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ECONOMIC VIABILITY OF THE HYDROPOWER PLANTS OF THE FUTURE 未来水电站的经济可行性
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701191s
M. Šmelcerović, Pavle Trpeski
The impact of hydropower plants on the environment varies greatly, depending on site-specific mitigation measures and production strategies: if badly managed, hydropower production can reduce biodiversity and can significantly degrade fluvial ecosystems and associated ecosystem services.Ocean waves are an immense, unused source of energy. Since global attention is nowadays constantly being drawn to the fact that the level of CO2 is rising, creating the so called “greenhouse effect”, and influencing further climate changes, the focus on generating electricity from renewable sources forces itself as an important area of future research. The possibility to exploit the energy potential created by sea waves indisputably exists. Various researches conducted in the field of unused energy sources prove the necessity of seriously considering this potential of sea waves. The illustration of this point in noted in a recently performed estimation that up to 15 per cent of current UK electricity demand could be met by wave energy, and when this is combined with tidal stream generation, even up to 20 per cent of the UK demand for electrical power could be met. This paper introduces the readers to the topic of water power, as a natural source of renewable energy, investigating the possibility of using power of waves as one of the technically and ecologically appropriate solutions of exploiting this renewable natural source. It is a fact widely acknowledged that climate change and global warming are the number-one challenge of the contemporary world; practically every available research predicts that with the current rate of development the world is heading for at least 2, and even more likely 3-4, degrees warmer climate by the end of this century. As energy production and use account for two-thirds of global greenhouse-gas emissions, the energy industry is in a key role to cut emissions – while powering economic growth, boosting energy security and increasing energy access. In view of this, hydropower can make a major contribution to climate change mitigation. Not only is hydropower practically CO₂-free, thus eliminating its possible contribution to the greenhouse effect, but it is also both more efficient and flexible compared with existing fossil alternatives for base load and balancing power. Even though the world is aware of the potential of hydropower, and despite the fact that many wave energy devices are nowadays being investigated, most of these are currently at the research and development stage, with only a small range of devices having been tested at large scale, deployed in the oceans. Thus, one of the goals of this paper would be to present the technology used to turn the power of waves unto electric power, as well as the various types of turbines and devices which represent the latest technological achievements in this area. The goal of this paper is also to present the existing devices, their manner of functioning, and their efficiency and safety
水电站对环境的影响差别很大,取决于具体地点的缓解措施和生产战略:如果管理不善,水电生产可能减少生物多样性,并可能大大降低河流生态系统和相关生态系统服务。海浪是一种巨大的、未被利用的能源。由于目前全球的注意力不断被吸引到二氧化碳水平上升的事实,造成了所谓的“温室效应”,并影响了进一步的气候变化,因此关注可再生能源发电本身就是未来研究的一个重要领域。毫无疑问,利用海浪产生的能量潜力的可能性是存在的。在未使用能源领域进行的各种研究证明,必须认真考虑海浪的这种潜力。最近进行的一项评估指出,波浪能可以满足英国目前15%的电力需求,当波浪能与潮汐流发电相结合时,甚至可以满足英国20%的电力需求。本文向读者介绍了水力作为可再生能源的自然来源的主题,并研究了利用波浪作为开发这种可再生自然资源的技术和生态适当解决方案之一的可能性。众所周知,气候变化和全球变暖是当今世界面临的头号挑战。几乎所有现有的研究都预测,按照目前的发展速度,到本世纪末,世界气候将至少上升2摄氏度,甚至更有可能上升3-4摄氏度。由于能源生产和使用占全球温室气体排放量的三分之二,能源行业在推动经济增长、促进能源安全和增加能源获取的同时,在减排方面发挥着关键作用。有鉴于此,水力发电可对减缓气候变化作出重大贡献。水力发电不仅几乎不产生二氧化碳,从而消除了可能产生的温室效应,而且在基本负荷和平衡电力方面,与现有的化石能源相比,水力发电更高效、更灵活。尽管全世界都意识到水电的潜力,尽管目前正在研究许多波浪能装置,但其中大多数目前处于研究和开发阶段,只有一小部分装置进行了大规模测试,部署在海洋中。因此,本文的目标之一将是介绍用于将波浪的能量转化为电能的技术,以及代表该领域最新技术成果的各种类型的涡轮机和设备。本文的目的也是从环境方面介绍现有的设备,它们的功能方式,以及它们的效率和安全性。同样值得注意的是,水电本身的整体环境影响是有限的,因此水电比迄今为止开发的其他能源更有利于环境。
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引用次数: 0
IMPACT OF HUMAN RESOURCES TRAININGS AND KNOWLEDGE SHARING IN TRAVEL AGENCIES 旅行社人力资源培训与知识共享的影响
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701165b
Theranda Beqiri, Fjolla Trakaniqi
The main purpose of this paper is to identify the impact of training and development on service sector. In the methodology of this paper we used the quantitative and qualitative method conducted with respondents in travel agencies.  The questionnaire was structured with types of training and training needs for service sector employees, the research refers the level of trainings that are conducted in the travel agencies. Introduction of the information technology and different application programmes has increased the need of trainings of travel agency workers. The simple random technique is used to collect data from targeted travel agencies. The T test and correlation matrix is used to see the impact of training to employee’s performance.  As a strategic activity, the training is related to the mission of the travel agency and its long-term objectives and is a major contributor to the development of skilled, flexible and dedicated employees while providing training in combination with other human resource management functions.  In businesses that are in service sector that have experience in their field professional consultants - people who have the necessary skills and knowledge to implement the training, are responsible for staff training. However, in terms of transferring practical knowledge, managers are much more efficient. Their practical experience and skills, knowledge of their company, network of business contacts, and personal knowledge of the human resources of their organization make them qualified than the professional trainers, responsible for human resources.Training can be developed on the job and of the job depending on the organisation needs and employees skills, while communication skills are usually needed in travel agencies this is one together with use of software packages are  the most important trainings that were identified in our research.
