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Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2000 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity (Cat. No.00CH37055)最新文献

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Improvements in reliability assessment and prediction methodology 可靠性评估和预测方法的改进
B. Johnson, L. Gullo
This paper describes the continuing evolution of Honeywell's HIRAP, Honeywell In-Service Reliability Assessment Program. The approaches used in HIRAP remain consistent with industry efforts in the area of reliability assessment. The paper also presents a description of the process flows, showing simplifications that have occurred in the process over the last year. Unlike conventional reliability prediction methodologies, which focus solely on part failure rates, the methodologies presented here incorporate design failure rates, manufacturing process failure rates and other causes for equipment removal.
本文介绍了霍尼韦尔在役可靠性评估计划(HIRAP)的持续发展。HIRAP使用的方法与可靠性评估领域的行业努力保持一致。本文还介绍了流程流的描述,显示了在过去一年中流程中发生的简化。与传统的可靠性预测方法不同,传统的可靠性预测方法只关注零件故障率,这里介绍的方法包括设计故障率、制造过程故障率和设备移除的其他原因。
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引用次数: 13
The HASS development process HASS的开发过程
D. Rahe
The advent of HASS (highly accelerated stress screen) into the marketplace has enabled scores of manufacturers to dramatically reduce the number of production related failures from being shipped into their customer's hands. HASS is a screening process that uses accelerated techniques to uncover manufactured product weaknesses and flaws. The process requires the use of the HALT (highly accelerated life testing) results, and other product specific information to design the initial profile, and then to tune it for optimal effectiveness. This paper presents the HASS development process as it was applied to a client's uninterruptable power supply (UPS) product. This process is presented in a systematic approach to demonstrate the methods employed to create an effective screen.
HASS(高加速应力屏)进入市场后,许多制造商大大减少了与生产相关的故障数量,避免了它们被送到客户手中。HASS是一种筛选过程,使用加速技术发现制造产品的弱点和缺陷。该过程需要使用HALT(高度加速寿命测试)结果和其他产品特定信息来设计初始轮廓,然后对其进行调整以获得最佳效果。本文介绍了HASS的开发过程,因为它被应用于客户的不间断电源(UPS)产品。该过程以系统的方式呈现,以演示用于创建有效屏幕的方法。
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引用次数: 1
A review of plastic-encapsulated-microcircuit reliability-prediction models 塑料封装微电路可靠性预测模型综述
Yin-Liong Mok, L. Ten
This paper reviews available plastic encapsulated microcircuit (PEM) reliability prediction models including the CNET, Thomson-CSF and RAC model. We examine the RAC (Reliability Analysis Center) model in detail, as it is the only usable model that considers the accelerating effects of temperature and humidity on PEM failures. Our intention is to provide constructive criticisms and propose amendments. We agreed with the assumptions made by the RAC model: types of packaging do not affect PEM failure rate; and a single activation energy of 0.8 eV may be adequate for different IC logic families. However, we feel that the RAC model should incorporate a term for EOS/ESD failures as they constitutes a high percentage (up to 43%) of IC failures. The RAC model should set an upper limit of 130/spl deg/C and 99% RH when using Peck's model to model temperature/humidity acceleration so as to avoid violating physics-of-failure considerations. It should consider treating microprocessor and memories as two different classes of devices due to the vast differences in their reliability as indicated by some literatures. We question if the reliability growth rate can be projected without restrictions. There should also be clearer indications of what constitutes "best commercial practices"-a prerequisite to apply the model.
本文综述了现有的塑料封装微电路(PEM)可靠性预测模型,包括CNET、Thomson-CSF和RAC模型。我们详细检查了RAC(可靠性分析中心)模型,因为它是唯一考虑温度和湿度对PEM故障加速影响的可用模型。我们的目的是提供建设性的批评并提出修正建议。我们同意RAC模型的假设:包装类型不影响PEM故障率;对于不同的IC逻辑系列,0.8 eV的单一激活能可能是足够的。然而,我们认为RAC模型应该包含EOS/ESD故障的术语,因为它们构成了IC故障的高比例(高达43%)。在使用Peck模型模拟温度/湿度加速度时,RAC模型应设置130/spl℃和99% RH的上限,以避免违反失效物理考虑。由于一些文献表明,微处理器和存储器在可靠性方面存在巨大差异,因此应考虑将它们视为两种不同的器件。我们质疑可靠性增长率是否可以不受限制地预测。对于什么是“最佳商业实践”也应该有更清晰的说明——这是应用该模式的先决条件。
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引用次数: 2
AFR: problems of definition, calculation and measurement in a commercial environment AFR:商业环境下的定义、计算和测量问题
J. Elerath
Most commercial enterprises want a meaningful yet simple method for determining product reliability. "Average", "annual" or "annualized" failure rates are selected because of their apparent simplicity. All involve some sort of "failure rate" averaging over some period of time. All are abbreviated AFR even though there are no accepted industry standard definitions for these terms or the processes and conditions for their measurement. If the failure rate is not constant in time, creating an average can easily generate meaningless results. A number of businesses use the term "failure rate" but are in fact calculating probabilities or time independent percentages. A basic premise for this paper is that the true underlying product failure rates are not constant in time. This paper presents a detailed discussion of different ways commercial industries calculate simple failure rate based metrics. It identifies some ambiguities in the definitions and resultant inaccuracies. It will help the reliability pundit understand the mathematical considerations, making him more aware of potential problems. This paper should help generalists and managers understand that the AFR's they calculate may be significantly different than those calculated by their suppliers and customers. This can result in substantially different numbers and conclusions. Averaging instantaneous failure rates should be done only to smooth data collected from a distribution known to have a constant failure rate.
