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Linking Community-Climate Disequilibrium to Ecosystem Function 将群落-气候不平衡与生态系统功能联系起来。
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70314
Michael Stemkovski, Michael H. Cortez, Joey R. Bernhardt, Kelvyn K. Bladen, John B. Bradford, Kyra Clark-Wolf, Margaret E. K. Evans, Loretta C. Johnson, Abigail J. Lynch, Melissa A. Pastore, Malin L. Pinsky, Christine R. Rollinson, Oliver Selmoni, Anthony P. Walker, John W. Williams, Peter B. Adler

Turnover in species composition often lags behind the pace of climate change, resulting in mismatches between climate and communities. However, the impact of these community-climate disequilibria on ecosystem functions is rarely considered, and current methods for measuring disequilibria assume that species ranges were, until recently, in equilibrium with climate. Here, we develop a simple theoretical model to address both of these problems by linking community-climate disequilibrium with ecosystem functioning. We show how disequilibrium can impair functioning in the near-term even when climate change is expected to enhance functioning in the long-term. Responses are most likely to change over time in communities where turnover is slow, the impact of disequilibrium counteracts the direct effects of climate on ecosystem function, and pre-existing disequilibrium is large. These findings emphasise the importance of precise and unbiased estimates of community-climate disequilibria for improving ecological forecasts. By fitting our model to time series of both climate and ecosystem function from a metacommunity simulation, we show the potential for community-climate disequilibrium to be inferred without direct knowledge about species' distributions or climatic tolerances. We end by outlining a research agenda to apply dynamic disequilibrium concepts and test novel hypotheses across diverse ecosystems.

物种组成的更替往往落后于气候变化的速度,导致气候和群落之间的不匹配。然而,这些群落气候不平衡对生态系统功能的影响很少被考虑,目前测量不平衡的方法假设物种范围直到最近都处于与气候的平衡状态。在这里,我们建立了一个简单的理论模型,通过将社区气候不平衡与生态系统功能联系起来来解决这两个问题。我们展示了不平衡如何在短期内损害功能,即使气候变化有望在长期内增强功能。在更替缓慢、不平衡的影响抵消了气候对生态系统功能的直接影响、预先存在的不平衡很大的群落中,响应最可能随时间发生变化。这些发现强调了精确和无偏估计社区气候不平衡对改善生态预测的重要性。通过将我们的模型拟合到元群落模拟的气候和生态系统功能的时间序列中,我们表明,在不直接了解物种分布或气候耐受性的情况下,可以推断出群落气候不平衡的可能性。最后,我们概述了一个研究议程,以应用动态不平衡概念,并在不同的生态系统中测试新的假设。
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引用次数: 0
Density Dependence During Evolutionary Rescue Increases Extinction Risk but Does Not Prevent Adaptation 进化救援过程中的密度依赖增加了灭绝风险,但不妨碍适应
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70312
Laure Olazcuaga, Brett A. Melbourne, Scott W. Nordstrom, Ruth A. Hufbauer

Evolutionary rescue allows populations to adapt and persist despite severe environmental change. While well studied under density-independent conditions, the role of density dependence, including competition, remains unclear. Theoretical models offer conflicting predictions, with density dependence either increasing extinction risk or enhancing adaptation. We empirically tested how density dependence influences evolutionary rescue by exposing experimental populations to a stressful environment for six generations under density-dependent or independent conditions, with populations where either evolution was possible or was prevented by replacing individuals each generation. Density dependence suppressed population size and increased extinction risk, whereas density independence enabled rapid growth, especially in genetically diverse populations where evolution was possible. Although density dependence raises extinction risk, it does not prevent populations from responding to selection, since surviving density-dependent populations still exhibited increased intrinsic and realised fitness. These findings reconcile theoretical discrepancies, showing density dependence can simultaneously increase extinction risk but may favour adaptation. Our results underscore the importance of considering density dependence in conservation strategies.

