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An Effective Monitoring of Evolving Groundwater Drought via Multivariate Data Assimilation and Machine Learning 基于多元数据同化和机器学习的地下水干旱演变监测
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-08 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041565
Parnian Ghaneei, Hamid Moradkhani
Groundwater drought represents one of the most pervasive and difficult-to-monitor forms of water scarcity, threatening the reliability of freshwater supply for over 2 billion people worldwide, agricultural productivity, and ecosystem health. Despite its critical importance, monitoring groundwater drought with high spatial and temporal resolution remains challenging due to limited in situ observations, coarse-resolution satellite data, and uncertainties in models. In this study, we introduce an observation-informed approach for producing daily groundwater drought maps at 1/8° resolution across the contiguous United States (CONUS). Leveraging high-performance computing, we jointly assimilate Soil Moisture Active Passive soil moisture and GRACE-FO terrestrial water storage data into the Noah-MP land surface model to enhance the representation of groundwater–surface water interactions while accounting for uncertainties, enabling a more accurate representation of groundwater drought dynamics. Considering the spatial and temporal complexities of drought patterns, we employ the Growing Neural Gas, a machine learning-based pattern recognition algorithm, to identify emergent, evolving, and region-specific behaviors of groundwater drought. The results reveal the onset of distinct and persistent dry clusters in recent years across the contiguous United States (CONUS), identifying the severe groundwater drought conditions that notably impacted large regions of both the Western and Northeastern CONUS. Our findings highlight the need to reassess groundwater resilience strategies, especially as droughts intensify and persist over large domains.
地下水干旱是最普遍和最难以监测的水资源短缺形式之一,威胁着全球20多亿人淡水供应的可靠性、农业生产力和生态系统健康。尽管它至关重要,但由于有限的现场观测、粗分辨率卫星数据和模式的不确定性,以高时空分辨率监测地下水干旱仍然具有挑战性。在这项研究中,我们介绍了一种基于观测的方法,以1/8°分辨率制作美国相邻地区(CONUS)的每日地下水干旱地图。利用高性能计算,我们将土壤湿度主动被动土壤湿度和GRACE-FO陆地蓄水数据共同吸收到Noah-MP陆地表面模型中,以增强地下水-地表水相互作用的表征,同时考虑不确定性,从而更准确地表征地下水干旱动态。考虑到干旱模式的时空复杂性,我们采用基于机器学习的模式识别算法Growing Neural Gas来识别地下水干旱的突发性、演化性和区域特异性行为。研究结果显示,近年来美国连续出现了明显且持续的干旱集群,并确定了严重的地下水干旱条件,特别是影响了美国西部和东北部的大片地区。我们的发现强调了重新评估地下水恢复策略的必要性,特别是在干旱加剧并在大范围持续的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Interactions and Dynamic Saturation Processes in Karst Media 岩溶介质相互作用模拟与动态饱和过程研究
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-08 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040068
F. Huang, Y. Gao, L. Zhao, D. Wang, X. Hu, X. Wang
The simulation of karst aquifers is highly challenging due to complex conduit-matrix interactions. This study utilizes KarstFOAM, a high-fidelity, physics-based numerical model, to address these challenges. KarstFOAM integrates (a) a unified single-domain Forchheimer–Darcy–Brinkman–Stokes (FDBS) formulation that transitions naturally across flow regimes, (b) benchmark-level reproduction of interface-scale features (velocity slip and a finite transition layer), and (c) a VOF-based two-phase treatment enabling conduit drying and variably saturated dynamics coupled to matrix retention effects. The model was validated against analytical solutions, laboratory experiments, and applied to a typical karst field site. Results demonstrate that KarstFOAM accurately simulates the conduit-matrix interface velocity and transition zone, as well as dynamic saturation, conduit drying, and matrix water retention effects. The model shows high accuracy for single rainfall events (NSE ≈ 0.97). Given this high fidelity, the model is best suited for academic research requiring precise analysis of local physical mechanisms, rather than for regional water resource management. Future work will focus on developing simplified versions to achieve a better balance between scientific insight and practical application.
