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Assessment of impacts of critical mineral resources on sustainable transport sector 评估关键矿产资源对可持续运输部门的影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105335
The sustainability of the transportation sector, particularly through the growth of the EV market, has become a critical issue for mineral-rich economies due to the role of key minerals like lithium in EV batteries. This study assesses how expanding lithium production affects the EV market in the top 10 EV markets from 2010 to 2022. Results show a 1% increase in lithium production is linked to a 0.58% rise in EV sales, driven by improved battery supply stability and lower costs. Technological advances in lithium-ion batteries boost efficiency and address range concerns. Additionally, a 1% increase in renewable energy generation leads to a 0.25% rise in EV sales, driven by a preference for eco-friendly transport. However, patent innovation has minimal immediate impact on EV sales, and urbanization negatively affects them due to congestion. Recommended policies include competitive tenders, green procurement, purchase subsidies, and green finance to enhance mineral markets and sustainable transportation.
由于锂等关键矿物质在电动汽车电池中的作用,运输行业的可持续性,尤其是通过电动汽车市场的增长,已成为矿产资源丰富的经济体面临的一个关键问题。本研究评估了从 2010 年到 2022 年,锂产量的扩大如何影响十大电动汽车市场中的电动汽车市场。结果显示,锂产量每增加 1%,电动汽车销量就会增加 0.58%,这主要是由于电池供应稳定性的提高和成本的降低。锂离子电池的技术进步提高了效率,解决了续航问题。此外,可再生能源发电量每增加 1%,电动汽车销量就会增加 0.25%,这主要是由于人们更青睐环保型交通工具。然而,专利创新对电动汽车销售的直接影响微乎其微,而城市化则会因交通拥堵而对电动汽车销售产生负面影响。建议采取的政策包括竞争性招标、绿色采购、购买补贴和绿色金融,以加强矿产市场和可持续交通。
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引用次数: 0
Hotelling rule in non-renewable resources: A bibliometric and systematic literature review analysis 不可再生资源的霍特林法则:文献计量学和系统文献综述分析
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105342
This research aimed to provide a comprehensive mapping of studies on the application of the Hotelling rule in non-renewable resources from 1970 to 2024, identifying the most prominent research topics and trends, key characteristics, evolution, and directions for future studies. To achieve this, the following research questions were addressed using a mixed-method approach, including bibliometric analysis, text mining, and content analysis: (i) How has research on the Hotelling rule in non-renewable resources evolved? (ii) What are the most relevant research topics and trends in Hotelling rule research? and (iii) What future directions should studies on the Hotelling rule in non-renewable resources pursue? A total of 197 journal articles extracted from the Scopus database were analyzed to map the main body of literature. Four main research clusters were identified: (1) theoretical and empirical perspectives on the Hotelling rule, (2) the Hotelling rule in non-renewable resource management, (3) economic policy and sustainability within the Hotelling framework, and (4) resource depletion and pricing under the Hotelling rule. Four key areas for future research were proposed, focusing on diversification to other non-renewable resources, evaluation of policies and geographical contexts, technological innovations and government policies, and sector-specific applications of the Hotelling rule. These directions are crucial for promoting sustainability in the management of non-renewable resources over time.
