{"title":"Assessing extreme outcomes: the strategic treatment of low probability impacts in scientific assessment","authors":"A. Patt","doi":"10.1080/135753099348067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753099348067","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1999-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129210765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Valuing the future: an application of hyperbolic discounting with time weights","authors":"E. Atherton, S. French","doi":"10.1080/135753099348076","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753099348076","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"117 12","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1999-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120967705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kristine M. Kuhn, D. Budescu, J. R. Hershey, Karen M. Kramer, Adrian K. Rantilla
AbstractA number of studies have shownthat people are typically averse to vagueness inprobabilities. But formanyimportant decisions, peoplerarely have access to precisevalues for either outcomes or probabilities. It has been demonstrated that mostpeople held congruent attitudes towards vagueness for both probabilities andoutcomes, but dimension preference was typically a better determinant of choicethan vagueness attitudes. The present study investigates vagueness effects on therelative weighting ofrisk dimensions for a particularly problematic type of hazard-risks with very small probabilities and severe consequences - using a morereliableand robust measurement procedure. Eighty-seven subjects evaluated hypotheticalhealth risk options whichvaried interms ofthe probability of loss, amountof loss,and the precision with which each dimension was specified. Relevant individualattitudes towardsvagueness and dimensionpreferenceweresignificant predictorsofchoice, and a new indication of an association between dimension salience andvagueness attitude was found: most subjects were more concerned with loss thanprobabilities, and were moreaverse to vagueness in losses as well.1. IntroductionA number of empirical studies (e.g., Ellsberg,
{"title":"Attribute tradeoffs in low probability/high consequence risks: the joint effects of dimension preference and vagueness","authors":"Kristine M. Kuhn, D. Budescu, J. R. Hershey, Karen M. Kramer, Adrian K. Rantilla","doi":"10.1080/135753099348085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753099348085","url":null,"abstract":"AbstractA number of studies have shownthat people are typically averse to vagueness inprobabilities. But formanyimportant decisions, peoplerarely have access to precisevalues for either outcomes or probabilities. It has been demonstrated that mostpeople held congruent attitudes towards vagueness for both probabilities andoutcomes, but dimension preference was typically a better determinant of choicethan vagueness attitudes. The present study investigates vagueness effects on therelative weighting ofrisk dimensions for a particularly problematic type of hazard-risks with very small probabilities and severe consequences - using a morereliableand robust measurement procedure. Eighty-seven subjects evaluated hypotheticalhealth risk options whichvaried interms ofthe probability of loss, amountof loss,and the precision with which each dimension was specified. Relevant individualattitudes towardsvagueness and dimensionpreferenceweresignificant predictorsofchoice, and a new indication of an association between dimension salience andvagueness attitude was found: most subjects were more concerned with loss thanprobabilities, and were moreaverse to vagueness in losses as well.1. IntroductionA number of empirical studies (e.g., Ellsberg,","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1999-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127624470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Occupational burnout in midwives: new ways of working and the relationship between organizational factors and psychological health and wellbeing","authors":"J. Sandall","doi":"10.1080/135753098348167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753098348167","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"50-51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1998-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131986814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
I. Langford, Rosemary J. Day, A. McDonald, I. Bateman, Sarah Moulden-Horrocks, C. Saunders
{"title":"Perceptions of risk of malignant melanoma skin cancer from sunlight: A comparative study of young people in the UK and New Zealand","authors":"I. Langford, Rosemary J. Day, A. McDonald, I. Bateman, Sarah Moulden-Horrocks, C. Saunders","doi":"10.1080/135753098348176","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753098348176","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"62 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1998-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128582914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Clinical protocols and risk management in the NHS: the patients' perspective","authors":"R. Lawton, D. Parker","doi":"10.1080/135753098348158","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753098348158","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1998-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129492584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Valuing the prevention of food-borne illness: some limitations of consumers' 'willingness to pay'","authors":"J. Covey, M. Jones-Lee, G. Loomes, A. Robinson","doi":"10.1080/135753098348185","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753098348185","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1998-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116428529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
R. Wiggins, M. Bartley, S. Gleave, H. Joshi, K. Lynch, R. Mitchell
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: This paper forms part of the programme of work of the ESRC Health Inequalities Programme : DIMENSIONS OF HEALTH OVER PERSONS, TIME AND PLACE. Project Team Heather Joshi, Simon Gleave, Kevin Lynch, Richard Mitchell, Social Statistics Research Unit, City University; Dick Wiggins, Department of Sociology, City University; Pierella Paci, Department of Economics, City University; Mel Bartley, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL and SSRU.
致谢:本文是ESRC健康不平等方案工作方案的一部分:健康对人、时间和地点的影响。项目组城市大学社会统计研究单位Heather Joshi, Simon Gleave, Kevin Lynch, Richard Mitchell;迪克·威金斯，城市大学社会学系;Pierella Paci，城市大学经济系;梅尔·巴特利，流行病学和公共卫生系，伦敦大学学院和社会科学研究学院。
{"title":"LIMITING LONG TERM ILLNESS: A QUESTION OF WHERE YOU LIVE OR WHO YOU ARE? A MULTILEVEL ANALYSIS OF THE 1971-1991 ONS LONGITUDINAL STUDY","authors":"R. Wiggins, M. Bartley, S. Gleave, H. Joshi, K. Lynch, R. Mitchell","doi":"10.1080/135753098348149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753098348149","url":null,"abstract":"ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: This paper forms part of the programme of work of the ESRC Health Inequalities Programme : DIMENSIONS OF HEALTH OVER PERSONS, TIME AND PLACE. Project Team Heather Joshi, Simon Gleave, Kevin Lynch, Richard Mitchell, Social Statistics Research Unit, City University; Dick Wiggins, Department of Sociology, City University; Pierella Paci, Department of Economics, City University; Mel Bartley, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL and SSRU.","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1998-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128530312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"SYMPOSIUM INTRODUCTION Health and Risk","authors":"A. Gray, P. Anand","doi":"10.1080/135753098348130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/135753098348130","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":212131,"journal":{"name":"Risk Decision and Policy","volume":"1063 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1998-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116291657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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