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Water utility network loss reduction and service quality under price cap and rate of return regulation 价格上限与回报率调控下的供水管网减损与服务质量
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101857
Selvin Thanacoody
Water utilities in Eastern Europe are regulated under different schemes and achieve different water utility network loss reductions and service quality levels. Through a theoretical model, we analyse a water utility’s response to price-cap or rate-of-return regulation when setting their levels of water loss reduction and service quality. Lower price caps induce the firm to reduce water losses when demand is inelastic, while higher rates of return lead the firm to reduce water losses only from low levels of the ROR model. Service quality increases in the price cap but shrinks in the ROR model. We show that PC regulation is a superior policy when the cost of capital is not too high, as the firm can efficiently supply at a low price and provide some level of quality.
东欧的水务公司在不同的计划下受到监管,并实现不同的水务公司网络损失减少和服务质量水平。通过理论模型,我们分析了水务公司在设定水损失减少水平和服务质量时对价格上限或回报率监管的反应。较低的价格上限促使公司在需求缺乏弹性时减少水损失,而较高的回报率导致公司只从ROR模型的低水平减少水损失。服务质量在价格上限中增加,但在ROR模型中减少。我们表明,当资本成本不太高时,PC监管是一种优越的政策,因为企业可以有效地以较低的价格供应并提供一定程度的质量。
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引用次数: 0
Energy knowledge and public response to restarting nuclear plants in Japan following the fukushima accident 福岛核事故后日本重启核电站的能源知识和公众反应
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101858
Tomohiro Fujita
Since the Fukushima accident, Japan's nuclear policy has changed dramatically. However, restarting operations of some reactors has become an option for the government. This study focuses on the role of objective knowledge and, for the first time, develops statements for measuring people's accurate factual judgments and reflecting on energy issues in post-Fukushima Japan. Replies of two surveys conducted in the Kansai region were analyzed. From them, it was observed that having objective knowledge was positively associated with holding a favorable opinion rather than an ambiguous opinion toward restarting the plants, and association differences existed between subjective and objective knowledge.
自福岛核事故以来,日本的核政策发生了巨大变化。然而,重启一些反应堆已成为政府的一个选择。本研究侧重于客观知识的作用,并首次开发了衡量人们准确的事实判断和反思后福岛日本能源问题的陈述。对在关西地区进行的两次问卷调查结果进行了分析。结果表明,拥有客观知识与对复厂持赞成意见而非模棱两可意见正相关,主观知识与客观知识之间存在关联差异。
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引用次数: 0
Monte Carlo simulation of community microgrid operation: Business prospects in the Brazilian regulatory framework 社区微电网运行的蒙特卡罗模拟:巴西监管框架下的商业前景
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101856
Francisco C.R. Coelho , Fernando A. Assis , José Filho C. Castro , Antonio R. Donadon , Ronaldo A. Roncolatto , Vittoria E.M.S. Andrade , Pedro A.C. Rosas , Silvangela L.S.L. Barcelos , Osvaldo R. Saavedra , Rafael G. Bento , Rafael K. Carneiro , Pablo F. Hernandez , Luiz C.P. Silva
Microgrids offer an innovative solution to modern energy challenges, providing enhanced reliability and resilience to distribution systems while accommodating the growing presence of distributed energy resources (DER). However, realizing the potential benefits of microgrids requires a comprehensive assessment of their complex technical and economic aspects. This paper introduces a dedicated techno-economic evaluation model for community microgrids (CMGs) while considering a consumer-centric internal market. Uncertainties arising from load variations and intermittent generation are addressed via Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). The proposed internal market model aligns with the Brazilian regulatory framework and enables currently unavailable innovations, such as a community internal market; however, the model can be adapted to the context of any system. We demonstrate the capabilities of the methodology by presenting a case study involving a real microgrid, where economic benefits are shared among all consumers. This study, derived from a research and development (R&D) project, underscores its practical relevance in advancing cleaner and more sustainable energy systems.