由于复杂的管道-基质相互作用,岩溶含水层的模拟具有很大的挑战性。本研究利用KarstFOAM(一种高保真的、基于物理的数值模型)来解决这些挑战。KarstFOAM集成了(a)统一的单域Forchheimer-Darcy-Brinkman-Stokes (FDBS)配方,该配方可以在不同的流动状态下自然转换;(b)界面尺度特征的基准级再现(速度滑移和有限过渡层);(c)基于vof的两相处理,可以实现管道干燥和可变饱和动态,以及基质保留效应。通过解析解和室内实验验证了该模型的有效性,并将其应用于典型的岩溶现场。结果表明,KarstFOAM能够准确模拟管道-基质界面速度和过渡区,以及管道动态饱和、管道干燥和基质保水效应。该模型对单次降雨事件具有较高的精度(NSE≈0.97)。鉴于这种高保真度,该模型最适合需要对当地物理机制进行精确分析的学术研究,而不是用于区域水资源管理。未来的工作将集中于开发简化版本,以在科学洞察力和实际应用之间取得更好的平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Simulated Hydrologic Impacts of Cloud Seeding in the North Platte and Little Snake River Basins of Wyoming 云播对怀俄明州北普拉特和小蛇河流域水文影响的模拟
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr039383
Erin M. Dougherty, David Gochis, Michelle Harrold, Sarah A. Tessendorf, Lulin Xue, Jamie Wolff, Bart Geerts
In the western United States, the recent mega-drought and impacts of climate change have resulted in an interest in cloud seeding to enhance water supplies. Studies and field campaigns focused on cloud seeding across the West have quantified the effect on precipitation generation through the release of silver iodide, and these effects can be studied in simulations using WRF-WxMod®, a modeling capability based on the WRF model that includes a cloud-seeding parameterization. Here, we use a 36-member ensemble of WRF-WxMod simulations to force a spatially distributed hydrological model, WRF-Hydro, to study how simulated cloud seeding impacts hydrology in the North Platte and Little Snake River basins of Wyoming during the 2020 water year. WRF-Hydro is configured with a 1-km land surface model, Noah-MP, with the terrain routing grid run at 250 m. Compared to observations, WRF-Hydro shows good performance with an average Kling Gupta Efficiency = 0.80. Over the 2020 water year, snow water equivalent increases by 10 mm over target mountain ranges due to simulated cloud seeding and streamflow increases by 6,921 acre-ft over the entire domain. A water budget analysis shows that increases in ensemble mean precipitation due to simulated cloud seeding result in 78% diverted to increasing streamflow, 21% increasing soil moisture, and 8% going toward evapotranspiration. Such information is critical for water managers looking into the efficacy of cloud seeding to enhance their water resources amidst climate change.
在美国西部,最近的特大干旱和气候变化的影响使人们对人工降雨增加供水产生了兴趣。研究和现场活动集中在西部地区的人工降雨,通过释放碘化银对降水产生的影响进行了量化,这些影响可以使用WRF- wxmod®进行模拟研究,这是一种基于WRF模型的建模能力,包括人工降雨参数化。在这里,我们使用WRF-WxMod模拟的36个成员集合来强迫一个空间分布的水文模型,WRF-Hydro,研究模拟的云播如何影响2020水年期间怀俄明州北普拉特和小蛇河流域的水文。WRF-Hydro配置了一个1公里的陆地表面模型,Noah-MP,地形路由网格运行在250米。与观测结果相比,WRF-Hydro表现出良好的性能,平均克林古普塔效率= 0.80。在2020水年期间,由于模拟的播云,目标山脉的雪水当量增加了10毫米,整个区域的流量增加了6,921英亩-英尺。水分收支分析表明,模拟播云导致的总体平均降水增加78%转为增加径流,21%转为增加土壤水分,8%转为增加蒸散发。这些信息对于水资源管理人员在气候变化中研究人工降雨提高水资源的有效性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Groundwater Age and Nonpoint Source Pollutant Mixing in Alluvial Aquifer Wells: Comparing the Role of Diffusion, Dispersion, Aquifer Heterogeneity, and Well Screen Length 冲积含水层井中地下水年龄和非点源污染物混合:扩散、分散、含水层非均质性和井网长度的比较作用
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040063
Christopher V. Henri, Graham E. Fogg, Thomas Harter
Understanding the mixing of groundwater age and of nonpoint source (NPS) pollutants in water samples is crucial for interpreting age tracer and NPS pollutant data from production wells. Traditionally, diffusion and mechanical dispersion have been key mixing processes embedded in physical models for simulating and interpreting age tracer and NPS pollutant data. Also, a large body of literature highlights mixing due to aquifer heterogeneity across scales. Importantly, the collection of water samples through wells introduces additional mixing across the internal volume of the well screen. Here, we investigate