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Evaluating Methods to Prevent and Detect Inattentive Respondents in Web Surveys 评估预防和发现网络调查中注意力不集中的应答者的方法
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251345457
Lukas Olbrich, Joseph W. Sakshaug, Eric Lewandowski
Inattentive respondents pose a substantial threat to data quality in web surveys. We evaluate methods for preventing and detecting inattentive respondents. First, we test the effect of asking respondents to commit to providing high-quality responses at the beginning of the survey on various data quality measures. Second, we compare the proportion of flagged respondents for two versions of an attention check item instructing them to select a specific response versus leaving the item blank. Third, we propose a timestamp-based cluster analysis approach that identifies clusters of respondents who exhibit different speeding behaviors. Our findings show that the commitment pledge had no effect on the data quality measures. Instructing respondents to leave the item blank significantly increased the rate of flagged respondents (by 16.8 percentage points). The timestamp-based clustering approach efficiently identified clusters of likely inattentive respondents. Lastly, we show that inattentive respondents can have substantial impacts on substantive analyses.
在网络调查中,注意力不集中的受访者对数据质量构成了重大威胁。我们评估预防和检测注意力不集中的受访者的方法。首先,我们测试了在调查开始时要求受访者承诺提供高质量答复对各种数据质量措施的影响。其次,我们比较了两种版本的注意力检查项目的标记受访者的比例,指示他们选择一个特定的回应,而不是让项目空白。第三,我们提出了一种基于时间戳的聚类分析方法,该方法可以识别出表现出不同超速行为的受访者聚类。我们的研究结果表明,承诺承诺对数据质量测量没有影响。指示受访者将项目留空显著增加了标记受访者的比率(16.8个百分点)。基于时间戳的聚类方法有效地识别出可能注意力不集中的受访者。最后,我们表明,注意力不集中的受访者可以对实质性分析产生实质性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Immobility as Memory: Some New Approaches to Characterizing Intergenerational Persistence via Markov Chains 作为记忆的不动性:通过马尔可夫链表征代际持久性的一些新方法
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251349148
Lawrence E. Blume, Neil A. Cholli, Steven N. Durlauf, Aleksandra Lukina
This article proposes some new measures of intergenerational persistence based on the idea of characterizing the memory of origin in the stochastic process that links the socioeconomic classes of parents and children. We introduce “memory curves” for all future generations given any initial condition of class for a family dynasty, which reveal how initial conditions interact with the transition process between parents and children to create mobility and persistence. We also propose ways to aggregate information across different classes to produce overall characterizations of mobility in the population. To illustrate our measures, we estimate occupational “memory curves” using U.S. survey data. Our findings show that, on average, the memory of initial conditions dissipates largely within three generations, though there is meaningful heterogeneity in mobility rates across dynasties originating from different occupational classes.
本文基于在连接父母和孩子的社会经济阶层的随机过程中描述起源记忆的想法,提出了一些新的代际持久性测量方法。我们在给定家族王朝阶级的任何初始条件下,为所有后代引入“记忆曲线”,这揭示了初始条件如何与父母和子女之间的过渡过程相互作用,以创造流动性和持久性。我们还提出了汇总不同阶层的信息的方法,以产生人口流动的总体特征。为了说明我们的措施,我们使用美国调查数据估计职业“记忆曲线”。我们的研究结果表明,平均而言,初始条件的记忆在三代内大部分消散,尽管不同职业阶层的王朝之间的流动性率存在有意义的异质性。
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引用次数: 0
How Do Survey Respondents Decide Whether to Consent to Data Linkage? 调查对象如何决定是否同意数据链接?
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251344289
Jonathan Burton, Mick P. Couper, Thomas F. Crossley, Annette Jäckle, Sandra Walzenbach
Linkages between surveys and administrative data provide an important opportunity for social and health research, but such linkages often require the informed consent of respondents. We use experimental data collection across five different samples to study how consent decisions are made. More reflective decision processes are associated with higher rates of consent, greater comprehension of the proposed data linkage, and greater confidence in the decision, but only about a third of respondents report using a reflective decision process. This suggests that the provision of additional information is unlikely to lead to significant improvements in informed consent.
