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Ripple effects of coal phaseout on employment in China: From mining to coal consumption sectors 煤炭淘汰对中国就业的连锁反应:从采矿业到煤炭消费行业
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105290

China's stringent decarbonisation, marked by an uncompromising coal phaseout, has induced significant ripple effects across the coal industry chain's employment structure. By utilising a composite methodology that integrates the Global Change Assessment Model and Input‒Output Model, this study systematically quantifies the impact on employment, revealing a loss of 1.6 million jobs in mining and 8.2 million in the entire chain. Concurrently, a labour shift to the renewable sector has resulted in an 18.5% increase in employment, equivalent to creating 508,000 new positions from 2017 to 2020. Projections suggest that renewable energy initiatives could address 25% of the employment gap for precision by 2060 under carbon neutrality scenarios. Nonetheless, the coal sector is expected to lose more than 20 million jobs, indicating the need for a 2.3 trillion-yuan compensation fund. This study highlights the need for policy interventions to facilitate labour transitions through comprehensive retraining programs and strategic investments. Promoting economic diversification and clean coal technologies can improve resource utilization and create new jobs. Additionally, repurposing abandoned coal mines into energy storage facilities or renewable energy sites can prevent stranded assets and generate employment. These findings provide a robust framework for addressing the socioeconomic challenges of energy transitions, offering critical insights for other coal-dependent countries aiming for sustainable development.

中国以坚定不移地淘汰煤炭为标志的严格的去碳化进程对整个煤炭产业链的就业结构产生了重大的连锁反应。本研究采用全球变化评估模型和投入产出模型相结合的综合方法,系统地量化了对就业的影响,显示采矿业损失了 160 万个工作岗位,整个产业链损失了 820 万个工作岗位。与此同时,劳动力向可再生领域转移导致就业增加了 18.5%,相当于从 2017 年到 2020 年创造了 50.8 万个新职位。预测表明,在碳中和情景下,到 2060 年,可再生能源措施可解决 25% 的精准就业缺口。然而,煤炭行业预计将失去 2000 多万个工作岗位,这表明需要 2.3 万亿元的补偿基金。本研究强调,有必要采取政策干预措施,通过全面的再培训计划和战略投资来促进劳动力转型。促进经济多元化和清洁煤炭技术可以提高资源利用率,创造新的就业机会。此外,将废弃煤矿重新利用为储能设施或可再生能源基地,可以防止资产搁浅并创造就业机会。这些发现为应对能源转型带来的社会经济挑战提供了一个强有力的框架,为其他以可持续发展为目标的煤炭依赖型国家提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
The role of natural resources rents and e-government in achieving sustainable development in the European Union 自然资源租金和电子政务在欧盟实现可持续发展中的作用
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105278

The EU transition to green economy and digital transformation plays a crucial role in achieving sustainable development with direct interest in allocating the necessary financial resources. In this framework, the aim of this paper is to evaluate the impact of e-government and natural resources rents on financial and human development as proxies for sustainable development. The analysis conducted for the period 2008–2022 revealed the role of economic growth and e-government in supporting the sustainable development in the EU. However, natural resources rent negatively impacted human development and only coal rents enhanced financial development in the old EU member states. The results could support the new EU policies to achieve sustainable development by an efficient use of natural resources and by implementing digitalization for public services.

欧盟向绿色经济和数字化转型的过渡在实现可持续发展方面发挥着至关重要的作用,直接关系到必要财政资源的分配。在此框架下,本文旨在评估电子政务和自然资源租金对作为可持续发展代理变量的金融和人类发展的影响。对 2008-2022 年期间进行的分析表明,经济增长和电子政务在支持欧盟可持续发展方面发挥了作用。然而,自然资源租金对人类发展产生了负面影响,只有煤炭租金促进了欧盟老成员国的金融发展。这些结果可以支持欧盟通过有效利用自然资源和实施公共服务数字化来实现可持续发展的新政策。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to sustainability: Evaluating the impact of green energy, natural resources, FinTech, and environmental policies in resource-abundant countries 可持续发展之路:评估绿色能源、自然资源、金融科技和环境政策对资源丰富国家的影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105264

