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Positive or negative? A study on the synergistic effectiveness of policy interventions on residential waste minimization behavior in China 积极的还是消极的?中国生活垃圾减量化行为政策干预的协同效应研究
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102131
Ting Yue , Jing Zhou , Xianmin Shao , Ruyin Long , Chuchu Wan , Nikita Parfenov
This study examined waste reduction and energy-saving behaviors from the perspective of waste minimization, categorizing them into conservation, green purchasing, and recycling behaviors. Based on the attitude-behavior-context theory, this paper constructed a model of factors influencing waste minimization behavior, integrating policy interventions and residential psychological factors. Survey data from 915 representative residents in eastern China show that both economic incentive and information publicity policies positively impact waste reduction behavior, but their interaction generates negative synergy. The effectiveness of information publicity policies increases with residential outcome expectations. Policy implications are provided to reduce policy conflicts and promote waste minimization behavior.
本研究从废物最小化的角度考察废物减量和节能行为,将其分为节约行为、绿色采购行为和回收行为。基于态度-行为-情境理论,综合政策干预和居民心理因素,构建了影响居民减废行为的因素模型。对915名具有代表性的华东地区居民的调查数据表明,经济激励和信息公示政策对居民减废行为均有正向影响,但两者的交互作用产生负协同效应。信息公示政策的有效性随着居民预期结果的增加而增加。提供政策启示,以减少政策冲突和促进废物最小化行为。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal energy management system for a community microgrid: A case study from the Gambia 社区微电网的最佳能源管理系统:冈比亚案例研究
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102132
Maimuna Drammeh , Ravi Samikannu , Abid Yahya , Maruliya Begam Kadarmydeen , Kavitha R , Kanimozhi Gunasekaran , Meeradevi T , Gladys Gamariel
Remote communities often lack access to reliable electricity. This study investigates the feasibility of a microgrid system tailored for Kantong Kunda, a rural community in The Gambia. The community's current energy consumption and demand are determined through data collection using the Epicollect5 survey tool to characterize the local energy consumption and demand profile accurately. HOMER Pro software was employed to simulate and optimize hybrid microgrid configuration, prioritizing both cost-effectiveness and environmental sustainability. The proposed system integrates 79.8 kW of Solar Photovoltaic (SPV), a 60-kW diesel generator, 374 batteries, and a 22.8 kW converter. The optimized design yields a Net Present Cost (NPC) of $251,474.80 and a Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) of $0.08527/kWh, which is well below the region's grid electricity tariff. This configuration yields 16.1 % excess electricity, a 10.5 % Return on Investment (ROI), a 14.2 % Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and a 6.03-year payback period, while cutting total emissions by 133,981.4 kg compared to a diesel-only baseline. The work contributes a microgrid design designed for rural African communities, and the findings demonstrate that microgrids can deliver reliable, affordable, and low-carbon electricity through decentralized energy systems for remote communities.
偏远社区往往无法获得可靠的电力。本研究调查了为冈比亚农村社区Kantong Kunda量身定制的微电网系统的可行性。社区目前的能源消耗和需求是通过使用Epicollect5调查工具收集数据来确定的,以准确地描述当地的能源消耗和需求概况。采用HOMER Pro软件模拟和优化混合微电网配置,优先考虑成本效益和环境可持续性。该系统集成了79.8千瓦的太阳能光伏(SPV)、一台60千瓦的柴油发电机、374块电池和一个22.8千瓦的转换器。优化后的净当前成本(NPC)为251,474.80美元,平准化能源成本(LCOE)为0.08527美元/千瓦时,远低于该地区的电网电价。这种配置产生16.1%的超额电力,10.5%的投资回报率(ROI), 14.2%的内部回报率(IRR),以及6.03年的投资回收期,同时与纯柴油基准相比,减少总排放量133,981.4公斤。这项工作有助于为非洲农村社区设计微电网,研究结果表明,微电网可以通过分散的能源系统为偏远社区提供可靠、负担得起的低碳电力。
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引用次数: 0
Competition in pay-as-bid auctions of divisible energy blocks: Theory and evidence from Chile 可分割能源区块按出价付费拍卖中的竞争:来自智利的理论和证据
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102136
Jose L. Lima-Reyna
This article analyzes how limited supply capacity affects competition in forward-contract auctions for divisible energy blocks. Using a theoretical model and data from Chile's advanced CfD auctions, it shows that promoting the entry of new bidders with similar supply capacities reduces prices more effectively than expanding the supply capacity of existing firms. The Chilean experience shows that new entrants—particularly renewable energy firms after the 2015 reform—also increased competition and lowered prices despite their smaller supply capacities. Their participation had an effect comparable to boosting incumbents' capacity, highlighting the importance of entry over mere supply expansion for improving auction outcomes.
