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Benefits of a Pragmatic Approach: Rethinking Measurement Invariance and Composite Scores in Cross-Cultural Research 实用主义方法的好处:重新思考跨文化研究中的测量不变性和综合分数
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251405869
Christopher Bratt
Can aggregated composite scores be used to compare countries or other groups despite measurement non-invariance? We propose a pragmatic approach, emphasizing that measurement invariance is valuable but not strictly necessary for all such comparisons. For descriptive analyses of group differences, composite scores may outperform factor-analytic approaches, because they are more intuitive and can capture multiple dimensions. Using data from the European Social Survey (39 countries, 11 measurement occasions, 546,954 respondents), we examined social and political trust. Composite scores aggregated to the country level were practically indistinguishable from countries’ factor scores based on approximate measurement invariance testing. We conclude that composite scores can suffice for simple group comparisons, though their suitability depends on the data. They can, however, underestimate uncertainty, producing overly narrow confidence intervals. We further show that measurement invariance does not guarantee measurement equivalence. Finally, we highlight how researchers can leverage data even if measurement invariance fails.
尽管测量的非不变性,聚合的综合分数是否可以用于比较国家或其他群体?我们提出了一种实用的方法,强调测量不变性是有价值的,但并非所有此类比较的严格必要条件。对于群体差异的描述性分析,综合评分可能优于因素分析方法,因为它们更直观,可以捕获多个维度。使用来自欧洲社会调查(39个国家,11个测量场合,546,954名受访者)的数据,我们检查了社会和政治信任。汇总到国家一级的综合得分实际上与基于近似测量不变性检验的国家因素得分难以区分。我们的结论是,综合分数可以满足简单的组比较,虽然他们的适用性取决于数据。然而,他们可能低估了不确定性,产生了过于狭窄的置信区间。我们进一步证明了测量不变性不能保证测量等价。最后,我们强调了即使测量不变性失败,研究人员如何利用数据。
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引用次数: 0
An Ordinal Item Response Model for Understanding Attitudes 理解态度的有序项目反应模型
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251403078
Ingrid Mauerer, Gerhard Tutz
We present an item response model for ordinal public opinion data to understand individual-level variation in attitudes as a function of covariates. The approach allows investigating how individuals (or population subgroups) differ in substantive stances and attitude strength. It is a two-dimensional partial credit model that incorporates covariates linked to attitude direction and strength into the basic model. We exemplify the types of substantive insights into heterogeneity that can be obtained from the approach but not from existing models with two applications: attitudes toward gender equality (European Values Study) and the evaluation of presidential candidates (American National Election Study).
我们提出了一个有序民意数据的项目反应模型,以理解个人层面的态度变化作为协变量的函数。该方法允许调查个人(或人口子群体)在实质性立场和态度强度方面的差异。它是一个二维部分信用模型,在基本模型中加入了与态度方向和强度相关的协变量。我们举例说明了可以从该方法中获得但不能从现有模型中获得的对异质性的实质性见解的类型,包括两个应用:对性别平等的态度(欧洲价值观研究)和对总统候选人的评价(美国全国选举研究)。
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引用次数: 0
Using Focus Groups for Process Tracing: Leveraging Group Discussions for Causal Inference 使用焦点小组进行过程跟踪:利用小组讨论进行因果推理
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251398031
Laura López-Pérez, Mayra Ortiz Ocaña
In the social sciences, most process tracing evidence is gathered through individual or atomized sources. However, there are some cases in which individualized data collection methods are not enough to capture collective social processes. We propose using focus groups for process tracing (FGFPT) to gather and analyze qualitative evidence about causal processes and mechanisms by leveraging interaction and discussions. We present three key benefits of using FGFPT: instant fact-checking, obtaining mechanistic evidence through the interactive process, and enhancing participants’ collective agency. Additionally, we propose general guidelines for designing and implementing focus groups with the aim of process tracing: specifying observable implications, forming the focus group, question design, and training the moderator. Focus groups can be the most adequate data collection method to support and enhance process tracing exercises for collective phenomena.
