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Heavy Metal‐Driven Land Degradation in Apple Orchards: Geospatial Controls and Sustainable Zoning Management 重金属驱动的苹果园土地退化:地理空间控制和可持续分区管理
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70354
Weinan Sun, Xiaoping Zhang, Gangshuan Bai, Wenliang Geng, Haojia Wang, Miaoqian Wang, Yujie Zhang, Kaiyang Yu, Xuanhao Liu, José A. Gómez
In orchard systems, sustained agrochemical inputs drive progressive heavy metal accumulation in soils, posing threats to ecosystem security and potential human health risks. This study integrates ecological risk models, partial correlation analysis, random forest algorithms, and regression analysis methods to systematically investigate the characteristics, spatial heterogeneity patterns, and driving mechanisms of heavy metal pollution and risks under distinct management regimes in apple orchards of the Chinese Weibei Upland, while unraveling their multi‐scale driving mechanisms. The findings indicate that: (1) Geographical background primarily governs the differentiation pattern of ecological risks. The soil heavy metal pollution load of apple orchards in Qianyang was significantly higher than that of Baishui and Luochuan. (2) There was no significant effect of management practices on soil heavy metal content, ecological, and health risks in the area ( p > 0.199). (3) Random forest analysis and partial correlation analysis showed that the distribution of arsenic and lead was dominated by parent material factors, cadmium and mercury showed significant associations with microbial activities, chromium was strongly associated with organic carbon, and copper accumulation was dominated by exogenous inputs. These findings provide a mechanistic basis for developing targeted management strategies for orchards in the Weibei Upland and similar ecologically fragile areas.
在果园系统中,持续的农用化学品投入导致重金属在土壤中逐渐积累,对生态系统安全和潜在的人类健康风险构成威胁。本文综合运用生态风险模型、偏相关分析、随机森林算法和回归分析等方法,系统研究渭北高原不同管理制度下苹果果园重金属污染及其风险的特征、空间异质性格局和驱动机制,揭示其多尺度驱动机制。结果表明:(1)地理背景对生态风险分异格局起主要支配作用。潜阳苹果园土壤重金属污染负荷显著高于白水和洛川苹果园。(2)不同管理方式对土壤重金属含量、生态和健康风险均无显著影响(p > 0.199)。(3)随机森林分析和偏相关分析表明,砷和铅的分布受母体物质因素主导,镉和汞的分布与微生物活动显著相关,铬的分布与有机碳密切相关,铜的积累受外源输入主导。这些研究结果为渭北高原及类似生态脆弱地区制定有针对性的果园管理策略提供了机制依据。
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引用次数: 0
Seeding Institutions, Harvesting Transformations: A Hybrid Governance Model for Living Labs in Agricultural Landscapes 播种制度,收获变革:农业景观中生活实验室的混合治理模型
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70389
Hossein Azadi
Agricultural landscapes are intricate socio‐ecological systems that are undergoing fast transformation as a result of competing demands for land for food, energy, housing, and infrastructure. Meanwhile, emerging co‐designed sites known as “living labs” (LLs) unite many stakeholders to develop, test, and apply sustainable solutions in real‐world contexts. Despite many promises of LLs, the governance and institutional arrangements that enable these laboratories to generate transformational and long‐lasting results have not yet been fully articulated. This study introduces a Hybrid Governance Model (HyGoM) that integrates six complementary governance theories—participatory, adaptive, polycentric, network, reflexive, and transformative governance—into a coherent polycentric governance framework. Conceptualizing the landscape living labs (LLL, henceforth, “3L”), it translates governance theory into a detailed institutional design, specifying how such labs should be configured and spelled out at micro, meso, and macro levels to ensure legitimacy, continuality, and scalability. The model's efficacy can be empirically validated through co‐designed projects and real‐world case studies that demonstrate its application in enhancing climate resilience in agriculture and increased farmer adaptive capacity. Hence, HyGoM contributes to theory by bridging land governance system and transformation science and provides a blueprint for research institutions seeking to institutionalize LLs as credible governance infrastructures for achieving land degradation neutrality and sustainable landscape transformation.
