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Monetary policy decision-making regarding the key rate in European countries and their impact on inflation 关于欧洲国家关键利率的货币政策决策及其对通货膨胀的影响
Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.02.007
S. Arzhevitin
Introduction. For many years central banks around the world kept low rates. In 2021-2022 European countries experienced rising inflation in response to which the European Central Bank, as well as the central banks of countries with their own currencies, raised rates to the highest level in decades. At the same time, the effect of changes in accounting (key) rates turned out to be much weaker than expected. Problem Statement. The research is based on the popular hypothesis that the central bank will raise the key (accounting) rate as a tool to curb inflation. Purpose. To determine the correlation between inflation and the accounting (key) rate of the monetary policy body and approaches to the formation of the composition of bodies that make decisions on the accounting rate. Methods. Economic and statistical methods are used to assess the correlation and volatility of inflation rates and key rates of central banks, comparison, descriptive method, analysis, generalization and induction. Results. A comparative analysis of inflation dynamics in 2022–2023 in European countries and the key rate of central banks was carried out. Countries that are direct participants in the military conflict - Ukraine, Russia, and Belarus - should be considered separately, which is why they are excluded from the analysis. Particular attention is paid to the rationale and procedure for decision-making by monetary policy bodies on revising the key rate. Conclusions. In the euro area, under the conditions of a single policy regarding the key rate, a significant range of inflation rates among countries is allowed in the observation period of 2022-2023 in a wide range. The effect of reducing inflation comes in about 6 months after the key rate increase, however, the impact of non-monetary factors (fluctuations in world prices for oil, gas and grain) may be considered decisive in such a reduction. Accordingly, the discount rate increase has a greater effect not in terms of curbing inflation, but in the context of slowing economic growth. In the countries of the euro zone, inflation has increased and is returning to a moderate level, but the range of fluctuations of its inflation rates is very high. This contradicts the postulates of European market integration. Also, changes in inflation rates are very similar to the dynamics of global energy and food prices. In general, non-monetary factors of inflation remained the main ones, and the effectiveness of the key rate as a tool for reducing inflation in theory seems overestimated. In addition, a comparison of inflation rates and the level of the key rate in a sample of countries produces different ratios: in most countries, inflation exceeds the key rate many times over. Decisions about its level attract attention of market participants, and they are mostly expected (increase, preservation, decrease), but sometimes unexpected situations occur regarding the scale and direction of changes. The decision-making procedure and informat
介绍。多年来,世界各地的央行都保持着低利率。在2021-2022年,欧洲国家经历了不断上升的通货膨胀,为此欧洲中央银行以及拥有本国货币的国家的中央银行将利率提高到了几十年来的最高水平。与此同时,会计(关键)利率变化的影响比预期的要弱得多。问题陈述。这项研究基于一种流行的假设,即央行将提高关键(会计)利率作为抑制通胀的工具。目的。确定通货膨胀与货币政策机构的会计(关键)比率之间的相关性,以及形成决定会计比率的机构组成的方法。方法。运用经济学和统计学方法评估通货膨胀率和中央银行关键利率的相关性和波动性、比较、描述方法、分析、概括和归纳。结果。对欧洲各国2022-2023年的通货膨胀动态和央行关键利率进行了比较分析。直接参与军事冲突的国家——乌克兰、俄罗斯和白俄罗斯——应该单独考虑,这就是为什么它们被排除在分析之外。特别注意货币政策机构就修改关键利率作出决策的理由和程序。结论。在欧元区,在关键利率政策单一的条件下,在2022-2023年的观察期,各国之间的通货膨胀率可以在一个较大的范围内波动。减少通货膨胀的效果在关键利率增加后大约6个月出现,然而,非货币因素(世界石油、天然气和粮食价格的波动)的影响可能被认为是这种减少的决定性因素。因此,提高贴现率的效果不是在抑制通货膨胀方面,而是在经济增长放缓的背景下。在欧元区国家,通货膨胀有所增加,并正在恢复到温和水平,但其通货膨胀率的波动幅度非常大。这与欧洲市场一体化的假设相矛盾。此外,通货膨胀率的变化与全球能源和食品价格的动态非常相似。总的来说,通货膨胀的非货币因素仍然是主要因素,从理论上讲,关键利率作为降低通货膨胀的工具的有效性似乎被高估了。此外,将一些国家的通货膨胀率和关键利率水平进行比较会产生不同的比率:在大多数国家,通货膨胀率超过关键利率许多倍。有关其水平的决定吸引了市场参与者的注意,并且这些决定大多是预期的(增加,保持,减少),但有时会出现有关变化的规模和方向的意外情况。决策程序和信息披露的特点是高度透明,并注意后果和对国民经济的影响。在世界主要国家,尽管中央银行的地位是独立于政治影响的,但关于贴现率水平的决定总是由一个合议制机构作出,其组成是根据不同的方法组成的。
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引用次数: 0
Financial and organizational problems of public-private partnership development 公私伙伴关系发展的财政和组织问题
Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.02.114
K. Pavliuk, M. Olievska, O. Kaminska
Introduction. The nature and methods of state participation in economic processes are constantly changing. One of the new forms and tools of influence, alternative to direct regulation of the economy, is a system of partnership relations between the state and the private sector - public-private partnership (PPP). Problem Statement. An important direction of the post-war recovery of Ukraine's economy is the intensification of the development of interaction between the public and private sectors. Due to the need for additional financing, it is necessary to improve the mechanism of attracting private investments and using PPPs to accelerate the restoration of destroyed objects and the construction of new ones. For this, it is necessary to study the experience of foreign countries, both