Sociological Methods & Research最新文献

英文中文

Do Different Devices Perform Equally Well with Different Numbers of Scale Points and Response Formats? A test of measurement invariance and reliability 不同的设备在不同的评分点和响应格式下表现一样好吗?测量不变性和可靠性的检验

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-02-07 DOI: 10.1177/00491241221077237

Natalja Menold, V. Toepoel

Research on mixed devices in web surveys is in its infancy. Using a randomized experiment, we investigated device effects (desktop PC, tablet and mobile phone) for six response formats and four different numbers of scale points. N = 5,077 members of an online access panel participated in the experiment. An exact test of measurement invariance and Composite Reliability were investigated. The results provided full data comparability for devices and formats, with the exception of continuous Visual Analog Scale (VAS), but limited comparability for different numbers of scale points. There were device effects on reliability when looking at the interactions with formats and number of scale points. VAS, use of mobile phones and five point scales consistently gained lower reliability. We suggest technically less demanding implementations as well as a unified design for mixed-device surveys.

对网络调查中混合设备的研究尚处于起步阶段。使用随机实验，我们研究了六种响应格式和四个不同数量的量表点的设备效应（台式电脑、平板电脑和手机）。N = 5077名在线访问小组成员参与了这项实验。研究了测量不变性和复合可靠性的精确检验。除连续视觉模拟量表（VAS）外，结果为设备和格式提供了完整的数据可比性，但不同数量的量表点的可比性有限。当观察与标度点的格式和数量的交互时，设备会对可靠性产生影响。VAS、使用手机和五点量表的可靠性一直较低。我们建议在技术上要求较低的实现方式，以及针对混合设备调查的统一设计。

引用次数: 2

What's to Like? Facebook as a Tool for Survey Data Collection. 喜欢什么?Facebook作为调查数据收集的工具。

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/0049124119882477

Daniel Schneider, Kristen Harknett

In this paper, we explore the use of Facebook targeted advertisements for the collection of survey data. We illustrate the potential of survey sampling and recruitment on Facebook through the example of building a large employee-employer linked dataset as part of The Shift Project. We describe the workflow process of targeting, creating, and purchasing survey recruitment advertisements on Facebook. We address concerns about sample selectivity, and apply post-stratification weighting techniques to adjust for differences between our sample and that of "gold-standard" data sources. We then compare univariate and multi-variate relationships in the Shift data against the Current Population Survey and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth-1997. Finally, we provide an example of the utility of the firm-level nature of the data by showing how firm-level gender composition is related to wages. We conclude by discussing some important remaining limitations of the Facebook approach, as well as highlighting some unique strengths of the Facebook targeting advertisement approach, including the ability for rapid data collection in response to research opportunities, rich and flexible sample targeting capabilities, and low cost, and we suggest broader applications of this technique.

在本文中，我们探讨了使用Facebook定向广告来收集调查数据。作为the Shift项目的一部分，我们通过建立一个大型雇员-雇主关联数据集的例子，说明了在Facebook上进行调查抽样和招聘的潜力。我们描述了在Facebook上定位、创建和购买调查招聘广告的工作流程。我们解决了对样本选择性的关注，并应用后分层加权技术来调整样本与“金标准”数据源之间的差异。然后，我们将Shift数据中的单变量和多变量关系与当前人口调查和1997年全国青年纵向调查进行比较。最后，我们通过展示企业层面的性别构成如何与工资相关，提供了一个企业层面数据效用的例子。最后，我们讨论了Facebook方法的一些重要的局限性，并强调了Facebook定向广告方法的一些独特优势，包括响应研究机会的快速数据收集能力，丰富而灵活的样本定位能力，以及低成本，我们建议更广泛地应用该技术。

