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Majority of global river flow sustained by groundwater 全球大部分河流流量靠地下水维持
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01483-5
Jiaxin Xie, Xiaomang Liu, Scott Jasechko, Wouter R. Berghuijs, Kaiwen Wang, Changming Liu, Markus Reichstein, Martin Jung, Sujan Koirala
Groundwater-sustained baseflow is a vital source of river flow, especially during dry seasons. The proportion of river flow sustained by baseflow—the baseflow index—is essential for assessing fluvial nutrient cycling and contaminant transport. However, the global baseflow index remains highly uncertain, with current Earth system model simulations ranging from 12% to 94%. Here we estimate the global baseflow index to be 59% ± 7% based on an emergent constraint approach, which integrates 50 Earth system models with baseflow indices derived from streamflow observations in 15,567 basins. Our observational constraint indicates that at least 21% ± 3% of precipitation recharges groundwater, which is approximately double the figure reported in the Sixth Assessment Report of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Thus, our research suggests a more active role of groundwater in the global water cycle than most Earth system models currently simulate. We present evidence that the considerable disagreement in simulated baseflow stems from unrealistic and varied model representations of infiltration, aquifer structure and groundwater dynamics. These processes should be prioritized so that models can capture active groundwater–river connections. Groundwater supplies about 59% of global river flow, suggesting a larger contribution of groundwater to the global water cycle than currently appreciated, according to an analysis integrating estimates from models and observations.
地下水维持的基流是河流流量的重要来源,尤其是在干旱季节。基流维持的河流流量比例--基流指数--对于评估河流营养循环和污染物迁移至关重要。然而,全球基流指数仍然存在很大的不确定性,目前地球系统模型模拟的基流指数从 12% 到 94% 不等。在这里,我们根据一种新出现的约束方法,将 50 个地球系统模型与从 15567 个流域的溪流观测中得出的基流指数相结合,估计全球基流指数为 59% ± 7%。我们的观测约束表明,至少有 21% ± 3% 的降水补给了地下水,这大约是联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会第六次评估报告中报告的数字的两倍。因此,我们的研究表明,地下水在全球水循环中的作用比目前大多数地球系统模型模拟的更为积极。我们提出的证据表明,模拟基流中存在的巨大差异源于模型对渗透、含水层结构和地下水动态不切实际的不同描述。应优先考虑这些过程,以便模型能够捕捉到地下水与河流之间的活跃联系。
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引用次数: 0
Substantial increase in China’s manufactured sand supply since 2010 2010 年以来中国人造砂供应量大幅增加
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01501-6
Heming Wang, Peng Wang, Xu Zhang, Wei-Qiang Chen, Asaf Tzachor, Tomer Fishman, Heinz Schandl, Michele Acuto, Yi Yang, Yingying Lu, Catrin Böcher, Fengmei Ma, Chao Zhang, Qiang Yue, Tao Du, Jianguo Liu, Yong-Guan Zhu
As the world’s second most consumed resource, sand is being depleted at an alarming rate. China accounted for nearly half of the world’s sand consumption in 2012. Here we present a material flow analysis of sand from 1995 to 2020 that shows China’s overall sand supply surged by approximately 400% over the study period, yet the proportion of natural sand dropped from ~80% to ~21% due to the increasing use of manufactured sand. From 2010 to 2020, China’s natural sand supply nearly halved due to the strict policies on natural sand mining and the promotion of manufactured sand. This shift demonstrates a possibility for mitigating impacts on natural sand resources during industrialization and urbanization. The increasing use of manufactured sand in China since 2010 has greatly reduced the proportion of natural sand in the country’s total sand supply, from 80% in 1995 to 21% in 2020, according to a material flow analysis of sand in China.
