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Labor Market Dynamics, Informality and Regulations in Latin America 拉丁美洲的劳动力市场动态、非正式性和法规
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781513523750.001
Antonio C. David, Samuel Pienknagura, J. Roldos
Labor markets in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) are characterized by high levels of informality and relatively rigid regulation. This paper shows that these two features are related and together make the speed of adjustment of employment to shocks slower, especially when regulations are tightly enforced. Evidence suggests that strict labor market regulations also have an adverse effect on medium-term growth. While both regulations on prices (minimum wages) and quantities (employment protection) decrease the speed of adjustment to shocks, they appear to be binding in different phases of the cycle—the former affects mostly the (net) job creation margin and the latter the (net) job destruction margin. The results also highlight possible interactions between labor market regulations and the effectiveness of macro-stabilization tools—including exchange rate depreciation.
拉丁美洲和加勒比(LAC)劳动力市场的特点是高度非正规和相对严格的监管。本文表明,这两个特征是相互关联的,并且共同使就业对冲击的调整速度变慢,特别是在法规执行严格的情况下。有证据表明,严格的劳动力市场监管也会对中期增长产生不利影响。虽然关于价格(最低工资)和数量(就业保护)的规定降低了对冲击的调整速度,但它们似乎在周期的不同阶段具有约束力——前者主要影响就业创造(净)边际,后者影响就业破坏(净)边际。研究结果还强调了劳动力市场监管与宏观稳定工具(包括汇率贬值)的有效性之间可能存在的相互作用。
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引用次数: 13
El bicentenario: una mirada entre la historia económica y la economía política (Bicentennial: A Look through Economic History and Political Economy) 二百周年:经济史和政治经济学之间的一览(二百周年:经济史和政治经济学的一览)
Pub Date : 2019-07-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3422489
Marta Juanita Villaveces Niño, Nohora García, Álvaro Martín Moreno Rivas, Andrés Felipe Sierra S, Beethoven Herrera Valencia, C. Cortés, Diego Alejandro Guevara, Ivan Leonardo Urrea-Ríos, John Mauro Perdomo, J. A. Rodríguez, Ricardo Rocha García
English Abstract: En el marco del Bicentenario de la independencia de Colombia, el Centro de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo (CID), en alianza con el periódico Portafolio, ha presentado una serie de reflexiones sobre la trayectoria económica que ha atravesado el país, en aras de entender los retos del futuro y las lecciones aprendidas del pasado.

El contenido es muy amplio incluyendo temas que han jugado un rol clave en la historia del país, como el café, la violencia, la tierra, hasta temas que son menos conocidos pero deberían formar parte de la reflexión colectiva, como el papel de la mujer, los estudios sectoriales, o el desarrollo de largo plazo.

El lector no tiene que esperarse una narración univoca, ni un recorrido lineal: estos escritos son reflexiones que vienen de investigadores con enfoques teóricos y metodológicos muy diferentes, como tradición en la Universidad Nacional. Así, ensayos de análisis económico de las instituciones son acompañados por reflexiones de análisis marxiano aplicado, y la cliometría se entrelaza a la finanza pública.

Por la misma razón, decidimos no proponer una estructura interpretativa o una organización del contenido, prefiriendo reportar los escritos en el orden cronológico en el cual aparecieron en el portal del periódico.

English Abstract: In the framework of the Bicentennial of the independence of Colombia, the Centro de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo (CID), in alliance with the newpaper Portafolio, has gathered a series of reflections about the economic trajectory that the country has gone through, for the sake of understanding the challenges of the future and the lessons learned from the past.

The content is very broad including issues that have played a key role in the history of the country, such as coffee, violence, land, and issues that are less known but should be part of collective reflection, such as the role of women, sectoral studies, or long-term development.

The reader should not expect a univocal narrative, nor a linear perspective: these texts are reflections that come from researchers with very different theoretical and methodological approaches, as a tradition at the Universidad Nacional. As a result, economic analysis of the institutions goes hand by hand with applied Marxian analysis, and the cliometry is intertwined with public finance.

