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Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2000 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity (Cat. No.00CH37055)最新文献

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The HASS development process HASS的开发过程
D. Rahe
The advent of HASS (highly accelerated stress screen) into the marketplace has enabled scores of manufacturers to dramatically reduce the number of production related failures from being shipped into their customer's hands. HASS is a screening process that uses accelerated techniques to uncover manufactured product weaknesses and flaws. The process requires the use of the HALT (highly accelerated life testing) results, and other product specific information to design the initial profile, and then to tune it for optimal effectiveness. This paper presents the HASS development process as it was applied to a client's uninterruptable power supply (UPS) product. This process is presented in a systematic approach to demonstrate the methods employed to create an effective screen.
HASS(高加速应力屏)进入市场后,许多制造商大大减少了与生产相关的故障数量,避免了它们被送到客户手中。HASS是一种筛选过程,使用加速技术发现制造产品的弱点和缺陷。该过程需要使用HALT(高度加速寿命测试)结果和其他产品特定信息来设计初始轮廓,然后对其进行调整以获得最佳效果。本文介绍了HASS的开发过程,因为它被应用于客户的不间断电源(UPS)产品。该过程以系统的方式呈现,以演示用于创建有效屏幕的方法。
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引用次数: 1
Improvements in reliability assessment and prediction methodology 可靠性评估和预测方法的改进
B. Johnson, L. Gullo
This paper describes the continuing evolution of Honeywell's HIRAP, Honeywell In-Service Reliability Assessment Program. The approaches used in HIRAP remain consistent with industry efforts in the area of reliability assessment. The paper also presents a description of the process flows, showing simplifications that have occurred in the process over the last year. Unlike conventional reliability prediction methodologies, which focus solely on part failure rates, the methodologies presented here incorporate design failure rates, manufacturing process failure rates and other causes for equipment removal.
本文介绍了霍尼韦尔在役可靠性评估计划(HIRAP)的持续发展。HIRAP使用的方法与可靠性评估领域的行业努力保持一致。本文还介绍了流程流的描述,显示了在过去一年中流程中发生的简化。与传统的可靠性预测方法不同,传统的可靠性预测方法只关注零件故障率,这里介绍的方法包括设计故障率、制造过程故障率和设备移除的其他原因。
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引用次数: 13
Modeling of common-mode failures in digital embedded systems 数字嵌入式系统的共模故障建模
L. M. Kaufman, S. Bhide, B.W. Johnson
This paper demonstrates how to accurately model the effects of common mode failures for digital embedded systems. By modeling the system's information flow, the integrated nature of the software and hardware components contained within such a system is represented. This modeling scheme allows for the system to be partitioned into error containment regions (ECRs), which are an extension of the fault containment region (FCR) concept. These ECRs are defined such that an error at their boundary results in system failure. If two or more ECRs produce errors at their boundaries and the underlying cause of these errors is identical, then the identification of common mode failures is achieved.
本文演示了如何准确地对数字嵌入式系统的共模故障影响进行建模。通过对系统的信息流进行建模,这样一个系统中包含的软件和硬件组件的集成性质就被表示出来了。该建模方案允许将系统划分为错误包含区域(ecr),这是故障包含区域(FCR)概念的扩展。这些ecr被定义为在其边界处出现错误将导致系统失效。如果两个或更多ecr在其边界处产生错误,并且这些错误的潜在原因相同,则可以实现对共模故障的识别。
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引用次数: 23
Modeling and analysis for multiple stress-type accelerated life data 多应力型加速寿命数据建模与分析
A. Mettas
This paper describes a model for multiple stress-type accelerated life data. In addition, the use of an algorithm, which was specifically developed for this model is illustrated. The model is based on the widely known log-linear model (1990) and is formulated for the Weibull and lognormal distributions for a variety of censoring schemes using likelihood theory. An algorithm has been developed for the solution of this model, and implemented in a recently released software package, ALTA Pro/sup TM/, specific to accelerated life data analysis. The algorithm has been specifically designed to be very flexible and has the capability of simultaneously solving for up to eight different stress-types. The advantage of this formulation is that it combines in one model most of the known life-stress relationships for one or two types of stresses (such as the temperature-nonthermal model), as well as the multivariable proportional hazards model. This yields a single general likelihood function (for a given distribution) whose solution is independent of both the chosen life-stress relationship and the number of stress-types. In addition, this model allows for simultaneous analysis of continuous, categorical and indicator variables. The solution to this model provides the engineers with an opportunity to expand their selection of types of stresses and test conditions when testing products.
