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Sustainable education index and copper trade interconnections 可持续教育指数与铜贸易的相互联系
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105316
Yanqiang Lou

The trend in copper trade raises significant concerns regarding global mineral resource sustainability. This study investigates how sustainable education impacts copper trade in China, analyzing data from 1990 to 2021. Findings reveal that a 1% increase in the Sustainable Development Index leads to a reduction in copper trade: exports decrease by 0.14%–0.27% and imports by 0.35%–0.57%, highlighting the negative influence of sustainable education on trade. GDP growth positively affects copper trade, while the official exchange rate impacts exports and imports differently due to currency fluctuations. Urbanization boosts both exports and imports, driven by infrastructure expansion. Additionally, loans to the private sector specifically enhance copper imports. To foster sustainable copper trade, China should invest in sustainable education, promote gender equality in education, encourage green economic growth, implement an effective carbon tax, and provide green loans for the copper sector.

铜贸易的趋势引起了人们对全球矿产资源可持续性的极大关注。本研究通过分析 1990 年至 2021 年的数据,探讨了可持续教育对中国铜贸易的影响。研究结果显示,可持续发展指数每增加 1%,铜贸易量就会减少:出口量减少 0.14%-0.27%,进口量减少 0.35%-0.57%,凸显了可持续教育对贸易的负面影响。国内生产总值(GDP)增长对铜贸易产生积极影响,而官方汇率则因货币波动而对进出口产生不同影响。在基础设施扩张的推动下,城市化促进了出口和进口。此外,对私营部门的贷款也特别促进了铜的进口。为促进铜贸易的可持续发展,中国应投资于可持续教育,促进教育中的性别平等,鼓励绿色经济增长,实施有效的碳税,并为铜行业提供绿色贷款。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of coal mine risk based on BN-ELM: Gas risk early warning including human factors 基于 BN-ELM 的煤矿风险预测:包括人为因素在内的瓦斯风险预警
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105295
Kai Yu , Lujie Zhou , Weiqiang Jin , Yu Chen

Addressing the challenge of integrating quantitative risk data with qualitative behavioral risk information in coal mine safety production, this study, taking gas risk as an example, proposes a BN-ELM (Bayesian Network-Extreme Learning Machine) prediction and early warning method that incorporates behavioral information. By uniformly quantifying behavioral risks and gas data, optimizing model parameters, and integrating control chart technology, this method constructs a coal mine safety situation awareness model. Experimental results demonstrate that this approach significantly reduces prediction errors in gas data (by 0.007), risk values (by 0.01), and safety situation values (by 0.03). This study innovatively considers behavioral risk factors, providing coal mine enterprises with efficient risk management methods and practical tools.

针对煤矿安全生产中定量风险数据与定性行为风险信息相结合的难题,本研究以瓦斯风险为例,提出了一种结合行为信息的 BN-ELM(贝叶斯网络-极端学习机)预测预警方法。该方法通过统一量化行为风险和瓦斯数据,优化模型参数,并结合控制图技术,构建了煤矿安全态势感知模型。实验结果表明,该方法显著降低了瓦斯数据预测误差(0.007)、风险值预测误差(0.01)和安全状况值预测误差(0.03)。该研究创新性地考虑了行为风险因素,为煤矿企业提供了高效的风险管理方法和实用工具。
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引用次数: 0
Does fintech really matter for energy, economy and environment? From the lenses of SDG-7, SDG-8, SDG-13, COP27 and COP28 金融科技对能源、经济和环境真的重要吗?从 SDG-7、SDG-8、SDG-13、COP27 和 COP28 的视角看问题
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105318
Sunil Tiwari , Calvin W.H. Cheong , Loy See Mey , Saji T.G.

