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Menstrual Hygiene and Practices among Un-Married Adolescent Girls in Nanded District of Maharashtra State 马哈拉施特拉邦南德地区未婚少女的月经卫生和习惯
Pub Date : 2020-01-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3515286
Dr. Shaikh Ahmad
Menstruation related hygiene and practices are the very sensitive and important issue regarding the healt of the girls. The present study assessed menstruation related hygiene and practice among un-married adolescent girls of Nanded district.The study adopted community based cross-sectional approach, 428 respondents were selected using a multistage stratified random sampling method. The participants overall mean age at menarche was 12.5. Around 16.5 percent of the adolescent girls using sanitary pads, 36.7 percent were using only cloths and 46.8 percent of the respondents were using both cloth and sanitary pads. Most of Hindus and Christian girls were using cloths during menses; more number of the Muslim respondents was using sanitary pads. Using cloth was highest among Scheduled caste respondents followed by Scheduled tribes. The girls should be educated about the process of menstruation, use of sanitary pads and its proper disposal.
与月经有关的卫生和做法是关系到女孩健康的非常敏感和重要的问题。本研究对南德地区未婚少女的月经相关卫生及行为进行了评估。本研究采用基于社区的横断面调查方法,采用多阶段分层随机抽样方法抽取428名调查对象。参与者月经初潮的平均年龄为12.5岁。约16.5%的少女使用卫生巾,36.7%的少女只使用布,46.8%的少女既使用布又使用卫生巾。大多数印度教徒和基督教女孩在月经期间都穿着衣服;更多的穆斯林受访者使用卫生巾。在册种姓受访者中使用布的比例最高,其次是在册部落。应该对女孩进行有关月经过程、卫生巾的使用和正确处理的教育。
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引用次数: 0
Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City 关于学业成就的自我认知:来自墨西哥城的证据
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.18235/0002167
Matteo Bobba, Verónica Frisancho
A growing body of evidence suggests that people exhibit large biases when processing information about themselves, but less is known about the underlying inference process. This paper studies belief updating patterns regarding academic ability in a large sample of students transitioning from middle to high school in Mexico City. The paper takes advantage of rich and longitudinal data on subjective beliefs together with randomized feedback about individual performance on an achievement test. On average, the performance feedback reduces the relative role of priors on posteriors and shifts substantial probability mass toward the signal. Further evidence reveals that males and high-socioeconomic status students, especially those attending relatively better schools, tend to process new information on their own ability more effectively.
越来越多的证据表明,人们在处理关于自己的信息时会表现出很大的偏见,但对潜在的推理过程却知之甚少。本文研究了墨西哥城初高中学生学业能力的信念更新模式。本文利用了丰富的主观信念的纵向数据和随机反馈的个人表现测试。平均而言,性能反馈减少了先验对后验的相对作用,并将大量概率质量移向信号。进一步的证据表明,男性和高社会经济地位的学生,尤其是那些就读于相对较好的学校的学生,往往更能有效地利用自己的能力处理新信息。
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引用次数: 15
The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population 经济增长的终结?人口减少的意外后果
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26651
C. I. Jones
In many models, economic growth is driven by people discovering new ideas. These models typically assume either a constant or growing population. However, in high income countries today, fertility is already below its replacement rate: women are having fewer than two children on average. It is a distinct possibility that global population will decline rather than stabilize in the long run. In standard models, this has profound implications: rather than continued exponential growth, living standards stagnate for a population that vanishes. Moreover, even the optimal allocation can get trapped in this outcome if there are delays in implementing optimal policy. (JEL I12, J11, J13, O41)
在许多模式中,经济增长是由人们发现新想法推动的。这些模型通常假设人口不变或不断增长。然而,在今天的高收入国家,生育率已经低于其更替率:妇女平均生育不到两个孩子。从长远来看,全球人口很有可能会下降而不是稳定下来。在标准模型中,这具有深刻的含义:人口的生活水平停滞不前,而不是持续的指数增长。而且,如果在执行最优策略时存在延迟,即使是最优分配也可能陷入这种结果。(j12, j11, j13, o41)
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引用次数: 71
Assessing Mortality Inequality in the U.S.: What Can be Said about the Future? 评估美国的死亡率不平等:关于未来可以说些什么?
Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3550683
Han Li, Rob J Hyndman
This paper investigates longevity inequality across U.S. states by modelling and forecasts mortality rates via a forecast reconciliation approach. Understanding the heterogeneity in state-level mortality experience is of fundamental importance, as a key challenge of multi-population mortality modeling is the curse of dimensionality, and the resulting complex dependence structures across sub-populations. Moreover, when projecting future mortality rates, it is important to ensure that the state-level forecasts are coherent with the national-level forecasts. We address these issues by first obtaining independent state-level forecasts based on classical stochastic mortality models, and then incorporating the dependence structure in the forecast reconciliation process. Both traditional bottom-up reconciliation and the cutting-edge trace minimization reconciliation methods are considered. Based on the U.S. total mortality data for the period 1969-2017, we project the 10-year-ahead mortality rates at both national-level and state-level up to 2027. We found that the geographical inequality in the longevity levels is likely to continue in the future, and the mortality improvement rates will tend to slow down in the coming decades.
本文通过建模和预测调和方法预测死亡率,调查了美国各州的寿命不平等。了解州一级死亡率经验的异质性至关重要,因为多种群死亡率建模的一个关键挑战是维度的诅咒,以及由此产生的跨亚种群的复杂依赖结构。此外,在预测未来死亡率时,重要的是要确保州一级的预测与国家一级的预测一致。为了解决这些问题,我们首先基于经典的随机死亡率模型获得独立的国家级预测,然后在预测调节过程中引入依赖结构。同时考虑了传统的自底向上和解和前沿的轨迹最小化和解方法。根据美国1969-2017年的总死亡率数据,我们预测了到2027年的10年全国和州一级的死亡率。研究发现,在未来的几十年里,长寿水平的地域不平等可能会继续存在,死亡率的改善速度将趋于放缓。
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引用次数: 3
Who is Unbanked? Evidence from Poland 谁是Unbanked?来自波兰的证据
Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.5709/CE.1897-9254.323
T. Szopiński
The objective of this article is to identify factors that exert an influence on the problem of unbanking in Poland. The empirical material used for the purposes of the presented study was obtained within the framework of the “Social Diagnosis” research project carried out in 2015 by the Board of Social Monitoring operating at the University of Finance and Management in Warsaw. Factors such as disposable personal income, age, one’s level of education, trust placed in commercial banks, place of residence, population, and their social-occupational status had an influence on the propensity to use banking services. Answering the question put forward in the title of the paper, we found that the factors influencing people to remain unbanked were: young age, a low level of education, low income, living in small towns/cities, and lack of trust in commercial banks. The paper contributes to the advancement of research on financial exclusion by providing knowledge on the factors that seem to have an impact on its acceptance on the market in Poland.
本文的目的是确定影响波兰非银行业问题的因素。用于本研究目的的经验材料是在华沙金融与管理大学社会监测委员会于2015年开展的“社会诊断”研究项目框架内获得的。个人可支配收入、年龄、受教育程度、对商业银行的信任、居住地、人口及其社会职业地位等因素对使用银行服务的倾向有影响。回答论文标题中提出的问题,我们发现影响人们没有银行账户的因素是:年龄小,教育水平低,收入低,生活在小城镇/城市,对商业银行缺乏信任。本文通过提供有关似乎对波兰市场上的接受程度产生影响的因素的知识,有助于推进金融排斥研究。
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引用次数: 6
Effects over the Life of a Program: Evidence from an Education Conditional Cash Transfer Program for Girls 项目生命周期的影响:来自女童教育有条件现金转移支付项目的证据
Pub Date : 2019-12-19 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-9094
E. Chhabra, Fatima Najeeb, D. Raju
While most evaluations of education programs in developing countries examine effects one or two years after a program has been introduced, this study does so over an extended duration of a program. Administered in Punjab, Pakistan, the program offers cash benefits to households conditional on girls' regular attendance in secondary grades in government schools. The study evaluates the evolution of the program's effects on girls' secondary school enrollment numbers over roughly a decade of its existence. The program was targeted to districts with low adult literacy rates, a targeting mechanism that provides an observed, numerical program assignment variable and results in a cutoff value. Recent advances in regression discontinuity designs allow the study to appropriately fit key features of the data. The study finds that the program had positive effects on girls’ secondary school enrollment numbers throughout the period and that these effects were stable. This pattern is observed despite a loss of more than 60 percent in the real value of the cash benefit over the period. The findings are consistent with potential behavioral explanations, such as the program making girls' education salient to households or catalyzing a shift in social norms around girls' education.
