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Defining Hydrogeophysical Layers With Multi-Scale Geophysics for Increased Understanding of Mountain Basin Recharge 利用多尺度地球物理学界定水文地质物理层,加深对山间盆地补给的理解
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1029/2024JB029069
E. Smith, B. Carr

Basin aquifers are important groundwater sources in the Western United States that are increasingly stressed due to growing populations, increased resource use, and the impacts of climate change. These aquifers are mainly recharged through melting snowpack in the surrounding mountains that infiltrates to the water table and flows directly into the basin (Mountain Front Recharge), or through deeper groundwater pathways that flow from the mountains directly into the basin aquifer (Mountain Block Recharge). However, the dominant system of recharge remains uncharacterized in many mountain basin aquifers. To address this challenge, near-surface geophysical methods are being implemented to efficiently measure properties that govern groundwater storage and movement. This study infers groundwater storage and recharge to the Casper Aquifer around Laramie, WY, building off past studies that relied solely on sparse monitoring well data and observation of rainfall events. In this study, we use a clustering analysis on airborne electromagnetic data to define hydrogeophysical layers within the Casper Aquifer. These layers, which represent significant changes in bulk subsurface electrical resistivity, are integrated with existing hydrologic, lithologic, and smaller scale geophysical datasets to build a more representative hydrogeophysical model. Through this analysis, we define two sub-aquifers within the larger Casper Aquifer system that are connected through structurally induced fractures and faults. This research highlights the importance of integrating geophysical data at multiple scales for defining hydrogeophysical layers that provide both a more complete understanding of basin aquifer recharge dynamics and constrain more detailed hydrologic models.

盆地含水层是美国西部重要的地下水源,由于人口增长、资源使用量增加以及气候变化的影响,盆地含水层的压力越来越大。这些含水层的补给主要是通过周围山区融化的积雪渗入地下水位并直接流入盆地(山前补给),或通过从山区直接流入盆地含水层的深层地下水途径(山区块补给)。然而,许多山区盆地含水层的主要补给系统仍未定性。为了应对这一挑战,目前正在采用近地表地球物理方法来有效测量地下水储存和流动的特性。过去的研究仅依赖于稀疏的监测井数据和对降雨事件的观测,本研究在此基础上推断了怀俄明州拉莱米周围卡斯帕含水层的地下水储存和补给情况。在这项研究中,我们使用机载电磁数据的聚类分析来定义卡斯帕含水层内的水文地质物理层。这些层代表了大量地下电阻率的显著变化,我们将这些层与现有的水文、岩性和较小规模的地球物理数据集进行整合,以建立更具代表性的水文地球物理模型。通过这项分析,我们在卡斯帕含水层系统中定义了两个子含水层,它们通过构造诱发的断裂和断层相连接。这项研究强调了整合多尺度地球物理数据的重要性,以确定水文地质物理层,从而更全面地了解盆地含水层的补给动态,并对更详细的水文模型进行约束。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing Earthquake Cycles on Normal and Reverse Faults Based on Simulations With a Dynamic Elasto-Plastic Model 基于动态弹塑性模型模拟的正常断层和逆断层地震周期比较
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1029/2023JB028419
Guy Simpson

Shear stress levels on reverse faults are anticipated to be several times higher than on normal faults with the same pore pressure ratio. In addition, ruptures on normal faults release gravitational potential energy, whereas earthquakes on reverse faults expend work in uplifting rocks. In this study, I investigate the significance of these differences for earthquake cycles and I question whether the source of energy driving earthquakes is the same on reverse and normal faults. Based on the assumption that normal and reverse faults have the same background frictional properties and pore pressure states, I use numerical simulations with a two-dimensional dynamic elastic-plastic model to show that due to stress differences, earthquakes on reverse faults tend to occur less frequently, produce more coseismic slip and stress drop and involve higher slip rates than ruptures on normal faults with equivalent dimensions. The analysis also shows differences in the energy changes associated with earthquake cycles on reverse and normal faults. However, the earthquakes on both fault types result from abrupt release of elastic strain energy, which proceed and essentially drive variations in gravitational potential energy. Thus, ruptures on both normal and reverse faults are consistent with elastic rebound theory.