农业景观是复杂的社会生态系统,由于对土地、粮食、能源、住房和基础设施的竞争需求,该系统正在经历快速转变。与此同时,新兴的协同设计网站被称为“生活实验室”(LLs),它将许多利益相关者联合起来,在现实世界中开发、测试和应用可持续解决方案。尽管法学研究做出了许多承诺,但使这些实验室能够产生变革性和长期成果的治理和制度安排尚未得到充分阐明。本研究介绍了一种混合治理模型(HyGoM),该模型将参与式、适应性、多中心、网络化、反思性和变革性治理这六种互补的治理理论整合到一个连贯的多中心治理框架中。将景观生活实验室(LLL,以下简称“3L”)概念化,将治理理论转化为详细的制度设计,指定如何在微观、中观和宏观层面配置和阐明这些实验室,以确保合法性、连续性和可扩展性。该模型的有效性可以通过共同设计的项目和现实世界的案例研究得到实证验证,这些案例研究证明了该模型在增强农业气候适应能力和提高农民适应能力方面的应用。因此,HyGoM通过连接土地治理系统和转型科学为理论做出了贡献,并为研究机构提供了蓝图,以寻求将土地治理体系制度化,作为实现土地退化中性和可持续景观转型的可靠治理基础设施。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Fire Patterns and Post‐fire Forest Change in Peru (2000–2021) 2000-2021年秘鲁森林火灾时空格局与火灾后变化
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70378
Maricel Móstiga, Dolors Armenteras, Jordi Vayreda, Javier Retana
Fire is increasingly more frequent and severe in many tropical regions, leading to significant forest loss, diminished biodiversity, and reduced Nature's contributions to people (NCPs). In this study, we analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of fire in Peru and its regions, focusing on: (1) burned area, (2) size, and (3) number of fires, using satellite data spanning two decades (2001–2020). Furthermore, we examined postfire changes in forest and shrubland. Our analysis revealed that 2.1 million hectares were burned in Peru, with over 80% of this area located in the Andean and Low Rainforest regions. Distinct fire seasonality was observed. The years 2005, 2010, 2016, 2019, and 2020 witnessed extensive burns across Peru, while the Coast region experienced peak fires in 2016 and 2017. Notably, the Coast region saw an increasing trend in fire frequency, and both the Coast and Andean regions experienced growth in fire size over time. Factors such as the dry season, El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and land‐use activities were found to influence these spatiotemporal patterns. Grasslands were the most burned land cover, followed by savannas and forests, although regional variations exist. Significantly, we found that nearly half or more of burned forests and shrublands underwent a transformation to different land covers within the two decades. While grasslands were the dominant postfire land cover nationally, regional variations were evident. Our findings offer a comprehensive insight into the fire dynamics and postfire cover shifts in Peru, underscoring the need for developing strong and sustainable fire management and land‐use policies.
在许多热带地区,火灾越来越频繁和严重,导致严重的森林损失、生物多样性减少和自然对人类的贡献减少(ncp)。在这项研究中,我们分析了秘鲁及其地区的火灾时空格局,重点关注:(1)燃烧面积,(2)火灾规模,(3)火灾数量,使用跨越二十年(2001-2020)的卫星数据。此外,我们还研究了森林和灌丛的火灾后变化。我们的分析显示,秘鲁有210万公顷的森林被烧毁,其中80%以上位于安第斯山脉和低地雨林地区。观察到明显的火灾季节性。2005年、2010年、2016年、2019年和2020年,秘鲁各地发生了大面积火灾,而沿海地区在2016年和2017年经历了火灾高峰。值得注意的是,沿海地区的火灾频率呈上升趋势,沿海地区和安第斯地区的火灾规模都随着时间的推移而增长。旱季、厄尔尼诺Niño -南方涛动(ENSO)和土地利用活动等因素影响了这些时空格局。草原是燃烧最多的土地覆盖,其次是稀树草原和森林,尽管存在区域差异。值得注意的是,我们发现近一半或更多的被烧毁的森林和灌木在20年内经历了向不同土地覆盖的转变。虽然在全国范围内,草地是主要的火灾后土地覆盖,但区域差异很明显。我们的研究结果提供了对秘鲁火灾动态和火灾后覆盖变化的全面洞察,强调了制定强有力和可持续的火灾管理和土地利用政策的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Foresight for Sustainable Rural Landscapes: Balancing Environment and Society 可持续乡村景观的战略展望:平衡环境与社会
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70341
Roya Vazirian, AliAkbar Karimian, Mehdi Ghorbani, SeyedAlireza Afshani, Astrida Miceikienė, Ahsen Işık Özgüven, Petr Sklenicka, Hossein Azadi
