Pub Date : 2024-10-13DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103365
Paul E. Renaud , Malin Daase , Eva Leu , Maxime Geoffroy , Sünnje Basedow , Mark Inall , Karley Campbell , Emilia Trudnowska , Einat Sandbank , Frida Cnossen , Muriel Dunn , Lionel Camus , Marie Porter , Magnus Aune , Rolf Gradinger
Food-web structure determines the cycling pathways and fate of new production in marine ecosystems. Herbivorous zooplankton populations are usually seasonally coupled with pelagic primary producers. Synchrony of phytoplankton blooms with reproduction, recruitment and seasonal ascent of their main grazers ensures efficient transfer of organic carbon to higher trophic levels, including commercially harvested species, especially in high-latitude systems. Changes in light, nutrient, and sea-ice dynamics due to accelerating climate change in the Arctic, however, create large uncertainties in how these systems will function in the future. To address such knowledge gaps, we surveyed the pelagic ecosystem of the Barents Sea Polar Front in May of two consecutive years (2021 and 2022) to investigate the pelagic food-web from primary producers to planktivorous fish. In both years we observed unprecedentedly high phytoplankton chlorophyll a values in open as well as ice-covered waters, much of which was invisible to satellite remote sensing. We also measured very low densities of grazing zooplankton across a wide area and extending for at least one month. This extreme mismatch resulted in low feeding by capelin, and further suggests a high potential for vertical export of carbon to the benthos rather than efficient assimilation into the pelagic food web. As the Arctic continues to warm and is characterized by thinner and more mobile sea ice, we may expect higher variability in phytoplankton bloom phenology and more frequent mismatches with grazer life-histories. This could have significant impacts on ecosystem functioning by re-directing the flow of energy through the system towards seafloor rather than to the production of commercially valuable pelagic marine resources.
食物网结构决定了海洋生态系统中新生物的循环途径和归宿。食草浮游动物种群通常与浮游初级生产者季节性结合。浮游植物的大量繁殖与主要食草动物的繁殖、招募和季节性上升同步进行，确保了有机碳向更高营养级（包括商业捕捞物种）的有效转移，尤其是在高纬度系统中。然而，由于北极地区气候变化加速，光照、营养物质和海冰动力学发生了变化，这给这些系统未来如何发挥作用带来了巨大的不确定性。为了填补这些知识空白，我们在连续两年（2021 年和 2022 年）的五月对巴伦支海极地前沿的浮游生态系统进行了调查，以研究从初级生产者到浮游鱼类的浮游食物网。在这两年里，我们在开阔水域和冰覆盖水域都观测到了前所未有的高浮游植物叶绿素 a 值，其中大部分是卫星遥感观测不到的。同时，我们还在大面积水域测量到了极低的浮游动物密度，并持续了至少一个月。这种极端的不匹配导致毛鳞鱼的摄食量很低，进一步表明碳很有可能被垂直输出到底栖生物中，而不是被有效地同化到浮游食物网中。随着北极地区持续变暖，海冰越来越薄，流动性越来越大，我们可能会预期浮游植物开花物候的变化会更大，与食草动物生命史的不匹配也会更频繁。这可能会对生态系统功能产生重大影响，使能量流经该系统重新流向海底，而不是用于生产具有商业价值的浮游海洋资源。
{"title":"Extreme mismatch between phytoplankton and grazers during Arctic spring blooms and consequences for the pelagic food-web","authors":"Paul E. Renaud , Malin Daase , Eva Leu , Maxime Geoffroy , Sünnje Basedow , Mark Inall , Karley Campbell , Emilia Trudnowska , Einat Sandbank , Frida Cnossen , Muriel Dunn , Lionel Camus , Marie Porter , Magnus Aune , Rolf Gradinger","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103365","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103365","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Food-web structure determines the cycling pathways and fate of new production in marine ecosystems. Herbivorous zooplankton populations are usually seasonally coupled with pelagic primary producers. Synchrony of phytoplankton blooms with reproduction, recruitment and seasonal ascent of their main grazers ensures efficient transfer of organic carbon to higher trophic levels, including commercially harvested species, especially in high-latitude systems. Changes in light, nutrient, and sea-ice dynamics due to accelerating climate change in the Arctic, however, create large uncertainties in how these systems will function in the future. To address such knowledge gaps, we surveyed the pelagic ecosystem of the Barents Sea Polar Front in May of two consecutive years (2021 and 2022) to investigate the pelagic food-web from primary producers to planktivorous fish. In both years we observed unprecedentedly high phytoplankton chlorophyll <em>a</em> values in open as well as ice-covered waters, much of which was invisible to satellite remote sensing. We also measured very low densities of grazing zooplankton across a wide area and extending for at least one month. This extreme mismatch resulted in low feeding by capelin, and further suggests a high potential for vertical export of carbon to the benthos rather than efficient assimilation into the pelagic food web. As the Arctic continues to warm and is characterized by thinner and more mobile sea ice, we may expect higher variability in phytoplankton bloom phenology and more frequent mismatches with grazer life-histories. This could have significant impacts on ecosystem functioning by re-directing the flow of energy through the system towards seafloor rather than to the production of commercially valuable pelagic marine resources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103365"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444685","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-09DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103360
Kohei Matsuno , Rikuto Sugioka , Yurika Maeda , Ryan Driscoll , Fokje L. Schaafsma , Sara Driscoll , Atsushi Yamaguchi , Ryuichi Matsukura , Hiroko Sasaki , Hiroto Murase
