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Intellectual property, resource curse, and the path to sustainable investment in China 知识产权、资源诅咒与中国的可持续投资之路
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105270

This paper provides key insights into China's sustainable energy investment from 1995 to 2021 through a detailed quantitative analysis. It identifies a significant negative correlation between vulnerability to the resource curse and sustainable energy investment, underscoring the detrimental effects of resource dependency on sustainability and energy security. In contrast, innovation, as reflected in patent applications, positively impacts sustainable energy investments, highlighting the role of technological progress. Trademarks show no significant effect on these investments, possibly due to their broader economic role. The study also points out the negative impact of poverty on sustainable energy investment, revealing underlying socioeconomic challenges. The paper recommends strategies for diversification, fostering innovation, alleviating poverty, and investing in renewable energy infrastructure and digital technology to support China's shift towards a sustainable energy future.

本文通过详细的定量分析,对 1995 年至 2021 年中国的可持续能源投资进行了深入分析。本文发现,易受资源诅咒影响的程度与可持续能源投资之间存在明显的负相关关系,凸显了资源依赖对可持续发展和能源安全的不利影响。相比之下,专利申请所反映的创新对可持续能源投资产生了积极影响,凸显了技术进步的作用。商标对这些投资没有明显影响,这可能是由于商标具有更广泛的经济作用。研究还指出了贫困对可持续能源投资的负面影响,揭示了潜在的社会经济挑战。本文建议采取多样化、促进创新、扶贫以及投资可再生能源基础设施和数字技术等战略,以支持中国向可持续能源未来转变。
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引用次数: 0
Complex pattern of nexus between global mining consortiums and sustainability in the Middle East and North Africa region 全球矿业财团与中东和北非地区可持续性之间的复杂关系模式
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105256

This research investigates the intricate interplay between major global mining entities and sustainability initiatives in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, as a key part of Global South countries. The study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the global mining industry at five distinct levels: mining, mining cap-weighted, mining coal exclusion, global gold mining tracker, and global electrification minerals mining. The objective is to comprehend the multi-fractal patterns and implications of their interconnectedness with sustainability and conventional investments. By employing a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) approach to identify the degree of nexus between each pair consisting of a mining index and sustainability or conventional investments, and utilizing the generalized Hurst exponent of a multiscale multi-fractal analysis (MMA) from September 18, 2017, to July 3, 2023, the study reveals that none of the bi-variate interconnectedness adheres to a random walk process, thereby confirming their inefficient behavior. The level of efficiency among pairs varies, demonstrating heterogeneity across the connections. The analysis indicates a relatively lower level of inefficiency in pairs of pairwise connectedness indices (PCIs) related to sustainable investments compared to conventional investments. Generally, conventional investments exhibit more distinct trends or predictability over various time scales, suggesting a less complex and unpredictable pattern compared to sustainable investments. Additionally, the persistence level in PCIs linked to conventional sustainable investments is higher than that of sustainable investments, implying that conventional investments have more predictable associations with mining consortiums. These findings provide valuable insights into the dynamic relationships between global mining entities and sustainability initiatives in the MENA region, with implications for investors, policymakers, and industry stakeholders. The clarity observed in connectivity patterns with conventional investments presents strategic opportunities for investors, potentially influencing regulatory adjustments for sustainable resource governance. The identified inefficiencies create opportunities for refining risk management tools and optimizing investment strategies. Furthermore, the study highlights the stability of connections between conventional sustainable investments and mining consortiums over time, providing guidance for long-term planning and risk mitigation.