This study investigates the impact of fintech on economic development, energy transition and environmental well-being in OECD nations from 2005 to 2018 by utilizing MM-QR and CS-ARDL methods. Results reveal the different degree of positive impact of fintech on the said variables. In this regard, fintech plays a key role in planning, development and management of financial institutions and enhancing economic growth and development in the region across all the quantiles. Moreover, energy transition and green energy management get influence positively through technological involvement in the financial system. Lastly, the relationship between fintech and environment is moderately positive in the beginning and gets stronger in higher quantiles. Fintech facilitates environmental policy stringency, green finance and channelization of various financial sources towards environment well-being. It also effectively integrates economy, energy and environment towards attainment of sustainable development goal-7 (ensure affordable and clean energy), goal-8 (economic growth and development) and goal −13 (Climate challenges, concerns and action) and objectives of COP27 and 28. In light with the findings, several policy implications are suggested.

本研究利用MM-QR和CS-ARDL方法,研究了2005年至2018年金融科技对经合组织国家经济发展、能源转型和环境福祉的影响。结果显示,金融科技对上述变量产生了不同程度的积极影响。在这方面,金融科技在金融机构的规划、发展和管理中发挥了关键作用,并在所有量化变量中促进了该地区的经济增长和发展。此外,能源转型和绿色能源管理也会因金融系统中的技术参与而受到积极影响。最后,金融科技与环境之间的关系在一开始是中度正向的,在较高的量级上会变得更强。金融科技促进了环境政策的严格性、绿色金融和各种金融资源向环境福祉的引导。它还有效地整合了经济、能源和环境,以实现可持续发展目标 7(确保负担得起的清洁能源)、目标 8(经济增长和发展)和目标 13(气候挑战、关注和行动)以及 COP27 和 COP28 的目标。根据研究结果,提出了若干政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Decomposition of factors affecting copper consumption in major countries in light of green economy and its trend characteristics 从绿色经济及其趋势特征看影响主要国家铜消费的因素分解
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105313
Shaobo Guo , Fuguo Cao

Our study focused on analyzing copper resource consumption and its decoupling from economic development in the top 25 consuming countries, using LMDI and Tapio methods. Results revealed a shift among developed nations towards strong decoupling, whereas most developing countries exhibited weak decoupling. Income effects counteracted decoupling, while intensity effects played a significant role, particularly in driving strong decoupling in developed nations. These findings underscore the importance of sustainable national environmental policies, especially for developing countries, where attention to structural effects on economic development and green growth is crucial. Developed nations should prioritize monitoring intensity effects, supporting technological advancements, and improving resource efficiency. Developing countries should pay more attention to structural effects, formulate diversified development strategies, and give full play to the role of natural resource utilization in economic structural transformation.

我们的研究采用 LMDI 和 Tapio 方法,重点分析了铜资源消费量最高的 25 个国家的铜资源消费量及其与经济发展的脱钩情况。研究结果表明,发达国家向强脱附转变,而大多数发展中国家表现出弱脱附。收入效应抵消了脱钩效应,而强度效应则发挥了重要作用,尤其是在推动发达国家强脱钩方面。这些发现强调了可持续国家环境政策的重要性,特别是对发展中国家而言,关注对经济发展和绿色增长的结构性影响至关重要。发达国家应优先监测强度效应,支持技术进步,提高资源效率。发展中国家应更加重视结构效应,制定多元化发展战略,充分发挥自然资源利用在经济结构转型中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the impact of tax-based vs. rent-based funding on the effectiveness of environmental protection policies 分析基于税收和基于租金的资金对环境保护政策有效性的影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105314
Saeed Moshiri , Arian Daneshmand