The escalating concerns about ecological sustainability have made the consumption of resources a crucial global issue. The speedy growth of the economy is heavily reliant on excessive consumption of resources, which significantly contributes to the imbalance between biodiversity and ecological footprint, resulting in a decrease in the carrying capacity. Both researchers and policymakers strive to enhance the amount of financial capital in the present time while ensuring that the country's economic growth remains unaffected. The primary objective of this study is to analyze the impact of green energy, financial technology (FinTech), and environmental regulations on enhancing the environmental sustainability of resource-rich countries from 1992 to 2022. To address problems with cross-sectional dependency and slope heterogeneity, this study employs the CS- ARDL model. The long-term results indicate that the reliance on income from natural resources decreased the load capacity factor. However, the load capacity factor was improved by shifting to green energy, adopting fintech, and implementing environmental regulations. The utilization of the AMG and CCEMG estimate procedures enhances the validity of the research findings. These findings provide essential policy recommendations for all stakeholder involved.

对生态可持续性的关注不断升级,使资源消耗成为一个至关重要的全球性问题。经济的快速增长在很大程度上依赖于资源的过度消耗,这在很大程度上造成了生物多样性和生态足迹之间的失衡,导致承载能力下降。研究人员和政策制定者都在努力提高当前金融资本的数量,同时确保国家的经济增长不受影响。本研究的主要目的是分析 1992 至 2022 年间绿色能源、金融科技(FinTech)和环境法规对提高资源丰富国家环境可持续性的影响。为解决横截面依赖性和斜率异质性问题,本研究采用了 CS- ARDL 模型。长期结果表明,对自然资源收入的依赖降低了负载能力系数。然而,通过转向绿色能源、采用金融科技和实施环境法规,负载能力系数得到了提高。使用 AMG 和 CCEMG 估算程序增强了研究结果的有效性。这些研究结果为所有相关利益方提供了重要的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization of production, distribution, natural resources and capacity planning throughout process sector worldwide supply chains with various goals 优化生产、分销、自然资源和能力规划,贯穿整个流程部门的全球供应链,实现各种目标
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105187

This study delves into the intricate dynamics of green transformation within global mining and other process industries, focusing on production, distribution, and capacity planning under the framework of the Asian Mineral Vision. By addressing sustainability, resource efficiency, and cost reduction, the research highlights the multifaceted challenges faced by industry participants in achieving green objectives. In addition to financial efficiency, the study emphasizes the importance of customer service quality and responsiveness. To tackle these challenges, we propose a novel multiobjective mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) approach. The model incorporates key goals such as minimizing total cost, total flow time, and total missed sales, reflecting the interconnected nature of financial efficiency, operational agility, and customer satisfaction. To further enhance the model's flexibility, we integrate discrete strategies for plant capacity expansion, recognizing the crucial role of capacity management in responding to evolving demand dynamics. The multiobjective optimization problem is addressed using the lexicographic minimax technique and the ε-constraint method. A comprehensive numerical example illustrates the practical relevance and effectiveness of our proposed model and solution methods, providing valuable insights into improving the resilience and performance of green supply chain networks in the process industry.

本研究深入探讨了全球采矿业和其他加工业绿色转型的复杂动态,重点关注《亚洲矿业愿景》框架下的生产、分销和产能规划。通过探讨可持续发展、资源效率和降低成本,研究强调了行业参与者在实现绿色目标时所面临的多方面挑战。除了财务效率,研究还强调了客户服务质量和响应速度的重要性。为了应对这些挑战,我们提出了一种新颖的多目标混合整数线性规划(MILP)方法。该模型包含了总成本最小化、总流通时间最小化和总错过销售额最小化等关键目标,反映了财务效率、运营灵活性和客户满意度之间的相互联系。为了进一步增强模型的灵活性,我们考虑到产能管理在应对不断变化的需求动态中的关键作用,将工厂产能扩张的离散策略纳入其中。多目标优化问题采用了词典最小值技术和 ε 约束方法。一个全面的数值示例说明了我们提出的模型和求解方法的实用性和有效性,为提高加工业绿色供应链网络的弹性和性能提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The role of natural resources, fintech and economic complexity in sustainable development for BRICS nations: A policy insight from advanced panel data techniques 自然资源、金融科技和经济复杂性在金砖国家可持续发展中的作用:高级面板数据技术的政策启示
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105280

