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Rural migration under climate and land systems change 气候和土地系统变化下的农村人口迁移
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01396-6
Jonathan Salerno, Andrea E. Gaughan, Rekha Warrier, Randall Boone, Forrest R. Stevens, Patrick W. Keys, Lazaro Johana Mangewa, Felister Michael Mombo, Alex de Sherbinin, Joel Hartter, Lori Hunter
Human migration is both a consequence and a cause of environmental change. Related scientific and policy discourse focuses largely on international and urban migration, while rural migration receives far less attention. This is despite rural mobility being a key adaptive strategy for smallholders globally in the face of climate, environmental and social change. The integration of migration studies and land system science may serve to advance understanding of rural migration processes, and in turn advance the science of the fields themselves. Such efforts are relevant in an increasingly mobile world where new models and theory will be needed to meaningfully understand migration dynamics within sustainable socio-environmental systems. Migration has become a key research topic in recent years, but rural migration is relatively understudied despite the vast number of people and areas affected around the world. This Perspective lays out critical dimensions and dynamics that are worth examining.
人类迁徙既是环境变化的结果,也是环境变化的原因。相关的科学和政策讨论主要集中在国际和城市移民方面,而对农村移民的关注则少得多。尽管农村人口流动是全球小农户面对气候、环境和社会变迁时的一项重要适应策略,但这一现象仍然存在。将移民研究与土地系统科学结合起来,有助于加深对农村移民过程的理解,进而推动这两个领域本身的科学发展。在一个流动性越来越强的世界里,需要新的模式和理论来切实理解可持续社会环境系统中的迁移动态,而这些努力与此息息相关。近年来,人口迁移已成为一个重要的研究课题,但尽管全球受影响的人口和地区数量庞大,对农村人口迁移的研究却相对不足。本视角阐述了值得研究的关键因素和动态。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of profit-driven cropland expansion and conservation policies 利润驱动的耕地扩张和保护政策的影响
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01410-x
Julia M. Schneider, Ruth Delzeit, Christian Neumann, Tobias Heimann, Ralf Seppelt, Franziska Schuenemann, Mareike Söder, Wolfram Mauser, Florian Zabel
Biodiversity protection and climate change mitigation require understanding of the potential trade-offs from possible future cropland expansion. Here we apply an interdisciplinary coupled modelling approach to identify areas under the globally highest expansion pressure of 1% to 30% future cropland expansion by 2030. On the basis of recent projections, we analyse the potential impacts on agricultural markets, biodiversity and CO2 land-use emissions of a 3.6% global cropland expansion scenario by 2030. We assess how global conservation policies could shift expansion pressure and alter the ensuing impacts. Our results confirm that the areas under pressure are located mainly in the tropics. A cropland expansion of 3.6% increases global agricultural production by 2%. The associated land-use change generates 17.1 Gt CO2 emissions and leads to a further decline in biodiversity intactness of 26% in the expanded areas. Conservation policies prohibiting the expansion into forests, wetlands and existing protected areas could substantially reduce emissions from land-use change, maintaining global agricultural productivity, but might have contrary effects on biodiversity. Strategic land-use planning could help reconcile agricultural production with environmental protection. The map of areas under expansion pressure presented here could contribute to improving the spatial planning of conservation measures. Understanding the various and multiple trade-offs of land-use changes and cropland expansion can contribute to more sustainable policies. A study explores future scenarios of cropland expansion along with the trade-offs in agricultural production and markets, biodiversity and CO2 emissions.