Rural landscapes are increasingly challenged by climate change, ecosystem degradation, and socio‐economic transitions, creating an urgent need for strategic foresight and scenario planning to guide sustainable development. This study integrates these approaches to identify key factors shaping the future of socio‐ecological systems and to develop targeted interventions by recognizing underlying trends, challenges, and potential drivers. The methodology combines the Delphi technique and structured brainstorming to identify critical socio‐ecological variables, followed by structural interaction analysis to assess their interrelationships. Influence and dependence analysis in both direct and indirect modes was applied to classify variables and evaluate their immediate and long‐term impacts within the system. Visualization tools, including influence and dependence maps, heatmap, and scatter plots matrix, revealed patterns and connections. The influence and dependence maps categorized variables into influential, dependent, independent, and dichotomous groups; heatmaps identified clusters of related factors and scatter plots matrix highlighted correlations within the broader context. Based on these findings, multiple future scenarios were formulated, outlining strategic pathways to enhance resilience by addressing interconnections among social, environmental, and governance factors. This foresight framework offers policymakers actionable strategies to mitigate environmental risks, optimize resource allocation, and strengthen community engagement. The findings offer key evidence for long‐term sustainability and resilience in rural areas, helping stakeholders manage socio‐ecological challenges amid climate uncertainty.
农村景观日益受到气候变化、生态系统退化和社会经济转型的挑战,迫切需要战略远见和情景规划来指导可持续发展。本研究整合了这些方法,以确定影响社会生态系统未来的关键因素,并通过识别潜在趋势、挑战和潜在驱动因素制定有针对性的干预措施。该方法结合了德尔菲技术和结构化头脑风暴来确定关键的社会生态变量,然后进行结构相互作用分析来评估它们之间的相互关系。直接和间接模式下的影响和依赖分析被用于对变量进行分类,并评估它们在系统内的即时和长期影响。可视化工具,包括影响和依赖性图、热图和散点图矩阵,揭示了模式和联系。影响和依赖图将变量分为影响组、依赖组、独立组和二分类组;热图确定了相关因素的集群,散点图矩阵突出了更广泛背景下的相关性。基于这些发现,我们制定了多种未来情景,概述了通过解决社会、环境和治理因素之间的相互联系来增强韧性的战略途径。这一前瞻性框架为政策制定者提供了可操作的战略,以减轻环境风险、优化资源配置和加强社区参与。研究结果为农村地区的长期可持续性和复原力提供了关键证据,帮助利益相关者在气候不确定的情况下应对社会生态挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Governance, Urban Sustainability, and Adaptation Strategies: The Nexus of Food—Water—Energy 环境治理、城市可持续性和适应策略:食物-水-能源的关系
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70344
Imaneh Goli, Hiva Khalili Marandi, Farhad Lashgarara, Zita Kriaučiūnienė, Ahsen Işık Özgüven, Rando Värnik, Christine Fürst, Petr Sklenicka, Hossein Azadi
The concepts of adapting to changing climate, urban sustainability, and environmental governance have become increasingly significant in policy and ecological research due to the serious challenges climate change presents to urban areas. However, the criteria for promoting climate‐resilient environmental governance and urban sustainability in relation to the Food—Water—Energy (FWE) nexus, are still unclear. Hence, this study aimed to conduct a comprehensive analysis of available research to explore the complex relationships among FWE systems, with a particular focus on adaptation to climate change, strengthening urban sustainability, and fortifying environmental governance. For this purpose, the study conducted a thorough search of academic databases from 2000 to 2022 as part of a systematic literature review. The conclusive search yielded a total of 100 original articles sourced from diverse global regions (i.e., Europe, Asia, Africa, and the Americas). The terms used in this review were combined with “environmental management,” “adaptation and mitigation,” and “environmental sustainability.” The findings highlighted that, despite the emphasis on governance mechanisms and participatory approaches, wide implementation gaps remain a significant concern in climate adaptation. While some cities demonstrate promising governance innovations, many others face serious obstacles rooted in poor coordination, political decision‐making, and lack of sustained financial or political commitment. Therefore, effective environmental governance is crucial in solving the challenges posed by changing climate as well as promoting the sustainability of city districts, which needs serious attention from policymakers and planners.