本研究调查了作为全球南方国家重要组成部分的中东和北非地区主要全球采矿实体与可持续发展倡议之间错综复杂的相互作用。本研究从五个不同层面对全球采矿业进行了全面分析:采矿、采矿上限加权、采矿煤炭排除、全球金矿跟踪和全球电气化矿物采矿。目的是理解其与可持续发展和传统投资之间相互联系的多重分形模式及其影响。通过采用时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)方法来确定由采矿指数和可持续性或传统投资组成的每一对之间的关联程度,并利用从 2017 年 9 月 18 日至 2023 年 7 月 3 日的多尺度多分形分析(MMA)的广义赫斯特指数,该研究揭示了双变量的相互关联性都不遵循随机漫步过程,从而证实了它们的低效率行为。线对之间的效率水平各不相同,显示了不同连接之间的异质性。分析表明,与传统投资相比,与可持续投资相关的成对关联度指数(PCIs)的低效率水平相对较低。一般来说,传统投资在不同时间尺度上表现出更明显的趋势或可预测性,表明与可持续投资相比,其模式的复杂性和不可预测性较低。此外,与传统可持续投资相关的 PCIs 的持续水平高于可持续投资,这意味着传统投资与矿业集团的关联具有更高的可预测性。这些发现为中东和北非地区全球矿业实体与可持续发展倡议之间的动态关系提供了宝贵的见解,对投资者、政策制定者和行业利益相关者具有重要意义。在与传统投资的连接模式中观察到的清晰度为投资者提供了战略机遇,有可能影响可持续资源治理的监管调整。已发现的低效率为完善风险管理工具和优化投资战略创造了机会。此外,本研究还强调了传统可持续投资与矿业集团之间的联系随着时间推移的稳定性,为长期规划和降低风险提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
Minerals at the crossroads: Economic policies, global trade, and renewable energy in the global South 处于十字路口的矿产:全球南方的经济政策、全球贸易和可再生能源
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105257
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引用次数: 0
Digital government and mineral resources trade: The role of digital financial inclusion 数字政府与矿产资源贸易:数字金融包容性的作用
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105245

The mineral resources trade is significant because these minerals are crucial in developing green and clean energy equipment and plants, which is key to achieving sustainable development targets. However, no past studies have focused on finding the determinants of trade in mineral resources. This analysis fills the gap by analyzing how digital government and digital financial inclusion affect mineral resources trade using the two-stage least squares (2SLS) and generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation techniques. The findings indicate that digital government and financial inclusion promote mineral trade. The interaction between digital government and digital financial inclusion also helps increase the trade of mineral resources. In addition, logistic performance, GDP, and foreign direct investment all play a significant role in boosting trade in mineral resources, while the energy security risks and consumer price index hinder the trade in mineral resources. These findings suggest that policymakers should increase the role of digitalization in the administrative and financial setups to fasten the trade in mineral resources.

矿产资源贸易意义重大,因为这些矿产对开发绿色清洁能源设备和工厂至关重要,是实现可持续发展目标的关键。然而,以往的研究都没有关注矿产资源贸易的决定因素。本分析填补了这一空白,利用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)和广义矩法(GMM)估计技术,分析了数字政府和数字金融包容性如何影响矿产资源贸易。研究结果表明,数字政府和普惠金融促进了矿产资源贸易。数字政府和数字普惠金融之间的相互作用也有助于增加矿产资源贸易。此外,物流绩效、国内生产总值和外国直接投资都对促进矿产资源贸易发挥了重要作用,而能源安全风险和消费者价格指数则阻碍了矿产资源贸易。这些研究结果表明,政策制定者应加强数字化在行政和金融设置中的作用,以加快矿产资源贸易的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Resource dependence and life expectancy in sub-Saharan Africa: Does financial sector stability break the curse? 撒哈拉以南非洲的资源依赖和预期寿命:金融部门的稳定能否打破魔咒?
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105243

Natural resource wealth can contribute to human and economic development if the revenues from natural resource sectors are effectively invested by the government. In particular, countries with abundant natural resources have the potential to experience significant development and improvements in their quality of life. This study first examines the impact of natural resource rents on life expectancy in sub-Saharan Africa. We then investigate the moderating role of the financial sector in this relationship. Using mainly the Generalized Moments Method in a panel of 44 Sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1990–2021, the results obtained in this paper reveal a negative effect of natural resource rents on life expectancy, supporting the resource curse-health hypothesis. However, the stability of the financial system moderates this relationship and makes it positive, at specific thresholds. These results are consistent with Hirschman's conjecture that production leakage is low in landlocked countries, but that there are stronger links with public revenues than with other sectors of activity. The ‘wealth channel’ lubricated by the financial sector that this study identifies calls for greater caution when adopting non-rentier policies in countries exploiting their natural wealth, specifically countries with low human capital. We suggest that a portion of resources should be allocated to financing human capital in order to increase life expectancy.

