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On Stochastic-User-Equilibrium-Based Day-to-Day Dynamics 基于随机用户均衡的日常动态
Pub Date : 2021-10-25 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1080
Hongbo Ye
Researchers have proposed many different concepts and models to study day-to-day dynamics. Some models explicitly model travelers’ perceiving and learning on travel costs, and some other models do not explicitly consider the travel cost perception but instead formulate the dynamics of flows as the functions of flows and measured travel costs (which are determined by flows). This paper investigates the interconnection between these two types of day-to-day models, in particular, those models whose fixed points are a stochastic user equilibrium. Specifically, a widely used day-to-day model that combines exponential-smoothing learning and logit stochastic network loading (called the logit-ESL model in this paper) is proved to be equivalent to a model based purely on flows, which is the logit-based extension of the first-in-first-out dynamic of Jin [Jin W (2007) A dynamical system model of the traffic assignment problem. Transportation Res. Part B Methodological 41(1):32–48]. Via this equivalent form, the logit-ESL model is proved to be globally stable under nonseparable and monotone travel cost functions. Moreover, the model of Cantarella and Cascetta is shown to be equivalent to a second-order dynamic incorporating purely flows and is proved to be globally stable under separable link cost functions [Cantarella GE, Cascetta E (1995) Dynamic processes and equilibrium in transportation networks: Towards a unifying theory. Transportation Sci. 29(4):305–329]. Further, other discrete choice models, such as C-logit, path-size logit, and weibit, are introduced into the logit-ESL model, leading to several new day-to-day models, which are also proved to be globally stable under different conditions.
研究人员提出了许多不同的概念和模型来研究日常动态。一些模型明确地模拟出行者对旅行成本的感知和学习,而另一些模型没有明确地考虑旅行成本感知,而是将流量的动态表述为流量和测量的旅行成本(由流量决定)的函数。本文研究了这两类日常模型之间的联系,特别是那些固定点为随机用户均衡的模型。具体而言,一种广泛使用的结合指数平滑学习和logit随机网络加载的日常模型(本文称为logit- esl模型)被证明等同于纯粹基于流量的模型,该模型是Jin [Jin W(2007)]的先入先出动态的基于logit的扩展。交通运输研究,B部分,方法学41(1):32-48。通过这种等价形式,证明了logit-ESL模型在不可分单调旅行代价函数下是全局稳定的。此外,Cantarella和Cascetta的模型被证明是一个包含纯流动的二阶动态模型,并被证明在可分离的链接成本函数下是全局稳定的[Cantarella GE, Cascetta E(1995):运输网络的动态过程和平衡:走向统一理论]。交通运输科学,29(4):305-329。此外,在logit- esl模型中引入了其他离散选择模型,如C-logit、路径大小logit和weibit,得到了几个新的日常模型,这些模型也被证明在不同条件下是全局稳定的。
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引用次数: 4
Robust Tactical Crew Scheduling Under Uncertain Demand 不确定需求下的鲁棒战术乘员调度
Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1073
Christian Rählmann, Felix Wagener, U. W. Thonemann
We analyze a tactical freight railway crew scheduling problem, when train drivers must be informed several weeks before operations about the start and end times and locations of their duties. Between informing the train drivers and start of operations, trip demand changes due to cancellations, new bookings, and reroutings of trains, which might result in mismatches between train driver capacity at a location and demand. We analyze an approach that incorporates uncertain trip demand as scenarios, such that the start and end times and locations of the duties of a crew schedule are recoverable robust against deviations in trip demand. We develop a column generation solution method that dynamically aggregates trips to duties and decomposes the subproblems into smaller, computationally tractable instances. Our model determines duty frames that cover duties in many scenarios, creating recoverable robust crew schedules. We test our model on three real data sets of a major European freight railway operator. Our results show that our schedules are considerably more recoverable robust than those of the nominal solution, resulting in smaller mismatches between train driver capacity and demand.