In recent times, ecological sustainability has become a pertinent area of interest for policy stakeholders in emerging nations. The BRICS nations are five nations that have significantly contributed to the world's GDP and play a significant role in the environmental policy arena. The ongoing research has confabulated the interconnections among three pertinent economic policy variables, i.e., NTR, FNT, and ECX, on SGR in five selected nations. The research has used the most rigorous method, MMQR, for the empirical outcomes. The empirical outcomes elucidate that ECX and ENT are essential sources to augment SGR. In contrast, NTR is one of the most prominent factors escalating ecological degradation in these nations. The research has provided a few interesting policy insights; for instance, according to the empirical outcomes, environmental taxes can be used to abate CO2 emissions. However, it is recommended that these taxes must be accompanied by green finance and green credit, which ultimately will help the firms and promote green growth. Green growth is an essential tool for boosting SGR in the chosen nations. Furthermore, the chosen nation must focus on strategies that promote the sustainable use of NTR for a cleaner and greener tomorrow.

近来,生态可持续性已成为新兴国家政策利益相关者关注的一个相关领域。金砖五国是对世界国内生产总值贡献巨大的五个国家,在环境政策领域发挥着重要作用。正在进行的研究已确定了五个选定国家的三个相关经济政策变量(即 NTR、FNT 和 ECX)之间在 SGR 方面的相互联系。研究采用了最严谨的方法--MMQR--来得出实证结果。实证结果表明,ECX 和 ENT 是增加 SGR 的重要来源。相比之下,NTR 是导致这些国家生态退化加剧的最突出因素之一。研究提供了一些有趣的政策见解,例如,根据经验结果,环境税可用于减少二氧化碳排放。不过,建议在征收这些税的同时,必须提供绿色金融和绿色信贷,这最终将帮助企业并促进绿色增长。绿色增长是所选国家促进 SGR 的重要工具。此外,被选中的国家必须重点关注促进可持续利用核燃料循环利用的战略,以实现更清洁、更绿色的明天。
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引用次数: 0
Transparency, institutions, and investment: The case of the extractive industries transparency initiative (EITI) 透明度、机构和投资:采掘业透明度倡议(EITI)案例
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105248

Since the establishment of the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), many resource-rich countries have joined international transparency initiatives. Considering that resource-rich countries have historically preferred opacity, this trend is surprising. Once a country joins the EITI, the country reports on its revenues, contracts, and licenses related to natural resources. The disclosure of information on resource revenues could threaten the survival of the leadership in less transparent democratic and autocratic regimes. In the face of the threats posed by enhanced transparency, these countries maintain their EITI membership, but for what reason? Using newly released data, this study argues that countries participate in international transparency initiatives to signal a favorable economic environment to international investors. This study demonstrates that under the self-reporting mechanism, investors reward or punish a country according to the level of its EITI membership. Based on an empirical analysis of 128 countries using two-stage least squares regression and the instrumental variable estimation in order to deal with selection bias and endogeneity (2002–2015), this study finds that joining in the EITI has a stronger positive effect on the inflow of foreign direct in-vestment (FDI) in less transparent countries, than in more transparent ones.

自《采掘业透明度倡议》(EITI)成立以来,许多资源丰富的国家加入了国际透明度倡议。考虑到资源丰富的国家历来偏好不透明,这一趋势令人惊讶。一旦一个国家加入《采掘业透明度行动倡议》,该国就会报告其与自然资源相关的收入、合同和许可证。公开资源收入信息可能会威胁到透明度较低的民主和专制政权领导层的生存。面对提高透明度所带来的威胁,这些国家仍然保持其 "采掘业透明度行动倡议 "成员身份,但原因何在?本研究利用最新发布的数据,认为各国参与国际透明度倡议是为了向国际投资者发出一个有利经济环境的信号。本研究表明,在自我报告机制下,投资者会根据一个国家加入 "采掘业透明度行动倡议 "的程度对其进行奖励或惩罚。为了解决选择偏差和内生性问题,本研究使用两阶段最小二乘回归和工具变量估计法对 128 个国家进行了实证分析(2002-2015 年),结果发现,与透明度较高的国家相比,透明度较低的国家加入 "采掘业透明度行动倡议 "对外国直接投资(FDI)流入的积极影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Shades of sustainability: Decoding the influence of fintech, natural resources and green ICT on CO2 emissions and green growth in China 可持续性的阴影:解码金融科技、自然资源和绿色信息通信技术对中国二氧化碳排放和绿色增长的影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105275