and quantify the magnitude of mixing due to these four processes—diffusion, mechanical dispersion, aquifer heterogeneity, and in-well mixing—through a Monte Carlo-based modeling framework and sensitivity study. We consider wells in a typical unconsolidated alluvial aquifer system. We find that in-well mixing and aquifer heterogeneity dominate the mixing process in larger production wells. In small production wells and in monitoring wells, diffusion and (sub-grid scale) mechanical dispersion add significantly to age/pollutant mixing. Across an ensemble of larger production wells (e.g., in regional planning), the range of age (or pollutant) mixing observed is dominated by in-well mixing, with aquifer heterogeneity not significantly changing the age mixing distribution. The depth of the well screen has some impact on age mixing only in small (monitoring) wells. Our work suggests that ensemble age (or mixed NPS pollutant concentration) distributions across large sets of production wells can be satisfactorily estimated from well construction information and by considering advective transport in equivalent homogeneous media.
了解地下水年龄和水样中非点源(NPS)污染物的混合对于解释生产井的年龄示踪剂和NPS污染物数据至关重要。传统上,扩散和机械分散是嵌入在模拟和解释年龄示踪剂和NPS污染物数据的物理模型中的关键混合过程。此外,大量文献强调了由于含水层在不同尺度上的异质性而引起的混合。重要的是,通过井收集水样会在井筛的内部体积中引入额外的混合。在这里,我们通过基于蒙特卡罗的建模框架和敏感性研究,调查并量化了这四个过程(扩散、机械分散、含水层非均质性和井内混合)造成的混合程度。我们考虑了一个典型的松散冲积含水层系统中的井。在大型生产井中,井内混合和含水层非均质性主导了混合过程。在小生产井和监测井中,扩散和(亚网格尺度)机械扩散显著增加了年龄/污染物混合。在一组较大的生产井中(例如,在区域规划中),观察到的年龄(或污染物)混合范围主要是井内混合,含水层非均质性没有显著改变年龄混合分布。只有在监测井中,筛管深度对年龄混合有一定影响。我们的工作表明,通过考虑等效均匀介质中的平流输送,可以从井的建设信息中满意地估计出大型生产井集的集合年龄(或混合NPS污染物浓度)分布。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating Deep Learning Knowledge Transfer in Streamflow Prediction From Global to Local Catchment 研究深度学习知识在从全局到局部流域的流量预测中的转移
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041194
Jamal Hassan Ougahi, John S. Rowan
Accurate streamflow prediction is critical for flood forecasting and water resource management, particularly in data-scarce regions. Deep learning models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) offer a bridge to hydrologic regionalization utilizing climate data and catchment characteristics to improve behavioral insights and constrain predictive uncertainties. Here we evaluate transfer learning (TL) approaches using 441 “donor” basins from regions rich in quality hydrological data (Scotland GB-SCT; Switzerland CH; and Canada's British Columbia; BC) to pre-train LSTM runoff models by fine-tuning in data-poor areas like CA (36 target basins). Pairing measured streamflow (lagged) records with global climate data (ERA-5) boosted the explanatory power of LSTM predictions especially in snowmelt and glacier-influenced basins. A K-Means clustering algorithm was applied to categorize basins into five hydrologically meaningful Clusters (labeled 1–5) based on catchment attributes. The results show that TL-LSTM models perform better when pre-trained using Clusters compared to the locally trained model (NSE = 0.85 and KGE = 0.80). The LSTM model trained on basins Cluster 3 data (LSTM3) most closely resembling those in the target region yielded the most accurate predictions. Fine-tuning with limited local data substantially improved prediction accuracy in the validation split (blind-tested and treated as “ungauged”), evidencing that even short-records of local data can enhance a regional model of hydrological behavior. These results demonstrate that TL-LSTM can effectively enhance streamflow prediction in data-scarce regions. These insights advance understanding of cross-basin generalization and support the development of efficient, scalable modeling strategies for hydrological prediction in regions with limited observational data.