本文描述了多应力型加速寿命数据的一个模型。此外,还说明了专门为该模型开发的一种算法的使用。该模型基于广为人知的对数线性模型(1990),并使用似然理论为各种审查方案制定了威布尔分布和对数正态分布。为了解决这个模型,已经开发了一个算法,并在最近发布的软件包ALTA Pro/sup TM/中实现,该软件包专门用于加速寿命数据分析。该算法特别设计得非常灵活,能够同时求解多达8种不同的应力类型。这个公式的优点是,它在一个模型中结合了已知的一种或两种应力类型(如温度-非热模型)的大多数生命应力关系,以及多变量比例风险模型。这产生了一个单一的一般似然函数(对于给定的分布),其解与所选择的生活-压力关系和压力类型的数量无关。此外,该模型允许同时分析连续、分类和指标变量。该模型的解决方案为工程师提供了在测试产品时扩展其应力类型和测试条件选择的机会。
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引用次数: 31
Advisory board - tools for reliability and maintainability practitioners 咨询委员会。可靠性和可维护性从业人员的工具
W. Kuo, C. S. Carlson, F. D. Gregory, T. Mitrou, M. Shooman, G. Vassiliades
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引用次数: 0
Bivariate failure modeling 二元失效模型
Sang-Chin Yang, J. Kobza, J. A. Nachlas
Issues related to the construction of bivariate reliability models and their application to maintenance planning are discussed. The distinction between bivariate failure models and models of first passage time to a failure threshold clarifies the motivation for the development of bivariate models. The authors present a taxonomy of model classes and identify two classes as their focus. The model classes examined here are those in which the two variables are related by a stochastic function and those in which the variables are simply correlated. Examples of the models of each of the two classes are defined. The general approach to model formulation is explained so that the reader may construct alternate forms. The sometimes subtle aspects of model analysis are discussed with particular emphasis on the interpretation of bivariate failure probabilities and on the calculating of numerical results. Associated issues related to the construction of renewal models that can be used in maintenance planning are also discussed. For each of the topics addressed, example calculations are provided or else the technical roadblocks to continuing analysis are identified. In the authors' view, the types of bivariate models described here provide a new way to study the reliability of equipment for which univariate measures are incomplete. Thus, a new area of reliability research is identified. The definitions they offer may be modified, and the approach to model formulation they present may be used to define other models. They raise several open questions concerning the model construction and analysis. Both conceptual definitions and analytical methods warrant further exploration.
讨论了二元可靠性模型的建立及其在维修计划中的应用。二元失效模型和到达失效阈值的首次通过时间模型之间的区别阐明了二元模型发展的动机。作者提出了模型类的分类法,并确定了两个类作为他们的重点。这里检查的模型类是那些两个变量由随机函数相关的模型类和那些变量简单相关的模型类。定义了这两个类的每个模型的示例。解释了模型公式的一般方法,以便读者可以构建替代形式。讨论了模型分析的一些微妙方面,特别强调了二元失效概率的解释和数值结果的计算。本文还讨论了可用于维修计划的更新模型构建的相关问题。对于所讨论的每个主题,都提供了示例计算,或者确定了继续分析的技术障碍。在作者看来,这里描述的二元模型类型为研究单变量测量不完整的设备可靠性提供了一种新的方法。因此,确定了可靠性研究的一个新领域。它们提供的定义可以被修改,并且它们提供的模型表述方法可以用于定义其他模型。他们提出了一些关于模型构建和分析的开放性问题。概念定义和分析方法都值得进一步探索。
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引用次数: 6
Optimal-maintenance modeling on finite time with technology replacement and changing repair costs 有限时间下技术更新和维修成本变化的最优维修建模
J. Rupe
The authors explore maintenance models for finite time missions. Motivated by real world applications, and models which are lacking in literature, they include exponential cost forms that allow for net present value analysis, and explore replacing obsolete equipment with new. In this paper, they demonstrate through mathematical modeling that: by using simple search methods, one can find optimal replacement intervals for systems under a general finite time mission; under Weibull hazard functions, one can express the optimal replacement rate simply; by allowing for special exponential cost function forms, one can find local cost minima for exponentially growing costs, or include the time value of money; for systems in use, one can monitor the marginal cost, and replace the system when this marginal cost equals the expected average cost for the replacing system; when replacing one technology with a new, there are conditions under which the optimal replacement cycles are completely interrelated, and other conditions where one can calculate one from an independent calculation of another; and in budget constrained times, use present value estimates such as the ones we provide. To apply optimal replacement planning in industry, one must consider finite time missions, net present value of costs, and replacing obsolete equipment with new technology.
作者探讨了有限时间任务的维护模型。受现实世界应用和文献中缺乏的模型的推动,它们包括允许净现值分析的指数成本形式,并探索用新设备替换过时设备。在本文中,他们通过数学建模证明:在一般有限时间任务下,用简单的搜索方法可以找到系统的最优替换间隔;在威布尔危险函数下,可以简单地表示最优替代率;通过允许特殊的指数成本函数形式,人们可以找到指数增长成本的局部成本最小值,或者包括货币的时间价值;对于正在使用的系统,人们可以监控边际成本,并在边际成本等于被替换系统的预期平均成本时进行替换;当用一种新技术替代一种技术时,在某些条件下,最佳替代周期是完全相互关联的,在其他条件下,人们可以通过对另一种技术的独立计算来计算其中一种;在预算有限的情况下,使用我们提供的现值估算。为了在工业中应用最优替换计划,必须考虑有限时间任务、净现值成本和用新技术替换过时设备。
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引用次数: 9
Thermodynamic extensions of Miner's rule to chemical cells 米纳定律在化学细胞中的热力学扩展
A. Feinberg, A. Widom
Miner's rule of cumulative damage for materials undergoing stress-strain cycles allows for the prediction of the number of cycles of different strengths required before a material fails. Since Miner's rule has a thermodynamics basis, the rule should extend to thermodynamic work variables other than stress and strain. This point is illustrated in this work by applying the rule to chemical cells in a battery where the thermodynamic work variables are the electromotive force and the charge. Miner's rule of cumulative damage in chemical cells (undergoing voltage-charge and voltage-discharge cycles) allows for the prediction of the number of cycles of different strengths required before a battery fails.