保护生物多样性和减缓气候变化需要了解未来耕地扩张可能带来的权衡。在此,我们采用跨学科耦合建模方法,确定了全球耕地扩张压力最大的地区,即到 2030 年耕地扩张 1%-30%。根据最近的预测,我们分析了到 2030 年全球耕地扩张 3.6% 的情景对农业市场、生物多样性和二氧化碳土地利用排放的潜在影响。我们评估了全球保护政策如何转移扩张压力并改变随之而来的影响。我们的结果证实,受到压力的地区主要位于热带地区。耕地面积扩大 3.6%,全球农业产量增加 2%。与此相关的土地利用变化会产生 17.1 千兆吨二氧化碳排放,并导致扩大地区的生物多样性完整性进一步下降 26%。禁止向森林、湿地和现有保护区扩张的保护政策可大幅减少土地利用变化产生的排放,维持全球农业生产率,但可能会对生物多样性产生相反的影响。战略性土地利用规划有助于协调农业生产与环境保护之间的关系。本文介绍的面临扩张压力地区的地图有助于改善保护措施的空间规划。了解土地利用变化和耕地扩张的各种多重权衡,有助于制定更具可持续性的政策。一项研究探讨了未来耕地扩张的情景,以及农业生产和市场、生物多样性和二氧化碳排放方面的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Growing prominence of deep-sea life in marine bioprospecting 深海生物在海洋生物勘探中的地位日益突出
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01392-w
Erik Zhivkoplias, Jean-Baptiste Jouffray, Paul Dunshirn, Agnes Pranindita, Robert Blasiak
Marine bioprospecting, which involves the exploration of genetic and biochemical material from marine organisms, can be used towards addressing a broad range of public and environmental health applications such as disease treatment, diagnostics and bioremediation. Marine genetic resources are important reservoirs for such bioprospecting efforts; however, the extent to which they are used commercially for natural product discovery and the marine sources from which they are derived are not well understood. Here we introduce a comprehensive database of marine genes referenced in patent filings, the Marine Bioprospecting Patent database. It includes 92,550 protein-coding sequences associated with 4,779 patent filings, identified by analysing all relevant records from genetic sequence databases. Three companies alone—BASF, IFF and DuPont—included sequences from 949 species (more than half of referenced species with identified marine origin). Microbial life in the deep sea, a vast and remote biome predominantly beyond national jurisdiction, is already attracting substantial economic interest; the top ten patent holders have all filed marine gene patents referencing sequences from deep-sea life. Our findings provide an updated understanding of the marine bioprospecting landscape, contribute to the sustainable use of marine biodiversity and underscore the need for policymakers to ensure stewardship of deep-sea ecosystems. Marine genetic resources are important reservoirs for biodiscovery compounds that can help address public and environmental health challenges. This study presents a database and analysis on the commercial use of marine genetic resources towards the sustainable use of marine biodiversity.
海洋生物勘探涉及从海洋生物中发掘遗传和生化材料,可用于解决广泛的公共和环境健康应用问题,如疾病治疗、诊断和生物修复。海洋遗传资源是此类生物勘探工作的重要资源库;然而,人们对海洋遗传资源在商业上用于天然产品发现的程度以及这些资源的海洋来源并不十分了解。在此,我们介绍一个专利申请中引用的海洋基因综合数据库--海洋生物勘探专利数据库。该数据库通过分析基因序列数据库中的所有相关记录,收录了与 4,779 项专利申请相关的 92,550 个蛋白质编码序列。仅三家公司--BASF、IFF 和 DuPont--就收录了 949 个物种的序列(超过一半的参考物种已确定来源于海洋)。深海中的微生物生命是一个广阔而遥远的生物群落,主要在国家管辖范围之外,已经吸引了大量的经济利益;排名前十的专利持有者都申请了引用深海生物序列的海洋基因专利。我们的研究结果让人们对海洋生物勘探有了最新的了解,有助于海洋生物多样性的可持续利用,并强调了政策制定者确保深海生态系统管理的必要性。海洋遗传资源是生物发现化合物的重要宝库,有助于应对公共和环境健康挑战。本研究介绍了海洋遗传资源商业利用数据库和分析,以实现海洋生物多样性的可持续利用。
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引用次数: 0
Polarizing and equalizing trends in international trade and Sustainable Development Goals 国际贸易和可持续发展目标中的两极分化和均衡化趋势
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01397-5
Arunima Malik, Manfred Lenzen, Mengyu Li, Camille Mora, Sarah Carter, Stefan Giljum, Stephan Lutter, Jorge Gómez-Paredes
The influence of international trade on the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals is multi-faceted. International trade can either promote or hinder progress, thus directly impacting people, economies and livelihoods. Here we explore the relevance of consumption-based proxies, which capture global demand for goods and services, to assess progress towards Sustainable Development Goals. We link these proxies to environmental and social issues for understanding trends in international outsourcing of resource and pollution-intensive production. We undertake a temporal assessment from 1990 to 2018 for the Global North and South to highlight polarizing trends that are affecting progress on achieving Sustainable Development Goals. We conclude that global trade can lead to both polarizing and equalizing trends that can influence a country’s ability to meet the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The role of international trade in achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals is complex and affects multiple factors differently depending on the development context of each country. This study analyses historic trends and shows how global trade can either promote or hinder progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals.
