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Corrigendum to “Comparative secretome dynamics of Beauveria bassiana under solid-state and submerged fermentation” [Scientific African 20 (2025) e03080] “球孢白僵菌在固态和深层发酵下的分泌组动力学比较”的勘误表[science African 20 (2025) e03080]
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03132
Ayodeji Amobonye , Prashant Bhagwat , Buka Magwaza , Santhosh Pillai
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引用次数: 0
Performance enhancement of a single-cylinder gasoline engine through hydraulic variable valve actuation (HVVA) system integration 通过液压可变阀致动(HVVA)系统集成提高单缸汽油机性能
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2026.e03196
Dimamu Biru, kumlachew Yeneneh, Bisrat Yoseph, Tatek Mamo
This study was conducted to investigate the integration of a Hydraulic Variable Valve Actuation (HVVA) system into a Lifan 177F single-cylinder gasoline engine to enhance performance, fuel efficiency, and emissions control. Unlike conventional valve mechanisms, HVVA systems are designed to dynamically adjust valve timing and lift through hydraulic actuation, allowing combustion to be optimized across a range of engine loads and speeds. MATLAB and GT-Suite simulations were used to model and evaluate the behavior of various valve spring configurations, including single-valve, dual-valve, and double-spring pendulum designs under dynamic operating conditions. It was found that engine power output was increased by 10%, fuel consumption was reduced by 5.64%, and torque delivery was significantly improved at mid to high RPM ranges. Among the configurations examined, the double-spring pendulum mechanism was shown to be the most effective in minimizing hydraulic oscillations, improving valve stability, and enabling smoother operation at higher speeds. These results highlight the practical potential of HVVA systems for use in compact and cost-sensitive engine platforms, where compliance with stringent emissions regulations and improved efficiency are increasingly demanded. Through precise and adaptive valve control, the proposed HVVA approach is shown to support cleaner combustion and align with broader sustainability objectives. In future work, efforts will be directed toward overcoming integration challenges and refining control strategies to further optimize HVVA system performance in practical automotive applications.
本研究旨在研究将液压可变阀致动(HVVA)系统集成到力帆177F单缸汽油发动机中,以提高性能、燃油效率和排放控制。与传统的气门机构不同,HVVA系统可以通过液压驱动来动态调整气门正时和升程,从而在发动机负载和转速范围内优化燃烧。利用MATLAB和GT-Suite仿真对各种气门弹簧配置(包括单气门、双气门和双气门摆)在动态工况下的性能进行建模和评估。结果发现,发动机输出功率提高了10%,燃油消耗降低了5.64%,在中高转速范围内的扭矩传递得到了显著改善。在测试的配置中,双弹簧摆机构在最小化液压振荡、提高阀门稳定性和在更高速度下实现更平稳运行方面最为有效。这些结果突出了HVVA系统在紧凑型和成本敏感型发动机平台上的应用潜力,这些平台对严格的排放法规和提高效率的要求越来越高。通过精确和自适应的阀门控制,HVVA方法被证明支持更清洁的燃烧,并与更广泛的可持续发展目标保持一致。在未来的工作中,将努力克服集成挑战并改进控制策略,以进一步优化HVVA系统在实际汽车应用中的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the impact of silver nanoparticles on the structure, optical properties, and dielectric response of PVA–PVP blends 探讨银纳米粒子对PVA-PVP共混体系结构、光学性质和介电响应的影响
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03120
F.A. Al-Marhaby , Ahmed Abdelkarim , Roshdi Seoudi
Silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) were chemically synthesized and incorporated into a polyvinyl alcohol–polyvinylpyrrolidone (PVA–PVP) polymer blend using a solution casting method to create PVA–PVP/AgNPs nanocomposite films. Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) revealed uniformly dispersed spherical AgNPs with diameters ranging from 10 to 30 nm, which strongly depend on precursor concentration. X-ray diffraction (XRD) confirmed the semi-crystalline structure of the (PVA–PVP) blend, while Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) indicated specific interactions between the silver species and the (PVA–PVP) matrices. UV–Vis spectroscopy showed a surface plasmon resonance (SPR) band between 380 and 400 nm, confirming the successful incorporation of nanoparticles. The position and width of this band correlated with particle size and dispersion. The optical band gap, estimated from Tauc plots, decreased from 5.28 eV for the pure PVA–PVP matrix to 5.18 eV upon AgNPs addition, suggesting improved electronic transition characteristics. Broadband dielectric spectroscopy (0.1 Hz–20 MHz) indicated enhanced dielectric constant and loss at low-frequency attributable to interfacial and space-charge polarization effects. PVA–PVP/AgNPs interfaces introduced varying properties, while the conductivity spectra revealed frequency-dependent hopping processes.