如果自然资源部门的收入得到政府的有效投资,自然资源财富就能促进人类和经济发展。特别是,自然资源丰富的国家有可能实现重大发展并提高生活质量。本研究首先探讨了自然资源租金对撒哈拉以南非洲地区预期寿命的影响。然后,我们研究了金融部门在这一关系中的调节作用。本文主要采用广义矩法对 1990-2021 年间 44 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的面板数据进行分析,结果显示自然资源租金对预期寿命有负面影响,支持了资源诅咒-健康假说。然而,金融体系的稳定性调节了这一关系,使其在特定临界点上呈正值。这些结果与赫希曼的猜想一致,即内陆国家的生产渗漏率较低,但与公共收入的联系比与其他活动部门的联系更紧密。本研究发现的由金融部门润滑的 "财富渠道 "要求开发自然财富的国家,特别是人力资本较低的国家,在采取非层级政策时要更加谨慎。我们建议将部分资源用于资助人力资本,以提高预期寿命。
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引用次数: 0
The driving factors of economic growth divergence in resource-rich countries 资源丰富国家经济增长差异的驱动因素
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105258

Growth divergence in resource-rich countries extends the debate over the resource curse hypothesis. The present study examines the relationship between natural resources and economic growth and its transmission channel, with panel data from 95 countries and between 1970 and 2017. It applies two different models such as Panel CS-ARDL and System-GMM to obtain a robust result of the relationship between natural resources and economic growth. The novelty of this study lies in the fact that it attempts to explain the growth divergence in resource-rich countries by examining the impact of natural resources on economic growth and its transmission channels for each per capita income group. CS-ARDL model does not confirm the results from system-GMM, which indicates the existence of resource curse for the panel of all countries. The other results from CS-ARDL support the evidence for the resource curse only in the low income countries and the blessing hypothesis in the developed ones. Low investment and poor total factor productivity are shown to be among the transmission channel of the negative impact of natural resource on economic growth in the developing country.

资源丰富国家的增长差异扩大了关于资源诅咒假说的争论。本研究利用 1970 至 2017 年间 95 个国家的面板数据,研究了自然资源与经济增长之间的关系及其传导渠道。研究采用了两种不同的模型,如面板 CS-ARDL 模型和系统-GMM 模型,以获得自然资源与经济增长之间关系的稳健结果。这项研究的新颖之处在于,它试图通过研究自然资源对经济增长的影响及其对各人均收入组的传导渠道,来解释资源丰富国家的增长差异。CS-ARDL 模型没有证实系统-GMM 的结果,这表明所有国家的面板数据都存在资源诅咒。CS-ARDL 模型的其他结果仅支持低收入国家存在资源诅咒的证据,而支持发达国家的祝福假说。低投资和低全要素生产率被证明是自然资源对发展中国家经济增长负面影响的传导渠道之一。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing blasting efficiency: A smart predictive model for cost optimization and risk reduction 提高爆破效率:优化成本和降低风险的智能预测模型
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105261

Mineral extraction involves distinct stages, including drilling, blasting, loading, transporting, and processing minerals at a designated facility. The initial phase is drilling and blasting, crucial for controlled dimensions of crushed stone suitable for the processing plant. Incorrect blasting can lead to unsuitable stone grading and destructive outcomes like ground vibrations, stone projection, air blasts, and recoil. Predicting and optimizing blasting costs (BC) is essential to achieve desired particle size reduction while mitigating adverse blasting consequences. BC varies with rock hardness, blasting techniques, and patterns. This study presents a BC prediction model using data from 6 Iranian limestone mines, employing firefly (FF) and gray wolf optimization (GWO) algorithms. With 146 data points and parameters like hole diameter (D), ANFO (AN), sub-drilling (J), uniaxial compressive strength (σc), burden (B), hole number (N), umolite (EM),spacing (S), specific gravity (γr), stemming (T), hole length (H), rock hardness (HA), and electric detonators (Det), the data was split into 80% for model construction and 20% for validation. Using statistical indicators, the model showed good performance, offering engineers, researchers, and mining professionals high accuracy. The @RISK software conducted sensitivity analysis, revealing T parameter as the most influential input factor, where minor T changes significantly affected BC. Lastly, the @RISK software was employed to conduct a sensitivity analysis on the model's outputs. The analyses demonstrated that, among the input factors, the T parameter had the most pronounced effect on the model's output. Even small changes in the value of T led to considerable fluctuations in the predicted BC.