国际贸易对联合国可持续发展目标的影响是多方面的。国际贸易既可以促进也可以阻碍进展,从而直接影响人民、经济和生计。在此,我们探讨了以消费为基础的代用指标与评估可持续发展目标进展的相关性,这些代用指标反映了全球对商品和服务的需求。我们将这些代用指标与环境和社会问题联系起来,以了解资源和污染密集型生产的国际外包趋势。我们对全球北方和南方进行了从 1990 年到 2018 年的时间评估,以突出影响实现可持续发展目标进展的两极化趋势。我们的结论是,全球贸易既可能导致两极分化趋势,也可能导致均衡化趋势,从而影响一个国家实现 2030 年可持续发展议程的能力。国际贸易在实现联合国可持续发展目标方面的作用十分复杂,并因各国的发展背景不同而对多种因素产生不同影响。本研究分析了历史趋势,并展示了全球贸易如何促进或阻碍可持续发展目标的实现。
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引用次数: 0
Author Correction: Vulnerability to collapse of coral reef ecosystems in the Western Indian Ocean 作者更正:西印度洋珊瑚礁生态系统崩溃的脆弱性
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01418-3
David Obura, Mishal Gudka, Melita Samoilys, Kennedy Osuka, James Mbugua, David A. Keith, Sean Porter, Ronan Roche, Ruben van Hooidonk, Said Ahamada, Armindo Araman, Juliet Karisa, John Komakoma, Mouchtadi Madi, Isabelle Ravinia, Haja Razafindrainibe, Saleh Yahya, Francisco Zivane
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引用次数: 0
Lattice-sulfur-impregnated zero-valent iron crystals for long-term metal encapsulation 用于长期金属封装的浸渍硫晶格零价铁晶体
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01409-4
Chaohuang Chen, Qianhai Zhou, Zhongyuan Guo, Hao Li, Chen Miao, Du Chen, Xiaohong Hu, Xia Feng, Vincent Noël, Subhasis Ghoshal, Gregory V. Lowry, Lizhong Zhu, Daohui Lin, Jiang Xu
Using nanoscale zero-valent iron (nFe0) materials for heavy metal removal is a viable approach for in situ groundwater pollution remediation. However, conventional nFe0 materials have indiscriminate reactivity towards various electron acceptors (for example, water) and just accumulate heavy metals onto the surface, which leads to poor selectivity and short longevity. Here we develop a lattice-sulfur-impregnated nFe0 (S-nFe0), achieving intraparticle sequestration of heavy metals enabled by a boosted Kirkendall-like effect. This metal-encapsulation approach outcompetes water for electrons and efficiently uses Fe-released spots, and the reacted S-nFe0 becomes inert to release metals (78–220× less than nFe0) in real groundwater matrices. The treated groundwater is estimated to meet drinking-water standards with a longevity of over 20–100 years. The synthesis of S-nFe0 has negligible environmental impacts according to Biwer–Heinzle environmental evaluation results. S-nFe0 also shows competitive production and operation costs for metal-contaminated groundwater remediation. Overall this work presents a strategy for achieving metal encapsulation in nFe0, which breaks the reactivity–selectivity–stability trade-offs of redox nanomaterials, providing a powerful tool to tackle groundwater pollution. Nanoscale zero-valent iron (nFe0) materials have a long history in groundwater pollution remediation but conventional nFe0 has intrinsic shortcomings. Here the authors develop a lattice-sulfur-impregnated nFe0 that enables efficient and selective heavy metal removal and long-term metal encapsulation.