在社会科学中,大多数追踪证据的过程是通过个人或原子来源收集的。然而,在某些情况下,个性化的数据收集方法不足以捕捉集体的社会过程。我们建议使用焦点小组进行过程追踪(FGFPT),通过互动和讨论来收集和分析因果过程和机制的定性证据。我们提出了使用FGFPT的三个主要好处:即时事实核查,通过互动过程获得机械证据,增强参与者的集体能动性。此外,我们提出了设计和实施焦点小组的一般指导方针,目的是跟踪过程:指定可观察的含义,形成焦点小组,问题设计和培训主持人。焦点小组是支持和加强对集体现象的过程追踪工作的最适当的数据收集方法。
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引用次数: 0
Two-sample Age-period-cohort Models 双样本年龄-时期-队列模型
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251376509
Bent Nielsen
Age-period-cohort analysis is often done in the context of two samples. This could be samples for women and men or for two countries. It is of interest to ask if some time effects could be common across samples. We clarify how the well-known age-period-cohort problem for one sample carries over to the two sample situation. This is done through a reparametrization in terms of parameters that are invariant to the identification issues. The new parametrization shows which hypotheses can be tested and their degrees of freedom. Testable hypotheses can be formulated for non-linear effects, but not for the linear parts of the individual time effects. This conclusion remains when imposing cross-sample restrictions. The analysis is extended to the mixed frequency situation where age and period are measured at different scales. As an empirical illustration a study of Swiss suicide rates is revisited.
年龄-时期-队列分析通常在两个样本的背景下进行。这可以是女性和男性的样本,也可以是两个国家的样本。有趣的是,如果某些时间效应在样本中是共同的。我们阐明了一个样本的众所周知的年龄-时期-队列问题如何延续到两个样本的情况。这是通过参数的重新参数化来完成的,这些参数对于识别问题是不变的。新的参数化显示了哪些假设可以被检验,以及它们的自由度。可以为非线性效应制定可检验的假设,但不能为个别时间效应的线性部分制定。当施加交叉样本限制时,这一结论仍然有效。将分析推广到不同尺度上测量年龄和周期的混合频率情况。作为一个实证说明,瑞士自杀率的研究被重新审视。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges in Multilevel Modelling: Cross-Group Measurement Noninvariance and Measurement Errors. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study 多层次建模的挑战:跨组测量不变性和测量误差。蒙特卡罗模拟研究
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251379459
Artur Pokropek, Tomasz Żółtak, Eldad Davidov, Bart Meuleman, Peter Schmidt
Multilevel modelling (MM) is widely utilized in the social sciences, with over 20% of articles in leading sociological journals employing this technique. Despite its prevalence, few studies address whether the variables used in MM are invariant across groups or allow to construct reliable indicators. This study investigates the effects of both measurement noninvariance and random measurement error on MM using Monte Carlo simulations. Our findings reveal significant biases in MM results when random measurement errors are overlooked. Attaining high reliability in the indicators – above 0.94 – can mitigate these biases. While measurement noninvariance introduces bias in MM, its impact is smaller compared to that of the bias caused by unaddressed measurement error. Multilevel structural equation modelling (SEM), which controls for random measurement errors, performs effectively in complete measurement invariance (MI) scenarios. However, the absence of MI can create significant challenges. While multilevel SEM is a powerful analytical tool, it is not immune to the effects of MI assumption violations.
多层次建模(MM)在社会科学中被广泛应用,超过20%的主要社会学期刊文章采用了这种技术。尽管它很流行,但很少有研究解决MM中使用的变量是否在群体中不变或允许构建可靠的指标。本研究利用蒙特卡罗模拟研究了测量不变性和随机测量误差对MM的影响。我们的研究结果显示,当随机测量误差被忽略时,MM结果显着偏差。在指标中获得高可靠性(高于0.94)可以减轻这些偏差。虽然测量不变性在MM中引入了偏差,但与未解决的测量误差引起的偏差相比,其影响较小。多层结构方程模型(SEM)能够有效地控制随机测量误差,在完全测量不变性(MI)情况下表现良好。然而,MI的缺失可能会带来重大挑战。虽然多层扫描电镜是一种强大的分析工具,但它也不能避免MI假设违反的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the Diagonal Reference Model: Critiques and New Directions in the Analysis of Mobility Effects 超越对角参考模型:流动性效应分析的批评与新方向
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-10-04 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251358895
Ethan Fosse, Fabian T. Pfeffer
Over the past decade there has been a striking increase in the number of quantitative studies examining the effects of social mobility, with almost all based on the diagonal reference model (DRM). We make four main contributions to this rapidly expanding literature. First, we show that under plausible values of mobility effects, the DRM will, in many cases, implicitly force the underlying mobility linear effect toward zero. In addition, we show both mathematically and through simulations that the mobility effects estimated by the DRM are sensitive to the size and sign of the origin and destination linear effects, often in ways that are unlikely to be intuitive to applied researchers. This finding clarifies why, contrary to expectations, applied researchers have generally found mixed evidence of mobility effects. Second, we generalize the identification problem of conventional mobility effect models by showing that the DRM and related methods can be viewed as special cases of a bounding analysis, where identification is achieved by invoking extremely strong assumptions. Finally, and importantly, we present a new framework for the analysis of mobility tables based on the identification and estimation of joint parameter sets, introducing what we call the structural and dynamic inequality model. We show that this model is fully identified, relies on much weaker assumptions than conventional models of mobility effects, and can be treated both as a descriptive model and, if additional assumptions are invoked, as a causal model. We conclude with an agenda for further research on the consequences of socioeconomic mobility.
