Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16948995945067
Nekeisha Spencer, Eric Strobl, Jeetendra Khadan, Ranita Seecheran
This paper estimates the relationship between cruise and air tourism and their impact on economic growth in the Caribbean. To this end, we assemble a monthly data set of cruise and air tourist arrivals and a satellite-derived economic wealth proxy for 21 Caribbean islands over the period 2000 to 2013. The estimates from a panel vector autoregression model not only demonstrate that cruise and air tourism are substitutes but it is the former for which this effect appears to be more permanent.Further, our analysis shows that while air tourism has a more immediate economic impact, cruise tourism has more long-term economic benefits. Our findings highlight the need for implementing policies to increase the value of cruise tourism to local economies as well as the effective management of revenue generation.
{"title":"SUBSTITUTES OR COMPLEMENTS? EVIDENCE OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AIR AND CRUISE TOURISM","authors":"Nekeisha Spencer, Eric Strobl, Jeetendra Khadan, Ranita Seecheran","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16948995945067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16948995945067","url":null,"abstract":"This paper estimates the relationship between cruise and air tourism and their impact on economic growth in the Caribbean. To this end, we assemble a monthly data set of cruise and air tourist arrivals and a satellite-derived economic wealth proxy for 21 Caribbean islands over the period 2000 to 2013. The estimates from a panel vector autoregression model not only demonstrate that cruise and air tourism are substitutes but it is the former for which this effect appears to be more permanent.Further, our analysis shows that while air tourism has a more immediate economic impact, cruise tourism has more long-term economic benefits. Our findings highlight the need for implementing policies to increase the value of cruise tourism to local economies as well as the effective management of revenue generation.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135496976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16970657424155
Andres Camacho-Murillo, Rukmani Gounder, Sam Richardson
Tourism has become a vital socioeconomic activity in Colombia, and provincial tourist destinations and events have contributed to the reduction of poverty levels since the implementation of the Millennium Development Goals. We assess the dynamic linkages between Colombia’s tourism and various economic sectors for poverty reduction at the provincial level using a novel binary probit model. A longitudinal dataset is employed by utilizing generalized estimation equations for 24 provinces over the period 2002 to 2016. Tourism’s effects on poverty and extreme poverty are modeled with several contributing factors, including the level of provincial development along with several economic sectors and tourism’s value-added impacts. Findings show that increases in the value added of tourism lead to significant reductions in both poverty and extreme poverty at the provincial level. Also, growth in the value added of the tourism sector leads to reductions in poverty and extreme poverty gaps between economically lagging and leading provinces. Results for other sectors emphasize the importance of manufacturing and other services sectors for poverty reduction. These results provide important policy implications for stimulating tourism’s value added to reduce the monetary poverty gap between lagging and leading provinces.
{"title":"MORE THAN A TRIP: THE CONTRIBUTION OF TOURISM TO REGIONAL POVERTY REDUCTION","authors":"Andres Camacho-Murillo, Rukmani Gounder, Sam Richardson","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16970657424155","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16970657424155","url":null,"abstract":"Tourism has become a vital socioeconomic activity in Colombia, and provincial tourist destinations and events have contributed to the reduction of poverty levels since the implementation of the Millennium Development Goals. We assess the dynamic linkages between Colombia’s tourism and various economic sectors for poverty reduction at the provincial level using a novel binary probit model. A longitudinal dataset is employed by utilizing generalized estimation equations for 24 provinces over the period 2002 to 2016. Tourism’s effects on poverty and extreme poverty are modeled with several contributing factors, including the level of provincial development along with several economic sectors and tourism’s value-added impacts. Findings show that increases in the value added of tourism lead to significant reductions in both poverty and extreme poverty at the provincial level. Also, growth in the value added of the tourism sector leads to reductions in poverty and extreme poverty gaps between economically lagging and leading provinces. Results for other sectors emphasize the importance of manufacturing and other services sectors for poverty reduction. These results provide important policy implications for stimulating tourism’s value added to reduce the monetary poverty gap between lagging and leading provinces.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"72 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136257745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16907395990662
M. J. Stone
Wine tourist and beer tourist consumer behavior have typically been researched separately. This study considers the overlap in wine and beer travelers, investigating attitudinal and behavioral differences between the three groups of beverage travelers (beer-only, wine-only, beer+wine) and neither beer nor wine travelers. This study finds a large overlap between beer and wine travelers. In most attitudinal and behavioral measures, there were no significant differences between the three types of beverage travelers, and all were higher than the “neither” group. Both wine and beer travelers travel to enjoy memorable eating and drinking experiences, influence others, and like to explore new foods—especially more than other travelers. They also use food and drink to differentiate between destinations to visit. Beverage travelers participate in more activities at the destination than other travelers and tend to spend more as well. 42.5% of American leisure travelers can be considered beer or wine travelers. These travelers can be divided into subsegments, revealing that 16.6% of American leisure travelers are beer-only travelers, 13.7% are wine-only travelers, and 12.2% are beer+wine travelers.