positive and negative, in the implementation of PPP, taking into account various approaches to assessing its features and essence in general. Purpose. To generalize the foreign experience of interaction between the state and the private sector in the context of analyzing a wide range of its characteristics and providing suggestions on ways to develop PPPs in Ukraine. Methods. General scientific methods are applied: induction, deduction, comparative analysis, generalization. Results. The interpretation of the PPP by well-known foreign and domestic scientists, as well as international financial organizations, is considered. The role of PPP in socio-economic development and its main principles are analyzed. The negative trends of the interaction between the state and the private sector are highlighted, which, in particular, is evidenced by the experience of Germany. In particular, such important principles of PPP as transparency and control, full disclosure of information contained in documents on the preparation, course of implementation and implementation of PPP results are not fully ensured. Conclusions. It is necessary to rethink the role, place, interaction of the state and the private sector of the PPP in the socio-economic development of society, both in foreign countries and in Ukraine. In the conditions of martial law and post-war reconstruction, the following issues need to be resolved: the use of PPPs for the development of communal infrastructure, improving the quality of services for the population and increasing the efficiency of the use of communal assets; overcoming the budget funding deficit and legislative restrictions on attracting municipal loans at the expense of private capital through the PPP mechanism; expansion of the independence of territorial communities from subsidies and subventions from the state budget in the post-war period with the help of PPPs.
介绍。国家参与经济进程的性质和方法在不断变化。替代直接调控经济的一种新的影响形式和工具是国家和私营部门之间的伙伴关系体系——公私伙伴关系(PPP)。问题陈述。乌克兰经济战后复苏的一个重要方向是加强发展公共和私营部门之间的相互作用。由于需要额外的资金,有必要完善吸引私人投资的机制,并利用公私合作伙伴关系加速修复被毁物品和建造新物品。为此,有必要研究国外实施PPP的积极经验和消极经验,综合考虑各种方法对其特征和本质进行总体评价。目的。总结国外在国家和私营部门互动方面的经验,分析其广泛的特点,并为乌克兰发展公私伙伴关系提供建议。方法。应用一般的科学方法:归纳、演绎、比较分析、概括。结果。本文考虑了国内外知名科学家以及国际金融组织对购买力平价的解释。分析了PPP在社会经济发展中的作用及其主要原则。国家和私营部门之间相互作用的消极趋势得到强调,德国的经验尤其证明了这一点。特别是,PPP的透明度和可控性、准备、实施过程和实施结果等文件信息的充分公开等重要原则没有得到充分保证。结论。有必要重新思考PPP在外国和乌克兰社会经济发展中的作用、地位、国家和私营部门的互动。在戒严令和战后重建的条件下,需要解决以下问题:利用公私合作伙伴关系发展公共基础设施,改善为居民提供的服务质量,提高公共资产的使用效率;通过PPP机制克服预算资金赤字和立法限制,以牺牲私人资本为代价吸引市政贷款;战后时期,在公私合作伙伴关系的帮助下,扩大领土社区的独立性,使其不受国家预算的补贴和补助。
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引用次数: 0
System of financial equalization in Ukraine under modern challenges: main problems and directions for their solution 现代挑战下的乌克兰财政均等化制度:主要问题及解决方向
Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.02.053
Iryna Storonianska, L. Benovska, Tetyana Medynska
Introduction. The introduction of a new equalization system in Ukraine is faced with problems related to the inconsistency of the redistribution of resources and powers between state, regional and local authorities, the instability and inconsistency of legislative innovations, the unreasonableness of the calculation of the tax capacity index, etc. Problem Statement. The existence of significant economic and financial imbalances in the development of the territories of Ukraine necessitates the search for an optimal model of financial equalization. This question is actualized in the conditions of modern challenges. Purpose. To identify the main problems of the financial equalization system in Ukraine and to find ways of their solving.. Methods. In the research process such methods as structural-logical, comparative analysis, systematic approach, historical and statistical and others were used. Results. It was found that the domestic model of financial equalization should be identified as a combination of three components: vertical equalization through split taxes; horizontal equalization of the fiscal capacity of budgets and equalization by expenditures through a set of targeted transfers.The article identifies the main problems of financial equalization, namely: the calculation of the index of the tax capacity of territorial communities, which is based only on income from one tax (personal income tax), does not ensure a fair distribution; the inclusion of personal income tax at the place of registration of business entities helps to strengthen the differentiation between the center and the periphery; the predominance of targeted transfers reduces the independence of local self-government bodies in decision-making; poor use of expenditure equalization tools has led to significant imbalances in the ability of communities to provide public services. Conclusions. The solution to the mentioned problems is proposed by: implementing the mechanism of personal income tax crediting to local budgets by place of residence, and not by place of work of individual payers; calculation of the tax capacity index, taking into account the entire volume of tax revenues to the general fund of local budgets; the growth of the share of untargeted transfers in the structure of the system of financial equalization of territories in Ukraine and others.