The necessity of government intervention, particularly through public spending, to address market failure in providing public goods like environmental quality is widely recognized. However, the effectiveness of fiscal environmental policies in improving the environment remains unclear. This paper aims to explore the impact of funding sources for government expenditures on environmental quality. Using a Ramsey growth model, we investigate the consequences of two alternative funding sources for environmental protection: Taxes and natural resources rents. The model highlights that along the balanced growth path, financing environmental spending through taxes enhances environmental quality, while funding from natural resources rents leads to its deterioration. Furthermore, the model emphasizes the crucial role of socio-political institutions governing the economy in understanding the link between environmental protection expenditures and environmental outcomes. To test the model's propositions, we utilize a panel dataset of 76 countries spanning from 1995 to 2018. Our empirical findings corroborate the notion that the funding sources of environmental protection expenditures significantly impact environmental outcomes. Additionally, the results indicate that higher institutional quality, such as greater state capacity, enhances the effectiveness of the government's environmental spending in improving environmental quality. Our findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and researchers seeking to design effective strategies for environmental preservation and sustainable growth.

人们普遍认为,政府有必要进行干预,特别是通过公共开支来解决市场在提供环境质量等公共产品方面的失灵问题。然而,财政环境政策在改善环境方面的有效性仍不明确。本文旨在探讨政府支出的资金来源对环境质量的影响。利用拉姆齐增长模型,我们研究了两种可供选择的环境保护资金来源的后果:税收和自然资源租金。该模型强调,在平衡增长的道路上,通过税收为环保支出提供资金可以提高环境质量,而通过自然资源租金提供资金则会导致环境质量恶化。此外,该模型还强调了管理经济的社会政治体制在理解环境保护支出与环境结果之间的联系方面所起的关键作用。为了检验模型的命题,我们利用了 1995 年至 2018 年期间 76 个国家的面板数据集。我们的实证研究结果证实了环境保护支出的资金来源会显著影响环境结果这一观点。此外,研究结果表明,更高的制度质量(如更强的国家能力)会提高政府环保支出在改善环境质量方面的有效性。我们的研究结果为决策者和研究人员设计有效的环境保护和可持续增长战略提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Blessings or curses? Exploring the impact of digital technology innovation on natural resource utilization efficiency in China 祝福还是诅咒?探索数字技术创新对中国自然资源利用效率的影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105319
Senmiao Yang , Kangyin Dong , Jianda Wang , Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary

With the increasing resource and environmental constraints and pollution, China urgently needs to improve the condition of resource utilization. Digital technology innovation is a powerful tool for resource optimization. Therefore, this paper explores the impact of digital technology innovation on natural resource utilization efficiency (NRUE) in China from 2006 to 2019 with the system-generalized method of moments (SYS-GMM). Besides, we investigate the mechanism and heterogeneity. The main conclusions show that: (1) Digital technology innovation can significantly improve NRUE. Every 1% rise in digital technology innovation causes a 0.024% increase in NRUE; (2) digital technology innovation can indirectly improve NRUE by promoting industrial structure optimization, strengthening pollution control, and promoting green credit; and (3) heterogeneity exists in the digital technology innovation-NRUE nexus, and the effects are more obvious in digital product manufacturing and northern China. The findings enrich the existing literature and provide enlightenment for the use of digital technology to improve NRUE in China.

随着资源环境约束和污染的加剧,中国迫切需要改善资源利用条件。数字技术创新是资源优化利用的有力工具。因此,本文采用系统广义矩方法(SYS-GMM),探讨了 2006 年至 2019 年数字技术创新对中国自然资源利用效率(NRUE)的影响。此外,我们还对其机理和异质性进行了研究。主要结论如下(1) 数字技术创新能显著提高 NRUE。数字技术创新每提高 1%,NRUE 就会提高 0.024%;(2)数字技术创新可以通过促进产业结构优化、加强污染治理、推广绿色信贷等方式间接提高 NRUE;(3)数字技术创新与 NRUE 之间存在异质性,在数字产品制造业和中国北方地区的效果更为明显。研究结果丰富了现有文献,为中国利用数字技术提高国民经济效益提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
A sustainable integration of mining activity in a tourist mountain territory: The case of Germanasca Valley 山区旅游区采矿活动的可持续整合:日耳曼纳斯卡山谷案例
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105312
Marco Casale , Francesca Gambino , Alessandro Borghi , Riccardo Beltramo , Enrica Vesce , Cristina Varì , Marco Giardino , Giovanna Antonella Dino

