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An unrealized desire: what slows the implementation of energy communities in Catalonia? 一个未实现的愿望:是什么阻碍了加泰罗尼亚能源社区的实施?
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102120
Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod
The transition to a sustainable energy model requires a broad social consensus to succeed. However, there is currently limited research on the factors influencing individual acceptance of specific energy transition tools, such as Energy Communities (ECs), a gap this paper aims to address. Specifically, we examine whether the determinants of current willingness to join ECs are the same as those influencing future willingness. This question is particularly relevant, as some individuals delay their participation in pro-environmental actions in anticipation of better future conditions, a behaviour that ultimately slows the energy transition. Using survey data from 1840 individuals in Catalonia (Spain), our findings reveal that the same factors do not necessarily shape current and future intentions to join ECs. This insight suggests the need for policy measures that address current dissatisfaction with ECs and promote future acceptance.
向可持续能源模式的过渡需要取得广泛的社会共识才能成功。然而,目前对影响个人接受特定能源转型工具(如能源社区(ec))的因素的研究有限,本文旨在解决这一空白。具体而言,我们考察了当前加入共同体意愿的决定因素是否与影响未来意愿的决定因素相同。这个问题尤其重要,因为一些人因为预期未来条件会更好而推迟参与亲环境行动,这种行为最终会减缓能源转型。通过对加泰罗尼亚(西班牙)1840名个人的调查数据,我们的研究结果表明,相同的因素并不一定会影响当前和未来加入欧共体的意愿。这一见解表明,需要采取政策措施来解决当前对ec的不满,并促进未来的接受。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate transitioning to electric vehicle fleets: charging tariffs, total cost of ownership, and the potential for load flexibility 企业向电动车队的过渡:收费、总拥有成本和负载灵活性的潜力
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102119
Ramith Wimalaratna, Alexandr Akimov, Shyama Ratnasiri
This study estimates the total cost of ownership of corporate battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) in Australia across a range of charging scenarios. It finds that time-varying tariffs have the potential to drive down the costs of vehicle ownership if charging is done at a time when greener and (often) cheaper electricity is available. The degree of benefit varies with several key parameters and operational characteristics, so efficient charging requires careful planning. With the right incentives and infrastructure in place, BEV fleets can serve as a valuable resource for load flexibility for grid operators.
这项研究估算了澳大利亚企业在各种充电场景下拥有纯电动汽车(bev)的总成本。研究发现,如果充电是在更环保、(通常)更便宜的电力可用的时候进行,时变电价有可能降低汽车拥有成本。效益程度随几个关键参数和操作特性而变化,因此高效充电需要仔细规划。有了适当的激励措施和基础设施,纯电动汽车车队可以成为电网运营商提高负载灵活性的宝贵资源。
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引用次数: 0
Incentive model for fair and resilient peer-to-peer energy trading based on the time value of money 基于货币时间价值的公平弹性点对点能源交易激励模型
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102122
Mayank Arora , Gururaj Mirle Vishwanath , Ankush Sharma , Naveen Chilamkurti
Peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading among residential prosumers requires incentive mechanisms that adapt to dynamic grid conditions and emergencies. We propose a novel Time Value of Money (TVM) based incentive model that adjusts rewards and penalties over time to promote early energy transactions, ensuring fairness and resilience. Under normal grid conditions, our TVM scheme achieves an average fairness index of 0.91 (10% higher than a conventional double-auction approach) and increases total energy shared by 12%. During a 24-hour resilience event, fairness increases by 0.94 (versus 0.85) and energy shared grows by 18%, while average per-prosumer incentives rise by 25%. Sensitivity analysis across community sizes (33-200 prosumers) demonstrates that the TVM model maintains fairness above 0.87 and scales energy sharing linearly with network size, even under 20% higher demand. These results confirm that our TVM mechanism consistently outperforms traditional methods in efficiency, equity, and emergency responsiveness.
