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Experimental Analyses of Pore-Size Dependent Biomineralization in Porous Media Under Various Flow Rate and Bacterial Density Scenarios 不同流速和细菌密度下多孔介质中孔径依赖性生物矿化的实验分析
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr037674
Ze Yang, Zhi Dou, Alberto Guadagnini, Xiaoteng Li, Chaoqi Wang, Jinguo Wang
We document results of a set of laboratory experiments aimed at exploring impacts of injection rate and bacterial density on biomineralization across water-saturated porous media. The study relies on a Low-Field Nuclear Magnetic Resonance technology and the ensuing transverse spin-spin relaxation time distributions. The latter is documented to provide a robust quantification of temporal histories of pore size distributions during biomineralization. As such, our work explores and quantifies pore-size dependent biomineralization across the three-dimensional pore space. The study also provides a quantitative analysis of alterations in porosity and permeability induced by biomineralization, together with a quantification of (time-averaged) rates of pore volume change. A plugging ratio efficiency index is introduced to quantify the strength of pore-size-related biomineralization. Our results reveal that biomineralization induces significant alterations in the pore size distribution within a porous medium, these changes being modulated by bacterial density and injection rate. We find that CaCO3 mainly precipitates in macropores, consistent with the presence of favorable local hydrodynamic conditions and large surface areas therein. Precipitated CaCO3 volume is found to increase with bacterial density. High bacterial densities amplify rate of pore volume change within macropores and adequate plugging ratio of biomineralization and contribute to a significant permeability reduction. Otherwise, a diminished strength of biomineralization in mesopores and micropores is documented for the highest injection rates considered.
我们记录了一系列实验室实验的结果,旨在探索注射速率和细菌密度对水饱和多孔介质中生物矿化的影响。该研究依赖于低场核磁共振技术和随之而来的横向自旋-自旋弛豫时间分布。后者被记录为生物矿化过程中孔径分布的时间历史提供了强有力的量化。因此,我们的工作在三维孔隙空间中探索和量化孔隙大小依赖的生物矿化。该研究还提供了生物矿化引起的孔隙度和渗透率变化的定量分析,以及孔隙体积变化(时间平均)速率的定量分析。引入封堵比效率指数来量化与孔隙大小相关的生物矿化强度。我们的研究结果表明,生物矿化导致多孔介质中孔径分布的显著变化,这些变化受到细菌密度和注射速率的调节。我们发现CaCO3主要在大孔隙中沉淀,这与当地有利的水动力条件和大表面积的存在相一致。沉淀物CaCO3体积随着细菌密度的增加而增加。较高的细菌密度增大了大孔隙内的孔隙体积变化率和充分的生物矿化堵塞率,导致渗透率显著降低。否则,在考虑的最高注射速率下,中孔和微孔的生物矿化强度减弱。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying Dynamic Linkages Between Precipitation, Groundwater Recharge, and Streamflow Using Ensemble Rainfall-Runoff Analysis 利用集合降雨-径流分析量化降水、地下水补给和河流流量之间的动态联系
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr037821
Huibin Gao, Qin Ju, Dawei Zhang, Zhenlong Wang, Zhenchun Hao, James W. Kirchner
Understanding streamflow generation at the catchment scale requires quantifying how different components of the system are linked, and how they respond to meteorological forcing. Here we present a proof-of-concept study characterizing and quantifying dynamic linkages between precipitation, groundwater recharge, and streamflow using a data-driven nonlinear deconvolution and demixing approach, Ensemble Rainfall-Runoff Analysis (ERRA). Streamflow in our mesoscale, intensively farmed test catchment is flashy, but occurs at time lags that are too long to be plausibly attributed to overland flow. Instead, ERRA's estimates of the impulse responses of groundwater recharge to precipitation, and of streamflow to groundwater recharge, imply that this intermittent streamflow is primarily driven by precipitation infiltrating to recharge groundwater, followed by discharge of groundwater to streamflow. ERRA reveals that streamflow increases nonlinearly with increasing precipitation intensity or groundwater recharge, and exhibits almost no response to precipitation or recharge rates of less than 10 mm d−1. Groundwater recharge is both nonlinear, increasing more-than-proportionally with precipitation intensity, and nonstationary, increasing with antecedent wetness. Simulations with the infiltration model Hydrus-1D can reproduce the observed water table time series reasonably well (NSE = 0.70). However, ERRA shows that the model's impulse response is inconsistent with the real-world impulse response estimated from measured precipitation and groundwater recharge, illustrating that conventional goodness-of-fit statistics can be weak tests of model realism. Thus, our proof-of-concept study demonstrates how impulse responses estimated by ERRA can help clarify linkages between precipitation and streamflow at the catchment scale, quantify nonlinearity and nonstationarity in hydrologic processes, and critically evaluate simulation models.