进化的拯救使种群能够适应和生存,尽管环境发生了严重的变化。虽然在密度无关的条件下进行了充分的研究,但密度依赖的作用,包括竞争,仍然不清楚。理论模型提供了相互矛盾的预测,密度依赖性要么增加了灭绝风险,要么增强了适应能力。我们通过将实验种群暴露在密度依赖或独立条件下的六代压力环境中,通过每一代更换个体来实现进化或阻止进化,从而对密度依赖如何影响进化救援进行了实证测试。密度依赖性抑制了种群规模,增加了灭绝风险,而密度独立性促进了种群的快速增长,特别是在有可能进化的遗传多样性种群中。尽管密度依赖性增加了灭绝风险,但它并不妨碍种群对选择的反应,因为生存的密度依赖性种群仍然表现出更高的内在和实现的适应性。这些发现调和了理论上的差异,表明密度依赖可以同时增加灭绝风险,但可能有利于适应。我们的研究结果强调了在保护策略中考虑密度依赖的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Waterfowl Move Less in Heterogeneous and Human-Populated Landscapes, With Implications for Spread of Avian Influenza Viruses 水禽在异质和人口稠密的景观中移动较少,这对禽流感病毒的传播有影响。
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70265
Claire S. Teitelbaum, Diann J. Prosser, Joshua T. Ackerman, Sakib Ahmed, A. B. M. Sarowar Alam, Kazi Zenifar Azmiri, Nyambaya Batbayar, Joël Bêty, Abigail Blake-Bradshaw, Dmitrijs Boiko, Nelleke H. Buitendijk, Jeffrey J. Buler, David Cabot, Michael L. Casazza, Bradley Cohen, Batmunkh Davaasuren, Sébastien Farau, Jamie Feddersen, John Fieberg, Wolfgang Fiedler, Peter Glazov, Larry R. Griffin, Matthieu Guillemain, Heath Hagy, Matthew J. Hardy, Cory Highway, David Hoffman, Tehan Kang, Allison Keever, Jennifer Kilburn, Andrea Kölzsch, Helmut Kruckenberg, Toni Laaksonen, Brian S. Ladman, Hansoo Lee, Siwan Lee, Josée Lefebvre, Pierre Legagneux, Hans Linssen, Jesper Madsen, Nicholas M. Masto, Scott McWilliams, Tori Mezebish Quinn, Carl Mitchell, Axelle Moreau, Gerhard Müskens, Scott Newman, Bart A. Nolet, Rascha J. M. Nuijten, Jay Osenkowski, Cory T. Overton, Antti Piironen, Betty Plaquin, Andrew M. Ramey, Jean Rodrigue, David Rodrigues, Kees H. T. Schreven, Yali Si, Jeffery D. Sullivan, John Takekawa, Philippe J. Thomas, Mariëlle van Toor, Jonas Waldenström, Christopher K. Williams, David W. Wolfson, Fei Xu, Ian G. Brosnan, Susan E. W. De La Cruz

Animal movements contribute to the spread of infectious diseases and are driven in part by environmental conditions. We investigated the links among the environment, animal movement, and infectious disease dynamics in waterfowl, which are among the primary wildlife hosts of avian influenza viruses. By combining telemetry data on 4606 individuals from 26 waterfowl species with data on land cover, weather, and vegetation, we found that waterfowl moved less in areas of higher land cover heterogeneity and higher human population density. Moreover, predicted waterfowl movement distances were weakly but positively correlated with distances between detections of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza in wild waterfowl, suggesting that environmental conditions might contribute to the spread of this disease via their effects on bird movements. By considering wildlife movements alongside other drivers of infectious disease dynamics, such as livestock production and human mobility, we move closer to predicting outbreaks and informing interventions.

动物的迁徙助长了传染病的传播,并在一定程度上受到环境条件的驱动。水禽是禽流感病毒的主要野生宿主之一,我们调查了水禽的环境、动物运动和传染病动态之间的联系。通过对26种水禽4606个个体的遥测数据与土地覆盖、天气和植被数据相结合,发现在土地覆盖异质性较高和人口密度较高的地区,水禽的活动较少。此外,预测的水禽迁徙距离与在野生水禽中发现H5N1高致病性禽流感的距离呈微弱但正相关,这表明环境条件可能通过对鸟类迁徙的影响促进了这种疾病的传播。通过将野生动物的移动与牲畜生产和人类流动等传染病动态的其他驱动因素一并考虑,我们离预测疫情和告知干预措施更近了一步。
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引用次数: 0
Local Adaptation in Climate Tolerance at a Small Geographic Scale Contrasts With Broad Latitudinal Patterns 小地理尺度气候耐受性的局部适应与大纬度格局的对比
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70295
Greg M. Walter, Avishikta Chakraborty, Fiona E. Cockerell, Vanessa Kellermann, Lesley A. Alton, Craig R. White, Matthew D. Hall, Carla M. Sgrò