住宅生产用户之间的点对点(P2P)能源交易需要适应动态电网条件和紧急情况的激励机制。我们提出了一种新颖的基于时间价值(TVM)的激励模型,该模型随着时间的推移调整奖励和惩罚,以促进早期能源交易,确保公平和弹性。在正常电网条件下,我们的TVM方案实现了0.91的平均公平指数(比传统的双拍卖方法高10%),并将总能源共享增加了12%。在24小时的弹性活动中,公平性提高了0.94(对0.85),能量共享增加了18%,而每个生产消费者的平均激励提高了25%。跨社区规模(33-200个产消者)的敏感性分析表明,TVM模型保持了0.87以上的公平性,即使在需求增加20%的情况下,能量共享也与网络规模呈线性关系。这些结果证实,我们的TVM机制在效率、公平性和应急响应能力方面始终优于传统方法。
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引用次数: 0
The financial impact and minimization strategy of invisible photovoltaic installations in Thailand 泰国隐形光伏装置的财务影响和最小化策略
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102116
Wutthipum Kanchana, Jai Govind Singh, Weerakorn Ongsakul
The growing integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems in Thailand is primarily driven by declining system costs and incentive schemes. This trend has concurrently led to the challenge of “invisible” PV installations. These installations fall into two categories: (1) exceeding the contracted specification, and (2) unnotified behind-the-meter connections that result in unintended meter reversal (‘meter-run-backward’). This study examines the financial evaluation of invisible PV installations by comparing their profitability with that of business-as-usual (BAU) projects. The analysis focuses on both centralized and residential PV systems under various incentive schemes, including Net Billing and Net Energy Metering.
Our finding reveals a significant economic distortion that the Net Present Value (NPV) of a centralized PV project incorporating hidden (invisible) capacity can increase by as much as 20.54 % relative to a baseline scenario, representing an average 6.53 % improvement over BAU compliance. Similarly, residential systems integrating invisible PV capacity achieve an average NPV enhancement of 26 % compared to BAU projects. To mitigate this issue, this research proposes a minimization strategy featuring an on-top penalty fee. Sensitivity analysis shows that the proposed fee structure, when strategically set within the 0.07–0.08 USD/kWh range, achieves the reduction in unauthorized project returns. This range is set explicitly below the average retail tariff rate but above the system's Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), thereby promoting fairness while effectively disincentivizing invisible PV adoption and addressing a critical gap in energy policy.
泰国太阳能光伏(PV)系统的日益一体化主要是由系统成本下降和奖励计划推动的。这一趋势同时也带来了“隐形”光伏装置的挑战。这些安装分为两类:(1)超出合同规格;(2)未通知的表后连接导致意外的仪表反转(“仪表倒跑”)。本研究通过将隐形光伏装置的盈利能力与常规商业(BAU)项目的盈利能力进行比较,对其进行财务评估。分析的重点是集中式和住宅光伏系统在各种激励方案下,包括净账单和净能源计量。我们的发现揭示了一个显著的经济扭曲,一个包含隐藏(不可见)容量的集中式光伏项目的净现值(NPV)相对于基线情景可以增加20.54%,比BAU合规平均提高6.53%。同样,与BAU项目相比,集成隐形光伏容量的住宅系统平均净现值提高了26%。为了缓解这一问题,本研究提出了一种以最高罚款为特征的最小化策略。敏感性分析表明,当策略设置在0.07-0.08美元/千瓦时范围内时,可实现对未授权项目收益的降低。该范围明确设定为低于平均零售电价,但高于系统的平准化能源成本(LCOE),从而促进了公平,同时有效地抑制了隐形光伏的采用,并解决了能源政策中的一个关键缺口。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence assets and energy markets: Risk correlation dynamics and determinants 人工智能资产和能源市场:风险相关动态和决定因素
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102118
Min Liu , Jianzhong Huang , Shuai Liu
Energy market stability is vital for global economic growth, yet increasing financial, geopolitical, and climate uncertainties have heightened cross-market risks. Although artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative driver of technology and energy systems, its financial connections to energy markets remain underexplored. Existing studies primarily focus on traditional assets or clean energy linkages, overlooking AI as a distinct asset class in global risk transmission. This study investigates the dynamic risk correlations between AI assets and energy markets using a mixed-frequency DCC-MIDAS(-X) framework over the period March 2018 to December 2023, encompassing major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2022 energy crisis. The results reveal four key findings. (1) AI assets act as an effective hedge for natural gas and China's INE crude oil and a moderate diversifier for WTI, Brent, gasoline, and gas oil. (2) A persistently strong correlation exists between AI and clean energy, reflecting deep technological and investment integration. (3) Pronounced regional heterogeneity is identified: Western benchmarks exhibit stronger AI linkages than Asian and Middle Eastern markets. (4) Dollar fluctuation, climate policy uncertainty, and economic policy uncertainty significantly strengthen AI-energy correlations, while trade and geopolitical risks have weak effects. Overall, the findings highlight the growing financial interconnectedness between the technology and energy sectors. The study contributes by incorporating a regional comparative perspective and identifying macro-policy drivers of AI-energy linkages, offering implications for coordinated policy design and strategic portfolio diversification.