理解流域尺度上的水流产生需要量化系统的不同组成部分是如何联系在一起的,以及它们如何对气象强迫作出反应。在这里,我们提出了一项概念验证研究,利用数据驱动的非线性反褶积和分解方法,即集合降雨径流分析(ERRA),表征和量化降水、地下水补给和河流流量之间的动态联系。在我们的中尺度、集约化养殖的测试集水区,水流是浮华的,但发生的时间滞后太长,无法合理地归因于陆上水流。相反,对地下水补给对降水的脉冲响应和径流对地下水补给的脉冲响应的估计表明,这种间歇性的径流主要是由降水入渗补给地下水驱动的,然后是地下水向径流的排放。地磁重构显示,径流随降水强度或地下水补给量的增加呈非线性增加,对降水或补给量小于10 mm d−1几乎没有响应。地下水补给是非线性的,随着降水强度的增加而增加,而非平稳性的,随着前期湿度的增加而增加。采用Hydrus-1D入渗模式模拟可以较好地再现观测到的地下水位时间序列(NSE = 0.70)。然而,该模型的脉冲响应与实测降水和地下水补给估计的真实脉冲响应不一致,说明传统的拟合优度统计可能是模型真实性的弱检验。因此,我们的概念验证研究证明了ERRA估计的脉冲响应如何有助于澄清流域尺度上降水和河流流量之间的联系,量化水文过程中的非线性和非平稳性,并批判性地评估模拟模型。
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引用次数: 0
A Fully Coupled Numerical Solution of Water, Vapor, Heat, and Water Stable Isotope Transport in Soil 土壤中水、蒸汽、热量和水稳定同位素输运的完全耦合数值解
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr037068
Han Fu, Eric John Neil, Huijie Li, Bingcheng Si
Modeling water stable isotope transport in soil is crucial to sharpen our understanding of water cycles in terrestrial ecosystems. Although several models for soil water isotope transport have been developed, many rely on a semi-coupled numerical approach, solving isotope transport only after obtaining solutions from water and heat transport equations. However, this approach may increase instability and errors of model. Here, we developed an algorithm that solves one-dimensional water, heat, and isotope transport equations with a fully coupled method (MOIST). Our results showed that MOIST is more stable under various spatial and temporal discretization than semi-coupled method and has good agreement with semi-analytical solutions of isotope transport. We also validated MOIST with long-term measurements from a lysimeter study under three scenarios with soil hydraulic parameters calibrated by HYDRUS-1D in the first two scenarios and by MOIST in the last scenario. In scenario 1, MOIST showed an overall NSE, KGE, and MAE of simulated δ18O of 0.47, 0.58, and 0.92‰, respectively, compared to the 0.31, 0.60, and 1.00‰ from HYDRUS-1D; In scenario 2, these indices of MOIST were 0.33, 0.52, and 1.04‰, respectively, compared to the 0.19, 0.58, and 1.15‰ from HYDRUS-1D; In scenario 3, calibrated MOIST exhibited the highest NSE (0.48) and KGE (0.76), the smallest MAE (0.90) among all scenarios. These findings indicate MOIST has better performance in simulating water flow and isotope transport in simplified ecosystems than HYDRUS-1D, suggesting the great potential of MOIST in furthering our understandings of ecohydrological processes in terrestrial ecosystems.