作为世界上消耗量第二大的资源,沙子正在以惊人的速度消耗殆尽。2012 年,中国的用砂量占全球用砂量的近一半。在此,我们对 1995 年至 2020 年的砂的物质流进行了分析,结果显示,在研究期间,中国的总体砂供应量激增了约 400%,但由于人造砂的使用量不断增加,天然砂的比例从约 80% 下降到约 21%。从 2010 年到 2020 年,由于严格的天然砂开采政策和人工砂的推广,中国的天然砂供应量几乎减少了一半。这一转变表明,在工业化和城市化进程中,有可能减轻对天然砂资源的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Melting at the base of a terrestrial magma ocean controlled by oxygen fugacity 陆地岩浆洋底部的融化受氧富集度控制
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01495-1
Yanhao Lin, Takayuki Ishii, Wim van Westrenen, Tomoo Katsura, Ho-Kwang Mao
Heat delivered from accretionary impacts is thought to have led to extensive melting of early Earth’s silicate mantle, resulting in a deep magma ocean covering the surface. The mantle’s oxygen fugacity is thought to have increased over accretion and core formation due to increasingly oxidated impactors and lower mantle self-oxidation, but the influence of this on the solidus of deep primitive mantle materials has not been well constrained. Here we assess the effect of oxygen fugacity on conditions at the bottom of a magma ocean by experimentally determining the solidus of mantle pyrolite at pressures of 16–26 GPa at high oxygen fugacities. We find that over this pressure range, the solidus in experiments conducted under oxidizing conditions is at least 230–450 °C lower than in experiments conducted under more reducing conditions. Assuming constant magma ocean temperature, this would imply a magma ocean floor that deepens by about 60 km for each log unit increase in mantle oxygen fugacity. The strong influence of oxygen fugacity on mantle melting suggests that models of early Earth thermal evolution and geochemical models of core formation should be reassessed. The melting behaviour of Earth’s primitive mantle was strongly sensitive to changes in oxygen fugacity, according to high-pressure experiments on pyrolite under different redox conditions.
吸积撞击产生的热量被认为导致了早期地球硅酸盐地幔的广泛熔化,形成了覆盖地表的深层岩浆海洋。地幔的氧富集度被认为在吸积和地核形成过程中有所增加,原因是撞击物的氧化程度越来越高,而地幔的自氧化程度较低,但这对深层原始地幔物质的固结度的影响还没有得到很好的证实。在这里,我们通过实验测定了地幔辉绿岩在 16-26 GPa 压力和高氧富集度条件下的固相,从而评估了氧富集度对岩浆洋底部条件的影响。我们发现,在这一压力范围内,氧化条件下的实验固相至少比还原条件下的实验固相低 230-450 °C。假设岩浆洋温度不变,这意味着地幔氧富集度每增加一个对数单位,岩浆洋底就会加深约 60 千米。氧富集度对地幔熔化的强烈影响表明,应重新评估早期地球热演化模型和地核形成的地球化学模型。
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引用次数: 0
Publisher Correction: Decline in atmospheric nitrogen deposition in China between 2010 and 2020 出版商更正:2010-2020 年间中国大气氮沉降量的下降
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01504-3
Lei Liu, Zhang Wen, Sheng Liu, Xiuying Zhang, Xuejun Liu
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引用次数: 0
Lessons from the Nile about rivers and society 尼罗河对河流和社会的启示
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01499-x
The Holocene flooding and sedimentation history of the Nile illustrates how fluvial geomorphology has long influenced human society.
尼罗河全新世的洪水和沉积历史说明了河川地貌如何长期影响着人类社会。
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引用次数: 0
Contributions of core, mantle and climatological processes to Earth’s polar motion 地核、地幔和气候过程对地球极地运动的贡献
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01478-2
Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, Surendra Adhikari, Mathieu Dumberry, Sadegh Modiri, Robert Heinkelmann, Harald Schuh, Siddhartha Mishra, Benedikt Soja
Earth’s spin axis slowly moves relative to the crust over time. A 120-year-long record of this polar motion from astronomical and more modern geodetic measurements displays interannual and multidecadal fluctuations of 20 to 40 milliarcseconds superimposed on a secular trend of about 3 milliarcseconds per year. Earth’s polar motion is thought to be driven by various surface and interior processes, but how these processes operate and interact to produce the observed signal remains enigmatic. Here we show that predictions made by an ensemble of physics-informed neural networks trained on measurements to capture geophysical processes can explain the main features of the observed polar motion. We find that glacial isostatic adjustment and mantle convection primarily account for the secular trend. Mass redistribution on the Earth’s surface—for example, ice melting and global changes in water storage—yields a relatively weak trend but explains about 90% of the interannual and multidecadal variations. We also find that core processes contribute to both the secular trend and fluctuations in polar motion, either due to variations in torque at the core–mantle boundary or dynamical feedback of the core in response to surface mass changes. Our findings provide constraints on core–mantle interactions for which observations are rare and global ice mass balance over the past century and suggest feedback operating between climate-related surface processes and core dynamics. Core processes, dynamically linked to mantle and climate-related surface processes, contribute to both the long-term trend and shorter-term fluctuations observed in Earth’s polar motion, according to predictions from physics-informed neural networks.