能源市场稳定对全球经济增长至关重要,但日益增加的金融、地缘政治和气候不确定性加剧了跨市场风险。尽管人工智能(AI)已成为技术和能源系统的变革性驱动力,但其与能源市场的金融联系仍未得到充分探索。现有的研究主要集中在传统资产或清洁能源的联系上,忽视了人工智能在全球风险传递中的独特资产类别。本研究使用混合频率DCC-MIDAS(-X)框架,调查了2018年3月至2023年12月期间人工智能资产与能源市场之间的动态风险相关性,包括COVID-19大流行和2022年能源危机等重大事件。研究结果揭示了四个关键发现。(1)人工智能资产是天然气和中国INE原油的有效对冲工具,也是WTI、布伦特、汽油和天然气的适度多元化工具。(2)人工智能与清洁能源之间存在持续的强相关性,体现了技术与投资的深度融合。(3)发现了明显的区域异质性:西方基准比亚洲和中东市场表现出更强的人工智能联系。(4)美元波动、气候政策不确定性和经济政策不确定性显著增强了人工智能-能源相关性,而贸易和地缘政治风险的影响较弱。总体而言,研究结果突显了科技和能源部门之间日益增长的金融互联性。该研究的贡献在于纳入了区域比较视角,并确定了人工智能-能源联系的宏观政策驱动因素,为协调政策设计和战略组合多样化提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
The role of consumer behavior in the market for solar panels in Serbia 消费者行为在塞尔维亚太阳能电池板市场中的作用
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102113
Dragana Nikolić Ristić , Nenad Đokić , Suzana Đukić
The paper examines the significance of sustainable development and energy efficiency, particularly in household energy conservation. The research focuses on household energy efficiency, including purchases related to solar panel adoption. The motivation for this research was to raise awareness of the importance of utilizing renewable energy sources in Serbia. In this context, a dynamic approach to the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) was applied to analyze differences in the influence of psychological determinants on the intention to purchase solar panels, depending on the phase of behavior change (pre-decision phase, pre-action phase, and action phase) in which the decision-maker is currently situated. To the authors’ knowledge, this represents the first application of the dynamic TPB approach to understanding the intention to adopt the use of solar panels in the Republic of Serbia. Data analysis was conducted using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). The results indicate that in the pre-decision and action phases, attitudes have a statistically significant effect on the intention to purchase solar panels, while in the pre-action phase, all three TPB determinants exhibit a statistically significant influence. The paper also presents managerial implications and policy recommendations to motivate citizens and businesses to use energy more efficiently and adopt products powered by renewable energy sources.
本文探讨了可持续发展和能源效率的意义,特别是在家庭节能方面。这项研究的重点是家庭能源效率,包括与太阳能电池板采用相关的购买。这项研究的动机是提高对塞尔维亚利用可再生能源重要性的认识。在此背景下,采用计划行为理论(TPB)的动态方法分析了心理决定因素对购买太阳能电池板意愿的影响差异,这取决于决策者当前所处的行为变化阶段(决策前阶段、行动前阶段和行动阶段)。据作者所知,这是第一次应用动态TPB方法来理解塞尔维亚共和国采用太阳能电池板的意图。数据分析采用结构方程模型(SEM)。结果表明,在决策前和行动阶段,态度对太阳能电池板购买意愿的影响具有统计学意义,而在行动前阶段,所有三个TPB决定因素都表现出统计学意义上的影响。本文还提出了管理启示和政策建议,以激励公民和企业更有效地利用能源,采用可再生能源驱动的产品。
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引用次数: 0
Natural gas pipeline integrity management efficiency evaluation and prediction: A DEA-Malmquist-ML approach 天然气管道完整性管理效率评价与预测:DEA-Malmquist-ML方法
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102117
Zhangyang Huang , Yang Yang , Xin Lu , Zurui Wang , Youlin Li , Shiji Wang , Xiangyu Yang
Evaluating Natural Gas Pipeline Integrity Management (NGPIM) efficiency is essential for ensuring pipeline performance and continuous improvement. Traditional evaluation methods typically concentrate on assessing historical efficiencies at the enterprise level of operators and are unable to forecast future efficiency. This study proposes a DEA–Malmquist–ML model to evaluate and predict NGPIM efficiency across 42 U.S. states. From 2010 to 2023, 18 states recorded average annual static efficiency above 1, showing an “eastern high, western low” spatial pattern, while 37 states exhibited dynamic efficiency above 1, mainly driven by technological progress and scale efficiency change. Overall, U.S. NGPIM efficiency remains high and shows a gradual upward trend. Panel Tobit regression identifies factors influencing static and dynamic efficiency. The proposed SACBi-LSTM model—integrating Convolutional neural network, bi-directional long and short-term memory network, and sparse attention—achieves 90 % average accuracy across 11 indicators, with prediction errors for 33 states within 0.1, confirming strong model adaptability. This regional efficiency evaluation and forecasting framework supports evidence-based policymaking and rational resource allocation.
