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From Grexit to Grecovery: The Paradox of the Troika's Engagement with Greece 从希腊退欧到希腊复苏:三驾马车与希腊交往的悖论
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912401
Anna Visvizi
Abstract Locked in the commitments of previous governments and arrangements negotiated with the Troika back in 2010 and early 2012, the Greek government continues to channel the burden of fiscal adjustment towards the private sector, killing any nascent thoughts of investment and entrepreneurship in Greece. Simultaneously, bold structural reforms are kept hostage to the uncertain balance of the ruling coalition and negligible majority in the Greek parliament. Caught literally between a rock and a hard place, the authorities seek to attain a primary fiscal surplus, hopeful that this will help to bring an end to the essentially faulty economic adjustment programme for Greece in 2014. Surprisingly, the talk of fiscal surplus alone seems to have ignited positive expectations that the crisis might, in fact, be nearing an end. This suggests that in the same way as the crisis in Greece was provoked by irresponsible and inaccurate statements about Greece's fiscal position and Grexit was a viable option through 2011, discourses on Grecovery may prove constitutive of the end of the crisis. This paper explores this issue and by so doing contemplates the evolving nature of the core-periphery relations in the EU and its policy-making.
囿于上届政府的承诺以及2010年和2012年初与三驾马车谈判达成的协议,希腊政府继续将财政调整的负担转嫁给私营部门,扼杀了希腊国内任何新生的投资和创业想法。与此同时,大胆的结构性改革受制于执政联盟不确定的平衡和希腊议会微不足道的多数。希腊当局正处于左右为难的境地,他们寻求实现基本财政盈余,希望这将有助于在2014年结束本质上存在缺陷的希腊经济调整计划。令人惊讶的是,仅仅谈论财政盈余似乎就点燃了人们对危机实际上可能接近尾声的积极预期。这表明,就像希腊危机是由有关希腊财政状况的不负责任和不准确的言论引发的,以及希腊退欧在2011年之前是一个可行的选择一样,有关希腊复苏的言论可能会被证明是这场危机结束的组成部分。本文探讨了这一问题,并通过这样做来思考欧盟核心-边缘关系及其决策的演变性质。
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引用次数: 7
The Tale of Two Peripheries in a Divided Europe 《分裂欧洲的两个边缘
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912403
Béla Galgóczi
Abstract This article addresses one of the major fault lines that emerged with the controversial crisis management practices in a divided Europe. Much attention has been paid to divergences between the Eurozone core (Germany and other surplus countries) and the crisis-ridden southern periphery of the monetary union. The crisis and its aftershocks that hit Central Eastern European countries in 2009 had also been addressed extensively. Less attention had, however, been paid to the different characteristics of the ‘two peripheries’ of Europe, the one in the South and the other in the East. This article focuses on the differences in their economic structure and most importantly the different role these peripheries play in the division of labour within the European economy. The conclusions we can draw are not only important for the understanding of the challenges these peripheries are facing, but they also deliver lessons to the whole process of European crisis management practices.
本文论述了在分裂的欧洲,随着有争议的危机管理实践而出现的主要断层线之一。欧元区核心国家(德国和其他盈余国家)与深陷危机的欧元区南部外围国家之间的分歧引起了很多关注。2009年袭击中东欧国家的危机及其余震也得到了广泛处理。然而,很少有人注意到欧洲“两个外围”的不同特征,一个在南部,另一个在东部。本文关注的是它们在经济结构上的差异,最重要的是这些边缘地区在欧洲经济的劳动分工中所扮演的不同角色。我们可以得出的结论不仅对理解这些外围国家所面临的挑战很重要,而且也为欧洲危机管理实践的整个过程提供了经验教训。
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引用次数: 6
Why has the German Job Market Done Astonishingly Well Despite the 2008–2009 ‘Great Recession’? New Economic Miracle, Institutional Transformation or Beggar-thy-Neighbour Policies? 为什么在2008-2009年的“大衰退”中,德国的就业市场表现出奇地好?新经济奇迹、制度转型还是以邻为壑?
