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The impact of corruption in climate finance on achieving net zero emissions 气候融资中的腐败对实现净零排放的影响
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/10
S. Lyeonov, Z. Toušek, V. Bozhenko, Szilvia Erdeiné Kérmárki-Gally
The study’s primary purpose is to assess the probabilistic impact of corruption in climate finance on achieving zero emissions. This scientific problem is highly relevant since the largest recipients of international climate assistance are countries with significant corruption in the public sector. Thus, it is necessary to increase the transparency in the use of international assistance funds and strengthen accountability. The study used the methods of survival analysis, namely the Kaplan-Meier approach and the Cox proportional hazards regression model, to investigate 114 countries that received international climate assistance during 2005-2021. The empirical analysis showed that the most probable time frame for achieving 5% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions is five years. Moreover, the response of climate finance to reducing greenhouse emissions is faster in countries with medium levels of corruption than in countries with high and very high levels of corruption. Two covariates (the level of corruption and the volume of climate finance) likely to affect the achievement of net zero emissions were chosen to build the Cox proportional hazards model. The study empirically confirms that with a 1-point increase in the Corruption Perceptions Index, the probability of reducing emissions increases by 2.4581%, while the volume of climate finance does not have a statistically significant impact on the performance indicator. It suggests that current climate investment in underdeveloped countries is incapable of mitigating the negative impact of climate change.
该研究的主要目的是评估气候融资腐败对实现零排放的概率影响。这一科学问题具有高度相关性,因为国际气候援助的最大受援国是公共部门存在严重腐败的国家。因此,有必要提高国际援助资金使用的透明度,加强问责制。该研究采用生存分析方法,即Kaplan-Meier法和Cox比例风险回归模型,调查了2005-2021年期间接受国际气候援助的114个国家。实证分析表明,实现温室气体减排5%的最可能时间框架为5年。此外,在腐败程度中等的国家,气候融资对减少温室气体排放的反应速度要快于腐败程度高或非常高的国家。选择可能影响净零排放实现的两个协变量(腐败水平和气候融资量)来构建Cox比例风险模型。实证研究证实,清廉指数每增加1点,减排的概率就会增加2.4581%,而气候融资规模对绩效指标的影响在统计上并不显著。它表明,目前对不发达国家的气候投资无法减轻气候变化的负面影响。
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引用次数: 2
Asymmetric effects of inflation rate changes on the stock market index: The case of Indonesia 通货膨胀率变化对股票市场指数的不对称影响:以印度尼西亚为例
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/9
Peck-Ching Sia, Choi-Meng Leong, Chin-Hong Puah
Over the years, macroeconomic fundamentals and the stock market were found to have symmetrical relationship in numerous scientific investigations. These fundamentals provide crucial knowledge regarding stock price indices by providing forecasts for the future and information on the current status of the economy. This study employs a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lags (NARDL) model to fill in the research gap by estimating the asymmetric relationship between inflation and stock market from 1996 to 2020. The study suggests that inflation has a long-run and short-run asymmetric affect on the stock price, while both positive and negative inflation changes harm stock prices. As it reveals, the asymmetric impact of inflation on the stock market, this study can assist investors and businesses in making well-informed decisions that result in a more efficient allocation of resources, ultimately benefiting the economy. Additionally, policymakers can utilize these findings to design effective strategies for managing inflation, stabilizing prices, promoting economic growth, and ensuring financial market stability.
多年来,大量的科学研究发现,宏观经济基本面与股市具有对称关系。这些基本面通过对未来的预测和当前经济状况的信息,提供了有关股票价格指数的关键知识。本文采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型对1996 - 2020年通货膨胀与股市的不对称关系进行了估计,填补了研究空白。研究表明,通货膨胀对股票价格具有长期和短期的不对称影响,而积极和消极的通货膨胀变化对股票价格都有损害。正如它所揭示的,通货膨胀对股票市场的不对称影响,这项研究可以帮助投资者和企业做出明智的决策,从而更有效地配置资源,最终使经济受益。此外,政策制定者可以利用这些发现来设计有效的策略来管理通货膨胀、稳定价格、促进经济增长和确保金融市场稳定。
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引用次数: 1
Economic empowerment as a result of achieving SDGs with resource access: A comparative research between Gaza Strip and Hungary 通过资源获取实现可持续发展目标的经济赋权:加沙地带与匈牙利的比较研究
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-2/1
Samia Nassar, Zsuzsanna Naárné Tóth, Laszlo Vasa
Donors, development agencies, and international non-governmental organizations are currently shaping a large part of the development and humanitarian agenda of sustainable developmen, especially regarding the first and second Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) related to ending poverty and hunger worldwide. Thus, an increasing number of development interventions are aimed at protecting the planet and ensuring prosperity for everyone by strengthening the resilience of vulnerable households and communities. The research implemented a quantitative methodology approach that relied on distributing a survey based on the research variables. Data were collected in both the Gaza Strip and Hungary using google forms over a sample of 700 respondents, however, only 616 respondents filled out the survey. The collected data were analyzed using the SPSS statistical tool to research the impact of no poverty and zero hunger on economic empowerment and how resource access mediates this relationship. The research results were reported using descriptive and regression analysis, while mediation analysis was based on the method of Barron and Kenney. Most of the world's poor live in rural regions, and if we want to help them, we need to concentrate on developing agriculture in a modern and sustainable manner to create employment, increase farmers' incomes and consumption, and decrease food costs. Governments need to learn more about their strengths and challenges to aid communities in expanding. While primary agriculture may provide a viable income for those living in different regions, there is always the potential for diversification. Recognizing and capitalizing on other areas' variety or growth might significantly lower poverty levels. There is an urgent need to address the issue of food security, which requires a renewed commitment from governments, farmers, national policymakers, and international donors.