评估天然气管道完整性管理(NGPIM)效率对于确保管道性能和持续改进至关重要。传统的评估方法通常侧重于评估运营商在企业层面的历史效率,而无法预测未来的效率。本研究提出了DEA-Malmquist-ML模型来评估和预测美国42个州的NGPIM效率。2010 - 2023年,18个州年均静态效率高于1,呈现“东高西低”的空间格局;37个州年均动态效率高于1,主要受技术进步和规模效率变化驱动。总体而言,美国的NGPIM效率仍然很高,并呈现逐步上升的趋势。面板Tobit回归识别影响静态和动态效率的因素。所提出的SACBi-LSTM模型集成了卷积神经网络、双向长短期记忆网络和稀疏注意力,在11个指标上的平均准确率达到90%,对33个状态的预测误差在0.1以内,证实了较强的模型适应性。该区域效率评价与预测框架支持循证决策和资源合理配置。
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引用次数: 0
Every drop counts: a systematic literature review on the role of tariffs in sustainable water supply services 每一滴水都很重要:关于关税在可持续供水服务中的作用的系统文献综述
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102112
Malia Mohamed , Nor Hamisham Harun , Amar Hisham Jaaffar , Nor Diana Mohd Idris
The sustainability of water supply represents a critical global challenge. A pivotal factor in addressing this challenge is the implementation of water tariffs, which function as an indispensable mechanism for securing the long-term availability of this invaluable resource. However, a comprehensive synthesis of the essential dimensions that underpin effective tariff design across diverse sectors remains conspicuously absent, thereby impeding the formulation of effective policy development. This study aims to bridge the gap by conducting a systematic literature review that identifies and analyzes the fundamental dimensions of water tariffs from a supply-side sustainability perspective, as articulated in contemporary literature spanning domestic, industrial, and agricultural sectors across various countries and regions. These insights have the potential to enhance the supply-side approach to water management. Employing the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline and a Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT), we scrutinized 16 studies. Through thematic analysis, we discerned six key interconnected dimensions of water tariffs: affordability, efficiency, financial sustainability, regulatory framework, conservation incentives, and the sustainability of water resources, which were further delineated into 11 sub-themes. The originality of this study resides in articulating these supply-side conceptual dimensions, synthesizing disparate themes into a cohesive framework, and illuminating critical trade-offs, particularly between affordability and financial sustainability. This study serves as a vital reference for policymakers and water utilities, providing an evidence-based tool for devising multi-objective water pricing strategies that are effective in managing demand and ensuring the long-term security of the water supply.
供水的可持续性是一项重大的全球挑战。应对这一挑战的一个关键因素是实施水费,这是确保这一宝贵资源长期供应的不可或缺的机制。然而,对支撑跨不同部门有效关税设计的基本维度的全面综合仍然明显缺乏,从而阻碍了有效政策制定的制定。本研究旨在通过进行系统的文献综述,从供应方可持续性的角度确定和分析水费的基本维度,弥合这一差距,正如当代文献中所阐述的那样,涵盖了各个国家和地区的国内、工业和农业部门。这些见解有可能加强水管理的供应方方法。采用系统评价和荟萃分析首选报告项目(PRISMA)指南和混合方法评估工具(MMAT),我们仔细审查了16项研究。通过专题分析,我们发现了水费的六个相互关联的关键维度:可负担性、效率、财务可持续性、监管框架、保护激励和水资源可持续性,并进一步划分为11个子主题。这项研究的独创性在于阐明了这些供给方面的概念维度,将不同的主题综合到一个有凝聚力的框架中,并阐明了关键的权衡,特别是在可负担性和财务可持续性之间。该研究为政策制定者和水务公司提供了重要参考,为制定有效管理需求和确保供水长期安全的多目标水价策略提供了基于证据的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetries in water and sanitation services and how they are shaping urban drainage and stormwater management in Brazil 巴西供水和卫生服务的不对称及其对城市排水和雨水管理的影响
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102114
Alesi Teixeira Mendes , Conceição de Maria Albuquerque Alves
Achieving universal access to water and sanitation services (WSS) is one of the most significant public challenges in Brazil. The WSS are encompassed within the concept of ‘basic sanitation,’ which includes a comprehensive approach to policy interventions aimed at protecting public health and the environment. This broader definition incorporates potable water supply, wastewater collection and treatment, solid waste management, and urban drainage and stormwater management (UDSM). However, these services have evolved disproportionately, with a focus on water supply and wastewater treatment. As a result, despite the critical importance of UDSM in urban areas, many Brazilian cities lack these services, leaving both populations and the environment vulnerable to adverse impacts. Although the reasons for this imbalance among services might be justified according to the priority of indispensable services, the UDSM has also proved essential to a broader concept of urban security, health, and sustainability. This article explores the asymmetries between UDSM and other WSS within Brazil's new regulatory framework, following the enactment of Law No. 14,026/2020. The findings reveal that, in the absence of institutional drivers rooted in the historical asymmetries observed during the consolidation of the National Water and Sanitation Policy (NWSP), UDSM services remain marginalized and face inertia in public policy. If this trend persists, UDSM services are unlikely to follow the same trajectory of improvement seen in other WSS, ultimately undermining the goal of achieving universal access to basic sanitation.