采用溶液浇铸法合成银纳米粒子(AgNPs),并将其掺入聚乙烯醇-聚乙烯吡罗烷酮(PVA-PVP)聚合物共混物中,制备了PVA-PVP /AgNPs纳米复合膜。透射电子显微镜(TEM)显示均匀分散的球形AgNPs,直径在10 ~ 30 nm之间,与前驱体浓度密切相关。x射线衍射(XRD)证实了(PVA-PVP)共混物的半晶结构,而傅里叶变换红外(FTIR)则表明银与(PVA-PVP)基质之间存在特定的相互作用。紫外可见光谱显示表面等离子体共振(SPR)波段在380 ~ 400 nm之间,证实了纳米颗粒的成功掺入。该带的位置和宽度与颗粒大小和分散度有关。从tac图估计,加入AgNPs后,光带隙从纯PVA-PVP矩阵的5.28 eV减小到5.18 eV,表明电子跃迁特性得到改善。宽带介电光谱(0.1 Hz-20 MHz)表明,界面极化效应和空间电荷极化效应增加了介电常数和低频损耗。PVA-PVP /AgNPs界面引入了不同的性能,而电导率谱显示了频率相关的跳变过程。
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引用次数: 0
From linear to nonlinear models: Responsiveness of house prices to shocks from macroeconomic indicators in Kenya 从线性到非线性模型:肯尼亚房价对宏观经济指标冲击的响应
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03110
Benjamin Kwakye , Alexander Sasu , Stephen Ameyaw , Frank Gyamfi-Yeboah
Previous studies have concluded that models that account for nonlinear relationships outperform their linear counterparts. However, while this is evident in advanced economies, the same cannot be inferred in Sub-Saharan Africa. This paper seeks to show how house prices are responsive to the nonlinear shocks of selected macroeconomic indicators, while controlling for the effects of interest rate and population in the Kenyan housing market. We employed the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model on a quarterly dataset from 2004Q1 to 2021Q4. In the long run, we showed that house prices respond to some nonlinear shocks of macroeconomic indicators, particularly shocks of the exchange rate and the shock of the market index, but not inflationary rate. Moreover, we established a significant negative effect of interest rate and population on house prices. In the short run, we also noted that a decrease in the exchange rate influences house prices negatively. Interest rate, including its lag terms, also impacts house prices negatively. These findings call for prudent macro-prudential policies, more importantly: (a) management of exchange rate and interest rate; (b) give property investment insight and (c) offer effective policy direction in the development and sustenance of the Kenyan property market.
以前的研究已经得出结论,考虑非线性关系的模型比线性模型表现得更好。然而,尽管这在发达经济体很明显,但在撒哈拉以南非洲却无法推断出同样的情况。本文试图展示房价如何响应选定的宏观经济指标的非线性冲击,同时控制肯尼亚住房市场的利率和人口的影响。我们对2004年第一季度至2021Q4的季度数据集采用了非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型。从长期来看,我们发现房价对一些宏观经济指标的非线性冲击有响应,特别是汇率和市场指数的冲击,而不是通货膨胀率的冲击。此外,我们还建立了利率和人口对房价的显著负向影响。在短期内,我们也注意到汇率下跌对房价有负面影响。利率,包括其滞后项,也对房价产生负面影响。这些发现要求审慎的宏观审慎政策,更重要的是:(a)管理汇率和利率;(b)提供房地产投资洞察力和(c)为肯尼亚房地产市场的发展和维持提供有效的政策方向。
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引用次数: 0
Two new unit-interval distributions with applications to COVID-19 and reservoir capacity data 两个新的单位间隔分布,应用于COVID-19和水库容量数据
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03140
M.E. Sobh , Ammar M. Sarhan
Accurate modeling of data restricted to the unit interval is essential across many applied disciplines. This paper proposes two new single-parameter probability distributions tailored for variables supported on (0,1). The models are mathematically tractable and exhibit notable flexibility, with analytical expressions derived for their survival and hazard functions, moments, and parameter-driven behavior. Their single-parameter structure enables closed-form maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators, avoiding the heavy numerical optimization typically required by existing unit-interval models. The maximum likelihood estimators are shown to be global solutions, and the Bayesian framework benefits from the conjugacy of the gamma prior, allowing for efficient posterior inference. The performance of the proposed distributions is assessed through extensive simulations and applications to four real datasets. These datasets were selected to encompass both positively and negatively skewed structures, allowing for an evaluation of model performance across diverse distributional shapes. The empirical results demonstrate that the proposed models provide an excellent fit for all skewness patterns and consistently outperform ten established benchmark models based on standard goodness-of-fit criteria.