由于气候变化给城市带来的严峻挑战,适应气候变化、城市可持续性和环境治理的概念在政策和生态研究中变得越来越重要。然而,在食物-水-能源(FWE)关系方面,促进气候适应型环境治理和城市可持续性的标准仍不明确。因此,本研究旨在对现有研究进行综合分析,探讨城市FWE系统之间的复杂关系,并将重点放在适应气候变化、加强城市可持续性和加强环境治理方面。为此,该研究对2000年至2022年的学术数据库进行了彻底的搜索,作为系统文献综述的一部分。最后的搜索产生了来自全球不同地区(即欧洲、亚洲、非洲和美洲)的总共100篇原创文章。本审查中使用的术语与“环境管理”、“适应和减缓”以及“环境可持续性”结合在一起。研究结果强调,尽管强调治理机制和参与性方法,但广泛的实施差距仍然是气候适应方面的一个重大问题。虽然一些城市展示了有希望的治理创新,但许多其他城市面临严重障碍,其根源在于协调不力、政治决策不力以及缺乏持续的财政或政治承诺。因此,有效的环境治理对于解决气候变化带来的挑战以及促进城市区域的可持续性至关重要,这需要政策制定者和规划者的高度重视。
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引用次数: 0
Land Use Conflict in the Urban–Rural Interface: Spatial Delineation, Conflict Assessment and Governance Implications 城乡结合部的土地使用冲突:空间划分、冲突评估与治理启示
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70398
Ying Xu, Yajia Liang, Kunqiu Chen, Yongsheng Wang
As land use transitions intensify in the urban–rural interface, conflicts in these transitional zones remain insufficiently understood because traditional urban–rural dichotomies often obscure their spatial complexity, posing growing challenges for land degradation management. This study follows a three‐step framework: interface delineation, conflict assessment, and morphology‐based governance. Using Hunan Province, China, as a case study, this study extracted the urban–rural interface in 2020 based on four classification indicators: night‐time light intensity (NTL), population density (PD), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and administrative divisions (ADM). Land use conflict (LUC) intensity was quantified using a composite index integrating landscape complexity, vulnerability, and stability, while Morphological Spatial Pattern Analysis (MSPA) was applied to characterize spatial morphology of built‐up land. The results reveal that land use conflict is strongly associated with a highly fragmented morphology. The average LUC in 2020 was 0.611, with 73.84% and 10.18% of the interface area classified as considerable and severe conflict, respectively. Built‐up morphology dominated by edge, islet, and branch types, while core zones accounted for less than 40%. Significant differences emerged across interface types: NTL‐ and PD‐based interfaces exhibited the highest conflict intensities and greatest spatial fragmentation, while the NDVI‐based interface showed weaker spatial connectivity, and the ADM‐based interface had the lowest levels of conflict. Using the PLUS model under ecological security (ES) and economic development (ED) pathways, scenario simulations for 2035 revealed limited conflict mitigation under single‐objective governance, with average LUC decreasing by only 0.034 under ES and by 0.010 under ED. Furthermore, significant variations in conflict mitigation were observed across three different functional zones under the two scenarios. In particular, a conflict–morphology dissonance emerged within the agricultural production zones, where the ED scenario reduced fragmentation but intensified severe conflicts. These findings underscore the complexity of land management in the urban–rural interface. Drawing upon the “conflict‐coordination theoretical” model of regional land use transitions, the study highlights the need for designing adaptive, type‐specific governance strategies to reconcile land use conflicts and promote urban–rural integration.