实现普遍获得水和环境卫生服务(WSS)是巴西最重大的公共挑战之一。《世界卫生宣言》包含在“基本卫生”概念中,其中包括旨在保护公众健康和环境的政策干预的综合办法。这个更广泛的定义包括饮用水供应、废水收集和处理、固体废物管理以及城市排水和雨水管理(UDSM)。然而,这些服务已经不成比例地发展,重点是供水和废水处理。因此,尽管UDSM在城市地区至关重要,但许多巴西城市缺乏这些服务,使人口和环境容易受到不利影响。虽然根据必不可少的服务的优先次序,各服务之间这种不平衡的原因可能是合理的,但UDSM也证明对更广泛的城市安全、健康和可持续性概念至关重要。本文探讨了在第14026 /2020号法律颁布后,巴西新监管框架内UDSM与其他WSS之间的不对称性。研究结果表明,由于在国家水和卫生政策(NWSP)巩固过程中观察到的历史不对称,缺乏制度性驱动因素,UDSM服务仍然被边缘化,并面临公共政策的惰性。如果这种趋势持续下去,UDSM的服务不太可能遵循其他WSS所看到的改善轨迹,最终破坏实现普遍获得基本卫生设施的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Decarbonising Italy's district heating and cooling sector: drivers, barriers, and opportunities from stakeholder perspectives 意大利区域供热和供冷行业的脱碳:利益相关者视角的驱动因素、障碍和机遇
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102115
Paola Caputo , Giulio Ferla , Benedetta Mura , Nicola Cesare Di Nunzio
Even if in Italy district heating and cooling (DHC) accounts for only a small share of thermal energy demand, the sector, primarily based on fossil fuels, is expected to grow. Therefore, increasing the share of DHC and decarbonising the DHC sector are crucial for Italy's climate targets. This paper identifies the main barriers and drivers for Italy's DHC sector through a hybrid approach combining a normative review with direct engagement. Among others, the EU-funded SupportDHC project includes activities to highlight technical and non-technical barriers, supported by a structured capacity-building programme with key Italian operators and stakeholders, such as local administrators, associations, and authorities. Results underscore regulatory uncertainty, fragmented planning processes, insufficient economic incentives, technical integration issues, and limited public awareness as major obstacles. Stakeholders' collaboration proved effective in shaping consensus-based solutions, such as clearer policy frameworks, streamlined procedures, and enhanced investment mechanisms. The study concludes that integrating structured stakeholders' participation into policy and planning processes can substantially accelerate the expansion and decarbonisation of Italy's DHC systems.
即使在意大利,区域供热和供冷(DHC)仅占热能需求的一小部分,但该行业(主要基于化石燃料)预计将增长。因此,增加DHC的份额并使DHC部门脱碳对意大利的气候目标至关重要。本文通过将规范审查与直接参与相结合的混合方法,确定了意大利DHC部门的主要障碍和驱动因素。除此之外,欧盟资助的SupportDHC项目包括强调技术和非技术障碍的活动,由意大利主要运营商和利益相关者(如当地管理员、协会和当局)的结构化能力建设计划提供支持。结果强调,监管不确定性、规划过程碎片化、经济激励不足、技术整合问题和公众意识有限是主要障碍。事实证明,利益攸关方的合作在形成基于共识的解决方案方面是有效的,例如更明确的政策框架、简化的程序和加强的投资机制。该研究的结论是,将有组织的利益相关者参与到政策和规划过程中可以大大加速意大利DHC系统的扩张和脱碳。
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引用次数: 0
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