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EMOTIONAL FINANCE: AS A NEW APPROACH TO UNDERSTANDING THE MARKETS 情感金融:一种理解市场的新方法
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.03
Asiye Nur Dumanlı, Selim Aren
The emotional finance theory was developed as an alternative to the mainstream theories which claim that markets are driven by investors’ conscious processes. Based on psychoanalysis, it searches the role of both conscious and unconscious processes in investment decisions. It offers new explanations regarding the causes and forecasting of the crises and bubbles that have been experienced frequently especially since the 2000s. In this framework, it makes use of concepts such as narrative, group feel, states of mind, and phantastic object, which have not been previously included in finance studies to date. This study represents the most comprehensive literature study carried out in the field of emotional finance to date. It analyses and models the fundamental components of the theory in the context of their determinants and effects. It offers findings to help market regulators, fund managers and investors understand the bubbles that occur in the markets.
情感金融理论是作为主流理论的替代理论而发展起来的,主流理论声称市场是由投资者的有意识过程驱动的。它以精神分析为基础,研究了投资决策中有意识和无意识过程的作用。它为危机和泡沫的原因和预测提供了新的解释,尤其是自2000年代以来,危机和泡沫频繁出现。在这个框架中,它利用了诸如叙事、群体感觉、心理状态和幻想对象等概念,这些概念迄今为止尚未包括在金融研究中。本研究是迄今为止在情感金融领域进行的最全面的文献研究。它在决定因素和影响的背景下分析和模拟理论的基本组成部分。它提供的研究结果有助于市场监管机构、基金经理和投资者理解市场中出现的泡沫。
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引用次数: 2
BEŞERİ SERMAYE VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ: FARKLI GELİRE SAHİP ÜLKELER GRUBU ÜZERİNE BİR İNCELEME
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.02
Bilge Köksel, Hüseyin Yılmaz
Neo-klasik teorilerin buyumenin nicelik yonune agirlik vererek diger faktorleri goz ardi etmesi, surdurulebilir buyumenin olanaksiz hale gelmesine sebep olmustur. 20.yuzyilin ikinci yarisinda ortaya cikan icsel buyume teorileri, neo-klasik teorinin varsayimlarini degistirerek “insan” kavraminin onemine deginmis ve surdurulebilir buyumede “kilit rol” olarak beseri sermayeyi isaret etmistir. Bu calismanin amaci, beseri sermayenin ekonomik buyume uzerindeki etkisini incelemektir. Şuphesiz beseri sermaye her ulkenin ekonomik kalkinmasina ayni oranda etki etmemektedir. Bu dusunceden yola cikilarak homojen ozellik gosteren ulkeler siniflandirilmis ve 1990-2018 donemlerinde verilerine ulasilabilen ust gelir (41 ulke), orta ust gelir (28 ulke), orta alt gelir (32 ulke) ve alt gelir (16 ulke) grubundaki ulkeler analize dâhil edilmistir. Ampirik sonuclara ulasmak icin Gengebach, Urbain ve Westerlund Panel Esbutunlesme Testi, AMG katsayi tahmincisi ve Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel nedensellik analizi kullanilmistir Esbutunlesme testi, seriler arasinda esbutunlesme iliskisinin butun ulke gruplarinda oldugunu gostermistir. AMG katsayi tahmincisi sonuclarina gore beseri sermaye endeksindeki %1’lik artis; yuksek gelirli ulkelerde buyumeyi %3,13, orta ust gelirli ulkelerde %4,44, orta alt gelirli ulkelerde %2,62 ve alt gelirli ulkelerde %1,87 oraninda arttirmaktadir. Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel nedensellik analizi, butun ulke gruplarinda sosyal sermaye ve buyume arasinda cift yonlu nedenselligin oldugunu ortaya koymustur. Analiz sonucunda elde edilen ampirik bulgular, ulkelerin ekonomik buyuklugune bagli olmaksizin beseri sermayenin farkli oranlarda da olsa ekonominin itici gucu oldugunu gostermistir.