介绍。乌克兰新的均等化制度的引入面临着国家、地区和地方政府之间资源和权力再分配的不一致、立法创新的不稳定和不一致、税收能力指数计算的不合理等问题。问题陈述。乌克兰领土发展中存在着严重的经济和财政不平衡,因此有必要寻求一种财政均衡的最佳模式。这个问题是在现代挑战的条件下实现的。目的。找出乌克兰财政均等化制度存在的主要问题,并找出解决问题的途径。方法。在研究过程中,运用了结构逻辑法、比较分析法、系统分析法、历史与统计等方法。结果。研究发现,国内财政均等化模式应被确定为三个组成部分的组合:通过分税实现纵向均等化;通过一系列定向转移支付实现预算财政能力横向均衡和支出均衡。本文指出了财政均等化的主要问题,即:地方社区税收能力指数的计算仅基于一种税收(个人所得税)的收入,不能确保公平分配;在企业注册地征收个人所得税有助于加强中心与周边的区分;定向转移支付的优势削弱了地方自治机构在决策方面的独立性;支出平衡工具使用不当导致社区提供公共服务的能力严重失衡。结论。解决上述问题的办法是:实行个人所得税按居住地计入地方预算的机制,而不是按个人纳税人的工作地点计入;在计算税收能力指数时,考虑到地方预算一般资金的税收总量;在乌克兰和其他领土财政均等化制度的结构中,非目标转移所占份额的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Public Financial Management in martial time and post-war reconstruction of Ukraine: scientific support of transformations 乌克兰战时公共财政管理与战后重建:转型的科学支撑
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.007
T. Iefymenko
Introduction. The scale of pandemic and war in Ukraine was not fully forecasted, but the crisis phenomena of these disasters have specific signs. One of the priorities of the tax and budget policy is resilience to threats, both foreseeable and unforeseeable. Problem Statement. The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine has led to significant changes in the resource base, economic potential and the common system of public finances, these can no longer function on pre-war principles. New realities, both internal and external, have emerged; it is impossible to ensure the successful development of the state without scientific understanding of them. Purpose. Justification of directions for the formation of internal pillars of stability and security of the economic development of Ukraine through transformations in Public Financial Management (PFM) during the period of martial law and post-war reconstruction. Methods. Based on trends in statistical indicators, a comparative analysis of national anti-crisis reforms in the field of public finances was conducted. The methodology of the system approach, methods of factual, situational analysis and synthesis were used. Results. Ukraine's acquisition of the status of a candidate for the EU membership, the modern realities of statehood and national economy recovery amid when the signs of fundamental turmoil in the global economic space, require significant changes in the PFM. It is necessary to rethink from scientific perspective and adjust the policy of countering threats of global and regional economic and social contradictions. International discussions on the plans for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine prove the still uncertain, extremely multidimensional picture of the development of various components of the national socio-economic system. The amount of external financial support will depend on whether the measures to improve PFM during the period of martial law, as well as post-war reconstruction, will be interconnected, subordinated according to the space-time vector, etc. Conclusions. International financial institutions provide resources to conflict-prone and fragile states not only to correct imbalances, but also to build confidence during crisis situations when countries risk losing their ability to borrow on open markets. Taking into account the escalation of the geopolitical conflict associated with the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, transformations in the fiscal sphere should be aimed at winning the war, preserving the territorial integrity of the state, supporting economic sovereignty and combating corruption, stimulating investment processes in the post-war recovery.