本研究旨在全面梳理1970年至2024年关于霍特林规则在不可再生资源中应用的研究,确定最突出的研究课题和趋势、主要特征、演变情况以及未来研究方向。为此,我们采用了混合方法,包括文献计量分析、文本挖掘和内容分析,来解决以下研究问题:(i) 关于不可再生资源中霍特林法则的研究是如何发展的?(ii) 霍特林规则研究中最相关的研究课题和趋势是什么? (iii) 不可再生资源领域霍特林规则研究的未来方向是什么?对 Scopus 数据库中摘录的 197 篇期刊论文进行了分析,以绘制文献主体图。确定了四个主要研究集群:(1) 关于霍特林规则的理论和实证观点,(2) 不可再生资源管理中的霍特林规则,(3) 霍特林框架内的经济政策和可持续性,以及 (4) 霍特林规则下的资源耗竭和定价。提出了未来研究的四个关键领域,重点是其他不可再生资源的多样化、政策和地理环境评估、技术创新和政府政策,以及霍特林规则在特定领域的应用。这些方向对于促进不可再生资源管理的长期可持续性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Strategy towards sustainable energy transition: The effect of policy uncertainty, environmental technology and natural resources rent in the OECD nations 可持续能源转型战略:经合组织国家政策不确定性、环境技术和自然资源租金的影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105333
The stupendous increase in environmental pollutants alongside climate alterations are calling for integrated tasks at the global level to meet the Paris Agreements. Energy conversion from fossil fuel to renewable energy sources is an important step to address the adverse effects of extreme climatic conditions. This study explores the key contributors of energy transition in the context of the OECD countries during the period 1991 to 2019. To this end the major determinants chosen include natural resources rents, policy uncertainty, environmental technologies, environmental policies, income and globalization. The quantile regression technique is used to explore heterogeneous role of the contributory factors of energy transition across its different levels. This study applies method of moments quantile regression (hereafter MM-QR) by Machado and Silva (2019) that provides evidence on how the covariates affect the integral conditional distributions of energy transition. The study documents interesting findings. (i) Natural resources rents reduce the pace of the progress of sustainable energy transition in OECD economies. (ii) An escalation in the world uncertainty index leads to an improvement in energy transition index. (iii) Environmental technologies support the transition concerning cleaner and more efficient energy sources. (iv) Finally, as natural resources, uncertainty, environmental technologies, and globalization impacts energy transition differently, their effects need to be rationalized with varying environmental policy instruments. The study concludes that energy transition process requires the task of upgrading the quality of implementation of policies related to energy technology.
环境污染物的大量增加以及气候的变化要求在全球范围内开展综合行动,以履行《巴黎协定》。从化石燃料到可再生能源的能源转换是应对极端气候条件不利影响的重要一步。本研究以经济合作与发展组织(OECD)国家为背景,探讨了 1991 年至 2019 年期间能源转型的主要促进因素。为此,选择的主要决定因素包括自然资源租金、政策不确定性、环境技术、环境政策、收入和全球化。本研究采用了量子回归技术,以探讨能源转型的各促成因素在不同层面的异质性作用。本研究采用了 Machado 和 Silva(2019 年)提出的矩量回归方法(以下简称 MM-QR),该方法提供了协变量如何影响能源转型整体条件分布的证据。该研究记录了一些有趣的发现(i) 自然资源租金降低了经合组织经济体可持续能源转型的进展速度。(ii) 世界不确定性指数的上升导致能源转型指数的提高。(iii) 环境技术有助于向更清洁、更高效的能源过渡。(iv) 最后,由于自然资源、不确定性、环境技术和全球化对能源转型的影响各不相同,因此需要通过不同的环境政策工具来理顺它们的影响。研究得出结论,能源转型过程需要提高能源技术相关政策的实施质量。
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引用次数: 0
End-of-life nickel recycling: Energy security and circular economy development 报废镍回收:能源安全与循环经济发展
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105308
This study examines the consumption of nickel resources in China from 2004 to 2022 and utilizes data from the International Energy Agency as a foundation to predict future consumption and End-of-life (EoL) nickel recycling volumes by a novel dynamic material flow analysis (D-MFA) model. Distinguished from the preceding MFA studies, we highlight the future nickel stocks and flows, and the logistic function as well as linear step-length method are applied to assess EoL nickel recycling under five different demand scenarios and recycling assumptions. The findings show that the share of EoL nickel secondary supply currently stands at 27% of overall nickel demand. In addition, the nickel demand curve under different recycling conditions also reveals a projected gap of approximately 4.4 million tons between nickel supply and demand until 2050. The empirical results demonstrate a significant growth of nickel demand in the new energy battery industry, while nickel consumption in the stainless steel is tending towards saturation. Moreover, although the recycling rate of nickel is expected to keep rising, the consumption of nickel remains significantly higher than the recycling volume, entailing a long-term dependence on imported nickel.