新古典主义理论强调增长的数量方面,忽视了其他因素,这使得可持续增长成为不可能。20 世纪下半叶,内生增长理论改变了新古典理论的假设,强调了 "人 "这一概念的重要性,并指出人力资本在可持续增长中的 "关键作用"。本研究旨在分析人力资本对经济增长的影响。毫无疑问,人力资本对每个国家经济发展的影响程度并不相同。基于这一考虑,我们对具有同质特征的国家进行了分类,并将 1990-2018 年期间有数据可查的高收入组(41 个国家)、中等高收入组(28 个国家)、中等低收入组(32 个国家)和低收入组(16 个国家)的国家纳入分析范围。利用 Gengebach、Urbain 和 Westerlund 面板重合检验、AMG 系数估计器和 Dumitrescu-Hurlin 面板因果关系分析得出实证结果。 重合检验表明,所有国家组的序列之间都存在重合关系。根据 AMG 系数估计结果,人力资本指数每增加 1%,高收入国家的经济增长会增加 3.13%,中上收入国家的经济增长会增加 4.44%,中低收入国家的经济增长会增加 2.62%,低收入国家的经济增长会增加 1.87%。Dumitrescu-Hurlin 面板因果关系分析表明,在所有国家组中,社会资本与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系。实证分析结果表明,无论国家的经济规模如何,人力资本都是经济发展的推动力,只是速度不同而已。
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引用次数: 5
YEREL SEÇİMLERDE HİZMET KALİTESİ VE VERGİLEMENİN SEÇMEN TERCİHİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: ÇANAKKALE BELEDİYESİ ÖRNEĞİ
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.06
Erdal Eroğlu, Elif Avci
Local elections differ from general elections in terms of participation rates, voter tendencies and preferences. Voters act with sociological, psychological and economic variables when choosing to vote. Besides these variables in local elections, service quality and taxation have an important effect on voter preferences. In local elections, voters vote for the mayor candidate who they think will benefit them the most with the least cost. The mayor candidate, on the other hand, applies to local services and projects that increase the life quality of the city in order to increase his votes or be elected again. This study focuses on the preferences of the citizens in the mayoral elections in the Canakkale Municipality 2019 local elections. In this context, a survey was conducted with 200 voters in Canakkale province. In the study, it was found that the quality of local public services offered by Canakkale Municipality has a significant effect on voter preferences while voters are voting in local elections, but local tax perception does not have a significant effect on voter choice. Another remarkable finding in the study is that the factors in the category of other factors (ideology, religion, character of the presidential candidate, election promises, etc.) have an important effect on voter choice.
地方选举在参与率、选民倾向和偏好等方面与议会选举不同。选民在选择投票时受到社会、心理和经济变量的影响。除了地方选举中的这些变量外,服务质量和税收对选民的偏好也有重要影响。在地方选举中,选民投票给他们认为能以最少的成本使他们受益最大的市长候选人。另一方面,市长候选人为了增加自己的选票或再次当选,会申请提高城市生活质量的地方服务和项目。本研究关注的是2019年恰纳卡莱市地方选举中公民在市长选举中的偏好。在这方面,在恰纳卡莱省对200名选民进行了调查。研究发现,当选民在地方选举中投票时,恰纳卡莱市提供的地方公共服务质量对选民的偏好有显著影响,但地方税感知对选民的选择没有显著影响。该研究的另一个显著发现是,其他因素类别中的因素(意识形态、宗教、总统候选人的性格、选举承诺等)对选民的选择有重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
THE EFFECT OF PROFITABILITY, CAPITAL STRUCTURE, AND FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION ON INVESTMENT RISK 盈利能力、资本结构和前瞻性信息对投资风险的影响
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.01
Muhammad Istiqlal Jerico, W. Utami
This study aims to provide empirical evidence of the effect of profitability, capital structure and forward looking information on investment risk. The population used in this research were all banking companies listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016 to 2018. The sample selection used a random sampling method, and obtained 117 samples. The variables of profitability, capital structure, and forward-looking information refer to the elements of Integrated Reporting (2013) as an independent variable, and investment risk as the dependent variable. Data is collected from bank annual reports and share prices obtained from the website. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression. The results of the study concluded that profitability and capital structure had no effect on investment risk. Forward-looking disclosure  has a negative effect on investment risk. This means that forward-looking disclosures can significantly reduce investment risk.