在许多应用学科中,对限于单位区间的数据进行精确建模是必不可少的。本文针对(0,1)上支持的变量,提出了两个新的单参数概率分布。这些模型在数学上易于处理,并表现出显著的灵活性,其生存和危险函数、矩和参数驱动行为的解析表达式推导出来。它们的单参数结构实现了封闭形式的最大似然和贝叶斯估计,避免了现有单位区间模型通常需要的大量数值优化。最大似然估计量被证明是全局解,贝叶斯框架受益于伽马先验的共轭性,允许有效的后验推理。通过广泛的模拟和四个实际数据集的应用,评估了所提出的分布的性能。这些数据集被选择来包含积极和消极倾斜的结构,允许在不同的分布形状中评估模型的性能。实证结果表明,所提出的模型对所有偏度模式都提供了很好的拟合,并且始终优于基于标准拟合优度标准的10个已建立的基准模型。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term spatiotemporal trends and population-weighted exposure to PM2.5 in Greater Cairo (2000–2020) 2000-2020年大开罗地区PM2.5人口加权暴露的长期时空趋势
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03150
Gamil Gamal , Naglaa Zanaty , Pavol Nejedlik
Fine particulate matter (PM₂.₅) pollution poses significant environmental and health risks in urban areas, such as Greater Cairo (GC). To provide the first high-resolution, two-decade assessment (2000–2020) of chronic exposure, this study integrates 1 km satellite-derived PM₂.₅ concentrations with comprehensive population distribution dynamics (LandScan Global). Trends were assessed using the Mann–Kendall test, and Sen’s slope was also calculated. We utilized advanced exposure metrics: the Population-Weighted Mean Concentration (PWMC) and Total Exposure (TE). A multi-level classification based on the five World Health Organization (WHO) Interim Targets and Guideline Value (IT-1, IT-2, IT-3, IT-4, and the Guideline of 5 µg/m³) was used to quantify the health significance of exposure evolution rigorously. PWMC consistently violated strict international health standards, remaining 7 to 10 times higher than the WHO Guideline (5 µg/m³) over the entire period, indicating a 100% population exposure risk. Concentrations exhibited a non-linear temporal pattern, peaking around 2010 (domain-averaged peak at 45.6 µg/m³) before showing a decline through 2020. Crucially, analysis revealed that high population growth increased the overall health burden (TE), actively counteracting localized improvements in pollution intensity (PWMC). Robust K-means clustering confirmed that the highest exposure burdens persisted in dense urban cores and industrial corridors. These findings provide quantitative evidence essential for targeted air quality management, demonstrating the urgent need for integrated urban planning and localized policies to reduce the cumulative health burden in this megacity.
