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Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2000 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity (Cat. No.00CH37055)最新文献

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Field data is reliability information: implementing an automated data acquisition and analysis system 现场数据是可靠性信息:实现自动化数据采集和分析系统
James Jauw, P. Vassiliou
This document describes the conception and development of the Amway Product Quality Tracking System (PQTS). The PQTS is an integrated product quality tracking system that allows the organization to: (1) capture product quality, reliability and warranty data from disparate data sources and incorporate that data into a single centralized database that can support powerful data analysis; (2) carry out sophisticated data analysis routines that transform data into information that can be used for decision-making; and (3) present analyzed reports and graphs in a graphically rich, multi-faceted and carefully organized presentation interface accessible via Intranet or Internet to support the decision-making of key organizational personnel. Development of this system began with an attempt to improve on labor-intensive manual methods of report creation and proceeded to the development of the fully automated system available to Amway today. A general description of the development process, an analysis of the lessons learned during system implementation and benefits to the corporation are presented.
本文件介绍安利产品品质追踪系统的概念及发展。PQTS是一个集成的产品质量跟踪系统,允许组织:(1)从不同的数据源获取产品质量、可靠性和保修数据,并将这些数据合并到一个可以支持强大数据分析的单一集中数据库中;(2)执行复杂的数据分析程序,将数据转化为可用于决策的信息;(3)通过内部网或互联网,以图形丰富、多方位、精心组织的展示界面呈现分析报告和图表,以支持关键组织人员的决策。该系统的开发始于尝试改进劳动密集型的手工报表创建方法,并逐步发展到今天安利可用的全自动系统。概述了系统的开发过程,分析了系统实施过程中的经验教训,并对公司的利益进行了分析。
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引用次数: 8
Monte Carlo simulation using Excel(R) spreadsheet for predicting reliability of a complex system 利用Excel(R)电子表格进行蒙特卡罗模拟,预测复杂系统的可靠性
S. G. Gedam, S. Beaudet
A technique for performing Monte-Carlo simulation using an Excel spreadsheet has been developed. This technique utilizes the powerful mathematical and statistical capabilities of Excel. The functional reliability block diagram (RBD) of the system under investigation is first transformed into a table in an Excel spreadsheet. Each cell within the table corresponds to a specific block in the RBD. Formulae for failure times entered into these cells are in accordance with the failure time distribution of the corresponding block and can follow exponential, normal, lognormal or Weibull distribution. The Excel pseudo random number generator is used to simulate failure times of individual units or modules in the system. Logical expressions are then used to determine system success or failure. Excel's macro feature enables repetition of the scenario thousands of times while automatically recording the failure data. Excel's graphical capabilities are later used for plotting the failure probability density function (PDF) and cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the overall system. The paper discusses the results obtainable from this method such as reliability estimate, mean and variance of failures and confidence intervals. Simulation time is dependent on the complexity of the system, computer speed, and the accuracy desired, and may range from a few minutes to a few hours.
开发了一种使用Excel电子表格进行蒙特卡罗模拟的技术。这种技术利用了Excel强大的数学和统计功能。首先将所研究系统的功能可靠性框图(RBD)转换为Excel电子表格中的表格。表中的每个单元格对应于RBD中的特定块。这些单元格中输入的失效次数公式符合相应块的失效时间分布,可以遵循指数分布、正态分布、对数正态分布或威布尔分布。Excel伪随机数生成器用于模拟系统中单个单元或模块的故障次数。然后使用逻辑表达式来确定系统的成功或失败。Excel的宏功能可以在自动记录故障数据的同时重复该场景数千次。Excel的图形功能随后用于绘制整个系统的失效概率密度函数(PDF)和累积分布函数(CDF)。讨论了该方法的可靠性估计、故障的均值和方差以及置信区间等结果。仿真时间取决于系统的复杂程度、计算机速度和所需的精度,从几分钟到几个小时不等。
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引用次数: 35
A practical software-reliability measurement framework based on failure data 一种实用的基于故障数据的软件可靠性度量框架
Lu Min-yan, B. Yunfeng, Cong Min
Software-reliability measurement based on failure data can provide estimations of software reliability at its present state and predictions of software reliability in the future as testing goes on. This paper analyzes the problems existed in the measurement process and proposes a practical software-reliability measurement framework based on state of the art to give relatively better software reliability predictions. Study on the validity of the modification methods i.e. the recalibration technique and the combination method also has been done. The results show that the modification methods could give better prediction results but not always, so predictive quality analysis still needs to be done.