While climate adaptation is typically quantified across broad gradients, the potential for adaptation to the same environmental variables at small scales is rarely tested. If local-scale environmental heterogeneity can generate patterns of adaptation similar to broad gradients, then we currently underestimate adaptive capacity to global change. We quantified population variation in climate tolerance traits and their plasticity for five populations of Drosophila melanogaster from a 3000-km latitudinal gradient, which we contrasted with eight local populations from an environmentally heterogeneous 600 × 300 km area. Population variation in stress tolerance at the local scale was comparable to that across latitude. Consistent with local adaptation, populations from warmer and drier environments showed greater heat and desiccation tolerance and populations from more predictable environments showed greater plasticity. Climate adaptation at smaller geographic scales can therefore be comparable to adaptation across broad geographic scales. However, patterns of adaptation often changed across geography, which makes predicting responses to global change challenging.

虽然气候适应通常是在大梯度上量化的,但在小尺度上对相同环境变量的适应潜力很少进行测试。如果地方尺度的环境异质性可以产生类似于大梯度的适应模式,那么我们目前低估了对全球变化的适应能力。本研究量化了3000 km纬度梯度上5个黑腹果蝇种群的气候耐受性及其可塑性变异,并与600 × 300 km环境异质区域的8个当地种群进行了对比。种群在局部尺度上的抗逆性变化与跨纬度的相当。与局部适应一致,来自温暖和干燥环境的种群表现出更强的耐热和干燥耐受性,而来自更可预测环境的种群表现出更强的可塑性。因此,较小地理尺度上的气候适应可以与大地理尺度上的适应相比较。然而,适应模式经常在地理上发生变化,这使得预测对全球变化的反应具有挑战性。
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引用次数: 0
A Nonequilibrium Framework for Community Responses to Pulse Perturbations 脉冲扰动下群落响应的非平衡框架
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70313
Lucas P. Medeiros, Michael G. Neubert, Heidi M. Sosik, Stephan B. Munch

Understanding responses of ecological communities to shocks that displace species abundances is of paramount importance given the increasing frequency of extreme climatic events. However, current theory on responses to such pulse perturbations focuses on equilibrium points and we lack a unified framework that accommodates other common, but more complicated, population fluctuations such as transients and cycles. Here we introduce this framework by deriving metrics that quantify the minimum, typical and maximum amplification of perturbed abundances for nonequilibrium population dynamics. By simulating models under several nonequilibrium scenarios, we demonstrate that these metrics accurately characterise the full range of amplification of perturbed abundances in the short and long terms. Notably, we show that perturbation amplification depends strongly on community state in the short term, but this state dependency vanishes in the long term. We illustrate how our framework can provide insights about models and data for communities that are not at equilibrium.

考虑到极端气候事件日益频繁,了解生态群落对取代物种丰富度的冲击的反应至关重要。然而,目前关于这种脉冲扰动响应的理论集中在平衡点上,我们缺乏一个统一的框架来容纳其他常见但更复杂的种群波动,如瞬态和周期。在这里,我们通过推导量化非平衡种群动态的扰动丰度的最小、典型和最大放大的度量来引入这个框架。通过模拟几种非平衡情景下的模型,我们证明了这些指标准确地描述了短期和长期扰动丰度放大的全部范围。值得注意的是,我们表明,扰动放大在短期内强烈依赖于群落状态,但这种状态依赖性在长期内消失。我们说明了我们的框架如何能够为不处于平衡状态的社区提供关于模型和数据的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Coevolution of Colour Patterns and Hindwing Shapes on a Large Phylogenetic Scale Reveals Predation-Driven Adaptive Syndromes in Swallowtail Butterflies 在大系统发育尺度上,颜色图案和后翅形状的共同进化揭示了燕尾蝶捕食驱动的适应综合征
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70303
Agathe Puissant, Ariane Chotard, Fabien L. Condamine, Vincent Debat, Violaine Llaurens

Traits that reduce predation success may evolve together, leading to repeated evolution of similar anti-predator syndromes. In butterflies, predation likely shapes wing shape and colour patterns, promoting either aposematic or deflective features. Here, we studied the evolution of hindwing tail shape and colour pattern across swallowtail butterflies. Using standardised museum specimen photographs, we quantified colour variation via computer vision and tail shape with geometric morphometrics. We found significant evolutionary correlations between colour patterns and hindwing tail shapes across the phylogeny. Long tails were linked to high-contrast stripes and marginal spots, while short tails were associated with simple, spotted patterns. While accounting for developmental constraints, we show that stripes, spots, and long tails evolved in correlation and likely form a visual syndrome promoted by natural selection to deflect predator attacks. These results provide evidence that selection can drive the coordinated evolution of complex anti-predator traits over large evolutionary timescales.