模拟土壤中水稳定同位素输运对加深我们对陆地生态系统水循环的理解至关重要。虽然已经开发了几种土壤水同位素输运模型,但许多模型依赖于半耦合数值方法,只有在从水和热输运方程中获得解后才能求解同位素输运。然而,这种方法可能会增加模型的不稳定性和误差。在这里,我们开发了一种算法,用完全耦合的方法(MOIST)求解一维水、热量和同位素输运方程。结果表明,与半耦合方法相比,在不同时空离散化条件下,该方法更稳定,且与同位素输运的半解析解吻合较好。我们还通过三种情况下的长期测量数据验证了MOIST的有效性,前两种情况下由HYDRUS-1D校准土壤水力参数,最后一种情况下由MOIST校准。在情景1中,与HYDRUS-1D的0.31、0.60和1.00‰相比,MOIST模拟δ18O的总体NSE、KGE和MAE分别为0.47、0.58和0.92‰;与HYDRUS-1D的0.19‰、0.58‰和1.15‰相比,情景2中MOIST的指数分别为0.33‰、0.52‰和1.04‰;在情景3中,校准后的润湿表现出最高的NSE(0.48)和KGE(0.76),最小的MAE(0.90)。这些结果表明,在模拟简化生态系统的水流和同位素输运方面,MOIST比HYDRUS-1D具有更好的性能,这表明它在进一步了解陆地生态系统的生态水文过程方面具有很大的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A Half-Order Derivative Based Model of Lake Heat Storage Change 基于半阶导数的湖泊蓄热变化模型
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr038269
Yuanbo Liu, Liangjun Tang, Wanqiu Xing, Jingfeng Wang, Ruonan Wang, Yifan Cui, Qi Li
Heat storage change (HSC) is a crucial component of lake's thermal energy budget. Conventional temperature profile based models of HSC require location specific parameters such as lakebed topography. Based on the half-order time-derivative formula of heat fluxes, an analytical model was formulated for estimating HSC from water surface temperature and solar radiation without using geography dependent parameters. The proposed model was tested against field measurements at Poyang Lake, a shallow inland lake, which has pronounced seasonal variations in water level and lake area. Our analysis indicates that the model accurately simulates diurnal HSC with a coefficient of determination of 0.94 and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 77.5 ± 21.6 Wm−2 for the study period. Larger nighttime RMSE (75.0 ± 26.8 Wm−2) than the daytime value (55.1 ± 19.7 W m−2) is attributable to larger measurement errors of nighttime turbulent fluxes. The estimation of HSC independent of temperature profile and lake-specific parameters by the proposed model facilitates remote sensing monitoring the HSC of global water bodies.
蓄热变化(HSC)是湖泊热能收支的重要组成部分。传统的基于温度剖面的HSC模型需要特定位置的参数,如湖床地形。基于热通量的半阶时间导数公式,建立了不使用地理相关参数,利用水面温度和太阳辐射估算热通量的解析模型。该模型在鄱阳湖进行了野外实测,鄱阳湖是一个浅内陆湖,其水位和湖泊面积具有明显的季节性变化。我们的分析表明,该模型准确地模拟了研究期间的日HSC,决定系数为0.94,均方根误差(RMSE)为77.5±21.6 Wm−2。夜间的RMSE值(75.0±26.8 Wm−2)大于白天的RMSE值(55.1±19.7 Wm−2),这是由于夜间湍流通量的测量误差较大。该模型估算的HSC不依赖于温度剖面和湖泊特征参数,有利于全球水体HSC的遥感监测。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Hectare-Scale Groundwater Recharge Estimation by Integrating Data From Cosmic-Ray Neutron Sensing Into Soil Hydrological Modeling 将宇宙射线中子遥感数据整合到土壤水文模型中,提高公顷尺度地下水补给估算
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr037641
Lena M. Scheiffele, Matthias Munz, Till Francke, Gabriele Baroni, Sascha E. Oswald
Vadose zone models, calibrated with state variables, may offer a robust approach for deriving groundwater recharge. Cosmic-ray neutron sensing (CRNS) provides soil moisture over a large support volume (horizontal extent of hectares) and offers the opportunity to estimate water fluxes at this scale. However, the horizontal and vertical sensitivity of the method results in an inherently weighted water content, which poses a challenge for its application in soil hydrologic modeling. We systematically assess calibrating a soil hydraulic model in HYDRUS 1D at a cropped field site. Calibration was performed using different field-scale soil moisture time series and the ability of the model to represent root zone soil moisture and derive groundwater recharge was assessed. As our benchmark, we used a distributed point sensor network from within the footprint of the CRNS. Models calibrated on CRNS data or combinations of CRNS with deeper point measurements resulted in cumulative groundwater recharge comparable to the benchmark. While models based exclusively on CRNS data do not represent the root zone soil moisture dynamics adequately, combining CRNS with profile soil moisture overcomes this limitation. Models calibrated on CRNS data also perform well in timing the downward flux compared to an independent estimate based on soil water tension measurements. However, the latter provides quantitative groundwater recharge estimates spanning a wide range of values, including unrealistic highs exceeding local annual precipitation. Conversely, modeled groundwater recharge based on the distributed sensor network or on CRNS resulted in estimates ranging between 30% and 40% of annual precipitation.