{"title":"What's to Like? Facebook as a Tool for Survey Data Collection.","authors":"Daniel Schneider, Kristen Harknett","doi":"10.1177/0049124119882477","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124119882477","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, we explore the use of Facebook targeted advertisements for the collection of survey data. We illustrate the potential of survey sampling and recruitment on Facebook through the example of building a large employee-employer linked dataset as part of The Shift Project. We describe the workflow process of targeting, creating, and purchasing survey recruitment advertisements on Facebook. We address concerns about sample selectivity, and apply post-stratification weighting techniques to adjust for differences between our sample and that of \"gold-standard\" data sources. We then compare univariate and multi-variate relationships in the Shift data against the Current Population Survey and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth-1997. Finally, we provide an example of the utility of the firm-level nature of the data by showing how firm-level gender composition is related to wages. We conclude by discussing some important remaining limitations of the Facebook approach, as well as highlighting some unique strengths of the Facebook targeting advertisement approach, including the ability for rapid data collection in response to research opportunities, rich and flexible sample targeting capabilities, and low cost, and we suggest broader applications of this technique.</p>","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2022-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0049124119882477","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9407478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 85

Moving Beyond Linear Regression: Implementing and Interpreting Quantile Regression Models With Fixed Effects 超越线性回归:具有固定效应的分位数回归模型的实现与解释

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211036165

Fernando Rios-Avila, Michelle Lee Maroto

Quantile regression (QR) provides an alternative to linear regression (LR) that allows for the estimation of relationships across the distribution of an outcome. However, as highlighted in recent research on the motherhood penalty across the wage distribution, different procedures for conditional and unconditional quantile regression (CQR, UQR) often result in divergent findings that are not always well understood. In light of such discrepancies, this paper reviews how to implement and interpret a range of LR, CQR, and UQR models with fixed effects. It also discusses the use of Quantile Treatment Effect (QTE) models as an alternative to overcome some of the limitations of CQR and UQR models. We then review how to interpret results in the presence of fixed effects based on a replication of Budig and Hodges’s work on the motherhood penalty using NLSY79 data.

分位数回归(QR)提供了一种替代线性回归(LR)的方法，可以估计结果分布之间的关系。然而，正如最近关于工资分配中母性惩罚的研究所强调的那样，条件分位数回归和无条件分位数回归(CQR, UQR)的不同程序往往导致不同的结果，这些结果并不总是很好地理解。针对这些差异，本文回顾了如何实现和解释一系列具有固定效果的LR、CQR和UQR模型。它还讨论了使用分位数治疗效应(QTE)模型来克服CQR和UQR模型的一些局限性。然后，我们回顾了如何在固定效应存在的情况下解释基于Budig和Hodges使用NLSY79数据复制母性惩罚的工作的结果。

引用次数: 0

Updating a Time-Series of Survey Questions: The Case of Abortion Attitudes in the General Social Survey 更新时间序列调查问题:综合社会调查中的堕胎态度个案

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211043140

Sarah K. Cowan, M. Hout, Stuart Perrett

Long-running surveys need a systematic way to reflect social change and to keep items relevant to respondents, especially when they ask about controversial subjects, or they threaten the items’ validity. We propose a protocol for updating measures that preserves content and construct validity. First, substantive experts articulate the current and anticipated future terms of debate. Then survey experts use this substantive input and their knowledge of existing measures to develop and pilot a large battery of new items. Third, researchers analyze the pilot data to select items for the survey of record. Finally, the items appear on the survey-of-record, available to the whole user community. Surveys-of-record have procedures for changing content that determine if the new items appear just once or become part of the core. We provide the example of developing new abortion attitude measures in the General Social Survey. Current questions ask whether abortion should be legal under varying circumstances. The new abortion items ask about morality, access, state policy, and interpersonal dynamics. They improve content and construct validity and add new insights into Americans’ abortion attitudes.

长期调查需要一种系统的方式来反映社会变化，并保持项目与受访者的相关性，尤其是当他们询问有争议的主题时，或者当他们威胁到项目的有效性时。我们提出了一个用于更新度量的协议，该协议保留了内容和结构的有效性。首先，实质性专家阐明了当前和预期的未来辩论条件。然后，调查专家利用这一实质性投入和他们对现有措施的了解，开发和试行一大批新项目。第三，研究人员分析试点数据，选择项目进行记录调查。最后，这些项目出现在记录的调查中，可供整个用户社区使用。记录调查有更改内容的程序，以确定新项目是只出现一次还是成为核心的一部分。我们在综合社会调查中提供了制定新的堕胎态度措施的例子。目前的问题是，在不同的情况下堕胎是否合法。新的堕胎项目询问道德、准入、国家政策和人际关系动态。它们改善了内容和结构的有效性，并为美国人的堕胎态度增添了新的见解。