降低捕食成功率的性状可能一起进化,导致类似的抗捕食者综合征的反复进化。在蝴蝶中,捕食可能会塑造翅膀的形状和颜色图案,从而促进警示性或偏转性特征。本文研究了燕尾蝶后翅尾部形状和颜色图案的演变。使用标准化的博物馆标本照片,我们通过计算机视觉量化颜色变化,并通过几何形态计量学量化尾巴形状。我们发现在整个系统发育中,颜色图案和后翅尾巴形状之间存在显著的进化相关性。长尾巴与高对比度条纹和边缘斑点有关,而短尾巴与简单的斑点图案有关。在考虑发育限制的同时,我们发现条纹、斑点和长尾巴的进化是相关的,很可能形成一种视觉综合症,这是由自然选择促进的,以避开捕食者的攻击。这些结果提供了证据,表明选择可以在大的进化时间尺度上驱动复杂的反捕食者特征的协调进化。
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引用次数: 0
Genetic Differences in Plasticity Across Environmental Scales Determine Fitness Along an Ecological Gradient 环境尺度上可塑性的遗传差异决定了生态梯度上的适应度
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70308
Greg M. Walter, Giuseppe Emma, Delia Terranova, James Clark, Salvatore Cozzolino, Simon J. Hiscock, Antonia Cristaudo, Jon Bridle

When populations suffer reduced fitness in novel environments, genotypes that better adjust their phenotype to cope with environmental change can aid persistence by reducing the severity of fitness declines. However, we know little about how plastic changes in phenotype allow different genotypes to track environmental variation across ecological gradients, particularly as environments become novel. We transplanted clones of 19 genotypes of a Sicilian daisy, Senecio chrysanthemifolius, at four elevations on Mt. Etna. We assessed fitness within native and novel elevations, and quantified leaf plasticity across and within elevations. Genotypes with higher fitness at novel elevations showed lower variance in fitness, lower plasticity across elevations, but higher plasticity within elevations compared to those with higher fitness in the native range. Our results suggest there are genotypes hidden in populations whose plasticity better tracks novel environmental variation at multiple ecological scales. Such genotypes will be crucial for population persistence under rapid environmental change.

当种群在新环境中适应度下降时,能够更好地调整其表型以应对环境变化的基因型可以通过降低适应度下降的严重程度来帮助种群持续生存。然而,我们对表型的可塑性变化如何使不同的基因型跨越生态梯度追踪环境变化知之甚少,特别是当环境变得新颖时。我们在埃特纳山的4个海拔上移植了19个基因型的西西里雏菊(Senecio菊花)无性系。我们评估了原生海拔和新海拔的适合度,并量化了海拔间和海拔内的叶片可塑性。新海拔适应度较高的基因型的适应度变异较小,不同海拔适应度的可塑性较低,但不同海拔适应度内的可塑性较高。我们的研究结果表明,在种群中隐藏着一些基因型,它们的可塑性在多个生态尺度上能更好地跟踪新的环境变化。这些基因型对于种群在快速环境变化下的持久性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Detection of Eco-Evolutionary Dynamics in Communities Using Joint Species Distribution Models 利用联合物种分布模型检测群落生态进化动态。
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70270
Jelena H. Pantel, Ruben J. Hermann

Biodiversity at the metacommunity scale is typically influenced by numerous environmental, spatial, biotic, and stochastic factors. These factors can simultaneously impact evolution in individual species, due to site-varying local selection pressures and the impact of connectivity for gene flow and genetic drift. Joint species distribution models (JSDMs) can estimate the relative impacts of environmental, spatial, biotic, and other drivers on community composition, but these models do not currently consider the impact of contemporary evolutionary change. We applied a JSDM to analyse simulated and experimental populations and communities that experience contemporary trait evolution. We found that it successfully partitioned variance contributed by environmental, spatial, and evolving phenotypic drivers, and also estimated site- and time-specific covariance. We further demonstrated how the model-estimated effect sizes of trait evolution for community composition can be used to test predictions about the underlying mechanistic drivers of eco-evolutionary dynamics in communities.