The term "green growth" signifies an approach toward growth that promotes environmental sustainability and economic prosperity by supporting the preservation of natural resources, energy conservation, environmentally conscious farming, and waste disposal. It aims to distinguish economic prosperity from the destruction of the environment. Similarly, the core focus of the present study is to illustrate the impact of environmental policy, fintech, green technologies, and natural resources on carbon dioxide emissions and green growth in China over a specific twenty-one-year period covering 2000 to 2021. The study objectively analyzes the effects of environmental policy, natural resources, fintech, and green technologies on CO2 emissions and green growth employing the QARDL method. By confirming the empirical outcomes, the research analyzes the reliability of the methodology. The green growth and CO2 emissions models yield distinct results about statistically significant quantile ranges and coefficient magnitudes, as demonstrated by the research's findings. Natural resources support escalating CO2 emissions, whereas environmental policy, green technologies, and finance tend to lessen the detrimental effects. Concerning these results, policy experts should concentrate on green growth to facilitate the inclusion of green energy into the banking sector while reaching the zero-carbon objective by 2050.

绿色增长 "一词是指通过支持保护自然资源、节约能源、注重环保的耕作和废物处理,促进环境可持续性和经济繁荣的增长方式。其目的是将经济繁荣与环境破坏区分开来。同样,本研究的核心重点是说明环境政策、金融科技、绿色技术和自然资源在 2000 年至 2021 年这二十一年间对中国二氧化碳排放和绿色增长的影响。研究采用QARDL方法,客观分析了环境政策、自然资源、金融科技和绿色技术对二氧化碳排放和绿色增长的影响。通过证实实证结果,研究分析了该方法的可靠性。研究结果表明,绿色增长和二氧化碳排放模型得出了具有统计意义的量化范围和系数大小的不同结果。自然资源支持了二氧化碳排放量的增加,而环境政策、绿色技术和金融则倾向于减轻其不利影响。针对这些结果,政策专家应专注于绿色增长,以促进将绿色能源纳入银行业,同时在 2050 年前实现零碳目标。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping the inter-provincial pathways of resources and socio-economic impacts in China's just transition of coal power 绘制中国煤电公正转型的省际资源路径与社会经济影响图
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105273

In the sustainable transition of the power system, China's resource distribution characteristics lead to a distinct geographical separation between the main production and consumption areas of coal and coal power. This separation leads to the transmission of complex inter-regional social risks and responsibilities associated with the phase-out of coal power. Considering the inter-provincial transmission of coal and coal power, this paper constructs a novel two-layer network framework incorporating both coal mining and coal power. This method systematically assesses the contributions of coal power production and consumption to provincial employment and tax revenue, and identifies key paths of inter-provincial impact transmission for the first time. In terms of total contribution, coal mining contributes significantly more to employment and tax revenue (1.45 million jobs and 143 billion RMB) than coal power production (0.69 million jobs and 58.2 billion RMB). Spatially, employment and tax revenue related to coal power are concentrated in North China's production areas and the coastal consumption regions. Provinces like Shanxi, characterized by abundant resource reserves yet low consumption, are more exposed to socio-economic risks from other provinces reducing coal use, whereas economically developed provinces like Guangdong currently benefiting more from coal consumption, should assume corresponding responsibility in the future sustainable transition of power sector. Our analysis emphasizes the need for future policies to consider inter-provincial economic and social impacts, innovating horizontal risk compensation and shared responsibility mechanisms, to secure the interests of resource-based provinces in the just transition of China's coal power industry.

在电力系统的可持续转型中,中国的资源分布特点导致煤炭和煤电的主要生产区和消费区在地理上明显分离。这种分离导致了与煤电淘汰相关的复杂的区域间社会风险和责任的传递。考虑到煤炭和煤电的省际传输,本文构建了一个新颖的双层网络框架,将煤矿和煤电都纳入其中。该方法系统地评估了煤电生产和消费对各省就业和税收的贡献,并首次确定了省际影响传导的关键路径。从贡献总量来看,煤炭开采对就业和税收的贡献(145 万个就业岗位和 1430 亿元人民币)明显高于煤电生产(69 万个就业岗位和 582 亿元人民币)。从空间上看,与煤电相关的就业和税收主要集中在华北生产区和沿海消费区。山西等资源储量丰富但消费水平较低的省份更容易受到其他省份减少煤炭使用的社会经济风险的影响,而广东等经济发达省份目前从煤炭消费中获益较多,应在未来电力行业的可持续转型中承担相应的责任。我们的分析强调,未来的政策需要考虑省际间的经济和社会影响,创新横向风险补偿和责任分担机制,以确保资源型省份在中国煤电行业公正转型中的利益。
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引用次数: 0
Harmony in diversity: Exploring connectedness and portfolio strategies among crude oil, gold, traditional and sustainable index 多样性中的和谐:探索原油、黄金、传统指数和可持续指数之间的关联性和投资组合策略
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105281