用状态变量校准的渗流带模型可能为推导地下水补给提供一种可靠的方法。宇宙射线中子感应(CRNS)提供大支持体积(公顷水平范围)上的土壤湿度,并提供在此尺度上估计水通量的机会。然而,该方法的水平和垂直敏感性导致其固有的加权含水量,这给其在土壤水文建模中的应用带来了挑战。我们系统地评估校准在HYDRUS 1D土壤水力模型在一个作物田现场。采用不同的田间尺度土壤湿度时间序列进行了校准,并评估了模型表征根区土壤湿度和推导地下水补给的能力。作为我们的基准,我们在CRNS的足迹内使用分布式点传感器网络。根据CRNS数据校准的模型或CRNS与更深点测量的组合得出的地下水累积补给与基准相当。虽然仅基于CRNS数据的模型不能充分代表根区土壤水分动态,但将CRNS与剖面土壤水分相结合克服了这一局限性。与基于土壤水张力测量的独立估计相比,基于CRNS数据校准的模型在确定向下通量的时间方面也表现良好。然而,后者提供了定量的地下水补给估算值,范围很广,包括超出当地年降水量的不切实际的高值。相反,基于分布式传感器网络或CRNS的模拟地下水补给估算值在年降水量的30%至40%之间。
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引用次数: 0
Roughness and Energy Losses Induced by Mussel Growth on the Walls of Hydraulic Structures and Application to a Water Transfer Project 水工构筑物壁面贻贝生长引起的粗糙度和能量损失及其在调水工程中的应用
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1029/2023wr036503
Jiahao Zhang, Mengzhen Xu, Boris Huber, Markus Grünzner, Koen Blanckaert
Mussel biofouling increases energy losses in hydraulic structures. The first contribution of this paper is the quantification of the mussel-induced equivalent sand roughness ks as function of the mussel attachment density N and the shell length L. Laboratory experiments reveal that ks/L ≈ 1.5 for a continuous regular layer of mussels, which is found for N L2 > 1.2. For 0.5 < N L2 < 1.2, the mussels form a continuous irregular roughness layer with increased values of ks/L of up to 2.4. These geometrical irregularities are interpreted as macro-roughness elements, that is, roughness elements with a spatial scale larger than that of an individual mussel. For N L2 < 0.5, the density of the irregularities is too low to act as macro-roughness elements leading to ks/L < 1.5. The second contribution is the establishment of a threshold criterion for the importance of filtering activity on ks based on data from the here reported experiments and data reported in literature in other configurations and/or with other mussel species. It is found that laboratory conditions are often close to the threshold value but that mussel filtering is always negligible in large hydraulic structures. The third contribution is the development of a method based on 3-D numerical simulations for estimating a Darcy-Weisbach friction factor f for walls that are only partially covered with patches of mussels. An application example illustrates how the thus obtained f can be used in a 1-D model for quantifying the additional energy losses in large water transfer projects.
