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Is cognition of residential tiered pricing policy effective in reducing electricity consumption in China? 对居民阶梯电价政策的认知是否能有效降低中国的用电量?
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101808

China's residential tiered electricity pricing has been implemented for over a decade without a timely update. Past researches reveal the significant energy-saving effect of public policy cognition. This paper traces the relationship leveraging data from two surveys conducted in 2019 and 2023. We find that residents with some policy knowledge rose by one-third. However, policy cognition does not appear to lead to usage reductions. One crucial explanation is that changes in payment modes lower the salience of electricity bills, resulting in pronounced price misperceptions. This paper documents the role of adequate information feedback in enhancing the nonlinear tariff effect.

中国的居民阶梯电价已经实施了十多年,却没有及时更新。以往的研究表明,公共政策认知具有显著的节能效果。本文利用 2019 年和 2023 年的两次调查数据,追溯了两者之间的关系。我们发现,具有一定政策知识的居民增加了三分之一。然而,政策认知似乎并没有导致使用量的减少。一个重要的解释是,支付模式的变化降低了电费账单的显著性,导致了明显的价格误解。本文记录了充分的信息反馈在增强非线性电价效应中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the effect of increasing block tariffs for residential natural gas in Hefei City, China 中国合肥市居民天然气分档价格上调效果评估
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101805

An increasing block tariff (IBT) policy for residential natural gas has been implemented in all Chinese cities with gas supply since January 2016 to guide residents to reduce gas. Due to the different local climate and demographic characteristics of China's regions, the IBT is not uniform, which provides an opportunity to evaluate the energy-saving effect of IBTs. This paper takes Hefei City as an example, based on a bimonthly bill dataset of Hefei residents from January 2014 to October 2018 and a difference-in-difference (DID) experiment designed within a regression discontinuity design (RDD) framework. The results show that the current IBT has a significant energy-saving effect, especially for households falling within the third price block, but not for households near the price-block thresholds. Further heterogeneity analyses show higher treatment effects for wall-mounted boiler heating users than non-wall-mounted boiler heating users and during the heating season than the non-heating season. These results suggest that the government should optimize the IBT from three to four blocks and develop separate rates for different users and seasons.

自 2016 年 1 月起,中国所有供气城市开始实施居民天然气阶梯气价(IBT)政策,以引导居民减少用气。由于中国各地区的气候和人口特征不同,IBT 并不统一,这为评估 IBT 的节能效果提供了契机。本文以合肥市为例,基于合肥市居民 2014 年 1 月至 2018 年 10 月的双月账单数据集,在回归不连续设计(RDD)框架下设计了差分(DID)实验。结果表明,现行的 IBT 具有显著的节能效果,尤其是对属于第三价格区块的家庭,但对价格区块临界点附近的家庭则没有节能效果。进一步的异质性分析表明,壁挂锅炉采暖用户的治疗效果高于非壁挂锅炉采暖用户,采暖季的治疗效果高于非采暖季。这些结果表明,政府应将综合预算指数从三个区块优化为四个区块,并针对不同用户和季节制定不同的费率。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of population mobility on electricity consumption in seven U.S. cities during the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 大流行期间人口流动对美国七个城市用电量的影响
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101804

We examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on electricity consumption in seven U.S. cities. A high-level analysis reveals that reductions in electricity consumption were mostly short-term, mainly when lockdowns were first introduced. Bayesian structural time series modeling was used to decompose electricity consumption into multiple tailored components to better understand the pandemic's impact. We find that models incorporating population mobility achieved high accuracy rates using pre-pandemic data and even better rates using post-pandemic data. Electricity usage dropped during the first six weeks of the pandemic in all but one of the cities studied.