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912399
Lothar Funk
Abstract Since the early 2000s, the German labour market has undergone a sweeping institutional transformation. While during the 1990s and early 2000s, Germany was usually regarded as the ‘sick man of Europe’, the country's economy has recently been described in many respects as an international role model. Around a decade ago, a reform package was introduced that resulted in the unemployment rate being almost cut in half, in spite of the difficult economic climate due to the financial crisis and the succeeding and still ongoing problems in the Eurozone. However, the success has also been challenged due to its alleged internal and external unpleasant side-effects by critics. After having explained the essence of the German social market economy and its development prior to the deep downswing of 2008/2009 which was coined the ‘Great Recession’ by leading US economists, the paper summarises the key aspects of the rather unexpected German labour market successes since 2009 and addresses claims of related distributional injustice of these reforms within the country as well as assertions that the German success of ongoing high exports and current account surpluses is based on beggar-thy-neighbour policies. Finally, the paper briefly asks whether Germany has faced up to its responsibilities during the crisis in the Eurozone since the end of 2009.
自21世纪初以来,德国劳动力市场经历了一场全面的制度转型。虽然在20世纪90年代和21世纪初,德国通常被视为“欧洲病夫”,但该国的经济最近在许多方面被描述为国际榜样。大约十年前,一项改革方案出台,导致失业率几乎下降了一半,尽管由于金融危机和欧元区的后续和持续问题而导致经济环境困难。然而,由于其内部和外部令人不快的副作用,批评人士也对其成功提出了质疑。在解释了德国社会市场经济的本质及其在2008/2009年美国主要经济学家创造的“大衰退”之前的发展之后,本文总结了2009年以来德国劳动力市场出人意料的成功的关键方面,并解决了这些改革在国内分配不公平的相关主张,以及德国持续高出口和经常账户盈余的成功是基于以邻为壑政策的断言。最后,本文简要探讨了德国在2009年底以来的欧元区危机中是否承担了自己的责任。
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引用次数: 3
Portugal Is Not Greece: Policy Responses to the Sovereign Debt Crisis and the Consequences for the Portuguese Political Economy 葡萄牙不是希腊:对主权债务危机的政策回应及其对葡萄牙政治经济的影响
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912402
J. Magone
Abstract This paper delineates the changing environment from a benevolent to a conditionality-oriented. It uses the case study of Portugal and the implementation of the austerity programme to show how a semi-peripheral country of the European Union (EU) reacted to this changed environment. The first section shows how the EU has become more divided due to the growing cleavage between rich and poor member states. This is followed by the section on the making of the growing tensions between the European partners and the International Monetary Fund. Subsequently, the semi-peripheral economy of Portugal is analysed, before the policy responses of the Portuguese government are presented.
摘要:本文描述了从仁慈到条件导向的变化环境。它以葡萄牙的案例研究和紧缩计划的实施为例,展示了欧盟(EU)的半外围国家如何应对这种变化的环境。第一部分展示了欧盟是如何由于富国和穷国之间日益加深的分裂而变得更加分裂的。接下来的章节是关于欧洲伙伴国与国际货币基金组织(imf)之间日益紧张关系的原因。随后,分析了葡萄牙的半外围经济,然后提出了葡萄牙政府的政策反应。
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引用次数: 11
The Limits of Transnational Solidarity and the Eurozone Crisis in Germany, Ireland and Slovakia 跨国团结的极限与德国、爱尔兰和斯洛伐克的欧元区危机
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912400
S. Auer
Abstract This paper presents contrasting stories of three pro-EU nations, Germany, Ireland and Slovakia, which have seen their European projects put on a collision course with their political traditions, expectations and material interests. Slovaks can no longer be confident in strengthening their post-communist democracy through its engagement with Europe. In Germany, people are concerned that they can no longer trust their currency, the euro, let alone see it as the bedrock of economic and political stability. Germans are also profoundly worried about the erosion of the rule of law, the Rechtsstaat, through euro rescue measures, which are yet to prove their effectiveness. In Ireland too, people who had experienced European integration as hugely beneficial, both economically and politically, have been forced to question their commitments. To sum up, many German, Slovak and Irish citizens have seen their EU-integration goals severely undermined by the crisis. What is more, the strategies that have been employed to safeguard the single currency have resulted in increased scepticism towards the European project as such. Instead of differentiated integration, the conflicting goals may well be pointing towards Europe's disintegration.