在发展中国家,大多数对教育项目的评估都是在项目实施一到两年之后进行的,而本研究是在一个项目的较长时间内进行的。该项目在巴基斯坦旁遮普省实施,为家庭提供现金补贴,条件是女孩必须定期在公立学校就读中学。该研究评估了该计划在大约十年的时间里对女孩中学入学人数的影响。该计划的目标是成人识字率低的地区,这种目标机制提供了一个可观察的数字项目分配变量,并得出一个临界值。回归不连续设计的最新进展使研究能够适当地拟合数据的关键特征。研究发现,该计划在整个期间对女孩中学入学人数产生了积极影响,而且这些影响是稳定的。尽管在此期间现金收益的实际价值损失了60%以上,但仍观察到这种模式。这些发现与潜在的行为解释是一致的,比如该项目使女孩教育对家庭来说变得重要,或者促进了围绕女孩教育的社会规范的转变。
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引用次数: 0
Millennial Generation: Information on the Economic Status of Millennial Households Compared to Previous Generations 千禧一代:与前几代人相比,千禧一代家庭经济状况的信息
Pub Date : 2019-12-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3527751
Charles A. Jeszeck, Michael J. Collins, J. Rider, K. McQueeney, Layla Moughari, Jessica Mausner
Recent research indicates that, across three key measures, economic mobility in the United States is limited. Specifically, the Millennial generation (those born between 1982 and 2000) might not have the same opportunity as previous generations had to fare better economically than their parents. According to studies GAO reviewed, the share of people making more money than their parents at the same age (absolute mobility) has declined over the last 40 years, and the chances of moving up the income distribution (relative mobility) have been flat over time. Using a third measure of economic mobility (intergenerational income elasticity), researchers have found that income in adulthood is linked to how much a person's parents made, and that between one-third and two-thirds of economic status is passed down from parents to children. This is especially true of the lowest and highest income groups. Researchers also identified race and geography as key determinants of an individual's economic mobility. Millennials have different financial circumstances than Generation X (born 1965-1981) and Baby Boomers (born 1946-1964), and in light of flat or declining economic mobility, there is uncertainty about how they will fare financially as they age. A snapshot of data that allowed GAO to compare Millennials aged 25-34 to the previous two generations at similar ages showed that Millennial households were more likely than other generations to be college educated; however, incomes have remained flat across the three generations, implying that Millennials have not yet benefited from the potential additional lifetime income earned by college graduates. Millennial households had significantly lower median and average net worth than Generation X households at similar ages, especially among those with low net worth. Median net worth for the lowest quartile of Baby Boomers and Generation X was around zero, but it was substantially negative for Millennials, indicating that debt was greater than assets for the median low net worth Millennial household. Regarding assets, a significantly lower percentage of Millennials owned homes compared to previous generations at similar ages, but had retirement resources at rates comparable to Generation X and Baby Boomers. Finally, Millennials were more likely to have student loan debt that exceeded their annual income. It remains to be seen how these factors will affect Millennials' financial circumstances in the long run, including retirement.
最近的研究表明,从三个关键指标来看,美国的经济流动性是有限的。具体来说,千禧一代(出生于1982年至2000年之间的人)可能没有和前几代人一样的机会在经济上比他们的父母过得更好。根据美国政府问责局审查的研究,在过去40年里,同年龄比父母挣钱多的人的比例(绝对流动性)有所下降,而在收入分配中向上移动的机会(相对流动性)一直保持不变。通过第三种衡量经济流动性的方法(代际收入弹性),研究人员发现,一个人成年后的收入与父母的收入有关,三分之一到三分之二的经济地位是由父母传给孩子的。对于收入最低和最高的群体来说尤其如此。研究人员还发现,种族和地理是个人经济流动性的关键决定因素。千禧一代的财务状况与X一代(1965-1981年出生)和婴儿潮一代(1946-1964年出生)不同,鉴于经济流动性持平或下降,随着年龄的增长,他们的财务状况存在不确定性。美国政府问责局将年龄在25-34岁的千禧一代与前两代人进行了比较,结果显示,千禧一代家庭比其他几代人更有可能接受过大学教育;然而,这三代人的收入基本持平,这意味着千禧一代还没有从大学毕业生潜在的额外终身收入中受益。千禧一代家庭的净资产中位数和平均水平明显低于同龄的X一代家庭,尤其是那些净资产较低的家庭。婴儿潮一代和X一代的最低四分之一家庭的净资产中位数约为零,但千禧一代的净资产中位数为负值,这表明千禧一代低净值家庭的债务中位数大于资产。在资产方面,与前几代人相比,千禧一代拥有住房的比例明显较低,但拥有退休资源的比例与X一代和婴儿潮一代相当。最后,千禧一代的学生贷款债务更有可能超过他们的年收入。从长远来看,这些因素将如何影响千禧一代的财务状况,包括退休,还有待观察。
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引用次数: 1
IFAD Research Series 55 Rural Youth: Determinants of Migration throughout the World 农发基金研究系列55农村青年:全世界移徙的决定因素
Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3532452
A. de Brauw
The decision of whether to migrate or not is one of many potentially important decisions that young men and women make throughout the developing world. This paper takes a unique look at the determinants of youth migration across seven different countries using recently collected data, indirectly testing both broad and specific hypotheses related to migration. The paper finds that individual characteristics are more important determinants of migration than household characteristics. Furthermore, it finds little evidence that credit constraints or relative deprivation are correlated with migration at a nationally representative level, holding other things constant. The difference between this result and those found in the literature regarding credit constraints implies that credit constraints are geographically concentrated. The paper concludes with a discussion of the implications for migration-influenced policy regarding youth.