细颗粒物(PM₂.₅)污染对城市地区构成重大的环境和健康风险,例如大开罗(GC)。为了提供第一个高分辨率的二十年(2000-2020年)慢性暴露评估,本研究整合了1公里卫星衍生的PM 2。₅浓度与全面的人口分布动态(LandScan Global)。使用Mann-Kendall检验评估趋势,并计算Sen斜率。我们使用了先进的暴露指标:人口加权平均浓度(PWMC)和总暴露(TE)。采用基于世界卫生组织(WHO) 5个中期目标和指导值(IT-1、IT-2、IT-3、IT-4和5µg/m³指导值)的多级分类,严格量化暴露演化的健康意义。PWMC一直违反严格的国际卫生标准,在整个期间比世卫组织指南(5微克/立方米)高出7至10倍,表明人口暴露风险为100%。浓度呈非线性时间模式,在2010年左右达到峰值(域平均峰值为45.6 μ g/m³),然后在2020年呈下降趋势。关键是,分析显示,人口的高速增长增加了总体健康负担(TE),积极抵消了污染强度(PWMC)的局部改善。稳健的k均值聚类证实,在密集的城市核心和工业走廊,暴露负担最高。这些发现为有针对性的空气质量管理提供了必要的定量证据,表明迫切需要进行综合城市规划和地方化政策,以减轻这个特大城市的累积健康负担。
{"title":"Long-term spatiotemporal trends and population-weighted exposure to PM2.5 in Greater Cairo (2000–2020)","authors":"Gamil Gamal ,&nbsp;Naglaa Zanaty ,&nbsp;Pavol Nejedlik","doi":"10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Fine particulate matter (PM₂.₅) pollution poses significant environmental and health risks in urban areas, such as Greater Cairo (GC). To provide the first high-resolution, two-decade assessment (2000–2020) of chronic exposure, this study integrates 1 km satellite-derived PM₂.₅ concentrations with comprehensive population distribution dynamics (LandScan Global). Trends were assessed using the Mann–Kendall test, and Sen’s slope was also calculated. We utilized advanced exposure metrics: the Population-Weighted Mean Concentration (PWMC) and Total Exposure (TE). A multi-level classification based on the five World Health Organization (WHO) Interim Targets and Guideline Value (IT-1, IT-2, IT-3, IT-4, and the Guideline of 5 µg/m³) was used to quantify the health significance of exposure evolution rigorously. PWMC consistently violated strict international health standards, remaining 7 to 10 times higher than the WHO Guideline (5 µg/m³) over the entire period, indicating a 100% population exposure risk. Concentrations exhibited a non-linear temporal pattern, peaking around 2010 (domain-averaged peak at 45.6 µg/m³) before showing a decline through 2020. Crucially, analysis revealed that high population growth increased the overall health burden (TE), actively counteracting localized improvements in pollution intensity (PWMC). Robust K-means clustering confirmed that the highest exposure burdens persisted in dense urban cores and industrial corridors. These findings provide quantitative evidence essential for targeted air quality management, demonstrating the urgent need for integrated urban planning and localized policies to reduce the cumulative health burden in this megacity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21690,"journal":{"name":"Scientific African","volume":"31 ","pages":"Article e03150"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145924991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An integrated computational approach combining QSAR modeling, molecular docking, and ADME profiling for the discovery of selective CYP11B1 inhibitors 结合QSAR建模、分子对接和ADME分析的综合计算方法,用于发现选择性CYP11B1抑制剂
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03176
Mohamed El Yaqoubi , Mouad Lahyaoui , Ahmed Mazzah , Hafsa El-idrissi , Yousra Seqqat , Amal Haoudi , Riham Sghyar , Taoufiq Saffaj , Bouchaib Ihssane , Fouad Ouazzani Chahdi , Youssef Kandri Rodi
CYP11B1 inhibitors play a critical role in controlling cortisol biosynthesis and represent promising therapeutic candidates for disorders such as Cushing’s syndrome and hypertension. In this study, a series of novel analogues were designed and evaluated using an integrated approach combining quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) modeling, molecular docking, and ADME predictions. Multiple linear regression (MLR), partial least squares (PLS), and principal component regression (PCR) models were constructed to establish robust predictive relationships between molecular descriptors and inhibitory activity against CYP11B1. The models were rigorously validated through external test-set prediction, Y-randomization, and applicability-domain (AD) analysis, all satisfying OECD criteria (R² = 0.725–0.772, Q² = 0.701–0.752, RMSE = 0.242–0.310).
Docking simulations revealed that compound D3 exhibited the most favorable binding affinity (−7.45 kcal/mol) and formed stable π–H and π–cation interactions with key residues Arg404 and Leu113, suggesting selective inhibition of CYP11B1. ADME and drug-likeness evaluation indicated predicted favorable pharmacokinetic properties, including high gastrointestinal absorption, absence of blood–brain barrier penetration, and good solubility, with D3 also demonstrating the lowest synthetic-accessibility score (SA = 3.09).
Overall, this integrated computational approach successfully identified D3 as a potent and synthetically feasible CYP11B1 inhibitor candidate. These findings provide a validated framework for the rational design and optimization of new inhibitors with improved pharmacological and metabolic profiles.