在孔隙压力比相同的情况下,逆断层的剪应力水平预计要比正常断层高几倍。此外,正常断层上的破裂会释放重力势能,而逆断层上的地震则会消耗岩石的隆起。在本研究中,我探讨了这些差异对地震周期的意义,并质疑驱动地震的能量来源在逆断层和正断层上是否相同。在假设正断层和逆断层具有相同的背景摩擦特性和孔隙压力状态的基础上,我利用二维动态弹塑性模型进行了数值模拟,结果表明,由于应力的差异,逆断层上的地震往往比同等尺寸的正断层上的地震发生得更少,产生的共震滑动和应力下降更多,滑动率更高。分析还显示,逆断层和正断层上与地震周期相关的能量变化存在差异。然而,这两种断层上的地震都是由于弹性应变能的突然释放造成的,而弹性应变能的释放又从根本上推动了重力势能的变化。因此,正断层和逆断层上的破裂都符合弹性反弹理论。
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引用次数: 0
Rapid Ductile Strain Localization Due To Thermal Runaway 热失控导致的快速韧性应变定位
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1029/2024JB028846
A. Spang, M. Thielmann, D. Kiss
<p>Thermal runaway is a ductile localization mechanism that has been linked to deep-focus earthquakes and pseudotachylyte formation. In this study, we investigate the dynamics of this process using one-dimensional, numerical models of simple shear deformation. The models employ a visco-elastic rheology where viscous creep is accommodated with a composite rheology encompassing diffusion and dislocation creep as well as low-temperature plasticity. To solve the nonlinear system of differential equations governing this rheology, we utilize the pseudo-transient iterative method in combination with a viscosity regularization to avoid resolution dependencies. To determine the impact of different model parameters on the occurrence of thermal runaway, we perform a parameter sensitivity study consisting of 6,000 numerical experiments. We observe two distinct behaviors, namely a stable regime, characterized by transient shear zone formation accompanied by a moderate (100–300 K) temperature increase, and a thermal runaway regime, characterized by strong localization, rapid slip and a temperature surge of thousands of Kelvin. Nondimensional scaling analysis allows us to determine two dimensionless groups that predict the model behavior. The ratio <span></span><math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>t</mi> <mi>r</mi> </msub> <mo>/</mo> <msub> <mi>t</mi> <mi>d</mi> </msub> </mrow> <annotation> ${t}_{mathrm{r}}/{t}_{mathrm{d}}$</annotation> </semantics></math> represents the competition between heat generation from stress relaxation and heat loss due to thermal diffusion while the ratio <span></span><math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>U</mi> <mtext>el</mtext> </msub> <mo>/</mo> <msub> <mi>U</mi> <mtext>th</mtext> </msub> </mrow> <annotation> ${U}_{text{el}}/{U}_{text{th}}$</annotation> </semantics></math> compares the stored elastic energy to thermal energy in the system. Thermal runaway occurs if <span></span><math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mi>t</mi> <mi>r</mi> </msub> <mo>/</mo> <msub> <mi>t</mi> <mi>d</mi> </msub> </mrow> <annotation> ${t}_{mathrm{r}}/{t}_{mathrm{d}}$</annotation> </semantics></math> is small and <span><
热失控是一种韧性局部化机制,与深焦距地震和假水成岩有关。在本研究中,我们使用简单剪切变形的一维数值模型研究了这一过程的动力学。模型采用粘弹性流变学,其中粘性蠕变与包含扩散蠕变、位错蠕变以及低温塑性的复合流变学相适应。为了求解支配这种流变学的非线性微分方程系统,我们采用了伪瞬态迭代法,并结合粘度正则化来避免分辨率依赖性。为了确定不同模型参数对发生热失控的影响,我们进行了参数敏感性研究,包括 6,000 次数值实验。我们观察到两种截然不同的行为,即以瞬态剪切区形成为特征、伴随着适度(100-300 K)温度上升的稳定状态,以及以强烈局部化、快速滑移和数千开尔文的温度飙升为特征的热失控状态。通过无量纲分析,我们可以确定两个预测模型行为的无量纲组。比率 tr/td${t}_{mathrm{r}}/{t}_{mathrm{d}}$ 代表应力松弛产生的热量与热扩散造成的热量损失之间的竞争,而比率 Uel/Uth${U}_{text{el}}/{U}_{text{th}}$ 则比较系统中存储的弹性能量与热能。如果 tr/td${t}_{mathrm{r}}/{t}_{mathrm{d}}$ 较小,而 Uel/Uth${U}_{text{el}}/{U}_{text{th}}$ 较大,就会发生热失控。我们的结果表明,热失控是驱动快速滑移事件的一种可行机制,它与深焦距地震以及在类似于俯冲板块核心的条件下形成的假水成岩相一致。
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引用次数: 0
Paleoseismology of the Northern Kongur Shan Extensional System, NE Pamir: Implications for Potential Irregular Earthquake Recurrence 帕米尔东北部北孔古尔山伸展系统的古地震学:对潜在不规则地震复发的影响
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1029/2023JB028371
Jin Ge, Xuhua Shi, Hanlin Chen, Ray Weldon, Richard Walker, Tao Li, Huili Yang, Jie Chen, Feng Li, Xiaochun Wei, Xiao Yang, Zhuona Bai, Yuqing Zhang, Yuanhai Shu, Xin Liu, Yixi Yan