捐助者、发展机构和国际非政府组织目前正在塑造可持续发展的发展和人道主义议程的很大一部分,特别是关于与消除全球贫困和饥饿有关的第一和第二个可持续发展目标(sdg)。因此,越来越多的发展干预措施旨在通过加强脆弱家庭和社区的抵御能力来保护地球并确保每个人的繁荣。该研究采用了一种定量方法,该方法依赖于根据研究变量分发调查。在加沙地带和匈牙利使用谷歌表格收集了700名受访者的数据,然而,只有616名受访者填写了调查。使用SPSS统计工具对收集的数据进行分析,研究无贫困和零饥饿对经济赋权的影响以及资源获取如何中介这种关系。研究结果采用描述性和回归分析,中介分析采用Barron和Kenney的方法。世界上大多数贫困人口生活在农村地区,如果我们想要帮助他们,我们需要集中精力以现代和可持续的方式发展农业,以创造就业,增加农民的收入和消费,降低粮食成本。政府需要更多地了解自己的优势和挑战,以帮助社区扩大规模。虽然初级农业可以为生活在不同区域的人提供可行的收入,但始终存在多样化的潜力。认识到并利用其他地区的多样性或增长可能会显著降低贫困水平。迫切需要解决粮食安全问题,这需要各国政府、农民、国家决策者和国际捐助者重新作出承诺。
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引用次数: 0
Perceived “common” social problems and macroeconomic trends in Azerbaijan 阿塞拜疆的“共同”社会问题和宏观经济趋势
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/3
Khatai Aliyev
The research presents an elaborated mapping of common social problems in Azerbaijan across country’s regions. Using a survey dataset of 2161 respondents representing various socio-demographic categories of the population, the study borrows a two-stage approach to identify the “common” social problems in the country. Primary research findings are (1) the "top 5" list includes inflation, unemployment, corruption, state of education and health, and poverty, (2) a correlation exists between macro-economic trends and the population's social problem perception, (3) the subjective evaluation is relatively less institutional in the regions, and among less educated people, and (4) poverty is a typical problem for the less educated people. From institutional perspective, Azerbaijan government should put more effort into enhancing governance quality. On the economic side, the government needs to reconsider its official unemployment and poverty records to do more precise policy estimates, which is crucial to abstaining from social unrest.
该研究展示了阿塞拜疆全国各地区共同社会问题的详细地图。该研究使用了代表不同社会人口类别的2161名受访者的调查数据集,采用两阶段方法来确定该国的“共同”社会问题。主要研究发现:(1)“前5名”包括通货膨胀、失业、腐败、教育和卫生状况和贫困;(2)宏观经济趋势与人口对社会问题的感知存在相关性;(3)主观评价在地区和受教育程度较低的人群中相对缺乏制度性;(4)贫困是受教育程度较低的人群的典型问题。从制度角度看,阿塞拜疆政府应更加注重提高治理质量。在经济方面,政府需要重新考虑其官方失业和贫困记录,以进行更精确的政策估计,这对避免社会动荡至关重要。
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引用次数: 2
The impact of institutional quality on economic growth: Evidence from post-soviet countries 制度质量对经济增长的影响:来自后苏联国家的证据
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/5
I. Gasimov, Gadir Asgarzade, Farid Jabiyev
The paper investigates the long-run impact of the institutional environment on economic growth for the sample of post-Soviet countries in 1996-2021. Using the Autoregressive Distributive Lag Model, we found that a U-shaped link exists between institutional quality and economic growth. Regarding the institutional quality dimensions, a similar link was observed for four out of six factors (POLSTAB, GOVEFF, RULELAW, CONTCORR). In contrast, the other two dimensions (REGQUAL, VOACC) exhibited inverted U-shaped impact on the dependent variable. Moreover, findings provide insight into the impact of control variables such as inflation (INF), openness (OPE), and population growth rate (POPGROWTH) on economic growth. More precisely, openness was found to have positive impact on the dependent variable, while inflation and population growth rate both had negative effect on economic growth. Based on these results, the paper suggests some policy implications for post-Soviet countries in terms of achieving economic growth by improving the institutional quality environment.