{"title":"Updating a Time-Series of Survey Questions: The Case of Abortion Attitudes in the General Social Survey","authors":"Sarah K. Cowan, M. Hout, Stuart Perrett","doi":"10.1177/00491241211043140","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241211043140","url":null,"abstract":"Long-running surveys need a systematic way to reflect social change and to keep items relevant to respondents, especially when they ask about controversial subjects, or they threaten the items’ validity. We propose a protocol for updating measures that preserves content and construct validity. First, substantive experts articulate the current and anticipated future terms of debate. Then survey experts use this substantive input and their knowledge of existing measures to develop and pilot a large battery of new items. Third, researchers analyze the pilot data to select items for the survey of record. Finally, the items appear on the survey-of-record, available to the whole user community. Surveys-of-record have procedures for changing content that determine if the new items appear just once or become part of the core. We provide the example of developing new abortion attitude measures in the General Social Survey. Current questions ask whether abortion should be legal under varying circumstances. The new abortion items ask about morality, access, state policy, and interpersonal dynamics. They improve content and construct validity and add new insights into Americans’ abortion attitudes.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2022-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41519369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

Relevant, Irrelevant, or Ambiguous? Toward a New Interpretation of QCA’s Solution Types 相关、无关或模棱两可？QCA解类型的新解释

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211036153

Tim Haesebrouck

The field of qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) is witnessing a heated debate on which one of the QCA’s main solution types should be at the center of substantive interpretation. This article argues that the different QCA solutions have complementary strengths. Therefore, researchers should interpret the three solution types in an integrated way, in order to get as much information as possible on the causal structure behind the phenomenon under investigation. The parsimonious solution is capable of identifying causally relevant conditions, the conservative solution of identifying contextually irrelevant conditions. In addition to conditions for which the data provide evidence that they are causally relevant or contextually irrelevant, there will be conditions for which the data neither suggest that they are relevant nor contextually irrelevant. In line with the procedure for crafting the intermediate solution, it is possible to make clear for which of these ambiguous conditions it is not plausible that they are relevant in the context of the research.

定性比较分析（QCA）领域正在见证一场激烈的辩论，争论的焦点是QCA的主要解决方案类型之一应该是实质性解释的中心。本文认为，不同的QCA解决方案具有互补的优势。因此，研究人员应该综合解释这三种解决方案类型，以便尽可能多地了解所调查现象背后的因果结构。简约解能够识别因果相关条件，保守解能够识别上下文无关条件。除了数据提供证据证明其因果相关或上下文无关的条件外，还有一些条件表明数据既不相关也不上下文无关。根据制定中间解决方案的程序，可以明确这些模糊条件中的哪一个与研究背景相关是不合理的。

引用次数: 5

A New Approach to Detecting Cheating in Sensitive Surveys: The Cheating Detection Triangular Model 敏感调查中作弊检测的新方法:作弊检测三角模型

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-01-19 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211055764

Julia Meisters, Adrian Hoffmann, J. Musch

Indirect questioning techniques such as the randomized response technique aim to control social desirability bias in surveys of sensitive topics. To improve upon previous indirect questioning techniques, we propose the new Cheating Detection Triangular Model. Similar to the Cheating Detection Model, it includes a mechanism for detecting instruction non-adherence, and similar to the Triangular Model, it uses simplified instructions to improve respondents’ understanding of the procedure. Based on a comparison with the known prevalence of a sensitive attribute serving as external criterion, we report the first individual-level validation of the Cheating Detection Model, the Triangular Model and the Cheating Detection Triangular Model. Moreover, the sensitivity and specificity of all models was assessed, as well as the respondents’ subjective evaluation of all questioning technique formats. Based on our results, the Cheating Detection Triangular Model appears to be the best choice among the investigated indirect questioning techniques.

