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Demographics of co-ageing complex systems: from infected worms to chess games. 共龄复杂系统的人口统计学:从感染蠕虫到国际象棋游戏。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240932
Cagatay Eskin, Dervis Can Vural

Ageing, as defined in terms of the slope of the probability of death versus time (hazard curve), is a generic phenomenon observed in nearly all complex systems. Theoretical models of ageing predict hazard curves that monotonically increase in time, in discrepancy with the peculiar ups and downs observed empirically. Here we introduce the concept of co-ageing, where the demographic trajectories of multiple cohorts couple together, and show that co-ageing dynamics can account for the anomalous hazard curves exhibited by some species. In our model, multiple interdependency networks inflict damage on one other proportional to their number of functional nodes. We then fit our model predictions to three datasets describing (i) co-ageing worm-pathogen populations and (ii) competing tree species. Lastly, we collect data on the mortality statistics of (iii) chess games to demonstrate that co-ageing dynamics is not exclusive to biological systems.

根据死亡概率随时间变化的斜率(危险曲线)来定义的老化,是几乎所有复杂系统中都能观察到的一种普遍现象。老龄化理论模型预测的危害曲线会随着时间的推移单调上升,这与经验观察到的奇特的起伏不符。在这里,我们引入了 "共老化"(co-ageing)的概念,即多个群组的人口轨迹耦合在一起,并证明共老化动力学可以解释某些物种表现出的异常危险曲线。在我们的模型中,多个相互依存的网络相互造成的损害与其功能节点的数量成正比。然后,我们将模型的预测结果与三个数据集进行拟合,这三个数据集分别描述了(i)共生的蠕虫-病原体种群和(ii)相互竞争的树种。最后,我们收集了(iii)国际象棋游戏的死亡率统计数据,以证明共龄动态并不局限于生物系统。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic analysis of Ebola infection in small zoonotic niches. 小型人畜共患病龛位中埃博拉病毒感染的随机分析。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240298
Sena Mursel, Paolo Bocchini, Javier Buceta

The size of fruit bat colonies ranges from dozens to hundreds of thousands of individuals, depending on the species. While a deterministic modelling approach is appropriate for large colonies, the role of population fluctuations can be all-important for small colonies. From this perspective, we analyse the infection dynamics in small zoonotic niches due to filoviruses, e.g. Ebola. To this end, we perform stochastic numerical simulations and analytical calculations. The inherent stochasticity in ecological processes may play a significant role in driving small populations towards extinction. Here, we reveal that fluctuations can either lead to virus eradication or to sustain infection compared with the deterministic dynamics, depending on the size of the zoonotic niche. Altogether, our findings reveal non-trivial stochastic effects, which can shed light on the infection dynamics in small- and medium-sized bat colonies and help design preventive measures for zoonotic diseases.

果蝠群落的规模从几十只到几十万只不等,视物种而定。虽然确定性建模方法适用于大型蝙蝠群,但种群波动的作用对于小型蝙蝠群来说却至关重要。从这个角度出发,我们分析了丝状病毒(如埃博拉病毒)在小型人畜共患病龛位中的感染动态。为此,我们进行了随机数值模拟和分析计算。生态过程中固有的随机性可能在驱使小种群走向灭绝方面发挥重要作用。在这里,我们发现,与确定性动态相比,波动既可能导致病毒被消灭,也可能使感染持续下去,这取决于人畜共患病生态位的大小。总之,我们的研究结果揭示了非微妙的随机效应,可以揭示中小型蝙蝠群落的感染动态,有助于设计人畜共患病的预防措施。
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引用次数: 0
Prey detection by a stepwise visual template matching mechanism. 通过逐步视觉模板匹配机制检测猎物。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.241042
Jules Silverman, Brad W Taylor

Predators can improve prey capture using a search image, and recent prey provide a visual template with which subsequent prey are compared. Considering trout feeding responses to mayfly prey of different sizes and phenological availability across years, we tested if changing relative abundances (ratios) of prey of the same species, but different body sizes, shifted trout feeding behaviour. For example, we hypothesized that a feeding switch from larger to smaller prey required continuous exposure to the novel smaller prey. The hypothesis that continuous exposure to novel small prey results in their acceptance was not supported. Rather, we discovered that trout identify novel prey using a dynamic stepwise visual neural template prey matching process, which involves the formation of focal prey template based on size or type, rejection of novel prey that do not match the size or type templates and modification of the existing or development of multiple prey templates that eventually enabled recognition of novel, small prey. We also discovered trout store multiple visual prey templates in memory. These results have implications for predator and prey dynamics, optimal foraging, the persistence of rare prey, prey species coexistence and predator selection on prey phenology.