{"title":"BEER TRAVELER, WINE TRAVELER, OR BOTH? COMPARING BEER TOURIST AND WINE TOURIST SEGMENTS","authors":"M. J. Stone","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16907395990662","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16907395990662","url":null,"abstract":"Wine tourist and beer tourist consumer behavior have typically been researched separately. This study considers the overlap in wine and beer travelers, investigating attitudinal and behavioral differences between the three groups of beverage travelers (beer-only, wine-only, beer+wine) and neither beer nor wine travelers. This study finds a large overlap between beer and wine travelers. In most attitudinal and behavioral measures, there were no significant differences between the three types of beverage travelers, and all were higher than the “neither” group. Both wine and beer travelers travel to enjoy memorable eating and drinking experiences, influence others, and like to explore new foods—especially more than other travelers. They also use food and drink to differentiate between destinations to visit. Beverage travelers participate in more activities at the destination than other travelers and tend to spend more as well. 42.5% of American leisure travelers can be considered beer or wine travelers. These travelers can be divided into subsegments, revealing that 16.6% of American leisure travelers are beer-only travelers, 13.7% are wine-only travelers, and 12.2% are beer+wine travelers.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16916333101585
Xiangping Li, Virginia Meng-Chan Lau, Fiona X. Yang
The mental wellness of hospitality workers has been alarming since the onset of the pandemic. Underpinned by the Job Demand–Resource (JD–R) model and Conservation of Resources (COR) theory, this research examines the interactive effect of personal and job resources on burnout with job complexity exacerbated by the pandemic. Specifically, the research examines the relationships between job complexity, employee burnout, and organizational commitment. The research also scrutinizes the moderating effect of proactive personality on the job complexity–burnout nexus; and three-way interactions between job complexity, proactive personality, and two types of workplace support; namely organizational and supervisor support. A valid sample of 610 employees working in 5-star and 4-star hotels in Macao was analyzed with PLS-SEM and PROCESS. The results reveal that job complexity triggers employee burnout, which adversely influences organizational commitment. Surprisingly, a proactive personality does not mitigate the positive job complexity–burnout nexus. Instead, it aggravates the detrimental effect of job complexity. Fortunately, such detrimental impacts can be alleviated by organizational and supervisor support. The findings also offer practical insights for hotel practitioners to safeguard their employees’ well-being during an uncertain era.