利用纳米级零价铁(nFe0)材料去除重金属是就地修复地下水污染的一种可行方法。然而,传统的 nFe0 材料对各种电子受体(如水)具有不加区分的反应性,只会在表面积累重金属,从而导致选择性差、寿命短。在这里,我们开发了一种晶格硫浸渍 nFe0(S-nFe0),通过类似于 Kirkendall 的增强效应实现了重金属的粒子内封存。这种金属螯合方法能与水竞争电子,并有效利用铁释放点,反应后的 S-nFe0 具有惰性,不会在实际地下水基质中释放金属(比 nFe0 少 78-220 倍)。据估计,处理后的地下水可达到饮用水标准,寿命超过 20-100 年。根据 Biwer-Heinzle 环境评估结果,合成 S-nFe0 对环境的影响可以忽略不计。S-nFe0 在金属污染地下水修复方面的生产和运营成本也具有竞争力。总之,这项工作提出了一种在 nFe0 中实现金属封装的策略,打破了氧化还原纳米材料的反应性-选择性-稳定性权衡,为解决地下水污染问题提供了一种强有力的工具。纳米级零价铁(nFe0)材料在地下水污染修复方面有着悠久的历史,但传统的 nFe0 存在固有缺陷。在此,作者开发了一种晶格硫浸渍 nFe0,可高效、选择性地去除重金属并长期封装金属。
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引用次数: 0
Nature-based credit markets at a crossroads 处于十字路口的自然信贷市场
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01403-w
Tom Swinfield, Siddarth Shrikanth, Joseph W. Bull, Anil Madhavapeddy, Sophus O. S. E. zu Ermgassen
Continuing to produce nature-based credits using dubious accounting methodologies will yield limited carbon and biodiversity gains. Establishing scientific credibility unlocks the potential of credits to meaningfully contribute to targets of the Paris and Kunming-Montreal agreements.
继续使用可疑的核算方法生产基于自然的信用额度将产生有限的碳和生物多样性收益。建立科学可信度可以释放信用额度的潜力,为实现巴黎协定和昆明-蒙特利尔协定的目标做出有意义的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Seagrass ecosystems as green urban infrastructure to mediate human pathogens in seafood 将海草生态系统作为绿色城市基础设施,调解海产品中的人类病原体
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01408-5
Phoebe D. Dawkins, Evan A. Fiorenza, Jeffrey L. Gaeckle, Jennifer A. Lanksbury, Jeroen A. J. M. van de Water, William E. Feeney, C. Drew Harvell, Joleah B. Lamb
Urban greening offers an opportunity to reinforce food security and safety. Seagrass ecosystems can reduce human bacterial pathogens from coastal sources, but it remains unknown whether this service is conferred to associated food fish. We find a 65% reduction in human bacterial pathogens from marine bivalves experimentally deployed across coastal urban locations with seagrass present compared with locations with seagrass absent. Our model estimates that 1.1 billion people reside in urban areas within 50 km of a seagrass ecosystem. These results highlight the global opportunity to support human health and biodiversity sustainability targets. Seagrass ecosystems often co-occur with urbanized coastal regions, providing important filtration services that reduce human bacterial pathogens from coastal sources. This study examines whether such filtration function is transferred to food fish such as marine bivalves, and its global applicability.
城市绿化为加强食品安全提供了机会。海草生态系统可以减少来自沿海的人类细菌病原体,但这种服务是否会惠及相关的食用鱼,目前仍不得而知。我们在实验中发现,在有海草的沿海城市地区与没有海草的地区相比,来自海洋双壳贝类的人类细菌病原体减少了 65%。据我们的模型估计,有 11 亿人居住在距离海草生态系统 50 公里以内的城市地区。这些结果凸显了全球支持人类健康和生物多样性可持续性目标的机会。海草生态系统通常与城市化沿海地区共生,提供重要的过滤服务,减少来自沿海的人类细菌病原体。本研究探讨了这种过滤功能是否会转移到海洋双壳贝类等食用鱼身上,以及其全球适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Widespread Amazonian dark earth in the Xingu Indigenous Territory 新古土著领地广泛存在的亚马逊黑土地
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01399-3
Samuel L. Goldberg, Morgan J. Schmidt, Joshua D. Himmelstein, Michael Heckenberger, Bruna Franchetto, Helena Lima, Jennifer Watling, Bruno Moraes, Wetherbee B. Dorshow, Carlos Fausto, Kumessi Waura, Huke Kuikuro, Taku Wate Kuikuro, Afukaka Kuikuro, J. Taylor Perron
Amazonian dark earth (ADE) is highly nutrient- and carbon-rich soil created by past inhabitants of the Amazon. It would be valuable to know the extent of ADE because of its cultural and environmental importance, but systematic efforts to map its distribution and extent are impractical with traditional field methods. We use remote-sensing imagery and a machine-learning classifier with ground-truthed training data to predict the occurrence of ADE across the 26,000 km2 Território Indígena do Xingu (TIX) in the southeastern Amazon region of Brazil. We find widespread ADE across the TIX, well beyond previously studied archaeological sites, occupying at least 3–4% of the land area. We further estimate that the TIX may sequester 9 Mt of carbon within ADE deposits from past human inputs. Our findings show that ancient inhabitants of the TIX substantially modified their environment, highlighting the importance of conserving this natural and cultural resource given threats from climate change and deforestation. Past human land modification in the Amazon has resulted in nutrient- and carbon-rich soil deposits of great cultural and environmental value. A new remote-sensing and machine-learning approach reveals the extent of Amazonian dark earth and its potentially substantial carbon reservoir.