我们分析了一个战术货运铁路班组调度问题,当火车司机必须在操作前几周被告知他们的职责的开始和结束时间和地点。在通知火车司机和开始运营之间,由于取消、新的预订和火车改道,旅行需求会发生变化,这可能导致火车司机在一个地点的能力和需求之间的不匹配。我们分析了一种将不确定的旅行需求作为场景的方法,这样,机组人员时间表的开始和结束时间和位置对于旅行需求的偏差是可恢复的。我们开发了一种列生成解决方法,该方法动态地聚合到任务的行程,并将子问题分解为更小的,计算上可处理的实例。我们的模型确定了覆盖许多场景的任务框架,创建了可恢复的健壮的机组时间表。我们在欧洲主要货运铁路运营商的三个真实数据集上测试了我们的模型。我们的结果表明,我们的时间表比名义解决方案具有更强的可恢复鲁棒性,导致列车驾驶员能力和需求之间的不匹配较小。
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引用次数: 1
Comment on Modified Fare Ratio in a Two-Class Static Revenue Management Model with Buy-up Behavior 考虑购买行为的两类静态收益管理模型中修正票价比率的评论
Pub Date : 2021-10-19 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1082
H. Takagi
We review the optimal booking limit in the two-class static revenue management model with customers’ buy-up behavior. This is when a deterministic fraction of the low-fare customer class that cannot book early are willing to book the higher fare later. This simple model with dependent demands is difficult to analyze. Some well-known publications, such as Talluri and van Ryzin ( 2004 ) and Phillips ( 2005 ), treat this model incorrectly. In this note, we correct an erroneous formula for the modified fare ratio with the proper probabilistic interpretation. The correction was established previously by Brumelle et al. ( 1990 ). Numerical examples reveal that the corrected modified fare ratio provides a lower optimal booking limit, resulting in a higher expected revenue than those obtained by using the incorrect modified fare ratio.
我们考察了考虑顾客购买行为的两类静态收益管理模型的最优预订限制。这是指无法提前预订的低价乘客中有一定比例的人愿意晚些时候预订高价机票。这种具有依赖需求的简单模型很难分析。一些著名的出版物,如Talluri和van Ryzin(2004)和Phillips(2005),错误地对待了这个模型。在本文中,我们用适当的概率解释修正了修正后的车费比的一个错误公式。这一修正先前由Brumelle等人(1990)建立。数值算例表明,修正后的修正票价比使用不正确的修正票价比获得的期望收益更高,而修正后的票价比提供的最优预订限制更低。
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引用次数: 0
A Learning-Based Optimization Approach for Autonomous Ridesharing Platforms with Service-Level Contracts and On-Demand Hiring of Idle Vehicles 一种基于学习的基于服务水平契约和空闲车辆按需租赁的自动拼车平台优化方法
Pub Date : 2021-10-13 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1069
B. Beirigo, Frederik Schulte, R. Negenborn
Current mobility services cannot compete on equal terms with self-owned mobility products concerning service quality. Because of supply and demand imbalances, ridesharing users invariably experience delays, price surges, and rejections. Traditional approaches often fail to respond to demand fluctuations adequately because service levels are, to some extent, bounded by fleet size. With the emergence of autonomous vehicles, however, the characteristics of mobility services change and new opportunities to overcome the prevailing limitations arise. In this paper, we consider an autonomous ridesharing problem in which idle vehicles are hired on-demand in order to meet the service-level requirements of a heterogeneous user base. In the face of uncertain demand and idle vehicle supply, we propose a learning-based optimization approach that uses the dual variables of the underlying assignment problem to iteratively approximate the marginal value of vehicles at each time and location under different availability settings. These approximations are used in the objective function of the optimization problem to dispatch, rebalance, and occasionally hire idle third-party vehicles in a high-resolution transportation network of Manhattan, New York City. The results show that the proposed policy outperforms a reactive optimization approach in a variety of vehicle availability scenarios while hiring fewer vehicles. Moreover, we demonstrate that mobility services can offer strict service-level contracts to different user groups featuring both delay and rejection penalties.