捕食者可以利用搜索图像来提高捕获猎物的效率,而最近的猎物则提供了一个视觉模板,供后续猎物进行比较。考虑到鳟鱼在不同年份对不同大小和不同物候的蜉蝣猎物的摄食反应,我们测试了相同物种但不同体型的猎物的相对丰度(比率)变化是否会改变鳟鱼的摄食行为。例如,我们假设,从大型猎物到小型猎物的摄食转换需要持续接触新的小型猎物。但持续接触新的小型猎物会导致它们被接受的假设并未得到支持。相反,我们发现鳟鱼识别新猎物采用的是一个动态的逐步式视觉神经模板猎物匹配过程,其中包括根据猎物的大小或类型形成焦点猎物模板,拒绝与大小或类型模板不匹配的新猎物,以及修改现有的或发展多个猎物模板,最终实现对新的小型猎物的识别。我们还发现鳟鱼会在记忆中存储多个视觉猎物模板。这些结果对捕食者和猎物动态、最佳觅食、稀有猎物的持续存在、猎物物种共存以及捕食者对猎物物候的选择都有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Directionality theory and the origin of life. 定向理论与生命起源。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.230623
Lloyd A Demetrius

The origin of cellular life can be described in terms of the transition from inorganic matter to the emergence of cooperative assemblies of organic matter: DNA and proteins, capable of replication and metabolism. Directionality theory is a mathematical theory of the collective behaviour of networks of organic matter: activated macromolecules, cells and higher organisms. Evolutionary entropy, a generalization of the thermodynamic entropy of Boltzmann, is a statistical measure of the cooperativity of the biotic components. The cornerstone of Directionality theory is the Entropic Principle of Evolution: evolutionary entropy increases in systems driven by a stable energy source, and decreases in systems subject to a fluctuating energy source. This article invokes the Entropic Principle of Evolution-an extension to biological systems of the Second Law of Thermodynamics-to provide an adaptive rationale for the following sequence of transformations that define the emergence of cellular life: (i) the self-assembly of activated macromolecules from inorganic matter; (ii) the emergence of an RNA world, defined by RNA molecules with catalytic and replicative properties; and (iii) the origin of cellular life, the integration of the three carbon-based polymers-DNA, proteins and lipids, to generate a metabolic and replicative unit.

细胞生命的起源可以从无机物过渡到有机物合作组合体的出现来描述:DNA和蛋白质,能够进行复制和新陈代谢。方向性理论是关于有机物网络(活化大分子、细胞和高等生物体)集体行为的数学理论。进化熵是对波尔兹曼热力学熵的概括,是对生物成分合作性的统计测量。方向性理论的基石是进化熵原理:在由稳定能量源驱动的系统中,进化熵会增加,而在受波动能量源影响的系统中,进化熵会减少。本文援引熵进化原理--热力学第二定律在生物系统中的延伸--为细胞生命出现的以下一系列转变提供了适应性理论依据:(i)从无机物自组装出活性大分子;(ii)由具有催化和复制特性的 RNA 分子定义的 RNA 世界的出现;(iii)细胞生命的起源,即三种碳基聚合物--DNA、蛋白质和脂质--的整合,以产生一个新陈代谢和复制单元。
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引用次数: 0
Animal emotions and consciousness: a preliminary assessment of researchers' perceptions and biases and prospects for future progress. 动物情感与意识:对研究人员的看法和偏见的初步评估以及对未来进展的展望。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.241255
Matthew N Zipple, Caleb Hazelwood, Mackenzie F Webster, Marcela E Benítez

Scientists and philosophers have long struggled with the question of whether non-human animals experience emotions or consciousness. Yet, it is unclear where the scientific consensus on these topics lies today. To address this gap, we administered a survey of professional animal behaviour researchers to assess perceptions regarding (i) the taxonomic distribution of emotions and consciousness in non-human animals, (ii) respondents' confidence in this assessment, and (iii) attitudes towards pitfalls and potential for progress when addressing these questions. Respondents (n = 100) ascribe emotionality and consciousness to a broad swath of the animal taxonomy, including non-human primates, other mammals, birds and cephalopods. Respondents' attribution of these phenomena was strongly associated with their confidence in their assessments (R 2 > 0.9), with respondents assuming an absence of emotions and consciousness when they were unsure. We also identify an emergent consensus of the components involved in a functional definition of emotions. Researchers are optimistic that tools either currently exist or will exist in the future to rigorously address these questions (>85%) and that animal behaviour, as a field, should do more to encourage research works on emotions (>70%). We discuss implications for publication bias and future work in this area as well as ethical considerations regarding animal care and use.