在过去的十年里,关于社会流动性影响的定量研究有了惊人的增长,这些研究几乎都是基于对角线参考模型(DRM)。我们对这一迅速发展的文学做出了四个主要贡献。首先,我们表明,在流动性效应的合理值下,在许多情况下,DRM将隐含地迫使潜在的流动性线性效应趋近于零。此外,我们通过数学和模拟表明,DRM估计的流动性效应对原点和目的地线性效应的大小和符号很敏感,通常以应用研究人员不太可能直观的方式。这一发现澄清了为什么与预期相反,应用研究人员通常会发现流动性影响的混合证据。其次,我们推广了传统迁移效应模型的识别问题,表明DRM和相关方法可以被视为边界分析的特殊情况,其中识别是通过调用极强的假设来实现的。最后,重要的是,我们提出了一个基于关节参数集识别和估计的迁移表分析的新框架,引入了我们所谓的结构和动态不等式模型。我们表明,这个模型是完全确定的,依赖于比流动性效应的传统模型弱得多的假设,可以作为一个描述性模型,如果调用额外的假设,作为一个因果模型。最后,我们提出了进一步研究社会经济流动性后果的议程。
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引用次数: 0
Causal Duration Analysis Based on Survival Probability Ratio 基于生存概率比的因果持续时间分析
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251382457
Jin-young Choi, Rangmi Myung, Myoung-jae Lee
For causal effects of a binary treatment on a right-censored duration, the widely used proportional hazard contrasts are non-causal with unrealistic restrictions. This article proposes an alternative flexible causal approach, where we estimate the cumulative hazard, not the hazard itself, using an additive or “exponential-additive” specification with freely time-varying parameters. Our approach includes the proportional hazard as a highly special case that allows only monotonic survival probability ratios (SPR’s), while our approach allows any shape of SPR’s. An empirical analysis on recidivism using the duration until re-arrest after prison release on parole/probation is provided, where the SPR trajectory is not monotonic, but has an inverted-U shape over time.
对于二元治疗对右审查持续时间的因果效应,广泛使用的比例风险对比是非因果的,具有不切实际的限制。本文提出了另一种灵活的因果方法,其中我们使用具有自由时变参数的加性或“指数加性”规范来估计累积危害,而不是危害本身。我们的方法包括比例风险作为一个高度特殊的情况,只允许单调生存概率比(SPR),而我们的方法允许任何形状的SPR。利用假释/缓刑释放后再逮捕时间对累犯进行实证分析,SPR轨迹不是单调的,而是随时间呈倒u形。
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引用次数: 0
Migration Status Gradients in Immigrant Poverty: A Comparison of Imputation Methods 移民贫困的移民身份梯度:一种估算方法的比较
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251379461
Cody Spence, James D. Bachmeier, Claire E. Altman, Jennifer Van Hook, Kendal Lowrey
Research on the stratifying effects of migration status has increased sharply in the last two decades, although efforts have been hampered by the near absence of representative data that include detailed migration status measures. Researchers have developed various statistical and logical imputation methods that have produced widely varying estimates. In this article, we introduce a new indicator of migration status constructed from two federal surveys matched to the Social Security Administration's Numident file, a database that includes all citizens and legal residents of the United States. In models predicting poverty, our measure produces estimates comparable to those based on respondents’ own self-reports, in one federal survey, of their migration status. Both the administrative and survey-based measures produce poverty gradients that diverge from those produced by logic-based measures. Our findings contribute to mounting evidence of bias in the use of certain kinds of logic-based algorithms to impute migration status and demonstrate the promise of administrative record linkages in migration status research.