微电网为现代能源挑战提供了一种创新的解决方案,在适应分布式能源(DER)日益增长的同时,为配电系统提供了更高的可靠性和弹性。然而,实现微电网的潜在效益需要对其复杂的技术和经济方面进行全面评估。本文在考虑以消费者为中心的内部市场的情况下,引入了一个专门的社区微电网技术经济评估模型。通过蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)解决了负荷变化和间歇发电引起的不确定性。拟议的内部市场模式与巴西的监管框架保持一致,并使目前无法实现的创新成为可能,例如社区内部市场;然而,该模型可以适应任何系统的上下文。我们通过展示一个涉及真正的微电网的案例研究来展示该方法的能力,在这个案例中,所有消费者都可以分享经济利益。这项研究源自一个研究与发展项目,强调了其在推进更清洁和更可持续的能源系统方面的实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Enlarged scars: The effects of economic policy uncertainty on electricity accessibility and urban-rural disparity 扩大的伤疤经济政策的不确定性对电力可及性和城乡差别的影响
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101852
Congyu Zhao , Xuan Zhai , Miaomiao Tao , Shuai Che
Using a comprehensive dataset spanning 22 countries from 2000 to 2020, this study investigates the influence of economic policy uncertainty on electricity accessibility and the urban-rural gap in accessibility, employing a fixed-effect model. Our research provides several new contributions to the existing body of knowledge. First, heightened economic policy uncertainty is linked to reduced electricity access in both urban and rural areas, and it also correlates with an increase in the disparity between these regions. Second, the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and electricity access is not uniform across different levels of accessibility. Specifically, a negative relationship is evident when accessibility is low, but this effect becomes insignificant when access levels surpass the median (50th quantile). While the positive association between economic policy uncertainty and the urban-rural gap is present, it does not intensify as the disparity widens. Third, a mechanism analysis reveals that policy uncertainty contributes to government corruption, further hindering electricity access and deepening regional inequalities. The analysis also highlights how economic policy uncertainty can exacerbate corruption, compounding access issues. Finally, green finance emerges as a mitigating factor, alleviating some of the adverse effects of policy uncertainty. These results provide a deeper understanding of the intricate dynamics at play and suggest that carefully crafted policies can help offset the negative consequences of economic policy uncertainty.
本研究利用 2000 年至 2020 年横跨 22 个国家的综合数据集,采用固定效应模型研究了经济政策不确定性对电力可及性和可及性城乡差距的影响。我们的研究为现有知识体系做出了多项新贡献。首先,经济政策不确定性的增加与城市和农村地区电力可及性的降低有关,也与这些地区之间差距的扩大有关。其次,经济政策不确定性与用电普及率之间的关系在不同的用电普及率水平上并不一致。具体而言,当可获得性较低时,两者之间明显存在负相关关系,但当可获得性超过中位数(50 分位数)时,这种影响就变得不明显了。虽然经济政策的不确定性与城乡差距之间存在正相关关系,但并没有随着差距的扩大而加剧。第三,机制分析表明,政策的不确定性助长了政府腐败,进一步阻碍了电力的普及,加深了地区间的不平等。分析还强调了经济政策的不确定性如何加剧腐败,使电力获取问题更加复杂。最后,绿色金融成为一个缓解因素,减轻了政策不确定性的一些不利影响。这些结果加深了人们对错综复杂的动态变化的理解,并表明精心制定的政策有助于抵消经济政策不确定性的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to a sustainable electricity sector in Kenya: Challenges and transformational factors 肯尼亚实现可持续电力部门的途径:挑战和转型因素
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101854
Maria Apergi , Laima Eicke , Andreas Goldthau , Jude Kurniawan , Esther Schuch , Silvia Weko
Which factors may enable a secure, affordable, and sustainable development of the Kenyan energy system? The present study aims to understand how the country's energy system could be structured in 2050, to unravel the main challenges, and to identify critical leverage points for policy action. To this end, we designed energy scenarios for Kenya using cross-impact balance and succession analysis, drawing extensively from expert judgments. The results highlight the importance of improving the quality of the grid, further reforming the electricity market structure, encouraging more competition, and promoting decentralization as the main leverage points for ensuring a secure and sustainable energy future.