本研究考察了 2004 年至 2022 年中国镍资源的消耗情况,并以国际能源机构的数据为基础,通过新型动态物质流分析(D-MFA)模型预测了未来的镍消耗量和报废镍回收量。有别于以往的 MFA 研究,我们强调了未来镍的存量和流量,并应用逻辑函数和线性步长法评估了五种不同需求情景和回收假设下的 EoL 镍回收量。研究结果表明,目前原生镍二次供应占镍总需求的 27%。此外,不同回收条件下的镍需求曲线还显示,预计到 2050 年,镍的供需缺口约为 440 万吨。实证结果表明,新能源电池行业对镍的需求大幅增长,而不锈钢行业对镍的消耗则趋于饱和。此外,尽管镍的回收率预计将持续上升,但镍的消费量仍大大高于回收量,这意味着镍将长期依赖进口。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of crude oil and gold price volatility and their correlation during socio-economic crises 社会经济危机期间原油和黄金价格波动及其相关性分析
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105311
The recent COVID-19 pandemic has prompted researchers to examine the association between gold and oil prices during different crises. In this regard, four crises have been evaluated: the gold market crash, the European sovereign debt crisis, the global financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper uses the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach to discover five new insights utilizing daily data from July 2006 to September 2022. This research supports the prevailing view in the literature, which suggests a positive correlation between oil and gold prices. We also discover no long-term correlation exists between gold and oil prices throughout all crises. Moreover, the oil-gold price relationship does not work during all times of crises and has lost much of its former predictive potential. A short-term change in the price of gold is caused by a change in the price of Brent or West Texas Intermediate when both prices fall. To conclude, there was no correlation between Brent and gold prices before COVID-19. Investors have been drawn to gold because of the uncertainty caused by COVID-19 and that gold's price is now less volatile relative to oil prices than in the past. Our primary results are robust to alternative co-integration/integration model specifications, the integration lag, and the heteroskedasticity of the standard errors.
最近的 COVID-19 大流行促使研究人员研究不同危机期间黄金和石油价格之间的关联。在这方面,我们评估了四次危机:黄金市场崩溃、欧洲主权债务危机、全球金融危机和 COVID-19 大流行。本文采用非线性自回归分布滞后方法,利用 2006 年 7 月至 2022 年 9 月的每日数据,发现了五个新的见解。这项研究支持文献中的普遍观点,即石油和黄金价格之间存在正相关关系。我们还发现,在所有危机中,黄金和石油价格之间都不存在长期相关性。此外,石油与黄金价格的关系并不是在所有危机时期都起作用,而且在很大程度上失去了其以往的预测潜力。当布伦特或西得克萨斯中质油价格下跌时,黄金价格的短期变化是由这两种油价的变化引起的。总之,在 COVID-19 之前,布伦特和黄金价格之间没有任何相关性。投资者被黄金所吸引,是因为 COVID-19 带来了不确定性,而且与过去相比,现在黄金价格相对于石油价格的波动性较小。我们的主要结果对其他协整/协整模型规格、整合滞后期和标准误差的异方差性都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
“If you don't go to site, they call you a lazy person”: Drivers of women's participation in artisanal and small-scale mining: The case of rural northern Ghana "如果你不去现场,他们就会说你是懒人":妇女参与手工和小规模采矿的驱动因素:加纳北部农村地区的案例
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105327
In recent years, women's involvement in informal artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) activities in sub-Saharan African countries have surged. While many studies have attributed the increased involvement of women in ASM to the rising economic hardship in rural landscapes, a deeper interrogation of the socioeconomic and sociocultural drivers of the surge in women in ASM remains underexplored. This study inquires as follows: has women's increased participation in ASM anything to do with socioeconomic factors, or sociocultural factors, or to both? The study draws on a qualitive case study research design involving in-depth interviews with 67 women miners in northern Ghana, one of the emerging ASM hotspots. It answers the question by analyzing (1) the socioeconomic drivers of women's participation in ASM, and (2) the sociocultural drivers of women's participation in ASM. This helps in identifying the contextual constraints to women's participation in ASM in Ghana and other regions in sub-Saharan Africa. Findings show that the socioeconomic drivers of women's participation in ASM are unemployment, increasing household needs, climate change effect on agriculture, and the quest to acquire physical assets. A key contribution of the study relates to how the local communities' sub-culture, social recognition for women who made it in ASM and marital challenges drive women's participation in ASM. Participation in ASM inures to women's empowerment in the long-run provided the sociocultural, financial, and technological barriers facing women miners are addressed. The findings underscore the urgent need for a robust policy on gender mainstreaming and the creation of a gender-sensitive mining environment alongside formalization of ASM activities in developing countries.