CYP11B1抑制剂在控制皮质醇生物合成中起着关键作用,是库欣综合征和高血压等疾病的有希望的治疗候选者。本研究采用定量构效关系(QSAR)建模、分子对接和ADME预测相结合的综合方法,设计并评估了一系列新颖的类似物。构建多元线性回归(MLR)、偏最小二乘(PLS)和主成分回归(PCR)模型,建立分子描述符与CYP11B1抑制活性之间的可靠预测关系。通过外部测试集预测、y随机化和适用域(AD)分析对模型进行严格验证,均满足OECD标准(R²= 0.725-0.772,Q²= 0.701-0.752,RMSE = 0.242-0.310)。对接模拟结果表明,化合物D3具有较好的结合亲和力(−7.45 kcal/mol),与关键残基Arg404和Leu113形成稳定的π-H和π -阳离子相互作用,可能具有选择性抑制CYP11B1的作用。ADME和药物相似度评价表明,D3具有良好的药代动力学特性,包括高胃肠道吸收、没有血脑屏障穿透和良好的溶解度,其中D3的合成可及性评分最低(SA = 3.09)。总的来说,这种综合计算方法成功地确定了D3是一种有效的、合成可行的CYP11B1抑制剂候选者。这些发现为合理设计和优化具有改善药理和代谢特征的新抑制剂提供了一个有效的框架。
{"title":"An integrated computational approach combining QSAR modeling, molecular docking, and ADME profiling for the discovery of selective CYP11B1 inhibitors","authors":"Mohamed El Yaqoubi ,&nbsp;Mouad Lahyaoui ,&nbsp;Ahmed Mazzah ,&nbsp;Hafsa El-idrissi ,&nbsp;Yousra Seqqat ,&nbsp;Amal Haoudi ,&nbsp;Riham Sghyar ,&nbsp;Taoufiq Saffaj ,&nbsp;Bouchaib Ihssane ,&nbsp;Fouad Ouazzani Chahdi ,&nbsp;Youssef Kandri Rodi","doi":"10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03176","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03176","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>CYP11B1 inhibitors play a critical role in controlling cortisol biosynthesis and represent promising therapeutic candidates for disorders such as Cushing’s syndrome and hypertension. In this study, a series of novel analogues were designed and evaluated using an integrated approach combining quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) modeling, molecular docking, and ADME predictions. Multiple linear regression (MLR), partial least squares (PLS), and principal component regression (PCR) models were constructed to establish robust predictive relationships between molecular descriptors and inhibitory activity against CYP11B1. The models were rigorously validated through external test-set prediction, Y-randomization, and applicability-domain (AD) analysis, all satisfying OECD criteria (R² = 0.725–0.772, Q² = 0.701–0.752, RMSE = 0.242–0.310).</div><div>Docking simulations revealed that compound D3 exhibited the most favorable binding affinity (−7.45 kcal/mol) and formed stable π–H and π–cation interactions with key residues Arg404 and Leu113, suggesting selective inhibition of CYP11B1. ADME and drug-likeness evaluation indicated predicted favorable pharmacokinetic properties, including high gastrointestinal absorption, absence of blood–brain barrier penetration, and good solubility, with D3 also demonstrating the lowest synthetic-accessibility score (SA = 3.09).</div><div>Overall, this integrated computational approach successfully identified D3 as a potent and synthetically feasible CYP11B1 inhibitor candidate. These findings provide a validated framework for the rational design and optimization of new inhibitors with improved pharmacological and metabolic profiles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21690,"journal":{"name":"Scientific African","volume":"31 ","pages":"Article e03176"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145924984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impacts of zootechnical factors on Salmonella contamination in swab samples using real-time PCR at the Yaounde slaughterhouse 动物技术因素对雅温得屠宰场棉签样本中沙门氏菌污染的影响
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2026.e03183
Chelea Matchawe , Célestin Godwe , Clarisse Engowei Mbah , Tata B. Ndakoh , Mélanie F.K. Gondam , Henriette A. Essomba , Fadimatou Ahmadou , Manuela A. Baomog , Mélissa Wangue , Séverin Loul , Marie-Chantal Ngondé , Bonglaisin J. Nsawir , Lucy M. Ndip , Marco Galeotti , Edi Piasentier
