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Tourism development and housing price: An interplay 旅游业发展与房价:相互作用
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-21 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231184792
Jun Zhang
This study underscores the significance of the nexus between tourism and housing price. Using panel data from 35 major cities in China, it employed the panel smooth transition regression approach to explore the interplay between tourism development and housing prices. Our findings showed a nonlinear tourism–housing price nexus. Specifically, tourism development can raise housing prices in a nonlinear way, indicating that this positive impact varies at different levels of tourism specialisation. Housing prices had an inverted U-shaped effect on tourism development. Several explanations for these empirical results are provided in the Discussion section, along with policy suggestions.
这项研究强调了旅游业和房价之间关系的重要性。利用中国35个主要城市的面板数据,采用面板平稳过渡回归方法探讨了旅游发展与房价之间的相互作用。我们的研究结果显示了旅游业与房价之间的非线性关系。具体而言,旅游业发展可以以非线性的方式提高房价,这表明这种积极影响在不同的旅游专业化水平上有所不同。房价对旅游业发展具有倒U型影响。讨论部分提供了对这些实证结果的几种解释,以及政策建议。
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引用次数: 1
Tourism development and income inequality in OECD countries: New insights from method of moments quantile regression 经合组织国家旅游业发展与收入不平等:矩分位数回归方法的新见解
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-19 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231184796
J. Chi
This paper aims to investigate the dynamic effects of tourism, economic growth, urbanization, trade openness, and globalization on income inequality in OECD countries. Using the novel method of moments quantile regression (MMQR) approach, we aim to provide new perspectives on the Kuznets curve hypothesis regarding the relationship between tourism and income inequality. The results indicate that from the 0.1 to 0.8 quantiles, the linear and cubic terms of the tourism variable positively affect income inequality, while the quadratic term has a negative impact on income inequality. These findings suggest that tourism growth is relinked with income inequality after an inverted U-shape, supporting the N-shape Kuznets curve hypothesis. Based on this evidence, tourism development may not be a sustainable solution for reducing the income gap in the long term. Our results also show a negative association between trade openness and income inequality, while urbanization is linked to unequal income distribution in most cases. Unlike other conditional mean techniques, the MMQR estimation reveals a significant linkage between globalization and income inequality from the 0.4 to 0.9 quantiles. These findings suggest that countries with stronger connections to the global economy may have more equal employment opportunities, thus decreasing income inequality.
本文旨在研究旅游业、经济增长、城市化、贸易开放和全球化对经合组织国家收入不平等的动态影响。使用矩分位数回归(MMQR)的新方法,我们的目的是为关于旅游业与收入不平等之间关系的库兹涅茨曲线假说提供新的视角。结果表明,在0.1至0.8的分位数范围内,旅游变量的线性项和三次项对收入不平等有正向影响,而二次项对收益不平等有负向影响。这些发现表明,在倒U型之后,旅游业增长与收入不平等重新挂钩,这支持了N型库兹涅茨曲线假说。根据这一证据,从长远来看,旅游业发展可能不是缩小收入差距的可持续解决方案。我们的研究结果还表明,贸易开放与收入不平等之间存在负相关,而在大多数情况下,城市化与收入分配不平等有关。与其他条件均值技术不同,MMQR估计揭示了全球化与0.4至0.9分位数的收入不平等之间的显著联系。这些发现表明,与全球经济联系更紧密的国家可能有更平等的就业机会,从而减少收入不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Tourism demand with subtle seasonality: Recognition and forecasting 具有微妙季节性的旅游需求:识别与预测
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-18 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231184300
Haiyan Wang, T. Hu, Huihui Wu
Existing studies on tourism seasonality have been mainly identified at annual or monthly level and the seasonality in tourism demand forecasting has always been addressed by modeling season patterns. However, annual or monthly seasonality is coarse-grained and can’t capture the subtle changes emerging both in tourism theory and practice. This study recognizes tourism seasonality based on intra-day patterns and inter-day similarity and suggests a novel approach to addressing seasonality in tourism demand forecasting. The proposed three-step method contains tourism seasonality recognition, tourism seasonality matching, and tourism demand forecasting. The empirical findings, based on two attractions in China, demonstrate that the proposed method based on dynamic time warping and density-peak clustering can precisely capture tourism seasonality at the daily level. The method can also detect special tourism periods or subtle changes in seasonality, such as staggered peak travel phenomenon. Superior forecasting performance with seasonality matching is also revealed. This study sheds new light on tourism seasonality recognition and contributes to forecasting methodology.