介绍。乌克兰的流行病和战争的规模没有完全预测到,但这些灾难的危机现象有具体的迹象。税收和预算政策的优先事项之一是抵御可预见和不可预见的威胁。问题陈述。俄罗斯对乌克兰的全面入侵导致了资源基础、经济潜力和公共财政共同制度的重大变化,这些都不能再按照战前原则运作。出现了内部和外部的新现实;没有对它们的科学认识,就不可能保证国家的成功发展。目的。为在戒严令和战后重建期间通过公共财政管理(PFM)的改革形成乌克兰经济发展稳定和安全的内部支柱的方向辩护。方法。基于统计指标的趋势,对各国公共财政领域的抗危机改革进行了比较分析。本文采用了系统分析法、事实分析法、情境分析法和综合分析法。结果。乌克兰获得了欧盟候选国的地位,在全球经济空间出现根本性动荡迹象的情况下,国家地位和国家经济复苏的现代现实要求对PFM进行重大改革。有必要从科学的角度进行反思,调整应对全球和区域经济社会矛盾威胁的政策。关于乌克兰战后重建计划的国际讨论证明了国家社会经济制度各组成部分的发展仍然不确定和极其多方面的情况。外部财政支持的数量将取决于戒严期间改善PFM的措施以及战后重建是否相互关联,是否根据时空矢量从属等。结论。国际金融机构向容易发生冲突和脆弱的国家提供资源,不仅是为了纠正失衡,也是为了在危机形势下建立信心,因为这些国家有可能失去在公开市场上借款的能力。考虑到与俄罗斯全面入侵乌克兰相关的地缘政治冲突升级,财政领域的转型应旨在赢得战争,维护国家领土完整,支持经济主权和打击腐败,刺激战后复苏的投资进程。
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引用次数: 4
International standards of public debt statistics and their implementation in the public finance management system of Ukraine (end) 公共债务统计的国际标准及其在乌克兰公共财政管理体系中的实施(上)
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.026
Sergii GASANOV
Introduction. Theoretical-methodological and methodical substantiation of approaches to the formation, structuring and systematization of statistical information on the public debt of Ukraine in accordance with international standards is of fundamental importance for improving the quality of strategic management of public finances. The implementation of international standards for statistical measurement and diagnostics of public debt makes it possible to objectively monitor the parameters of debt sustainability and bring public financial management tools closer to the best examples of world practice. The implementation of international standards for public debt statistics is an important element in ensuring the transparency of public finances, allowing to optimize cooperation with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and other international financial organizations. Institutional and regulatory implementation of international standards of public debt statistics will allow to increase the level of reasonableness of fiscal risk assessments and the predictability of debt policy in the medium term, to reduce the negative impact of political cycles and economic fluctuations on the state of public finances. In accordance with the Association Agreement of Ukraine with the EU and with Ukraine acquiring the status of a candidate country for joining the EU, the issue of approximation of national legislation to EU legislation, including regarding the national debt, has acquired extraordinary political, economic and social importance, especially in the conditions of external aggression of the Russian Federation and the tasks of the post-war reconstruction of the country’s economy. According to the Strategy of Economic Security of Ukraine for the period until 2025, the question of the acceptability of the level and sources of financing the public debt is one of the key factors for ensuring the financial security of the country. Problem Statement. Interrelated components of the issues of this article are highlighted: 1) institutional coverage of public finances and public debt; 2) the system of public finance management in the context of mutual compliance of objects, subjects and methods of such management; 3) standardized methodology for quantitative statistical measurement of public debt as part of public finances; 4) implementation of international standards of public debt statistics into the national system of public finance management. The purpose is to substantiate conceptual and methodological approaches and recommendations regarding the improvement of statistical measurement and systematization of information on the public debt of Ukraine in accordance with international standards; making changes and additions to the first part of Article 2 of the Budget Code of Ukraine regarding the public debt. Methodology and methods.. The general environment of analysis is public finances; the unifying shell is the public finance management system; the object is p
介绍。按照国际标准对乌克兰公共债务统计资料的形成、构成和系统化的方法进行理论方法和方法上的证实,对于提高公共财政战略管理的质量具有根本的重要性。执行公共债务统计测量和诊断的国际标准,使人们能够客观地监测债务可持续性的参数,并使公共财政管理工具更接近世界实践的最佳范例。执行公共债务统计的国际标准是确保公共财政透明度的一个重要因素,使其能够与国际货币基金组织(货币基金组织)和其他国际金融组织进行最佳合作。在体制和监管方面执行国际公共债务统计标准将有助于提高财政风险评估的合理性和中期债务政策的可预测性,减少政治周期和经济波动对公共财政状况的负面影响。根据乌克兰与欧盟的联属协定和乌克兰获得加入欧盟候选国的地位,使国家立法与欧盟立法相一致的问题,包括关于国家债务的问题,具有特别的政治、经济和社会重要性,特别是在俄罗斯联邦受到外部侵略的情况下和战后重建国家经济的任务中。根据《到2025年乌克兰经济安全战略》,公共债务融资水平和来源的可接受性问题是确保国家财政安全的关键因素之一。问题陈述。本文强调了问题的相关组成部分:1)公共财政和公共债务的机构覆盖;2)公共财政管理对象、主体和管理方式相互契合的公共财政管理体系;3)作为公共财政一部分的公共债务的定量统计计量的标准化方法;4)将公共债务统计的国际标准纳入国家公共财政管理体系。其目的是根据国际标准,就改进乌克兰公共债务的统计测量和资料的系统化提出概念性和方法学方法和建议;修改和补充《乌克兰预算法》第2条关于公共债务的第一部分。方法论和方法……分析的一般环境是公共财政;统一的外壳是公共财政管理体制;目标是公共债务;主题是公共债务统计的国际标准;预期结果是关于执行特定标准的提案和建议,目的是消除乌克兰预算法第2条第一部分中“公共债务”一词含义的法律不确定性,使其与欧盟立法规范保持一致,这将允许对乌克兰和欧共体国家的公共债务进行合理的定量测量和国际比较。采用比较定性分析和定量分析、结构-制度分析和结构-功能分析、理论概括的方法;《2008年国际国民经济核算体系》、《2010年欧洲国民和地区经济核算体系》以及与公共财政和公共债务统计相关的其他国际标准所载的基本方法原则和方法方法。结果。在乌克兰的立法(预算、税收、财政)中,没有“公共财政”的概念。“根本不确定性”现象在许多方面具有古老和系统性的性质。这也适用于乌克兰《预算法》第2条第一部分中的“公共债务”一词。对公共财政最全面的理解是广义的,其中笔者坚持认为:“公共财政是公共经济部门的财政”。建议将公共债务的国际标准分为五类。首先是所谓的基本功能和组织原则。第二种是“普遍”标准,这是公共债务统计的一般概念和方法基础。三是财政统计标准问题。四是与外债分摊有关的标准。五是特殊的数据发布标准。 在乌克兰的公共财政管理制度中执行公共债务的国际标准需要修订国家立法。为此目的,制订了乌克兰法律“关于修改和补充乌克兰预算法第2条第一部分(关于国家债务)”的项目。结论。公共财政,包括公共债务,作为管理对象,必须根据SNA 2008、ESA 2010和其他国际标准中使用的国民经济机构单位和机构部门(子部门)的概念进行明确分类。出发点是公共经济部门的概念,它结合了两个组成部分——一般政府部门和公共企业部门。建议在《乌克兰经济法》中对公共经济部门和公共财政的定义进行立法。拟议在《乌克兰预算法》第2条第一部分下与有关类别一起实施的公共债务的新定义是合理的。