我们研究了 COVID-19 大流行对美国七个城市用电量的影响。高层分析显示,用电量的减少大多是短期的,主要是在刚开始实行封锁时。我们使用贝叶斯结构时间序列模型将用电量分解为多个量身定制的组成部分,以更好地了解大流行病的影响。我们发现,包含人口流动性的模型在使用大流行前的数据时准确率很高,而使用大流行后的数据时准确率更高。在大流行的前六周,除一个城市外,其他所有研究城市的用电量都有所下降。
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引用次数: 0
Inflation effects of oil and gas prices in the UK: Symmetries and asymmetries 英国石油和天然气价格对通货膨胀的影响:对称与不对称
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101803

The United Kingdom is among the countries experiencing a cost-of-living crisis believed to be influenced, at least in part, by the dynamics of the international oil and gas markets. To this end, this study aims to achieve to achieve two objectives. Firstly, the dynamic association between the UK's inflation and oil and gas prices is examined. Further, the study examines whether the response of the UK's inflation to energy price dynamics is (a)symmetric. This study adopts wavelet coherency to determine the dynamic co-movement between energy prices and inflation. In addition, the dynamic simulated autoregressive distributed lag model (DS-ARDL) is used to examine the dynamic response of inflation to energy price changes. The estimation results reveal a symmetric response of inflation to gas price shocks. Further, the response of inflation to oil price shocks is asymmetric. Interestingly, the effect of gas price dynamics passes more strongly to inflation than to oil price dynamics. These findings suggest that a more diversified energy mix could help prevent substantial energy price pass-through to inflationary pressures.

英国是经历生活费用危机的国家之一,据信至少部分受到国际石油和天然气市场动态的影响。为此,本研究旨在实现两个目标。首先,研究英国通货膨胀与石油和天然气价格之间的动态关联。此外,本研究还探讨了英国通货膨胀对能源价格动态的反应是否(a)对称。本研究采用小波相干性来确定能源价格与通货膨胀之间的动态共同运动。此外,还采用动态模拟自回归分布滞后模型(DS-ARDL)来检验通货膨胀对能源价格变化的动态响应。估计结果显示,通货膨胀对天然气价格冲击的反应是对称的。此外,通货膨胀对石油价格冲击的反应是不对称的。有趣的是,天然气价格动态对通货膨胀的影响比对石油价格动态的影响更大。这些研究结果表明,更加多样化的能源组合有助于防止能源价格大幅传导至通胀压力。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing regulatory governance for the water and sanitation Agencies in Brazil 评估巴西水和卫生机构的监管治理情况
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101802

This paper focuses on evaluating and benchmarking the governance of regulatory agencies in Brazil's water and sanitation sector. Using a unique database obtained through the application of a questionnaire, we developed an index of regulatory governance and ranked all the agencies in Brazil that participated in the study. The index is an aggregate number of the evaluation of four key governance characteristics: Autonomy, Transparency, Accountability, and Tools & Capacity, including not only formal aspects of regulation but also indicators related to actual implementation. Based on 18 different indices, we analyze the positions of agencies with regard to different aspects of their regulatory governance, considering not only performance in each variable but also scores in the different components of each category. This evaluation identifies particular agency shortcomings regarding governance and indicates needed improvements. Although Brazil has strived to consolidate the governance design of its regulatory agencies, implementing the independent regulator model still faces several challenges. Various aspects of governance can be improved to pursue greater efficiency and quality in providing services, particularly in Accountability and Political Autonomy, where the country shows the largest number of regulatory agencies with the lowest scores. Conversely, almost half of the participating agencies show optimal scores in the Regulatory Autonomy aspect of governance. The results, for the most part, corroborate the institutional theory, in which the role of institutions is paramount for greater efficiency in providing public services, as it reduces information asymmetries and transaction costs and maximizes economic incentives.

本文主要对巴西水和卫生部门监管机构的治理情况进行评估和基准设定。利用通过问卷调查获得的独特数据库,我们制定了监管治理指数,并对巴西所有参与研究的机构进行了排名。该指数是对四个关键治理特征评估的总和:自主性、透明度、问责性和工具&;能力,不仅包括监管的正式方面,还包括与实际执行相关的指标。根据 18 种不同的指数,我们分析了各机构在监管治理不同方面的状况,不仅考虑了每个变量的表现,还考虑了每个类别不同组成部分的得分。这项评估指出了各机构在管理方面的不足,并指出了需要改进的地方。虽然巴西一直在努力巩固其监管机构的治理设计,但独立监管机构模式的实施仍面临一些挑战。管理的各个方面都可以改进,以提高提供服务的效率和质量,特别是在问责制和政治自治方面,巴西的监管机构数量最多,但得分最低。相反,几乎一半的参与机构在治理的监管自主性方面得分最优。这些结果在很大程度上证实了机构理论,即机构的作用对于提高公共服务的效率至关重要,因为它可以减少信息不对称和交易成本,最大限度地提高经济激励。
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引用次数: 0
Subnational perspectives on energy transition pathways for Mexico's electricity grid 墨西哥电网能源转型途径的国家以下各级视角
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101801