大多数商业企业都希望有一种有意义而又简单的方法来确定产品的可靠性。选择“平均”、“年度”或“年化”故障率是因为它们明显简单。所有这些都涉及某种“失败率”在一段时间内的平均值。所有这些都是缩写AFR,尽管这些术语或其测量的过程和条件没有公认的行业标准定义。如果失败率在时间上不是恒定的,那么创建一个平均值很容易产生无意义的结果。许多企业使用术语“失败率”,但实际上是计算概率或与时间无关的百分比。本文的一个基本前提是,真正的潜在产品故障率在时间上不是恒定的。本文详细讨论了商业行业计算简单故障率的不同方法。它指出了定义中的一些含糊之处和由此产生的不准确性。它将帮助可靠性专家理解数学考虑,使他更加意识到潜在的问题。本文应该帮助通才和管理者理解,他们计算的AFR可能与他们的供应商和客户计算的AFR有很大的不同。这可能导致截然不同的数字和结论。平均瞬时故障率只应用于平滑从已知具有恒定故障率的分布中收集的数据。
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引用次数: 20
Reliability test target development 可靠性测试目标开发
Ming-Wei Lu, R. Rudy
An automotive company's goal is to design and manufacture vehicles that will meet the needs and the expectations of the customers. It is essential for the design engineer to understand and take into account all sources of variation, which will be encountered by the system or component being developed. In this paper, the methods of derivation for the reliability test target requirement (at 95/sup th/ percentile customer usage severity level) from a given field target requirement (in C/100) is described. Formulas are derived under the assumption that both stress and strength are normally distributed, lognormally distributed, and Weibull distributed.
汽车公司的目标是设计和制造能够满足客户需求和期望的汽车。对于设计工程师来说,理解并考虑到正在开发的系统或组件将遇到的所有变异来源是至关重要的。在本文中,描述了从给定的领域目标需求(在C/100中)推导可靠性测试目标需求(在95/sup /百分位客户使用严重性级别)的方法。公式推导假设应力和强度均为正态分布、对数正态分布和威布尔分布。
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引用次数: 10
Specifying reliability in the disk drive industry: No more MTBF's 在磁盘驱动器行业中指定可靠性:不再有MTBF
J. Elerath
Great strides have been made in creating a more realistic method for specifying disk drive reliability in a competitive commercial environment. Mean time between (before) failure (MTBF) is misleading and causes great conflict between drive manufacturers and drive integrators. The single most prominent cause is that the failure distribution for disk drives is not exponential during the first year of product use. To rectify this problem, drive hazard rate, in the form of a stair-step approximation to the Weibull, has been instituted as a standard way of representing reliability in the disk drive industry. Although not problem free, this method for specifying reliability is more easily correlated to field experience and can be used to more accurately calculate the expected number of returns and spares needed.
在竞争激烈的商业环境中,为指定磁盘驱动器的可靠性创建更现实的方法已经取得了很大的进步。平均故障前间隔时间(MTBF)具有误导性,引起了驱动制造商和驱动集成商之间的巨大冲突。一个最突出的原因是,在产品使用的第一年,磁盘驱动器的故障分布不是指数型的。为了纠正这个问题,驱动器的危险率,在一个阶梯逼近威布尔的形式,已经制定了作为一个标准的方式来表示可靠性在磁盘驱动器行业。虽然不是没有问题,但这种指定可靠性的方法更容易与现场经验相关联,并可用于更准确地计算所需的退货和备件的预期数量。
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引用次数: 58
G-renewal process as a model for statistical warranty claim prediction g -续约过程作为统计保修索赔预测的模型
M. Kaminskiy, Vasiliy V. Krivtsov
A brief overview of the statistical aspects of warranty prediction is given as an introduction. The main discussion then focuses on warranty claim prediction for repairable products. Introduced by Kijima and Sumita (1986), a g-renewal process (GRP) can be considered as a model for major repair assumptions encountered in repairable product reliability analysis. These assumptions include "good-as-new", "same-as-old", the intermediate "better-than-old-but-worse-than-new", and "worse-than-old". A statistical procedure is developed for estimation of the GRP parameter, which is suggested to have engineering meaning of the effectiveness of the repair actions. A practical example of the GRP application in statistical warranty prediction is given as an illustration of the proposed estimation method. The paper arrives to the following conclusions: The GRP provides high flexibility in modeling real life failure occurrence processes by covering major repair assumptions encountered in practice. A Monte Carlo simulation can be considered as a method for statistical estimation of the GRP. Warranty claim prediction based on GRP provides a higher accuracy compared to the ORP or the NHPP.