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引用次数: 2
Rethinking the essence of management accounting in the context of achieving Sustainable Development Goals 在实现可持续发展目标的背景下重新思考管理会计的本质
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.117
Yuliia Maksymiv, V. Yakubiv, Nadia Pylypiv, I. Piatnychuk, P. Horyslavets
Introduction. Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) within the framework defined by 2030 is possible only if the socially responsible behavior of citizens, businesses, and public administration bodies is activated in tandem. And business has the most significant role here. The role of management accounting in achieving SDGs has practical dimensions and a strategic task arises to form such accounting and analytical information that can help in achieving the 17 SDGs. Such information should be public, i.e. presented not only to internal stakeholders, but also to external ones, and also show both positive and negative impacts of business on the community and the country within which it operates. Problem Statement. Since there is an objective need to consume accounting and analytical information of a strategic nature in the context of SDGs to meet information needs of various groups of stakeholders, it is worth talking about expanding the traditional understanding of the essence of management accounting (that is, in its legislative definition). Purpose. Rethinking the essence of management accounting in the context of its role in achieving SDGs and making proposals for improving the legally established definition of the term “management accounting” in Ukraine. Methods. General scientific and special methods are used, such as logical analysis, synthesis, comparison, theoretical generalization, and abstract-logical. Results. The conducted analysis of the role of management accounting in achieving SDGs casts doubt on the generally accepted statement that management accounting forms information only for internal users. The article presents arguments that prove the need to amend the Law of Ukraine “On Accounting and Financial Reporting in Ukraine”. The definition of management accounting is proposed, which, taking into account the potential of accounting tools in achieving SDGs, can provide modern information needs of stakeholders motivated by socially responsible behavior. Namely, management accounting should be interpreted as a system of collecting, processing, preparing, and analyzing financial and non-financial information about company's activities for various groups of stakeholders in the process of making management decisions. Conclusions. The clarity in the theoretical aspect regarding the interpretation of the essence of management accounting and confirmation of this in normative legal acts will be an impetus for expanding the practical implementation of management accounting in solving the problems of sustainable development.
介绍。只有公民、企业和公共行政机构的社会责任行为协同起来,才能在2030年确定的框架内实现可持续发展目标(sdg)。商业在这里扮演着最重要的角色。管理会计在实现可持续发展目标中的作用具有实际意义,形成有助于实现17个可持续发展目标的会计和分析信息是一项战略任务。这些信息应该是公开的,即不仅向内部利益相关者,而且也向外部利益相关者提供,并显示业务对其经营所在的社区和国家的积极和消极影响。问题陈述。由于客观需要在可持续发展目标背景下消费具有战略性质的会计和分析信息,以满足各利益相关者群体的信息需求,因此值得讨论的是扩大对管理会计本质的传统理解(即其立法定义)。目的。在实现可持续发展目标的背景下,重新思考管理会计的本质,并就乌克兰“管理会计”一词的法定定义提出建议。方法。一般的科学方法和特殊的方法,如逻辑分析、综合、比较、理论概括和抽象逻辑。结果。对管理会计在实现可持续发展目标中的作用进行的分析使人们对普遍接受的管理会计仅为内部用户提供信息的说法产生了怀疑。本文提出的论点,证明有必要修改乌克兰的法律“在乌克兰会计和财务报告”。提出了管理会计的定义,考虑到会计工具在实现可持续发展目标方面的潜力,可以为受社会责任行为激励的利益相关者提供现代信息需求。也就是说,管理会计应该被解释为在制定管理决策的过程中,为各种利益相关者群体收集、处理、准备和分析有关公司活动的财务和非财务信息的系统。结论。在理论方面对管理会计本质的解释和在规范性法律行为中对此的确认将推动管理会计在解决可持续发展问题中的实际实施。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of globalization on the dynamics of inflation 全球化对通货膨胀动态的影响
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.085
V. Kyrylenko, D. Khokhych
Introduction. The article studies the impact of globalization on the dynamics of inflation due to increased integration between developed economies and emerging countries in the period 1990-2022, its causes and effects. Problem Statement. Based on the analysis of statistical data, it was established that global inflation in the world economy has a direct impact on domestic inflation in emerging countries, as well as a pronounced structural character in developed countries. This means that even minor disruptions in global trade channels can cause inflation. Purpose. Explaining the impact of globalization on the level of inflation in developed countries and commodity economies through the expansion of trade integration, the strengthening of the role of emerging markets, price competition and the increase in the volatility of interest rates. Methods. According to the results of a dispersion analysis, a hypothesis of the existence of a connection