For the same reason, we decided not to propose an interpretative structure or an organization of the content, opting for an order of presentation that follows the chronological order in which they appeared in the newspaper's portal.
English Abstract:哥伦比亚独立200周年,发展研究中心(CID),在联盟定期反思了公文包,提交了一系列经济轨迹已经通过的国家,但为了理解未来的挑战和过去的经验教训。内容很广,包括专题该国历史上扮演重要角色,像咖啡、暴力、地球,直到问题是已知但应集体思考的一部分,妇女的作用,部门研究或长期发展。读者不需要期望一个单一的叙述,也不需要线性的旅程:这些文章是来自研究人员的反思,具有非常不同的理论和方法方法,就像国立大学的传统。因此,对制度的经济分析文章伴随着应用马克思主义分析的反思,气候计量学与公共财政交织在一起。出于同样的原因,我们决定不提出解释结构或内容组织,而是按照它们出现在报纸门户网站上的时间顺序报道文章。English Abstract: In the framework of the Bicentennial独立性发展研究中心根据哥伦比亚(CID),联盟《newpaper公文包,你下a series of reflections about the economic trajectory that the country has完美through, for the米酒of understanding the挑战of the future and the lessons from the过去了。内容非常广泛,包括在该国历史上起关键作用的问题,如咖啡、暴力、土地,以及不太为人所知但应成为集体反思的一部分的问题,如妇女的作用、部门研究或长期发展。读者不应期望有一个单一的叙事或线性的视角:这些文本是来自具有非常不同的理论和方法方法的研究人员的反映,这是国立大学的传统。因此,各机构的经济分析与应用马克思主义分析是密切相关的,气候计量学与公共财政是相结合的。出于同样的原因,我们决定不提出内容的解释性结构或组织,而是选择按照它们在报纸门户网站上出现的时间顺序呈现的顺序。
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引用次数: 0
Latin American Growth: A Trade Perspective 拉丁美洲增长:贸易视角
Pub Date : 2019-06-03 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-8871
A. de la Torre, A. Ize
This paper reviews the determinants of Latin America's uneven growth based on an accounting decomposition that breaks down countries' growth (relative to the world) into three trade-related channels: (i) an export pull measuring the traction exerted by the country's exports, (ii) an external leverage measuring the impact of the country's use of external resources, and (iii) a domestic response measuring the impact of the country's imports on its domestic income. This decomposition brings to light three regional growth dynamics: the first is centered on commodities and South America, the second on manufactures and Mexico, and the third on services and Central America. The evidence points toward the need for a trade-oriented growth agenda that puts a premium on raising exports and making countries more attractive to people, not just capital. The latter in turn adds urgency to healing the region’s social fractures and dealing with its institutional weaknesses.
本文回顾了拉丁美洲不平衡增长的决定因素,基于会计分解,将各国的增长(相对于世界)分解为三个与贸易相关的渠道:(i)出口拉动,衡量该国出口的牵引力;(ii)外部杠杆,衡量该国使用外部资源的影响;(iii)国内反应,衡量该国进口对其国内收入的影响。这种分解揭示了三个区域增长动态:第一个集中在商品和南美,第二个集中在制造业和墨西哥,第三个集中在服务业和中美洲。有证据表明,需要一个以贸易为导向的增长议程,重视提高出口,使国家对人民(而不仅仅是资本)更具吸引力。后者反过来又增加了修复该地区社会裂痕和处理其制度弱点的紧迫性。
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引用次数: 1
The Effects of Working While in School: Evidence from Uruguayan Lotteries 在学校工作的影响:来自乌拉圭彩票的证据
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3398385
Thomas Le Barbanchon, D. Ubfal, Federico Araya
We provide the first estimates of the effects of working while in school that use controlled random variation in job offers. We leverage a Uruguayan program offering 9-to-12-month part-time employment in state-owned companies by lottery to enrolled students. Using social security data matched to the universe of over 120,000 applicants, we estimate a 9% increase in earnings over the four post-program years for youth completing a program job. We find large positive effects on school enrollment during the program year, consistent with the conditionality of the program and smaller effects in the post-program years. Our time-use survey indicates that students substitute leisure and household chores with work, without significant reductions in studying time. Finally, a decomposition of the earnings effect shows that accumulation of work experience can explain the majority of the increase in earnings.
我们提供了在学校工作的影响的第一个估计,使用控制随机变化的工作机会。我们利用乌拉圭的一个项目,通过抽签的方式为入学的学生提供9到12个月的国有企业兼职工作。根据与120,000多名申请者相匹配的社会保障数据,我们估计,在项目结束后的四年里,完成项目工作的年轻人的收入会增加9%。我们发现,在项目实施年度,对学校入学率有很大的积极影响,这与项目的条件性相一致,而在项目实施后的年份,影响较小。我们的时间利用调查显示,学生们用工作来代替休闲和家务,但学习时间并没有明显减少。最后,对收入效应的分解表明,工作经验的积累可以解释收入增长的大部分原因。
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引用次数: 3
Dejar de Jugar por las Reglas: Hacia una Revitalización del Derecho Societario como Instrumento de Política Económica (Quit Playing by the Rules: Towards a Revitalization of Corporate Law as an Instrument of Economic Policy) 《停止按规则行事:朝向振兴公司法作为经济政策工具》(Quit Playing by Rules:朝向振兴公司法作为经济政策工具)