本文的主要目的是确定培训和发展对服务业的影响。在本文的研究方法中,我们采用了定量和定性的方法对旅行社的受访者进行调查。问卷的结构与培训类型和培训需求的服务部门的员工,研究指的是在旅行社进行的培训水平。资讯科技及不同应用程序的引入,增加了对旅行社员工培训的需求。简单的随机技术用于从目标旅行社收集数据。采用T检验和相关矩阵来考察培训对员工绩效的影响。作为一项战略活动,培训与旅行社的使命和长期目标有关,是培养熟练、灵活和敬业的员工的主要因素,同时与其他人力资源管理职能相结合。在服务行业的企业中,在他们的领域有经验的专业顾问-具有必要的技能和知识来实施培训的人-负责员工培训。然而,在传递实用知识方面,管理者的效率要高得多。他们的实践经验和技能、对公司的了解、业务联系网络以及对组织人力资源的个人了解使他们比专业培训师更有资格负责人力资源。培训可以在工作中进行,也可以在工作中进行,这取决于组织的需要和员工的技能,而旅行社通常需要沟通技巧,这是我们在研究中确定的最重要的培训,以及软件包的使用。
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引用次数: 0
INTANGIBLE ECONOMY 无形的经济
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701197r
Nikolce Runcev, Trajanka Makrevska
The process of committing time, resources and money in order to produce useful things in the future is, from an economic point of view a defining part of what business, governments and   individuals do. Over the last few decades, the nature of investment has been changing to large extent. The type of investment that has risen dramatically is intangible: investment in ideas, in knowledge, in aesthetic content, in software, in brands, in networks and relationship. The paper describes this change and why has happened. Any investments, tangible or intangible, is a step into the unknown. No businesses know for sure what the return will be. First of all, owing to its invisibility, intangible investments tend to be worth less if they fail. It’s harder to recover their value by simply selling them. The upside of an intangible investment is potentially much higher, since it is more likely to benefit from scale (so a modest investment can reap a big return) or synergies (increasing its value directly). So when things go wrong, intangibles tend to be worth less, and when   they go well, they tend to be worth much more. The tendency of intangible investments to generate spillovers makes radically harder to estimate the future returns to the company. And the absence of markets for many intangibles (which contributes to their sunkenness) makes it harder to form a realistic estimate of their value. Intangibles also tend to be contested. People and businesses will often vie to see who control them, own them, or benefit from them. This is partly a function of spillovers. Intangibles have four unusual economic properties. These properties can exist with tangible investments, but on the whole intangible assets exhibit them   to a greater degree. The numerous reasons for the  growth of intangible investment, including the changing balance of services and manufacturing in the economy, globalization, the increased liberalization of markets, development in IT and management technologies, and the changing input costs of services(which play a greater role in intangible investment). This paper looks at the role of intangibles in secular stagnation, the puzzling fall in investment and productivity growth seen in major economy in recent years. We argue the increasing importance of intangible investment may have an important role to play in this troubling phenomenon. 
从经济学的角度来看,为了在未来生产有用的东西而投入时间、资源和金钱的过程,是企业、政府和个人行为的一个决定性部分。在过去的几十年里,投资的性质在很大程度上发生了变化。急剧增长的投资类型是无形的:对创意、知识、美学内容、软件、品牌、网络和关系的投资。本文描述了这种变化以及发生的原因。任何投资,无论是有形的还是无形的,都是迈向未知的一步。没有企业确切知道回报会是多少。首先,由于无形投资的不可见性,如果失败,它的价值往往会降低。仅仅通过出售它们就很难收回价值。无形投资的好处可能要高得多,因为它更有可能从规模(因此适度的投资可以获得巨大的回报)或协同效应(直接增加其价值)中受益。因此,当事情出错时,无形资产的价值往往会降低,而当事情进展顺利时,无形资产的价值往往会大大增加。无形投资产生溢出效应的趋势,大大加大了对公司未来回报的估计难度。而且,许多无形资产缺乏市场(这导致了它们的贬值),这使得对它们的价值形成一个现实的估计变得更加困难。无形资产也容易受到竞争。人们和企业经常会争夺谁控制它们、拥有它们或从中受益。这在一定程度上是溢出效应的结果。无形资产有四种不同寻常的经济属性。这些属性可以与有形投资一起存在,但从整体上看,无形资产更能体现这些属性。无形投资增长的众多原因,包括经济中服务业和制造业平衡的变化,全球化,市场自由化程度的提高,信息技术和管理技术的发展,以及服务投入成本的变化(在无形投资中起着更大的作用)。本文着眼于无形资产在长期停滞中的作用,即近年来主要经济体投资和生产率增长的令人费解的下降。我们认为,无形投资日益增加的重要性可能在这一令人不安的现象中发挥了重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF THE IMPACT OF INTEREST RATE, GOVERNMENT EXPENSES, MONEY SUPPLY AND REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH – THE CASE OF NORTH MACEDONIA 利率、政府支出、货币供给和实际有效汇率对经济增长影响的实证研究——以北马其顿为例
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701123s
Liridona Seferi, Zufer Seferi, Harun Mustafa