between the components of globalization channels and inflation indicators, which determine the volatility of prices for goods and services in the medium term was investigated . Results. The global components of each inflation indicator are analyzed for the full sample of advanced economies and emerging markets. CPI and producer price index are found to have a significant common global component, accounting for 40% of the difference in CPI inflation and 52% in producer price index inflation of the countries in the sample. However, the role of the common component is much smaller for core inflation and wage inflation. The first main component of inflation accounts for about 21-26% of the variation in inflation for different samples. Conclusions. The increase in the global component of inflation over the past two decades can be explained by major global crises arising from high volatility of commodity prices, greater sensitivity of countries to global shocks due to increased trade or financial integration, or closer direct links between economies. The effect of the transfer of global inflation on domestic prices requires that the central bank should conduct a tighter monetary policy towards achieving the price stability.
介绍。本文研究了在1990-2022年期间,由于发达经济体和新兴国家之间一体化程度的提高,全球化对通货膨胀动态的影响,其原因和影响。问题陈述。通过对统计数据的分析,确定了世界经济中的全球通货膨胀对新兴国家的国内通货膨胀有直接影响,并且在发达国家中具有明显的结构性特征。这意味着,即使是全球贸易渠道的轻微中断也可能导致通胀。目的。通过贸易一体化的扩大、新兴市场作用的加强、价格竞争和利率波动的增加,解释全球化对发达国家和商品经济体通货膨胀水平的影响。方法。根据离散分析的结果,研究了全球化渠道组成部分与通货膨胀指标之间存在联系的假设,通货膨胀指标决定了中期商品和服务价格的波动。结果。每个通胀指标的全球组成部分分析了发达经济体和新兴市场的全部样本。发现CPI和生产者价格指数具有显著的全球共同组成部分,占样本国家CPI通胀差异的40%和生产者价格指数通胀差异的52%。然而,共同成分对核心通胀和工资通胀的作用要小得多。通货膨胀的第一个主要成分约占不同样品通货膨胀变化的21-26%。结论。过去二十年来,通货膨胀的全球组成部分的增加可以解释为:大宗商品价格高度波动引起的重大全球危机,由于贸易或金融一体化的增加,各国对全球冲击更加敏感,或者经济之间更密切的直接联系。全球通货膨胀转移对国内价格的影响要求中央银行实施更紧缩的货币政策,以实现价格稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Upgrading the fiscal rules system in the European Union and prospects for their reforms in Ukraine 欧盟财政规则体系升级及其在乌克兰的改革前景
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.048
Tetiana Bohdan
Introduction. In 2022 and 2023 fiscal rules in Ukraine were suspended by amendments to the Budget Code, although after the end of war the negotiation process with the EU on its enlargement will put the issue of resumption of the fiscal rules in Ukraine and their alignment with the EU norms on the economic reforms’ agenda in Ukraine. Problem Statement. Restoration of the system of fiscal rules in Ukraine and its new substantive filling on the way of Ukraine’s preparation for the EU accession taking into account the experience of implementation of the supra-national fiscal rules in the EU and challenges for the reforms of the budgetary framework in the EU member states. Purpose – drawing lessons of functioning of the numerical fiscal rules in the EU, reviewing the components of transformation of the budgetary framework and mechanisms of the fiscal policy surveillance from the side of the EU supra-national bodies and eventually, on their basis, specifying the core directions of reforming fiscal rules in Ukraine for their approximation to the EU standards. Methods. General scientific and special methods are applied: analysis and synthesis, description and comparison, historical method, method of theoretical generalization and abstract-logical method. Results. The article highlights the essence of fiscal rules as important constituents of modern fiscal institutions, shows the quantitative indicators of extension of the fiscal rules across the world and their common combinations. It reveals the main trends in modification of the fiscal rules and validation of the escape clauses in the course of corona-crisis. The author summarizes the mechanisms of budget deficit regulation, containment of public expenditure growth and limiting public debt level in the EU member states with a focus on the provisions of the Stability and Growth Pact and of the EU Regulations, which specify the tools of application of the Pact and Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. The author synthetizes the key dimensions of current transformation of the EU fiscal rules with an emphasize on the instruments of fiscal policy surveillance in the EU member states and targeting fiscal policy at achieving green and digital transition by their economies with simultaneous debt sustainability goal. Policy proposals are devised for upgrading the system of fiscal rules in Ukraine and their validation after finishing the war. Conclusions. Incorporation of debt limit and budget balance ceiling across the sector of general government into the budgetary legislation of Ukraine, as well as of net primary expenditure rule aimed at restoration of the debt sustainability, as well as mechanisms of implementation of the fiscal rules and independent monitoring of the fiscal rules observance in line with the EU standards (over the medium run) would contribute to securing macro-financial stability in Ukraine and accelerate the economic and political integration of Ukraine with the EU.