本文以1996-2021年的后苏联国家为样本,研究了制度环境对经济增长的长期影响。运用自回归分配滞后模型,我们发现制度质量与经济增长之间存在u型关系。在机构质量方面,六个因素中的四个(POLSTAB、GOVEFF、RULELAW、concorr)也存在类似的联系。而其他两个维度(REGQUAL、VOACC)对因变量的影响呈倒u型。此外,研究结果还揭示了通货膨胀(INF)、开放程度(OPE)和人口增长率(POPGROWTH)等控制变量对经济增长的影响。更确切地说,开放性对因变量有正向影响,而通货膨胀和人口增长率对经济增长都有负向影响。在此基础上,本文提出了后苏联国家通过改善制度质量环境来实现经济增长的政策启示。
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引用次数: 2
The farming costs (including insurance) of the agricultural holdings in the European Union 欧盟农业控股的农业成本(包括保险)
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/13
M. Arych, Iuliia Kuievda, M. Dvořák, Jana Hinke
The paper is devoted to exploring the farming costs (including insurance) indicators of the agricultural enterprises in the European Union. The analysis employs the box plot methodology that provides a five-number summary for a set of data. In this paper, we analyse the evidence of interconnection between the indicators of efficiency and competitiveness and insurance costs regarding food market security. This research discusses the dynamic changes of the absolute value of farming costs (including insurance) indicators and different relative indicators derived from the original one for the agricultural enterprise holdings in the European Union for the period of 2004-2019. The results show that farming costs (including insurance) indicators of the agricultural holdings should be considered as an instrument for providing food market security. Based on these research results, we are going to further explore the impact of insurance on the food market security. In addition, these research results could help to clarify the difference between EU countries and dynamic changes in farming costs (including insurance) indicators of agricultural holdings.
本文旨在探讨欧盟农业企业的经营成本(包括保险)指标。该分析采用箱形图方法,为一组数据提供五位数摘要。在本文中,我们分析了有关粮食市场安全的效率和竞争力指标与保险成本之间相互联系的证据。本研究探讨了2004-2019年欧盟农业企业持股农业成本(含保险)指标绝对值和由原始指标推导出的不同相对指标的动态变化。结果表明,应将农业控股的农业成本(包括保险)指标作为提供粮食市场安全的工具。基于这些研究结果,我们将进一步探讨保险对食品市场安全的影响。此外,这些研究结果可以帮助澄清欧盟国家之间的差异和农业控股的农业成本(包括保险)指标的动态变化。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of digitalisation and foreign direct investment on economic growth: Learning from developed countries 数字化和外国直接投资对经济增长的影响:向发达国家学习
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/7
Suhal Kusairi, Zun Yuan Wong, R. Wahyuningtyas, Muhammad Najit Sukemi
In recent years, progress in digitalisation and foreign direct investment has caused many structural changes, reorganisation in economics, rising productivity, globalisation, and increasing trade or international investment flows, which have led to increased capital flows and information availability. Therefore, this research investigated the impact of digitalisation and foreign direct investment on economic growth in developed countries. Panel data analysis was applied to data of 16 developed countries, from 2006 until 2019. The findings show that digitalisation - presented by mobile cellular and internet users - and foreign direct investment positively impacted economic growth, thus they strongly contribute to advancing the economy and increasing welfare. Therefore, developed countries have been learning about the critical role of technology and capital, as stated by economists over several decades, and developing countries can copy their policies into their own economic strategies.
近年来,数字化和外国直接投资的发展推动了许多结构性变化、经济重组、生产率提高、全球化以及贸易和国际投资流动的增加,从而增加了资本流动和信息获取。因此,本研究考察了数字化和外国直接投资对发达国家经济增长的影响。面板数据分析应用于16个发达国家的数据,从2006年到2019年。研究结果表明,数字化(以移动电话和互联网用户为代表)和外国直接投资对经济增长产生了积极影响,因此它们对推动经济发展和增加福利做出了巨大贡献。因此,正如经济学家几十年来所说的那样,发达国家一直在学习技术和资本的关键作用,而发展中国家可以将它们的政策复制到自己的经济战略中。
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引用次数: 0
Dependence of economic growth on government expenditure by function in the Baltic states 波罗的海国家经济增长对政府职能支出的依赖
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/1
Gitana Dudzevičiūtė
The aim of this research is to examine the dependence of economic growth on government spending by function in the Baltic countries – Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. The author has used total expenditure and composition approaches to explore the relationship between the variables. The investigation covers the period from 1996 to 2020. The author has employed descriptive statistics and econometric techniques, including automatic linear modelling (ALM). The study's insights reveal that the growth of the Latvian and Estonian economies depends on general government spending. This dependence is similar in both countries, that is, 62.8% in Latvia and 66.5% in Estonia. In Lithuania, 57.7% of fluctuations in economic growth are explained by spending on social protection. In Latvia, the influence of spending on social protection and economic affairs amounts to 63.4% of economic growth. In Estonia, spending on social protection and health explains 78.1% of the fluctuations in economic growth. The findings of the study may be useful in ensuring a more efficient allocation of government finances in the Baltic states.