间接提问技术，如随机回答技术，旨在控制敏感话题调查中的社会期望偏差。为了改进以前的间接提问技术，我们提出了新的作弊检测三角模型。类似于作弊检测模型，它包括一个检测指令不遵守的机制，类似于三角模型，它使用简化的指令来提高受访者对程序的理解。在与作为外部标准的敏感属性的已知流行率进行比较的基础上，我们报告了作弊检测模型、三角模型和作弊检测三角模型的首次个人级验证。此外，还评估了所有模型的敏感性和特异性，以及受访者对所有提问技术形式的主观评价。根据我们的研究结果，作弊检测三角模型似乎是所研究的间接提问技术中的最佳选择。

引用次数: 3

Self-protecting responses in randomized response designs: A survey on intimate partner violence during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic 随机反应设计中的自我保护反应:2019冠状病毒病大流行期间亲密伴侣暴力调查

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-01-17 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211043138

Fabiola Reiber, D. Bryce, R. Ulrich

Randomized response techniques (RRTs) are applied to reduce response biases in self-report surveys on sensitive research questions (e.g., on socially undesirable characteristics). However, there is evidence that they cannot completely eliminate self-protecting response strategies. To address this problem, there are RRTs specifically designed to measure the extent of such strategies. Here we assessed the recently devised unrelated question model—cheating extension (UQMC) in a preregistered online survey on intimate partner violence (IPV) victimization and perpetration during the first contact restrictions as containment measures for the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in Germany in early 2020. The UQMC accounting for self-protecting responses described the data better than its predecessor model which assumes instruction adherence. The resulting three-month prevalence estimates were about 10% and we found a high proportion of self-protecting responses in the group of female participants queried about IPV victimization. However, unexpected results concerning the differences in prevalence estimates across the groups queried about victimization and perpetration highlight the difficulty of investigating sensitive research questions even using methods that guarantee anonymity and the importance of interpreting the respective estimates with caution.

随机反应技术(RRTs)用于减少敏感研究问题(如社会不良特征)自我报告调查中的反应偏差。然而，有证据表明，他们不能完全消除自我保护的反应策略。为了解决这个问题，有专门设计的RRTs来衡量这种策略的程度。在此，我们评估了最近设计的不相关问题模型作弊扩展(UQMC)，该扩展是在一项预先登记的在线调查中设计的，该调查是关于首次接触限制期间亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)的受害者和犯罪者，这是2020年初德国2019冠状病毒病大流行爆发的遏制措施。考虑自我保护反应的UQMC比其前身模型更好地描述了数据，后者假设遵循指令。由此得出的三个月患病率估计约为10%，我们发现在被问及IPV受害的女性参与者群体中，自我保护反应的比例很高。然而，关于受害和犯罪的患病率估计差异的意外结果突出了调查敏感研究问题的困难，即使使用保证匿名的方法和谨慎解释各自估计的重要性。

{"title":"Self-protecting responses in randomized response designs: A survey on intimate partner violence during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic","authors":"Fabiola Reiber, D. Bryce, R. Ulrich","doi":"10.1177/00491241211043138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241211043138","url":null,"abstract":"Randomized response techniques (RRTs) are applied to reduce response biases in self-report surveys on sensitive research questions (e.g., on socially undesirable characteristics). However, there is evidence that they cannot completely eliminate self-protecting response strategies. To address this problem, there are RRTs specifically designed to measure the extent of such strategies. Here we assessed the recently devised unrelated question model—cheating extension (UQMC) in a preregistered online survey on intimate partner violence (IPV) victimization and perpetration during the first contact restrictions as containment measures for the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in Germany in early 2020. The UQMC accounting for self-protecting responses described the data better than its predecessor model which assumes instruction adherence. The resulting three-month prevalence estimates were about 10% and we found a high proportion of self-protecting responses in the group of female participants queried about IPV victimization. However, unexpected results concerning the differences in prevalence estimates across the groups queried about victimization and perpetration highlight the difficulty of investigating sensitive research questions even using methods that guarantee anonymity and the importance of interpreting the respective estimates with caution.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2022-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44038506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Recurrent Multinomial Models for Categorical Sequences 范畴序列的递归多项式模型

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2022-01-11 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211067513

Michael Schultz

This paper presents a model of recurrent multinomial sequences. Though there exists a quite considerable literature on modeling autocorrelation in numerical data and sequences of categorical outcomes, there is currently no systematic method of modeling patterns of recurrence in categorical sequences. This paper develops a means of discovering recurrent patterns by employing a more restrictive Markov assumption. The resulting model, which I call the recurrent multinomial model, provides a parsimonious representation of recurrent sequences, enabling the investigation of recurrences on longer time scales than existing models. The utility of recurrent multinomial models is demonstrated by applying them to the case of conversational turn-taking in meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Analyses are effectively able to discover norms around turn-reclaiming, participation, and suppression and to evaluate how these norms vary throughout the course of the meeting.

