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Demand for Older Workers: What Do Economists Think? What are Firms Doing? 对老年工人的需求:经济学家怎么看?公司在做什么?
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26597
S. G. Allen
The employment rate for workers 55 and over has been increasing across the world for the last decade. This creates opportunities for employers to diversify their workforce and retain valuable knowledge and skills, while at the same time posing the challenge of rising labor costs and blocked opportunities for younger workers. This study summarizes in layperson’s terms the economic tradeoffs facing organizations as they design the optimal age structure of employees, as well as surveying recent research on how older workers fit into organizations. Empirical studies show that whereas wage and benefit costs increase with age, there is no conclusive evidence that productivity increases as well. Studies using macroeconomic data find no evidence that older workers block opportunities for the young, but two recent papers using a more disaggregated approach show that firms treat older and younger workers as substitutes. A key challenge facing older workers is the decline over the last 20 years in the odds of becoming a new hire. Although the turnover rate for older workers is much lower than for other age groups, employers have concerns about accommodating their work environment and work schedule preferences. Resume studies show age discrimination also plays a factor, especially for women. The paper concludes with suggestions for future research, including interindustry and international comparisons of microeconomic data on employment by age group and studies that take a close look within organizations that have engaged in innovative activities to hire or retain more older workers.
在过去十年中,全球55岁及以上工人的就业率一直在上升。这为雇主创造了多元化劳动力和保留宝贵知识和技能的机会,同时也带来了劳动力成本上升的挑战,并阻碍了年轻工人的机会。本研究以外行的术语总结了组织在设计最佳员工年龄结构时面临的经济权衡,并调查了最近关于老年员工如何融入组织的研究。实证研究表明,虽然工资和福利成本随着年龄的增长而增加,但没有确凿的证据表明生产率也会增加。使用宏观经济数据的研究没有发现年长工人阻碍年轻人就业机会的证据,但最近的两篇论文采用了一种更分类的方法,表明企业将年长和年轻的工人视为替代品。老年员工面临的一个关键挑战是,在过去20年里,成为新员工的几率在下降。尽管老年员工的离职率比其他年龄段的员工低得多,但雇主们也在考虑如何适应他们的工作环境和工作时间偏好。简历研究表明,年龄歧视也是一个因素,尤其是对女性而言。论文最后对未来的研究提出了建议,包括行业间和国际上按年龄组就业的微观经济数据的比较,以及对那些从事创新活动以雇用或留住更多老年员工的组织进行深入研究。
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引用次数: 8
Social Assistance Receipt among Young Adults Grown Up in Different Neighbourhoods of Metropolitan Sweden 在瑞典大都市不同社区长大的年轻人接受社会援助的情况
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1002/pop4.264
B. Gustafsson, K. Katz, Torun Osterberg
Using large samples of persons born in 1985 we investigate the relationship between characteristics of the neighbourhood where young people lived as adolescents and the probability that they will receive social assistance when aged 19, 20, and 21, for the three Swedish metropolitan regions - Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmo. We estimated logistic regressions separately for the majority population and "visible immigrants" and included several characteristics of the neighbourhood and of the parental home in the specification. The probability of social assistance receipt as a young adult is strongly positively linked to social assistance receipt in the parental home and to several other factors. The major result is that the association with social assistance receipt in the neighbourhood where a person lived at age 16 remains strong when parental receipt and a number of other neighbourhood characteristics are controlled for. We conclude that measures to increase the education qualifications and various efforts to create jobs for young adults have a potential of decrease social assistance receipt among young adults. In addition there is also room for spatially focused measures aiming to reduce residential segregation and the demand for social assistance in locations with a comparably high rate of social assistance receipt.
我们使用1985年出生的人的大量样本,调查了年轻人青少年时期居住的社区特征与他们在19岁、20岁和21岁时接受社会援助的概率之间的关系,研究对象是瑞典的三个大都市地区——斯德哥尔摩、哥德堡和马尔默。我们分别估计了大多数人口和“可见移民”的逻辑回归,并在规范中包括了社区和父母家庭的几个特征。年轻时接受社会援助的可能性与父母家中接受社会援助和其他几个因素有着强烈的正相关。主要结果是,当父母的收入和其他一些社区特征被控制后,一个人在16岁时所居住的社区与社会援助收入的联系仍然很强。我们的结论是,提高教育资格的措施和为年轻人创造就业机会的各种努力有可能减少年轻人的社会援助收入。此外,还有空间采取以空间为重点的措施,旨在减少居住隔离和社会援助领取率相对较高的地区对社会援助的需求。
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引用次数: 2
Who Does Not Have a Bank Account in Hungary Today? 今天在匈牙利谁没有银行账户?