The main purpose of this paper  is to analyze the impact of interest rates, government expenses, money supply and real exchange rates on the economic growth of the Republic of North Macedonia. A country's economic groëth refers to the growth of that country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The interest rate is one of the determining factors of economic groëth. Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment and other influencing factors, the Republic of North Macedonia in recent years has maintained low inflation rates and  interest rates. Empirical analysis of the paper  is based on data obtained from the Central Bank of Republic of North Macedonia on a quarterly basis for the period from 2008 to 2020. Through the use of co integration tests (Johanensen test), Granger causality test, autocorrelation test, VAR, ARCH and GARCH process, it is verified that the rate interest rate is a determining variable and has a long-term relationship with economic groëth. The co integration test (Johannesen test) shoës that in all equations the results are statistically significant and the variables have a long-run relationship betëeen them. Then the use of the Granger test of causality  notes that money supply causes interest rate changes; they also cause a change in economic groëth. The unit root test is used to determine the level of integration of variables .The use of the Granger causality test then points out that the money supply causes  changes on  interest rate ; GDP also causes interest rate changes. The interest rate causes the change of economic groëth. Government spending causes the change of economic groëth. The effective exchange rate causes the change of economic growth. Evidence of co integration allowed the application of the VAR model, which enabled the identification of variables that affect economic groëth in the Republic of North Macedonia, both in the short and long term. In the end, all variables are tested together and it turns out that logarithmic GDP and interest rates have an impact on economic growth. The conclusions from the data analysis are that all variables are interrelated and have an impact on economic growth. Also there can be identified and other economic factors that have impact on economic growth that are not included on this paper.
本文的主要目的是分析利率、政府开支、货币供应量和实际汇率对北马其顿共和国经济增长的影响。一个国家的经济groëth指的是该国国内生产总值(GDP)的增长。利率是经济的决定因素之一groëth。尽管宏观经济环境和其他影响因素具有挑战性,但北马其顿共和国近年来保持了较低的通货膨胀率和利率。本文的实证分析基于2008年至2020年期间从北马其顿共和国中央银行获得的季度数据。通过运用协整检验(Johanensen检验)、格兰杰因果检验、自相关检验、VAR、ARCH和GARCH过程,验证了利率是决定变量,与经济存在长期关系groëth。协整检验(Johannesen检验)shoës在所有方程的结果是统计显著和变量有一个长期的关系betëeen他们。然后利用因果关系的格兰杰检验发现,货币供应量导致利率变化;它们也引起了经济的变化groëth。运用单位根检验确定变量的整合水平,运用格兰杰因果检验指出货币供给引起利率的变化;GDP也会引起利率的变化。利率引起经济的变化groëth。政府支出导致经济变化groëth。有效汇率引起经济增长的变化。协整的证据允许VAR模型的应用,这使得能够识别影响北马其顿共和国经济groëth的变量,无论是在短期还是长期。最后,对所有变量进行综合检验,结果表明GDP和利率对经济增长具有对数影响。数据分析的结论是,所有变量都是相互关联的,并对经济增长产生影响。此外,还可以确定和其他经济因素对经济增长的影响,没有包括在本文中。
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引用次数: 0
MAPPING ORGANIZATIONAL LEARNING PRACTICES IN ORGANIZATIONS IN NORTH MACEDONIA 北马其顿组织中组织学习实践的映射
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701017s
Cvetko Smilevski, Gorazd Smilevski, Biljana Galovska, Ivan Gjorgjievski
This paper presents the findings of the preliminary empirical research for mapping practices of organizational learning in organizations in North Macedonia. This research has a diagnostic character – its intention is to record emerging forms of organizational learning practices resulting from the approaches in treatment of human resources. Based on that, the team of authors will more realistically define the subject dimensions of the action research carried out by BAS Institute of Management – Bitola, titled "Effectiveness of Action Interventions for Systemic Introduction of organizational learning in the practices of organizations in North Macedonia." The intention of this action research is to test in real life circumstances the feasibility and effectiveness of our integrated model of organizational learning already presented at the 13th IFKAD conference in Zagreb in 2013. The paper provides a brief overview of current research on similar topics, focusing on the findings of the preliminary empirical research – the key findings from the distribution of organizational learning practices and their effects on Peter Senge’s Five Disciplines: personal mastery and organizational wisdom; team learning and effective teamwork; mental models and organizational culture in organizational change; shared vision and strategic thinking, and system thinking and organizational intelligence.