目前的移动出行服务在服务质量上无法与自有移动出行产品进行平等竞争。由于供需失衡,拼车用户总是会遇到延误、价格飙升和拒绝。传统方法往往不能充分应对需求波动,因为服务水平在某种程度上受到机队规模的限制。然而,随着自动驾驶汽车的出现,移动服务的特征发生了变化,并出现了克服当前限制的新机会。在本文中,我们考虑了一个自动拼车问题,其中空闲车辆被按需租用,以满足异构用户群的服务水平要求。面对需求不确定和车辆闲置的情况,我们提出了一种基于学习的优化方法,利用底层分配问题的双变量来迭代逼近不同可用性设置下每个时间和地点的车辆边际值。这些近似用于优化问题的目标函数中,以在纽约市曼哈顿的高分辨率交通网络中调度、再平衡和偶尔租用闲置的第三方车辆。结果表明,在使用较少车辆的情况下,提出的策略在各种车辆可用性场景下优于响应式优化方法。此外,我们证明了移动服务可以为不同的用户群体提供严格的服务水平合同,其中包括延迟和拒绝处罚。
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引用次数: 9
Scheduling Tugboats in a Seaport 海港拖船调度
Pub Date : 2021-10-08 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1079
Shuai Jia, Shuqin Li, Xudong Lin, Xiaohong Chen
In a seaport, vessels need the assistance of tugboats when mooring and unmooring. Tugboats assist a vessel by pushing or towing the vessel’s tug points, and the vessel can moor (or unmoor) successfully only if each of the tug points is operated with sufficient horsepower. For a busy port where vessels frequently require the service of tugboats, effectively scheduling tugboats for serving incoming and outgoing vessels is a key to successful execution of the vessels’ berth plans. In this paper, we study a tugboat scheduling problem in a busy port, where incoming and outgoing vessels frequently require the assistance of tugboats, but the number of available tugboats is limited. We make use of a network representation of the problem and develop an integer programming formulation, which takes into account the berth plans of vessels, the tug points of vessels for different move types, and the horsepower requirements of the tug points, to minimize the weighted sum of the berthing and departure tardiness of vessels, the operating cost of tugboats, and the number of vessels that cannot be served successfully. We analyze the computational complexity of the problem and develop a novel iterative solution method, which combines Lagrangian relaxation and Benders decomposition, for generating near-optimal solutions. Computational performance of the proposed solution method is evaluated on problem instances generated from the operational data of a container port in Shanghai.
在海港,船舶在系泊和解系泊时需要拖船的协助。拖船通过推动或拖曳船只的拖轮点来帮助船只,只有当每个拖轮点都有足够的马力时,船只才能成功地停泊(或离开)。对于一个繁忙的港口,船舶经常需要拖船服务,有效地安排拖船为进出船舶服务是船舶泊位计划成功执行的关键。本文研究了繁忙港口中拖船调度问题,该问题中进出港口的船舶经常需要拖船的辅助,但可用的拖船数量有限。利用该问题的网络表示,提出了一个考虑船舶泊位规划、不同移动类型船舶的拖轮点和拖轮点马力要求的整数规划公式,以使船舶靠泊和离港延误的加权和、拖船的运营成本和不能成功服务的船舶数量最小。我们分析了该问题的计算复杂性,并提出了一种新的迭代求解方法,该方法将拉格朗日松弛和Benders分解相结合,用于生成近最优解。以上海某集装箱港口运营数据为例,对所提求解方法的计算性能进行了评价。
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引用次数: 9
Hub Location, Routing, and Route Dimensioning: Strategic and Tactical Intermodal Transportation Hub Network Design 枢纽位置,路线和路线尺寸:战略和战术多式联运枢纽网络设计
Pub Date : 2021-10-05 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1070
Barış Yıldız, H. Yaman, O. Karasan
We propose a novel hub location model that jointly eliminates some of the traditional assumptions on the structure of the network and on the discount as a result of economies of scale in an effort to better reflect real-world logistics and transportation systems. Our model extends the hub literature in various facets: instead of connecting nonhub nodes directly to hub nodes, we consider routes with stopovers; instead of connecting pairs of hubs directly, we design routes that can visit several hub nodes; rather than dimensioning pairwise connections, we dimension routes of vehicles; and rather than working with a homogeneous fleet, we use intermodal transportation. Decisions pertinent to strategic and tactical hub location and transportation network design are concurrently made through the proposed optimization scheme. An effective branch-and-cut algorithm is developed to solve realistically sized problem instances and to provide managerial insights.