是否移民的决定是发展中国家青年男女所做的许多潜在的重要决定之一。本文利用最近收集的数据,对七个不同国家的青年移民决定因素进行了独特的研究,间接检验了与移民有关的广泛和具体假设。研究发现,个体特征比家庭特征对人口迁移的影响更大。此外,在其他因素不变的情况下,几乎没有证据表明信贷限制或相对剥夺与全国代表性水平的移民有关。这一结果与文献中关于信贷约束的结果之间的差异意味着信贷约束在地理上是集中的。本文最后讨论了受移徙影响的青年政策的影响。
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引用次数: 3
IFAD RESEARCH SERIES 61: The Narrative on Rural Youth and Economic Opportunities in Africa: Facts, Myths and Gaps 农发基金研究系列61:非洲农村青年和经济机会的叙述:事实、神话和差距
Pub Date : 2019-12-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3567001
A. Mabiso, Rui Benfica
A narrative on rural youth in Africa has continued to evolve in policy circles around the world. Much of it is driven by population statistics that point to an imminent youth bulge in Africa and concerns about economic stagnation for the continent. This paper reviews the narrative on rural youth and economic opportunities in Africa, using a set of policy documents from various African countries and regional and international organizations. Since large numbers of African rural youth are predicted to enter the agrifood system in the coming decades, there is a growing need for more investments in African agriculture to enhance the prospects of rural youth. While the evidence does show that African youth are indeed more educated than their parents and previous generations, several constraints on the level and quality of learning in rural Africa are raised.
关于非洲农村青年的叙述在世界各地的政策圈中不断演变。这在很大程度上是由人口统计数据推动的,这些统计数据表明,非洲的青年人口即将激增,人们担心非洲大陆的经济停滞。本文利用非洲各国以及区域和国际组织的一系列政策文件,回顾了非洲农村青年和经济机会的叙述。由于预计未来几十年将有大量非洲农村青年进入农业粮食系统,因此越来越需要对非洲农业进行更多投资,以改善农村青年的前景。虽然有证据表明非洲青年确实比他们的父母和前几代人受教育程度更高,但非洲农村的学习水平和质量受到了一些限制。
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引用次数: 15
Migrating for Children's Better Future: Intergenerational Mobility of Internal Migrants' Children in Indonesia 为孩子更好的未来而移民:印尼国内移民子女的代际流动
Pub Date : 2019-12-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3498195
A. Fatimah, Chiara Kofol
Internal migration dominates population mobility in Indonesia; according to the 2010 census, there were almost 30 million permanent migrants, around 12.5 percent of the population. The effects of this internal migration on the second generation continue to be under-explored. This paper investigates the long-term impact of parents' migration on their children's intergenerational per capita expenditure when adults. We argue that parental migration affects the human capital investment on their children, which has a direct impact on the children's outcomes when adults and on their deviation from the parents' economic status, hence their intergenerational mobility. We pooled the data of five waves of the Indonesian Family Life Survey, and we tackled the self-selection of parents' migration using linear regression with endogenous treatment. Our findings show that despite the fact that parental migration increases the education level of children and their per capita expenditure, it increases intergenerational mobility only when grown-up children live in urban areas, come from the poorest parents, and migrated themselves in their childhood. The left-behind children have more intergenerational mobility only if their father migrated, while there is no significant impact on intergenerational mobility if their mother migrated. The results are consistent with the persistence of individual inequality in Indonesia.
印度尼西亚的人口流动主要是内部移民;根据2010年的人口普查,有近3000万永久移民,约占人口的12.5%。这种国内移徙对第二代的影响仍未得到充分探讨。本文考察了父母迁移对子女成年后代际人均支出的长期影响。我们认为,父母迁移会影响子女的人力资本投资,这直接影响到子女成年后的成就,以及他们与父母经济地位的偏离,从而影响他们的代际流动。我们汇集了印度尼西亚家庭生活调查的五波数据,并使用线性回归和内源性处理来解决父母迁移的自我选择。我们的研究结果表明,尽管父母迁移提高了子女的教育水平和人均支出,但只有当成年子女生活在城市地区,来自最贫穷的父母,并且在童年时期自己迁移时,它才会增加代际流动性。只有当父亲迁移时,留守儿童的代际流动性更大,而当母亲迁移时,留守儿童的代际流动性没有显著影响。研究结果与印尼持续存在的个人不平等是一致的。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Labor: Demographics & Economics of the Family eJournal
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