本研究的目的是考察波罗的海三国——立陶宛、拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚的经济增长对政府职能支出的依赖。笔者采用总支出和构成两种方法来探讨变量之间的关系。调查时间为1996年至2020年。作者采用了描述性统计和计量经济学技术,包括自动线性建模(ALM)。该研究的见解表明,拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚的经济增长依赖于政府的总体支出。这两个国家的依赖性相似,即拉脱维亚为62.8%,爱沙尼亚为66.5%。在立陶宛,57.7%的经济增长波动可以用社会保护支出来解释。在拉脱维亚,社会保护和经济事务支出的影响占经济增长的63.4%。在爱沙尼亚,社会保护和卫生方面的支出占经济增长波动的78.1%。这项研究的结果可能有助于确保波罗的海国家更有效地分配政府财政。
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引用次数: 1
Global envelope method – new trend in determining economic potential of rural areas 全球包络法——确定农村地区经济潜力的新趋势
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/11
Petra Pártlová
This paper uses the narrative method to critically analyze theoretical approaches and concepts related to the development of rural areas and discusses the identified research gap that allows for the search for new concepts and methodologies for determining the economic potential of rural areas. In the study, various statistical methods, including the new global envelope method and permutation tests, were used to calculate the economic potential of the global model and individual sub-models of the rural areas´ potential. The achieved results suggest that the sub-model calculation is more complex and time consuming than the calculation of the global model. The comparison has also shown that the degree of relevance of the individual sub-models is lower due to the application of four sub-test statistics compared to the one test used in the global model. The selected process thus complicates the identification of false-positive significant variables. Based on the results, it can be stated that the significant variables identified in each sub-model affect the economic potential of a given sub-model, and thus the overall economic potential of the municipality, when compared to the variables identified in the global model.
本文采用叙事方法批判性地分析了与农村地区发展相关的理论方法和概念,并讨论了确定的研究差距,从而可以寻找新的概念和方法来确定农村地区的经济潜力。在这项研究中,使用了各种统计方法,包括新的全球包络法和置换检验,来计算农村地区潜力的全球模型和各个子模型的经济潜力。结果表明,子模型的计算比全局模型的计算复杂且耗时。比较还表明,与全球模型中使用的一个测试相比,由于应用了四个子测试统计,单个子模型的相关性程度较低。因此,选择的过程使假阳性显著变量的识别变得复杂。结果表明,与全球模型中确定的变量相比,每个子模型中确定的重要变量会影响给定子模型的经济潜力,从而影响该市的整体经济潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Increase in patriotic entrepreneurship in Ukraine and Poland as a result of Russian invasion in 2022 由于俄罗斯在2022年入侵,乌克兰和波兰的爱国企业家增加
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-1/2
Ł. Sułkowski, G. Ignatowski, B. Stopczyński, J. Trębska
The aim of the paper is to examine the significance of the war in Ukraine for patriotic entrepreneurship in both Poland and Ukraine. The methods are semi-structured interviews with entrepreneurs and an online survey conducted among participants coming from both countries, who were introduced to the main elements that make up the concept of patriotic entrepreneurship. Both quantitative and qualitative research indicated that there is no significant impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on inclinations related to patriotic entrepreneurship among Polish entrepreneurs, while there is such an impact among Ukrainian entrepreneurs. While patriotic entrepreneurship can be one of the important motivations for managerial and employee actions, the noticeable impact of war on it was only in the country where hostilities are taking place. The research limitation was the lack of representativeness of the sample. The research should be repeated after the war. It would also be useful to continue the research on the representative study.
本文的目的是考察乌克兰战争对波兰和乌克兰爱国企业家精神的意义。研究方法是对企业家进行半结构化访谈,以及对来自两国的参与者进行在线调查,向他们介绍构成爱国创业概念的主要因素。定量和定性研究均表明,俄乌战争对波兰企业家的爱国创业倾向没有显著影响,而对乌克兰企业家的爱国创业倾向有显著影响。虽然爱国企业家精神可能是管理和雇员行动的重要动机之一,但战争对这种精神的显著影响只发生在发生敌对行动的国家。研究的局限性在于样本缺乏代表性。这项研究应该在战后重新进行。继续进行代表性研究也是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Millennium - Journal of International Studies
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