The intricate and changing stress conditions within complex fault networks pose challenges in understanding earthquake recurrence and seismic hazards. The Kongur Shan Extensional System (KSES) in the northeastern Pamir, characterized by complex fault geometries and potentially variable surface loads in its surroundings, offers an ideal research area. Here we investigate three paleoseismic sites in the northern KSES, including lacustrine seismites in the Muji Basin, secondary fault scarps of the northern Kongur Shan Fault (KSF), and an exposure of the eastern Muji Fault. The seismites, as a regional record, indicate two Mw 6–7.3 paleoearthquakes occurring 720–680 and 1030–940 cal yr BP, with an interval of 230–330 years. The other two on-fault sites reveal paleoearthquakes with compatible magnitudes but much longer average time intervals (ATI). Secondary fault scarps of the northern KSF indicate four Mw 6.9–7.2 paleoearthquakes since 4.8 ± 0.8 ka, with an ATI of 1,000–1,870 years. The fault exposure of the eastern Muji Fault indicates two Mw 6.8–7.3 paleoearthquakes since 2.7 ± 0.3 ka, with an ATI of 1,200–3,000 years. Using its previously constrained long-term slip rate of ∼6.3 mm/yr and a simple Monte Carlo simulation of earthquake cycles, the observed ATI of the eastern Muji Fault suggests a “clustered” earthquake recurrence behavior. Such potential irregular earthquake recurrence is likely due to the low maturity and fault interaction in the northern KSES, and climate-related changes in surface loads of paleolakes and glaciers.

复杂断层网络中错综复杂且不断变化的应力条件给了解地震复发和地震危害带来了挑战。帕米尔高原东北部的孔古尔山伸展系统(KSES)具有复杂的断层几何特征,其周围的地表载荷可能会发生变化,这为我们提供了一个理想的研究区域。在此,我们对 KSES 北部的三个古地震遗址进行了调查,包括穆吉盆地的湖沼地震带、北部孔古尔山断层(KSF)的次级断层疤痕以及东部穆吉断层的出露区。作为区域记录,这些地震带显示了两次 Mw 6-7.3 古地震,分别发生在公元前 720-680 年和 1030-940 年,间隔时间为 230-330 年。另外两个断层上的地点显示的古地震震级相同,但平均时间间隔(ATI)更长。金山断裂带北部的次级断层疤痕显示,自 4.8 ± 0.8 ka 年以来发生了四次 Mw 6.9-7.2 古地震,平均时间间隔为 1,000-1,870 年。东部 Muji 断层的断层暴露显示,自 2.7 ± 0.3 ka 以来发生了两次 Mw 6.8-7.3 古地震,ATI 为 1,200-3,000 年。通过使用先前约束的长期滑动速率(6.3 毫米/年)和简单的地震周期蒙特卡洛模拟,观测到的东部 Muji 断层的 ATI 表明了一种 "群集 "的地震复发行为。这种潜在的不规则地震复发可能是由于 KSES 北部的低成熟度和断层相互作用,以及与气候有关的古湖和冰川地表载荷的变化造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Measurement of the Static Nonlinear Third-Order Elastic Moduli of Rocks: Problems and Applicability 岩石静态非线性三阶弹性模量的测量:问题与适用性
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1029/2024JB028784
Wenjing Wang, Douglas R. Schmitt