{"title":"BUFFERING JOB DEMANDS AND BURNOUT: THE INTERPLAY BETWEEN PERSONAL AND JOB RESOURCES","authors":"Xiangping Li, Virginia Meng-Chan Lau, Fiona X. Yang","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16916333101585","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16916333101585","url":null,"abstract":"The mental wellness of hospitality workers has been alarming since the onset of the pandemic. Underpinned by the Job Demand–Resource (JD–R) model and Conservation of Resources (COR) theory, this research examines the interactive effect of personal and job resources on burnout with job complexity exacerbated by the pandemic. Specifically, the research examines the relationships between job complexity, employee burnout, and organizational commitment. The research also scrutinizes the moderating effect of proactive personality on the job complexity–burnout nexus; and three-way interactions between job complexity, proactive personality, and two types of workplace support; namely organizational and supervisor support. A valid sample of 610 employees working in 5-star and 4-star hotels in Macao was analyzed with PLS-SEM and PROCESS. The results reveal that job complexity triggers employee burnout, which adversely influences organizational commitment. Surprisingly, a proactive personality does not mitigate the positive job complexity–burnout nexus. Instead, it aggravates the detrimental effect of job complexity. Fortunately, such detrimental impacts can be alleviated by organizational and supervisor support. The findings also offer practical insights for hotel practitioners to safeguard their employees’ well-being during an uncertain era.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16819491034510
A. Arjomandi, Hassan F. Gholipour, Hassan Eshaghi Kenari, C. Hall, Siamak Seyfi
In response to the unprecedented circumstances resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, various national government policies were implemented to reduce the serious economic damage caused by the pandemic and attempts to control it. These policies generally aimed to kick-start domestic-led recoveries in many sectors. This study examines how different types of fiscal measures adopted by governments in response to this pandemic are associated with the growth of expenditure on domestic travel in 2020. Utilising data from 76 countries and applying OLS estimator and 2SLS regression (which mitigates the potential endogeneity problem), the study shows that governments’ additional spending and tax reductions (especially in non-health sectors) positively contributed to rising expenditure in domestic travel destinations. Similar results are found for countries which are very reliant on tourism. Our findings lend empirical support for Keynesian theory’s prediction concerning the effect of government spending and tax reduction on household consumption behaviour in the short run, particularly during periods of economic stress and uncertainty.
{"title":"ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSES TO COVID-19 AND EXPENDITURES ON DOMESTIC TRAVEL: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE","authors":"A. Arjomandi, Hassan F. Gholipour, Hassan Eshaghi Kenari, C. Hall, Siamak Seyfi","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16819491034510","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16819491034510","url":null,"abstract":"In response to the unprecedented circumstances resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, various national government policies were implemented to reduce the serious economic damage caused by the pandemic and attempts to control it. These policies generally aimed to kick-start domestic-led recoveries in many sectors. This study examines how different types of fiscal measures adopted by governments in response to this pandemic are associated with the growth of expenditure on domestic travel in 2020. Utilising data from 76 countries and applying OLS estimator and 2SLS regression (which mitigates the potential endogeneity problem), the study shows that governments’ additional spending and tax reductions (especially in non-health sectors) positively contributed to rising expenditure in domestic travel destinations. Similar results are found for countries which are very reliant on tourism. Our findings lend empirical support for Keynesian theory’s prediction concerning the effect of government spending and tax reduction on household consumption behaviour in the short run, particularly during periods of economic stress and uncertainty.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16898473535094
Alice Kondja, S. Filep, S. Mackenzie, A. Lo, Sera Vada
Despite a substantial history of research on the well-being of host communities at tourism destinations, the individual psychological well-being of local residents remains an underexplored topic. This study explores the psychological well-being of tourism host community members through a case study of Queenstown, New Zealand. By drawing on the self-determination theory, an innovative focus group analysis approach, micro-interlocutor analysis, complemented by thematic analysis, was used to explain the psychological well-being of individual host community members in a nature-based tourism destination. Findings revealed a sense of autonomy, relatedness to people and the natural environment, feelings of competence or mastery, and beneficence supported psychological well-being. This study extends prior research on the well-being of host communities by identifying key psychological well-being domains explicitly related to host community members. Practical implications of the findings are highlighted with reference to nature-based destinations.