亚马逊黑土(ADE)是亚马逊地区过去的居民创造的富含养分和碳的土壤。由于亚马逊黑土在文化和环境方面的重要性,了解亚马逊黑土的范围是非常有价值的,但用传统的野外方法来系统地绘制亚马逊黑土的分布图和范围图是不切实际的。我们利用遥感图像和机器学习分类器以及经过地面实验的训练数据,预测巴西亚马逊东南部 26,000 平方公里的新古印第安领地(TIX)内 ADE 的发生情况。我们发现,ADE 在整个 TIX 地区非常普遍,远远超出了之前研究过的考古遗址,至少占据了陆地面积的 3-4%。我们进一步估计,在过去人类输入的 ADE 沉积物中,TIX 可能封存了 900 万吨碳。我们的研究结果表明,TIX 的古代居民极大地改变了他们的环境,鉴于气候变化和森林砍伐带来的威胁,我们强调了保护这一自然和文化资源的重要性。人类过去对亚马逊地区土地的改造形成了富含养分和碳的土壤沉积,具有重要的文化和环境价值。一种新的遥感和机器学习方法揭示了亚马逊黑土地的范围及其潜在的大量碳库。
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引用次数: 0
Targeting net-zero emissions while advancing other sustainable development goals in China 以净零排放为目标,同时推进中国的其他可持续发展目标
IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01400-z
Shu Zhang, Wenying Chen, Qiang Zhang, Volker Krey, Edward Byers, Peter Rafaj, Binh Nguyen, Muhammad Awais, Keywan Riahi
The global net-zero transition needed to combat climate change may have profound effects on the energy–food–water–air quality nexus. Accomplishing the net-zero target while addressing other environmental challenges to achieve sustainable development is a policy pursuit for all. Here we develop a multi-model interconnection assessment framework to explore and quantify the co-benefits and trade-offs of climate action for environment-related sustainable development goals in China. We find that China is making progress towards many of the sustainable development goals, but still insufficiently. The net-zero transition leads to substantial sustainability improvements, particularly in energy and water systems. However, the co-benefits alone cannot ensure a sustainable energy–food–water–air quality system. Moreover, uncoordinated policies may exacerbate threats to energy security and food security as variable renewables and bioenergy expand. We urge the implementation of pragmatic measures to increase incentives for demand management, improve food system efficiency, promote advanced irrigation technology and further strengthen air pollutant control measures. The net-zero transition will bring co-benefits to various sectors but also potential trade-offs that could undermine sustainable development efforts. A study shows that in China, the co-benefits from the transition alone will not secure a sustainable energy–food–water–air quality system.
应对气候变化所需的全球净零排放转型可能会对能源、粮食、水和空气质量之间的关系产生深远影响。在应对其他环境挑战以实现可持续发展的同时,实现净零排放目标是所有人的政策追求。在此,我们开发了一个多模型互联评估框架,以探索和量化气候行动对中国环境相关可持续发展目标的共同利益和权衡。我们发现,中国在实现许多可持续发展目标方面正在取得进展,但仍然不够。净零过渡带来了可持续发展的实质性改善,尤其是在能源和水系统方面。然而,仅靠共同效益并不能确保能源、食品、水、空气质量系统的可持续发展。此外,随着可变可再生能源和生物能源的扩大,不协调的政策可能会加剧对能源安全和粮食安全的威胁。我们敦促采取务实措施,加大需求管理激励力度,提高粮食系统效率,推广先进灌溉技术,进一步加强空气污染控制措施。净零排放转型将为各部门带来共同利益,但也可能带来权衡,从而破坏可持续发展努力。一项研究表明,在中国,仅靠转型带来的共同利益并不能确保建立一个可持续的能源-食品-水-空气质量系统。
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引用次数: 0
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