The research investigates dynamic connectedness and portfolio strategies among crude oil, gold, global traditional (DJGI) and sustainable (DJSI) indices. The time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) findings reveal that the average total connectedness among the assets is 33.03%, with the total dynamic connectedness index exhibiting a notable surge during two crises and one stability period. The upsurge exhibited a predominant prevalence of short-run connectedness during crisis periods, notably amidst the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war. Conversely, the last and first quarters of 2017 and 2018 manifested as periods of stability, wherein long-term interconnectedness prevailed. Crude oil and gold emerge as the primary recipients of systemic shocks, while traditional and sustainable stock indices act as net transmitters of shocks. The BEKK and DCC GARCH models indicate short- and long-run persistence among the assets. Further, the study calculated hedge ratios and portfolio weights. Our empirical findings indicate that gold serves as a cost-effective hedging asset. Investors should invest more in the traditional stock index than in gold and crude oil to form an optimal portfolio. Notably, the global sustainable index offers results similar to those of the traditional index. Investors in the sustainable index would invest a similar amount for diversification and hedging with other traditional assets as they would for the traditional index.

本研究调查了原油、黄金、全球传统指数(DJGI)和可持续指数(DJSI)之间的动态关联性和投资组合策略。时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)的研究结果显示,资产间的平均总关联度为 33.03%,总动态关联度指数在两次危机和一次稳定期中表现出明显的飙升。在危机期间,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰战争期间,短期关联度的飙升表现得尤为突出。相反,2017 年最后一个季度和 2018 年第一季度则表现为稳定时期,长期相互关联性占主导地位。原油和黄金成为系统性冲击的主要接受者,而传统和可持续的股票指数则成为冲击的净传播者。BEKK 和 DCC GARCH 模型显示了资产之间的短期和长期持续性。此外,研究还计算了对冲比率和投资组合权重。我们的实证研究结果表明,黄金是一种具有成本效益的对冲资产。投资者应更多地投资于传统股票指数,而不是黄金和原油,以形成最佳投资组合。值得注意的是,全球可持续指数的结果与传统指数类似。可持续指数的投资者在分散投资和与其他传统资产对冲方面的投资额与传统指数相似。
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引用次数: 0
From Resource curse to digital economy Harmony in selected Belt and Road countries 从资源诅咒到数字经济 选定 "一带一路 "国家的和谐之路
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105282

This study explores how the digital economy affects the resource curse in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries. Using data from 27 BRI nations (2001–2020) and fixed effect panel data analysis, we find that increased digital access and technology imports reduce resource dependency. Specifically, a 1% rise in computers per 100 inhabitants correlates with a 0.17% decrease in oil rent, indicating digital access aids economic diversification. Conversely, a 1% increase in internet access tariffs leads to a 0.29% rise in oil rent, impeding diversification. Additionally, a 1% increase in ICT goods imports results in a 0.64% decrease in oil rent. Positive coefficients for electricity consumption and population size suggest intensified resource curse effects. We recommend policies to enhance digital accessibility and technology imports, improve electricity infrastructure, and promote renewable energy sources to mitigate the resource curse in BRI countries.

本研究探讨了数字经济如何影响 "一带一路 "倡议(BRI)国家的资源诅咒。利用 27 个 "一带一路 "倡议国家的数据(2001-2020 年)和固定效应面板数据分析,我们发现数字接入和技术进口的增加降低了资源依赖性。具体而言,每百名居民的电脑数量每增加 1%,石油租金就会减少 0.17%,这表明数字接入有助于经济多样化。相反,互联网接入关税每增加 1%,石油租金就会增加 0.29%,从而阻碍经济多样化。此外,信息和通信技术产品进口每增加 1%,石油租金就会减少 0.64%。电力消耗和人口规模的正系数表明资源诅咒效应加剧。我们建议采取政策,提高数字可及性和技术进口,改善电力基础设施,并推广可再生能源,以缓解金砖国家的资源诅咒。
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引用次数: 0
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Resources Policy
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