本文分析了可分能源区块远期合约拍卖中有限的供应能力对竞争的影响。利用理论模型和智利先进的差价合约拍卖数据表明,促进具有相似供应能力的新投标人进入比扩大现有公司的供应能力更有效地降低价格。智利的经验表明,新进入者——尤其是2015年改革后的可再生能源公司——尽管供应能力较小,但也增加了竞争,降低了价格。它们的参与产生的效果与提高现有企业的产能相当,突显了进入市场对改善拍卖结果的重要性,而不仅仅是扩大供应。
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引用次数: 0
Grid extension vs. off-grid systems in rural Areas: Methodologies, tools, and criteria for decision-making 农村地区的电网扩展与离网系统:决策的方法、工具和标准
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102028
César Y. Acevedo-Arenas , Julian E. Guerrero-Macias , Yecid A. Muñoz-Maldonado , Johan S. Amado-Alvarado , Johann F. Petit-Suárez
Achieving universal electricity access in rural areas remains a complex challenge in many developing countries, particularly for communities located within reach of existing distribution infrastructure but not yet connected. In such contexts, decision-makers must often choose between extending the main grid and deploying off-grid systems. This study presents a structured scoping review based on bibliographic sources, aimed at identifying how decision-making processes are supported in selection of rural electrificationstrategies, when both options are technically and economically viable.
Following the PRISMA-ScR guidelines, a multi-phase filtering strategy was applied to the Scopus database, covering literature published between 2013 and 2024. A total of 3780 documents were initially retrieved, from which 136 were selected for in-depth analysis. Data extraction, co-citation mapping, keyword clustering, and thematic coding were used to classify the literature into five decision-related domains: technology selection, network configuration, system optimisation, policy frameworks, and multi-criteria methodologies. The review identifies recurring methodological patterns and systematises the decision-making criteria most frequently applied in rural electrification planning. It highlights that current approaches often treat grid extension and off-grid alternatives within isolated frameworks, despite their coexistence in practical planning scenarios. The analysis reveals significant gaps in the integration of technical, economic, social, environmental and institutional dimensions, as well as in the use of unified indicators that enable meaningful comparisons. These findings emphasise the need for more comprehensive frameworks that reflect the complexity of electrification choices in grid-adjacent rural areas and support more consistent, evidence-based planning processes.
在许多发展中国家,实现农村地区普遍通电仍然是一项复杂的挑战,特别是对于那些位于现有配电基础设施可及范围内但尚未联网的社区。在这种情况下,决策者通常必须在扩展主电网和部署离网系统之间做出选择。本研究提出了一个基于文献来源的结构化范围审查,旨在确定当两种选择在技术和经济上都可行时,如何支持农村电气化战略选择的决策过程。根据PRISMA-ScR指南,对Scopus数据库应用了多阶段过滤策略,涵盖了2013年至2024年间发表的文献。最初总共检索了3780个文档,从中选择136个进行深入分析。通过数据提取、共被引映射、关键词聚类和主题编码,将文献划分为5个与决策相关的领域:技术选择、网络配置、系统优化、政策框架和多标准方法。该审查确定了经常出现的方法模式,并将最常用于农村电气化规划的决策标准系统化。报告强调指出,目前的方法经常在孤立的框架内处理电网扩展和离网替代方案,尽管它们在实际规划情景中共存。分析显示,在综合技术、经济、社会、环境和体制方面,以及在使用统一的指标以便进行有意义的比较方面,存在重大差距。这些发现强调需要建立更全面的框架,以反映电网邻近农村地区电气化选择的复杂性,并支持更一致的、基于证据的规划过程。
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引用次数: 0
Command and control: A systematic approach to demand-side flexibility 命令和控制:需求侧灵活性的系统方法
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102137
Fouad El Gohary
This policy note presents a case for shifting demand-side flexibility (DSF) policy from a market-based, individualist approach to a system-level, command-and-control framework. DSF could play a crucial role in maintaining grid stability, integrating variable renewable energy sources, and reducing infrastructure costs. The prevailing framework for fostering DSF overwhelmingly relies on price signals and assumes that consumers are rational, price-responsive agents who are both willing and able to optimize electricity use. Empirical evidence suggests that this approach has yielded limited results. The proposed model emphasizes centralized flexibility management, regulatory mandates, and automation to ensure reliability and scalability. Central to this model is the establishment of a Flexibility Coordinator responsible for two primary tasks: coordination—identifying system-wide grid needs, mapping users’ flexibility potential, and aligning these to generate an effective set of target measures; and execution—applying a set of targeted regulatory measures focused on mandating and “embedding” flexibility across the grid while minimizing user disruption and safeguarding comfort and preferences. These measures could include mandating automated demand-response functionality for residential heat pumps and EV chargers, requiring supermarkets to couple cooling loads with automated controls, and enforcing waste heat recovery in industrial processes. By adopting a more assertive and systematic approach, a range of flexibility measures—potentially imperceptible to users—can be effectively implemented, creating a more reliable, adaptable, and scalable DSF model that is essential for a successful energy transition.