近年来,撒哈拉以南非洲国家妇女参与非正规手工和小规模采矿活动的人数激增。虽然许多研究将妇女更多地参与手工和小规模采矿活动归因于农村地区日益严重的经济困难,但对妇女参与手工和小规模采矿活动激增的社会经济和社会文化驱动因素的深入探讨仍然不足。本研究的问题如下:妇女更多地参与个体和小型金矿开采是与社会经济因素有关,还是与社会文化因素有关,抑或两者兼而有之?本研究采用定性案例研究设计,对加纳北部的 67 名女矿工进行了深入访谈,加纳北部是个体和小型金矿开采的新兴热点地区之一。研究通过分析 (1) 妇女参与个体和小型金矿开采的社会经济驱动因素,以及 (2) 妇女参与个体和小型金矿开采的社会文化驱动因素,回答了这一问题。这有助于确定加纳和撒哈拉以南非洲其他地区妇女参与个体和小型金矿开采的背景制约因素。研究结果表明,妇女参与个体和小型金矿开采的社会经济驱动因素是失业、家庭需求的增加、气候变化对农业的影响以及对获得实物资产的追求。这项研究的一个重要贡献是,当地社区的亚文化、社会对在个体和小型金矿开采中取得成功的妇女的认可以及婚姻方面的挑战是如何推动妇女参与个体和小型金矿开采的。如果女性矿工面临的社会文化、经济和技术障碍得到解决,参与个体和小规模采 矿从长远来看有助于增强妇女的权能。研究结果突出表明,发展中国家在将个体和小型金矿开采活动正规化的同时,迫切需要制定强有力的性别主流化政策,并创造对性别问题有敏感认识的采矿环境。
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引用次数: 0
Natural resources and green economic growth: The role of artificial intelligence 自然资源与绿色经济增长:人工智能的作用
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105322
Based on the panel data of 90 resource-based cities in China from 2011 to 2019, the study examines the impact of resource dependence on green economic growth, the transmission mechanism, and then analyzes the regulatory role played by artificial intelligence (AI). The benchmark results robustly show that resource dependence leads to the resource curse for green economic growth. Mechanism analysis shows that resource dependence inhibits the growth of the green economy by crowding out the private economy and human capital. At the same time, artificial intelligence will exacerbate the resource curse, especially in mature, environmentally regulated, fast-transitioning, resource-based cities in the East. Further research has shown that when the level of artificial intelligence exceeds a certain threshold, it alleviates the local resource curse. Our research not only explores a new perspective on the development of AI applications, but also provides precious recommendations for government departments to break the resource curse and achieve sustainable development.
该研究基于2011-2019年中国90个资源型城市的面板数据,考察了资源依赖对绿色经济增长的影响、传导机制,进而分析了人工智能(AI)发挥的调控作用。基准结果表明,资源依赖导致绿色经济增长的资源诅咒。机制分析表明,资源依赖通过挤出民营经济和人力资本来抑制绿色经济的增长。同时,人工智能将加剧资源诅咒,尤其是在东部成熟、环境规范、快速转型的资源型城市。进一步的研究表明,当人工智能水平超过一定阈值时,会缓解当地的资源诅咒。我们的研究不仅探索了人工智能应用发展的新视角,也为政府部门破解资源诅咒、实现可持续发展提供了宝贵建议。
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引用次数: 0
Could deep-sea mining sustain sustainability? The international seabed authority and the UN 2030 agenda 深海采矿能否保持可持续性?国际海底管理局与联合国 2030 年议程
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105332
Madureira et al. (2023)published a timely article about the role of deep-sea mining in sustainable development – UN Agenda 2030. We take the opportunity to join the discussion initiated by the authors and highlight the known challenges in deep-sea mining discussions using rich, empirical social and natural science literature. Our premise is the following: sustainable development depends on careful assessment of pressing, known issues that need attention. Local problems require context-specific, local solutions to make propositions about the future and sustainability unambiguous and workable. Meaningful discussions on sustainability in relation to ocean and terrestrial mining depend on engagement with a broad body of literature, from anthropology to human geography, policy and governance research, among others. In sum, we hope to contribute to a more comprehensive interdisciplinary discussion on the contested topic of deep-sea mining and its role in sustainability.