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3509811
Dániel Horn, H. J. Kiss
Based on a representative sample, the study examines how regional variables and variables related to settlement type as well as demographic (gender, age), social (qualifications, income) and labour market characteristics (unemployment, public sector) and individual preferences (risk-taking and patience) are correlated with the fact that the respondent has a bank account or bank card or not. The authors find that having a bank account or bank card is not influenced by whether someone works in the public sector or not or by the individual’s gender, while the effect of the preferences depends on the financial service. The impact of the other variables (age, education, income, unemployment) is in line with expectations and is significant separately as well as if they are taken into account simultaneously. The analysis shows that regional impacts and ones related to settlement type are also significant.
基于代表性样本,该研究考察了区域变量和与定居类型以及人口统计学(性别、年龄)、社会(资格、收入)和劳动力市场特征(失业、公共部门)以及个人偏好(冒险和耐心)相关的变量如何与受访者是否拥有银行账户或银行卡这一事实相关联。作者发现,是否拥有银行账户或银行卡并不受是否在公共部门工作或个人性别的影响,而偏好的影响取决于金融服务。其他变量(年龄、教育、收入、失业)的影响与预期一致,无论是单独的还是同时考虑的影响都很显著。分析表明,区域影响和与聚落类型相关的影响也很显著。
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引用次数: 3
The Relationship between Social Identities, Acculturation Strategies and the Psychological Well-Being of Young Russians in Latvia and Crimean Tatars in Crimea 拉脱维亚俄罗斯青年和克里米亚鞑靼青年的社会认同、文化适应策略与心理健康的关系
Pub Date : 2019-11-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3495090
E. Kodja, T. Ryabichenko
This cross-cultural study examines the role of social identities (ethnic, national and place) and acculturation strategies in the psychological well-being of young ethnic minorities in regions with different policies on minority integration - Russians in Latvia (N=109, age 16-24) and Crimean Tatars in Crimea (N=122, age 17-24). Results revealed the identities that promote psychological well-being of the young generation of these minorities. Ethnic identity predicts self-esteem in both groups and life satisfaction in Crimean Tatar youth. Place identity is positively related to life satisfaction of both groups. The national identity of ethnic minority youth predicts integration in both groups, while integration promotes self-esteem among Russian youth in Latvia only. The findings are discussed taking into account the historical, political and social context of Latvia and Crimea
这项跨文化研究考察了社会认同(种族、国家和地方)和文化适应策略在不同少数民族融合政策地区的年轻少数民族心理健康中的作用——拉脱维亚的俄罗斯人(N=109,年龄16-24岁)和克里米亚的克里米亚鞑靼人(N=122,年龄17-24岁)。结果揭示了促进这些少数民族年轻一代心理健康的身份。族群认同预测两族群的自尊与克里米亚鞑靼族青年的生活满意度。地方认同与两组的生活满意度均呈正相关。少数民族青年的国家认同预示着两个群体的融合,而融合只促进了拉脱维亚俄罗斯青年的自尊。研究结果的讨论考虑到拉脱维亚和克里米亚的历史、政治和社会背景
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引用次数: 4
The Earned Income Tax Credit and Infant Health Revisited 重新审视劳动所得税抵免和婴儿健康
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26476
Daniel Dench, T. Joyce
Hoynes, Miller, and Simon (2015), henceforth HMS, report that the national expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) is associated with decreases in low birth weight. We question their findings. HMS's difference-in-differences estimates are unidentified in some comparisons, while failed placebo tests undermine others. Their effects lack a plausible mechanism as the association between the EITC and prenatal smoking also fails placebo tests. We contend that the waning of the crack epidemic is a possible confound, but we show that any number of policies directed at poor women also eliminate the effect of the EITC when aggregated to the national level. Identifying small, causal effects of a national policy at a single point in time is exceedingly challenging.
Hoynes, Miller和Simon(2015)在HMS之后报告说,劳动所得税抵免(EITC)的全国扩张与低出生体重的减少有关。我们质疑他们的发现。HMS的差异中的差异估计在一些比较中是不确定的,而失败的安慰剂测试则破坏了其他比较。它们的影响缺乏合理的机制,因为EITC和产前吸烟之间的联系也没有通过安慰剂测试。我们认为,可卡因流行的减少可能是一种混乱,但我们表明,针对贫穷妇女的任何数量的政策,如果综合到国家一级,也会消除EITC的影响。在单一时间点确定国家政策的微小因果效应是极具挑战性的。
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引用次数: 7
Subjective Parental Beliefs. Their Measurement and Role 父母的主观信念。它们的度量和作用
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26516
O. Attanasio, Flávio Cunha, Pamela Jervis
We study the importance of maternal subjective beliefs about the technology of skill formation in determining parental investments on child development. We describe our framework in three steps. First, we discuss the construction of the survey instrument we used to elicit maternal subjective beliefs. Second, we show how to convert the answers to the survey instrument into estimates of maternal subjective beliefs. Finally, we correlate maternal subjective beliefs with maternal investments of child development. We apply our framework to a unique dataset collected as part of an 18-month-long parenting stimulation program in Colombia, whose target population were low-income households with children aged 12 to 24 months at baseline and lasted 18 months. In this program, home visitors paid weekly visits to randomly chosen households to improve mother-child interactions and other maternal behaviors that foster the development of children's cognitive and non-cognitive skills. We show that the vast majority of mothers believe that the technology of skill formation follows a Cobb-Douglas parameterization, but there is significant heterogeneity in coefficients of investments across mothers. In particular, mothers hold low subjective expectations, which means that mothers underestimate the returns to their investments. We also find that maternal subjective beliefs predict investments, but that the program did not affect maternal subjective beliefs.