准确的流量预测对于洪水预报和水资源管理至关重要,特别是在数据匮乏的地区。长短期记忆(LSTM)等深度学习模型为水文区划提供了一座桥梁,利用气候数据和流域特征来提高行为洞察力并限制预测的不确定性。在这里,我们使用来自高质量水文数据丰富地区(苏格兰GB-SCT、瑞士CH和加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省)的441个“供体”流域(BC)来评估迁移学习(TL)方法,通过微调数据贫乏地区(如CA(36个目标流域))来预训练LSTM径流模型。将测量的流量(滞后)记录与全球气候数据(ERA-5)配对,提高了LSTM预测的解释力,特别是在融雪和冰川影响的盆地。基于流域属性,采用K-Means聚类算法将流域划分为5个具有水文意义的聚类(标记为1-5)。结果表明,与局部训练模型相比,使用聚类进行预训练的TL-LSTM模型表现更好(NSE = 0.85, KGE = 0.80)。在与目标区域数据最接近的盆地聚类3数据(LSTM3)上训练的LSTM模型得到了最准确的预测。利用有限的本地数据进行微调,大大提高了验证分割(盲测并被视为“未测量”)的预测准确性,这证明即使是本地数据的短记录也可以增强水文行为的区域模型。这些结果表明,TL-LSTM可以有效地增强数据稀缺地区的流量预测。这些见解促进了对跨流域概化的理解,并支持在观测数据有限的地区开发高效、可扩展的水文预测建模策略。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Groundwater Extraction for Cattle Grazing in Semi-Arid Southern Queensland, Australia 在半干旱的澳大利亚南昆士兰,模拟放牧的地下水提取
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041588
Louisa M. Rochford, Nevenka Bulovic, Steven Flook, Phil J. Hayes, Neil McIntyre
Sustainable management of groundwater resources requires a comprehensive understanding of the groundwater system and its water balance, including groundwater extraction. Bores (otherwise known as wells) used for cattle grazing are not typically metered and extraction is usually estimated using analytical models based on supply and demand-based factors. A world-first program of metering of 36 bores on 24 beef cattle grazing properties and landholder interviews on factors affecting water use was undertaken in semi-arid southern Queensland, Australia, over a 6-year period. This study investigated whether data from this program could be used to develop empirical models that could improve estimates of groundwater extraction. A model to predict cattle numbers was initially developed. The outputs from this model, together with public domain spatial data sets, were then used to predict groundwater extraction using a generalized linear model. Modeled property groundwater extraction ranged from 0.31 to 25.5 ML a−1 and was 7.6 ML a−1 on average. The model explained 83.3% of the variance in metered extraction and was found to be more accurate for the metered properties than models previously applied. The study demonstrates that models developed using data for a representative subset of users can be an effective means of estimating groundwater extraction. The approach could be applied across a range of hydrological environments and agricultural settings globally to improve estimation of unmetered take.