现有的旅游季节性研究主要在年度或月度层面进行,旅游需求预测中的季节性一直通过建模季节模式来解决。然而,年度或月度季节性是粗粒度的,无法捕捉到旅游理论和实践中出现的细微变化。本研究基于日内模式和日间相似性来识别旅游季节性,并提出了一种在旅游需求预测中解决季节性问题的新方法。所提出的三步方法包括旅游季节性识别、旅游季节性匹配和旅游需求预测。基于中国两个景点的实证结果表明,基于动态时间扭曲和密度峰值聚类的方法可以准确地捕捉日常旅游的季节性。该方法还可以检测特殊的旅游时段或季节性的细微变化,如错峰旅游现象。季节性匹配的优越预测性能也得到了揭示。这项研究为旅游季节性识别提供了新的思路,并有助于预测方法。
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引用次数: 0
Air transport capacity and tourism demand: A panel cointegration approach with cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) model 航空运输能力与旅游需求:具有截面增广自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)模型的面板协整方法
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-13 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231178355
Rockie U Kei Kuok, Tay T. R. Koo, C. Lim
This research aims to quantify the effect of air transport capacity on tourism demand by examining their long-term (cointegrating) relationship, accounting for cross-sectional dependence and endogeneity. Panel time series data from 2008Q1 to 2019Q4 for international tourist arrivals from 16 main origins to six Australian states are investigated. The study finds 1% increase in Available-Seat-Kilometers, seat capacity, or flight frequency can result in 0.4%–0.7% increase in tourist arrivals to Australia, adding to the body of evidence that shows a non-negligible aviation-led generative effect on tourism demand. The study finds ignoring cross-sectional dependence can result in significantly different, and potentially incorrect, coefficient estimates. Although using pre-COVID data, the results are useful in highlighting the likely aviation supply—tourism demand relations under reasonably well-performing market conditions. For greater tourism demand, findings call for more liberal international air services agreements, and direct/indirect air route development subsidies with minimum commitment of several years.
本研究旨在量化航空运输能力对旅游需求的影响,通过考察其长期(协整)关系,考虑横截面依赖和内生性。从2008年第一季度到2019年第四季度的面板时间序列数据,来自16个主要来源国到澳大利亚6个州的国际游客人数进行了调查。研究发现,可用座位公里数、座位容量或航班频率每增加1%,澳大利亚的游客人数就会增加0.4%-0.7%,进一步证明航空业对旅游需求产生了不可忽视的生成效应。研究发现,忽略横截面相关性会导致显著不同的、可能不正确的系数估计。尽管使用的是新冠肺炎前的数据,但结果有助于突出在表现相当良好的市场条件下可能的航空供需关系。为了增加旅游需求,调查结果要求更自由的国际航空服务协定和直接/间接航线发展补贴,最低承付期为几年。
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引用次数: 0
The gender wage gap across the wage distribution: Evidence in tourism at the sectoral level 工资分配中的性别工资差距:部门一级旅游业的证据
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231181266
Marina Marfil-Cotilla, J. A. Campos-Soria, Alejandro García-Pozo
We conducted a comparative study of the main determinants of the gender wage gap across the wage distribution in the tourism sector from a sectoral perspective. Using matched employer-employee data from Spain, we propose different wage decompositions across the wage distribution based on unconditional quantile regressions. In feminised sectors, such as hospitality and travel agencies, the gender wage gap follows an increasing trend across the wage distribution, whereas in masculinised sectors, such as transportation, the gap follows a decreasing trend, becoming non-significant at the highest wage levels. Except in the case of transportation, gender wage discrimination increases as wages increase and is the component that explains the major part of this gap. The results show that there are differential barriers to the promotion of women at a sectoral level that perpetuate gender roles, particularly in positions of high responsibility.