调查与行政数据之间的联系为社会和卫生研究提供了重要机会,但这种联系往往需要得到答复者的知情同意。我们使用五个不同样本的实验数据收集来研究如何做出同意决定。更多的反思决策过程与更高的同意率、对拟议数据链接的更好理解以及对决策的更大信心相关,但只有约三分之一的受访者报告使用反思决策过程。这表明,提供额外信息不太可能导致知情同意方面的重大改进。
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引用次数: 0
Methodological Frontiers in Intergenerational Mobility Research 代际流动研究的方法论前沿
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251355640
Yoosoon Chang, Steven N. Durlauf, Fabian T. Pfeffer, Xi Song
This special issue of Sociological Methods & Research presents a collection of papers that develop a range of new statistical approaches and empirical insights on intergenerational mobility. The papers in the special issue involve four broad themes: the development of new statistics to characterize mobility, the exploration of methods to establish causal explanations, the enrichment of statistical models to better characterize heterogeneity in mobility across families, and the development and application of ways to employ machine learning tools to enrich mobility analysis. These papers demonstrate the excitement of the methodological frontier in mobility research.
本期《社会学方法》特刊;研究提出了一系列论文,这些论文开发了一系列新的统计方法和代际流动的实证见解。特刊上的论文涉及四个主题:发展新的统计数据来表征流动性,探索建立因果解释的方法,丰富统计模型以更好地表征家庭间流动性的异质性,以及开发和应用使用机器学习工具来丰富流动性分析的方法。这些论文展示了流动性研究方法论前沿的兴奋之处。
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引用次数: 0
From Codebooks to Promptbooks: Extracting Information from Text with Generative Large Language Models 从代码本到提示本:用生成式大型语言模型从文本中提取信息
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251336794
Oscar Stuhler, Cat Dang Ton, Etienne Ollion
Generative AI (GenAI) is quickly becoming a valuable tool for sociological research. Already, sociologists employ GenAI for tasks like classifying text and simulating human agents. We point to another major use case: the extraction of structured information from unstructured text. Information Extraction (IE) is an established branch of Natural Language Processing, but leveraging the affordances of this paradigm has thus far required familiarity with specialized models. GenAI changes this by allowing researchers to define their own IE tasks and execute them via targeted prompts. This article explores the potential of open-source large language models for IE by extracting and encoding biographical information (e.g., age, occupation, origin) from a corpus of newspaper obituaries. As we proceed, we discuss how sociologists can develop and evaluate prompt architectures for such tasks, turning codebooks into “promptbooks.” We also evaluate models of different sizes and prompting techniques. Our analysis showcases the potential of GenAI as a flexible and accessible tool for IE while also underscoring risks like non-random error patterns that can bias downstream analyses.
生成式人工智能(GenAI)正迅速成为社会学研究的一个有价值的工具。社会学家已经在使用GenAI来完成文本分类和模拟人类代理等任务。我们指出另一个主要用例:从非结构化文本中提取结构化信息。信息提取(IE)是自然语言处理的一个已建立的分支,但是利用这种范式的功能迄今为止需要熟悉专门的模型。GenAI改变了这一点,它允许研究人员定义自己的IE任务,并通过有针对性的提示执行这些任务。本文通过从报纸讣告语料库中提取和编码传记信息(例如,年龄、职业、出身),探索了开源大型语言模型在IE中的潜力。在我们继续讨论的过程中,我们将讨论社会学家如何为这些任务开发和评估提示架构,将代码本变成“提示本”。我们还评估了不同大小的模型和提示技术。我们的分析显示了GenAI作为一种灵活且易于使用的IE工具的潜力,同时也强调了非随机错误模式等风险,这些错误模式可能会影响下游分析。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic Variation in Multigenerational Mobility 多代流动的地理差异
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-06-20 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251341196
Martin Nybom, Jan Stuhler
Using complete-count register data spanning three generations, we document spatial patterns in inter- and multi-generational mobility in Sweden. Across municipalities, grandfather–child correlations in education or earnings tend to be larger than the square of the parent–child correlations, suggesting that the latter understate status transmission in the long run. Yet, conventional parent–child correlations capture regional differences in long-run transmission and therefore remain useful for comparative purposes. We further find that the within-country association between mobility and income inequality (the “Great Gatsby Curve”) is at least as strong in the multi- as in the inter-generational case. Interpreting those patterns through the lens of a latent factor model, we find that regional differences in mobility primarily reflect variation in the transmission of latent advantages, rather than in how those advantages translate into observed outcomes.