本文提出了循环多项式序列的一个模型。虽然已有相当多的文献对数值数据和分类结果序列的自相关进行建模，但目前还没有系统的方法对分类序列的递归模式进行建模。本文发展了一种通过采用更严格的马尔可夫假设来发现循环模式的方法。所得到的模型，我称之为递归多项式模型，提供了递归序列的简洁表示，能够在比现有模型更长的时间尺度上研究递归。通过将递归多项式模型应用于联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议的会话轮换案例，证明了递归多项式模型的实用性。分析能够有效地发现围绕回合回收、参与和抑制的规范，并评估这些规范在整个会议过程中如何变化。

引用次数: 0

And the Rest is History: Measuring the Scope and Recall of Wikipedia’s Coverage of Three Women’s Movement Subgroups 剩下的就是历史：衡量维基百科对三个妇女运动小组的报道范围和回忆

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2021-12-30 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211067514

Laura K. Nelson, R. Getman, S. Haque

Narrating history is perpetually contested, shaping and reshaping how nations and people understand both their pasts and the current moment. Measuring and evaluating the scope of histories is methodologically challenging. In this paper we provide a general approach and a specific method to measure historical recall. Operationalizing historical information as one or more word phrases, we use the phrase-mining RAKE algorithm on a collection of primary historical documents to extract first-person historical evidence, and then measure recall via phrases present on contemporary Wikipedia, taken to represent a publicly-accessible summary of existing knowledge on virtually any historical topic. We demonstrate this method using women's movements in the United States as a case study of a debated historical field. We found that issues important to working-class elements of the movement were less likely to be covered on Wikipedia compared to other subsections of the movement. Combining this method with a qualitative analysis of select articles, we identified a typology of mechanisms leading to historical omissions: paucity, restrictive paradigms, and categorical narrowness. Our approach, we conclude, can be used to both evaluate the recall of a body of history and to actively intervene in enlarging the scope of our histories and historical knowledge.

讲述历史是一场永恒的争论，它塑造和重塑了国家和人民对过去和现在的理解。衡量和评估历史的范围在方法上具有挑战性。在本文中，我们提供了一种测量历史回忆的一般方法和具体方法。将历史信息作为一个或多个单词短语进行操作，我们在一组主要历史文献上使用短语挖掘RAKE算法来提取第一人称历史证据，然后通过当代维基百科上的短语来衡量回忆，这些短语被用来代表几乎任何历史主题的现有知识的公开摘要。我们用美国的妇女运动作为一个有争议的历史领域的案例研究来展示这种方法。我们发现，与该运动的其他部分相比，对该运动的工人阶级成员重要的问题不太可能在维基百科上被报道。将这种方法与精选文章的定性分析相结合，我们确定了导致历史遗漏的机制类型：匮乏、限制性范式和分类狭窄。我们得出结论，我们的方法既可以用来评估对一段历史的回忆，也可以用来积极干预扩大我们的历史和历史知识的范围。

{"title":"And the Rest is History: Measuring the Scope and Recall of Wikipedia’s Coverage of Three Women’s Movement Subgroups","authors":"Laura K. Nelson, R. Getman, S. Haque","doi":"10.1177/00491241211067514","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241211067514","url":null,"abstract":"Narrating history is perpetually contested, shaping and reshaping how nations and people understand both their pasts and the current moment. Measuring and evaluating the scope of histories is methodologically challenging. In this paper we provide a general approach and a specific method to measure historical recall. Operationalizing historical information as one or more word phrases, we use the phrase-mining RAKE algorithm on a collection of primary historical documents to extract first-person historical evidence, and then measure recall via phrases present on contemporary Wikipedia, taken to represent a publicly-accessible summary of existing knowledge on virtually any historical topic. We demonstrate this method using women's movements in the United States as a case study of a debated historical field. We found that issues important to working-class elements of the movement were less likely to be covered on Wikipedia compared to other subsections of the movement. Combining this method with a qualitative analysis of select articles, we identified a typology of mechanisms leading to historical omissions: paucity, restrictive paradigms, and categorical narrowness. Our approach, we conclude, can be used to both evaluate the recall of a body of history and to actively intervene in enlarging the scope of our histories and historical knowledge.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2021-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49416707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A Joint Model for Longitudinal and Time-to-event Data in Social and Life Course Research: Employment Status and Time to Retirement 社会与生命历程研究中纵向与事件时间数据的联合模型:就业状况与退休时间