This study utilizes a state-level approach to explore the economic implications of decarbonizing Mexico's electricity grid. By modeling the costs of four power generation mix scenarios for 2060, the research highlights the diverse renewable energy potentials and current power generation mixes across Mexican states. While transitions to natural gas or nuclear power emerge as the most economically attractive options, the study underscores the environmental and political benefits of renewable energy pathways. States with significant renewable resources are prime candidates for early adoption of wind and solar power. The analysis emphasizes the importance of a decentralized approach to energy policy, allowing states to tailor strategies to their unique circumstances.

本研究采用州一级的方法来探讨墨西哥电网去碳化的经济影响。通过模拟 2060 年四种发电组合方案的成本,研究强调了墨西哥各州不同的可再生能源潜力和当前的发电组合。虽然向天然气或核能过渡是最具经济吸引力的选择,但该研究强调了可再生能源途径在环境和政治方面的益处。拥有大量可再生资源的州是尽早采用风能和太阳能发电的主要候选者。分析强调了能源政策分散化方法的重要性,允许各州根据其独特情况制定战略。
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引用次数: 0
Effective communication of time–of–use electricity tariffs: Plain and simple 有效宣传分时电价:简单明了
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101798
Martina Barjaková , Cameron A. Belton , Karl Purcell , Peter D. Lunn

Time-of-use (ToU) tariffs bring important benefits to consumers and society, but some individuals may find it harder to benefit from them than others. Communication around ToU tariffs needs to explain both benefits and challenges successfully. This article presents results from a pre-registered experiment with N = 1300 consumers in Ireland that pre-tested behaviourally-informed communications on ToU tariffs. Consumers were generally positive towards ToU tariffs. Emphasising environmental benefits enhanced positivity among younger participants. Comprehension and choice quality were modest, but improved when tariff examples were presented in a plain table, compared to 24hour clock formats that are commonly used in the market internationally.

使用时间(ToU)电价为消费者和社会带来了重要利益,但有些人可能会发现比其他人更难从中受益。有关 ToU 电价的宣传需要成功地解释其好处和挑战。本文介绍了在爱尔兰对 N = 1300 名消费者进行预登记实验的结果,该实验对有关 ToU 电价的行为知情沟通进行了预先测试。消费者普遍对 ToU 电价持积极态度。强调环境效益提高了年轻参与者的积极性。消费者的理解能力和选择质量并不高,但与国际市场上常用的 24 小时钟表格式相比,以普通表格形式呈现的电价示例会提高消费者的理解能力和选择质量。
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引用次数: 0
Coal-based generators’ corporate response to an emissions trading scheme in Kazakhstan 煤炭发电企业对哈萨克斯坦排放交易计划的回应
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101797
Daulet Akhmetov , Peter Howie

The power industry remains a central focus of modern climate mitigation policies because of its significant contribution to global GHG emissions and increased global electricity demand. This paper examines Kazakhstan's coal-based power-generation companies' responses to a national emissions trading scheme (ETS) regulation introduced in 2013 by applying corporate climate strategy and sociotechnical systems frameworks. The in-depth case study is based on 20 interviews with managers of the six largest Kazakhstan coal-based generators and ten interviews with independent industry experts. The empirical data indicate that Kazakhstan's ETS has impacted the country's generators. The companies have responded in the form of non-compliance (i.e., application for additional free allowances), compliance (i.e., purchase of allowances from the ETS), and compliance-plus activities (i.e., exploring investment into renewable energy and fuel switching to natural gas). At the same time, Kazakhstan's generators continue the business-as-usual approach by investing in modernizing their coal-generating assets. Therefore, Kazakhstan may consider complementing its ETS regulation with additional policy reforms to support its ambitious objective to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060.