本文介绍了北马其顿组织学习映射实践的初步实证研究结果。本研究具有诊断性特征,其目的是记录由人力资源处理方法产生的组织学习实践的新形式。基于此,作者团队将更现实地定义BAS管理学院- Bitola开展的行动研究的主题维度,题为“北马其顿组织实践中系统引入组织学习的行动干预的有效性”。这项行动研究的目的是在现实生活中测试我们在2013年萨格勒布举行的第13届IFKAD会议上提出的组织学习综合模型的可行性和有效性。本文简要概述了目前对类似主题的研究,重点介绍了初步实证研究的发现——组织学习实践的分布及其对彼得·圣吉的五大学科的影响的主要发现:个人掌握和组织智慧;团队学习和有效的团队合作;组织变革中的心理模型与组织文化共同的愿景和战略思维,系统思维和组织智慧。
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引用次数: 1
PARALEL ANALYSIS OF THE INVESTMENT ACTIVITY ON THE CROATIAN AND THE BULGARIAN STOCK EXCHANGES IN CONDITIONS OF EXTRAORDINARY EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SITUATION 在特殊流行病情况下克罗地亚和保加利亚证券交易所投资活动的平行分析
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701107s
S. Simeonov, Aneliya Peneva
Measures imposed in mid-March 2020 to halt the spread of Covid-19 limited and halted a number of businesses and raised serious questions and unexpected uncertainty throughout economic life. With this study we aim to assess the impact of the emergency situation on the investment activity of two selected Balkan stock exchange – The Croatian and The Bulgarian in the past year since its introduction. Subject of the study are the dynamics of stock exchange activity and market liquidity in parallel for the selected stock exchanges, which can be considered on the one hand with the price indicators and on the other with the natural measures. The input of our analysis are the main broad stock exchange indices for each of the two selected stock exchanges. For ZSE - CROBEX, whose sample includes 20 companies and for BSE – BGBX-40. As a basis for the stated analysis we set the price indicators - the stock exchange indices, after which we consistently consider the primary indicators and the analytical measures for the stock exchange activity. The main goal is to track the change in stock market activity, in parallel with the reaction of stock indices. As a starting point for changes in stock market activity, we take the previous year before the emergency situation and consider the trend in the coming quarters. Based on the applied different categories of specialized measures and the conducted empirical analysis, we can highlight the following more significant conclusions: The price measures - popular stock indices and market capitalization show a more tangible dependence on the looming uncertainty of the impending pandemic before the introduction of social and economic constraints. And this is more pronounced for the Croatian stock exchange. The natural indicators of the stock exchange activity - the stock exchange volume and the number of transactions show a weaker dependence on the restrictive measures. We explain this first with their generally much greater variability than that of price measures. Secondly, this can be interpreted as the absence of panic withdrawal from stock market activity, which is observed in times of crisis and is more typical of small and low-liquid capital markets. In conclusion, we can summarize that the investment activity on the capital markets of Croatia and Bulgaria is affected to a lesser extent than some sectors of the real economy. The main problem remains the humanitarian impact on the health of the affected population.
2020年3月中旬实施的阻止Covid-19传播的措施限制并停止了一些企业,并在整个经济生活中引发了严重的问题和意想不到的不确定性。通过这项研究,我们旨在评估紧急情况对两家选定的巴尔干证券交易所(克罗地亚证券交易所和保加利亚证券交易所)自去年推出以来的投资活动的影响。本文研究的对象是选定的证券交易所的证券交易活动与市场流动性并行的动态,这一方面可以考虑价格指标,另一方面可以考虑自然措施。我们分析的输入是两个选定的证券交易所的主要广泛证券交易所指数。对于样本包括20家公司的ZSE - CROBEX和BSE - BGBX-40。作为上述分析的基础,我们设定了价格指标——股票交易所指数,之后我们一直考虑主要指标和股票交易所活动的分析措施。主要目标是跟踪股票市场活动的变化,同时跟踪股票指数的反应。作为股票市场活动变化的起点,我们以上一年的紧急情况为依据,并考虑未来几个季度的趋势。根据应用的不同类别的专门指标和进行的实证分析,我们可以强调以下更重要的结论:价格指标-流行股票指数和市值显示,在引入社会和经济限制之前,对即将到来的大流行的不确定性的依赖更为明显。这一点在克罗地亚证券交易所表现得更为明显。证券交易活动的自然指标——证券交易量和交易数量对限制性措施的依赖性较弱。我们首先用它们通常比价格措施大得多的可变性来解释这一点。其次,这可以解释为没有恐慌性撤出股市活动,这在危机时期是观察到的,更典型的是小和低流动性的资本市场。总之,我们可以总结,克罗地亚和保加利亚资本市场上的投资活动受到的影响程度小于实体经济的某些部门。主要问题仍然是对受影响人口健康的人道主义影响。
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引用次数: 0
IMPACT OF COVID-19 CRISIS ON BALANCE OF PAYMENTS: RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA COVID-19危机对国际收支的影响:来自塞尔维亚共和国的研究亮点
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701079v
Milan B. Vemić
After reintegration with the world market and convergence towards the European Union which followed, the Serbian economy is no longer facing huge balance of payments deficits as earlier, which required improving the terms of trade, growth of exports and foreign direct investment. Furthermore, according to major international financial organizations, because of foreign trade and foreign exchange policies Serbian balance of payments nevertheless offers prospects for sustained economic growth and development in spite of the Covid-19 crisis. The general purpose in this paper is to review pre-pandemic and pandemic balance of payments experiences from Serbia with special emphasis on deficit mitigation performance as there is still a lingering balance of payments deficit. After classifying the internal and external factors of deficit, the specific purpose of this paper approaches research of the Covid-19 pandemic impact on the Serbian balance of payments at the end of the performance-rating period (2016-2020). Methodology of research