The third-order elastic (TOE) model has been used to describe the widely observed nonlinear mechanical behaviors of earth materials. In addition to linear elastic constants (λ, μ), three nonlinear elastic moduli (A, B, C) are required for isotropic rocks. Contrary to previous research on dynamic TOE moduli, this study followed the protocol to measure strain and stress under uniaxial and hydrostatic compressive tests statically, which were later used to invert for the full set of TOE moduli for four standard rock types with differing pore structures of a porous oolitic limestone, quartz-rich sandstones, and a dense crystalline basalt. The applicability of the TOE model to characterize nonlinearity depends on the fulfillment of path-independence and small-strain assumptions. Using the measured static TOE moduli, the finite element model demonstrates that the stress in the vicinity of the wellbore is more amplified than the stress in the linear elastic case, which leads to a wider zone of rock failure around the wellbore. Due to the long-standing discrepancy between static and dynamic moduli, the rarely reported full set of static TOE moduli is necessary and will benefit future research in understanding the effect of rock nonlinearity on geophysical and geomechanical applications, such as long-term safe storage of CO2 and generating process of geohazards.

三阶弹性(TOE)模型被用来描述广泛观察到的地球材料的非线性力学行为。对于各向同性岩石,除了线性弹性常数(λ、μ)外,还需要三个非线性弹性模量(A、B、C)。与以往关于动态 TOE 模量的研究不同,本研究按照规程,在单轴和静水压力试验下静态测量应变和应力,然后利用这些应变和应力反演四种标准岩石的全套 TOE 模量,这些岩石具有不同的孔隙结构,包括多孔鲕状石灰岩、富含石英的砂岩和致密结晶玄武岩。TOE 模型是否适用于表征非线性取决于是否满足路径无关性和小应变假设。利用测得的静态 TOE 模量,有限元模型证明井筒附近的应力比线性弹性情况下的应力放大得更多,从而导致井筒周围的岩石破坏区域更广。由于静态模量和动态模量之间长期存在差异,因此有必要提供极少报道的全套静态 TOE 模量,这将有利于未来研究了解岩石非线性对地球物理和地质力学应用的影响,例如二氧化碳的长期安全封存和地质灾害的生成过程。
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引用次数: 0
The 3D Crustal Structure of the Wilkes Subglacial Basin, East Antarctica, Using Variation of Information Joint Inversion of Gravity and Magnetic Data 利用重力和磁力数据联合反演的信息变化研究南极洲东部威尔克斯冰川下盆地的三维地壳结构
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1029/2023JB027794
Maximilian Lowe, Tom Jordan, Max Moorkamp, Jörg Ebbing, Chris Green, Mareen Lösing, Teal Riley, Robert Larter