长期以来,科学家和哲学家一直在为非人类动物是否具有情感或意识这一问题而苦苦挣扎。然而,目前在这些问题上的科学共识尚不明确。为了填补这一空白,我们对专业动物行为研究人员进行了一项调查,以评估他们对以下问题的看法:(i) 非人类动物中情感和意识的分类分布;(ii) 受访者对这一评估的信心;(iii) 在解决这些问题时对陷阱和进步潜力的态度。受访者(n = 100)将情感和意识归因于动物分类中的广泛领域,包括非人灵长类、其他哺乳动物、鸟类和头足类动物。受访者对这些现象的归因与他们对自己评估的信心密切相关(R 2 > 0.9),受访者在不确定的情况下会假设没有情感和意识。我们还发现,在情绪的功能性定义中,人们对情绪的组成部分已达成共识。研究人员乐观地认为,目前已有或将来会有严格解决这些问题的工具(>85%),而且动物行为学作为一个领域,应该做更多工作来鼓励有关情绪的研究工作(>70%)。我们讨论了发表偏差和该领域未来工作的影响,以及有关动物护理和使用的伦理考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancement of reactive oxygen species production by ultra-short electron pulses. 超短电子脉冲增强活性氧的产生。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240898
J Tye, O Solgaard, R J England, J V Trapp, A Fielding, C P Brown

The development of laser-driven accelerators-on-chip has provided an opportunity to miniaturize devices for electron radiotherapy delivery. Laser-driven accelerators produce highly time-compressed electron pulses, on the 100 fs to 1 ps scale. This delivers electrons at high peak power yet low average beam current compared with conventional delivery devices, which generate pulses of approximately 3 µs. The biophysical effects of this time structure, however, are unclear. Here, we use a Monte Carlo simulation approach to explore the effects of the electron beam time structure on the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) in water. Our results show a power law increase in the generation of hydroxyl ions per deposited electron with decreasing pulse length over the pulse length range of 10 µs to 100 fs. Similar trends were observed for hydrogen peroxide, superoxide, hydroperoxyl, hydronium and solvated electrons. In practical terms, this indicates a fourfold increase in the efficiency of free radical production for sub-picosecond pulses, relative to that of conventional microsecond pulses, for the same number of deposited electrons.

激光驱动片上加速器的发展为电子放射治疗设备的微型化提供了契机。激光驱动加速器可产生时间高度压缩的电子脉冲,范围在 100 fs 到 1 ps 之间。与产生约 3 微秒脉冲的传统传输设备相比,这种设备能以较高的峰值功率和较低的平均束流传输电子。然而,这种时间结构的生物物理效应尚不清楚。在这里,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟方法来探索电子束时间结构对水中活性氧(ROS)产生的影响。结果表明,在 10 µs 到 100 fs 的脉冲长度范围内,随着脉冲长度的减少,每个沉积电子产生的羟基离子呈幂律增长。过氧化氢、超氧化物、氢过氧化物、氢离子和溶解电子也呈现出类似的趋势。实际上,这表明在沉积电子数量相同的情况下,亚皮秒脉冲产生自由基的效率是传统微秒脉冲的四倍。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating vaccination timing, hesitancy and effectiveness to prevent future outbreaks: insights from COVID-19 modelling and transmission dynamics. 评估疫苗接种时机、犹豫性和有效性以预防未来疫情爆发:从 COVID-19 建模和传播动态中获得的启示。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240833
Komal Tanwar, Nitesh Kumawat, Jai Prakash Tripathi, Sudipa Chauhan, Anuj Mubayi