of Serbian balance of payments is presented in the second section. It relied dominantly on IMF data sources, specifically IMF yearly data in million $ (2016-2020) and comparatively on Serbian statistical office (2019-2020). Eurostat GDP data (2020) was consulted for other countries, which are main trading partners of Serbia. Research included four main aspects: 1) Classification of Balance of Payments and International Investment Position according to the IMF Manual (BPM6); 2) Elaboration of Serbian balance of payments statistics and macroeconomic data for the period 2016–2019 (pre-pandemic); 3) Analysis and presentation of the evolution of the selected annual balance of payments statistics during the pandemic period (2020-2021); 4) Analysis and presentation of the rate of coverage of main balance of payments categories (2016-2020). The research results presented in third section reveal that deficits on major categories such as current and capital accounts still remain significant. In this regard, specific comparisons were made with 2019, the year before Covid-19 crisis, and a presentation of major Serbian trading partners is discussed briefly. At the end of July 2021, the future pattern of changes to the flows of the discussed categories based on the analysis of information from the pre-pandemic and pandemic period will significantly depend on pandemic developments in the second half of 2021 and in 2022. The pandemic is still underway and it is premature to draw any conclusions for any country. However, this research discovers and we conclude that the impact of the pandemic on Serbian balance of payments, at least through the end of 2020, was not as severe as in some other European and non-European countries. The main recommendation of the paper is therefore to maintain relative resilience of the observed Serbian balance of payments flows against potential new shocks from the ongoing pandemic. At the same time, economic po
在重新融入世界市场和随后加入欧洲联盟之后,塞尔维亚经济不再像以前那样面临巨大的国际收支赤字,这需要改善贸易条件、增加出口和外国直接投资。此外,据主要国际金融组织称,由于对外贸易和外汇政策,尽管发生了新冠肺炎危机,塞尔维亚的国际收支仍然为持续的经济增长和发展提供了前景。本文的总体目的是审查塞尔维亚在大流行前和大流行期间的国际收支经验,特别强调减少赤字的表现,因为国际收支赤字仍然存在。在对赤字的内外部因素进行分类后,本文的具体目的是在绩效评估期(2016-2020年)末研究新冠肺炎疫情对塞尔维亚国际收支的影响。第二部分介绍了塞尔维亚国际收支的研究方法。主要依赖IMF数据来源,特别是IMF年度百万美元数据(2016-2020年)和塞尔维亚统计局数据(2019-2020年)。欧盟统计局的GDP数据(2020年)是为塞尔维亚的主要贸易伙伴其他国家参考的。研究主要包括四个方面:1)根据IMF手册(BPM6)对国际收支和国际投资头寸进行分类;2)阐述2016-2019年(疫情前)塞尔维亚国际收支统计数据和宏观经济数据;3)分析和介绍疫情期间(2020-2021年)选定年度国际收支统计数据的演变;(4) 2016-2020年主要国际收支类别覆盖率分析与呈现。第三部分提出的研究结果表明,经常账户和资本账户等主要类别的赤字仍然很大。在这方面,与2019年(新冠肺炎危机前的一年)进行了具体比较,并简要介绍了塞尔维亚的主要贸易伙伴。2021年7月底,根据对大流行前和大流行期间信息的分析,所讨论的类别流量的未来变化模式将在很大程度上取决于2021年下半年和2022年的大流行事态发展。疫情仍在蔓延,现在对任何国家下结论还为时过早。然而,这项研究发现并得出结论,至少到2020年底,疫情对塞尔维亚国际收支的影响并不像其他一些欧洲和非欧洲国家那么严重。因此,该文件的主要建议是保持观察到的塞尔维亚国际收支流动相对抵御当前大流行病可能带来的新冲击的能力。与此同时,经济政策应继续吸引外国直接投资,并逐步平衡实际上仍处于赤字状态的经常帐户和资本帐户。通过解决文件导言部分解释的造成赤字的具体内部和外部因素,可以实现塞尔维亚主要国际收支类别之间的平衡。在随后的一篇论文中,我们将提出随着获得更多数据,在解释这些因素方面可能出现的新发展。
{"title":"IMPACT OF COVID-19 CRISIS ON BALANCE OF PAYMENTS: RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA","authors":"Milan B. Vemić","doi":"10.35120/kij4701079v","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35120/kij4701079v","url":null,"abstract":"After reintegration with the world market and convergence towards the European Union which followed, the Serbian economy is no longer facing huge balance of payments deficits as earlier, which required improving the terms of trade, growth of exports and foreign direct investment. Furthermore, according to major international financial organizations, because of foreign trade and foreign exchange policies Serbian balance of payments nevertheless offers prospects for sustained economic growth and development in spite of the Covid-19 crisis. The general purpose in this paper is to review pre-pandemic and pandemic balance of payments experiences from Serbia with special emphasis on deficit mitigation performance as there is still a lingering balance of payments deficit. After classifying the internal and external factors of deficit, the specific purpose of this paper approaches research of the Covid-19 pandemic impact on the Serbian balance of payments at the end of the performance-rating period (2016-2020). Methodology of research of Serbian balance of payments is presented in the second section. It relied dominantly on IMF data sources, specifically IMF yearly data in million $ (2016-2020) and comparatively on Serbian statistical office (2019-2020). Eurostat GDP data (2020) was consulted for other countries, which are main trading partners of Serbia. Research included four main aspects: 1) Classification of Balance of Payments and International Investment Position according to the IMF Manual (BPM6); 2) Elaboration of Serbian balance of payments statistics and macroeconomic data for the period 2016–2019 (pre-pandemic); 3) Analysis and presentation of the evolution of the selected annual balance of payments statistics during the pandemic period (2020-2021); 4) Analysis and presentation of the rate of coverage of main balance of payments categories (2016-2020). The research results presented in third section reveal that deficits on major categories such as current and capital