地下水资源的可持续管理需要全面了解地下水系统及其水平衡,包括地下水开采。用于放牧的钻孔(也称为井)通常不计量,提取通常使用基于供需因素的分析模型进行估计。在澳大利亚半干旱的昆士兰州南部,在6年的时间里,对24头肉牛放牧地的36个钻孔进行了测量,并对影响用水的因素进行了土地所有者访谈,这是世界上第一个项目。本研究调查了该项目的数据是否可以用于开发经验模型,以改善地下水开采的估计。最初开发了一个模型来预测牛的数量。该模型的输出与公共领域空间数据集一起,然后使用广义线性模型来预测地下水开采。模拟的地下水提取属性范围为0.31 ~ 25.5 ML a−1,平均为7.6 ML a−1。该模型解释了计量提取中83.3%的方差,并且发现对于计量属性比以前应用的模型更准确。该研究表明,使用具有代表性的用户子集的数据开发的模型可以是估计地下水采掘的有效手段。该方法可以应用于全球一系列水文环境和农业环境,以改进对未计量取水量的估计。
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引用次数: 0
The Long-Term C Footprint Trajectory and Emissions Attribution of a Large Boreal Reservoir (Paix Des Braves (Eastmain-1), Québec) 大型北方森林水库(Paix Des Braves (Eastmain-1), quamesbec)的长期碳足迹轨迹与排放归因
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041366
Maud Demarty, Paul A. del Giorgio, Charles P. Deblois, François Bilodeau, Alain Tremblay
Hydropower is considered essential in meeting the increasing demand in low carbon energy in the context of climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) by hydroelectric reservoirs have nevertheless become a major concern to the energy sector. The challenge lies in developing robust estimates and models that account for temporal and spatial heterogeneity of emissions, and validating projections, because comprehensive studies are scarce due to their complexity and cost. Here we present the long term (2005–2022) GHG trajectories and other aspects of the biogeochemical functioning of the Eastmain-1 (or Paix des Braves) reservoir in boreal Québec, Canada. The study considers both seasonal and spatial heterogeneity of diffusive, ebullitive and downstream CO2 and CH4 emissions by combining discrete sampling with continuous, automated monitoring instrumentation. CH4 fluxes represented only 1.2%–6.8% of the total gross emissions, and CO2 diffusive emissions represented 80.1%–90.0% of the total emissions in CO2 equivalents. Our results confirm the projected decreasing trend in dissolved CO2 over the initial years after flooding, a pattern i.e. not observed for CH4 concentrations. Total reservoir emissions after 17 years are on the order of 434 103 tCO2eq yr−1 (i.e., ∼2 gCO2eq m−2.d−1) very close to those initially modeled right after impoundment. Based on a comparison with regional lakes, we estimate that only 45% of the current diffusive GHG emissions are attributable to the impoundment itself. This leads to current generation efficiencies of around 38 to 41 gCO2eq kW h1.
在气候变化的背景下,水电被认为是满足日益增长的低碳能源需求的关键。然而,水力发电水库的温室气体排放(GHG)已成为能源部门关注的主要问题。面临的挑战在于制定强有力的估算和模型来解释排放的时空异质性,并验证预测,因为由于其复杂性和成本,全面的研究很少。在这里,我们提出了长期(2005-2022年)的温室气体轨迹和其他方面的生物地球化学功能的东main1(或paaix des Braves)水库在加拿大quamesbec北部。该研究通过将离散采样与连续自动化监测仪器相结合,考虑了扩散、沸腾和下游CO2和CH4排放的季节和空间异质性。CH4通量仅占总排放量的1.2% ~ 6.8%,CO2扩散排放量占CO2当量总排放量的80.1% ~ 90.0%。我们的结果证实了预估的溶解二氧化碳在洪水后最初几年的下降趋势,即CH4浓度没有观察到这种模式。17年后水库总排放量约为434 103 tCO2eq yr - 1(即~ 2 gCO2eq m - 2)。D−1)非常接近最初在蓄水后的模型。通过与区域湖泊的比较,我们估计目前扩散的温室气体排放中只有45%可归因于蓄水本身。这导致目前的发电效率约为38至41 gCO2eq kW h1。
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引用次数: 0
The Current State of Undergraduate Hydrology Courses in North America: A Path Forward 北美大学水文学课程现状:前进之路
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041736
Christa A. Kelleher, John Patrick Gannon, Dominick Ciruzzi
Supporting undergraduate education in hydrology is crucial to enhancing workforce development, research, and training necessary to advance the future of hydrologic science. Many professionals encounter the subject of hydrology in an undergraduate course that serves as an introduction to this discipline. However, there is limited synthesis regarding how educators design and teach introductory courses in hydrology. In this work, we analyzed 43 syllabi for undergraduate hydrology courses primarily from North America to identify how such approaches may vary and/or converge. We found that course titles varied widely, as do the use and titles of required or recommended textbooks. We also found variability in how instructors structured assessments, with 48% of syllabi reporting a distributed approach to grading rather than favoring a particular type of assessment. Instructors articulated 257 learning objectives spanning the range of Bloom's Taxonomy, as well as a small number of affective and skills-based objectives. The majority of syllabi favored mid-range objectives within Bloom's taxonomy (“understand” and “apply”), with fewer syllabi emphasizing objectives at lower (“remember”) and upper (“evaluate” and “create”) levels. In alignment with emphasis within the water cycle, most courses introduce key processes including precipitation, streamflow generation, groundwater, and evapotranspiration, but tended to diverge in whether they included topics such as climate change, human impacts on the water cycle, and water management. Overall, our synthesis provides a useful starting point for developing a common introductory curriculum in the field of hydrology, and considering what needs may still exist when first introducing undergraduate students to hydrologic science.