Direct geological information in Antarctica is limited to ice free regions along the coast, high mountain ranges, or isolated nunataks. Therefore, indirect methods are required to reveal subglacial geology and heterogeneities in crustal properties, which are critical steps toward interpreting geological history. We present a 3D crustal model of density and susceptibility distribution in the Wilkes Subglacial Basin (WSB) and the Transantarctic Mountains (TAM) based on joint inversion of airborne gravity and magnetic data. The applied “variation of information” technique enforces a coupling between inferred susceptibility and density, relating these quantities to the same gravity and magnetic sources to give an enhanced inversion result. Our model reveals a large body located in the interior of the WSB interpreted as a batholithic intrusive structure, as well as a linear dense body at the margin of the Terre Adélie Craton. Density and susceptibility relationships are used to inform the interpretation of petrophysical properties and the reconstruction of the origin of those crustal bodies. The petrophysical relationship indicates that the postulated batholitic intrusion is granitic, but independent from the Granite Harbor Igneous Complex described previously in the TAM area. Emplacement of a large volume of intrusive granites can potentially elevate local geothermal heat flow significantly. Finally, we present a new conceptual tectonic model based on the inversion results, which includes development of a passive continental margin with seaward dipping basalt horizons and magmatic underplating followed by two distinct intrusive events associated with the protracted Ross Orogen.

南极洲的直接地质信息仅限于沿岸无冰区、高山脉或孤立的努纳塔克。因此,需要采用间接方法来揭示冰川下地质和地壳性质的异质性,这是解释地质历史的关键步骤。我们在机载重力和磁力数据联合反演的基础上,提出了威尔克斯冰川盆地(WSB)和横断山脉(TAM)密度和电感分布的三维地壳模型。所应用的 "信息变化 "技术加强了推断的磁感应强度和密度之间的耦合,将这些量与相同的重力和磁力源联系起来,从而得到增强的反演结果。我们的模型揭示了位于 WSB 内部的一个大型岩体,该岩体被解释为浴成侵入结构,以及位于 Terre Adélie 克拉顿边缘的一个线状致密岩体。密度和电感关系用于解释岩石物理特性和重建这些地壳体的起源。岩石物理关系表明,推测的浴成岩侵入体是花岗岩,但独立于先前在塔姆地区描述的花岗岩港火成岩群。大量侵入花岗岩的置换可能会显著提升当地的地热热流。最后,我们在反演结果的基础上提出了一个新的概念构造模型,其中包括一个向海倾斜的玄武岩地层和岩浆下溢的被动大陆边缘的发展过程,随后是与旷日持久的罗斯造山带相关的两个不同的侵入事件。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Hydrate Formation Conditions on the Mechanics of Laboratory Methane Hydrate-Bearing Sediments 水合物形成条件对实验室甲烷水合物沉积物力学的影响
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1029/2024JB029217
L. Rake, S. Pinkert

The mechanics of methane hydrate-bearing sediments (MHBS) have been broadly investigated over recent years in the context of methane-gas production or climate-change effects. Their mechanical investigation has mainly been carried out using models constructed from experimental data obtained for laboratory-formed MHBS. Along with the dominant effects of hydrate saturation and morphology within the host soil pores, this study recognizes the effective pressure at which the hydrate is formed as a key factor in the MHBS mechanics. A state-of-the-art experimental study has been conducted in order to isolate the effect of the hydrate formation pressure, for use as a model parameter. Two generalized mechanical prediction models that incorporate the effect of the hydrate formation pressure are developed in this work: (a) an analytical shear strength prediction, and (b) an empiric graphical model for predicting volumetric changes along a given stress path. The models are related to a novel data representation which enables the analysis of a few individual test outcomes as a whole, through a volume-change mapping that describes the complex influence of the volumetric effect of hydrate in MHBS, under combined hydrostatic and deviatoric loading scenarios. In this study, we delve into a specific configuration of hydrate morphology, hydrate saturation, and host soil type, enabling a distinctive fundamental geotechnical investigation and the development of a conceptual modeling approach. The paper describes the approaches by which the MHBS properties can be extracted for other MHBS samples (than those examined in this work) having different host soils and hydrate pore-space morphologies.