随着城乡结合部土地利用转型的加剧,由于传统的城乡二元法往往掩盖了其空间复杂性,因此对这些过渡区域的冲突仍未充分了解,这给土地退化管理带来了越来越大的挑战。本研究遵循一个三步框架:界面描述、冲突评估和基于形态的治理。以湖南省为例,基于夜间光照强度(NTL)、人口密度(PD)、归一化植被指数(NDVI)和行政区划(ADM) 4个分类指标提取2020年城乡结合部。利用景观复杂性、脆弱性和稳定性综合指数量化土地利用冲突(LUC)强度,利用形态空间格局分析(MSPA)表征建成区的空间形态特征。结果表明,土地利用冲突与高度碎片化的形态密切相关。2020年的平均LUC为0.611,其中73.84%的界面面积属于相当冲突,10.18%的界面面积属于严重冲突。以边缘型、岛型和枝型为主的构筑型形态,核心区占比不足40%。基于NTL和PD的界面冲突强度最高,空间碎片化程度最高,而基于NDVI的界面空间连通性较弱,基于ADM的界面冲突程度最低。利用生态安全(ES)和经济发展(ED)路径下的PLUS模型,2035年的情景模拟显示,单目标治理下的冲突缓解有限,生态安全(ES)和经济发展(ED)路径下的平均土地利用价值仅下降0.034,经济发展路径下的平均土地利用价值仅下降0.010。此外,在两种情景下,三个不同功能区的冲突缓解存在显著差异。特别是,在农业生产区内出现了冲突-形态不协调,在那里,经济发展情景减少了碎片化,但加剧了严重的冲突。这些发现强调了城乡结合部土地管理的复杂性。根据区域土地利用转型的“冲突-协调理论”模型,该研究强调需要设计适应性的、特定类型的治理策略来调和土地利用冲突,促进城乡一体化。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Provincial Cultivated Land Ecological Compensation in Mainland China Through the Lens of Ecosystem Service Flows 基于生态系统服务流视角的中国大陆省级耕地生态补偿研究
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70387
Ben Pei, Shulin Chen, Hui Zhang
Cultivated land ecological compensation clarifies and monetizes responsibilities for land protection and ecological conservation. However, few studies have developed compensation models focused on cultivated land ecology. This paper developed a compensation model considering both the supply–demand balance of cultivated land and spatial ecosystem service flows. Based on this model, this paper analyzed the cultivated land ecological supply and demand in Chinese provinces, divided provinces into payment and compensated areas, and calculated compensation amounts and distributions. Further, this paper examined the rationality of regional divisions and assessed the impacts of compensation amounts. Both the incentive effects in compensated areas and the payment capacities of payment areas were empirically verified. Provinces were categorized into nine zones according to the spatiotemporal variations in supply–demand characteristics and compensation amounts. Results revealed a decrease in payment areas, from 22 provinces in 2000 to 11 in 2022, alongside an increasing trend in the total compensation amount. The average national compensation amount over 23 years was 1.983 trillion RMB, reaching 2.449 trillion RMB in 2022. Provinces such as Jiangsu and Shandong, located in the eastern payment zone, are significant contributors to payments. Conversely, compensated areas have increased, with southeastern compensated zones such as Guangdong becoming major compensation recipients. These findings facilitate the optimization of zonal management strategies for cultivated land eco‐compensation, ensuring that further policy designs are more evidence‐based.
耕地生态补偿明确了土地保护和生态保护的责任,并将其货币化。然而,针对耕地生态的补偿模型研究较少。本文建立了考虑耕地供需平衡和空间生态系统服务流的补偿模型。基于该模型,分析了中国各省的耕地生态供需状况,将各省划分为补偿区和补偿区,并计算了补偿金额和分配情况。在此基础上,分析了区域划分的合理性,并对补偿金额的影响进行了评价。实证验证了受补偿地区的激励效应和受补偿地区的支付能力。根据供需特征和补偿金额的时空变化,将各省划分为9个区域。结果显示,补偿地区从2000年的22个省减少到2022年的11个省,而补偿总额呈上升趋势。23年来全国平均赔偿金额为1.983万亿元,2022年达到2.449万亿元。位于东部支付区的江苏和山东等省份是支付的重要贡献者。相反,受补偿地区有所增加,东南受补偿地区如广东成为主要的受补偿地区。这些发现有助于优化耕地生态补偿的分区管理策略,确保进一步的政策设计更加基于证据。
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引用次数: 0
A Bibliometric‐Based Review of Biochar for Salt‐Affected Soil Restoration: Mapping Research Trends and Future Directions 基于文献计量学的生物炭盐影响土壤修复研究综述:研究趋势和未来方向
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70404
Juciane Vieira de Assis Freire, Darliane Cristina Soares de Souza, Larissa Fernandes da Silva, Poliana Pinheiro da Silva, Thiago Henrique Freire de Oliveira, Eulene Francisco da Silva, Bruno Caio Chaves Fernandes, Adriano Erique de Oliveira Lima, Bárbara Samartini Queiroz Alves, Daniel Valadão Silva, José Cleiton Sousa dos Santos, Frederico Ribeiro do Carmo, Rafael Leandro Fernandes Melo
In recent years, biochar has been studied for its range of applications. Recognized by the IPCC as a key Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) strategy, it also stands out as an important tool for reclaiming degraded lands, including vast global areas affected by salinity, such as those in China, India, and Australia. This study explores the application of biochar in these salt‐affected soils through a bibliometric analysis and literature review. The research used the Web of Science database, from which 42,928 articles were initially identified. After careful keyword selection, the number was refined to 326 relevant publications. The analysis mapped the contributions of countries, institutions, and authors. Keyword analysis identified five thematic clusters, confirming that research is predominantly focused on soil application. The results show that China leads scientific production on this topic. However, a significant knowledge gap persists regarding the main research fronts in this field. The most relevant journals, such as Science of the Total Environment and Agronomy‐Basel , are the primary platforms for these studies. The overview highlights biochar's main applications in remediating saline soils, while addressing advances and challenges. The study also suggests future research directions, such as improving production technologies, adapting biochar to different soil types, and assessing long‐term environmental impacts.