Pub Date : 2019-04-30 DOI: 10.38178/cep.vi154.22
Ignacio Valenzuela Nieto
Para abordar los conflictos de agencia que se generan entre socios mayoritarios y minoritarios en las organizaciones de negocios, algunas jurisdicciones han optado por sistemas de control ex ante, basados en prohibiciones y reglas de autocumplimiento, mientras otras han preferido sistemas de control ex post, en los que predominan los estandares. El legislador chileno, consciente de una propiedad concentrada y falta de experiencia institucional en la materia, opto por privilegiar un sistema de control ex ante. Este sistema, aunque cumple algunos de los objetivos pretendidos, hoy dificulta el desarrollo y evolucion dinamica del derecho societario nacional. En este articulo se plantean las ventajas de apuntar hacia un sistema mixto que favorezca los estandares y, siguiendo un precedente latinoamericano, se sugieren principios para implementarlo de manera exitosa
对冲突的处理机构之间产生伙伴组织的多数和少数业务,一些选区选择了事前控制的系统,基于规则的,禁令,其他国家则宁愿,事后控制系统在estandares为主。智利立法者意识到所有权集中和在这一领域缺乏体制经验,选择优先考虑事前控制制度。这一制度虽然实现了一些预期的目标,但目前阻碍了国家公司法的发展和动态演变。本文提出了一种有利于标准的混合系统的优势,并遵循拉丁美洲的先例,提出了成功实施该系统的原则。
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引用次数: 0
What Explains Latin America's Low Share of Industrial Employment? 拉丁美洲工业就业率低的原因何在?
Pub Date : 2019-03-25 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-8791
R. Sinha
This paper investigates the relative importance of different channels in explaining the low share of industrial employment in Latin America relative to the economies that employ a large share of the workforce in industry. Differences in domestic final consumption shares play a pivotal role and can account for 50-70 percent of the industrial share gap. The paper finds limited support for the comparative advantage hypothesis, as differences in trading patterns account for less than 15 percent of the gap. More important are the differences in sectoral linkages and wage gaps which account for more than 30 percent of the industrial employment gap individually.
本文研究了不同渠道在解释拉丁美洲工业就业比例较低的相对重要性,相对于在工业中雇用大量劳动力的经济体。国内最终消费份额的差异起着关键作用,可以占到工业份额差距的50- 70%。本文发现比较优势假说的支持有限,因为贸易模式的差异只占差距的不到15%。更重要的是部门联系和工资差距的差异,它们单独占工业就业差距的30%以上。
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引用次数: 5
¿Desarrollan competencias los programas orientados a la economía informal? (Do the Programs Oriented to the Informal Economy Develop Competences?) Desarrollan competencias los programas orientados a la economía informal?(面向非正规经济的项目能培养能力吗?)
Pub Date : 2019-01-29 DOI: 10.18601/16577175.n23.04
Katy C. Herrera Lemus, Ivonne Narváez Zurita, J. Erazo
La gestión contemporánea requiere cada vez más desarrollar capacidades no solo tecnológicas sino fundamentalmente laborales. La economía informal no es ajena a esta situación al registrar iniciativas de formación para las actividades que lo conforman; no obstante, la heterogeneidad de este fenómeno muestra resultados que aún no permiten mejorar la empleabilidad y la productividad empresarial de sus integrantes y, por ende, su transición a la economía formal. El estudio de los programas aplicados, con mayor énfasis en América Latina, permite llamar la atención sobre la ausencia de contenidos que se orientan al desarrollo de habilidades laborales en el personal. En consecuencia, se precisan los rasgos de estos programas y se estableces líneas de actuación ante este fenómeno.
当代管理越来越需要发展技能,不仅是技术技能,而且主要是劳动技能。非正规经济对这种情况并不陌生,因为它登记了与非正规经济有关的活动的培训倡议;然而,这一现象的异质性表明,其结果尚未使其成员的就业能力和商业生产力得到提高,从而使他们向正规经济过渡。对所执行方案的研究,特别是对拉丁美洲的研究,使人们注意到缺乏旨在发展工作人员工作技能的内容。因此,澄清了这些方案的特点,并确定了处理这一现象的行动方针。
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引用次数: 2
Economics and Economic Methodology in a Core-Periphery Economic World 核心-边缘经济世界中的经济学和经济学方法论
Pub Date : 2019-01-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3324569
John B. Davis