我们提出了一种新的枢纽定位模型,该模型共同消除了一些关于网络结构的传统假设,以及由于规模经济而产生的折扣,以更好地反映现实世界的物流和运输系统。我们的模型在各个方面扩展了枢纽文献:我们考虑带有中途停留的路线,而不是将非枢纽节点直接连接到枢纽节点;我们不是直接连接集线器对,而是设计可以访问多个集线器节点的路线;我们没有对成对连接进行量纲化,而是对车辆的路线进行量纲化;我们使用多式联运,而不是单一的车队。通过提出的优化方案,对战略战术枢纽选址和交通网络设计进行决策。开发了一种有效的分支切断算法来解决实际规模的问题实例并提供管理见解。
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引用次数: 9
The Competitive Pickup and Delivery Orienteering Problem for Balancing Car-Sharing Systems 平衡汽车共享系统的竞争性取货定向问题
Pub Date : 2021-10-05 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1041
Layla Martin, S. Minner, Diogo Poças, Andreas S. Schulz
Competition between one-way car-sharing operators is currently increasing. Fleet relocation as a means to compensate demand imbalances constitutes a major cost factor in a business with low profit margins. Existing decision support models have so far ignored the aspect of a competitor when the fleet is rebalanced for better availability. We present mixed-integer linear programming formulations for a pickup and delivery orienteering problem under different business models with multiple (competing) operators. Structural solution properties, including existence of equilibria and bounds on losses as a result of competition, of the competitive pickup and delivery problem under the restrictions of unit-demand stations, homogeneous payoffs, and indifferent customers based on results for congestion games are derived. Two algorithms to find a Nash equilibrium for real-life instances are proposed. One can find equilibria in the most general case; the other can only be applied if the game can be represented as a congestion game, that is, under the restrictions of homogeneous payoffs, unit-demand stations, and indifferent customers. In a numerical study, we compare different business models for car-sharing operations, including a merger between operators and outsourcing relocation operations to a common service provider (coopetition). Gross profit improvements achieved by explicitly incorporating competitor decisions are substantial, and the presence of competition decreases gross profits for all operators (compared with a merger). Using a Munich, Germany, case study, we quantify the gross profit gains resulting from considering competition as approximately 35% (over assuming absence of competition) and 12% (over assuming that the competitor is omnipresence) and the losses because of the presence of competition to be approximately 10%.
目前,单向共享汽车运营商之间的竞争正在加剧。机队搬迁作为补偿需求不平衡的一种手段,在利润率较低的企业中构成了一个主要的成本因素。到目前为止,现有的决策支持模型在重新平衡机队以获得更好的可用性时忽略了竞争对手的方面。针对不同商业模式下具有多个(竞争)运营商的取货和送货定向问题,提出了混合整数线性规划公式。基于拥堵博弈的结果,导出了单位需求站点、同质收益和冷漠客户约束下的竞争性取货问题的结构解的性质,包括均衡的存在性和由于竞争造成的损失的边界。提出了两种求解现实生活中纳什均衡的算法。我们可以在最一般的情况下找到均衡;另一种只有在博弈可以表示为拥堵博弈时才适用,即在同质收益、单位需求站和冷漠客户的限制下。在一项数值研究中,我们比较了汽车共享业务的不同商业模式,包括运营商之间的合并和将业务外包给共同服务提供商(合作)。通过明确纳入竞争对手的决策,实现毛利润的提高是实质性的,竞争的存在降低了所有运营商的毛利润(与合并相比)。使用德国慕尼黑的案例研究,我们将考虑竞争所产生的毛利润收益量化为约35%(超过假设没有竞争)和12%(超过假设竞争对手无处不在),而竞争造成的损失约为10%。
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引用次数: 6
Robust Stochastic Models for Profit-Maximizing Hub Location Problems 利润最大化枢纽定位问题的鲁棒随机模型
Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1064
Gita Taherkhani, Sibel A. Alumur, M. Hosseini
This paper introduces robust stochastic models for profit -maximizing capacitated hub location problems in which two different types of uncertainty, including stochastic demand and uncertain revenue, are simultaneously incorporated into the problem. First, a two-stage stochastic program is presented in which demand and revenue are jointly stochastic. Next, robust stochastic models are developed to better model uncertainty in the revenue while keeping the demand stochastic. Two particular cases are studied based on the dependency between demand and revenue. In the first case, a robust stochastic model with a min-max regret objective is developed assuming a finite set of scenarios that describes uncertainty associated with the revenue under a revenue-elastic demand setting. For the case when demand and revenue are independent, robust stochastic models with a max-min criterion and a min-max regret objective are formulated considering both interval uncertainty and discrete scenarios, respectively. It is proved that the robust stochastic version with max-min criterion can be viewed as a special case of the min-max regret stochastic model. Exact algorithms based on Benders decomposition coupled with a sample average approximation scheme are proposed. Exploiting the repetitive nature of sample average approximation, generic acceleration methodologies are developed to enhance the performance of the algorithms enabling them to solve large-scale intractable instances. Extensive computational experiments are performed to consider the efficiency of the proposed algorithms and also to analyze the effects of uncertainty under different settings. The qualities of the solutions obtained from different modeling approaches are compared under various parameter settings. Computational results justify the need to solve robust stochastic models to embed uncertainty in decision making to design resilient hub networks.