近年来,在甲烷气体生产或气候变化影响的背景下,对含甲烷水合物沉积物(MHBS)的力学进行了广泛研究。对它们的力学研究主要是利用实验室形成的含甲烷水合物沉积物的实验数据建立的模型进行的。除了主土壤孔隙中水合物饱和度和形态的主要影响外,本研究还认识到水合物形成时的有效压力是影响 MHBS 力学的关键因素。为了分离水合物形成压力的影响并将其作为模型参数,我们进行了一项先进的实验研究。本研究开发了两个包含水合物形成压力影响的通用机械预测模型:(a) 分析剪切强度预测模型,(b) 经验图形模型,用于预测给定应力路径上的体积变化。这些模型与新颖的数据表示相关,在静水和偏差加载相结合的情况下,通过体积变化映射描述水合物在 MHBS 中体积效应的复杂影响,从而能够对一些单独的测试结果进行整体分析。在本研究中,我们深入研究了水合物形态、水合物饱和度和主土类型的特定配置,从而能够进行独特的基础岩土工程研究,并开发出一种概念建模方法。本文介绍了可用于提取具有不同主土和水合物孔隙形态的其他 MHBS 样品(而非本研究中的样本)的 MHBS 特性的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Tectonic Quiescence in Actively Extending Back-Arc Regions 积极扩展的后弧区的构造静止
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024JB029236
A. Beniest, A. Dannowski, M. Schnabel, H. Kopp, the SO267 Scientist Party

We analyzed refraction and reflection seismic data covering the Central Lau Spreading Center (CLSC) and the Tonga volcanic arc at 18°S in the Pacific Ocean to investigate tectonic inactivity in actively extending back-arc systems. Our P-wave travel time tomography shows a characteristic 6–8 km thick back-arc crust beneath and around the CLSC and a ∼13 km thick arc-crust at the eastern end of our profile, which corresponds to the Tonga volcanic arc. Lower crustal velocities increase to 7.5 km/s toward the volcanic arc, marking the transition from back-arc to arc crust. These high P-wave velocities can be explained by a high pyroxene content in the lower crust originating from depleted melts. Our seismic reflection data show steep normal faults below the CLSC and volcanic structures closer to the volcanic arc, without a tectonically inactive zone (also knows as the “diffuse plate boundary”) in between. Based on our results, we suggest that the Niuafo'ou and Tonga microplates should be treated as one tectonic plate with local zones of intra-plate deformation that are separated by zones that are tectonically quiet.

我们分析了位于太平洋南纬 18 度的刘氏中央扩张中心(CLSC)和汤加火山弧的折射和反射地震数据,以研究积极延伸的后弧系统的构造不活跃性。我们的 P 波旅行时间层析成像显示,在刘氏中央扩张中心下方和周围有一个厚达 6-8 千米的后弧地壳,在我们剖面的东端有一个厚达 13 千米的弧形地壳,与汤加火山弧相对应。向火山弧方向的地壳下部速度增加到每秒 7.5 公里,标志着从后弧向弧壳的过渡。这些高 P 波速度可解释为源自贫化熔体的下地壳中的高辉石含量。我们的地震反射数据显示,在 CLSC 下方有陡峭的正断层,在靠近火山弧的地方有火山结构,而在两者之间没有构造不活跃区(也称为 "弥漫板块边界")。根据我们的研究结果,我们建议将牛佛欧微板块和汤加微板块视为一个构造板块,板块内有局部变形区,而这些变形区又被构造安静区隔开。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Subduction With Extremely Fast Trench Retreat 以极快的海沟退缩模拟俯冲
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1029/2024JB029240
Diandian Peng, Dave R. Stegman