由于电力行业对全球温室气体排放和全球电力需求的增加做出了重大贡献,因此电力行业仍然是现代气候减缓政策的核心重点。本文运用企业气候战略和社会技术系统框架,研究了哈萨克斯坦煤炭发电企业对 2013 年出台的国家排放交易计划(ETS)法规的应对措施。该深入案例研究基于对哈萨克斯坦六家最大煤炭发电公司经理的 20 次访谈和对独立行业专家的 10 次访谈。实证数据表明,哈萨克斯坦的排放交易计划对该国的发电企业产生了影响。这些公司的应对方式包括:不遵守规定(即申请额外的免费配额)、遵守规定(即从排放交易计划中购买配额)以及遵守规定之外的活动(即探索对可再生能源的投资以及将燃料转换为天然气)。与此同时,哈萨克斯坦的发电企业继续 "一切照旧",投资于煤炭发电资产的现代化。因此,哈萨克斯坦可以考虑通过额外的政策改革来补充其排放交易计划法规,以支持其到 2060 年实现碳中和的宏伟目标。
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引用次数: 0
Communication strategies and consumer acceptance of utility-controlled heat pumps and electric vehicles 公用事业控制热泵和电动汽车的传播策略和消费者接受度
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101800
Selin Yilmaz , Peter Cuony , Cédric Chanez , Martin Kumar Patel

Persuading end users in utility-controlled operation of heat pumps and electric vehicles (EVs) charging is challenging. In this study, we designed a randomized control trial in which the utility communicated the rationale for deploying direct load control programmes of heat pumps and EVs framed in terms of environment-related (supporting integration of renewables to fight climate change) or grid-related purposes (helps managing the grid) to two groups. The results indicate that the rationale of ‘grid-related purposes’ resonated more with respondents, with higher acceptance for both devices. We highlight determinant perceptions towards the rationales and (mis)alignments in motivations and propose communication strategies.

在热泵和电动汽车(EV)充电的公用事业控制操作中说服终端用户具有挑战性。在这项研究中,我们设计了一项随机对照试验,由公用事业公司向两组受访者宣传部署热泵和电动汽车直接负荷控制方案的理由,即与环境相关的目的(支持可再生能源的整合以应对气候变化)或与电网相关的目的(有助于管理电网)。结果表明,"与电网相关的目的 "更能引起受访者的共鸣,对这两种设备的接受度更高。我们强调了对这些理由的决定性看法以及动机的(错误)一致性,并提出了沟通策略。
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引用次数: 0
Generative literature analysis on the rise of prosumers and their influence on the sustainable energy transition 关于专业消费者的兴起及其对可持续能源转型的影响的文献生成分析
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101799
Simona-Vasilica Oprea, Adela Bâra

This study delves into the scholarly discourse surrounding prosumers, aiming to chart their historical progression and explore the primary topics that have garnered attention in scientific research. While the concept first appeared in academic literature in 1986, a significant surge in interest was observed starting in 2010, with momentum steadily increasing to the present day. Utilizing the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) method to examine the abstracts of nearly 1400 publications indexed in the Web of Science, this research uncovers three principal subjects that dominate academic inquiry related to prosumers: grid connection and system integration, market and technologies.

本研究深入探讨了围绕 "职业消费者"(prosumers)的学术论述,旨在勾勒出其历史进程,并探讨科学研究中备受关注的主要议题。虽然这一概念于 1986 年首次出现在学术文献中,但从 2010 年开始,人们对这一概念的兴趣明显增加,而且这一势头一直持续到今天。本研究利用潜狄利克特分配(LDA)方法,对科学网收录的近 1400 篇出版物的摘要进行了研究,发现了与 prosumers 相关的学术研究中占主导地位的三个主要课题:电网连接和系统集成、市场和技术。
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引用次数: 0
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Utilities Policy
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