本研究旨在为盈利能力、资本结构和前瞻性信息对投资风险的影响提供实证证据。本研究中使用的人口是2016年至2018年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的所有银行公司。样本选取采用随机抽样的方法,共获得117个样本。盈利能力、资本结构和前瞻性信息变量以综合报告(2013)中的要素为自变量,以投资风险为因变量。数据收集自银行年报和从网站上获得的股价。分析方法为多元线性回归。研究结果表明,盈利能力和资本结构对投资风险没有影响。前瞻性信息披露对投资风险有负向影响。这意味着前瞻性披露可以显著降低投资风险。
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引用次数: 2
TÜRKİYE’DE FAİZ ORANI İLE DÖVİZ KURU İLİŞKİSİNİN ANALİZİ (2003-2020)
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.05
Eda Küçük, D. Dereli̇
Interest rate and exchange rate stand out as two important factors in terms of macroeconomic stability in economies. For this reason, the interaction between exchange rate and interest rate should be taken into account in the regulation of economic policies. In this study the causality and cointegration relationship between exchange rate and interest rate in Turkey for 2003-2020 period are examined and mutual relationship in the long term is identified.
利率和汇率是影响经济体宏观经济稳定的两个重要因素。因此,在经济政策的调控中应考虑到汇率与利率之间的相互作用。本研究考察了2003-2020年土耳其汇率与利率之间的因果关系和协整关系,并确定了长期的相互关系。
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引用次数: 1
EXCHANGE RATE RESPONSE TO OIL PRICE AND POLITICAL SHOCKS: WHAT CAN NIGERIA DO? 汇率对油价和政治冲击的反应:尼日利亚能做些什么?
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.08
Augustine Adebayo Kutu, David Alaba Alori, H. Ngalawa
This study determines how political institution (factor) and oil prices play a significant role in exchange rate instabilities in Nigeria between  and . Employing a VECM model with time series and structural analysis, the study decomposes the oil prices into positive and negative shocks. The findings show a symmetric impact from positive and negative oil shocks while political/institutional factor, on the contrary, indicates an asymmetric impact on exchange rates. The study, therefore, recommends that strong political institution that promotes good governance, accountability and transparency should be put in place. This will untimely reduce the cost of importation that prevents the country from reaping the benefits of positive oil price shocks. While this study employs one of the unique approaches to the study of exchange rates worldwide, it also provides insights to how institutional/political factor contribute to exchange rate instability in Nigeria.
本研究确定了政治制度(因素)和石油价格如何在尼日利亚之间的汇率不稳定中发挥重要作用。采用时间序列和结构分析相结合的VECM模型,将油价分解为正冲击和负冲击。研究结果表明,正面和负面石油冲击的影响是对称的,而政治/制度因素则相反,表明对汇率的影响是不对称的。因此,该研究建议,应该建立强有力的政治机构,促进善政、问责制和透明度。这将不合时宜地降低进口成本,使该国无法从积极的油价冲击中获益。虽然这项研究采用了一种独特的方法来研究全球汇率,但它也为尼日利亚的制度/政治因素如何导致汇率不稳定提供了见解。
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引用次数: 3
YÖNETİCİNİN ALGILANAN ENTELEKTÜEL YETKİNLİKLERİNİN, Y-KUŞAĞININ GÖREV PERFORMANSINA ETKİSİNDE EKSTRA ROL DAVRANIŞININ ARACILIK ETKİSİ
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.07
Ayhan Aksu, M. Aslan, Ali Akdemir
Generation Y forms the majority of today’s workforce. In this respect, it is important for organizations, researchers, and practitioners to reveal the factors that increase the task performance of Generation Y. This study investigates the effect of intellectual competencies, one of the qualities that Generation Y values and wants to see in their managers, on their extra-role behavior and task performance. The study adopted the conveient sampling method and was conducted with 356 participants from Generation Y, who work in various sectors. The statistical analyses were performed on the collected data and findings interpreted. The results show that the strategic perspective and analysis, and Vision dimensions of intellectual competencies have a significant and positive effect on the task performance of Generation Y. The results also show that benevolence and civic virtue dimensions of extra-role behavior play a full mediator role in this effect.