ABSTRACT This paper uses a core-periphery distinction to characterize contemporary economics, economic methodology, and also today’s world economy. First, it applies the distinction to the organization of contemporary economics through an examination of the problem of explaining economics’ relations to and boundaries with other disciplines. Second, it argues that economics’ core-periphery organization is replicated in a similar organization of the use and practice of contemporary economic methodology in economics. Third, it draws on the use of the core-periphery thinking in economics itself regarding the uneven development of the world economy to provide possible foundations for economics and economic methodology being organized in core-periphery terms. Fourth, the paper briefly discusses three potential countervailing forces operating on the development of contemporary economics that might work against its core-periphery organization.
本文用核心与边缘的区分来描述当代经济学、经济学方法论以及当今的世界经济。首先,它通过对解释经济学与其他学科的关系和界限的问题的考察,将这种区别应用于当代经济学的组织。其次,它认为经济学的核心-边缘组织在当代经济学方法论的使用和实践的类似组织中被复制。第三,它借鉴了经济学本身关于世界经济不平衡发展的核心-边缘思维,为按照核心-边缘术语组织经济学和经济方法论提供了可能的基础。第四,本文简要讨论了影响当代经济学发展的三种潜在的对抗力量,这些力量可能会对其核心-边缘组织产生不利影响。
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引用次数: 5
The Monetary and Fiscal History of Paraguay, 1960–2017 巴拉圭的货币和财政历史,1960-2017
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3344828
Carlos Javier Charotti, Carlos Fernández-Valdovinos, Felipe Gonzalez Soley
This chapter characterizes the monetary and fiscal history of Paraguay between 1960 and 2017. The analysis is divided into four periods, which are mainly distinguished by inflation levels, the source of financing of the public-sector deficit, and the central bank legal framework. The four main periods are 1962–1980, when inflation and the deficit were moderate; 1981–1990, a decade characterized by fiscal imbalances and nominal instability; 1991–2003, when the worst financial crisis in the country’s history took place and inflation levels remained moderate nonetheless; and finally, 2004–2017, the period of structural reforms and low inflation. We observe, throughout the periods, that monetary and fiscal policy have maintained a generally conservative stance, that periods of macroeconomic instability have been rare, and that average economic growth has been higher than the average for Latin America. However, despite its progress in terms of convergence, Paraguay remains among the countries with the lowest levels of income per capita in Latin America.
本章描述了1960年至2017年巴拉圭的货币和财政历史。分析分为四个阶段,主要根据通货膨胀水平、公共部门赤字的融资来源和中央银行的法律框架来区分。四个主要时期是1962-1980年,通胀和赤字都比较温和;1981-1990年,这十年的特点是财政失衡和名义不稳定;1991年至2003年,发生了该国历史上最严重的金融危机,但通胀水平仍保持温和;最后是2004-2017年,结构性改革和低通胀时期。我们注意到,在整个时期,货币和财政政策总体上保持了保守的立场,宏观经济不稳定的时期很少,平均经济增长率高于拉丁美洲的平均水平。然而,尽管巴拉圭在趋同方面取得了进展,但它仍然是拉丁美洲人均收入最低的国家之一。
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引用次数: 2
Does Universalization of Healthwork? Evidence from Health Systems Restructuring and Expansion in Brazil 普及医疗服务吗?来自巴西卫生系统重组和扩张的证据
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3390099
S. Bhalotra, Rudi Rocha, Rodrigo R. Soares
We investigate universalization of access to health in Brazil. We find large reductions in maternal, foetal, neonatal and post-neonatal mortality, a reduction in fertility and, possibly on account of selection, no change in the quality of births. Using rich administrative data, we investigate changes in organization, access and outcomes, thereby illuminating the driving mechanisms. We find sharp increases in coverage of primary health facilities with GPs and outreach workers and, in line with this, increases in outpatient procedures, prenatal care visits, health-education activities and home visits by medical professionals. Consistent with an attempt to rationalize use of hospital resources, we find a decline in specialists and hospital beds per capita. Despite this, we see increases in hospital births, C-sections, and maternal hospitalization for complications, with no change in rates of infant hospitalization.
我们调查普及化获得卫生保健在巴西。我们发现产妇、胎儿、新生儿和新生儿后期死亡率大幅下降,生育率下降,而且可能由于自然选择,出生质量没有变化。利用丰富的管理数据,我们调查了组织、访问和结果的变化,从而阐明了驱动机制。我们发现,拥有全科医生和外联工作人员的初级保健设施的覆盖率大幅增加,与此相适应,门诊程序、产前护理访问、健康教育活动和医疗专业人员家访的数量也有所增加。与合理化使用医院资源的努力相一致的是,我们发现人均专科医生和医院床位有所下降。尽管如此,我们看到住院分娩、剖腹产和因并发症住院的产妇有所增加,而婴儿住院率没有变化。
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引用次数: 15
期刊
Latin American Economics eJournal
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