{"title":"EXPLORING THE PSYCHOLOGICAL WELL-BEING OF TOURISM COMMUNITY MEMBERS THROUGH SELF-DETERMINATION THEORY: A CASE STUDY OF QUEENSTOWN, NEW ZEALAND","authors":"Alice Kondja, S. Filep, S. Mackenzie, A. Lo, Sera Vada","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16898473535094","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16898473535094","url":null,"abstract":"Despite a substantial history of research on the well-being of host communities at tourism destinations, the individual psychological well-being of local residents remains an underexplored topic. This study explores the psychological well-being of tourism host community members through a case study of Queenstown, New Zealand. By drawing on the self-determination theory, an innovative focus group analysis approach, micro-interlocutor analysis, complemented by thematic analysis, was used to explain the psychological well-being of individual host community members in a nature-based tourism destination. Findings revealed a sense of autonomy, relatedness to people and the natural environment, feelings of competence or mastery, and beneficence supported psychological well-being. This study extends prior research on the well-being of host communities by identifying key psychological well-being domains explicitly related to host community members. Practical implications of the findings are highlighted with reference to nature-based destinations.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16940197958841
Lori Pennington-Gray, E. Basurto-Cedeno, Christa Court, João-Pedro Ferreira
Diseases are increasing in prevalence around the world. American travelers are at greater risk of contracting the disease when traveling outside the country to an endemic region. The safety of visitors to mosquito-endemic destinations is more important than ever. Because a vaccine does not exist for prevention or as a prophylactic, tourists are in jeopardy of fatal sicknesses. Thus, if a vaccine existed, it would be important to understand the likelihood of taking such a vaccine. This study sought to identify specific demographic and attitudinal variables which may be the best predictors of the likelihood of getting a chikungunya vaccine. An online survey of U.S. travelers intending to travel to the Caribbean in the next 3-5 years was asked to respond to questions related to personal protection motivations, behaviors, and knowledge of chikungunya. Hierarchical logistic regression was used to determine the best predictor of getting a CHIK vaccine. Results suggested that the best predictor of getting the vaccine was Trust. Using scenarios and predicting the use of vaccines in today's environment are effective ways of determining vaccine support and the likelihood of engaging in this personal protective behavior. Such efforts can improve ways to manage, control, and message regarding chikungunya.
{"title":"VACCINE HESITANCY AMONG U.S. TRAVELERS","authors":"Lori Pennington-Gray, E. Basurto-Cedeno, Christa Court, João-Pedro Ferreira","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16940197958841","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16940197958841","url":null,"abstract":"Diseases are increasing in prevalence around the world. American travelers are at greater risk of contracting the disease when traveling outside the country to an endemic region. The safety of visitors to mosquito-endemic destinations is more important than ever. Because a vaccine does not exist for prevention or as a prophylactic, tourists are in jeopardy of fatal sicknesses. Thus, if a vaccine existed, it would be important to understand the likelihood of taking such a vaccine. This study sought to identify specific demographic and attitudinal variables which may be the best predictors of the likelihood of getting a chikungunya vaccine. An online survey of U.S. travelers intending to travel to the Caribbean in the next 3-5 years was asked to respond to questions related to personal protection motivations, behaviors, and knowledge of chikungunya. Hierarchical logistic regression was used to determine the best predictor of getting a CHIK vaccine. Results suggested that the best predictor of getting the vaccine was Trust. Using scenarios and predicting the use of vaccines in today's environment are effective ways of determining vaccine support and the likelihood of engaging in this personal protective behavior. Such efforts can improve ways to manage, control, and message regarding chikungunya.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16888926033350
Tariq Elrazaz, Usman Khalid, L. Okafor
This study examines the impact of economic stimulus policies on tourism-related firms’ stock prices, after movement restriction announcements, and differences in the relationships between economic policy responses and stock prices for large firms vis-à-vis small firms. Using a cross-section data of 888 firms from 56 countries listed on several stock exchanges, we find a positive and significant association between the COVID-19 economic stimulus index and 1- and 2-week average changes in tourism firms’ stock prices after movement restriction announcements. Tourism firms’ stock prices responded favorably to the introduction of macro-financial packages and monetary policies. This study complements the literature on stock market reactions during the pandemic and contributes to the growing body of literature examining its overall effect.