accounts still remain significant. In this regard, specific comparisons were made with 2019, the year before Covid-19 crisis, and a presentation of major Serbian trading partners is discussed briefly. At the end of July 2021, the future pattern of changes to the flows of the discussed categories based on the analysis of information from the pre-pandemic and pandemic period will significantly depend on pandemic developments in the second half of 2021 and in 2022. The pandemic is still underway and it is premature to draw any conclusions for any country. However, this research discovers and we conclude that the impact of the pandemic on Serbian balance of payments, at least through the end of 2020, was not as severe as in some other European and non-European countries. The main recommendation of the paper is therefore to maintain relative resilience of the observed Serbian balance of payments flows against potential new shocks from the ongoing pandemic. At the same time, economic po","PeriodicalId":17821,"journal":{"name":"Knowledge International Journal","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88416735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
ANALYSIS OF REVENUE AS REPORTED IN THE ENTERPRISE’S FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 对企业财务报表中收入报告的分析
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701071i
R. Ivanova
Enterprise’s financial statements may be defined as structured presentation of the information about the financial position, financial performance and cash flows in the form of: assets; liabilities (payables); equity; revenue; expenses; cash inflows, outflows and net cash flows. Based on this information, one could analyse revenue and expenses, financial performance, financial position, cash flows and effectiveness of the overall business of the enterprise. The object studied in this publication refers to the revenue of enterprises, which apply the national accounting basis of the Republic of Bulgaria – the National Accounting Standards, and its subject – to the specific directions of the analysis and the methodologies for revenue analysis. The aim of this publication is to present the plenty of opportunities and methodological directions of the revenue analysis as reported by the enterprise’s financial statements, and in particular, the Statement of revenue and expenses. The data in the enterprise’s Statement of revenue and expenses may be used for analysis in the following methodological directions: overall evaluation of revenue; analysis of costs per revenue of BGN 100 (revenue effectiveness); analysis of net sales; analysis of revenue-based return with regard to the revenue effectiveness; analysis of net sales-based return (return of sales); analysis of return on the basis of net sales of products with regard to the total cost per products of BGN 100. In terms of the overall evaluation of enterprise’s revenue, their amount, composition, structure and dynamics are subject to analysis. Such analysis is aimed at identifying the change of revenue – in aggregate, by groups and specific types of revenue, for the current period in comparison to the reference period, both as an absolute and as a relative value. For management purposes, one can identify the average growth and increase rates of revenue for a long time period, characterise their development trends, forecast the expected sales, etc. When analysing the costs per revenue of BGN 100, one can identify the impact of the direct factors on the dynamics of this indicator. In their nature, these are the total amounts of costs and revenue of the enterprise. Their impact may be broken by groups and by specific items of enterprise’s costs and revenue. Therefore, one could define the impact strength and direction of any item of costs and revenues on the dynamics of revenue effectiveness. Based on the obtained information, the enterprise’s management is able to make timely, objective, justified and proper decisions for the management of enterprise’s revenue and its effectiveness. Costs per revenue of BGN 100 are directly related to the net revenue-based return. Therefore, the factors that affect the change of the indicator that characterises revenue effectiveness, have impact on the change of revenue-based return. The date from the Statement of revenue and expenses may be used to analyse the am
企业的财务报表可以定义为以下列形式对财务状况、财务业绩和现金流量等信息的结构化列报:负债(应付账款);股本;收入;费用;现金流入、流出及净现金流量。根据这些信息,人们可以分析企业的收入和费用、财务业绩、财务状况、现金流量和整体业务的有效性。本出版物的研究对象是指企业的收入,这些企业适用保加利亚共和国的国家会计基础-国家会计准则及其主题-分析的具体方向和收入分析的方法。本出版物的目的是为企业的财务报表,特别是收入和费用报表所报告的收入分析提供大量的机会和方法方向。企业损益表中的数据可以从以下几个方法方向进行分析:综合评价收入;BGN 100的单位收入成本分析(收入有效性);净销售额分析;基于收益的收益效益分析;净销售收益分析(销售收益);根据每件BGN 100的产品总成本,对产品净销售额进行回报分析。在对企业收入进行综合评价时,对企业收入的数额、构成、结构和动态进行分析。这种分析的目的是查明当期与参考期相比收入的变化情况- -按类别和具体收入类别分类- -无论是绝对价值还是相对价值。出于管理目的,可以确定长期收入的平均增长率和增长率,描述其发展趋势,预测预期销售额等。在分析100列弗的每收入成本时,可以确定对该指标动态的直接因素的影响。从本质上讲,这些是企业的成本和收入总额。其影响可以按集团和企业成本和收入的具体项目来划分。因此,我们可以确定任何成本和收入项目对收入有效性动态的影响强度和方向。企业管理层能够根据所获得的信息,对企业的收益管理和效益管理做出及时、客观、合理、恰当的决策。BGN 100的每收入成本与基于净收入的回报直接相关。因此,影响表征收益有效性的指标变化的因素,会影响基于收益的收益的变化。收入和费用表的日期可以用来分析净销售额的数量、组成、结构和动态。有机会确定产品、货物和/或服务的总销售利润,并在此基础上计算以销售为基础的净回报,这是表征企业经营效率的一个指标,这对管理至关重要。