本政策说明提出了将需求侧灵活性(DSF)政策从基于市场的个人主义方法转变为系统级的命令和控制框架的案例。DSF可以在维持电网稳定、整合可变可再生能源和降低基础设施成本方面发挥关键作用。促进DSF的主流框架绝大多数依赖于价格信号,并假设消费者是理性的,对价格敏感的代理人,他们愿意并且能够优化电力使用。经验证据表明,这种方法产生的效果有限。提出的模型强调集中的灵活性管理、法规要求和自动化,以确保可靠性和可伸缩性。这一模式的核心是设立一个灵活性协调员,负责两项主要任务:协调-确定全系统的网格需求,绘制用户的灵活性潜力,并使这些需求一致,以产生一套有效的目标措施;执行——应用一套有针对性的监管措施,侧重于强制和“嵌入”整个电网的灵活性,同时最大限度地减少用户干扰,保障舒适和偏好。这些措施可能包括强制要求住宅热泵和电动汽车充电器具有自动化需求响应功能,要求超市将冷却负荷与自动化控制相结合,并在工业过程中强制实施废热回收。通过采用一种更加自信和系统的方法,可以有效地实施一系列用户可能无法察觉的灵活性措施,从而创建一个更可靠、适应性更强、可扩展的DSF模型,这对成功的能源转型至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Agent-based modeling to assess the effects of time-of-use water tariffs on social equity 以主体为基础的模型,评估用水时收费对社会公平的影响
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102130
Cade Karrenberg , Eric Edwards , Emily Zechman Berglund
Time-of-use (TOU) tariffs charge higher prices for water used during designated peak periods, encouraging users to shift their water use to off-peak periods. Research in electricity markets has shown that TOU tariffs can have adverse effects on households with low incomes or who lack access to technology, raising equity concerns. This research assesses the differential impact of TOU tariffs on heterogeneous water users using an agent-based modeling (ABM) approach. The ABM is applied to a case study to simulate the response of a community of water users to TOU tariffs and assess the equity impacts of the household cost of water under various scenarios. Findings suggest households with characteristics consistent with disadvantaged groups, including lower incomes, high density, and limited access to technology, may experience an increase in water costs under TOU rates.
分时电价(TOU)在指定的高峰时段收取更高的水费,鼓励用户将用水转移到非高峰时段。电力市场的研究表明,分时电价可能对低收入家庭或无法获得技术的家庭产生不利影响,引发了对公平的担忧。本研究使用基于主体的模型(ABM)方法评估了分时电价对异质用水户的差异影响。ABM应用于一个案例研究,模拟一个用水社区对分时电价的反应,并评估不同情景下家庭用水成本对公平的影响。研究结果表明,与弱势群体特征一致的家庭,包括收入较低、人口密度高、获得技术的机会有限,在分时电价下可能会经历水费增加。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the future dynamics of renewable energy social Acceptance: Scenarios for Iran 了解可再生能源社会接受度的未来动态:伊朗的情景
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102135
Reza Hafezi , Zohreh Rahimirad , Ali Asghar Sadabadi , David A. Wood
Citizen participation is a key factor in the growth of renewable energy. This study explores how that participation might shape Iran's energy transition to 2040 by using a qualitative scenario method grounded in a matrix-based uncertainty analysis. A literature review and a focus group generated 51 potential drivers. A national panel (n = 61) rated each driver on importance and predictability (1–9), making it possible to identify key uncertainties and assumed trends. Findings show that social participation in renewable energy depends mainly on three uncertainties: (1) energy governance (centralized ↔ decentralized), (2) the energy-economy (cost-reflective pricing ↔ subsidized energy), and (3) infrastructure and asset ownership (citizen/co-ownership ↔ predominantly public). Based on the two most orthogonal axes, four internally consistent scenarios were developed. A follow-on policy panel (n = 21) stress-tested interventions, prioritizing nine policy levers. Economic and financial measures ranked highest, underlining that pricing reform and investment risk reduction are critical for achieving a socially accepted renewable energy transition. The study offers a transparent, reproducible pathway—from driver identification to scenario design and policy testing—tailored to Iran's context but adaptable to other settings facing similar uncertainties.