我们从部门角度对旅游业工资分配中性别工资差距的主要决定因素进行了比较研究。使用来自西班牙的匹配雇主-雇员数据,我们提出了基于无条件分位数回归的工资分布的不同工资分解。在女性化的行业,如酒店和旅行社,性别工资差距在整个工资分配中呈上升趋势,而在男性化的部门,如交通运输,这一差距呈下降趋势,在最高工资水平下变得不显著。除交通运输外,性别工资歧视随着工资的增加而增加,是造成这一差距的主要原因。结果表明,在部门一级晋升妇女方面存在着不同的障碍,这些障碍使性别角色长期存在,特别是在高责任职位上。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the tourism accommodation composition on housing prices: The case of Croatia 旅游住宿构成对房价的影响:以克罗地亚为例
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231180417
Maruška Vizek, Tajana Barbič, Anita Čeh Časni
The adverse effects booming tourism activity and peer-to-peer platforms on housing markets are well known, while the influence of relative changes in tourism accommodation composition on housing prices are not well understood. To shed more light on the issue, this paper employs the data set on housing prices and its main tourism, economic, and demographic determinants, for cities and municipalities in a tourism-dependent country. The results suggest more intensive tourism demand and the conversion of housing stock into rentals boost housing prices. The increase in the share of short-term rentals depresses prices, while in destinations where hotels and campsites become more prevalent prices increase. These findings could be attributed to the pricing-in effects of an increased supply of tourism amenities developed as part of hotels’ and campsites‘ product mix that improve the quality of life, and lower quality of life experienced at destinations where rentals are becoming more prevalent.
蓬勃发展的旅游活动和对等平台对住房市场的不利影响是众所周知的,而旅游住宿构成的相对变化对房价的影响还不太清楚。为了进一步阐明这一问题,本文采用了一个依赖旅游业的国家的城市和市镇的房价及其主要旅游、经济和人口决定因素的数据集。研究结果表明,更密集的旅游需求和住房存量转化为租金会推高房价。短期租赁份额的增加压低了价格,而在酒店和露营地更普遍的目的地,价格也会上涨。这些发现可能归因于作为酒店和露营地产品组合一部分开发的旅游设施供应增加的定价效应,这些产品组合提高了生活质量,以及在租金越来越普遍的目的地体验到的生活质量降低。
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引用次数: 0
Retirement and household tourism consumption—A case study in China 养老与家庭旅游消费——以中国为例
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/13548166221090170
Taotao Deng, Weishu Zhao, Yukun Hu
To date there has been little agreement on the effect of retirement on tourism consumption, and “retirement-tourism consumption puzzle” has not been empirically tested. Taking advantage of the mandatory retirement policy in China, this study adopts the fuzzy regression discontinuity design (RDD) approach to examine whether there is a “retirement-tourism consumption puzzle.” The findings indicate that the retirement of household heads significantly boosts household tourism consumption. The results also illustrate the considerable moderating effects of self-assessed health level and pension level on household tourism consumption. The research framework can be generalized to other countries to identify the effect of retirement on tourism consumption.
到目前为止,人们对退休对旅游消费的影响还没有达成一致,“退休旅游消费之谜”也没有经过实证检验。本研究利用中国的强制性退休政策,采用模糊回归不连续设计方法来检验是否存在“退休旅游消费难题”。研究结果表明,户主的退休显著促进了家庭旅游消费。研究结果还表明,自我评估的健康水平和养老金水平对家庭旅游消费具有相当大的调节作用。该研究框架可以推广到其他国家,以确定退休对旅游消费的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Developing innovation capability in the hotel industry, who and what is important? A mixed methods approach 发展酒店业的创新能力,谁和什么是重要的?一种混合方法
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231179840
V. Chandran, Tariq Ahmed, Fedwa Jebli, A. Josiassen, Eva M. Lang
This study employs a sequential mixed methods design to examine the dynamic roles of leadership, customer orientation, and customer collaboration on the innovation capability and performance of Malaysian hotels. An exploratory qualitative assessment based on semi-structured interviews was conducted to provide a comprehensive understanding of the contextual environment and establish a robust conceptual framework. A confirmatory survey among Malaysian hotel managers allowed for the empirical testing of the hypotheses. The results suggest that customer orientation is a key element that directly promotes hotels’ innovation capabilities. The results further show that the influence of customer collaboration on innovation can be enhanced by a transformational leader. Improvements in innovation capabilities have lasting effects on hotel performance, underscoring their strategic importance in the dynamic hospitality sector. These findings offer important implications for top management and decision-making personnel seeking to leverage innovation as a means of improving performance and gaining a competitive edge.