哪些因素可以使肯尼亚能源系统实现安全、负担得起和可持续发展?本研究旨在了解 2050 年肯尼亚能源系统的结构,揭示主要挑战,并确定政策行动的关键杠杆点。为此,我们利用交叉影响平衡和继承分析,广泛借鉴专家判断,为肯尼亚设计了能源情景。结果凸显了提高电网质量、进一步改革电力市场结构、鼓励更多竞争以及促进权力下放的重要性,这些都是确保未来能源安全和可持续发展的主要杠杆点。
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引用次数: 0
Are electricity prices and cross-subsidies a barrier to decarbonising India's steel industry? 电价和交叉补贴是否是印度钢铁业去碳化的障碍?
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101853
M. Åhman, M. Arens
The main options for deep decarbonisation of primary steel production are to continue using coal and employ carbon capture and storage (CCS) or to change the production process to direct reduction by utilizing hydrogen produced from renewable energy resources. In India, the world's second-largest steel producer, a shift to renewables is inhibited by the current power market regime, which includes a complex cross-subsidy scheme. We calculate the cost of energy and the amount of cross-subsidies paid by the Indian steel industry, analyse the effects of the cross-subsidies on deep decarbonisation options, and discuss the barriers to their removal.
初级钢铁生产深度脱碳的主要选择是继续使用煤炭并采用碳捕集与封存技术(CCS),或者利用可再生能源产生的氢气将生产工艺改为直接还原。在世界第二大钢铁生产国印度,向可再生能源的转变受到现行电力市场机制的阻碍,其中包括复杂的交叉补贴计划。我们计算了印度钢铁行业的能源成本和交叉补贴金额,分析了交叉补贴对深度脱碳方案的影响,并讨论了取消交叉补贴的障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Projecting short to medium-term effects of carbon emissions trading on Serbia's GDP 预测碳排放交易对塞尔维亚国内生产总值的中短期影响
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101855
B. Pavlović , N. Trtica
This paper presents an approach to assess the short to medium-term effects of the Emissions Trading System (ETS), an economic and climate policy instrument aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, on GDP from the expenditure side. The analysis focuses on Serbia's electricity sector, which relies heavily on lignite-based production dominated by state-owned enterprises. The obtained projections suggest that in the short term, the introduction of an ETS may lead to slower GDP growth compared to official forecasts. However, by 2030, accelerated growth is observed, eventually converging with and even surpassing the projected growth in scenarios characterized by higher investments.
排放交易体系(ETS)是一项旨在减少温室气体排放的经济和气候政策工具,本文提出了一种从支出方面评估排放交易体系对国内生产总值中短期影响的方法。分析的重点是塞尔维亚的电力部门,该部门严重依赖国有企业主导的褐煤生产。预测结果表明,在短期内,与官方预测相比,引入排放交易计划可能会导致国内生产总值增长放缓。然而,到 2030 年,增长速度会加快,最终与投资较高的方案中的预计增长趋同,甚至超过。
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引用次数: 0
Breaking the culture of nonpayment: A qualitative analysis of utility intervention in Pakistan 打破欠费文化:对巴基斯坦公用事业干预的定性分析
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101850
Husnain Fateh Ahmad , Ayesha Ali , Robyn C. Meeks , Victoria Plutshack , Zhenxuan Wang , Javed Younas
Reliable electricity access is vital to economic growth, though financial challenges can undermine service quality. In Karachi, Pakistan, the local utility intervened to reduce losses and improve bill revenue recovery. The intervention increased budgets to improve infrastructure, provided staff incentives, and expanded customer engagement activities. We employ qualitative techniques to study managers' and customers’ perceptions of the intervention and the mechanisms driving its effects. While managers credit the multi-pronged nature of the intervention for increasing trust and mitigating the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, customers report no increase in trust and focus primarily on infrastructure improvements.