The Southern Ocean is facing rapid environmental changes. However, few studies have been conducted on the spatiotemporal variability of mesozooplankton communities under recent climatic conditions, particularly in the eastern Indian sector. This study describes the spatiotemporal variability of the mesozooplankton community and the demographics of large copepods and krill in this sector, sampled through a Rectangular Mid-Water Trawl with 1 m2 mouth area (RMT1) during the austral summer of 2018/2019 as part of the KY1804 survey. Cluster analysis indicated that the mesozooplankton community was divided into five groups that showed only small longitudinal differences, as they were affected by oceanic fronts. Part of the variability was explained by physical (local upwelling) and biological features (e.g., the occurrence of species showing a specific spatial distribution, such as Euphausia crystallorophias). Horizontal changes in the zooplankton community structure were not attributed to temporal changes during the 2-month sampling period. The demographics of the dominant species, Calanoides acutus, Calanus propinquus, Metridia gerlacheri, and Thysanoessa macrura, exhibited significant temporal differences in abundance or mean stage index (MSI) between the early and late seasons. These differences matched the growth rates estimated in previous studies, suggesting that their growth during the study period was constant without regional differences. There were no evident changes in the abundance or demographics of Rhinalanus gigas, suggesting that they were in their reproductive season. These species-specific demographics could be explained by the species life cycles: growth in C. acutus and C. propinquus and reproduction in R. gigas during the austral summer. Abundances and MSIs confirmed the growth of dominant copepods and krill during the sampling period; however, no evident seasonal changes were observed in the zooplankton community structure. The findings of this study contribute to the understanding of lower trophic levels in marine ecosystems and the present carbon cycle in the eastern Indian sector of the Southern Ocean.
{"title":"Spatiotemporal changes in the community and demography of mesozooplankton in the eastern Indian sector of the Southern Ocean during austral summer 2018/2019","authors":"Kohei Matsuno , Rikuto Sugioka , Yurika Maeda , Ryan Driscoll , Fokje L. Schaafsma , Sara Driscoll , Atsushi Yamaguchi , Ryuichi Matsukura , Hiroko Sasaki , Hiroto Murase","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103360","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103360","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Southern Ocean is facing rapid environmental changes. However, few studies have been conducted on the spatiotemporal variability of mesozooplankton communities under recent climatic conditions, particularly in the eastern Indian sector. This study describes the spatiotemporal variability of the mesozooplankton community and the demographics of large copepods and krill in this sector, sampled through a Rectangular Mid-Water Trawl with 1 m<sup>2</sup> mouth area (RMT1) during the austral summer of 2018/2019 as part of the KY1804 survey. Cluster analysis indicated that the mesozooplankton community was divided into five groups that showed only small longitudinal differences, as they were affected by oceanic fronts. Part of the variability was explained by physical (local upwelling) and biological features (e.g., the occurrence of species showing a specific spatial distribution, such as <em>Euphausia crystallorophias</em>). Horizontal changes in the zooplankton community structure were not attributed to temporal changes during the 2-month sampling period. The demographics of the dominant species, <em>Calanoides acutus</em>, <em>Calanus propinquus</em>, <em>Metridia gerlacheri,</em> and <em>Thysanoessa macrura</em>, exhibited significant temporal differences in abundance or mean stage index (MSI) between the early and late seasons. These differences matched the growth rates estimated in previous studies, suggesting that their growth during the study period was constant without regional differences. There were no evident changes in the abundance or demographics of <em>Rhinalanus gigas</em>, suggesting that they were in their reproductive season. These species-specific demographics could be explained by the species life cycles: growth in <em>C. acutus</em> and <em>C. propinquus</em> and reproduction in <em>R. gigas</em> during the austral summer. Abundances and MSIs confirmed the growth of dominant copepods and krill during the sampling period; however, no evident seasonal changes were observed in the zooplankton community structure. The findings of this study contribute to the understanding of lower trophic levels in marine ecosystems and the present carbon cycle in the eastern Indian sector of the Southern Ocean.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103360"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418749","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Commercially important fish spend their vulnerable early life stages in the Kuroshio Current, resulting in high fishery production even in the vicinity of poor prey availability under oligotrophic conditions. Nevertheless, little information is available on how ichthyoplankton are supported by trophodynamics in complicated food webs. Here, we have explored trophic sources and pathways toward ichthyoplankton in the Kuroshio and its neighboring waters based on metabarcoding analysis of gut DNA content for major taxonomic groups of mesozooplankton and ichthyoplankton. Calanoids were found to be the most predominant and frequently appearing prey, whereas non-crustaceans were the secondary prey for most mesozooplankton and ichthyoplankton groups. Trophic networks based on gut DNA content demonstrated that calanoids were the most important sector with multiple linkages among their prey and predators, and gelatinous and non-crustacean mesozooplankton were the secondary sectors. These findings suggest that calanoids are important hubs of trophic pathways toward ichthyoplankton, and that gelatinous and non-crustacean mesozooplankton groups strengthen trophic relationships with multiple components. Contrary to general thought, our metabarcoding analysis has revealed that trophodynamics toward ichthyoplankton are not strongly dependent on the grazing food chain, but are supported by multiple trophic pathways in the Kuroshio and its neighboring waters.
