemployment, an individual with a high student debt burden could pay tens of thousands of dollars in additional charges compared to the same borrower with a lower level of student debt stress. Compared to a typical borrower with a high student debt burden, a borrower experiencing financial strain who is also shouldering a high student debt burden would pay hundreds of dollars more in credit card interest charges alone, making it harder to cover basic needs.

A borrower with lower credit use could still pay more than $13,000 in extra charges. A borrower with lower-than-average auto, mortgage, and credit card debt but a high level of student debt stress could still pay $13,000 more across this bundle of credit products than the same borrower with a low student debt burden.

Vulnerable borrowers pay the biggest price on other credit products for their student loan debt. Hidden costs are greatest for borrowers forced to take on bigger student debt burdens — leaving low-income borrowers, women, and borrowers of color to pay the biggest price across their financial lives. In addition, public service workers, like teachers or social workers are also at higher risk of being hit with greater hidden costs due to their high debt burden in relation to their income. Further, this secret price may contribute to widening economic and racial inequality, as borrowers are less
学生借款人保护中心和信用建设者联盟研究了不同学生债务水平的借款人如何偿还常见的金融产品——信用卡、抵押贷款和汽车贷款——以确定每个借款人欠学生贷款的额外成本。具体来说,该分析分析了与学生债务负担较低或没有学生债务负担的借款人相比,中等和较高学生债务负担的借款人将为这些信贷产品支付的额外价格。在这项研究中,借款人的债务负担是用学生贷款债务收入比来计算的,这意味着借款人的收入中用于支付学生贷款的部分。比率高表明学生债务负担高。信贷产品的成本基于有关平均还款期限和产品余额的公开信息。主要发现包括:一个典型的借款人可能要支付29,000美元的额外费用。与学生债务压力较低的同一借款人相比,学生债务负担较高的个人在典型的汽车贷款、抵押贷款和信用卡的还款期限内可能要多支付多达29,000美元。一个学生债务负担适中的借款人将为同样的信贷产品支付超过1.1万美元的额外费用。在大流行期间面临财务压力的借款人承担的额外成本甚至更大。研究表明,家庭依靠信用卡债务来抵御经济冲击,包括失业和意外账单。随着疫情推动失业率达到前所未有的水平,与学生债务压力较低的同一借款人相比,学生债务负担沉重的个人可能要支付数万美元的额外费用。与典型的学生债务负担沉重的借款人相比,一个面临财务压力的借款人,同时也承担着沉重的学生债务负担,单是信用卡利息费用就会多支付数百美元,这使得支付基本需求更加困难。信用使用较低的借款人仍可能支付超过1.3万美元的额外费用。汽车、抵押贷款和信用卡债务低于平均水平,但学生债务压力较高的借款人,在这一系列信贷产品中仍可以比学生债务负担较低的同一借款人多支付1.3万美元。脆弱的借款人为他们的学生贷款债务在其他信贷产品中付出了最大的代价。对于那些被迫承担更大学生债务负担的借款人来说,隐性成本是最大的——这使得低收入借款人、女性和有色人种借款人在他们的财务生活中付出了最大的代价。此外,教师或社会工作者等公共服务工作者也面临更高的风险,因为他们的债务负担与收入相比较高,因此受到更大隐性成本的打击。此外,这个秘密价格可能会加剧经济和种族不平等,因为借款人积累财富的能力更弱。
{"title":"The Secret Price of Student Debt","authors":"Student Borrower Protection Center","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3759929","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3759929","url":null,"abstract":"The Student Borrower Protection Center and Credit Builders Alliance examined how borrowers with different levels of student debt repay common financial products—credit cards, mortgages, and auto loans—to determine the added cost to each borrower for owing student loans. Specifically, this analysis breaks down the additional price a borrower with moderate and high student debt burdens will pay for these credit products compared to a borrower with lower or no student debt burden.<br><br>In this study, a borrowers’ debt burden was calculated using student loan debt-to-income ratios, meaning the portion of a borrower’s income going towards their student loan payment. A high ratio indicates a high student debt burden. The cost of the credit products was based on publicly available information regarding the average repayment term and balance of the products. <br><br>Key findings include:<br><br>A typical borrower could pay $29,000 in extra charges. An individual with a high student debt burden could pay as much as $29,000 more in total over the repayment term for a typical auto loan, mortgage, and credit card compared to the same borrower with a lower level of student debt stress. A borrower with a moderate student debt burden would pay more than $11,000 in extra charges for the same package of credit products.<br><br>A borrower experiencing financial strain during the pandemic shoulders an even bigger added cost. Research shows that families rely on credit card debt to weather economic shocks, including job losses and unexpected bills. As the pandemic drives unprecedented levels of unemployment, an individual with a high student debt burden could pay tens of thousands of dollars in additional charges compared to the same borrower with a lower level of student debt stress. Compared to a typical borrower with a high student debt burden, a borrower experiencing financial strain who is also shouldering a high student debt burden would pay hundreds of dollars more in credit card interest charges alone, making it harder to cover basic needs.