Every mining activity shows a footprint on the territory. The signs left by mining operations are physical, such as tunnels, extractive waste facilities, dressing plants, but also economic and social, due to job placement, income and knowledge connected to mining activity sensu lato. In the extraordinary context of the Germanasca Valley, mining has coexisted for hundreds of years with the mountain environment of the Alps and with the local population, and has become a fundamental part of local development, intimately connected with the territory and the local economic and social fabrics.

The progressive migration of mining crops at lower altitudes has left behind old mining structures that here, more than elsewhere, guaranteed new forms of industrial and geo-tourism. Similarly, the technological advance and the evolution of mining production, towards a higher quality product, with a consequent reduction in the quantities exploited, led over time to a progressive reduction in the number of employed miners. The resilience of the local population, however, balanced the contraction of work in the mine, transforming former miners in tourist guides and increasing the induced activities, passing from the previous “in house” model to an “outsourcing” model, characterized by external management of mine-related activities. The transformation of old mines into museums has certainly contributed to the development of the area, particularly considering a slow tourism that shows scarce attitude to a “fast and junk” tourism. The challenge is to understand if and how geotourism influence, in specific mining areas (such as Germanasca Valley), the attractiveness of a place.

每项采矿活动都会在当地留下足迹。采矿活动留下的痕迹既有物质方面的,如隧道、采掘废料设施、选矿厂,也有经济和社会方面的,如与采矿活动相关的就业、收入和知识。在格尔曼纳斯卡山谷的特殊环境中,采矿与阿尔卑斯山的山区环境和当地居民共存了数百年,并已成为当地发展的一个基本组成部分,与当地领土和当地的经济和社会结构密切相关。同样,随着技术的进步和矿业生产的发展,矿产品的质量不断提高,开采量随之减少,导致矿工人数逐渐减少。然而,当地居民的坚韧不拔精神平衡了矿山工作的缩减,使以前的矿工转变为导游,并增加了诱导性活动,从以前的 "内部 "模式转变为 "外包 "模式,其特点是与矿山有关的活动由外部管理。将老矿井改造成博物馆无疑促进了该地区的发展,特别是考虑到缓慢的旅游业对 "快速和垃圾 "旅游业的稀缺态度。我们面临的挑战是了解地质旅游是否以及如何影响特定矿区(如日耳曼纳斯卡山谷)的吸引力。
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引用次数: 0
Mining industry development, enforcement intensity of security policy and intra-city development disparity 矿业发展、安全政策执行力度和城市内部发展差距
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105307
Jing Liu, Xiao Dan Wang
<div><p>China, the world's largest developing country, is rich in mineral resources, albeit unevenly distributed geographically. Some cities with a surplus of mineral resources may form path dependence on these natural resource industries, leading to imbalanced urban development and widening development disparities within cities. However, in the event of safety incidents in the mining industry, local governments are compelled to regulate the excessive development of the mining sector and enhance the enforcement intensity of safety production policies. This study, based on the measurement of the Gini coefficient using nighttime light data for 281 prefecture-level cities in China, manually compiled the locations and death tolls of mining industry production safety incidents from 2001 to 2020, established an empirical analysis framework based on the instrumental variable two-stage least squares method. The research findings indicate: (1) Since the beginning of the 21st century, China's mining industry has experienced significant growth propelled by market-oriented reforms. However, it has also played a notable role in widening development disparities within cities. Robust results were obtained through instrumental variable estimation using the standard deviation of urban ground slope as a geographical indicator. (2) The occurrence of safety incidents in the mining industry will immediately escalate the enforcement intensity of regional safety policies, creating a significant inhibitory impact on alleviating the widening development disparities within cities caused by the expansion of the mining industry. In the case of larger safety incidents with a death toll of 3 or more, this impact will become even more