具有重要商业价值的鱼类在黑潮中度过其脆弱的早期生命阶段，因此，即使在低营养条件下猎物供应不足的附近，渔业产量也很高。然而，关于鱼类浮游生物如何在复杂的食物网中获得营养动力学支持的信息却很少。在此，我们根据对中生浮游生物和鱼类浮游生物主要分类群的肠道 DNA 含量的代谢编码分析，探索了黑潮及其邻近水域鱼类浮游生物的营养源和营养途径。结果发现，桡足类是最主要和最经常出现的猎物，而非甲壳类则是大多数中生浮游动物和鱼类的次要猎物。以肠道 DNA 含量为基础的营养网络表明，桡足类是最重要的部分，其猎物和捕食者之间存在多种联系，胶状和非甲壳类中浮游动物是次要部分。这些发现表明，钙类是鱼类浮游生物营养途径的重要枢纽，而胶状和非甲壳类中浮游生物群则加强了与多个组成部分的营养关系。与一般观点相反，我们的代谢编码分析表明，黑潮及其邻近水域中鱼类浮游生物的营养动力学并不强烈依赖于放牧食物链，而是得到了多种营养途径的支持。
{"title":"Comparison of the trophic sources and pathways of mesozooplankton and ichthyoplankton in the Kuroshio current and its neighboring waters","authors":"Toru Kobari , Ayane Taniguchi , Manami Hirata , Gen Kume , Mutsuo Ichinomiya , Tomohiro Komorita , Masafumi Kodama , Fumihiro Makino , Junya Hirai","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103356","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103356","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Commercially important fish spend their vulnerable early life stages in the Kuroshio Current, resulting in high fishery production even in the vicinity of poor prey availability under oligotrophic conditions. Nevertheless, little information is available on how ichthyoplankton are supported by trophodynamics in complicated food webs. Here, we have explored trophic sources and pathways toward ichthyoplankton in the Kuroshio and its neighboring waters based on metabarcoding analysis of gut DNA content for major taxonomic groups of mesozooplankton and ichthyoplankton. Calanoids were found to be the most predominant and frequently appearing prey, whereas non-crustaceans were the secondary prey for most mesozooplankton and ichthyoplankton groups. Trophic networks based on gut DNA content demonstrated that calanoids were the most important sector with multiple linkages among their prey and predators, and gelatinous and non-crustacean mesozooplankton were the secondary sectors. These findings suggest that calanoids are important hubs of trophic pathways toward ichthyoplankton, and that gelatinous and non-crustacean mesozooplankton groups strengthen trophic relationships with multiple components. Contrary to general thought, our metabarcoding analysis has revealed that trophodynamics toward ichthyoplankton are not strongly dependent on the grazing food chain, but are supported by multiple trophic pathways in the Kuroshio and its neighboring waters.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103356"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-26DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103357
Joana Brito , Ambre Soszynski , Johanna J. Heymans , Simone Libralato , Eva Giacomello , Laurence Fauconnet , Gui M. Menezes , Telmo Morato
Marine ecosystems associated with mid-oceanic elevations harbour unique pelagic and benthic biodiversity and sustain food webs critical for Nature’s contributions to people (NCP). The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and the Convention on the Law of the Sea recognize the need to implement ecosystem-based management approaches to conserve the structure and functioning of oceanic and deep-sea ecosystems within sustainable reference points. However, uncertainties regarding the interactions between multiple drivers of change, and their impacts on the state of these ecosystems and the NCP, present significant challenges to effective management. Trophic models offer a holistic approach to identify the main drivers affecting the dynamics of marine ecosystems. Here, we used a food web model of the open-ocean and deep-sea environments of the Azores for identifying the drivers that best explain historical biomass trends of demersal fish of high commercial value. Our hindcast simulations suggested that historical trends can be explained by the combined effects of deep-sea fisheries exploitation and variability in environmental conditions, likely dominated by primary productivity anomalies. In particular, deficits in primary production and high levels of fishing exploitation might have contributed to the pronounced decline in biomass observed between 2008 and 2012. These findings reinforce that failure to consider environmental factors in ecosystem-based management may result in shortfalls at achieving biodiversity conservation and sustainability objectives, particularly in the context of climate change.