矿物开采涉及不同阶段,包括钻探、爆破、装载、运输和在指定设施加工矿物。初始阶段是钻探和爆破,这对控制适合加工厂的碎石尺寸至关重要。不正确的爆破会导致不合适的石料分级和破坏性结果,如地面震动、石料抛射、气爆和反冲。预测和优化爆破成本(BC)对于实现理想的粒度减小效果,同时减轻爆破带来的不良后果至关重要。爆破成本随岩石硬度、爆破技术和爆破模式的不同而变化。本研究利用 6 个伊朗石灰石矿的数据,采用萤火虫(FF)和灰狼优化(GWO)算法,建立了一个爆破成本预测模型。该模型包含 146 个数据点和参数,如孔直径 (D)、ANFO (AN)、副钻孔 (J)、单轴抗压强度 (σc)、负荷 (B)、孔数 (N)、乌洛托品 (EM)、间距 (S)、比重 (γr)、钻杆 (T)、孔长 (H)、岩石硬度 (HA) 和电雷管 (Det),其中 80% 的数据用于构建模型,20% 的数据用于验证。利用统计指标,该模型显示出良好的性能,为工程师、研究人员和采矿专业人员提供了较高的准确性。@RISK 软件进行了敏感性分析,发现 T 参数是影响最大的输入因素,T 的微小变化都会对 BC 产生显著影响。最后,利用 @RISK 软件对模型的输出结果进行了敏感性分析。分析表明,在输入因素中,T 参数对模型输出的影响最为明显。即使是 T 值的微小变化,也会导致预测的 BC 值出现相当大的波动。
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引用次数: 0
Sequential investment decisions for mining projects using compound multiple volatility real options approach 利用复合多重波动实物期权法进行采矿项目的连续投资决策
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105241

Managers evaluating investment decisions in mining projects have reported using the net present value approach (NPV). However, NPV has the drawback of collapsing variations from uncertainties in future project cash flows into a fixed expected project value today. Ignoring future uncertainties and contingencies can lead managers to make incorrect up-front binary decisions, such as investing in or abandoning the project now. The real options analysis approach (ROA) instead captures variations from uncertainties as volatilities in project value and allows flexibility in investment decisions to be contingent on information as it is revealed. Managers we consulted agreed that ROA is superior to NPV in principle, but too complex to apply in practice. The advanced mathematics and restrictive assumptions required by analytical ROAs make them especially impractical for real-world projects exposed to multiple uncertainties. Furthermore, real-world projects are often multistage and involve valuing a compound option, which is an option on an underlying option, for sequential investment decisions. Extant numerical compound ROAs have been applied to such projects but suffer from various drawbacks. Amongst other issues, they combine variations from multiple uncertainties into a consolidated volatility of project value. This conceals the impact of each source of uncertainty, resulting in inaccurate project valuation and incorrect investment decisions. We present an innovative compound multiple volatility real options approach (C-MVR) to value a multistage project while accommodating separate volatilities of project value arising from multiple uncertainties for making sequential investment decisions. The resultant value is termed the compound enhanced net present value. Implementing C-MVR for a real coal mining project demonstrates how other ROAs can be seen as inaccurate simplifications that produce erroneous investment decisions. C-MVR provides a rigorous and versatile approach that can be applied to many investment decisions across various industries.

据报道,评估矿业项目投资决策的管理人员使用的是净现值法(NPV)。然而,净现值的缺点是将未来项目现金流的不确定性变化归结为当前项目的固定预期价值。忽略未来的不确定性和意外情况可能会导致管理者做出错误的前期二元决策,如现在投资或放弃项目。而实物期权分析法(ROA)将不确定因素的变化作为项目价值的波动率来捕捉,并允许投资决策的灵活性取决于所披露的信息。我们咨询过的管理人员一致认为,投资回报率原则上优于净现值,但在实际应用中过于复杂。分析性投资回报率所要求的高等数学和限制性假设,使其在面临多种不确定因素的实际项目中尤其不实用。此外,现实世界中的项目往往是多阶段的,涉及到对复合期权的估值,复合期权是一个标的期权的期权,用于连续的投资决策。现有的数字复合投资回报率已被应用于此类项目,但存在各种缺陷。除其他问题外,它们将多种不确定因素的变化合并为项目价值的综合波动率。这掩盖了每个不确定因素的影响,导致项目估值不准确,投资决策不正确。我们提出了一种创新的复合多波动实物期权方法(C-MVR),用于对多阶段项目进行估值,同时考虑到多种不确定性对项目价值造成的不同波动,以做出连续的投资决策。由此产生的价值被称为复合增强净现值。在一个真实的煤矿项目中实施 C-MVR 证明了其他投资回报率如何被视为不准确的简化,从而产生错误的投资决策。C-MVR 提供了一种严谨、通用的方法,可用于各行业的许多投资决策。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the interconnection between rare earth market and green economy: Time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty 分析稀土市场与绿色经济之间的相互联系:贸易政策不确定性的时变效应
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105262