元群落尺度上的生物多样性通常受多种环境、空间、生物和随机因素的影响。这些因素可以同时影响单个物种的进化,这是由于不同地点的局部选择压力以及基因流动和遗传漂变的连通性的影响。联合物种分布模型(JSDMs)可以估计环境、空间、生物和其他驱动因素对群落组成的相对影响,但这些模型目前没有考虑当代进化变化的影响。我们应用JSDM来分析经历当代性状进化的模拟和实验种群和社区。我们发现,它成功地划分了由环境、空间和进化表型驱动因素造成的方差,并估计了特定地点和特定时间的协方差。我们进一步证明了群落组成特征进化的模型估计效应大小如何用于测试群落生态进化动态的潜在机制驱动因素的预测。
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引用次数: 0
Plant-Pollinator Interaction Rewiring Boosts Year-to-Year Community Persistence 植物-传粉者的相互作用重新布线提高了每年的社区持久性。
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70293
Virginia Domínguez-Garcia, Francisco P. Molina, Alfonso Allen-Perkins, Oscar Godoy, Ignasi Bartomeus

Despite widespread recognition of the dynamic nature of ecological interactions, the consequences for community persistence of the observed year-to-year changes in species interactions have remained overlooked. Our research bridges this gap, leveraging a uniquely high-quality dataset spanning 8 years and 12 independent sites—offering unparalleled resolution to examine plant-pollinator interactions. Here, we characterise year-to-year variation in plant-pollinator interactions and compare their structural stability (a robust theoretical measure describing species persistence) with that of null models simulating random rewiring. We discover that although most interaction changes (80%) are caused by species turnover, it is the temporal rewiring among permanent species that primarily enhances pollinator persistence. This interaction rewiring is not random and effectively boosts pollinator persistence despite being primarily determined by changes in the phenologies and abundances of the permanent pollinator species. While not fully optimised, these adaptive responses underscore the vital role of rewiring in fostering ecological stability amid a changing world.

尽管人们普遍认识到生态相互作用的动态性,但观察到的物种相互作用的年复一年变化对群落持久性的影响仍然被忽视。我们的研究弥补了这一差距,利用跨越8年和12个独立站点的独特高质量数据集-提供无与伦比的分辨率来检查植物-传粉媒介的相互作用。在这里,我们描述了植物-传粉者相互作用的逐年变化,并将它们的结构稳定性(描述物种持久性的一个强大的理论指标)与模拟随机重新布线的零模型进行了比较。我们发现,虽然大多数相互作用变化(80%)是由物种更替引起的,但主要是永久物种之间的时间重新布线增强了传粉者的持久性。这种相互作用的重新布线不是随机的,并且有效地提高了传粉者的持久性,尽管主要是由永久传粉者物种的物候和丰度的变化决定的。虽然没有完全优化,但这些适应性反应强调了在不断变化的世界中,重新布线在促进生态稳定方面的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to ‘Partitioning Net Biodiversity Effects on Ecosystem Resistance and Resilience’ 修正“分区净生物多样性对生态系统抗性和恢复力的影响”
IF 7.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70285

Desallais, M., Arnoldi, J.-F. and Loreau, M. 2025. “Partitioning Net Biodiversity Effects on Ecosystem Resistance and Resilience.” Ecology Letters 28, no. 11: e70249. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.70249.

In the author byline of the above published article, the last author (Michel Loreau) was only affiliated with Peking University and had only a (2) in superscript next to his name, even though he is affiliated with both institutions listed in the article. He should therefore have (1) added next to his name to indicate his affiliation with the CNRS and be listed as ‘Michel Loreau 1,2’.

The published article has also been updated to reflect this correction.

We apologise for this error.

德萨莱,M,阿尔诺迪,j - f。罗罗先生,2025。“划分净生物多样性对生态系统抗性和复原力的影响。”《生态通讯》第28期。11: e70249。https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.70249.In上述发表文章的作者署名,最后一位作者(米歇尔·洛罗)只隶属于北京大学,他的名字旁边只有一个上标(2),尽管他隶属于文章中列出的两个机构。因此,他应该在他的名字旁边加上(1),以表明他与CNRS的关系,并将其列为“米歇尔·洛罗1,2”。已发表的文章也已更新,以反映这一更正。我们为这个错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
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