The COVID-19 vaccine has been available in India since January 2021, although many individuals have refused to take the vaccine for various reasons. Vaccination plays a crucial role in disease control by preventing a substantial number of cases and associated disabilities. However, vaccine hesitancy poses a barrier that hinders these efforts. Our article presents a novel approach by proposing a mathematical model for COVID-19 that incorporates vaccine hesitancy, vaccine efficacy and behaviour compensation post-vaccination. The model is calibrated with COVID-19 incidence data for India from 13 February 2021 to 12 January 2022, using the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. The analysis examines the effects of hesitancy and social interventions through a series of practical simulations. The simulation results show that while COVID-19-infected individuals may have natural immunity, vaccination post-recovery is crucial to reduce cases by up to 64.1%. Social interventions, such as face masks and distancing, remain essential to prevent a rise in cases and ensure effective disease control. The model demonstrates that vaccination, combined with continued social interventions, is crucial for effectively reducing COVID-19 cases and preventing future outbreaks. Addressing vaccine hesitancy and maintaining preventive measures are key to successfully controlling the pandemic.

COVID-19 疫苗自 2021 年 1 月起在印度上市,但许多人出于各种原因拒绝接种。接种疫苗可预防大量病例和相关残疾,在疾病控制方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,对疫苗的犹豫不决构成了阻碍这些努力的障碍。我们的文章提出了一种新的方法,为 COVID-19 建立了一个数学模型,其中包含疫苗犹豫、疫苗效力和接种后的行为补偿。我们采用马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗方法,利用 2021 年 2 月 13 日至 2022 年 1 月 12 日期间印度的 COVID-19 发病率数据对该模型进行了校准。分析通过一系列实际模拟来检验犹豫不决和社会干预的影响。模拟结果表明,虽然 COVID-19 感染者可能具有自然免疫力,但恢复后接种疫苗对减少高达 64.1%的病例至关重要。为防止病例增加并确保有效的疾病控制,口罩和保持距离等社会干预措施仍然至关重要。该模型表明,疫苗接种与持续的社会干预相结合,对于有效减少 COVID-19 病例和防止未来爆发至关重要。解决疫苗接种犹豫问题并保持预防措施是成功控制疫情的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Individual differences in music-induced interpersonal synchronization and self-other integration: the role of creativity and empathy. 音乐引发的人际同步和自他融合的个体差异:创造力和移情的作用。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240654
Adrian Kempf, Pieter-Jan Maes, Canan Gener, Andrea Schiavio

It has been demonstrated that moving together in synchrony to music makes us feel connected. Yet, little is known about the individual differences that shape the relationship between interpersonal synchronization to music and social bonding. The present research tests the hypothesis that this association is influenced by differences in empathy and creativity-two highly relevant factors in many musical activities. We implemented a synchronization task featuring a virtual drummer and measured self-other integration (SOI), a core component of social bonding. We employed a dual-measurement paradigm, incorporating both an explicit assessment (Inclusion of Other in the Self scale) and an implicit assessment (joint-Simon effect) of SOI. Surprisingly, our analysis did not reveal explicit and implicit measurements correlating, nor were they similarly affected by interpersonal synchronization. This raises questions about the assessment of SOI in interpersonal synchronization experiments. Furthermore, we observed no moderating role of empathy or creativity in the association between interpersonal synchronization and SOI. Nevertheless, we found creativity to correlate with SOI. In light of this finding, we recommend placing greater emphasis on creativity as a decisive factor in the study of musical interaction.

事实证明,随着音乐的节奏一起移动会让我们感到彼此相连。然而,人们对形成人际间音乐同步与社会联系之间关系的个体差异知之甚少。本研究验证了这一假设,即这种关联受共鸣和创造力差异的影响--这两个因素与许多音乐活动高度相关。我们实施了一项以虚拟鼓手为特色的同步任务,并测量了社会联系的核心组成部分--自我与他人的融合(SOI)。我们采用了双重测量范式,既包括对 SOI 的显性评估(将他人纳入自我量表),也包括对 SOI 的隐性评估(联合-西蒙效应)。令人惊讶的是,我们的分析并没有发现显性测量和隐性测量之间存在相关性,也没有发现它们同样受到人际同步的影响。这就对人际同步实验中的 SOI 评估提出了疑问。此外,我们没有观察到移情或创造力在人际同步与 SOI 之间的关联中起到调节作用。然而,我们发现创造力与 SOI 相关。鉴于这一发现,我们建议在音乐互动研究中更加重视创造力这一决定性因素。
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引用次数: 0
Rhythmic qualities of jazz improvisation predict performer identity and style in source-separated audio recordings. 爵士乐即兴演奏的节奏特质可预测源分离录音中演奏者的身份和风格。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-13 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240920
Huw Cheston, Joshua L Schlichting, Ian Cross, Peter M C Harrison