{"title":"Drivers of trophodynamics of the open-ocean and deep-sea environments of the Azores, NE Atlantic","authors":"Joana Brito , Ambre Soszynski , Johanna J. Heymans , Simone Libralato , Eva Giacomello , Laurence Fauconnet , Gui M. Menezes , Telmo Morato","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103357","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103357","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Marine ecosystems associated with mid-oceanic elevations harbour unique pelagic and benthic biodiversity and sustain food webs critical for Nature’s contributions to people (NCP). The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and the Convention on the Law of the Sea recognize the need to implement ecosystem-based management approaches to conserve the structure and functioning of oceanic and deep-sea ecosystems within sustainable reference points. However, uncertainties regarding the interactions between multiple drivers of change, and their impacts on the state of these ecosystems and the NCP, present significant challenges to effective management. Trophic models offer a holistic approach to identify the main drivers affecting the dynamics of marine ecosystems. Here, we used a food web model of the open-ocean and deep-sea environments of the Azores for identifying the drivers that best explain historical biomass trends of demersal fish of high commercial value. Our hindcast simulations suggested that historical trends can be explained by the combined effects of deep-sea fisheries exploitation and variability in environmental conditions, likely dominated by primary productivity anomalies. In particular, deficits in primary production and high levels of fishing exploitation might have contributed to the pronounced decline in biomass observed between 2008 and 2012. These findings reinforce that failure to consider environmental factors in ecosystem-based management may result in shortfalls at achieving biodiversity conservation and sustainability objectives, particularly in the context of climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103357"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-24DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103358
Xueqi Liu , Hui Zhou , Hengchang Liu , Wenlong Yang
The interannual variations of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean are investigated based on satellite observations and model outputs in this study. Results reveal that the EKE exhibits vigorous interannual variations, especially in the region of North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC) and north of New Guinea, and the variations differ between the two types of El Niño events. The energy budget diagnosis indicates that the EKE variations are mainly attributed to the barotropic instability associated with the background currents. Specifically, the energetic NECC behaves northward shift and a stronger meander path, which favors the enhancement of EKE variations due to the enhanced barotropic instability. The interannual fluctuations of the strength of the New Guinea Coastal Current/Undercurrent (NGCC/NGCUC) and the eastward current along the equator contribute to the significant EKE interannual variations north of New Guinea. Further, the distinct features of EKE variations in two types of El Niño events are as follows: EKE typically weakens in the western equatorial Pacific during Eastern Pacific El Niño (EP-El Niño) events, whereas it intensifies north of New Guinea during Central Pacific El Niño (CP-El Niño) events. The opposite features north of New Guinea are attributed to the wind work and a stronger eastward current along the equator in CP-El Niño events. These results can contribute to a better understanding of the low-frequency eddy-mean flow interactions.
{"title":"Characteristics and dynamics of the interannual eddy kinetic energy variation in the Western Equatorial Pacific Ocean","authors":"Xueqi Liu , Hui Zhou , Hengchang Liu , Wenlong Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103358","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103358","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The interannual variations of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean are investigated based on satellite observations and model outputs in this study. Results reveal that the EKE exhibits vigorous interannual variations, especially in the region of North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC) and north of New Guinea, and the variations differ between the two types of El Niño events. The energy budget diagnosis indicates that the EKE variations are mainly attributed to the barotropic instability associated with the background currents. Specifically, the energetic NECC behaves northward shift and a stronger meander path, which favors the enhancement of EKE variations due to the enhanced barotropic instability. The interannual fluctuations of the strength of the New Guinea Coastal Current/Undercurrent (NGCC/NGCUC) and the eastward current along the equator contribute to the significant EKE interannual variations north of New Guinea. Further, the distinct features of EKE variations in two types of El Niño events are as follows: EKE typically weakens in the western equatorial Pacific during Eastern Pacific El Niño (EP-El Niño) events, whereas it intensifies north of New Guinea during Central Pacific El Niño (CP-El Niño) events. The opposite features north of New Guinea are attributed to the wind work and a stronger eastward current along the equator in CP-El Niño events. These results can contribute to a better understanding of the low-frequency eddy-mean flow interactions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103358"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418747","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-24DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103355
Jade Millot , Vincent Georges , Valentina Lauria , Tarek Hattab , Carlos Dominguez-Carrió , Vasilis Gerovasileiou , Christopher J. Smith , Chryssi Mytilineou , M. Teresa Farriols , Marie-Claire Fabri , Pierluigi Carbonara , Daniela Massi , Paola Rinelli , Adriana Profeta , Giovanni Chimienti , Angélique Jadaud , Ioannis Thasitis , Kelly Camilleri , Jurgen Mifsud , Sandrine Vaz
Crinoid beds of Leptometra phalangium (Müller, 1841) have been identified as sensitive habitats by the General Fisheries Commission for the Mediterranean (GFCM) due to their high vulnerability to bottom trawl fisheries. Poorly resilient to physical damage, L. phalangium has been listed as a potential indicator of Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems (VMEs) in the Mediterranean Sea. If fishing activities represent the main cause of habitat destruction for this species, the ongoing changes in climate conditions may rapidly exacerbate the process. In this study, we developed an ensemble Species Distribution Modeling framework to predict the potential habitat of L. phalangium for present-days in the Mediterranean Sea, and used the model to infer potential changes in its spatial distribution by 2050 under two different climate scenarios (IPCC Representative Concentration Pathways RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). True presence-absence records were used and correlated to a parsimonious set of environmental predictors considered as important drivers of benthic species distribution. In present conditions, L. phalangium seems to be widely distributed along the continental slopes of the western and central Mediterranean. This crinoid is often described as confined to the continental shelf-break (100–200 m), but our results show that it can be found over a wider depth range, between 100 and 500 m. Our predictions obtained for the mid-21st century indicate an important habitat loss for L. phalangium under future climate conditions, mainly in the central and southern basins. Declines of 50 to 70 % in its suitable habitat were predicted under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 compared to present-day predictions. Climate refugia (i.e., areas where environmental conditions remain suitable for the species in the future) were restricted to the northwestern basin (e.g., Gulf of Lion, the Catalan Sea, the Balearic Sea, Ligurian Sea) and in the southern Adriatic Sea. Provided by a robust statistical framework, climate refugia predictions, along with uncertainty assessments, must support the identification of priority areas for the conservation of VME indicator species by governmental bodies and regional management organizations.
