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Three-Dimensional Coverage Path Planning for Cooperative Autonomous Underwater Vehicles: A Swarm Migration Genetic Algorithm Approach 合作式自主水下航行器的三维覆盖路径规划:群迁移遗传算法方法
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081366
Yangmin Xie, Wenbo Hui, Dacheng Zhou, Hang Shi
Cooperative marine exploration tasks involving multiple autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) present a complex 3D coverage path planning challenge that has not been fully addressed. To tackle this, we employ an auto-growth strategy to generate interconnected paths, ensuring simultaneous satisfaction of the obstacle avoidance and space coverage requirements. Our approach introduces a novel genetic algorithm designed to achieve equivalent and energy-efficient path allocation among AUVs. The core idea involves defining competing gene swarms to facilitate path migration, corresponding to path allocation actions among AUVs. The fitness function incorporates models for both energy consumption and optimal path connections, resulting in iterations that lead to optimal path assignment among AUVs. This framework for multi-AUV coverage path planning eliminates the need for pre-division of the working space and has proven effective in 3D underwater environments. Numerous experiments validate the proposed method, showcasing its comprehensive advantages in achieving equitable path allocation, minimizing overall energy consumption, and ensuring high computational efficiency. These benefits contribute to the success of multi-AUV cooperation in deep-sea information collection and environmental surveillance.
涉及多个自动潜航器(AUV)的合作海洋探测任务提出了一个复杂的三维覆盖路径规划挑战,而这一挑战尚未完全解决。为了解决这个问题,我们采用了自动增长策略来生成相互连接的路径,确保同时满足避障和空间覆盖的要求。我们的方法引入了一种新型遗传算法,旨在实现自动潜航器之间等效、节能的路径分配。其核心思想是定义相互竞争的基因群,以促进路径迁移,这与 AUV 之间的路径分配行动相对应。适配函数包含能耗和最佳路径连接模型,从而通过迭代实现 AUV 之间的最佳路径分配。这种用于多 AUV 覆盖路径规划的框架无需预先划分工作空间,在三维水下环境中被证明是有效的。大量实验验证了所提出的方法,展示了其在实现公平路径分配、最大限度降低总体能耗和确保高计算效率方面的综合优势。这些优势有助于多无人潜航器在深海信息收集和环境监测方面的成功合作。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Ultrasound Waves on the Pre-Settlement Behavior of Barnacle Cyprid Larvae 超声波对藤壶鲤幼体定居前行为的影响
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081364
Rubens M. Lopes, Claudia Guimarães, Felipe M. Neves, Leandro T. De-La-Cruz, Gelaysi Moreno Vega, Damián Mizrahi, Julio Cesar Adamowski
Ultrasound waves have been employed to control marine biofouling but their effects on fouling organisms remain poorly understood. This study investigated the influence of ultrasound waves on barnacle (Tetraclita stalactifera cyprid larvae) pre-settlement behavior. Substrate inspection constituted most of the larval time budget, with a focus on the bottom surface rather than lateral or air–water interfaces. The frequency of substrate inspection decreased at 10 kPa when compared to higher acoustic pressures, while the time spent in the water column had an opposite trend. Various larval swimming modes were observed, including rotating, sinking, walking, and cruising, with rotating being dominant. Barnacle larvae exhibited higher speeds and less complex trajectories when subjected to ultrasound in comparison to controls. The impact of ultrasound waves on barnacle cyprid larvae behavior had a non-linear pattern, with lower acoustic pressure (10 kPa) inducing more effective substrate rejection than higher (15 and 20 kPa) intensities.