近年来,人们对生物炭的广泛应用进行了研究。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)认为这是一项关键的二氧化碳去除(CDR)战略,它也是恢复退化土地的重要工具,包括中国、印度和澳大利亚等受盐度影响的全球广大地区。本研究通过文献计量学分析和文献综述,探讨了生物炭在盐渍化土壤中的应用。这项研究使用了Web of Science数据库,从该数据库中最初确定了42928篇文章。经过仔细的关键词选择,相关出版物的数量被精炼为326篇。该分析绘制了国家、机构和作者的贡献图。关键词分析确定了5个专题集群,证实研究主要集中在土壤应用上。结果表明,中国在这方面的科学生产处于领先地位。然而,在这一领域的主要研究前沿,一个显著的知识差距仍然存在。最相关的期刊,如《全环境科学》和《巴塞尔农学》,是这些研究的主要平台。概述了生物炭在修复盐碱地中的主要应用,同时解决了进展和挑战。该研究还提出了未来的研究方向,如改进生产技术,使生物炭适应不同的土壤类型,以及评估长期的环境影响。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Machine Learning and Scenario Simulation to Decouple Multi‐Scale Ecosystem Service Trade‐Offs/Synergy in Shaanxi Province 基于机器学习和情景模拟的陕西省多尺度生态系统服务平衡/协同解耦研究
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70385
Peidong Han, Guang Yang, Xu Chen, Yangyang Liu, Ercha Hu, Zhongming Wen, Haijing Shi
The complex terrain and significant spatial heterogeneity of ecosystem services (ESs) in Shaanxi Province (SXP) make it crucial to analyze their multi‐scale trade‐offs/synergies and driving mechanisms for regional ecological management. This study integrates machine learning (SRF, SVM, etc.) with scenario simulation (PLUS‐ InVEST) to evaluate the spatiotemporal differentiation and interaction effects of water production (WY), carbon storage (CS), habitat quality (HQ), soil conservation (SC), and nitrogen and phosphorus storage (NS/PS) under urban priority development (CPD), ecological priority (EPD), and inertial development (ID) scenarios from 2000 to 2040. The multi factor driving mechanism was revealed through geographic detectors, structural equation models (SEM), and ecosystem service bundles (ESB). The results show that: (1) In the future scenario, the urban expansion in Guanzhong (CS) is significant, with an overall increase in WY (EPD scenario+19.58 mm), a decrease in CS in CS (−1.5 t/ha), a decrease in SC in northern Shaanxi (NPS), and an increase in southern Shaanxi (SPS); (2) In 2020, WY‐CS and WY‐HQ showed a significant trade‐off in NPS/CS, while WY‐NS/PS showed synergy in NPS/SPS. By 2040, the explanatory power of human activities on ESs has increased ( q value increased by 72.4%); (3) The driving factors are ranked as climate > vegetation > terrain > humanities (pre > gpp > ndvi > slp). SEM shows that the direct effect of terrain factors on SC decreased from 0.812 (2000) to 0.296 (2020); (4) ESB identification indicates that CS needs to optimize land use to restore ecology, SPS should increase forest coverage, and NPS needs to strengthen degraded land restoration. This study provides data support and decision‐making basis for multi‐scale ecological collaborative governance.