本文介绍了三个亲欧盟国家——德国、爱尔兰和斯洛伐克——在各自的政治传统、期望和物质利益的冲突中,欧盟项目的发展历程。斯洛伐克人不再有信心通过与欧洲的接触来加强他们的后共产主义民主。在德国,人们担心他们不再信任自己的货币欧元,更不用说将其视为经济和政治稳定的基石了。德国人还非常担心,欧元救助措施会侵蚀法治,也就是联邦政府(Rechtsstaat),而这些措施尚未证明其有效性。在爱尔兰也是如此,那些认为欧洲一体化在经济和政治上都大有裨益的人,也被迫质疑自己的承诺。总而言之,许多德国、斯洛伐克和爱尔兰公民看到,他们的欧盟一体化目标受到危机的严重破坏。更重要的是,为捍卫单一货币而采取的策略,已导致人们对欧洲一体化的怀疑情绪加剧。相互冲突的目标很可能指向欧洲的解体,而不是差异化的一体化。
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引用次数: 11
Hungary and the Eurozone – the Need for a More Systemic Approach 匈牙利和欧元区——需要一个更系统化的方法
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912405
O. Kovács
Abstract This contribution purports to illustrate why a more systemic approach is needed when it comes to considering the Eurozone accession in case of Hungary. The paper first dwells on the issue of macroeconomic instability in case of Hungary from a regional perspective by devoting attention to its ‘lagging behind’ phenomena which call our attention to the necessity of a more holistic approach in supporting the Hungarian Eurozone accession. Then it emphasises that the challenges we are facing today imply that the role of governance and the quality of state are heavily appreciating; and we argue that Eurozone accession needs good governance which incorporates the issue of public-sector innovation in a more dedicated way in tackling old and new challenges in supporting sustained growth and development as prerequisites of Eurozone accession as well.
这篇文章旨在说明为什么在考虑匈牙利加入欧元区时需要一个更系统的方法。本文首先从区域角度阐述了匈牙利的宏观经济不稳定问题,关注其“落后”现象,这使我们注意到在支持匈牙利加入欧元区方面采取更全面方法的必要性。然后,它强调,我们今天面临的挑战意味着,治理的作用和国家质量正在受到严重重视;我们认为,加入欧元区需要良好的治理,以更专注的方式将公共部门创新问题纳入应对支持持续增长和发展的新旧挑战,这也是加入欧元区的先决条件。
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引用次数: 2
Boundaries of Welfare between the EU and Member States during the ‘Great Recession’ “大衰退”时期欧盟与成员国之间的福利界限
Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.912396
Caroline de la Porte, P. Pochet
Abstract This paper focuses on the changing boundaries of welfare between EU and national levels by developing a dynamic and actor-centred approach, where different groups of actors compete to influence the social and economic dimensions of EU social policy. The success of ideas and policies around welfare-state reform changes over time in line with socio-economic conditions as well as shifting political-party governmental coalitions in the Council. We argue that in particular the economically oriented actors, including the European Central Bank, have been successful in the context of the Great Recession. More recently, social priorities around notions such as social investment are becoming more central in the EU debate on economic and social policy.