公民参与是可再生能源发展的关键因素。本研究通过基于矩阵不确定性分析的定性情景方法,探讨了这种参与可能如何影响伊朗到2040年的能源转型。一项文献综述和一个焦点小组产生了51个潜在的驱动因素。一个全国小组(n = 61)对每个驱动因素的重要性和可预测性(1-9)进行了评级,使识别关键的不确定性和假设的趋势成为可能。研究结果表明,社会对可再生能源的参与主要取决于三个不确定性:(1)能源治理(集中↔分散),(2)能源经济(成本反射定价↔补贴能源),以及(3)基础设施和资产所有权(公民/共同所有↔主要是公众)。基于两个最正交的轴,开发了四个内部一致的场景。一个后续政策小组(n = 21)对干预措施进行了压力测试,对9项政策杠杆进行了优先排序。经济和金融措施排名最高,强调价格改革和降低投资风险对于实现社会接受的可再生能源转型至关重要。该研究提供了一条透明、可复制的途径——从驾驶员识别到情景设计和政策测试——为伊朗量身定制,但也适用于面临类似不确定性的其他环境。
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引用次数: 0
Does the carbon price floor policy promote CTL-CCS investment? A real options and sequential investment model 碳价格下限政策是否促进了CTL-CCS投资?实物期权和顺序投资模型
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102133
Weiwei Zhang, He Dai, Yunxiang Wang, Yunzhuo Li, Yuanrong Wang
The coupling of Coal-to-Liquid (CTL) technology with Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) can significantly reduce CO2 emissions from coal use by transporting captured CO2 for storage in geological formations, yet economic barriers hinder its widespread application. To address this, the study incorporates a carbon price floor policy into a sequential investment model for the CTL-CCS project and employs real options analysis to evaluate how the policy incentivizes CTL-CCS investment under uncertainties in oil, coal, and carbon prices. Taking the Shenhua project in China (with an annual oil output of 1.08 million tons) as a case study, the findings indicate that implementing a carbon price floor increases the value of the CTL-CCS project from 8.24 to 10.18 billion yuan, elevates the investment probability from 37.1 % to 74.2 %, and reduces the critical carbon price threshold from 217.43 to 156.74 yuan. The optimal carbon price floor to incentivize immediate investment is identified as 125 yuan per ton. These results underscore the effectiveness of carbon price floors in accelerating low-carbon investment in high-emission sectors and provide quantitative insights for carbon market design in China.
煤制液(CTL)技术与碳捕集与封存(CCS)技术相结合,通过将捕集的二氧化碳输送到地质构造中储存,可以显著减少煤炭使用过程中的二氧化碳排放,但经济障碍阻碍了其广泛应用。为了解决这一问题,本研究将碳价格下限政策纳入CTL-CCS项目的顺序投资模型,并采用实物期权分析来评估在石油、煤炭和碳价格不确定的情况下,该政策如何激励CTL-CCS投资。以中国神华项目(年产108万吨石油)为例,研究结果表明,实施碳价下限使CTL-CCS项目价值从82.4亿元增加到101.8亿元,投资概率从37.1%提高到74.2%,临界碳价门槛从217.43元降低到156.74元。确定了激励直接投资的最优碳价下限为每吨125元。这些结果强调了碳价格下限在加速高排放行业低碳投资方面的有效性,并为中国的碳市场设计提供了定量见解。
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking compensation for high-voltage electricity transmission line impacts on residential property in Belgium 比利时高压输电线路对住宅物业影响补偿的再思考
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102111
Simon De Jaeger, Johan Eyckmans, Guido Pepermans, Sandra Rousseau
As part of the energy transition, the high-voltage (HV) electricity grid often needs technical upgrading. These investments are not only associated with public benefits but also give rise to private concerns, such as the impact on property values. However, it is challenging to determine the value loss associated with an HV line crossing a real estate property, since characteristics such as age, size, and location of the property matter. In the Belgian context, compensation for property value losses resulting from public utility easements is legally recognized, but the amount is subject to debate. Thus, the research question we address in this study is how compensation should be determined and how it should depend on property characteristics. To provide a market and a citizen perspective, we assess the points of view of real estate experts and Belgian citizens, which we then relate to the current compensation scheme.