{"title":"Habitat shifts of the vulnerable crinoid Leptometra phalangium under climate change scenarios","authors":"Jade Millot , Vincent Georges , Valentina Lauria , Tarek Hattab , Carlos Dominguez-Carrió , Vasilis Gerovasileiou , Christopher J. Smith , Chryssi Mytilineou , M. Teresa Farriols , Marie-Claire Fabri , Pierluigi Carbonara , Daniela Massi , Paola Rinelli , Adriana Profeta , Giovanni Chimienti , Angélique Jadaud , Ioannis Thasitis , Kelly Camilleri , Jurgen Mifsud , Sandrine Vaz","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103355","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103355","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Crinoid beds of <em>Leptometra phalangium</em> (Müller, 1841) have been identified as sensitive habitats by the General Fisheries Commission for the Mediterranean (GFCM) due to their high vulnerability to bottom trawl fisheries. Poorly resilient to physical damage, <em>L. phalangium</em> has been listed as a potential indicator of Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems (VMEs) in the Mediterranean Sea. If fishing activities represent the main cause of habitat destruction for this species, the ongoing changes in climate conditions may rapidly exacerbate the process. In this study, we developed an ensemble Species Distribution Modeling framework to predict the potential habitat of <em>L. phalangium</em> for present-days in the Mediterranean Sea, and used the model to infer potential changes in its spatial distribution by 2050 under two different climate scenarios (IPCC Representative Concentration Pathways RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). True presence-absence records were used and correlated to a parsimonious set of environmental predictors considered as important drivers of benthic species distribution. In present conditions, <em>L. phalangium</em> seems to be widely distributed along the continental slopes of the western and central Mediterranean. This crinoid is often described as confined to the continental shelf-break (100–200 m), but our results show that it can be found over a wider depth range, between 100 and 500 m. Our predictions obtained for the mid-21st century indicate an important habitat loss for <em>L. phalangium</em> under future climate conditions, mainly in the central and southern basins. Declines of 50 to 70 % in its suitable habitat were predicted under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 compared to present-day predictions. Climate refugia (i.e., areas where environmental conditions remain suitable for the species in the future) were restricted to the northwestern basin (e.g., Gulf of Lion, the Catalan Sea, the Balearic Sea, Ligurian Sea) and in the southern Adriatic Sea. Provided by a robust statistical framework, climate refugia predictions, along with uncertainty assessments, must support the identification of priority areas for the conservation of VME indicator species by governmental bodies and regional management organizations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103355"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142326512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-24DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103353
P. Ted Strub , Corinne James , Jennifer L. Fisher , Melanie R. Fewings , Samantha M. Zeman , Vincent Combes , Jessica C. Garwood , Anna E. Bolm , Andrew Scherer
We use altimeter-derived geostrophic velocities, with and without the addition of surface Ekman transports, to create trajectories for virtual parcels in the California Current System (CCS). The goal is to investigate the poleward transport of passive water parcels in the surface 50–100 m of the nominally equatorward system. Motivation for the study is provided by observations of anomalous biomass of copepods with warm water affinities along the Newport Hydrographic Line off central Oregon (44.7°N) during El Niño years, as well as during and following the 2014–2016 marine heat wave. By backward tracking virtual parcels from 44.7°N, we find that the most distant source of passive water parcels in the upper ocean during a one-year period of travel is from within the Southern California Bight (SCB), north of 30°N. To make that journey, parcels use the Inshore Countercurrent off southern and central California during summer–winter and the Davidson Current off northern California and Oregon during autumn–winter. The inclusion of small-scale eddy diffusion usually increases the number of parcels that reach more northern latitudes, while the inclusion of Ekman velocities more often reduces those numbers. Even so, parcels can travel from the SCB to central Oregon in either the Ekman layer or beneath it in the geostrophic flow. Using backward tracking, we find that parcels arrive at 44.7°N most often in winter–spring, least often in autumn. They arrive from within the large-cape region off northern California (41°–42°N) during all years and all months, from just south of the large-cape region (38°–39°N) during most years but seldom in autumn, from south of Monterey Bay along central California (36°N) and within the SCB (34.5°N) during a third (or less) of the years and only in winter-spring. The shortest average transit times are found in winter: for parcels reaching 44.7°N in February, the average transit time is 2 months for parcels coming from 41°–42°N, 4 months for parcels coming from 38°–39°N, and 5–6 months or more for parcels coming from south of 36°N. Transit times increase as the arrival time progresses from winter to autumn. The longest average transit times are for parcels reaching central Oregon in autumn (9–12 months in October for parcels coming from south of 39°N). This makes the journey a multi-generational task for the copepods. Interannual variability in the observed southern copepod species biomass off central Oregon correlates highly with years when more virtual parcels from the south reach central and northern Oregon, providing increased confidence in the results found with the altimeter-derived parcel trajectories.