pronounced. (3) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the outlined mechanism is prominently present in the middle area, where the mining industry is relatively developed. In contrast, there is no significant correlation between the occurrence of safety accidents and the escalation of safety policy implementation intensity in the economically developed eastern region and the western region with lower levels of infrastructure development. However, in cities with a higher proportion of the mining industry, the aforementioned relationships remain stable. (4) Once a mining accident involving fatalities occurs in a prefecture-level city, local governments generally strengthen the enforcement of safety policies, comprehensively eliminate hidden dangers in production safety. This shift leads to a reversal in the impact of the mining industry on the development disparity within the city, changing from an expansion to a reduction effect. Moreover, this reduction effect persists for five years. In the case of a serious safety production incident resulting in 10 or more deaths, the impact of increased implementation of safety policies also extends for a prolonged period of five years. This article makes a clear marginal contribution to enrich the study on the
中国是世界上最大的发展中国家,矿产资源丰富,但地理分布不均。一些矿产资源过剩的城市可能会形成对这些自然资源产业的路径依赖,导致城市发展不平衡,城市内部发展差距扩大。然而,一旦矿业发生安全事故,地方政府不得不调控矿业的过度发展,加大安全生产政策的执行力度。本研究在利用中国 281 个地级市夜间灯光数据测算基尼系数的基础上,手工整理了 2001 年至 2020 年矿业生产安全事故发生地点和死亡人数,建立了基于工具变量两阶段最小二乘法的实证分析框架。研究结果表明:(1)进入 21 世纪以来,中国矿业在市场化改革的推动下取得了长足发展。然而,它在扩大城市内部发展差距方面也发挥了显著作用。以城市地面坡度标准差作为地理指标,通过工具变量估计获得了稳健的结果。(2)矿业安全事故的发生会立即升级区域安全政策的执行力度,对缓解矿业扩张导致的城市内部发展差距扩大产生显著的抑制作用。如果发生死亡人数在 3 人以上的较大安全事故,这种影响将更加明显。(3)异质性分析表明,在矿业相对发达的中部地区,概括机制表现突出。相比之下,在经济发达的东部地区和基础设施发展水平较低的西部地区,安全事故的发生与安全政策执行力度的升级没有明显的相关性。但在矿业比重较高的城市,上述关系保持稳定。(4)地级市一旦发生矿山亡人事故,地方政府一般会加强安全政策的执行力度,全面消除安全生产隐患。这种转变导致矿业对城市内部发展差距的影响发生逆转,由扩大效应变为缩小效应。而且,这种缩小效应持续了五年。在发生造成 10 人以上死亡的严重安全生产事故的情况下,安全政策执行力度加大的影响也会延长 5 年。本文为丰富中国矿业安全政策效应研究做出了明显的边际贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Energy structure and green productivity dynamics: Investigation from OECD Countries 能源结构与绿色生产力动态:经合组织国家调查
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105309
Ge Bai , Zhiyang Shen , Kristina Šermukšnytė-Alešiūnienė , Dalia Štreimikienė , Tianxiang Li

Aiming to provide insights for nations improving their natural resources management and facilitate smooth energy transition, this study investigates green productivity across 38 OECD countries by employing by-production technology, directional distance functions, data envelopment analysis, and the Luenberger-Hicks-Moorsteen (LHM) productivity indicator. The analysis includes a comparative examination of the LHM productivity indicator and its components, along with an exploration of the relationship between LHM indicator and the structure of renewable energy consumption. The main discoveries can be succinctly summarized as follows: Firstly, the LHM productivity indicator highlights growth driven primarily by technical progress (TP), despite impediments posed by changes in technical efficiency change (TEC) and scale efficiency change (SEC). Secondly, many countries have demonstrated successful attainment of positive green growth, with outstanding performances observed in Ireland and Latvia. Conversely, Turkey, Costa Rica, and Iceland exhibit relative shortcomings in terms of sustainability. Over time, there is a discernible widening gap in green productivity among countries, with improvements in TP being a major contributing factor to the growth of the LHM indicator in most nations. Thirdly, the study reveals that the consumption structure of renewable energy has a positive impact on the LHM indicator. Lastly, the transition towards sustainable energy yields a significant positive effect on smaller nations and those with lower per capita carbon dioxide emissions. This nuanced comprehension of the link between green productivity and the structures of renewable energy consumption provides valuable insights to the discourse on sustainable development and resource reallocation.