Understanding intricate dynamics between rare earth elements (REEs) and green economy, as well as the pivotal role of trade policy uncertainty (TPU), provides significant insights for the concurrent development of these markets. This paper estimates the short- and long-term correlations between the REEs market and green economy by the DCC-MIDAS model. Additionally, it employs the TVP-VAR model to investigate the impact of China’s and U.S. TPU shocks on the long-term correlation. Furthermore, this paper calculates ΔCoVaR to quantify the risk transmission from the REEs market to green economy and explore the impact of TPU shocks on it. The empirical results reveal a positive medium effect of TPU shocks, highlight the heterogeneity of effects of China’s and Due to the devastating effects of global warming and environmental degradation, coupled with heightened environmental awareness, there is an escalating imperative for the transition towards a more sustainable and greener development. These findings provide significant implications for investment decisions, strategic reserves and policymaking within the REEs and green economy sectors in the context of increasing TPU.

了解稀土元素(REEs)与绿色经济之间错综复杂的动态关系,以及贸易政策不确定性(TPU)的关键作用,可为这两个市场的同步发展提供重要启示。本文通过 DCC-MIDAS 模型估计了稀土元素市场与绿色经济之间的短期和长期相关性。此外,本文还采用 TVP-VAR 模型研究了中国和美国 TPU 冲击对长期相关性的影响。此外,本文还计算了 ΔCoVaR 以量化从稀土市场到绿色经济的风险传导,并探讨了 TPU 冲击对其的影响。实证结果揭示了 TPU 冲击的正向中等效应,突出了中国和全球变暖及环境退化的破坏性影响的异质性。这些研究结果对在热塑性聚氨酯不断增加的背景下,稀土和绿色经济部门的投资决策、战略储备和政策制定具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Intersection of the digital economy, redundant resources, and enterprise innovation: Unveiling the significance of Firm's resource consumption in China 数字经济、冗余资源与企业创新的交集:揭示中国企业资源消耗的意义
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105240

In the era of the digital economy, the significance of green technological innovation for enterprises' sustainable development is pivotal. Effectively utilizing redundant resources is crucial to enterprises' sustainable development and innovation. Given this, we explore the impact of the digital economy and redundant resources on enterprises' green technology innovation. It uses a double fixed-effects model on the enterprise-level data of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2013 to 2021. The study shows that developing the digital economy can significantly enhance enterprises' green technology innovation. The effect is more obvious in high-tech enterprises, non-heavily polluted enterprises, enterprises in the eastern region, and non-state-owned enterprises. It also test the mediating effect of redundant resources and find that the digital economy can help enterprises exploit unabsorbed redundant resources, absorbed redundant resources, and organizational redundant resources, reduce the negative impacts of redundant resources on enterprises, and enhance their level of green technological innovation. It offer valuable policy suggestions.

在数字经济时代,绿色技术创新对企业可持续发展的意义举足轻重。有效利用冗余资源对企业的可持续发展和创新至关重要。鉴于此,我们探讨了数字经济和冗余资源对企业绿色技术创新的影响。研究采用双固定效应模型,对 2013 年至 2021 年沪深证券交易所的企业级数据进行分析。研究表明,发展数字经济能显著提升企业的绿色技术创新。该效应在高新技术企业、非重污染企业、东部地区企业和非国有企业中更为明显。研究还检验了冗余资源的中介效应,发现数字经济可以帮助企业开发未吸收的冗余资源、已吸收的冗余资源和组织冗余资源,减少冗余资源对企业的负面影响,提升企业的绿色技术创新水平。报告提出了宝贵的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
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