基于故障数据的软件可靠性度量可以提供当前状态下的软件可靠性估计,以及随着测试的进行对未来软件可靠性的预测。分析了软件可靠性测量过程中存在的问题,提出了一种实用的基于现有技术水平的软件可靠性测量框架,以实现较好的软件可靠性预测。对修正方法即再标定法和组合法的有效性进行了研究。结果表明,修正方法的预测效果较好,但并非总是如此,因此仍需进行预测质量分析。
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引用次数: 2
Designed fatigue experiments to improve the reliability of liquid crystal displays 设计疲劳试验,提高液晶显示器的可靠性
B. Scibilia, A. Kobi, R. Chassagnon, A. Barreau
The objective of this paper is to show how reliability improvement may be achieved using statistically designed experiments. Environmental stress testing has been performed on liquid crystal displays (LCDs) to identify the parameter settings that allow an increase in their lifetime. During their operating life, the LCDs are connected to electronic devices and are inserted into cases. They are used to display measurements to aircraft pilots during commercial flights. Typically the failure time was 4000 hours of flight which was considered not to be long enough. The design of experiments provided an opportunity to check whether the most likely hypothesis was correct. During the tests, degradation rates were used as a response. The effects of three factors were studied using two overlapped 2/sup 2/ orthogonal designs. A powerful spotlight located at 2.5 meters from the tested LCDs, was used to model the degradation rate. One of the factors was found to reduce dramatically the degradation rate, allowing a very substantial increase in the product lifetimes. More generally, we propose to use the slope of the degradation function as a response in designs of experiments for reliability. The advantages of doing this are that the responses are normally distributed and when the data are right censored, it does not cause as many problems as when failure times are recorded. The drawback is that the product degradation needs to be periodically monitored until an accurate estimate of the degradation rate is available, moreover the degradation function may not be linear so that a data transformation is required.
本文的目的是展示如何使用统计设计的实验来提高可靠性。对液晶显示器(lcd)进行了环境压力测试,以确定可以延长其使用寿命的参数设置。在其使用寿命期间,lcd连接到电子设备并插入机箱中。它们用于在商业飞行中向飞行员显示测量结果。典型的故障时间是飞行4000小时这被认为不够长。实验的设计为检验最有可能的假设是否正确提供了机会。在测试过程中,降解率被用作响应。采用两个重叠的2/sup / 2/正交设计研究了三个因素的影响。距离测试lcd 2.5米的强力聚光灯被用来模拟降解率。其中一个因素被发现可以显著降低降解率,从而大大增加产品的使用寿命。更一般地说,我们建议在可靠性试验设计中使用退化函数的斜率作为响应。这样做的好处是,响应是正态分布的,当数据被正确审查时,它不会像记录故障时间那样引起那么多问题。缺点是需要定期监测产品的退化,直到对退化率有一个准确的估计,而且退化函数可能不是线性的,因此需要进行数据转换。
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引用次数: 3
Power-related failure mechanisms in the analysis of wireless system availability 无线系统可用性分析中的电源相关故障机制
C. K. Chan, T. Doumi, M. Tortorella
Many systems (e.g, wireless systems, routers, etc.) are designed to shut down at high operating temperatures to protect the electronics from overheating. Setting the shutdown threshold high would reduce the frequency of shutdown events, while increasing the system failure rate due to higher component junction temperatures. Setting the threshold low would reverse the relative downtime contributions from the two competing shutdown mechanisms. This work proposes a method to find an optimal threshold by minimizing the sum of the downtimes contributed by system shutdown and hot component failures. The system selected for this study is a CDMA fixed wireless system. The downtime due to component failures is estimated using a proportional hazards model with a time-dependent junction temperature as the covariate. The junction temperature of a RF output transistor in the power amplifier is used to compute the probability of shutdown. Combining the downtimes from shutdown and component failures, we demonstrate that an optimal threshold can be found by minimizing the total system downtime. The proposed method is useful for choosing a shutdown threshold at the design stage of a system.