Madureira 等人(2023 年)发表了一篇关于深海采矿在可持续发展--联合国 2030 年议程--中的作用的文章。我们借此机会加入作者发起的讨论,利用丰富的社会和自然科学实证文献,强调深海采矿讨论中的已知挑战。我们的前提如下:可持续发展取决于对需要关注的紧迫的已知问题进行仔细评估。本地问题需要因地制宜的本地解决方案,以使关于未来和可持续发展的主张明确可行。对海洋和陆地采矿的可持续性进行有意义的讨论,有赖于从人类学到人文地理学、政策和治理研究等大量文献的参与。总之,我们希望就深海采矿及其在可持续发展中的作用这一有争议的话题开展更全面的跨学科讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating resource scarcity and digital finance solutions for a sustainable future in ASEAN 为东盟的可持续未来驾驭资源稀缺和数字金融解决方案
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105317
This research assesses how resource scarcity and digital finance affect sustainability in ASEAN countries, using data from eight members between 2005 and 2022. The CUP-FM technique highlights that digital banking significantly boosts sustainable energy, with a 1% increase leading to a 0.15% rise in sustainable energy generation. In contrast, a 1% increase in fossil fuel reserves results in a 0.43% decrease in sustainable energy output, underscoring the drawbacks of fossil fuel dependence. Expanding forest areas by 1% correlates with a 0.32% increase in sustainable energy development, stressing the need for forest conservation. Additionally, the presence of SMEs and patent applications are key drivers of sustainable energy, emphasizing the role of innovation. A positive correlation with annual temperature suggests its beneficial impact on green energy. To advance sustainability, ASEAN policymakers should enhance digital finance infrastructure, encourage renewable energy, support forest conservation, foster SMEs and innovation, and integrate climate resilience into energy strategies.
本研究利用 2005 年至 2022 年间八个成员国的数据,评估了资源稀缺和数字金融如何影响东盟国家的可持续发展。银联-调频技术表明,数字银行业务大大促进了可持续能源的发展,每增加 1%,可持续能源发电量就会增加 0.15%。相比之下,化石燃料储量每增加 1%,可持续能源产出就会减少 0.43%,这凸显了依赖化石燃料的弊端。森林面积扩大 1%,可持续能源开发增加 0.32%,这强调了保护森林的必要性。此外,中小型企业的存在和专利申请也是可持续能源发展的主要驱动力,强调了创新的作用。与年气温的正相关性表明,年气温对绿色能源具有有利影响。为推进可持续发展,东盟决策者应加强数字金融基础设施,鼓励可再生能源,支持森林保护,促进中小企业和创新,并将气候适应能力纳入能源战略。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the impact of fintech, natural resources, energy consumption, and international trade on economic growth in China: A dynamic ARDL approach 探索金融科技、自然资源、能源消耗和国际贸易对中国经济增长的影响:动态 ARDL 方法
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 N/A ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105310

In recent times, China's economy has experienced a favorable trajectory, although it remains susceptible to both internal and geographical risks tied to environmental degradation. “Fintech” has played a pivotal role in transforming the financial landscape of China. With the widespread adoption of mobile payment platforms have become more efficient and convenient. The integration of fintech into various sectors has enhanced productivity and innovation, contributing to economic growth. With this context in mind, the main objective of this study is to investigate the relationship among fintech, natural resources, international trade, and energy consumption in shaping China's economic growth. Data ranging from 1981 to 2023 were collected from the World Economic Indicators. To gauge the dynamic relationship among the variables, a dynamic ARDL approach is employed. The findings indicate the combined positive influence of international trade (imports and exports), fintech, and renewable energy use on China's economic growth across various time intervals and frequencies. Whereas natural resources are negatively and significantly associated with the GDP. The study's outcomes prompt the formulation of policies in alignment with these discoveries.

近来,中国经济呈现出良好的发展态势,但仍容易受到与环境恶化相关的内部和地域风险的影响。"金融科技 "在改变中国金融格局方面发挥了举足轻重的作用。随着移动支付平台的广泛应用,支付变得更加高效和便捷。金融科技与各行各业的融合提高了生产力和创新能力,促进了经济增长。在此背景下,本研究的主要目的是探讨金融科技、自然资源、国际贸易和能源消耗在影响中国经济增长方面的关系。本研究从《世界经济指标》中收集了 1981 年至 2023 年的数据。为衡量变量之间的动态关系,采用了动态 ARDL 方法。研究结果表明,国际贸易(进口和出口)、金融科技和可再生能源的使用在不同时间间隔和频率下对中国经济增长产生了综合的正向影响。而自然资源与国内生产总值呈显著负相关。研究结果有助于制定与这些发现相一致的政策。
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引用次数: 0
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