可靠的电力供应对经济增长至关重要,但财务挑战可能会影响服务质量。在巴基斯坦卡拉奇,当地电力公司采取了干预措施,以减少损失并提高账单收入回收率。干预措施增加了改善基础设施的预算,提供了员工激励措施,并扩大了客户参与活动。我们采用定性技术研究了管理人员和客户对干预措施的看法以及产生干预效果的机制。管理者认为多管齐下的干预措施提高了信任度,减轻了 COVID-19 大流行的影响,而客户则表示信任度没有提高,主要关注的是基础设施的改善。
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引用次数: 0
The distributional effects of rural electrification on household welfare: Evidence from Senegal 农村电气化对家庭福利的分配效应:塞内加尔的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101846
Kadoukpè Gildas Magbondé , Barry Reilly , Bridget Kauma
This study uses a cross-sectional dataset of 3215 rural Senegalese households from the 2018/19 Harmonized Survey on Households Living Standards to assess the distributional household welfare effects of electricity access. The paper conducts separate analyses for both on-grid and off-grid electricity access and uses an array of empirical strategies to compute the relevant effects. We find that household access to grid electricity is associated with increased food and non-food expenditures, while off-grid solar electricity is only associated with increased levels of the latter. In addition, access to grid electricity appears to impact household expenditures more than solar electricity, with the off-grid effect not detected at the top end of the non-food expenditure distribution. In contrast, on-grid electricity has a greater welfare impact on higher-income households. The results further suggest that access to solar electricity can reduce inequality in total non-food household expenditures more than on-grid electricity. The findings encourage consideration of policies designed to extend solar energy to the more remote rural areas to reduce inequality.
本研究利用 2018/19 年家庭生活水平统一调查中 3215 个塞内加尔农村家庭的横截面数据集,评估了通电对家庭福利分配的影响。本文对电网供电和离网供电分别进行了分析,并采用了一系列实证策略来计算相关效应。我们发现,家庭获得电网供电与食品和非食品支出的增加有关,而离网太阳能供电仅与后者支出的增加有关。此外,与太阳能发电相比,电网供电对家庭支出的影响似乎更大,在非食品支出分布的高端没有发现离网效应。相比之下,电网供电对高收入家庭的福利影响更大。研究结果进一步表明,与并网供电相比,使用太阳能发电更能减少非食品家庭总支出的不平等。研究结果鼓励考虑制定政策,将太阳能推广到更偏远的农村地区,以减少不平等现象。
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引用次数: 0
Capital structure decisions in the energy transition: Insights from Spain 能源转型中的资本结构决策:西班牙的启示
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101851
Cristobal Bistuer-Talavera , Joan Llobet-Dalmases , Dolors Plana-Erta , Jorge M. Uribe
The renewable energy transition depends heavily on capital structure decisions of energy firms. Most previous research has focused on the decisions of oil companies. This study investigates the financing of new investment in the Spanish renewable energy sector, including decisions about: i) equity versus debt, ii) short versus long-term debt, and iii) equity issuances versus retained earnings for new investment. Our analysis is based on data from over 22,000 energy firms from 2008 to 2021 and shows that these firms prefer debt over equity (more than 90% of changes in assets are financed through increasing debt) and have extended the term of the debt over the period studied (reaching a maximum of almost 73% long-term debt in 2021). The deployment of retained earnings is less usual than raising new equity capital. Our analysis points to a generalized use of project finance to support new investments. Policymakers should focus on increasing financing through equity and thus diversifying the financial risk of the energy transition. In addition, a supportive fiscal policy and a stable regulatory environment are desirable for achieving this goal.
可再生能源转型在很大程度上取决于能源公司的资本结构决策。以往的研究大多侧重于石油公司的决策。本研究调查了西班牙可再生能源行业新投资的融资情况,包括以下决策:i) 股权与债务;ii) 短期债务与长期债务;iii) 新投资的股权发行与留存收益。我们的分析基于 2008 年至 2021 年期间 22,000 多家能源企业的数据,结果表明,这些企业更倾向于债务而非股权(90% 以上的资产变化是通过增加债务融资的),并在研究期间延长了债务期限(2021 年达到最大值,近 73% 为长期债务)。与筹集新的权益资本相比,留存收益的调配并不常见。我们的分析表明,企业普遍使用项目融资来支持新投资。政策制定者应重视增加股权融资,从而分散能源转型的金融风险。此外,支持性的财政政策和稳定的监管环境也是实现这一目标的理想条件。
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引用次数: 0
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Utilities Policy
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