Great musicians have a unique style and, with training, humans can learn to distinguish between these styles. What differences between performers enable us to make such judgements? We investigate this question by building a machine learning model that predicts performer identity from data extracted automatically from an audio recording. Such a model could be trained on all kinds of musical features, but here we focus specifically on rhythm, which (unlike harmony, melody and timbre) is relevant for any musical instrument. We demonstrate that a supervised learning model trained solely on rhythmic features extracted from 300 recordings of 10 jazz pianists correctly identified the performer in 59% of cases, six times better than chance. The most important features related to a performer's 'feel' (ensemble synchronization) and 'complexity' (information density). Further analysis revealed two clusters of performers, with those in the same cluster sharing similar rhythmic traits, and that the rhythmic style of each musician changed relatively little over the duration of their career. Our findings highlight the possibility that artificial intelligence can perform performer identification tasks normally reserved for experts. Links to each recording and the corresponding predictions are available on an interactive map to support future work in stylometry.

伟大的音乐家都有自己独特的风格,经过训练,人类可以学会区分这些风格。表演者之间的哪些差异能让我们做出这样的判断?我们通过建立一个机器学习模型来研究这个问题,该模型可以从录音中自动提取的数据中预测表演者的身份。这种模型可以根据各种音乐特征进行训练,但在此我们特别关注节奏,因为节奏(与和声、旋律和音色不同)与任何乐器都相关。我们证明,仅根据从 10 位爵士钢琴家的 300 份录音中提取的节奏特征训练的监督学习模型,就有 59% 的情况下正确识别了演奏者,比偶然识别率高出六倍。最重要的特征与演奏者的 "感觉"(合奏同步)和 "复杂性"(信息密度)有关。进一步的分析表明,演奏者有两个集群,同一集群中的演奏者具有相似的节奏特征,而且每个音乐家的节奏风格在其职业生涯中变化相对较小。我们的研究结果凸显了人工智能能够完成通常由专家完成的表演者识别任务的可能性。在交互式地图上可以链接到每段录音和相应的预测,以支持未来的风格测量工作。
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引用次数: 0
Ecological brain: reframing the study of human behaviour and cognition. 生态大脑:重构人类行为和认知研究。
IF 2.9 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-08 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240762
Gabriella Vigliocco, Laura Convertino, Sara De Felice, Lara Gregorians, Viktor Kewenig, Marie A E Mueller, Sebastijan Veselic, Mirco Musolesi, Andrew Hudson-Smith, Nicholas Tyler, Eirini Flouri, Hugo J Spiers

The last decade has seen substantial advances in the capacity to record behaviour and neural activity in humans in real-world settings, to simulate real-world situations in laboratory settings and to apply sophisticated analyses to large-scale data. Along with these developments, a growing number of groups has begun to advocate for real-world neuroscience and cognitive science. Here, we review the arguments and the available methods for real-world research and outline an overarching framework that embeds key ideas proposed in the literature integrating them into a cyclic process of 'bringing the lab to the real world' (recording behavioural and neural activity in real-world settings) and 'bringing the real-world to the lab' (manipulating the environments in which behaviours occur in the laboratory) that combines exploratory and confirmatory research and is interdisciplinary (including those sciences concerned with the natural, built or virtual environment). We highlight the benefits brought by this framework emphasizing the greater potential for novel discovery, theory development and human-centred applications to the environment.

过去十年间,在真实世界环境中记录人类行为和神经活动、在实验室环境中模拟真实世界环境以及对大规模数据进行复杂分析的能力都有了长足的进步。随着这些发展,越来越多的团体开始倡导真实世界神经科学和认知科学。在此,我们回顾了现实世界研究的论点和可用方法,并概述了一个总体框架,该框架包含了文献中提出的主要观点,并将这些观点整合到 "将实验室带入现实世界"(在现实世界环境中记录行为和神经活动)和 "将现实世界带入实验室"(在实验室中操纵行为发生的环境)的循环过程中,该过程结合了探索性研究和证实性研究,并且是跨学科的(包括与自然环境、人造环境或虚拟环境相关的科学)。我们强调了这一框架带来的益处,强调了新发现、理论发展和以人为本的环境应用的更大潜力。
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引用次数: 0
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