<br><br>A borrower with lower credit use could still pay more than $13,000 in extra charges. A borrower with lower-than-average auto, mortgage, and credit card debt but a high level of student debt stress could still pay $13,000 more across this bundle of credit products than the same borrower with a low student debt burden. <br><br>Vulnerable borrowers pay the biggest price on other credit products for their student loan debt. Hidden costs are greatest for borrowers forced to take on bigger student debt burdens — leaving low-income borrowers, women, and borrowers of color to pay the biggest price across their financial lives. In addition, public service workers, like teachers or social workers are also at higher risk of being hit with greater hidden costs due to their high debt burden in relation to their income. Further, this secret price may contribute to widening economic and racial inequality, as borrowers are less ","PeriodicalId":149553,"journal":{"name":"Political Economy - Development: Public Service Delivery eJournal","volume":"64 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125962826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
COVID-19, Oil Prices, and Exchange Rates: A Five-Currency Examination 2019冠状病毒病、油价和汇率:五种货币考察
Pub Date : 2020-05-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3593753
Dacio Villarreal-Samaniego
During the first quarter of 2020, the spread of the COVID-19 proved to be very detrimental to many countries’ social well-being and economic conditions. Also, in early March, when the disease was already a pandemic, Saudi Arabia substantially increased its oil production, plunging oil prices. In this context, this study examines the long- and short-term relationships between the exchange rates of three oil-exporting and two oil-importing countries’ currencies with COVID-19 variables, as well as with crude oil prices. The results of the ARDL estimations show that, in the case of two countries, there was a close relationship between the exchange rate and the COVID-19 variables. Also, the outcomes imply an inverse and significant relationship between the movements of the oil prices and the exchange rates.
2020年第一季度,COVID-19的传播对许多国家的社会福祉和经济状况非常不利。此外,在3月初,当这种疾病已经成为流行病时,沙特阿拉伯大幅增加了石油产量,导致油价暴跌。在此背景下,本研究考察了三个石油出口国和两个石油进口国的货币汇率与COVID-19变量以及原油价格之间的长期和短期关系。ARDL的估计结果表明,在两个国家的情况下,汇率与COVID-19变量之间存在密切关系。此外,研究结果表明,油价和汇率的变动之间存在显著的反向关系。
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引用次数: 8
COVID-19 Pandemic: A Snapshot of Global Economic Repercussions and Possible Retaliations 2019冠状病毒病大流行:全球经济影响和可能的报复的快照
Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3593754
Md. Khaled Bin Amir
Both human and economic cost of COVID-19 tsunami has continued to peak as nobody can even envisage when and how the shock will be solved. The value of life is uncountable on the other hand every sign clears that economic plunge will be prolonged and painful. The purpose of this paper is to provide a snapshot of global economic disaster, focusing especially on major regions (China, USA, and Italy) due to COVID-19 and possible economic responses to mitigate the severity of this pandemic. The paper first provides an overview of global economic imbalances reflected by growing medical and financial emergencies, falling asset prices, tightening financial conditions, abatement of global GDP, world trade and supply chain disruptions, the constraint on tourism and traveling, raising uneven inflation, augmenting poverty, the suffering of migrants, political discord and antagonism may lead to being the unexpected worst economic downturn in the history. Along with identifying these imbalances, possible economic responses have been presented amid the shock of COVID-19 and strategies for recoveries. The paper concludes that containing initiatives and economics of pandemics is not enough to beat the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) without solidarity and consensus among nations around the globe.
2019冠状病毒病海啸造成的人员和经济损失继续达到峰值,因为没有人甚至无法想象何时以及如何解决这一冲击。生命的价值是不可估量的,另一方面,所有迹象都表明,经济衰退将是漫长而痛苦的。本文的目的是简要介绍全球经济灾难,特别关注受COVID-19影响的主要地区(中国、美国和意大利),以及为减轻这场大流行的严重程度而可能采取的经济应对措施。本文首先概述了全球经济失衡,反映在日益增长的医疗和金融紧急情况、资产价格下跌、金融条件收紧、全球GDP减少、世界贸易和供应链中断、对旅游和旅行的限制、提高不平衡的通货膨胀、增加贫困、移民的痛苦、政治不和和对抗可能导致历史上意想不到的最严重的经济衰退。除了确定这些不平衡之外,还提出了在2019冠状病毒病冲击下可能的经济应对措施和复苏战略。报告认为,如果没有世界各国的团结一致和共识,遏制大流行的举措和经济是不足以战胜新型冠状病毒病的。
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引用次数: 1
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Political Economy - Development: Public Service Delivery eJournal
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