Salmonella contamination of beef carcasses remains a major public health concern, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where abattoir hygiene and traceability systems are often inadequate. This study aimed to generate context-specific data on Salmonella contamination along the cattle slaughter chain at the Yaoundé abattoir using real-time PCR, and to evaluate the influence of zootechnical factors of slaughtered cattle within a One Health framework. A total of 705 swab samples were collected from live cattle (n = 145), carcasses (n = 310), butchers’ hands (n = 145), and meat contact surfaces (n = 105). Salmonella detection was performed using TaqMan probe-based real-time PCR. Overall, 14.9% (95% CI: 12.4%–17.6%) of samples were positive for Salmonella, with prevalence rates of 5.20% (95% CI: 2.4%–10.6%) in live cattle, 17.73% (95% CI: 13.89%–22.38%) in carcasses, 1.9% (95% CI: 0.52% – 6.68%) in contact surfaces, and 5.52% (95% CI: 2.8% – 10.5%) in butchers’ hand swabs. Salmonella occurrence differed significantly among sample categories (p < 0.05). However, multivariate logistic regression revealed that none of the assessed zootechnical factors (sex, age, breed, transport, origin, cleanliness, body condition, and production system) were independently associated with contamination (p > 0.05). These findings suggest that Salmonella contamination in slaughtered cattle is driven by systemic hygiene and biosecurity shortcomings rather than individual animal-related factors. Overall, the moderate prevalence observed reflects gaps in slaughter hygiene and biosecurity. Strengthening sanitation practices, enforcing Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Point (HACCP) measures, and adopting molecular surveillance tools such as real-time PCR are essential to reduce contamination risks and protect public health.
牛肉尸体的沙门氏菌污染仍然是一个主要的公共卫生问题,特别是在屠宰场卫生和可追溯系统往往不足的低收入和中等收入国家。本研究旨在利用实时聚合酶链式反应(real-time PCR)产生有关牦牛屠宰链上沙门氏菌污染的具体情况数据,并在One Health框架内评估屠宰牛的动物技术因素的影响。从活牛(n = 145)、胴体(n = 310)、屠夫的手(n = 145)和肉接触表面(n = 105)共收集了705份拭子样本。采用基于TaqMan探针的实时PCR检测沙门氏菌。总体而言,14.9% (95% CI: 12.4%-17.6%)的样本呈沙门氏菌阳性,其中活牛患病率为5.20% (95% CI: 2.4%-10.6%),胴体患病率为17.73% (95% CI: 13.89%-22.38%),接触表面患病率为1.9% (95% CI: 0.52% - 6.68%),屠夫手擦感染率为5.52% (95% CI: 2.8% - 10.5%)。沙门氏菌的发生率在不同样品类别间差异显著(p < 0.05)。然而,多变量逻辑回归显示,所有被评估的动物技术因素(性别、年龄、品种、运输、来源、清洁度、身体状况和生产系统)都与污染无关(p > 0.05)。这些发现表明,屠宰牛中的沙门氏菌污染是由系统卫生和生物安全缺陷造成的,而不是由个别动物相关因素造成的。总体而言,观察到的中度流行反映了屠宰卫生和生物安全方面的差距。加强卫生措施,执行危害分析和关键控制点措施,以及采用实时聚合酶链反应等分子监测工具,对于减少污染风险和保护公众健康至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating GOF tests and cross validation for copula model selection 结合GOF检验和交叉验证的copula模型选择
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2026.e03203
Kevin Otieno , Linda Chaba , Evans Omondi , Collins Odhiambo , Bernard Omolo
In dependence modeling, choosing the right copula is crucial, as different copula models can yield distinct interpretations of the relationship between variables. However, real-world applications are often constrained by the limitations of existing copula selection methods, which lack consistency and robustness across datasets. The selection methods in the literature that includes goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and selection criteria, often yield conflicting results, thereby misrepresenting the dependence structure and leading to misleading conclusions. This study developed an integrated copula selection framework that combines GOF tests with cross-validation techniques. We integrated block-based cross-validation with GoF tests, where data was partitioned into blocks of different sizes (K). A copula was fitted on the training set, and its performance was validated on the test set using GoF measures. The selection process was repeated across multiple folds, and an aggregation method was applied to determine the most suitable copula. The approach was tested through Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical study was tested on weather variables in Kenya. The findings show that Kendall-based Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KendallKS) and Cramér–von Mises (KendallCvM) test statistics integrated with stratified cross-validation, when K=5, perform better when the Benjamini–Hochberg (BH) procedure was used for aggregation. The proposed tests successfully identified the true copula and consistently rejected incorrect alternatives, with performance improving as sample size and dependence level increased. The empirical application further demonstrates the method’s robustness in real-world settings. These findings demonstrate that the proposed approach enhances the reliability and stability of copula selection.