{"title":"STOCK PRICES AND COVID-19 STIMULUS POLICIES: EVIDENCE FROM TOURISM AND HOSPITALITY INDUSTRY","authors":"Tariq Elrazaz, Usman Khalid, L. Okafor","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16888926033350","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16888926033350","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the impact of economic stimulus policies on tourism-related firms’ stock prices, after movement restriction announcements, and differences in the relationships between economic policy responses and stock prices for large firms vis-à-vis small firms. Using a cross-section data of 888 firms from 56 countries listed on several stock exchanges, we find a positive and significant association between the COVID-19 economic stimulus index and 1- and 2-week average changes in tourism firms’ stock prices after movement restriction announcements. Tourism firms’ stock prices responded favorably to the introduction of macro-financial packages and monetary policies. This study complements the literature on stock market reactions during the pandemic and contributes to the growing body of literature examining its overall effect.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726317","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354223x16780588317125
Hazael Cerón-Monroy, José Ángel Díaz Rebolledo, Karla Adriana Palatto Tovar
Tourism is experiencing the worst crisis currently, with a fall of 73% in international arrivals worldwide. After the lockdown, it is time to analyze the recovery, but econometrics models that need historical data are obsolete. This study contributes with a survival model analysis to estimate the recovery of tourist demand amid the COVID-19 crisis. The model estimates the effect of two kinds of determinants that improve tourists’ confidence: theoretical and empirical, linked to the pandemic. Results show that prices are not statistically significant and the higher the income, the higher the probability of traveling. Job retention, promotions, ensuring the certification of health protocols, lower distance from residence to tourist destination, and social distancing will be the main driving factors for the next months. Affected salaries, new COVID-19 outbreaks, longer time to adapt to safety and hygiene protocols, and health check procedures in airports will be important determinants that will have a negative influence. Tourist demand recovery will mainly be boosted by short distances between tourists’ residences and destinations. Mexico has a latent tourist demand that will recover relatively fast.
{"title":"HOW FAST WILL THE TOURIST DEMAND RECOVERY BE IN THE CONTEXT OF COVID-19 IN MEXICO?","authors":"Hazael Cerón-Monroy, José Ángel Díaz Rebolledo, Karla Adriana Palatto Tovar","doi":"10.3727/108354223x16780588317125","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354223x16780588317125","url":null,"abstract":"Tourism is experiencing the worst crisis currently, with a fall of 73% in international arrivals worldwide. After the lockdown, it is time to analyze the recovery, but econometrics models that need historical data are obsolete. This study contributes with a survival model analysis to estimate the recovery of tourist demand amid the COVID-19 crisis. The model estimates the effect of two kinds of determinants that improve tourists’ confidence: theoretical and empirical, linked to the pandemic. Results show that prices are not statistically significant and the higher the income, the higher the probability of traveling. Job retention, promotions, ensuring the certification of health protocols, lower distance from residence to tourist destination, and social distancing will be the main driving factors for the next months. Affected salaries, new COVID-19 outbreaks, longer time to adapt to safety and hygiene protocols, and health check procedures in airports will be important determinants that will have a negative influence. Tourist demand recovery will mainly be boosted by short distances between tourists’ residences and destinations. Mexico has a latent tourist demand that will recover relatively fast.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.3727/108354222x16679373218172
Bo Zhou, Shijun Liu, L. Liu
This study adopts the paradigm of upper echelons theory (UET) and establishes a novel dataset covering the main characteristics of prefecture-level party secretaries in southwest China to investigate the association between local top officials’ traits and regional tourism economies. Empirical results show that a party secretary’s education and work experience significantly influence the development of regional tourism economies, and in most cases these influences are positive. These effects vary as the level of regional economic development and the quality of tourism resources change. These effects may be different for autonomous regions (for ethnic minorities) and non-autonomous regions. We find an inverted U-shaped relationship between the age of party secretaries and the performance of tourism economies. As an initial effort to identify the impact of regional officials, this study contributes to tourism economics and provides valuable implications for regional tourism development.
{"title":"LOCAL OFFICIALS AND REGIONAL TOURISM ECONOMIES","authors":"Bo Zhou, Shijun Liu, L. Liu","doi":"10.3727/108354222x16679373218172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354222x16679373218172","url":null,"abstract":"This study adopts the paradigm of upper echelons theory (UET) and establishes a novel dataset covering the main characteristics of prefecture-level party secretaries in southwest China to investigate the association between local top officials’ traits and regional tourism economies. Empirical results show that a party secretary’s education and work experience significantly influence the development of regional tourism economies, and in most cases these influences are positive. These effects vary as the level of regional economic development and the quality of tourism resources change. These effects may be different for autonomous regions (for ethnic minorities) and non-autonomous regions. We find an inverted U-shaped relationship between the age of party secretaries and the performance of tourism economies. As an initial effort to identify the impact of regional officials, this study contributes to tourism economics and provides valuable implications for regional tourism development.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69726162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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