超声波已被用于控制海洋生物污损,但人们对其对污损生物的影响仍知之甚少。本研究调查了超声波对藤壶(Tetraclita stalactifera cyprid larvae)沉积前行为的影响。底质检查占了幼虫的大部分时间,重点是底面而不是侧面或空气-水界面。与较高声压相比,在 10 kPa 时底质检查频率降低,而在水体中停留的时间则呈相反趋势。观察到幼虫的各种游动模式,包括旋转、下沉、行走和巡游,其中旋转模式占主导地位。与对照组相比,藤壶幼虫在超声波作用下表现出较高的速度和较不复杂的轨迹。超声波对藤壶幼体行为的影响是非线性的,较低的声压(10 kPa)比较高的声压(15 和 20 kPa)能更有效地抑制底质。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Ocean Swell and Overtopping Waves: Understanding Wave Shoaling with Varying Seafloor Topographies 海洋涌浪和倾覆波建模:了解海底地形变化对波浪的影响
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081368
Chak-Nang Wong, Kwok-Wing Chow
One risk posed by hurricanes and typhoons is local inundation as ocean swell and storm surge bring a tremendous amount of energy and water flux to the shore. Numerical wave tanks are developed to understand the dynamics computationally. The three-dimensional equations of motion are solved by the software ‘Open Field Operation And Manipulation’ v2206. The ‘Large Eddy Simulation’ scheme is adopted as the turbulence model. A fifth-order Stokes wave is taken as the inlet condition. Breaking, ‘run-up’, and overtopping waves are studied for concave, convex, and straight-line seafloors for a fixed ocean depth. For small angles of inclination (<10°), a convex seafloor displays wave breaking sooner than a straight-line one and thus actually delivers a smaller volume flux to the shore. Physically, a convex floor exhibits a greater rate of depth reduction (on first encounter with the sloping seafloor) than a straight-line one. Long waves with a speed proportional to the square root of the depth thus experience a larger deceleration. Nonlinear (or ‘piling up’) effects occur earlier than in the straight-line case. All these scenarios and reasoning are reversed for a concave seafloor. For large angles of inclination (>30°), impingement, reflection, and deflection are the relevant processes. Empirical dependence for the setup and swash values for a convex seafloor is established. The reflection coefficient for waves reflected from the seafloor is explored through Fourier analysis, and a set of empirical formulas is developed for various seafloor topographies. Understanding these dynamical factors will help facilitate the more efficient designing and construction of coastal defense mechanisms against severe weather.
飓风和台风带来的风险之一是局部淹没,因为海浪和风暴潮会给海岸带来巨大的能量和水流。开发数值波浪槽是为了通过计算了解其动态。三维运动方程由软件 "Open Field Operation And Manipulation" v2206 解决。湍流模型采用 "大涡模拟 "方案。入口条件为五阶斯托克斯波。在海洋深度固定的情况下,研究了凹面、凸面和直线海床的破浪、"上升 "浪和倾覆浪。对于小倾角(30°),撞击、反射和偏转是相关过程。建立了凸面海底的设置值和斜波值的经验依赖关系。通过傅立叶分析探讨了从海底反射的波的反射系数,并为各种海底地形制定了一套经验公式。了解这些动力学因素将有助于更有效地设计和建造海岸防御机制,抵御恶劣天气。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain-Based Cold Chain Traceability with NR-PBFT and IoV-IMS for Marine Fishery Vessels 利用 NR-PBFT 和 IoV-IMS 为海洋渔船提供基于区块链的冷链可追溯性
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081371
Zheng Zhang, Haonan Zhu, Hejun Liang
Due to limited communication, computing resources, and unstable environments, traditional cold chain traceability systems are difficult to apply directly to marine cold chain traceability scenarios. Motivated by these challenges, we construct an improved blockchain-based cold chain traceability system for marine fishery vessels. Firstly, an Internet of Vessels system based on the Iridium Satellites (IoV-IMS) is proposed for marine cold chain monitoring. Aiming at the problems of low throughput, long transaction latency, and high communication overhead in traditional cold chain traceability systems, based on the Practical Byzantine Fault Tolerance (PBFT) consensus algorithm, a Node-grouped and Reputation-evaluated PBFT (NR-PBFT) is proposed to improve the reliability and robustness of blockchain system. In NR-PBFT, an improved node grouping scheme is designed, which introduces a consistent hashing algorithm to divide nodes into consensus and candidate sets, reducing the number of nodes participating in the consensus process, to lower communication overhead and transaction latency. Then, a reputation evaluation model is proposed to improve the node selection mechanism of NR-PBFT. It enhances the enthusiasm of nodes to participate in consensus, which considers the distance between fishery vessels, data size, and refrigeration temperature factors of nodes to increase throughput. Finally, we carried out experiments on marine fishery vessels, and the effectiveness of the cold chain traceability system and NR-PBFT were verified. Compared with PBFT, the transaction latency of NR-PBFT shortened by 81.92%, the throughput increased by 84.21%, and the communication overhead decreased by 89.4%.