支持水文学本科教育对于促进未来水文学科学所需的劳动力发展、研究和培训至关重要。许多专业人士在作为该学科入门的本科课程中遇到了水文学这一主题。然而,关于教育者如何设计和教授水文学入门课程的综合研究有限。在这项工作中,我们分析了主要来自北美的43个本科水文学课程的教学大纲,以确定这些方法如何变化和/或趋同。我们发现,课程名称变化很大,必修或推荐教材的使用和标题也是如此。我们还发现教师组织评估的方式存在差异,48%的教学大纲报告采用分布式评分方法,而不是偏爱特定类型的评估。教师们阐述了257个学习目标,涵盖了布鲁姆分类法的范围,以及少量的情感和技能目标。在Bloom的分类中,大多数教学大纲都倾向于中等水平的目标(“理解”和“应用”),强调较低水平(“记住”)和较高水平(“评估”和“创造”)目标的教学大纲较少。与水循环的重点一致,大多数课程都介绍了关键过程,包括降水、水流产生、地下水和蒸散,但在是否包括气候变化、人类对水循环的影响和水管理等主题方面往往存在分歧。总的来说,我们的综合为开发水文学领域的通用入门课程提供了一个有用的起点,并考虑到在第一次向本科生介绍水文学科学时可能还存在哪些需求。
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引用次数: 0
Darkened Snow Triggers Different Snowmelt Responses Over Contrasting Water Years in Great Salt Lake Headwater Basins 在大盐湖源头盆地不同的水年里,暗雪引发不同的融雪反应
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041598
Otto I. Lang, Joachim Meyer, J. Michelle Hu, S. McKenzie Skiles
Snow in the Great Salt Lake Basin is a vital resource for regional agriculture, municipal water use, and the Great Salt Lake. Accumulation of light absorbing particles (LAPs) on mountain snowpacks results in lower albedos and earlier melt compared to clean snow. Though snow darkening is linked to dust events and varies spatially, snowmelt impacts have primarily been studied at the point scale. To address this gap, a spatially distributed process-based snow model (iSnobal) was used to simulate the snowpack under different albedos: a “baseline” estimate uninfluenced by episodic LAP variability, and an “observed” scenario where MODIS snow albedo retrievals informed darkened snow conditions. Shifts in snow disappearance date (SDD) between scenarios were used to quantify the cumulative impact of snow darkening on melt over contrasting water years (WYs). The SDD shifts were greater in WY 2022, with snow disappearing 23–29 days earlier, attributed to sunny weather and darker snow. In WY 2023, SDD shifts were moderate with melt advancing 11–16 days, despite similar melt season albedos to WY 2022. Frequent storms in WY 2023 delayed darkening until later in the season, when melt progressed suddenly due to rapid albedo declines and weak longwave losses. In both years, SDD shifts were pronounced at subalpine elevations (∼2,300–2,900 m), potentially related to snow albedo declines coinciding with high solar irradiance and snowfall patterns. These findings suggest that melt sensitivity to snow darkening shows consistent spatial patterns, but the magnitude of snowmelt impacts is controlled by seasonal variability in meteorology.