介绍。在2022年和2023年,乌克兰的财政规则因《预算法》修正案而暂停,尽管在战争结束后,与欧盟扩大的谈判进程将把恢复乌克兰财政规则及其与欧盟规范在乌克兰经济改革议程上的一致性问题放在一起。问题陈述。在乌克兰准备加入欧盟的过程中,考虑到欧盟超国家财政规则的实施经验和欧盟成员国预算框架改革面临的挑战,对乌克兰财政规则体系的恢复及其新的实质性补充。目的:吸取欧盟数字财政规则运作的经验教训,从欧盟超国家机构的角度审视预算框架和财政政策监督机制转型的组成部分,并最终在此基础上,明确乌克兰财政规则改革的核心方向,使其接近欧盟标准。方法。运用一般的科学方法和特殊的方法:分析与综合、描述与比较、历史方法、理论概括方法和抽象逻辑方法。结果。本文强调了财政规则作为现代财政制度的重要组成部分的本质,展示了财政规则在世界范围内延伸的量化指标及其常见组合。揭示了金融危机过程中财政规则修改和免责条款生效的主要趋势。作者总结了欧盟成员国预算赤字管制、遏制公共支出增长和限制公共债务水平的机制,重点是《稳定与增长公约》和《欧盟条例》的规定,其中具体规定了《公约》和《欧盟运作条约》的适用工具。作者综合了当前欧盟财政规则转型的关键维度,强调了欧盟成员国的财政政策监督工具,并将财政政策的目标定位于实现其经济的绿色和数字化转型,同时实现债务可持续性目标。政策建议是为了升级乌克兰的财政规则体系,并在战争结束后对其进行验证。结论。将整个一般政府部门的债务限额和预算平衡上限纳入乌克兰的预算立法,以及旨在恢复债务可持续性的净初级支出规则;以及财政规则的实施机制和财政规则遵守情况的独立监督(中期)将有助于确保乌克兰的宏观金融稳定,并加速乌克兰与欧盟的经济和政治一体化。
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引用次数: 1
State banks of Ukraine as a factor for ensuring monetary circulation stability under martial law 乌克兰国家银行作为戒严令下确保货币流通稳定的一个因素
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.065
O. Lyubich, A. Drobiazko, Oleksandr Borshchuk
Introduction. The results of the state-owned banks' activities (hereinafter BSC) in 2022 confirm their significant contribution to the stabilization of the national financial system during the period of full-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine. Problem Statement. Analysis of approaches to the strategic development of the BSC during the period of post-war economic recovery and their impact on the overall security of monetary circulation in the country. The given calculations make it possible to compare the financial results, role and place of each BSC with banks of foreign financial groups and banks with private capital. .Purpose. To assess the performance of banks with state participation in capital in 2022, compare the results obtained with the indicators of private sector banks, including with the participation of foreign capital, and formulate proposals for further legislative support for the optimization of business models of BSC in conditions of strengthening requirements for financial security. Methods. General scientific and special methods are used: analysis, synthesis, grouping, description, comparison, theoretical generalization and abstract-logical. Results. The dynamics of changes in the resource base of banks at the expense of legal entities and individuals, as well as their credit and investment portfolios, are presented. The main macroeconomic strategies of monetary policy, which influenced the development of banks in 2022, are considered. The importance of restoring the Government's cooperation with international financial organizations in 2023 is emphasized. Conclusions. Changes in the development strategy of the BSC are proposed in order to increase the capitalization of this sector and attract foreign capital in the direct investment of the banking sector. In the conditions of martial law, in order to ensure the manageability of the BSC it is advisable to review the list of key strategic indicators of banks from the point of view of unification and convenience for measuring and comparing the effectiveness of their management's work, as well as monitoring investment attractiveness. The financial security of Ukraine in the system of the bank-centric financial sector must be based on the transparent management of the BSC sector, which must have a long-term development strategy along with a transparent mechanism for evaluating the quality of management's work.