IF 6.3 2区社会学 Q1 Social Sciences

Sociological Methods & Research

Pub Date : 2021-12-14 DOI: 10.1177/00491241211055770

J. Cremers, L. Mortensen, C. Ekstrøm

Longitudinal studies including a time-to-event outcome in social research often use a form of event history analysis to analyse the influence of time-varying endogenous covariates on the time-to-event outcome. Many standard event history models however assume the covariates of interest to be exogenous and inclusion of an endogenous covariate may lead to bias. Although such bias can be dealt with by using joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes, these types of models are underused in social research. In order to fill this gap in the social science modelling toolkit, we introduce a novel Bayesian joint model in which a multinomial longitudinal outcome is modelled simultaneously with a time-to-event outcome. The methodological novelty of this model is that it concerns a correlated random effects association structure that includes a multinomial longitudinal outcome. We show the use of the joint model on Danish labour market data and compare the joint model to a standard event history model. The joint model has three advantages over a standard survival model. It decreases bias, allows us to explore the relation between exogenous covariates and the longitudinal outcome and can be flexibly extended with multiple time-to-event and longitudinal outcomes.

纵向研究包括社会研究中的事件发生时间结果，通常使用事件历史分析的形式来分析时变内生协变量对事件发生时间结果的影响。然而，许多标准的事件历史模型假设感兴趣的协变量是外生的，并且包含内生协变量可能导致偏差。虽然这种偏差可以通过使用纵向和事件时间结果的联合模型来处理，但这些类型的模型在社会研究中未得到充分利用。为了填补社会科学建模工具包中的这一空白，我们引入了一种新的贝叶斯联合模型，其中多项纵向结果与事件时间结果同时建模。该模型在方法上的新颖之处在于，它涉及一个包含多项纵向结果的相关随机效应关联结构。我们展示了丹麦劳动力市场数据联合模型的使用，并将联合模型与标准事件历史模型进行了比较。与标准的生存模式相比，联合模式有三个优势。它减少了偏差，使我们能够探索外生协变量与纵向结果之间的关系，并且可以灵活地扩展为多个时间到事件和纵向结果。

{"title":"A Joint Model for Longitudinal and Time-to-event Data in Social and Life Course Research: Employment Status and Time to Retirement","authors":"J. Cremers, L. Mortensen, C. Ekstrøm","doi":"10.1177/00491241211055770","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241211055770","url":null,"abstract":"Longitudinal studies including a time-to-event outcome in social research often use a form of event history analysis to analyse the influence of time-varying endogenous covariates on the time-to-event outcome. Many standard event history models however assume the covariates of interest to be exogenous and inclusion of an endogenous covariate may lead to bias. Although such bias can be dealt with by using joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes, these types of models are underused in social research. In order to fill this gap in the social science modelling toolkit, we introduce a novel Bayesian joint model in which a multinomial longitudinal outcome is modelled simultaneously with a time-to-event outcome. The methodological novelty of this model is that it concerns a correlated random effects association structure that includes a multinomial longitudinal outcome. We show the use of the joint model on Danish labour market data and compare the joint model to a standard event history model. The joint model has three advantages over a standard survival model. It decreases bias, allows us to explore the relation between exogenous covariates and the longitudinal outcome and can be flexibly extended with multiple time-to-event and longitudinal outcomes.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2021-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41726288","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

首页上一页

下一页尾页

类型

全部化学•材料生命科学医学物理工程技术环境•农林材料科学地球科学法学管理学化学环境科学与生态学计算机科学教育学经济学农林科学人文科学生物学数学物理与天体物理心理学综合性期刊其他工业工程理学历史学农学文学信息工程

数据库

全部 ACS Publications Elsevier ieeexplore Springer The Royal Society of Chemistry Wiley

期刊

Sociological Methods & Research

全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.

﹀