本文引入了利润最大化有容轮毂定位问题的鲁棒随机模型,该模型同时考虑了两种不同类型的不确定性,即随机需求和不确定性收益。首先,提出了需求和收益共同随机的两阶段随机规划。其次,建立鲁棒随机模型,在保持需求随机的同时更好地模拟收益的不确定性。基于需求和收益之间的依赖关系,研究了两个特定的案例。在第一种情况下,开发了一个具有最小-最大后悔目标的鲁棒随机模型,假设一组有限的场景,描述了在收入弹性需求设置下与收入相关的不确定性。对于需求和收益独立的情况,分别考虑区间不确定性和离散情景,建立了具有最大-最小准则和最小-最大后悔目标的鲁棒随机模型。证明了具有最大-最小准则的鲁棒随机模型可以看作是最小-最大后悔随机模型的一种特例。提出了基于Benders分解和样本平均近似的精确算法。利用样本平均近似的重复性,开发了通用加速方法来提高算法的性能,使其能够解决大规模棘手的实例。进行了大量的计算实验,以考虑所提出算法的效率,并分析了不同设置下不确定性的影响。比较了不同建模方法在不同参数设置下得到的解的质量。计算结果证明需要求解鲁棒随机模型来嵌入决策中的不确定性来设计弹性枢纽网络。
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引用次数: 11
An Improved Integral Column Generation Algorithm Using Machine Learning for Aircrew Pairing 一种基于机器学习的机组配对积分列生成改进算法
Pub Date : 2021-09-24 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1084
Tahir, F. Quesnel, G. Desaulniers, I. Hallaoui, Yassine Yaakoubi, Adil Tahir, F. Quesnel, G. Desaulniers, I. Hallaoui, Yassine Yaakoubi
The crew-pairing problem (CPP) is solved in the first step of the crew-scheduling process. It consists of creating a set of pairings (sequence of flights, connections, and rests forming one or multiple days of work for an anonymous crew member) that covers a given set of flights at minimum cost. Those pairings are assigned to crew members in a subsequent crew-rostering step. In this paper, we propose a new integral column-generation algorithm for the CPP, called improved integral column generation with prediction ([Formula: see text]), which leaps from one integer solution to another until a near-optimal solution is found. Our algorithm improves on previous integral column-generation algorithms by introducing a set of reduced subproblems. Those subproblems only contain flight connections that have a high probability of being selected in a near-optimal solution and are, therefore, solved faster. We predict flight-connection probabilities using a deep neural network trained in a supervised framework. We test [Formula: see text] on several real-life instances and show that it outperforms a state-of-the-art integral column-generation algorithm as well as a branch-and-price heuristic commonly used in commercial airline planning software, in terms of both solution costs and computing times. We highlight the contributions of the neural network to [Formula: see text].