随着时间的推移,地球自转轴相对于地壳缓慢移动。通过天文测量和更现代的大地测量所获得的长达 120 年的极地运动记录显示,在每年约 3 毫秒的世俗趋势上叠加了 20 至 40 毫秒的年际和十年期波动。地球的极地运动被认为是由各种地表和内部过程驱动的,但这些过程如何运作和相互作用以产生观测到的信号仍然是个谜。在这里,我们展示了根据地球物理过程的测量结果训练的物理信息神经网络集合所做的预测,可以解释观测到的极地运动的主要特征。我们发现,冰川等静力调整和地幔对流是造成极地运动趋势的主要原因。地球表面的质量再分布--例如冰融化和全球储水量的变化--产生了相对较弱的趋势,但解释了约 90% 的年际和多年代变化。我们还发现,地核过程对极地运动的世俗趋势和波动都有贡献,这可能是由于地核-地幔边界的力矩变化,也可能是地核对地表质量变化的动态反馈。我们的研究结果为过去一个世纪中很少观测到的地核-地幔相互作用和全球冰质量平衡提供了制约因素,并表明与气候有关的地表过程和地核动力学之间存在反馈作用。
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引用次数: 0
Emergence of lake conditions that exceed natural temperature variability 出现超过自然温度变化的湖泊状况
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01491-5
Lei Huang, R. Iestyn Woolway, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Keith B. Rodgers, Ryohei Yamaguchi
Lake surface temperatures are projected to increase under climate change, which could trigger shifts in the future distribution of thermally sensitive aquatic species. Of particular concern for lake ecosystems are when temperatures increase outside the range of natural variability, without analogue either today or in the past. However, our knowledge of when such no-analogue conditions will appear remains uncertain. Here, using daily outputs from a large ensemble of SSP3-7.0 Earth system model projections, we show that these conditions will emerge at the surface of many northern lakes under a global warming of 4.0 °C above pre-industrial conditions. No-analogue conditions will occur sooner, under 2.4 °C of warming, at lower latitudes, primarily due to a weaker range of natural variability, which increases the likelihood of the upper natural limit of lake temperature being exceeded. Similar patterns are also projected in subsurface water, with no-analogue conditions occurring first at low latitudes and occurring last, if at all, at higher latitudes. Our study suggests that global warming will induce changes across the water column, particularly at low latitudes, leading to the emergence of unparalleled climates with no modern counterparts, probably affecting their habitability and leading to rearrangements of freshwater habitats this century. Earth system models project that lake temperatures will warm beyond the range of natural variability to which aquatic ecosystems are adapted in the coming decades, with conditions exceeding natural analogues sooner at lower latitudes.
在气候变化的影响下,湖泊表面温度预计会升高,这可能会导致对温度敏感的水生物种的未来分布发生变化。对于湖泊生态系统来说,尤其值得关注的是,当温度上升超出自然变化范围时,无论是现在还是过去,都不会出现类似情况。然而,我们对这种无类比条件何时出现的了解仍不确定。在这里,我们利用 SSP3-7.0 地球系统模型预测的大型集合的日输出结果,表明在全球变暖比工业化前温度高 4.0 °C 的情况下,北方许多湖泊的表面将出现这种情况。在全球变暖 2.4 ℃ 的情况下,低纬度地区将更快出现类似情况,这主要是由于自然变率范围较小,从而增加了湖泊温度超过自然上限的可能性。类似的模式也会出现在地下水中,低纬度地区会首先出现无模拟条件,而高纬度地区则会最后出现(如果有的话)。我们的研究表明,全球变暖将引起整个水体的变化,尤其是在低纬度地区,从而导致出现无与伦比的现代气候,这可能会影响它们的可居住性,并导致本世纪淡水栖息地的重新布局。
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引用次数: 0
Silica in a state of shock 处于休克状态的硅石
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01477-3
Falko Langenhorst
Simple silica exists in many forms on Earth, as Falko Langenhorst explains. Some of these polymorphs can shed light on the Earth’s violent past.