本文通过发展一种动态的、以行动者为中心的方法,关注欧盟和国家层面之间不断变化的福利界限,在这种方法中,不同群体的行动者相互竞争,以影响欧盟社会政策的社会和经济层面。围绕福利国家改革的理念和政策的成功与否随着时间的推移而变化,这与社会经济条件以及理事会中政党-政府联盟的变化相一致。我们认为,特别是以经济为导向的行为者,包括欧洲央行,在大衰退的背景下取得了成功。最近,在欧盟关于经济和社会政策的辩论中,围绕社会投资等概念的社会优先事项正变得越来越重要。
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引用次数: 10
Is the Honeymoon Over? Explaining Italy's Mass Support and Opposition towards Europe 蜜月结束了吗?解释意大利民众对欧洲的支持和反对
Pub Date : 2014-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.885769
Danilo Di Mauro
ABSTRACT The research presented in this article focuses on support and opposition towards Europe in Italy. In particular, it aims to understand and explain the progressive growing opposition towards EU institutions within Italian public opinion. For decades, both Italian media and political parties have depicted Italy as one of the strongest pro-European countries. However, more recently, Italian public opinion started to look at Europe with more critical eyes, while the consensus of Eurosceptic parties grew. Although the downturn in Italian support for Europe appears evident, both its causes and consequences are largely under-investigated. The purpose of this paper is to fill in this analytical gap by looking at the origins of diffuse support for Europe in Italy. The analysis proceeds through a three-stage strategy, aiming to observe: 1) the explanatory factors of diffuse support in Italy, 2) the effects of the economic crisis on the sentiments of support and 3) the European identity of the Italian public. The data have been supplied by the Eurobarometer series since 1990 and analysed through logistic and linear models. Findings reveal the indirect effects of the current economic crisis on diffuse support for Europe in Italy, since trust towards the national government and perceptions of EU utility decrease for the effects of the recession.
本文的研究重点是意大利人对欧洲的支持和反对。特别是,它旨在理解和解释意大利公众舆论中对欧盟机构日益增长的反对。几十年来,意大利媒体和政党都把意大利描绘成最强大的亲欧国家之一。然而,最近,意大利公众舆论开始以更加批判的眼光看待欧洲,而欧洲怀疑主义政党的共识也在增长。尽管意大利对欧洲的支持明显下降,但其原因和后果在很大程度上都没有得到调查。本文的目的是通过研究意大利对欧洲的分散支持的起源来填补这一分析空白。分析通过一个三阶段策略进行,旨在观察:1)意大利分散支持的解释因素,2)经济危机对支持情绪的影响,以及3)意大利公众的欧洲认同。自1990年以来,数据由欧洲晴雨表系列提供,并通过logistic和线性模型进行分析。调查结果揭示了当前经济危机对意大利对欧洲的广泛支持的间接影响,因为对国家政府的信任和对欧盟效用的看法因经济衰退的影响而下降。
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引用次数: 13
European Integration and the Communist Dilemma 欧洲一体化与共产主义困境
Pub Date : 2014-03-17 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.885768
N. Nikolakakis
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引用次数: 3
In the Name of the People: The Euroscepticism of the Italian Radical Right 《以人民的名义:意大利激进右翼的欧洲怀疑主义
Pub Date : 2014-03-17 DOI: 10.1080/15705854.2014.885766
M. Caiani, N. Conti
Abstract In this article, we analyse Euroscepticism as a common trait of current radical right-wing formations. Public opinion in Italy has become increasingly polarized on the issue of European integration, and largely Eurosceptic. Thus, it is relevant to understand whether there is an ideological opposition to the European Union (EU) in Italy, both inside and outside the Parliament, which, in the future, could capture the malaise of the citizens and grow within the political system. Particularly, we explore differences and similarities between the parliamentary and the extra-parliamentary right. We show that the ways in which they perceive and (negatively) represent the EU through frames is strikingly similar, despite the fact that these organizations do not really cooperate and are even in competition with each other. Ultimately, despite many factors being mature for issue mobilization and the creation of an EU cleavage in Italy, the success of this process largely depends on the ability of the radical right organizations to come to terms with their ideological background, give priority to this emerging cleavage and establish more synergies with each other.
在本文中,我们分析了欧洲怀疑主义作为当前激进右翼组织的共同特征。意大利的公众舆论在欧洲一体化问题上变得越来越两极化,主要是欧洲怀疑论者。因此,了解意大利议会内外是否存在对欧盟(EU)的意识形态反对是相关的,这在未来可能会捕捉到公民的不安,并在政治体制内增长。特别地,我们探讨了议会权利与议会外权利的异同。我们表明,尽管这些组织并不真正合作,甚至彼此竞争,但它们通过框架感知和(消极地)代表欧盟的方式惊人地相似。最终,尽管在意大利问题动员和欧盟分裂的产生方面有许多成熟的因素,但这一过程的成功在很大程度上取决于激进右翼组织对其意识形态背景的妥协能力,优先考虑这种新兴分裂,并建立更多的协同作用。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
Perspectives on European Politics and Society
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