使用跨越三代的完整计数寄存器数据,我们记录了瑞典代际和多代流动性的空间模式。在各个城市,祖父与子女在教育或收入方面的相关性往往大于父母与子女之间相关性的平方,这表明从长远来看,后者低估了地位的传递。然而,传统的亲子相关性反映了长期传播中的区域差异,因此仍可用于比较目的。我们进一步发现,流动性和收入不平等之间的国家内部关联(“了不起的盖茨比曲线”)至少在多代情况下与代际情况一样强烈。通过一个潜在因素模型来解释这些模式,我们发现流动性的区域差异主要反映了潜在优势传递的差异,而不是这些优势如何转化为观察到的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Absolute and Relative Mobility: Two Frameworks for Connecting Intergenerational Mobility in Absolute and Relative Terms 绝对流动与相对流动:两种连接绝对与相对代际流动的框架
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-06-20 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251347982
Deirdre Bloome
Researchers concerned about intergenerational inequalities study absolute and relative mobility (e.g., whether people’s adult incomes exceed their parents’ incomes in dollars or ranks ). Absolute and relative mobility are connected, by definition. Yet, they are not equivalent. Indeed, they often diverge. To illuminate why, when, and for whom such divergence occurs—and why, when, and for whom convergence is possible—this article provides two frameworks for connecting absolute and relative mobility. One framework is formal and one is typological. Both frameworks center micro-level socioeconomic experiences across generations. Illustrative analyses employ these frameworks using National Longitudinal Survey of Youth data. Results suggest that divergent experiences, like upward absolute mobility despite downward relative mobility, may be more common among more advantaged social groups. Future researchers could use the two frameworks introduced here to further advance our understanding of how intergenerational inequalities evolve differently in absolute and relative terms.
关注代际不平等的研究人员研究绝对和相对流动性(例如,人们的成年收入是否在美元或排名上超过了父母的收入)。根据定义,绝对流动性和相对流动性是联系在一起的。然而,它们并不等同。事实上,它们经常出现分歧。为了阐明为什么、什么时候、为谁而发生这种分歧,以及为什么、什么时候、为谁而可能趋同,本文提供了两个框架来连接绝对流动性和相对流动性。一个框架是形式的,一个是类型的。这两个框架都以跨代微观层面的社会经济经验为中心。说明性分析利用国家青年纵向调查数据采用这些框架。结果表明,不同的经验,如向上的绝对流动性,而向下的相对流动性,可能在更有利的社会群体中更常见。未来的研究人员可以使用这里介绍的两个框架来进一步推进我们对代际不平等在绝对和相对方面如何演变不同的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Is There a Mobility Effect? On Methodological Issues in the Mobility Contrast Model 是否存在流动性效应?流动性对比模型的方法论问题
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251347983
Xi Song, Xiang Zhou
Social mobility scholars have long been interested in estimating the effect of intergenerational mobility, typically measured by differences in the socioeconomic status between parents and offspring, on later-life outcomes of offspring. In a 2022 article “Heterogeneous Effects of Intergenerational Social Mobility: An Improved Method and New Evidence,” Luo proposes a new approach called the mobility contrast model (MCM) to define and estimate mobility effects. We argue that the MCM is inherently flawed due to its reliance on the coding scheme used for the categorical variables of social origin and destination. Specifically, when different coding schemes are applied, the estimands defined in the MCM bear distinct meanings, involve different but equally arbitrary constraints, and sometimes yield contradictory results. Moreover, regardless of the coding scheme, these estimands do not adequately capture the sociological concept of a mobility effect. To illustrate this, we reanalyze the Occupational Changes in a Generation Study data used in Luo’s study, highlighting the inconsistency of results when dummy coding versus effect coding schemes are used.