许多系统(如无线系统、路由器等)被设计为在高温下关闭,以保护电子设备不过热。设置较高的关机阈值将减少关机事件的频率,同时由于组件结温较高而增加系统故障率。将阈值设置得较低将逆转两种相互竞争的关闭机制的相对停机时间贡献。这项工作提出了一种方法,通过最小化由系统关闭和热组件故障造成的停机时间总和来找到最佳阈值。本研究选择的系统是CDMA固定无线系统。由于部件故障的停机时间是使用一个比例风险模型,与时间相关的结温作为协变量来估计的。功率放大器中射频输出晶体管的结温用于计算关断概率。结合关机和组件故障造成的停机时间,我们证明可以通过最小化系统总停机时间来找到最佳阈值。该方法可用于系统设计阶段的停机阈值选择。
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引用次数: 1
Forecasting the reliability and safety of future space transportation systems 预测未来空间运输系统的可靠性和安全性
J. Fragola
Forecasting the future is can never be considered as an exact science. However if the tools of risk assessment are used to develop such forecasts in a systematic and coherent fashion, and if they properly take into account the uncertainty in the achievement of the promised benefits of future designs, then, not only can the decision making process be made more tractable and orderly, but design alternatives, which are not immediately apparent, may also come to light. In this paper, the author forecasts the reliability and safety of future space transportation systems.
预测未来永远不能被认为是一门精确的科学。然而,如果使用风险评估工具以系统和连贯的方式开发这种预测,并且如果它们适当地考虑到未来设计所承诺的利益实现的不确定性,那么,不仅决策过程可以变得更容易处理和有序,而且设计替代方案也可以立即显现出来。本文对未来空间运输系统的可靠性和安全性进行了预测。
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引用次数: 3
Unavailability of a repairable system with one or two replacement options [submarine telecommunication network] 没有可修复的系统,只有一种或两种替代选择[海底电信网络]
A. Berlot, S. Desbruslais, M. Meniconi
The submarine line terminal equipment (SLTE) is part of the land-based equipment of a submarine telecommunications network. It is considered to be a repairable system and is housed in the terminal station (TS). This study is concerned with the methodology for the calculation of the unavailability of the SLTE. The traditionally-accepted method of calculating the unavailability of the SLTE is to assume an unlimited number of spares in the TS. Because of the rapidly increasing capacity of submarine networks, it is becoming more important to quantify accurately the unavailability of the equipment, taking into account the exact limited number of spares provided. Furthermore, the spares replacement policy has a bearing on unavailability. The Markov method is used to model the system and to calculate the unavailability, the results are supported using Monte-Carlo simulations. Simplified formulae are derived to approximate the results. Numerical examples are presented to show the advantage of introducing a central store and to validate the approximations.
海底线路终端设备(SLTE)是海底通信网陆基设备的组成部分。它被认为是一个可修复的系统,被安置在终端站(TS)。本研究关注的是计算SLTE不可用性的方法。传统上被接受的计算SLTE不可用性的方法是假设TS中有无限数量的备件。由于海底网络容量的迅速增加,考虑到所提供的备件的确切有限数量,准确量化设备的不可用性变得越来越重要。此外,备件更换策略与不可用性有关。采用马尔可夫方法对系统进行了建模,并对系统的不可用性进行了计算,结果得到了蒙特卡罗仿真的支持。推导出简化公式来近似计算结果。通过数值算例说明了引入中心存储的优点,并验证了近似的正确性。
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引用次数: 2
System design optimization by genetic algorithms 采用遗传算法优化系统设计
M. Marseguerra, E. Zio
In this paper we present an approach, based on the use of genetic algorithms, to determining the optimal system configuration, where the choices can include also k-out-of-n:G schemes. In our work, the objective function used to measure the fitness of a proposed solution is the net profit of system operation for a given mission time. The net profit is obtained by subtracting from the service revenue all the costs associated with the system implementation and operation, i.e. component acquisition and repair costs, system downtime costs, accident costs to restore external environmental conditions and refund from losses in case of an accident. The objective function so designed accounts implicitly for any availability and reliability constraints through the system downtime and accident costs, respectively. Mathematically, then, the problem becomes a search in the system configuration space of that design which maximizes the objective function. In this work, the optimization algorithm is applied to a simple system, for validation purposes. The system is chosen in such a way that the objective function can be computed analytically and the configuration which maximises it can be found by inspection. The results obtained analytically are compared to those obtained by the genetic algorithm and confirm the good performance of the methodology implemented.