{"title":"ANALYSIS OF REVENUE AS REPORTED IN THE ENTERPRISE’S FINANCIAL STATEMENTS","authors":"R. Ivanova","doi":"10.35120/kij4701071i","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35120/kij4701071i","url":null,"abstract":"Enterprise’s financial statements may be defined as structured presentation of the information about the financial position, financial performance and cash flows in the form of: assets; liabilities (payables); equity; revenue; expenses; cash inflows, outflows and net cash flows. Based on this information, one could analyse revenue and expenses, financial performance, financial position, cash flows and effectiveness of the overall business of the enterprise. \u0000The object studied in this publication refers to the revenue of enterprises, which apply the national accounting basis of the Republic of Bulgaria – the National Accounting Standards, and its subject – to the specific directions of the analysis and the methodologies for revenue analysis. \u0000The aim of this publication is to present the plenty of opportunities and methodological directions of the revenue analysis as reported by the enterprise’s financial statements, and in particular, the Statement of revenue and expenses. \u0000The data in the enterprise’s Statement of revenue and expenses may be used for analysis in the following methodological directions: overall evaluation of revenue; analysis of costs per revenue of BGN 100 (revenue effectiveness); analysis of net sales; analysis of revenue-based return with regard to the revenue effectiveness; analysis of net sales-based return (return of sales); analysis of return on the basis of net sales of products with regard to the total cost per products of BGN 100. \u0000In terms of the overall evaluation of enterprise’s revenue, their amount, composition, structure and dynamics are subject to analysis. Such analysis is aimed at identifying the change of revenue – in aggregate, by groups and specific types of revenue, for the current period in comparison to the reference period, both as an absolute and as a relative value. For management purposes, one can identify the average growth and increase rates of revenue for a long time period, characterise their development trends, forecast the expected sales, etc. \u0000When analysing the costs per revenue of BGN 100, one can identify the impact of the direct factors on the dynamics of this indicator. In their nature, these are the total amounts of costs and revenue of the enterprise. Their impact may be broken by groups and by specific items of enterprise’s costs and revenue. Therefore, one could define the impact strength and direction of any item of costs and revenues on the dynamics of revenue effectiveness. Based on the obtained information, the enterprise’s management is able to make timely, objective, justified and proper decisions for the management of enterprise’s revenue and its effectiveness. \u0000Costs per revenue of BGN 100 are directly related to the net revenue-based return. Therefore, the factors that affect the change of the indicator that characterises revenue effectiveness, have impact on the change of revenue-based return. \u0000The date from the Statement of revenue and expenses may be used to analyse the am","PeriodicalId":17821,"journal":{"name":"Knowledge International Journal","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90209415","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
ESSENTIAL IMPORTANCE OF KNOWLEDGE IN NEW EXPLANATIONS OF KEY DRIVERS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH 知识在经济增长关键驱动因素的新解释中至关重要
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701023t
Dragan Turanjanin, S. Cvetanović
Knowledge commercially valorized into innovation has always played an important role in economic, and more broadly in social development. It occurs in various forms of expression and can range from highly abstract to very applicative. It is understandable that there is a wide range of knowledge between the aforementioned extremes, but in general it can be stated that all forms of knowledge have a pronounced role in the technological and economic development of countries. With the development of globalization during the last decades, the claim that knowledge is of essential importance in starting economic growth has become especially relevant and is directly related to the affirmation of so-called. new growth theories. For theorists of this direction, the possibility of manifesting non-declining returns of production factors at the aggregate level is quite realistic, primarily due to the growing application of knowledge as the primary driver of economic growth. Also, one of the conceptual starting points for endogenous explanations for growth is the view that the increase in knowledge funds is the result of purposeful decisions of economic actors and not some spontaneous activity. Thus, at the heart of the new explanations of economic growth is the view that knowledge, thanks to the properties of the unlimited growth factor, has an essential significance in its generation. Pointing to the growing importance of market valorization of knowledge into applicable technological procedures in