作为能源转型的一部分,高压电网经常需要技术升级。这些投资不仅与公共利益有关,而且也引起了私人的关注,例如对房地产价值的影响。然而,由于物业的年龄、大小和位置等特征,确定与高压线路穿过房地产相关的价值损失是具有挑战性的。在比利时的情况下,对公用事业地役权造成的财产价值损失的赔偿在法律上得到承认,但数额存在争议。因此,我们在本研究中解决的研究问题是如何确定补偿,以及它应该如何取决于财产特征。为了提供市场和公民的观点,我们评估了房地产专家和比利时公民的观点,然后我们将其与当前的补偿计划联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
A cross-sectional view of the drinking water scenario in a climate-stressed setting: Case study from southwestern Bangladesh 气候压力环境下饮用水情景的横断面分析:来自孟加拉国西南部的案例研究
IF 4.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102121
Tasneem Chowdhury Fahim , Md Mainul Islam , Zinat Hasiba , Md. Ahasanul Hoque
This cross-sectional study examines the drinking water crisis in five highly water-stressed upazilas of southwestern Bangladesh, assessing quality, availability, accessibility, and costs. Key factors include water source reliability, unavailability duration, collection burden, ownership, and socio-economic disparities. Using TDS/Conductivity meters, the study found high salinity levels in community hand tubewells (1733 mg/L) and ponds (1330 mg/L), exceeding the Bangladesh national TDS standard. On average, water unavailability lasts up to 4.65 months annually. Spatial variability highlights Paikgacha's severe unavailability (7.15 months) compared to Koyra's shorter duration (2.84 months). Limited ownership (16 %) of water sources and reliance on external sources underscore access barriers. Affordability pressures are acute: low-income households allocate up to 4 % of their monthly income to drinking water, exacerbating vulnerabilities. Women and adolescent girls (∼80 %) bear the burden of water collection, while indigenous minorities face prolonged unavailability (6.85 months) with minimal ownership (2 %). Findings suggest policy should focus on reliability and equity, not just expanding coverage. Options include a low-cost lifeline block and targeted vouchers or discounts, paid for by cross-subsidies; extending pipes first to areas with the longest shortages; sizing rainwater-harvesting systems for the dry months; and inclusive governance with seats for women and indigenous peoples, and help with connection fees. By pinpointing where constraints bind and who is left behind, the study informs practical pathways toward SDG 6.1 in climate-stressed coastal settings.
本横断面研究考察了孟加拉国西南部五个高度缺水地区的饮用水危机,评估了水质、可用性、可及性和成本。关键因素包括水源可靠性、不可用时间、收集负担、所有权和社会经济差异。通过使用TDS/电导率仪,该研究发现社区手管井(1733 mg/L)和池塘(1330 mg/L)的含盐量很高,超过了孟加拉国国家TDS标准。每年平均缺水时间长达4.65个月。与Koyra的持续时间较短(2.84个月)相比,空间变异性突出了Paikgacha的严重不可用性(7.15个月)。有限的水资源所有权(16%)和对外部水源的依赖突出了获取障碍。负担能力的压力非常严重:低收入家庭将其月收入的4%用于饮用水,这加剧了脆弱性。妇女和少女(约80%)承担着取水的负担,而土著少数群体面临长期缺水(6.85个月)和最低所有权(2%)。研究结果表明,政策应侧重于可靠性和公平性,而不仅仅是扩大覆盖面。选择包括低成本的生命线区块和有针对性的代金券或折扣,由交叉补贴支付;首先将管道延伸到缺水时间最长的地区;为干旱月份设计雨水收集系统;以及为妇女和土著人民提供席位的包容性治理,并帮助支付连接费。通过确定哪些限制因素受到约束,哪些人被抛在后面,该研究为气候紧张的沿海地区实现可持续发展目标6.1提供了切实可行的途径。
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