在本文中,我们提出了一种基于遗传算法的方法来确定最优系统配置,其中的选择也可以包括k / n:G方案。在我们的工作中,用于衡量所提出的解决方案的适应度的目标函数是给定任务时间内系统运行的净利润。净利润是在服务收入中减去与系统实施和运行有关的所有成本,即部件购置和维修成本、系统停机成本、恢复外部环境条件的事故成本以及发生事故时的损失退款。这样设计的目标函数分别通过系统停机时间和事故成本隐含地考虑了任何可用性和可靠性约束。在数学上,这个问题就变成了在目标函数最大化的系统构型空间中的搜索。在这项工作中,优化算法应用于一个简单的系统,以验证目的。在选择系统时,目标函数可以解析计算,并且可以通过检查找到使目标函数最大化的配置。将解析得到的结果与遗传算法得到的结果进行了比较,证实了所实现方法的良好性能。
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引用次数: 35
A cellular evolutionary approach applied to reliability optimization of complex systems 应用于复杂系统可靠性优化的细胞进化方法
Claudio M. Rocco, A. J. Miller, J. A. Moreno, Néstor Carrasquero
This paper proposes an innovative approach using cellular evolutionary strategies (CES) to solve three types of reliability optimization problems: redundancy (number of redundant components), component reliability, and both redundancy and component reliability. In general, these problems are formulated as mixed-integer nonlinear programming problems with one or several constraints. CES combine evolution strategy techniques with concepts from cellular automata (CA) to solve optimization problems. CES were designed to find the global optimum or "near" optimum for complex multi-modal functions where traditional optimization techniques have shown poor performances, or simply have failed. The new technique has been applied to several typical problems with results better than previously reported and very close to the optimum solution.
本文提出了一种利用细胞进化策略(CES)来解决三种类型的可靠性优化问题的创新方法:冗余(冗余组件数量)、组件可靠性以及冗余和组件可靠性。一般来说,这些问题被表述为带有一个或多个约束的混合整数非线性规划问题。CES将进化策略技术与元胞自动机(CA)的概念相结合来解决优化问题。设计CES是为了寻找复杂多模态函数的全局最优或“接近”最优,传统的优化技术表现不佳或根本失败。新技术已应用于几个典型问题,结果比以前报道的要好,非常接近最优解。
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引用次数: 33
Reliability evaluation of a flash RAM using step-stress test results 利用阶跃应力测试结果评估闪存RAM的可靠性
Fengbin Sun, W.C. Chang
This paper presents a reliability evaluation on an ASIC (application specific integrated circuit) flash RAM using an accelerated life test. The accelerated stress applied on the life test is a combination of temperature and humidity using a step-stress profile. Reliability assessment is conducted by using the Peck combination model to quantify the acceleration factors, and convert the operation cycles at various high temperature and humidity conditions to the equivalent cycles at normal operation condition. The Weibull analysis is also conducted based on the cumulative equivalent test time for each PCB. Mean time to failure (MTTF) and the cumulative failure probabilities were calculated for one-year operation, five-year operation, and the 40000 power on- and-off cycles of design specification. The technique of the accelerated life test and reliability assessment presented in this paper can be used in other similar programs and reliability assessment.
本文采用加速寿命试验对专用集成电路(ASIC)闪存的可靠性进行了评估。应用于寿命试验的加速应力是使用阶梯应力剖面的温度和湿度的组合。采用Peck组合模型进行可靠性评估,量化加速度因子,并将各种高温湿工况下的运行周期转换为正常运行工况下的等效周期。根据每个PCB的累积等效测试时间进行威布尔分析。计算了1年运行、5年运行和设计规范的40000次电源开关周期的平均故障时间(MTTF)和累积故障概率。本文提出的加速寿命试验和可靠性评估技术可用于其他类似的方案和可靠性评估。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2000 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity (Cat. No.00CH37055)
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