{"title":"Altimeter-derived poleward Lagrangian pathways in the California Current System: Part 1","authors":"P. Ted Strub , Corinne James , Jennifer L. Fisher , Melanie R. Fewings , Samantha M. Zeman , Vincent Combes , Jessica C. Garwood , Anna E. Bolm , Andrew Scherer","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103353","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103353","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We use altimeter-derived geostrophic velocities, with and without the addition of surface Ekman transports, to create trajectories for virtual parcels in the California Current System (CCS). The goal is to investigate the poleward transport of passive water parcels in the surface 50–100 m of the nominally equatorward system. Motivation for the study is provided by observations of anomalous biomass of copepods with warm water affinities along the Newport Hydrographic Line off central Oregon (44.7°N) during El Niño years, as well as during and following the 2014–2016 marine heat wave. By backward tracking virtual parcels from 44.7°N, we find that the most distant source of passive water parcels in the upper ocean during a one-year period of travel is from within the Southern California Bight (SCB), north of 30°N. To make that journey, parcels use the Inshore Countercurrent off southern and central California during summer–winter and the Davidson Current off northern California and Oregon during autumn–winter. The inclusion of small-scale eddy diffusion usually increases the number of parcels that reach more northern latitudes, while the inclusion of Ekman velocities more often reduces those numbers. Even so, parcels can travel from the SCB to central Oregon in either the Ekman layer or beneath it in the geostrophic flow. Using backward tracking, we find that parcels arrive at 44.7°N most often in winter–spring, least often in autumn. They arrive from within the large-cape region off northern California (41°–42°N) during all years and all months, from just south of the large-cape region (38°–39°N) during most years but seldom in autumn, from south of Monterey Bay along central California (36°N) and within the SCB (34.5°N) during a third (or less) of the years and only in winter-spring. The shortest average transit times are found in winter: for parcels reaching 44.7°N in February, the average transit time is 2 months for parcels coming from 41°–42°N, 4 months for parcels coming from 38°–39°N, and 5–6 months or more for parcels coming from south of 36°N. Transit times increase as the arrival time progresses from winter to autumn. The longest average transit times are for parcels reaching central Oregon in autumn (9–12 months in October for parcels coming from south of 39°N). This makes the journey a multi-generational task for the copepods. Interannual variability in the observed southern copepod species biomass off central Oregon correlates highly with years when more virtual parcels from the south reach central and northern Oregon, providing increased confidence in the results found with the altimeter-derived parcel trajectories.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103353"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142442944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-24DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103359
Inseong Chang , Young Ho Kim , Young-Gyu Park , Hyunkeun Jin , Gyundo Pak , Jae-Il Kwon , You-Soon Chang
The Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology developed the Korea Operational Oceanographic System-Ocean Predictability Experiment for Marine Environment (KOOS-OPEM), a high-resolution (1/24°, 51 vertical levels) ocean prediction model for the Northwest Pacific Ocean that incorporates ensemble optimal interpolation. In this study, we present KOOS-OPEM ReAnalysis version 2022 (K-ORA22), which covers the period from 2011 to 2022. We conducted a comparative analysis between K-ORA22 and other high-resolution (1/10°–1/12°) global reanalyses, including the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model, Global Ocean Reanalysis and Simulation (GLORYS), and Bluelink ReAnalysis (BRAN), to demonstrate the reproducibility and reliability of regional characteristics. Statistical comparisons revealed that while K-ORA22 exhibited some warm biases, its sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly correlation after removing the seasonal cycle was approximately 0.87, comparable to other reanalyses. Additionally, K-ORA22 effectively reproduced coastal upwelling, which is characterized by a sharp decrease in SST, as observed by marine meteorological buoys in the Southwest of the East/Japan Sea. K-ORA22 exhibits a warm bias of approximately 0.50 °C around 200 m, slightly higher than those of GLORYS and BRAN, while maintaining a low salinity bias in the subsurface. Notably, K-ORA22 outperformed the other reanalyses in accurately reproducing the unique characteristics of North Pacific and East Sea intermediate waters, characterized by a salinity minimum layer. In addition, K-ORA22 stands out in its ability to accurately reproduce the Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass with a low-temperature root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.76 °C in the Yellow Sea (YS) region. However, it exhibited the highest RMSE for salinity in the YS region and Korea/Tsushima Strait, indicating a potential overestimation of river discharge from Korea and China. While the sea surface height (SSH) anomaly correlation of K-ORA22 did not surpass 0.80 in the entire region because of limitations in the background error covariance used, its ability to reproduce the Kuroshio path was comparable to those of other reanalysis datasets. In conclusion, K-ORA22 excels in reproducing the unique characteristics of Korean marginal seas. Still, it exhibits weaknesses, such as the overestimation of river discharge and a somewhat limited ability to simulate SSH variability, compared with other global reanalyses. We plan to enhance K-ORA22 by updating background error covariance, addressing biases related to river discharge and assimilating the best available in situ observations and satellite data.