贻贝生物污垢增加了水工结构的能量损失。本文的第一个贡献是量化了贻贝诱导的等效沙粗糙度ks随贻贝附着密度N和壳长L的函数。实验室实验表明,对于连续的规则贻贝层,ks/L≈1.5,为N L2 >;1.2. 对于0.5 <;N L2 <;1.2,贻贝形成连续的不规则粗糙度层,ks/L增大至2.4。这些几何上的不规则性被解释为宏观粗糙度元素,即比单个贻贝的空间尺度更大的粗糙度元素。对于nl2 <;0.5,不规则密度过低,不能作为宏观粗糙度元素,导致ks/L <;1.5. 第二个贡献是基于本文报道的实验数据和文献中报道的其他构型和/或其他贻贝物种的数据,建立了ks上过滤活性重要性的阈值标准。研究发现,实验室条件往往接近阈值,但在大型水工建筑物中,贻贝滤波总是可以忽略不计的。第三个贡献是开发了一种基于三维数值模拟的方法,用于估计只有部分被贻贝覆盖的墙壁的达西-韦斯巴赫摩擦系数。一个应用实例说明了如何将由此得到的f用于一维模型中,以量化大型调水工程中的附加能量损失。
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引用次数: 0
Catchments Amplify Reservoir Thermal Response to Climate Warming 集水区增强水库对气候变暖的热响应
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1029/2023wr036808
Bo Gai, Rohini Kumar, Frank Hüesker, Chenxi Mi, Xiangzhen Kong, Bertram Boehrer, Karsten Rinke, Tom Shatwell
Lentic waters integrate atmosphere and catchment processes, and thus ultimately capture climate signals. However, studies of climate warming effects on lentic waters usually do not sufficiently account for a change in heat flux from the catchment through altered inflow temperature and discharge under climate change. This is particularly relevant for reservoirs, which are highly impacted by catchment hydrology and may be affected by upstream reservoirs or pre-dams. This study explicitly quantified how the catchment and pre-dams modify the thermal response of Rappbode Reservoir, Germany's largest drinking water reservoir system, to climate change. We established a catchment-lake modeling chain in the main reservoir and its two pre-dams utilizing the lake model GOTM, the catchment model mHM, and the stream temperature model Air2stream, forced by an ensemble of climate projections under RCP2.6 and 8.5 warming scenarios. Results exhibited a warming of 0.27/0.15°C decade−1 for the surface/bottom temperatures of the main reservoir, with approximately 8%/24% of this warming attributed to the catchment warming, respectively. The catchment warming amplified the deep water warming more than at the surface, contrary to the atmospheric warming effect, and advanced stratification by about 1 week, while having a minor impact on stratification intensity. On the other hand, pre-dams reduced the inflow temperature into the main reservoir in spring, and consequently lowered the hypolimnetic temperature and postponed stratification onset. This shielded the main reservoir from climate warming, although overall the contribution of pre-dams was minimal. Altogether, our study highlights the importance of catchment alterations and seasonality when projecting reservoir warming, and provides insights into catchment-reservoir coupling under climate change.
天然水整合了大气和流域过程,因此最终捕获气候信号。然而,气候变暖对淡水影响的研究通常不能充分考虑气候变化下通过入流温度和流量的改变而引起的集水区热通量的变化。这对水库尤其重要,因为水库受到集水区水文的高度影响,并可能受到上游水库或预水坝的影响。这项研究明确量化了集水区和预建大坝如何改变Rappbode水库(德国最大的饮用水水库系统)对气候变化的热响应。基于RCP2.6和8.5变暖情景下的气候预估,利用湖泊模型GOTM、流域模型mHM和河流温度模型Air2stream在主水库及其两个预坝中建立了流域-湖泊模型链。结果表明,主要水库的地表/底部温度在10年−1期间变暖0.27/0.15°C,其中约8%/24%的变暖分别归因于集水区变暖。与大气增温效应相反,集水区增温对深水增温的放大作用大于表层增温,使分层提前约1周,但对分层强度的影响较小。另一方面,预坝降低了春季主水库入库温度,从而降低了低水温度,延缓了分层的发生。这使主要水库免受气候变暖的影响,尽管总体而言,大坝建成前的贡献很小。总之,我们的研究强调了流域变化和季节性在预测水库变暖时的重要性,并为气候变化下的流域-水库耦合提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
An Analytical Framework for Risk Evaluation and Design of Infiltration Basins for Managed Aquifer Recharge 含水层管理补给入渗盆地风险评价与设计分析框架
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr038516
Aldo Fiori, Felipe P. J. de Barros, Alberto Bellin
Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) plays an important role in improving and supplementing groundwater storage. Many natural factors, ranging from climatic conditions to soil characteristics, can impact the efficiency of an infiltration basin. Other factors, such as engineered variables, will also influence the basin performance and the risks associated with groundwater contamination. The latter depends on the interplay between the hydraulic characteristics of the system and the soil and solute properties. The design of infiltration basins has been performed so far with the main objective of mitigating the tendency of the basin to reduce the infiltration rate with time due to clogging of the basin's bottom. Less attention has been paid to the risk of groundwater contamination by the infiltrating water. To understand the complex interplay between natural and engineering parameters on MAR efficiency and the contamination risk, we propose a risk-oriented analytical framework. The framework allows to investigate the interplay between soil parameters, engineering design and climatic factors on the efficiency of an infiltration basin. Our framework relies on novel analytical solutions that relates the geometrical and hydrological features of the infiltration basin to its efficiency and groundwater contamination risk. The solutions incorporates the randomness associated with inflows (precipitation) and soil properties. We explore the trade-off between efficiency and the risk of contamination and delineate a design procedure that balances these two opposing needs. Although the framework relies on simplifying assumptions, it provides a computationally efficient manner to obtain physical insights and relate model input parameters to decision making.
含水层管理补给(MAR)在改善和补充地下水储量方面发挥着重要作用。许多自然因素,从气候条件到土壤特征,都可以影响入渗盆地的效率。其他因素,如工程变量,也将影响盆地的性能和与地下水污染有关的风险。后者取决于系统的水力特性与土壤和溶质性质之间的相互作用。到目前为止,入渗盆地的设计主要目的是缓解由于盆地底部堵塞而导致的盆地随时间降低入渗速率的趋势。但对地下水被入渗水污染的危险性关注较少。为了理解自然和工程参数对MAR效率和污染风险的复杂相互作用,我们提出了一个以风险为导向的分析框架。该框架允许研究土壤参数、工程设计和气候因素对入渗盆地效率的相互作用。我们的框架依赖于新颖的分析解决方案,将渗透盆地的几何和水文特征与其效率和地下水污染风险联系起来。解决方案结合了与流入(降水)和土壤特性相关的随机性。我们探讨了效率和污染风险之间的权衡,并描述了平衡这两种相反需求的设计过程。尽管该框架依赖于简化的假设,但它提供了一种计算效率高的方式来获得物理见解,并将模型输入参数与决策联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
ENSO Enhances Seasonal River Discharge Instability and Water Resource Allocation Pressure ENSO增加了季节性河流流量不稳定性和水资源配置压力
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-05 DOI: 10.1029/2023wr036965
Minxiang Zhu, Dan Yu, Yiqi Yu, Yi Zheng, Shaobin Li, Ximing Cai, Nengwang Chen
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) significantly disrupts Pacific Ocean watershed hydrology, affecting water supply reliability. However, the specific ways in which ENSO affects seasonal river discharge remain underexplored, presenting a significant gap in our understanding of climate-water interactions. Our study reveals that ENSO exacerbates river discharge variability, evident in the dynamics of maximum rise (Dr) and fall (Df) in standardized discharge, and their duration (M). Notably, ENSO augments Dr but shortens M in major rivers like the Yangtze. Employing a novel metric, the Discharge Instability Index (DII), we find that DII surges by at least 69% in El Niño years, particularly in southwestern North American watersheds. Vegetation and precipitation emerge as pivotal in shaping the discharge response to ENSO. Predictive modeling with DII suggests an escalation in discharge instability under climate warming, with a 0.11%–9.46% increase. This insight calls for water managers to integrate ENSO-induced seasonal variations into strategic planning, blending immediate actions like dam regulation with long-term initiatives such as afforestation, to counteract climate-induced water scarcity.