由于通信、计算资源和不稳定环境的限制,传统的冷链溯源系统难以直接应用于海洋冷链溯源场景。基于上述挑战,我们构建了一种基于区块链的改进型海洋渔业船舶冷链溯源系统。首先,我们提出了一个基于铱星的船舶互联网系统(IoV-IMS),用于海洋冷链监控。针对传统冷链溯源系统吞吐量低、交易延迟长、通信开销大等问题,在实用拜占庭容错(PBFT)共识算法的基础上,提出了节点分组和声誉评估 PBFT(NR-PBFT),以提高区块链系统的可靠性和鲁棒性。在 NR-PBFT 中,设计了一种改进的节点分组方案,引入一致哈希算法将节点分为共识集和候选集,减少了参与共识过程的节点数量,从而降低了通信开销和交易延迟。然后,提出了一种声誉评价模型来改进 NR-PBFT 的节点选择机制。它提高了节点参与共识的积极性,考虑了渔船之间的距离、数据大小和节点的制冷温度因素,从而提高了吞吐量。最后,我们在海洋渔船上进行了实验,验证了冷链溯源系统和 NR-PBFT 的有效性。与 PBFT 相比,NR-PBFT 的交易延迟缩短了 81.92%,吞吐量提高了 84.21%,通信开销减少了 89.4%。
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引用次数: 0
Macroinvertebrates Associated with Macroalgae within Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture (IMTA) in Earthen Ponds: Potential for Accessory Production 土池多营养综合水产养殖 (IMTA) 中与大型藻类有关的大型无脊椎动物:辅助生产的潜力
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081369
Rafael Vieira, Miguel Ângelo Mateus, Carlos Manuel Lourenço Afonso, Florbela Soares, Pedro Pousão-Ferreira, Sofia Gamito
The present work aims to evaluate the macroinvertebrate community associated with macroalgae in earthen pond systems to better understand their potential in detritus recycling and as an accessory production. Sampling took place on the settling pond of an aquaculture research station, where macroalgae permanently occurred at high densities. The results suggest differentiation between seasons but not between sites within the settling pond. Seasonal variation was observable in terms of macroinvertebrate density, biomass, and diversity. Two non-indigenous species of invertebrates were found, the crustaceans Grandidierella japonica and Paracerceis sculpta Amphipods were the most abundant group, and their high nutritional value can be exploited. Detritus and the epiphyte layer are the main food items for the invertebrates, reinforcing the advantages of these organisms being present to enhance the recycling of excess detritus and to transfer organic matter to upper trophic levels. These species, naturally present in aquaculture facilities, can improve the water quality and increase the variability of food nutrients for reared species.
本研究旨在评估土池系统中与大型藻类相关的大型无脊椎动物群落,以更好地了解它们在残渣循环利用和辅助生产方面的潜力。采样工作在一个水产养殖研究站的沉淀池中进行,大型藻类在该池塘中长期高密度生长。结果表明,沉淀池内不同季节之间存在差异,但不同地点之间没有差异。在大型无脊椎动物的密度、生物量和多样性方面可以观察到季节性变化。在无脊椎动物中发现了两种非本地物种,即甲壳类动物 "Grandidierella japonica "和 "Paracerceis sculpta",其中片脚类动物数量最多,其营养价值很高,可以加以利用。残余物和附生植物层是无脊椎动物的主要食物,这进一步说明了这些生物存在的好处,它们可以加强多余残余物的循环利用,并将有机物转移到上层营养级。这些自然存在于水产养殖设施中的物种可以改善水质,增加饲养物种食物营养的可变性。
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引用次数: 0
A Consolidated Linearised Progressive Flooding Simulation Method for Onboard Decision Support 用于机载决策支持的线性化渐进洪水模拟综合方法
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081367
Luca Braidotti, Jasna Prpić-Oršić, Serena Bertagna, Vittorio Bucci
In pursuing quick and precise progressive flooding simulations for decision-making support, the linearised method has emerged and undergone refinement in recent years, becoming a reliable tool, especially for onboard decision support. This study consolidates and enhances the modelling approach based on a system of differential-algebraic equations capable of accommodating compartments filled with floodwater. The system can be linearised to permit analytical solutions, facilitating the utilization of larger time increments compared to conventional solvers for differential equations. Performance enhancements are achieved through the implementation of an adaptive time-step mechanism during the integration process. Furthermore, here, a correction coefficient for opening areas is introduced to enable the accurate modelling of free outflow scenarios, thereby mitigating issues associated with the assumption of deeply submerged openings used in governing equations. Experimental validation is conducted to compare the method’s efficacy against recent model-scale tests, specifically emphasising the improvements stemming from the correction for free outflow.