Y一代构成了当今劳动力的大多数。在这方面,对于组织、研究人员和实践者来说,揭示提高Y一代任务绩效的因素是很重要的。本研究调查了智力能力对他们的角色外行为和任务绩效的影响,智力能力是Y一代重视并希望在他们的管理者身上看到的品质之一。该研究采用了方便的抽样方法,共有356名来自不同行业的Y世代的参与者参与。对收集的数据进行统计分析,并对结果进行解释。研究结果表明,智力胜任力的战略视角与分析维度、愿景维度对y世代员工的任务绩效有显著的正向影响,角色外行为的仁爱维度和公民美德维度在这一影响中起完全中介作用。
{"title":"YÖNETİCİNİN ALGILANAN ENTELEKTÜEL YETKİNLİKLERİNİN, Y-KUŞAĞININ GÖREV PERFORMANSINA ETKİSİNDE EKSTRA ROL DAVRANIŞININ ARACILIK ETKİSİ","authors":"Ayhan Aksu, M. Aslan, Ali Akdemir","doi":"10.15637/JLECON.8.2.07","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15637/JLECON.8.2.07","url":null,"abstract":"Generation Y forms the majority of today’s workforce. In this respect, it is important for organizations, researchers, and practitioners to reveal the factors that increase the task performance of Generation Y. This study investigates the effect of intellectual competencies, one of the qualities that Generation Y values and wants to see in their managers, on their extra-role behavior and task performance. The study adopted the conveient sampling method and was conducted with 356 participants from Generation Y, who work in various sectors. The statistical analyses were performed on the collected data and findings interpreted. The results show that the strategic perspective and analysis, and Vision dimensions of intellectual competencies have a significant and positive effect on the task performance of Generation Y. The results also show that benevolence and civic virtue dimensions of extra-role behavior play a full mediator role in this effect.","PeriodicalId":158468,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Life Economics","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116993485","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
ENERJİ KULLANIMI VE BAŞLICA MAKROEKONOMİK GÖSTERGELER ETKİLEŞİMİ VE BU ETKİLEŞİM BAĞLAMINDA TÜRKİYE’NİN DÜNYA İÇİNDEKİ YERİ 能源使用与主要宏观经济指标之间的相互作用,以及土耳其在这种相互作用中的世界地位
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.09
Selay GİRAY YAKUT, Selin Devrim ÖZDEMİR YAZGAN, N. Bacaksiz, Halit Fikir
The main purpose of this study is to examine the relationships between variables determined by following the literature and to investgate the place of Turkey in terms of those variables by multivariate analysis techniques. After that, linear and nonlinear relationships between variables were analyzed using time series econometric techniques for the countries exhibiting the same structure with Turkey.Within the concept of this study, the relationship between the variables has been analyzed using correlation analysis for world countries and significant relationships were found. Then, the relationship structure was investigated by Factor Analysis. Then, the relationship structure was investigated with Factor Analysis, one of the multivariate statistical analysis techniques. In terms of five variables aforementioned, countries in the world were grouped according to their similarities by using cluster analysis, one of the multivariate statistical analysis techniques and it was determined that Brazil, Chile, Uruguay are structurally most similar countries with Turkey, in terms of relationships between variables. This finding was also supported by the ranking factor scores. The causal relationship between macroeconomic variables were analyzed by time series econometrics techniques for the countries exhibiting the similar structure with Turkey. As a result of the nonlinear causality analysis applied, causality relationship between energy consumption and core inflation were found for all countries.