El Niño-Southern涛动(ENSO)严重破坏了太平洋流域的水文,影响了供水的可靠性。然而,ENSO影响季节性河流流量的具体方式仍未得到充分探索,这表明我们对气候-水相互作用的理解存在重大差距。研究表明,ENSO加剧了河流流量的变化,体现在标准化流量的最大上升(Dr)和最大下降(Df)及其持续时间(M)的动态变化上。值得注意的是,ENSO在长江等主要河流中增加了Dr,缩短了M。采用一种新的度量,即流量不稳定指数(DII),我们发现DII在El Niño年至少激增69%,特别是在北美西南部流域。植被和降水在形成对ENSO的流量响应中起关键作用。基于DII的预测模型表明,气候变暖导致排放不稳定性上升,增幅为0.11% ~ 9.46%。这一见解要求水资源管理者将enso引起的季节变化纳入战略规划,将大坝管理等即时行动与造林等长期举措相结合,以应对气候引起的水资源短缺。
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引用次数: 0
Root-Zone Water-Storage Capacity and Uncertainty: An Intrinsic Factor Affecting Agroecosystem Resilience to Drought 根区蓄水能力与不确定性:影响农业生态系统抗旱能力的内在因素
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr037719
Nunzio Romano, Caterina Mazzitelli, Paolo Nasta
Mapping ecosystem function indicators helps identify areas susceptible to drought, heat stress, and reduced agricultural production. This information can be used to prioritize areas for targeted interventions to tackle adverse climatic conditions and changes in land use. Root-zone water-storage capacity (SR) is a commonly used variable of agroecosystem functioning, representing the maximum value of water stored within the root zone and accessible to vegetation for its productive growth. Mapping SR over large spatial scales is only feasible through an oversimplification of real-world conditions. Under such circumstances, we propose to resort to soil-hydraulic-energy indices, namely the integral mean water capacity (IMWC) and the integral energy (IE) and an effective root-zone depth (zR). Accordingly, a more efficient and environmentally sensitive, albeit still simplistic, determination of the root-zone water-storage capacity is computed as SR,IMWC = zR × IMWC, and validated against soil moisture measurements carried out along a transect. Subsequently, the SR,IMWC indicator was mapped in Campania, a 13,700 km2 region in southern Italy. This study also addressed the issue of the propagation of epistemic uncertainty in input soil hydraulic parameters to the output response variable IMWC. This was accomplished using a Monte Carlo simulation technique that generated several equiprobable stochastic realizations from the multivariate set of data inputs. Finally, we assessed the potential utility of the integral capacity energy (ICE) composite indicator, computed as the ratio IMWC/IE in %, as a scoring parameter to identify Priority Intervention Areas (PIAs) where resilience to environmental challenges, including water scarcity, drought events, and post-fire conditions, could be enhanced.
绘制生态系统功能指标有助于确定易受干旱、热胁迫和农业减产影响的地区。这些信息可用于确定有针对性干预措施的优先领域,以应对不利的气候条件和土地利用变化。根区储水能力(SR)是农业生态系统功能的一个常用变量,代表了根区储水的最大值,植被可获得的水量用于其生产生长。在大空间尺度上映射SR只有通过对现实世界条件的过度简化才可行。在这种情况下,我们建议采用土壤-水能指标,即积分平均容水量(IMWC)、积分能量(IE)和有效根区深度(zR)。因此,尽管仍然过于简单,但根区蓄水能力的计算方法更有效、更环保,计算公式为SR,IMWC = zR × IMWC,并根据沿样带进行的土壤水分测量进行验证。随后,在意大利南部13700平方公里的坎帕尼亚地区绘制了SR,IMWC指标。本研究还解决了输入土壤水力参数的认知不确定性对输出响应变量IMWC的传播问题。这是使用蒙特卡罗模拟技术完成的,该技术从多变量数据输入集生成了几个等概率随机实现。最后,我们评估了积分能力能量(ICE)复合指标的潜在效用,以IMWC/IE的百分比计算,作为评分参数,以确定优先干预地区(PIAs),在这些地区,对环境挑战(包括水资源短缺、干旱事件和火灾后条件)的恢复能力可以增强。
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Water Resources Research
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