在过去二十年中,关于移徙地位的分层影响的研究急剧增加,尽管由于几乎缺乏包括详细移徙地位措施的代表性数据,研究工作受到阻碍。研究人员开发了各种统计和逻辑推算方法,产生了差异很大的估计。在本文中,我们介绍了一个新的移民状态指标,该指标是根据与社会保障管理局的Numident文件相匹配的两项联邦调查构建的,Numident文件是一个包含美国所有公民和合法居民的数据库。在预测贫困的模型中,我们的方法得出的估计值与一项联邦调查中基于受访者自我报告的移民状况的估计值相当。行政措施和基于调查的措施产生的贫困梯度与基于逻辑的措施产生的梯度不同。我们的研究结果有助于提供越来越多的证据,证明在使用某些基于逻辑的算法来推断迁移状态时存在偏见,并展示了迁移状态研究中行政记录联系的前景。
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引用次数: 0
Causal Inference for Latent Markov Models Using the Parametric G-Formula 基于参数g公式的潜马尔可夫模型的因果推理
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251377068
Felix J. Clouth, Maarten J. Bijlsma, Steffen Pauws, Jeroen K. Vermunt
The parametric g-formula can be used to estimate causal effects of time-varying exposures on observable outcomes. It resolves intermediate confounding in such settings by specifying several parametric models, one each for every time-varying variable, and by performing micro-simulations. However, its restriction to applications with observable outcomes limits its usability for social sciences where variables of interest are often unobservable constructs. In such cases, measurement models are needed. We propose a new approach utilizing bias-adjusted three-step latent Markov models (LMMs) within the parametric g-formula. LMMs estimate the probability of membership in an unobservable state conditional on observed indicator variables. By replacing the parametric models in the g-formula with LMMs, micro-simulations are performed as usual to estimate a causal effect of the time-varying exposure. We illustrate this new approach by estimating the average treatment effect of unemployment on several unobservable mental health states utilizing longitudinal data from the Longitudinal Internet studies for the Social Sciences panel.
参数g公式可用于估计时变暴露对可观察结果的因果影响。它通过指定几个参数模型来解决这种设置中的中间混淆,每个参数模型对应一个时变变量,并通过执行微观模拟。然而,它对具有可观察结果的应用程序的限制限制了它在社会科学中的可用性,其中感兴趣的变量通常是不可观察的结构。在这种情况下,需要度量模型。我们提出了一种利用参数g公式内偏差调整的三步潜马尔可夫模型(lmm)的新方法。lmm估计隶属于不可观测状态的概率,条件是观察到的指标变量。通过用lmm代替g公式中的参数模型,像往常一样进行微观模拟以估计时变暴露的因果效应。我们通过利用社会科学小组纵向互联网研究的纵向数据估计失业对几种不可观察的心理健康状态的平均治疗效果来说明这种新方法。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation-Based Sensitivity Analysis in Optimal Treatment Regimes and Causal Decomposition With Individualized Interventions 基于模拟的最优治疗方案敏感性分析及个体化干预的因果分解
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251377741
Soojin Park, Suyeon Kang, Chioun Lee
Causal decomposition analysis aims to assess the effect of modifying risk factors on reducing social disparities in outcomes. Recently, this analysis has incorporated individual characteristics when modifying risk factors by utilizing optimal treatment regimes (OTRs). Since the newly defined individualized effects rely on the no omitted confounding assumption, developing sensitivity analyses to account for potential omitted confounding is essential. Moreover, OTRs and individualized effects are primarily based on binary risk factors, and no formal approach currently exists to benchmark the strength of omitted confounding using observed covariates for binary risk factors. To address this gap, we extend a simulation-based sensitivity analysis that simulates unmeasured confounders, addressing two sources of bias emerging from deriving OTRs and estimating individualized effects. Additionally, we propose a formal bounding strategy that benchmarks the strength of omitted confounding for binary risk factors. Using the High School Longitudinal Study 2009 (HSLS:09), we demonstrate this sensitivity analysis and benchmarking method.
因果分解分析旨在评估调整风险因素对减少社会结果差异的影响。最近,该分析在利用最佳治疗方案(OTRs)修改危险因素时纳入了个体特征。由于新定义的个体化效应依赖于不遗漏的混杂假设,因此开发敏感性分析来解释潜在的遗漏混杂是必不可少的。此外,OTRs和个体化效应主要基于二元风险因素,目前还没有正式的方法来使用观察到的二元风险因素协变量来衡量省略混杂的强度。为了解决这一差距,我们扩展了一种基于模拟的敏感性分析,该分析模拟了未测量的混杂因素,解决了从导出OTRs和估计个性化效应中出现的两个偏差来源。此外,我们提出了一种正式的边界策略,该策略对二元风险因素省略混淆的强度进行基准测试。利用2009年高中纵向研究(HSLS:09),我们验证了这种敏感性分析和基准测试方法。
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引用次数: 0
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Sociological Methods & Research
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