本研究采用分产技术、定向距离函数、数据包络分析和伦伯格-希克斯-莫尔斯坦(Luenberger-Hicks-Moorsteen,LHM)生产率指标,对 38 个经合组织国家的绿色生产率进行了调查,旨在为各国改善自然资源管理和促进能源平稳过渡提供启示。分析包括对 LHM 生产率指标及其组成部分的比较研究,以及 LHM 指标与可再生能源消费结构之间关系的探讨。主要发现可简要概括如下:首先,尽管技术效率变化(TEC)和规模效率变化(SEC)的变化造成了阻碍,但 LHM 生产率指标突出了主要由技术进步(TP)驱动的增长。其次,许多国家成功实现了绿色正增长,爱尔兰和拉脱维亚表现突出。相反,土耳其、哥斯达黎加和冰岛在可持续性方面则表现出相对不足。随着时间的推移,各国在绿色生产力方面的差距明显扩大,而贸易点的改善是大多数国家 LHM 指标增长的主要因素。第三,研究显示,可再生能源的消费结构对 LHM 指标有积极影响。最后,向可持续能源过渡对小国和人均二氧化碳排放量较低的国家产生了显著的积极影响。对绿色生产力与可再生能源消费结构之间联系的这种细致入微的理解,为可持续发展和资源重新分配的讨论提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Economic effects of shocks in the coal industry: An analysis based on DSGE model 煤炭行业冲击的经济影响:基于 DSGE 模型的分析
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105315
Boqiang Lin, Zhijun Wang

This paper examines the impact of the coal sector on the economy from the perspective of industry shocks. Existing research primarily focuses on the relationship between coal consumption and the economy. An 8-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is constructed, based on China's input-output tables from 2005 to 2020, to depict the economic effects of coal sector shocks. The research findings are: (1) The DSGE model reveals a close connection between the coal industry and the macroeconomy. (2) The coal sector shocks have the largest impact on the electricity sector. (3) Coal sector shocks primarily affect the macroeconomy through non-energy manufacturing sectors. (4) As the economic development level increases, the influence of coal sector shocks on the macroeconomy gradually diminishes. The econometric analysis indicates that the role of coal is no longer significant in the high stage of economic development. The results of the panel quantile regression model also show the same result. Based on these conclusions, this paper suggests that as China gradually enters a new stage of development, it can gradually reduce coal consumption.

本文从行业冲击的角度研究煤炭行业对经济的影响。现有研究主要关注煤炭消费与经济之间的关系。本文基于中国 2005 至 2020 年的投入产出表,构建了一个 8 行业动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型,以描述煤炭行业冲击对经济的影响。研究结果如下(1) DSGE 模型揭示了煤炭行业与宏观经济之间的密切联系。(2)煤炭行业的冲击对电力行业的影响最大。(3) 煤炭行业的冲击主要通过非能源制造业部门影响宏观经济。(4) 随着经济发展水平的提高,煤炭行业冲击对宏观经济的影响逐渐减弱。计量分析表明,在经济发展的高阶段,煤炭的作用不再显著。面板量化回归模型的结果也显示了同样的结果。基于这些结论,本文认为,随着中国逐步进入新的发展阶段,可以逐步减少煤炭消费。
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引用次数: 0
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