简要概述保修预测的统计方面作为介绍。然后主要讨论可修复产品的保修索赔预测。由Kijima和Sumita(1986)提出的g更新过程(GRP)可以看作是可修产品可靠性分析中遇到的大修假设的模型。这些假设包括“与新一样好”、“与旧一样好”、中间假设“比旧的好,但比新的差”和“比旧的差”。提出了一种估算GRP参数的统计方法,该方法对修复行动的有效性具有工程意义。最后给出了GRP在统计质保期预测中的应用实例。本文得出以下结论:GRP涵盖了实际维修中遇到的主要假设,在模拟实际故障发生过程方面具有很高的灵活性。蒙特卡罗模拟可以看作是GRP的一种统计估计方法。与ORP或NHPP相比,基于GRP的保修索赔预测具有更高的准确性。
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引用次数: 48
A reliability development program for the Swedish industry 瑞典工业的可靠性发展计划
S. Vikman, A. Lonnqvist
A recent nationwide survey to the Swedish Engineering Industry disclosed that the understanding and use of reliability and safety methods by the small and medium sized companies on an average was distressingly low. Less than 30% of the smaller companies were familiar with reliability. In 1996, based on a survey and a following "out-line study", a new project was initiated by the Association of Swedish Engineering Industries, VI, and its Reliability Committee Te 5/2. The goal was to develop and document a program for "cooperative reliability development by small and medium-sized companies of the Swedish industrial sector". It will offer help to companies to initiate need based and local reliability work/activities. Starting point is an auditing/review of a company's existent process(es) and an audit of existing reliability status. Based on this, one will reach an understanding of in what way any "down-to-the-floor" simplified reliability-centered activity could be helpful. The final program will include necessary information and methods packages, training activities, expertise for managerial support and guidance during start-up and access to consultancy support where necessary for further implementation. This paper describes the project and its findings and illustrates the tools and methods developed for organizing individual down-to-the-floor reliability work programs by the industry.
最近对瑞典工程行业进行的全国调查显示,中小企业对可靠性和安全性方法的理解和使用程度平均很低。只有不到30%的小公司熟悉可靠性。1996年,基于一项调查和随后的“概要研究”,瑞典工程工业协会VI及其可靠性委员会Te 5/2发起了一个新项目。其目标是制定并记录一个“瑞典工业部门中小型公司合作可靠性发展”的方案。它将帮助公司启动基于需求和本地可靠性的工作/活动。起点是对公司现有流程和现有可靠性状态的审计/审查。在此基础上,人们将理解任何“彻底”简化的以可靠性为中心的活动在何种程度上是有帮助的。最后的方案将包括必要的资料和方法包、培训活动、管理支助的专门知识和启动期间的指导,并在进一步执行时获得必要的咨询支持。本文描述了该项目及其发现,并说明了业界为组织个别的下至地面可靠性工作计划而开发的工具和方法。
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引用次数: 0
Using benchmarking to introduce and improve reliability engineering 运用标杆管理引入和改进可靠性工程
M. Morelli
Benchmarking has been very instrumental to Otis Elevator Company's introduction and continual improvement of several key reliability engineering activities. The feasibility of using the highly accelerated life testing and highly accelerated stress screening methods for electronics' reliability testing were studied and implemented in part by benchmarking with other companies already practising the techniques and have been continually improved using another benchmarking arrangement. Failure modes and effects analysis methods were also studied by benchmarking with other companies and attending several "outside" training courses. Activities such as part burn-in and reliability prediction were eliminated after benchmarking and analyses were performed.
标杆管理对奥的斯电梯公司引进和持续改进几个关键的可靠性工程活动起到了非常重要的作用。使用高加速寿命测试和高加速应力筛选方法进行电子产品可靠性测试的可行性,部分是通过与其他已经采用该技术的公司进行基准测试来研究和实施的,并通过另一种基准测试安排不断改进。通过与其他公司对标和参加几次“外部”培训课程,研究失效模式和影响分析方法。在进行基准测试和分析后,消除了零件磨损和可靠性预测等活动。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability assessment from degradation data 基于退化数据的可靠性评估
V. Crk
The importance of degradation analysis as a method of assessing the reliability of highly reliable components and systems constantly increases due to the continuous efforts of the manufacturers to produce more and more reliable products. The presented methodology is an effective way to estimate the system's reliability by monitoring performance degradation. Its advantage is that the times to failure are not directly observed but the degradation that can be accurately measured. Consequently, the test time can be significantly shorter than if the times to failure are recorded.
由于制造商不断努力生产越来越多的可靠产品,退化分析作为一种评估高可靠性部件和系统可靠性的方法的重要性不断增加。该方法是一种通过监测系统性能退化来估计系统可靠性的有效方法。它的优点是不能直接观察到故障发生的时间,但可以精确地测量退化。因此,测试时间比记录故障发生的时间要短得多。
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引用次数: 99
期刊
Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2000 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity (Cat. No.00CH37055)
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