{"title":"Assessment of high-resolution regional ocean reanalysis K-ORA22 for the Northwest Pacific","authors":"Inseong Chang , Young Ho Kim , Young-Gyu Park , Hyunkeun Jin , Gyundo Pak , Jae-Il Kwon , You-Soon Chang","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103359","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103359","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology developed the Korea Operational Oceanographic System-Ocean Predictability Experiment for Marine Environment (KOOS-OPEM), a high-resolution (1/24°, 51 vertical levels) ocean prediction model for the Northwest Pacific Ocean that incorporates ensemble optimal interpolation. In this study, we present KOOS-OPEM ReAnalysis version 2022 (K-ORA22), which covers the period from 2011 to 2022. We conducted a comparative analysis between K-ORA22 and other high-resolution (1/10°–1/12°) global reanalyses, including the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model, Global Ocean Reanalysis and Simulation (GLORYS), and Bluelink ReAnalysis (BRAN), to demonstrate the reproducibility and reliability of regional characteristics. Statistical comparisons revealed that while K-ORA22 exhibited some warm biases, its sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly correlation after removing the seasonal cycle was approximately 0.87, comparable to other reanalyses. Additionally, K-ORA22 effectively reproduced coastal upwelling, which is characterized by a sharp decrease in SST, as observed by marine meteorological buoys in the Southwest of the East/Japan Sea. K-ORA22 exhibits a warm bias of approximately 0.50 °C around 200 m, slightly higher than those of GLORYS and BRAN, while maintaining a low salinity bias in the subsurface. Notably, K-ORA22 outperformed the other reanalyses in accurately reproducing the unique characteristics of North Pacific and East Sea intermediate waters, characterized by a salinity minimum layer. In addition, K-ORA22 stands out in its ability to accurately reproduce the Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass with a low-temperature root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.76 °C in the Yellow Sea (YS) region. However, it exhibited the highest RMSE for salinity in the YS region and Korea/Tsushima Strait, indicating a potential overestimation of river discharge from Korea and China. While the sea surface height (SSH) anomaly correlation of K-ORA22 did not surpass 0.80 in the entire region because of limitations in the background error covariance used, its ability to reproduce the Kuroshio path was comparable to those of other reanalysis datasets. In conclusion, K-ORA22 excels in reproducing the unique characteristics of Korean marginal seas. Still, it exhibits weaknesses, such as the overestimation of river discharge and a somewhat limited ability to simulate SSH variability, compared with other global reanalyses. We plan to enhance K-ORA22 by updating background error covariance, addressing biases related to river discharge and assimilating the best available <em>in situ</em> observations and satellite data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103359"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142418165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-23DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103354
Mai-Han Ngo , Yi-Chia Hsin
Summertime upwelling system off the southern Vietnamese coast is one of the most essential oceanographic features in the South China Sea. This system is divided into two regions along the coast, the Southern Coastal Upwelling (SCU; south of 12.5°N) and Northern Coastal Upwelling (NCU; north of 12.5°N), and one in the offshore area, the Offshore Upwelling (OU; east of 110°E). Utilizing the HYCOM ocean reanalysis product in the period of 1994–2015, vertical characteristics of this upwelling system on the interannual timescale are investigated. Furthermore, the omega equation is applied to reconstruct vertical velocity to quantify its intensity and clarify the corresponding leading factors in the three regions. The analysis indicates that the kinematic deformation effect is the primary contributor to coastal upwelling formation while the momentum effect plays the leading role in offshore upwelling. The SCU variability is more sensitive to the momentum effect; however, in the NCU, the kinematic deformation effect is offset by the momentum effect and the upwelling is enhanced as the kinematic deformation (momentum) effect increases (decreases). The summertime mean vertical velocities in the central areas of SCU, NCU, and OU are estimated at 0.16 m/d, −0.08 m/d, and 0.003 m/d, respectively. The vertical velocity speeds up to 0.32 m/d, 0.07 m/d, and 0.08 m/d as the strong upwelling event occurs.