经历应力-应变循环的材料的Miner累积损伤规则允许在材料失效之前预测不同强度所需的循环次数。由于Miner的规则有热力学基础,因此该规则应扩展到应力和应变以外的热力学功变量。这一点在本工作中通过将该规则应用于电池中的化学电池来说明,其中热力学功变量是电动势和电荷。化学电池(经历电压-充电和电压-放电循环)的Miner累积损伤规则允许在电池失效之前预测不同强度的循环次数。
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引用次数: 3
Enhancing the predictive performance of the Goel-Okumoto software reliability growth model 提高Goel-Okumoto软件可靠性增长模型的预测性能
P.A. Keiller, T. Mazzuchi
In this paper, enhancement of the performance of the Goel-Okumoto Reliability Growth model is investigated using various smoothing techniques. The method of parameter estimation for the model is the maximum likelihood method. The evaluation of the performance of the model is judged by the relative error of the predicted number of failures over future time intervals relative to the number of failures eventually observed during the interval. The use of data analysis procedures utilizing the Laplace trend test are investigated. These methods test for reliability growth throughout the data and establish "windows" that censor early failure data and provide better model fits. The research showed conclusively that the data analysis procedures resulted in improvement in the models' predictive performance for 41 different sets of software failure data collected from software development labs in the United States and Europe.
本文研究了利用各种平滑技术增强Goel-Okumoto可靠性增长模型的性能。模型的参数估计方法是极大似然法。对模型性能的评价是通过预测未来时间间隔内的故障数量相对于该时间间隔内最终观察到的故障数量的相对误差来判断的。利用拉普拉斯趋势检验的数据分析程序的使用进行了研究。这些方法测试了整个数据的可靠性增长,并建立了“窗口”,以审查早期故障数据,并提供更好的模型拟合。研究最终表明,数据分析过程导致了模型预测性能的改进,这些预测性能来自美国和欧洲的软件开发实验室收集的41组不同的软件故障数据。
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引用次数: 11
A review of plastic-encapsulated-microcircuit reliability-prediction models 塑料封装微电路可靠性预测模型综述
Yin-Liong Mok, L. Ten
This paper reviews available plastic encapsulated microcircuit (PEM) reliability prediction models including the CNET, Thomson-CSF and RAC model. We examine the RAC (Reliability Analysis Center) model in detail, as it is the only usable model that considers the accelerating effects of temperature and humidity on PEM failures. Our intention is to provide constructive criticisms and propose amendments. We agreed with the assumptions made by the RAC model: types of packaging do not affect PEM failure rate; and a single activation energy of 0.8 eV may be adequate for different IC logic families. However, we feel that the RAC model should incorporate a term for EOS/ESD failures as they constitutes a high percentage (up to 43%) of IC failures. The RAC model should set an upper limit of 130/spl deg/C and 99% RH when using Peck's model to model temperature/humidity acceleration so as to avoid violating physics-of-failure considerations. It should consider treating microprocessor and memories as two different classes of devices due to the vast differences in their reliability as indicated by some literatures. We question if the reliability growth rate can be projected without restrictions. There should also be clearer indications of what constitutes "best commercial practices"-a prerequisite to apply the model.
本文综述了现有的塑料封装微电路(PEM)可靠性预测模型,包括CNET、Thomson-CSF和RAC模型。我们详细检查了RAC(可靠性分析中心)模型,因为它是唯一考虑温度和湿度对PEM故障加速影响的可用模型。我们的目的是提供建设性的批评并提出修正建议。我们同意RAC模型的假设:包装类型不影响PEM故障率;对于不同的IC逻辑系列,0.8 eV的单一激活能可能是足够的。然而,我们认为RAC模型应该包含EOS/ESD故障的术语,因为它们构成了IC故障的高比例(高达43%)。在使用Peck模型模拟温度/湿度加速度时,RAC模型应设置130/spl℃和99% RH的上限,以避免违反失效物理考虑。由于一些文献表明,微处理器和存储器在可靠性方面存在巨大差异,因此应考虑将它们视为两种不同的器件。我们质疑可靠性增长率是否可以不受限制地预测。对于什么是“最佳商业实践”也应该有更清晰的说明——这是应用该模式的先决条件。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2000 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity (Cat. No.00CH37055)
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