在依赖建模中,选择正确的联结模型是至关重要的,因为不同的联结模型可以对变量之间的关系产生不同的解释。然而,现实世界的应用经常受到现有的copula选择方法的限制,这些方法缺乏跨数据集的一致性和鲁棒性。文献中的选择方法包括拟合优度(GoF)检验和选择标准,往往产生相互矛盾的结果,从而歪曲了依赖结构并导致误导性结论。本研究开发了一个综合的copula选择框架,将GOF测试与交叉验证技术相结合。我们将基于块的交叉验证与GoF测试相结合,其中数据被划分为不同大小(K)的块。在训练集上拟合了一个copula,并使用GoF度量在测试集上验证了其性能。选择过程在多个折叠中重复进行,并采用聚集法确定最合适的copula。通过蒙特卡洛模拟对该方法进行了测试,并对肯尼亚的天气变量进行了实证研究。结果表明,当K=5时,使用Benjamini-Hochberg (BH)程序进行聚合时,Kendall-based Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KendallKS)和cram - von Mises (KendallCvM)检验统计量与分层交叉验证相结合,表现更好。所提出的测试成功地识别了真正的联结,并始终拒绝不正确的替代方案,随着样本量和依赖程度的增加,性能也在提高。实证应用进一步证明了该方法在现实世界中的鲁棒性。这些结果表明,该方法提高了交配体选择的可靠性和稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Structure-based design and computational evaluation of new acrylamide derivatives as potent inhibitors of human dihydroorotate dehydrogenase for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis 新型丙烯酰胺衍生物作为治疗类风湿关节炎的人二氢羟酸脱氢酶有效抑制剂的结构设计和计算评价
IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2026.e03190
Rachid Haloui , Amine Ballari , Khadija Khaddam Allah , Ayoub El-Mrabet , Abdelmoula El Abbouchi , Samir Chtita , Ahmed Mazzah , Amal Haoudi , Souad Elkhattabi
Human dihydroorotate dehydrogenase (DHODH) is a therapeutic target for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The development of new DHODH inhibitors could facilitate the discovery of a drug for RA therapy and contribute to sustainable health by promoting the design of safer and more efficient treatments. Using 3D-QSAR modeling techniques, we established a quantitative relationship between the DHODH inhibitory activity of 35 acrylamide derivatives (M1-M35) and their molecular fields. This model guided the design of 22 new acrylamide-based molecules (P1-P22) predicted to exhibit higher activity than M35, the most active in the initial database. The designed molecules were then docked into the DHODH active site, and the resulting complexes were evaluated using MM-GBSA free binding energy calculations. These analyses identified P4, P11, and P18 as the most DHODH inhibitors with docking scores and binding free energies superior to those of M35. The ADMET properties of the P4, P11, and P18 molecules were also predicted. The results show that they have good pharmacokinetic properties and are non-toxic. The molecular dynamics simulations of both free DHODH and its complexes with the best candidates confirmed the stability and validity of the obtained results. Finally, molecules P4, P11, and P18 show excellent capacity to inhibit the DHODH protein for the treatment of RA.
人二氢乙酸脱氢酶(DHODH)是治疗类风湿性关节炎(RA)的治疗靶点。新的DHODH抑制剂的开发可以促进RA治疗药物的发现,并通过促进设计更安全和更有效的治疗方法来促进可持续健康。利用3D-QSAR建模技术,我们建立了35种丙烯酰胺衍生物(M1-M35)的DHODH抑制活性与其分子场之间的定量关系。该模型指导了22个新的丙烯酰胺基分子(P1-P22)的设计,预计它们的活性高于初始数据库中活性最高的M35。然后将设计的分子对接到DHODH活性位点,并使用MM-GBSA自由结合能计算对所得到的配合物进行评估。这些分析发现,P4、P11和P18是对接分数和结合自由能最高的DHODH抑制剂,其结合自由能优于M35。预测了P4、P11和P18分子的ADMET性质。结果表明,它们具有良好的药动学性质,无毒。通过对游离DHODH及其配合物的分子动力学模拟,验证了所得结果的稳定性和有效性。最后,分子P4, P11和P18表现出良好的抑制DHODH蛋白治疗RA的能力。
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