{"title":"Three-dimensional structure of temperature, salinity, and Velocity of the summertime Vietnamese upwelling system in the South China Sea on the interannual timescale","authors":"Mai-Han Ngo , Yi-Chia Hsin","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103354","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103354","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Summertime upwelling system off the southern Vietnamese coast is one of the most essential oceanographic features in the South China Sea. This system is divided into two regions along the coast, the Southern Coastal Upwelling (SCU; south of 12.5°N) and Northern Coastal Upwelling (NCU; north of 12.5°N), and one in the offshore area, the Offshore Upwelling (OU; east of 110°E). Utilizing the HYCOM ocean reanalysis product in the period of 1994–2015, vertical characteristics of this upwelling system on the interannual timescale are investigated. Furthermore, the omega equation is applied to reconstruct vertical velocity to quantify its intensity and clarify the corresponding leading factors in the three regions. The analysis indicates that the kinematic deformation effect is the primary contributor to coastal upwelling formation while the momentum effect plays the leading role in offshore upwelling. The SCU variability is more sensitive to the momentum effect; however, in the NCU, the kinematic deformation effect is offset by the momentum effect and the upwelling is enhanced as the kinematic deformation (momentum) effect increases (decreases). The summertime mean vertical velocities in the central areas of SCU, NCU, and OU are estimated at 0.16 m/d, −0.08 m/d, and 0.003 m/d, respectively. The vertical velocity speeds up to 0.32 m/d, 0.07 m/d, and 0.08 m/d as the strong upwelling event occurs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103354"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0079661124001605/pdfft?md5=387cb28233e0ebbefb94e39ed849470a&pid=1-s2.0-S0079661124001605-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142311451","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-14DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103352
Daniela Y. Gaurisas , Daniëlle S.W. de Jonge , Andrew K. Sweetman , Angelo F. Bernardino
Deep-sea ecosystems are particularly important to the cycling of matter and energy in the oceans and therefore in regulating Earth’s climate. The Atlantic Ocean is already experiencing significant abiotic changes, with expected warmer temperatures coupled with decreased particulate organic carbon (POC) export flux. However, there is yet a large gap in our understanding of warming impacts on deep benthic ecosystems and in the organic matter processing by benthic organisms in the seafloor. This study employed an experimental approach to assess the single and cumulative effects of two climate change stressors, temperature and POC quality, on macrofaunal benthic assemblages in the Cabo Verde Basin (CVB, Equatorial Atlantic) bathyal continental slope. Incubation enrichment experiments with 13C and 15N labelled diatoms Phaeodactylum tricornutum simulated climate projections for the next century with a balanced design, studying the effect of either increased temperature (+2°C), reduced POC quality (dialysed labile fraction), or both, against a control treatment. We found that echinoderms and polychaetes rapidly ingested labelled algae at rates between 0.02 and 21.9 µg C m−2 d-1. Given a strong spatial variability in macrofaunal biomass, the carbon and nitrogen incorporation by macrofauna was not affected by a + 2 °C warming, by a decreased organic matter quality, or the combination of both factors. Our study provides valuable insights into the biodiversity, biomass, and ecosystem functioning (C and N uptake rates) of deep-sea benthic ecosystems in the N Atlantic, and stress that potential effects of warmer temperatures and POC quality on carbon and nitrogen incorporation by macrofauna remain uncertain. We highlight the value of these experiments to better understand the effects of climate change on deep-sea ecosystems.
{"title":"Effects of increased temperature and altered POC composition on a bathyal macrofaunal community in Cabo Verde, NE Atlantic","authors":"Daniela Y. Gaurisas , Daniëlle S.W. de Jonge , Andrew K. Sweetman , Angelo F. Bernardino","doi":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103352","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103352","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Deep-sea ecosystems are particularly important to the cycling of matter and energy in the oceans and therefore in regulating Earth’s climate. The Atlantic Ocean is already experiencing significant abiotic changes, with expected warmer temperatures coupled with decreased particulate organic carbon (POC) export flux. However, there is yet a large gap in our understanding of warming impacts on deep benthic ecosystems and in the organic matter processing by benthic organisms in the seafloor. This study employed an experimental approach to assess the single and cumulative effects of two climate change stressors, temperature and POC quality, on macrofaunal benthic assemblages in the Cabo Verde Basin (CVB, Equatorial Atlantic) bathyal continental slope. Incubation enrichment experiments with <sup>13</sup>C and <sup>15</sup>N labelled diatoms <em>Phaeodactylum tricornutum</em> simulated climate projections for the next century with a balanced design, studying the effect of either increased temperature (+2°C), reduced POC quality (dialysed labile fraction), or both, against a control treatment. We found that echinoderms and polychaetes rapidly ingested labelled algae at rates between 0.02 and 21.9 µg C m<sup>−2</sup> d<sup>-1</sup>. Given a strong spatial variability in macrofaunal biomass, the carbon and nitrogen incorporation by macrofauna was not affected by a + 2 °C warming, by a decreased organic matter quality, or the combination of both factors. Our study provides valuable insights into the biodiversity, biomass, and ecosystem functioning (C and N uptake rates) of deep-sea benthic ecosystems in the N Atlantic, and stress that potential effects of warmer temperatures and POC quality on carbon and nitrogen incorporation by macrofauna remain uncertain. We highlight the value of these experiments to better understand the effects of climate change on deep-sea ecosystems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":20620,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Oceanography","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 103352"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142239575","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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