本研究的主要目的是研究通过以下文献确定的变量之间的关系,并通过多变量分析技术调查土耳其在这些变量方面的地位。之后,使用时间序列计量经济学技术对与土耳其表现出相同结构的国家进行变量之间的线性和非线性关系分析。在本研究的概念内,使用相关分析对世界各国的变量之间的关系进行了分析,发现了显著的关系。然后,运用因子分析法对关系结构进行了研究。然后,利用多元统计分析技术之一的因子分析对其关系结构进行了研究。就上述五个变量而言,通过使用多变量统计分析技术之一的聚类分析,将世界各国根据其相似性进行分组,并确定巴西,智利,乌拉圭在变量之间的关系方面与土耳其在结构上最相似。这一发现也得到了排名因素得分的支持。采用时间序列计量经济学方法分析了与土耳其结构相似的国家宏观经济变量之间的因果关系。通过非线性因果分析,发现各国能源消费与核心通货膨胀之间存在因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
YENİLENEBİLİR ENERJİ ÜRETİMİ VE DESTEKLERİ ÜZERİNE BİR TAHMİN MODELİ ÖNERİSİ
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.10
Ayten YILMAZ YALÇINER, Onur Özcan
Enerji, tarih boyunca toplumlarin surekli degisen ve artan ihtiyaclarini karsilayabilmek amaciyla uzerine cok fazla arastirma ve calisma yapilan kritik konulardandir. Enerji kaynaklarinin dogada kisitli olmasi da tum dunya varliklari acisindan bu onemi daha da kritik hale getirmektedir. Tum sureclerin temeli olan enerji, uretimden tedarike butun arzi ve talebi iceren alanlarda etkin bir role sahiptir. Bu durum enerjinin onemli bir ekonomik pusula oldugunun gostergesidir. Bu calismada, Turkiye’nin yenilenebilir enerji yeniliginin uretim ve tesvik tabanli gelisimi, kurulan cok degiskenli regresyon modeliyle incelenmistir. Enerji alaninda yapilan yenilikler ve farkli ulkelerin yaklasimlari ile ilgili gerceklestirilen literatur incelemesinin ardindan, Turkiye’de gelistirilen “Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynaklari Destekleme Mekanizmasi (YEKDEM)’in, yenilenebilir enerji uretimi uzerine olan etkileri arastirilmistir.  Cok degiskenli dogrusal regresyon yontemi ile yenilenebilir kaynak uretimi ve bu alanda saglanan destek arasindaki iliski modellenmistir. Modelden elde edilen sonuclara gore, Turkiye'de saglanan enerji donusumu destekleriyle; biyoenerji ve fotovoltaik enerji kaynaklarinin gelisimini hizla surdurdugu gorulmustur.
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EDUCATION AND YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT: EVIDENCES FROM TURKEY AND SPAIN 教育与青年失业的关系分析:来自土耳其和西班牙的证据
Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.15637/JLECON.8.2.04
Sinan Alçin, Begüm ERDİL ŞAHİN, M. Hamzaoğlu
Education has a vital role in improving youth employment. Increasing youth unemployment rates and the high share of the unemployed educated young population indicate that the labor market cannot create good job opportunities. This study analyzes the relationship between youth unemployment and education in countries with a high level of youth unemployment but having different characteristics: Turkey and Spain. The analysis was conducted using Johansen Cointegration tests. The results indicate no unidirectional causal relationship from enrollment in higher education towards youth unemployment rate in Turkey and Spain. Besides, it has been observed that the increase in the higher education schooling rate does not decrease youth unemployment. The results showing the relationship between youth unemployment and education will be crucial in designing policies to improve job markets for youth.
教育在改善青年就业方面具有至关重要的作用。青年失业率的上升和受过教育的青年失业人口的高比例表明,劳动力市场无法创造良好的就业机会。本研究分析了青年失业率高但具有不同特征的国家:土耳其和西班牙的青年失业与教育之间的关系。采用约翰森协整检验进行分析。结果表明,土耳其和西班牙的高等教育入学率与青年失业率之间没有单向的因果关系。此外,据观察,高等教育入学率的增加并没有减少青年失业率。研究结果表明,青年失业与教育之间的关系对于制定改善青年就业市场的政策至关重要。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Life Economics
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