社会流动性学者长期以来一直对估计代际流动性的影响感兴趣,代际流动性通常通过父母和子女之间社会经济地位的差异来衡量,对后代晚年的影响。在2022年的一篇文章《代际社会流动的异质效应:一种改进的方法和新证据》中,罗提出了一种称为流动性对比模型(MCM)的新方法来定义和估计流动性效应。我们认为,由于MCM依赖于用于社会起源和目的地分类变量的编码方案,因此MCM本身就存在缺陷。具体来说,当采用不同的编码方案时,MCM中定义的估计具有不同的含义,涉及不同但同样任意的约束,有时会产生相互矛盾的结果。此外,无论编码方案如何,这些估计都没有充分捕捉到流动性效应的社会学概念。为了说明这一点,我们重新分析了罗研究中使用的一代人的职业变化研究数据,强调了使用虚拟编码和效果编码方案时结果的不一致性。
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引用次数: 0
Social Rigidity Across and Within Generations: A Predictive Approach 跨代和代内的社会刚性:一种预测方法
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251347984
Haowen Zheng, Siwei Cheng
How well can individuals’ parental background and previous life experiences predict their mid-life socioeconomic status (SES) attainment? This question is central to stratification research, as a strong power of earlier experiences in predicting later-life outcomes signals substantial intra- or intergenerational status persistence, or put simply, social rigidity. Running machine learning models on panel data to predict outcomes that include hourly wage, total income, family income, and occupational status, we find that a large number (around 4,000) of predictors commonly used in the stratification literature improves the prediction of one’s life chances in middle to late adulthood by about 10 percent to 50 percent, compared with a null model that uses a simple mean of the outcome variable. The level of predictability depends on the specific outcome being analyzed, with labor market indicators like wages and occupational prestige being more predictable than broader socioeconomic measures such as overall personal and family income. Grouping a comprehensive list of predictors into four unique sets that cover family background, childhood and adolescence development, early labor market experiences, and early adulthood family formation, we find that including income, employment status, and occupational characteristics at early career significantly improves models’ prediction accuracy for mid-life SES attainment. We also illustrate the application of the predictive models to examine heterogeneity in predictability by race and gender and identify important variables through this data-driven exercise.
个人的父母背景和以前的生活经历如何预测他们的中年社会经济地位(SES)的成就?这个问题是分层研究的核心,因为早期的经历在预测晚年生活结果方面具有强大的力量,表明了实质性的代际或代际地位的持久性,或者简单地说,社会刚性。在面板数据上运行机器学习模型来预测包括小时工资、总收入、家庭收入和职业状况在内的结果,我们发现,与使用结果变量的简单平均值的零模型相比,分层文献中常用的大量(约4,000)预测因子将对一个人在成年中后期的生活机会的预测提高了约10%至50%。可预测性的程度取决于所分析的具体结果,工资和职业声望等劳动力市场指标比个人和家庭总收入等更广泛的社会经济指标更可预测。我们将综合的预测因子列表分为四个独特的集合,包括家庭背景、儿童和青少年发展、早期劳动力市场经历和成年早期家庭形成,我们发现,包括收入、就业状况和职业早期职业特征显著提高了模型对中年SES成就的预测准确性。我们还说明了预测模型的应用,以检查种族和性别可预测性的异质性,并通过这种数据驱动的练习确定重要变量。
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引用次数: 0
Simulating Subjects: The Promise and Peril of Artificial Intelligence Stand-Ins for Social Agents and Interactions 模拟对象:人工智能代替社会代理和互动的希望与危险
IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2025-06-02 DOI: 10.1177/00491241251337316
Austin C. Kozlowski, James Evans
Large language models (LLMs), through their exposure to massive collections of online text, learn to reproduce the perspectives and linguistic styles of diverse social and cultural groups. This capability suggests a powerful social scientific application—the simulation of empirically realistic, culturally situated human subjects. Synthesizing recent research in artificial intelligence and computational social science, we outline a methodological foundation for simulating human subjects and their social interactions. We then identify six characteristics of current models that are likely to impair the realistic simulation of human subjects: bias, uniformity, atemporality, disembodiment, linguistic cultures, and alien intelligence. For each of these areas, we discuss promising approaches for overcoming their associated shortcomings. Given the rate of change of these models, we advocate for an ongoing methodological program for the simulation of human subjects that keeps pace with rapid technical progress, and caution that validation against human subjects data remains essential to ensure simulation accuracy.
大型语言模型(llm)通过接触大量在线文本,学习再现不同社会和文化群体的观点和语言风格。这种能力表明了一种强大的社会科学应用——对经验现实的、处于文化背景下的人类受试者的模拟。综合人工智能和计算社会科学的最新研究,我们概述了模拟人类受试者及其社会互动的方法论基础。然后,我们确定了当前模型的六个特征,这些特征可能会损害对人类受试者的现实模拟:偏见、一致性、非时间性、分离、语言文化和外星智能。对于这些领域中的每一个,我们讨论了克服其相关缺点的有希望的方法。考虑到这些模型的变化速度,我们提倡对人类受试者进行持续的模拟方法计划,以跟上快速的技术进步,并警告说,对人类受试者数据的验证仍然是确保模拟准确性的必要条件。
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引用次数: 0
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