大盐湖盆地的积雪是区域农业、市政用水和大盐湖的重要资源。与干净的雪相比,山地积雪上的吸光颗粒(LAPs)的积累导致反照率较低,融化时间较早。虽然雪变暗与沙尘事件有关,且在空间上存在差异,但对融雪影响的研究主要集中在点尺度上。为了解决这一差距,使用基于空间分布过程的积雪模型(iSnobal)来模拟不同反照率下的积雪:不受情景LAP变率影响的“基线”估计,以及MODIS积雪反照率检索为暗雪条件提供信息的“观测”情景。利用不同情景间积雪消失日期(SDD)的变化来量化不同水年(WYs)积雪变暗对融水的累积影响。2022年WY的SDD变化更大,由于天气晴朗,雪的颜色更深,雪消失的时间提前了23-29天。在WY 2023, SDD的变化是温和的,融化提前了11-16天,尽管融化季节反照率与WY 2022相似。2023年WY频繁的风暴推迟了黑暗,直到季节晚些时候,由于反照率的快速下降和弱长波损失,融化突然进行。在这两年,SDD在亚高山海拔高度(~ 2300 - 2900 m)明显变化,这可能与高太阳辐照度和降雪模式导致的积雪反照率下降有关。这些发现表明融水对雪变暗的敏感性表现出一致的空间格局,但融水影响的大小受气象的季节变化控制。
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引用次数: 0
CTRIP-HyDAS: A Global-Scale Data Assimilation Framework for SWOT-Derived Discharge Using Synthetic Observations at High Resolution (1/12°) CTRIP-HyDAS:基于高分辨率(1/12°)综合观测的swt衍生放电全球尺度数据同化框架
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040888
Kaushlendra Verma, Simon Munier, Aaron Boone, Patrick Le Moigne
The integration of satellite-based observations into hydrological models offers transformation potential for improving discharge predictions globally, especially in regions lacking in situ measurements. This study presents CTRIP-HyDAS, a global-scale hydrological data assimilation framework that merges SWOT-derived discharge observations with the CTRIP river routing model at 1/12° spatial resolution. The framework was applied at the global scale and evaluated using Observing System Simulation Experiments under controlled discharge observation uncertainty scenarios (10%, 20%, and 40%). Performance metrics computed globally show widespread improvements, with Assimilation Index (AI) values exceeding 0.7 in most regions and relative errors reduced to within 5%–10% under low-error conditions. To illustrate the framework's adaptability, six representative river basins, that is, Amazon, Congo, Ganges, Indus, Mississippi, and Reka, were selected to showcase HyDAS performance under diverse hydrological regimes. A physics-based localization method enabled efficient propagation of corrections beyond the observed swath. These findings confirm the scalability and robustness of CTRIP-HyDAS for global SWOT-based assimilation and underline its potential to enhance discharge prediction and water management in data-scarce regions.
将基于卫星的观测整合到水文模型中,为改善全球流量预测提供了转变潜力,特别是在缺乏现场测量的地区。该研究提出了CTRIP- hydas,这是一个全球尺度的水文数据同化框架,将swt衍生的流量观测与CTRIP河流路径模型在1/12°空间分辨率下合并。将该框架应用于全球尺度,并在控制放电观测不确定性情景(10%、20%和40%)下通过观测系统仿真实验进行评估。全球计算的性能指标显示出广泛的改进,同化指数(AI)在大多数地区的值超过0.7,在低误差条件下,相对误差降低到5%-10%。为了说明该框架的适应性,选择了六个具有代表性的河流流域,即亚马逊河、刚果河、恒河、印度河、密西西比河和雷卡河,以展示HyDAS在不同水文制度下的性能。基于物理的定位方法能够有效地传播观测到的条纹以外的修正。这些发现证实了CTRIP-HyDAS在全球基于swot的同化中的可扩展性和稳健性,并强调了其在数据稀缺地区加强排放预测和水资源管理的潜力。
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Water Resources Research
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