为了追求快速、精确的渐进式洪水模拟,为决策提供支持,近年来出现了线性化方法,并对其进行了改进,使其成为一种可靠的工具,特别是用于船载决策支持。本研究巩固并加强了基于微分代数方程系统的建模方法,该系统能够容纳充满洪水的舱室。与传统的微分方程求解器相比,该系统可以线性化,允许分析求解,便于利用更大的时间增量。通过在积分过程中实施自适应时间步长机制,可实现性能提升。此外,该方法还引入了开口面积校正系数,以准确模拟自由流出的情况,从而缓解与治理方程中使用的深度浸没开口假设相关的问题。通过实验验证,将该方法的功效与最近的模型规模测试进行了比较,特别强调了自由流出修正所带来的改进。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Prediction Accuracy of Vessel Arrival Times Using Machine Learning 利用机器学习提高船舶到达时间的预测精度
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081362
Nicos Evmides, Sheraz Aslam, Tzioyntmprian T. Ramez, Michalis P. Michaelides, Herodotos Herodotou
Marine transportation accounts for approximately 90% of the total trade managed in international logistics and plays a vital role in many companies’ supply chains. However, en-route factors like weather conditions or piracy incidents often delay scheduled arrivals at destination ports, leading to downstream inefficiencies. Due to the maritime industry’s digital transformation, smart ports and vessels generate vast amounts of data, creating an opportunity to use the latest technologies, like machine and deep learning (ML/DL), to support terminals in their operations. This study proposes a data-driven solution for accurately predicting vessel arrival times using ML/DL techniques, including Deep Neural Networks, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Trees, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting. This study collects real-world AIS data in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea from a network of public and private AIS base stations. The most relevant features are selected for training and evaluating the six ML/DL models. A comprehensive comparison is also performed against the estimated arrival time provided by shipping agents, a simple calculation-based approach, and four other ML/DL models proposed recently in the literature. The evaluation has revealed that Random Forest achieves the highest performance with an MAE of 99.9 min, closely followed by XGBoost, having an MAE of 105.0 min.