本研究采用顺序混合方法设计,考察领导力、客户导向和客户协作对马来西亚酒店创新能力和绩效的动态作用。在半结构化访谈的基础上进行了探索性定性评估,以全面了解上下文环境,并建立一个强有力的概念框架。一项针对马来西亚酒店经理的验证性调查允许对这些假设进行实证检验。研究结果表明,顾客导向是直接提升酒店创新能力的关键因素。研究结果进一步表明,转型型领导者可以增强客户协作对创新的影响。创新能力的提高对酒店业绩有着持久的影响,突显了其在充满活力的酒店业中的战略重要性。这些发现为寻求利用创新作为提高绩效和获得竞争优势的手段的高层管理人员和决策人员提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
Does World Heritage inscription promote regional tourism? Evidence from China 列入世界遗产是否促进了地区旅游?来自中国的证据
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/13548166221075453
Cheng Zhang, Wei Cheng, Wanli Zhang
Using the panel data from 2002 to 2018 of 287 prefecture-level cities in China and the propensity score matching–difference-in-differences method, our study sought to reexamine the effect of World Heritage inscription on regional tourism. The results show that World Heritage sites improve regional tourism significantly, further confirmed by a series of robustness tests. However, the arrival and revenue effects of World Heritage inscription on inbound tourism are not significant. Moreover, World Heritage sites generate significant tourism economic benefits for the eastern and western regions in China but not for the central region. Last, a mechanism analysis shows that tourism public services increase the arrival and revenue effects significantly. The conclusions provide important insights for governments and tourism operators regarding the sustainable development of World Heritage sites and regional tourism.
本研究利用2002年至2018年中国287个地级市的面板数据和倾向得分匹配-差异中的差异法,试图重新审视世界遗产对区域旅游的影响。结果表明,世界遗产地显著改善了区域旅游业,一系列稳健性测试进一步证实了这一点。然而,世界遗产对入境旅游的到达和收入影响并不显著。此外,世界遗产地为中国东西部地区带来了巨大的旅游经济效益,但对中部地区却没有。最后,机制分析表明,旅游公共服务显著增加了到达和收入效应。这些结论为各国政府和旅游运营商提供了关于世界遗产地可持续发展和区域旅游业的重要见解。
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引用次数: 6
The Nexus between tourism-energy-environmental degradation: Does financial development matter in GCC countries? 旅游业、能源和环境退化之间的联系:海湾合作委员会国家的金融发展重要吗?
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.1177/13548166231174812
Umer Farooq, M. Tabash, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan, Cem Işık, T. Dogru
Environmental sustainability, energy consumption, and tourism are the most discussed topics in the literature. However, limited studies have catered to the relationship among these variables. From this perspective: the current study aims to find the nexus between tourism, energy alternatives, financial development, and pollution emissions by targeting the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies. We employ the data of six GCC economies for the years 2000–2019 and adopt fully modified ordinary least square and generalized least square approaches to establish the regression. The findings reveal a positive impact on the number of tourist arrivals (ITAs) while a negative impact on tourism receipts on pollution emissions. Similarly, fossil fuel energy (FFE) shows a positive while renewable energy depicts a negative relationship with CO2 emissions. This positive impact of tourist arrivals and fossil fuel energy was moderated by financial development. In addition to individual analysis, the developed financial sector can help to reduce the negative externalities of ITA and FFE. The empirical analysis further documents the positive impact of all control variables including foreign investment, economic growth, and gross capital formation on CO2 emissions. Based on empirical results, it is recommended to bring financial development into the picture to reduce the negative impact of ITA and FFE on environmental quality. This study put forward the literature by adding innovative thoughts regarding the moderating role of financial development in the nexus between tourism, energy alternatives, and CO2 emissions.
环境可持续性、能源消耗和旅游业是文献中讨论最多的话题。然而,有限的研究迎合了这些变量之间的关系。从这个角度来看:目前的研究旨在通过针对海湾合作委员会(GCC)经济体,找到旅游业、能源替代品、金融发展和污染排放之间的联系。我们使用了海湾合作委员会六个经济体2000-2009年的数据,并采用完全修正的普通最小二乘法和广义最小二乘法来建立回归。研究结果表明,这对游客人数(ITA)产生了积极影响,而对污染排放对旅游收入产生了负面影响。同样,化石燃料能源(FFE)与二氧化碳排放呈现正相关,而可再生能源与二氧化碳排放呈负相关。旅游者和化石燃料能源的这种积极影响受到金融发展的调节。除了个人分析外,发达的金融部门还有助于减少ITA和FFE的负外部性。实证分析进一步证明了包括外国投资、经济增长和总资本形成在内的所有控制变量对二氧化碳排放的积极影响。根据实证结果,建议将金融发展纳入考虑范围,以减少ITA和FFE对环境质量的负面影响。这项研究提出了关于金融发展在旅游业、能源替代品和二氧化碳排放之间关系中的调节作用的创新思想。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Tourism Economics
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