介绍。国有银行在2022年的活动结果(以下简称平衡计分卡)证实了它们在俄罗斯全面侵略乌克兰期间为稳定国家金融体系做出的重大贡献。问题陈述。分析战后经济复苏时期平衡计分卡的战略发展途径及其对国家货币流通整体安全的影响。通过计算,可以将各平衡记分卡与外国金融集团银行和私人资本银行的财务结果、作用和地位进行比较。评估2022年国有资本参股银行的绩效,将所得结果与包括外资参股在内的私营银行指标进行比较,并提出在金融安全要求加强的情况下,进一步立法支持平衡计分卡业务模式优化的建议。方法。一般的科学方法和特殊的方法:分析、综合、分组、描述、比较、理论概括和抽象逻辑。结果。提出了以法人实体和个人为代价的银行资源基础变化的动态,以及他们的信贷和投资组合。考虑了影响2022年银行发展的货币政策的主要宏观经济策略。强调2023年恢复政府与国际金融组织合作的重要性。结论。提出了平衡计分卡发展战略的变化,以增加该部门的资本化,并在银行业的直接投资中吸引外资。在戒严令条件下,为确保平衡记分卡的可管理性,从统一和方便的角度对银行的关键战略指标清单进行审查,以衡量和比较其管理工作的有效性,并监测投资吸引力。在以银行为中心的金融部门体系中,乌克兰的金融安全必须以平衡计分卡部门的透明管理为基础,平衡计分卡部门必须有一个长期的发展战略,以及一个透明的评估管理工作质量的机制。
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引用次数: 2
Modern determinants of assessing the risk of legalization of criminal proceeds in banks 银行犯罪收益合法化风险评估的现代决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.33763/finukr2023.01.102
V. Kovalenko, Anastasiia Yehorova
Introduction. In recent years, there has been a tendency to simultaneously increase requirements in terms of reserve capital, combating money laundering and terrorist financing, which has led to a significant increase in the corresponding costs for banks around the world. Banks that provide services such as depositing, lending, transferring funds or assets from one institution to another without taking into account geographical restrictions are most often used for money laundering. Problem Statement. It has been proven that the entrenchment of shadow schemes by economic entities conducting various operations, the introduction of the latest technologies into the financial sphere, as well as the rapid development of the cryptocurrency market have led to a growing trends in legalization of criminal proceeds involving financial institutions. Purpose. Generalization of the key provisions and practices of international standards, analysis of the use of a risk-oriented approach by countries in ensuring countermeasures against money laundering and terrorist financing, systematization of the provisions of risk management of money laundering, financing of terrorism and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in foreign practice and their introduction into domestic banking practice. Methods. General scientific and special methods are used: analysis, synthesis, grouping, description, comparison, theoretical generalization and cluster analysis. Results. The factors that form the risks of legalization of criminal proceeds are studied by such components as threats, vulnerability and consequences. The main components of the risk management system of the legalization of criminal proceeds are singled out, namely: stages of identification and analysis of the risk of legalization of criminal proceeds , principles, functions, risk assessment methods, security systems and strategies for managing the risks of legalization. The article proposes a methodology for assessing the risk of legalization of criminal proceeds in banks using the clustering method. Conclusions. The national money laundering risk assessment system should be based on a unified approach that provides for the identification of clients of financial institutions, the processing of information by regulatory and supervisory authorities, supervision by regulatory authorities and financial intelligence units and the assessment of AML/CFT risks, the comparison of data of financial institutions with data of law enforcement agencies to determine the vulnerabilities of the system of combating the legalization of criminal proceeds and financing of terrorism. Threats caused by the latest state of operation of Ukrainian banks, the development of measures to further reduce their involvement in money laundering and terrorist financing schemes require further research.
介绍。近年来,在打击洗钱和恐怖主义融资方面,有同时提高储备资本要求的趋势,这导致世界各地银行的相应成本大幅增加。在不考虑地域限制的情况下提供存款、贷款、资金或资产从一个机构转移到另一个机构等服务的银行最常被用于洗钱。问题陈述。事实证明,开展各种业务的经济实体的影子计划,将最新技术引入金融领域,以及加密货币市场的快速发展,导致涉及金融机构的犯罪收益合法化的趋势日益增长。目的。概括国际标准的关键条款和做法,分析各国在确保反洗钱和恐怖主义融资方面采用风险导向方法的情况,将外国实践中洗钱、恐怖主义融资和大规模杀伤性武器扩散的风险管理条款系统化,并将其引入国内银行业实践。方法。一般的科学方法和特殊的方法:分析、综合、分组、描述、比较、理论概括和聚类分析。结果。构成犯罪收益合法化风险的因素由威胁、脆弱性和后果等组成部分来研究。指出了犯罪收益法制化风险管理体系的主要组成部分,即:犯罪收益法制化风险的识别与分析阶段、犯罪收益法制化的原则、功能、风险评估方法、安全保障体系和风险管理策略。本文提出了一种利用聚类方法评估银行犯罪收益合法化风险的方法。结论。国家洗钱风险评估体系应基于统一的方法,规定金融机构客户的识别、监管和监管部门对信息的处理、监管部门和金融情报部门的监督以及“反洗钱”/“反恐融资”风险的评估。将金融机构的数据与执法机构的数据进行比较,以确定打击犯罪收益合法化和恐怖主义融资制度的脆弱性。乌克兰银行的最新经营状况所造成的威胁,以及制定进一步减少其参与洗钱和恐怖主义融资计划的措施,都需要进一步研究。
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Fìnansi Ukraïni
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