海运约占国际物流贸易总额的 90%,在许多公司的供应链中发挥着重要作用。然而,天气状况或海盗事件等途中因素往往会延误目的地港口的预定抵达时间,导致下游效率低下。由于海运业的数字化转型,智能港口和船舶产生了大量数据,这为使用机器学习和深度学习(ML/DL)等最新技术为码头运营提供支持创造了机会。本研究提出了一种数据驱动型解决方案,利用 ML/DL 技术(包括深度神经网络、K-近邻、决策树、随机森林和极端梯度提升)准确预测船舶抵达时间。这项研究从公共和私人 AIS 基站网络中收集东地中海的真实 AIS 数据。选择最相关的特征来训练和评估六个 ML/DL 模型。此外,还与航运代理提供的估计到达时间、一种基于简单计算的方法以及最近在文献中提出的其他四种 ML/DL 模型进行了综合比较。评估结果表明,随机森林的 MAE 最高,为 99.9 分钟,XGBoost 紧随其后,MAE 为 105.0 分钟。
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引用次数: 0
Real Time Vessel Detection Model Using Deep Learning Algorithms for Controlling a Barrier System 利用深度学习算法控制路障系统的实时船舶检测模型
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081363
Abisade Folarin, Alicia Munin-Doce, Sara Ferreno-Gonzalez, Jose Manuel Ciriano-Palacios, Vicente Diaz-Casas
This study addresses marine pollution caused by debris entering the ocean through rivers. A physical and bubble barrier system has been developed to collect debris, but an effective identification and classification system for incoming vessels is needed. This study evaluates the effectiveness of deep learning models in identifying and classifying vessels in real time. The YOLO (You Only Look Once) v5 and v8 models are evaluated for vessel detection and classification. A dataset of 624 images representing 13 different types of vessels was created to train the models. The YOLOv8, featuring a new backbone network, outperformed the YOLOv5 model, achieving a high mean average precision (mAP@50) of 98.9% and an F1 score of 91.6%. However, YOLOv8’s GPU consumption increased by 116% compared to YOLOv5. The advantage of the proposed method is evident in the precision–confidence curve (PCC), where the accuracy peaks at 1.00 and 0.937 confidence, and in the achieved frames per second (fps) value of 84.7. These findings have significant implications for the development and deployment of real-time marine pollution control technologies. This study demonstrates that YOLOv8, with its advanced backbone network, significantly improves vessel detection and classification performance over YOLOv5, albeit with higher GPU consumption. The high accuracy and efficiency of YOLOv8 make it a promising candidate for integration into marine pollution control systems, enabling real-time identification and monitoring of vessels. This advancement is crucial for enhancing the effectiveness of debris collection systems and mitigating marine pollution, highlighting the potential for deep learning models to contribute to environmental preservation efforts.
这项研究针对的是通过河流进入海洋的废弃物造成的海洋污染。目前已开发出一套物理和气泡屏障系统来收集碎片,但还需要一套有效的识别和分类系统来识别进入海洋的船只。本研究评估了深度学习模型在实时识别和分类船只方面的有效性。对 YOLO(只看一次)v5 和 v8 模型进行了船舶检测和分类评估。创建了一个包含 624 幅图像的数据集,代表 13 种不同类型的血管,用于训练模型。YOLOv8 采用了新的骨干网络,其性能优于 YOLOv5 模型,平均精确度 (mAP@50) 高达 98.9%,F1 得分为 91.6%。不过,与 YOLOv5 相比,YOLOv8 的 GPU 消耗增加了 116%。所提方法的优势体现在精度-置信度曲线(PCC)上,精度峰值为 1.00,置信度为 0.937,每秒帧数(fps)达到 84.7。这些发现对开发和部署实时海洋污染控制技术具有重要意义。这项研究表明,与 YOLOv5 相比,YOLOv8 凭借其先进的骨干网络显著提高了船舶检测和分类性能,尽管 GPU 消耗更高。YOLOv8 的高精度和高效率使其有望集成到海洋污染控制系统中,实现对船舶的实时识别和监控。这一进步对于提高碎片收集系统的效率和减轻海洋污染至关重要,凸显了深度学习模型为环境保护工作做出贡献的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration Anomalies Using Spatiotemporal Clustering 利用时空聚类分析北极海冰浓度异常现象
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081361
Yongheng Li, Yawen He, Yanhua Liu, Feng Jin
The dynamic changes of sea ice exhibit spatial clustering, and this clustering has characteristics extending from its origin, through its development, and to its dissipation. Current research on sea ice change primarily focuses on spatiotemporal variation trends and remote correlation analysis, and lacks an analysis of spatiotemporal evolution characteristics. This study utilized monthly sea ice concentration (SIC) data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) for the period from 1979 to 2022, utilizing classical spatiotemporal clustering algorithms to analyze the clustering patterns and evolutionary characteristics of SIC anomalies in key Arctic regions. The results revealed that the central-western region of the Barents Sea was a critical area where SIC anomaly evolutionary behaviors were concentrated and persisted for longer durations. The relationship between the intensity and duration of SIC anomaly events was nonlinear. A positive correlation was observed for shorter durations, while a negative correlation was noted for longer durations. Anomalies predominantly occurred in December, with complex evolution happening in April and May of the following year, and concluded in July. Evolutionary state transitions mainly occurred in the Barents Sea. These transitions included shifts from the origin state in the northwestern margin to the dissipation state in the central-north Barents Sea, from the origin state in the central-north to the dissipation state in the central-south, and from the origin state in the northeastern to the dissipation state in the central-south Barents Sea and southeastern Kara Sea. Various evolutionary states were observed in the same area on the southwest edge of the Barents Sea. These findings provide insights into the evolutionary mechanism of sea ice anomalies.