the process of generating economic progress of countries and regions, new explications of the physiology of economic growth created at the end of the previous century paved the way for the emergence of knowledge economy. The knowledge economy is formed and expanded thanks to the resource of knowledge when it is not possible to replace it with any other factor of production. Applied knowledge is commercially valorized in product and process innovations as well as in new forms and methods of organization and forms of production management in most economic sectors, and not only in those directly related to the development of information and communication technologies. The policy of innovation, which unites scientific, technological and industrial policy into a single whole, has become an unavoidable means of stimulating economic growth g great efforts to increase the innovation of the economy, especially in the implementation of their own economic and improving national competitiveness. Recent experience at the global level shows that countries are makindevelopment strategies. In general, these development strategies are based on the messages of the new growth theory, which is based on views on the decisive role of knowledge in shaping modern economic trends. The new theory of growth claims that technological progress is the result of economic activity. In previous explanations of growth, technology was taken for granted, not as the end result of market forces. The new
知识在商业上转化为创新,一直在经济发展中发挥着重要作用,更广泛地说,在社会发展中发挥着重要作用。它以各种形式出现,可以从高度抽象到非常实用。可以理解的是,在上述两个极端之间存在着广泛的知识,但总的来说,可以说所有形式的知识在各国的技术和经济发展中都发挥着显著的作用。随着过去几十年全球化的发展,知识对经济增长至关重要这一说法变得尤为重要,并与对所谓的经济增长的肯定直接相关。新的增长理论。对于这一方向的理论家来说,在总水平上表现出生产要素回报不下降的可能性是相当现实的,这主要是因为知识作为经济增长的主要驱动力的应用越来越多。此外,内生增长解释的概念起点之一是,知识基金的增加是经济行为者有目的决策的结果,而不是某种自发活动。因此,对经济增长的新解释的核心观点是,由于无限增长因素的特性,知识在其产生过程中具有重要意义。上个世纪末对经济增长生理学的新解释为知识经济的出现铺平了道路,指出在促进国家和地区经济进步的过程中,知识的市场价值转化为适用的技术程序的重要性日益增加。知识经济是在其他任何生产要素都无法替代的情况下,依靠知识资源形成和发展起来的。在大多数经济部门中,应用知识在产品和工艺创新以及新的组织形式和方法以及生产管理形式中具有商业价值,而不仅仅是在与信息和通信技术发展直接相关的领域。创新政策将科技政策和产业政策统一为一个整体,已成为刺激经济增长的一种不可避免的手段,大力提高经济的创新力,特别是在实施本国经济和提高国家竞争力方面。最近全球一级的经验表明,各国正在制定发展战略。总的来说,这些发展战略是以新增长理论的信息为基础的,新增长理论基于知识在塑造现代经济趋势方面的决定性作用的观点。新的增长理论声称技术进步是经济活动的结果。在以前对增长的解释中,技术被认为是理所当然的,而不是市场力量的最终结果。新的增长理论试图将技术内部化到市场运作的模型中。她指出,与实物不同,知识和技术的特点是不断增长的产量,从而开始了增长过程。对增长的新解释认识到知识作为经济动态驱动力的重要性。由于知识可以无限地共享和重用,它可以无限制地积累。在使用过程中不得折旧或减值。相反,增加利用知识产生的收入会促进经济增长。新增长理论有助于理解当前资源型经济向知识型经济的转变。换句话说,创造和传播知识的经济发展对国家、社区和个体企业的增长至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 AND LABOR MARKETS - COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS - THE CASE OF WESTERN BALKAN COUNTRIES COVID-19与劳动力市场——比较分析——以西巴尔干国家为例
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.35120/kij4701037t
Borce Trenovski, Bilal Sucubasi, K. Kozheski
The economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated certain structural changes in the economy, especially in the labor markets. When analyzing the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on labor markets, it should be noted that not all countries, industries and professions are equally affected. We are witnessing that most of the highly developed countries have more or less successfully overcome the shocks that appeared on the labor markets, the shutdown of some of the service sectors, the slowdown of the supply chains of raw materials, as well as the acceleration of some of the structural changes in the labor market. However, like any other recession, there are countries in this one that have largely felt the negative consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, especially in the labor market. In addition, the workers in the so-called shadow economy or informal sector, low-skilled workers, workers who worked in the services sector (especially in the field of personal services), so greater impact is observed in developing countries, where this type of employment is a significant part of the total workforce. In the absence of empirical researches on the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the labor market in the Western Balkans (North Macedonia, Albania, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo) it is considered necessary to make a comparative analysis of the negative effects on the labor market, the trend of the employment and unemployment rate, as well as a comparative analysis of the measures taken by the governments to mitigate the negative effects on labor market in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
新冠肺炎疫情引发的经济危机加速了经济特别是劳动力市场的某些结构性变化。在分析2019冠状病毒病大流行对劳动力市场的影响时,应该指出,并非所有国家、行业和职业都受到同样的影响。我们看到,大多数高度发达的国家或多或少都成功地克服了劳动力市场上出现的冲击,一些服务部门的关闭,原材料供应链的放缓,以及劳动力市场上一些结构性变化的加速。然而,与其他任何经济衰退一样,这次经济衰退中的一些国家在很大程度上感受到了COVID-19大流行的负面影响,尤其是在劳动力市场。此外,所谓的影子经济或非正规部门的工人,低技能工人,在服务部门工作的工人(特别是在个人服务领域),因此在发展中国家观察到更大的影响,这种类型的就业是总劳动力的重要组成部分。由于缺乏关于COVID-19大流行对西巴尔干地区(北马其顿、阿尔巴尼亚、塞尔维亚、波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那和科索沃)劳动力市场影响的实证研究,因此有必要对其对劳动力市场的负面影响、就业趋势和失业率、并对各国政府为减轻COVID-19大流行对劳动力市场的负面影响而采取的措施进行了比较分析。
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引用次数: 0
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Knowledge International Journal
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