正如 Falko Langenhorst 解释的那样,地球上存在多种形态的单质二氧化硅。其中一些多晶体可以揭示地球暴力的过去。
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引用次数: 0
Generation of Archaean oxidizing and wet magmas from mafic crustal overthickening 黑云母地壳增厚产生的太古宙氧化岩浆和湿岩浆
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01489-z
David Hernández-Uribe
The geodynamic setting leading to the formation of Earth’s first continents remains debated. Zircons preserved in Archaean granitoids record evidence of a relatively oxidizing and wet magmatic source. Subduction-related mechanisms for the formation of Archaean granitoids have been invoked to explain these signatures, suggesting an early initiation of subduction on Earth between 4.0 and 3.6 billion years ago, in the Eoarchaean era. Here I use forward petrological modelling and Monte Carlo randomization models to show that relatively oxidizing and wet magmas resembling Archaean granitoids worldwide can occur from melts derived from the partial melting of an overthickened mafic crust in a non-subduction scenario. The formation of oxidizing and wet magmatic signatures is therefore not diagnostic of continental crust generation by subduction or of subduction initiation in the Eoarchaean. Instead, the apparent observed increase in oxygen fugacity and water contents during the Eoarchaean may indicate magmatic thickening and melting of overthickened crust with time, suggesting that this process may have contributed to the development of Earth’s first continents. The high oxygen fugacities and water contents recorded by zircons from Archaean granitoids can be explained by partial melting at the base of overthickened oceanic crust without requiring subduction, according to a phase equilibrium modelling study.
导致地球上第一块大陆形成的地球动力环境仍存在争议。保存在太古宙花岗岩中的锆石记录了相对氧化和潮湿岩浆源的证据。人们援引太古宙花岗岩形成的俯冲相关机制来解释这些特征,认为地球在距今40亿年至36亿年之间的始新纪早期开始了俯冲。在这里,我利用前向岩石学建模和蒙特卡洛随机化模型来证明,在非俯冲情况下,过厚的岩浆岩壳部分熔化所产生的熔融物,可以形成与世界各地太古宙花岗岩相似的相对氧化和湿岩浆。因此,氧化和湿岩浆特征的形成并不能诊断出大陆地壳是由俯冲作用产生的,也不能诊断出俯冲作用是在始新世开始的。相反,在始新世期间观察到的氧富集度和水含量的明显增加可能表明,随着时间的推移,过厚地壳的岩浆增厚和熔化,表明这一过程可能促成了地球上最早大陆的形成。
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引用次数: 0
Decline in atmospheric nitrogen deposition in China between 2010 and 2020 2010-2020 年间中国大气氮沉降量的下降
IF 15.7 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01484-4
Lei Liu, Zhang Wen, Sheng Liu, Xiuying Zhang, Xuejun Liu
The deposition of atmospheric nitrogen sourced from emissions has broad environmental consequences, but long-term measurements of recent air pollution control and nitrogen management effectiveness in China are rare. Here we report measurements from a ground-based monitoring network that show a 14% decline in the rate of nitrogen deposition over China from 2010 to 2020, including a 34% decrease in oxidized nitrogen (mainly industrial) and a 10% decline in reduced nitrogen (mostly agricultural) with larger declines over eastern China. The increasing ratio of reduced to oxidized nitrogen deposition (from 1.5 to 2.0 between 2010 and 2020) underscores the need for effective agricultural nitrogen management. Nitrogen deposition in China decreased by 14% between 2010 and 2020, with greater declines in nitrogen from industrial than agricultural sources, according to decadal observations of atmospheric deposition of different forms of reactive nitrogen.
源于废气排放的大气氮沉降会对环境造成广泛影响,但对中国近期空气污染控制和氮治理效果的长期测量却很少见。在此,我们报告了地面监测网络的测量结果,结果显示从 2010 年到 2020 年,中国上空的氮沉降率下降了 14%,其中氧化氮(主要是工业氮)下降了 34%,还原氮(主要是农业氮)下降了 10%,华东地区的降幅更大。还原氮沉降与氧化氮沉降的比率不断上升(2010 年至 2020 年间从 1.5 上升到 2.0),这突出表明需要进行有效的农业氮管理。
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引用次数: 0
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