我们研究了母亲对技能形成技术的主观信念在决定父母对儿童发展的投资中的重要性。我们用三个步骤描述我们的框架。首先,我们讨论了我们用来引出母亲主观信念的调查工具的构建。其次,我们展示了如何将调查工具的答案转换为母亲主观信念的估计。最后,我们将母亲的主观信念与母亲对儿童发展的投资联系起来。我们将我们的框架应用于一个独特的数据集,该数据集是哥伦比亚一项为期18个月的养育刺激计划的一部分,该计划的目标人群是基线年龄在12至24个月的低收入家庭,持续时间为18个月。在这个项目中,家访员每周随机走访一些家庭,以改善母子互动和其他母亲的行为,促进儿童认知和非认知技能的发展。我们发现,绝大多数母亲认为技能形成的技术遵循柯布-道格拉斯参数化,但在母亲之间的投资系数存在显著的异质性。特别是,母亲的主观期望值较低,这意味着母亲低估了自己的投资回报。我们还发现,母亲的主观信念预测投资,但该计划不影响母亲的主观信念。
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引用次数: 28
Defined Benefit Pensions and Homeownership in the Post-Great Recession Era 后大衰退时代的固定收益养老金和房屋所有权
Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3420215
T. Murray
While housing equity accounts for a large portion of many retiree’s savings portfolios, they are not using their equity to increase consumption in retirement as suggested by the Life-Cycle Hypothesis. Defined benefit plans provide a guaranteed source of income in retirement where the household bears no risk, whereas households with a defined contribution plan are subject to potential risk depending on their asset allocation. This paper examines whether having a defined benefit plan mitigated some of the effects of the Great Recession. Using a difference-in-difference analysis, I examine the impact of the Great Recession on homeownership between households with a defined benefit plan compared to those with a defined contribution plan. I find that households with a defined contribution plan were 2.1-2.9 percent less likely to own a home after the Great Recession compared to households with a defined contribution plan. It is possible that households with defined contribution plans were willing to forgo homeownership to offset some of the losses experienced from the Great Recession. Future retirees face a potentially riskier housing market and are less likely to have a defined benefit plan. As a result, future retirees may be more willing to use their housing equity to increase consumption in retirement than was observed in past generations.
虽然住房权益在许多退休人员的储蓄组合中占很大一部分,但他们并没有像生命周期假说所建议的那样,利用住房权益来增加退休后的消费。固定收益计划为家庭提供无风险的退休收入保障,而固定供款计划的家庭则会因资产配置而面临潜在风险。本文考察了固定收益计划是否减轻了大衰退的一些影响。我使用差异中差异分析,研究了大衰退对固定收益计划家庭和固定缴款计划家庭住房拥有率的影响。我发现,在大衰退之后,拥有固定缴款计划的家庭拥有住房的可能性比拥有固定缴款计划的家庭低2.1% - 2.9%。有可能拥有固定缴款计划的家庭愿意放弃房屋所有权,以抵消大衰退(Great Recession)带来的部分损失。未来的退休人员面临着潜在的风险更大的房地产市场,而且不太可能有固定收益计划。因此,与过去几代人相比,未来的退休人员可能更愿意用他们的住房资产来增加退休后的消费。
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引用次数: 1
Local Modeling of U.S. Mortality Rates: A Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Approach 美国死亡率的局部建模:多尺度地理加权回归方法
Pub Date : 2019-10-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3472830
Kyran Cupido, A. Fotheringham, Petar Jevtic
The majority of work in mortality modeling involves factor-based approaches, with little use of information on the determinants and interpretable risk factors of mortality. At the same time, in the demographic community, there has been a lack of research attention towards the study of mortality from a spatial perspective. This work is a step towards addressing this, by providing an investigation of the presence of spatial variability in the determinants of mortality rates. Speci�?cally, by using the age-adjusted mortality rates of the counties of the contiguous United States, this research applies a multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) approach to examine the spatial variations in the relationships between mortality rates and a diverse group of associated determinants. The results of this study demonstrate that the MGWR approach produces an interpretable and accurate account of the global, regional and local effects acting on the mortality rates of the United States. Thus, this work lays the groundwork for the consideration of spatial varying effects on mortality rates which operate at different spatial scales.