在船员调度过程的第一步,解决了船员配对问题。它包括创建一组配对(航班序列、连接和休息,形成匿名机组成员一天或多天的工作),以最低成本覆盖给定的一组航班。这些配对将在随后的船员名册步骤中分配给船员。在本文中,我们为CPP提出了一种新的积分列生成算法,称为带预测的改进积分列生成(公式:见文本),它从一个整数解跳到另一个整数解,直到找到近最优解。该算法通过引入一组简化子问题,改进了以前的积分列生成算法。这些子问题只包含航班连接,这些航班连接在接近最优解中被选择的概率很高,因此求解速度更快。我们使用在监督框架中训练的深度神经网络来预测航班连接概率。我们在几个实际实例中测试了[公式:见文本],并表明它在解决方案成本和计算时间方面优于最先进的积分列生成算法以及商业航空公司规划软件中常用的分支和价格启发式算法。我们强调了神经网络对[公式:见文本]的贡献。
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引用次数: 9
Robotic Sorting Systems: Performance Estimation and Operating Policies Analysis 机器人分拣系统:性能评估和操作策略分析
Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.1287/trsc.2021.1053
Bipan Zou, R. Koster, Y. Gong, Xianhao Xu, Guwen Shen
Many distribution centers use expensive, conveyor-based sorting systems that require large buildings to house them. In areas with tight space, robotic sorting systems offer a new type of solution to sort parcels by destination. Such systems are highly flexible in throughput capacity and are now gradually being introduced, particularly in express companies. This paper studies robotic sorting system with two layouts. The first layout has two tiers: robots drive on the top tier and sort parcels by destination on spiral conveyors connected to roll containers at the lower tier. The second layout has a single tier with input and output points located at the perimeter, connected by robots. For each layout, we consider both the shortest path topology via dual-lane aisles and the detour path topology via single-lane aisles. We build closed queueing networks for performance estimation, design an iterative procedure to investigate robot congestion in the two-tier layout, and use a traffic flow function to estimate robot congestion in the single-tier layout. Random, closest, dedicated, and shortest-queue robot-to-loading-station assignment rules are examined. We validate analytical models by both simulation and a real case of Deppon Express and analyze the optimal system size and operating policies for throughput capacity and operating cost. The results show that the system throughput capacity is significantly affected by robot congestion in the single-tier layout with the detour path topology, but it is only slightly affected in the other systems. A square layout fits the shortest path and a rectangular layout fits the detour path. Both the random assignment rule and the shortest-queue assignment rule are superior for a large number of robots, whereas the dedicated assignment rule is superior for a small number of robots. We apply these insights at Deppon Express for different allocations in peak and off-peak hours. Our analysis shows that a robotic sorting system typically has lower overall annual cost than a traditional cross-belt sorting system when the required throughput capacity is not too large.
许多配送中心使用昂贵的、基于传送带的分拣系统,需要很大的建筑来容纳它们。在空间狭小的地区,机器人分拣系统为按目的地分拣包裹提供了一种新型的解决方案。这种系统在吞吐能力方面非常灵活,目前正在逐步引入,特别是在快递公司。本文研究了具有两种布局的机器人分拣系统。第一种布局有两层:机器人在顶层驱动,通过与下层滚动集装箱相连的螺旋输送机按目的地分拣包裹。第二种布局是单层的,输入和输出点位于周边,由机器人连接。对于每种布局,我们都考虑了双车道通道的最短路径拓扑和单车道通道的绕行路径拓扑。我们建立了封闭排队网络进行性能估计,设计了一个迭代过程来研究两层布局下的机器人拥塞,并使用交通流函数来估计单层布局下的机器人拥塞。研究了随机、最接近、专用和最短队列机器人到装载站的分配规则。我们通过仿真和德邦快递的实际案例验证了分析模型,并分析了吞吐量和运营成本的最佳系统规模和运营策略。结果表明,在绕行路径拓扑的单层布局中,机器人拥塞对系统吞吐能力有显著影响,而在其他系统中,机器人拥塞对系统吞吐能力影响较小。正方形布局适合最短路径,矩形布局适合绕行路径。随机分配规则和最短队列分配规则在机器人数量大的情况下更优,而专用分配规则在机器人数量小的情况下更优。在德邦快递,我们将这些见解应用于高峰和非高峰时段的不同配置。我们的分析表明,当所需的吞吐量不太大时,机器人分拣系统通常比传统的交叉带分拣系统的年总成本更低。
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引用次数: 16
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