The Tonga-Kermadec subduction zone exhibits the fastest observed trench retreat and convergence near its northern end. However, a paradox exists: despite the rapid trench retreat, the Tonga slab maintains a relatively steep dip angle above 400 km depth. The slab turns flat around 400 km, then steepening again until encountering a stagnant segment near 670 km. Despite its significance for understanding slab dynamics, no existing numerical model has successfully demonstrated how such a distinct slab morphology can be generated under the fast convergence. Here we run subduction models that successfully reproduce the slab geometries while incorporating the observed subduction rate. We use a hybrid velocity boundary condition, imposing velocities on the arc and subducting plate while allowing the overriding plate to respond freely. This approach is crucial for achieving a good match between the modeled and observed Tonga slab. The results explain how the detailed slab structure is highly sensitive to physical parameters including the seafloor age and the mantle viscosity. Notably, a nonlinear rheology, where dislocation creep reduces upper mantle viscosity under strong mantle flow, is essential. The weakened upper mantle allows for a faster slab sinking rate, which explains the large dip angle. Our findings highlight the utilizing rheological parameters that lead to extreme viscosity variations within numerical models to achieve an accurate representation of complex subduction systems like the Tonga-Kermadec zone. Our study opens new avenues for further study of ocean-ocean subduction systems, advancing our understanding of their role in shaping regional and global tectonics.

汤加-克马代克俯冲带在其北端附近表现出最快的海沟后退和辐合。然而,存在一个矛盾:尽管海沟后退速度很快,但汤加板块在 400 千米深度以上仍保持相对陡峭的倾角。板块在 400 千米左右转为平坦,然后再次变陡,直到在 670 千米附近遇到停滞段。尽管这对理解板块动力学具有重要意义,但现有的数值模型还没有成功地证明在快速会聚作用下如何产生如此明显的板块形态。在这里,我们运行的俯冲模型成功地再现了板块几何形态,同时结合了观测到的俯冲速率。我们使用了混合速度边界条件,对弧板块和俯冲板块施加速度,同时允许覆盖板块自由响应。这种方法对于实现模型与观测到的汤加板块之间的良好匹配至关重要。研究结果解释了详细的板块结构是如何对包括海底年龄和地幔粘度在内的物理参数高度敏感的。值得注意的是,非线性流变学是必不可少的,在这种流变学中,位错蠕变在强大的地幔流动下降低了上地幔的粘度。减弱的上地幔使板块下沉速度加快,这就是大倾角的原因。我们的研究结果强调了在数值模型中利用导致极端粘度变化的流变参数,以实现对汤加-克马德克区等复杂俯冲系统的准确描述。我们的研究为进一步研究大洋-大洋俯冲系统开辟了新途径,促进了我们对其在塑造区域和全球构造中的作用的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Physics-Based Forecasts of Eruptive Vent Locations at Calderas 基于物理学的火山口爆发喷口位置预测
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1029/2023JB028409
L. Mantiloni, E. Rivalta, K. R. Anderson, T. Davis, L. Passarelli

Constraining stresses in the Earth's crust in volcanic regions is critical for understanding many mechanical processes related to eruptive activity. Dike pathways, in particular, are shaped by the orientation of principal stress axes. Therefore, accurate models of dike trajectories and future vent locations rely on accurate estimates of stresses in the subsurface. This work presents a framework for probabilistic constraint of the stress state of calderas by combining three-dimensional physics-based dike pathway models with observed past vent locations using a Monte Carlo approach. The retrieved stress state is then used to produce probability maps of future vent opening across a caldera. We test our stress inversion and vent forecast approach on synthetic scenarios, and find it successful depending on the distribution of the available vents and the complexity of the volcano's structural history. We explore the potential and limitations of the approach, show how its performance is sensitive to the assumptions in the models and available prior information, and discuss how it may be applied to real calderas.

确定火山地区地壳的应力对于了解与火山爆发活动有关的许多机械过程至关重要。特别是,堤坝路径是由主应力轴的方向决定的。因此,堤坝轨迹和未来喷口位置的精确模型依赖于对地下应力的精确估算。这项研究提出了一个火山口应力状态概率约束框架,通过蒙特卡洛方法将基于物理的三维堤坝路径模型与观测到的过去喷口位置相结合。然后,利用检索到的应力状态绘制整个破火山口未来喷口开放的概率图。我们在合成场景中测试了我们的应力反演和喷口预测方法,发现它的成功取决于可用喷口的分布和火山结构历史的复杂性。我们探讨了该方法的潜力和局限性,展示了其性能如何对模型假设和可用先验信息敏感,并讨论了如何将其应用于真实的火山口。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth
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