死亡率建模的大部分工作涉及基于因素的方法,很少使用关于死亡率决定因素和可解释风险因素的信息。与此同时,在人口学界,对从空间角度研究死亡率的研究一直缺乏关注。通过对死亡率决定因素中存在的空间变异性进行调查,这项工作是朝着解决这一问题迈出的一步。Speci�?此外,通过使用美国相邻县的年龄调整死亡率,本研究采用多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)方法来检查死亡率与各种相关决定因素之间关系的空间变化。这项研究的结果表明,MGWR方法对影响美国死亡率的全球、区域和地方影响作出了可解释和准确的说明。因此,这项工作为考虑在不同空间尺度上对死亡率的空间变化影响奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 5
How Can Preferences for Same-Trait Marriage Increase Investment in Education? 同性婚姻偏好如何增加教育投资?
Pub Date : 2019-10-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3472702
Lorena Hakak
I model how agents' marriage decisions and schooling investments relate to cultural and religious intragroup preferences. Men and women's incentives to acquire education and marry change depending on their preferences to marry within their own cultural traits, as marital gains are reinforced by same-trait people. The first mechanism is associated with the intergenerational transmission of cultural traits to children through marriage. In addition, the benefit of a higher level of education increases the marital surplus. Both effects increase the proportions of married and educated people in groups where investment in human capital is important.
我建立了代理人的婚姻决定和教育投资如何与文化和宗教内部偏好相关的模型。男性和女性接受教育和结婚的动机会随着他们对与自己具有文化特征的人结婚的偏好而改变,因为婚姻的收益会被具有相同文化特征的人加强。第一种机制与通过婚姻将文化特征代际传递给孩子有关。此外,较高教育水平的好处增加了婚姻盈余。在人力资本投资很重要的群体中,这两种效应都增加了已婚和受过教育的人的比例。
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引用次数: 0
Quality of Work Life and Generation Y: How Gender and Organizational Type Moderate Job Satisfaction 工作生活质量与Y世代:性别和组织类型如何调节工作满意度
Pub Date : 2019-10-16 DOI: 10.1108/pr-11-2018-0448
Birgit Muskat, Bernd Frederik Reitsamer
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine how quality of work life (QWL) influences job satisfaction and to test if gender and organizational type moderate this relationship for Generation Y (Gen-Y).Design/methodology/approachQuestionnaire data were collected from 328 Gen-Y employees in European hospitality businesses. Drawing on generational theory, social role theory and person–environment (P–E) fit theory, the authors discuss how gender and organizational types (i.e. independent vs corporate structures) moderate Gen-Y’s QWL–job satisfaction relationship.FindingsThe findings of the paper are as follows: first, gender and organizational type influence the QWL–job satisfaction relationship for Gen-Y. Second, job security does not change job satisfaction levels for female employees while high levels of job security negatively influence job satisfaction for male employees. Third, receiving appreciation at work increases job satisfaction for both women and men but, when receiving little appreciation at work, women remain more satisfied. Fourth, having opportunities to contribute to decisions positively affects Gen-Y’s job satisfaction. Fifth, having the right to say is more important in independent organizations, while the opportunity to realize an employee’s own potential leads to higher job satisfaction in corporate organizations.Originality/valueThe study contributes to the limited empirical scholarly research, adding to a deeper understanding of influencing factors of Gen-Y’s QWL–job satisfaction relationship.
本文的目的是研究工作生活质量(QWL)如何影响工作满意度,并测试性别和组织类型是否调节了Y世代(Gen-Y)的这种关系。设计/方法/方法从328名欧洲酒店企业的y世代员工中收集问卷数据。利用代际理论、社会角色理论和人-环境(P-E)契合理论,作者讨论了性别和组织类型(即独立与公司结构)如何调节y一代的qw -工作满意度关系。研究发现:第一,性别和组织类型影响y一代的工作满意度关系。第二,工作保障不会改变女性员工的工作满意度水平,而高水平的工作保障会对男性员工的工作满意度产生负向影响。第三,在工作中得到赞赏会增加女性和男性的工作满意度,但当在工作中得到很少的赞赏时,女性仍然更满意。第四,有机会参与决策对y一代的工作满意度有积极影响。第五,在独立的组织中,拥有发言权更为重要,而在公司制组织中,员工有机会实现自己的潜力会导致更高的工作满意度。独创性/价值本研究弥补了有限的实证学术研究,加深了对y一代qwl -工作满意度关系影响因素的理解。
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引用次数: 22
期刊
Labor: Demographics & Economics of the Family eJournal
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