由于陕西省复杂的地形特征和显著的空间异质性,分析其多尺度的权衡/协同效应及其驱动机制对区域生态管理具有重要意义。本研究将机器学习(SRF、SVM等)与情景模拟(PLUS‐InVEST)相结合,对2000 - 2040年城市优先发展(CPD)、生态优先发展(EPD)和惯性发展(ID)情景下的产水(WY)、碳储量(CS)、生境质量(HQ)、土壤保持(SC)和氮磷储量(NS/PS)的时空分异和交互效应进行了评价。通过地理探测器、结构方程模型(SEM)和生态系统服务包(ESB)揭示了多因素驱动机制。结果表明:(1)未来情景下关中地区城市扩张显著,WY总体增加(EPD情景+19.58 mm), CS总体减少(- 1.5 t/ha),陕北SC减少(NPS),陕南SC增加(SPS);(2) 2020年,WY‐CS和WY‐HQ在NPS/CS中表现出显著的平衡,而WY‐NS/PS在NPS/SPS中表现出协同效应。到2040年,人类活动对ESs的解释力增强(q值增加72.4%);(3)驱动因子排序为气候>;植被>;地形>;人文(pre > gpp > ndvi > slp)。SEM显示,地形因子对SC的直接影响从0.812(2000)下降到0.296 (2020);(4) ESB识别表明,CS需要优化土地利用以恢复生态,SPS需要增加森林覆盖率,NPS需要加强退化土地的恢复。本研究为多尺度生态协同治理提供了数据支持和决策依据。
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引用次数: 0
Ecological Resilience‐Oriented Land Use Planning: A Novel Framework Integrating Urban Sustainability and Multi‐Objective Trade‐Offs 以生态弹性为导向的土地利用规划:一个整合城市可持续性和多目标权衡的新框架
IF 4.7 2区 农林科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/ldr.70376
Yongyang Wang, Qunpo Jia, Pan Zhang, Yulei Xie
Strengthening ecological resilience is essential for promoting sustainable urban development, especially in regions experiencing rapid urban expansion and ecological degradation. However, most existing land use optimization models inadequately incorporate ecological resilience metrics and fail to reconcile ecological and economic trade‐offs within a unified spatial framework. To bridge this gap, this study developed a novel multi‐step land use optimization method that coordinated structural and spatial dimensions to increase urban ecological resilience. The results revealed clear trade‐offs between ecological benefits and economic gains. Under the ES (ecological priority) scenario, the MRP increased by 8.7%, and the total ecosystem service value rose by 11.3% compared with the baseline, demonstrating the effectiveness of ecological land expansion and connectivity enhancement. The ECO (Economic priority) scenario yielded the highest economic benefit, with total economic output increasing by 9.4%, but resulted in a 6.5% reduction in mean resilience due to ecological land contraction. The COM (Coordinated development) scenario achieved a balanced outcome, with ecological resilience and economic benefits increasing by 4.3% and 5.2%, respectively, indicating synergistic potential under moderate development intensity. These findings highlight that integrating resilience‐based spatial optimization provides a feasible pathway to harmonize ecological protection and economic growth. The proposed framework offers a scalable and adaptable tool for resilience‐oriented land use planning, ecosystem restoration, and policy formulation in dynamically evolving urban regions.
加强生态复原力对于促进可持续城市发展至关重要,特别是在经历城市快速扩张和生态退化的地区。然而,大多数现有的土地利用优化模型未充分纳入生态弹性指标,未能在统一的空间框架内协调生态和经济权衡。为了弥补这一差距,本研究开发了一种新的多步骤土地利用优化方法,该方法协调了结构和空间维度,以提高城市生态弹性。结果显示,生态效益和经济收益之间存在明显的权衡关系。在生态优先情景下,与基线相比,MRP增加了8.7%,生态系统总服务价值增加了11.3%,显示出生态土地扩展和连通性增强的有效性。ECO(经济优先)情景产生了最高的经济效益,总经济产出增长了9.4%,但由于生态土地收缩,平均恢复力降低了6.5%。协调发展情景取得了平衡结果,生态弹性和经济效益分别增长4.3%和5.2%,显示出适度发展强度下的协同潜力。研究结果表明,基于弹性的空间优化整合为协调生态保护与经济增长提供了一条可行的路径。该框架为动态发展的城市地区的弹性导向土地利用规划、生态系统恢复和政策制定提供了一个可扩展和适应性强的工具。
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Land Degradation & Development
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