海冰的动态变化表现出空间集群性,这种集群性具有从起源、发展到消散的特征。目前对海冰变化的研究主要集中在时空变化趋势和遥相关分析上,缺乏对时空演变特征的分析。本研究利用美国国家冰雪数据中心(NSIDC)1979-2022年的月度海冰浓度(SIC)数据,采用经典的时空聚类算法,分析了北极主要区域SIC异常的聚类模式和演化特征。结果表明,巴伦支海中西部地区是 SIC 异常演变行为集中且持续时间较长的关键区域。SIC 异常事件的强度与持续时间之间呈非线性关系。持续时间较短的为正相关,持续时间较长的为负相关。异常事件主要发生在 12 月,复杂的演变发生在次年的 4 月和 5 月,并在 7 月结束。演化状态的转变主要发生在巴伦支海。这些转变包括从西北边缘的起源状态向巴伦支海中北部的消散状态转变,从中北部的起源状态向中南部的消散状态转变,以及从东北部的起源状态向巴伦支海中南部和喀拉海东南部的消散状态转变。在巴伦支海西南边缘的同一区域也观察到了各种演化状态。这些发现有助于深入了解海冰异常的演变机制。
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引用次数: 0
Post-Processing Maritime Wind Forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts around the Korean Peninsula Using Support Vector Regression and Principal Component Analysis 利用支持向量回归和主成分分析法对欧洲中期天气预报中心的朝鲜半岛附近海风预报进行后处理
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.3390/jmse12081360
Seung-Hyun Moon, Do-Youn Kim, Yong-Hyuk Kim
Accurate wind data are crucial for successful search and rescue (SAR) operations on the sea surface in maritime accidents, as survivors or debris tend to drift with the wind. As maritime accidents frequently occur outside the range of wind stations, SAR operations heavily rely on wind forecasts generated by numerical models. However, numerical models encounter delays in generating results due to spin-up issues, and their predictions can sometimes exhibit inherent biases caused by geographical factors. To overcome these limitations, we reviewed the observations for the first 24 h of the 72-hour forecast from the ECMWF and then post-processed the forecast for the remaining 48 h. By effectively reducing the dimensionality of input variables comprising observation and forecast data using principal component analysis, we improved wind predictions with support vector regression. Our model achieved an average RMSE improvement of 16.01% compared to the original forecast from the ECMWF. Furthermore, it achieved an average RMSE improvement of 5.42% for locations without observation data by employing a model trained on data from the nearest wind station and then applying an adaptive weighting scheme to the output of that model.
准确的风力数据对于海上事故中成功的海面搜救(SAR)行动至关重要,因为幸存者或碎片往往会随风漂移。由于海上事故经常发生在风力站范围之外,搜救行动在很大程度上依赖于数值模型生成的风力预报。然而,数值模型在生成结果时会因旋转问题而出现延迟,其预测结果有时也会因地理因素而出现固有偏差。为了克服这些局限性,我们查看了 ECMWF 72 小时预报中前 24 小时的观测数据,然后对剩余 48 小时的预报进行了后处理。通过使用主成分分析有效降低观测和预报数据输入变量的维度,我们利用支持向量回归改进了风力预测。与 ECMWF 的原始预报相比,我们的模型平均 RMSE 提高了 16.01%。此外,在没有观测数据的地点,通过采用一个根据最近风站数据训练的模型,然后对该模型的输出应用自适应加权方案,平均有效误差率提高了 5.42%。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
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