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Carbon Biogeochemistry and Export Governed by Flow in a Non‐Perennial Stream 碳的生物地球化学特征及其在非多年生河流中的输出
1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1029/2022wr034004
Kristen A. Bretz, Natalie N. Murphy, Erin R. Hotchkiss
Abstract Non‐perennial headwaters experience extremes in flow conditions that likely influence carbon fate. As surface waters contract through dry periods, reconnect during storms, and re‐expand or dry again, there is a great deal of variability in carbon emissions and export. We measured discharge, dissolved oxygen, carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) continuously in a persistent pool at the base of a non‐perennial, forested headwater stream in the southeastern United States to characterize how flow changes affect carbon emissions and export as the stream expands and shrinks. We also compared carbon concentrations and export during different stream flow categories before and after fall wet‐up. CO 2 concentrations were high when discharge was lowest (median = 10.2 mg L −1 ) and low during high flows (3.2 mg L −1 ) and storms (1.1 mg L −1 ). High CO 2 concentrations led to high emissions on a per area basis during low flow times, but whole‐channel stream CO 2 emissions were limited by the small surface area of the stream during periods of surface water disconnection. DOC concentration varied by season (range = 0.1–16.2 mg L −1 ) with large pulses during smaller summer storms. We found that CO 2 and DOC concentrations differed among binned stages of stream flow. As non‐perennial streams become more prevalent across the southeastern United States due to shifts in climate, the relationships between flow and carbon movement into and out of stream networks will become increasingly critical to understanding stream carbon biogeochemistry.
摘要:非多年生源经历了可能影响碳命运的极端流动条件。由于地表水在干旱期收缩,在风暴期间重新连接,然后再扩张或再次干燥,因此碳排放和出口存在很大的可变性。我们在美国东南部一个非多年生、森林覆盖的源流底部的一个持久池中连续测量了排放量、溶解氧、二氧化碳(CO 2)和溶解有机碳(DOC),以表征随着源流的扩张和收缩,流量变化如何影响碳排放和输出。我们还比较了秋季湿化前后不同水系的碳浓度和碳出口量。co2浓度在流量最小时较高(中位数为10.2 mg L−1),在流量大时较低(3.2 mg L−1)和暴雨时较低(1.1 mg L−1)。在低流量时期,高CO 2浓度导致每区域的高排放量,但在地表水中断期间,整个河道的CO 2排放量受到河流小表面积的限制。DOC浓度随季节变化(范围= 0.1 ~ 16.2 mg L−1),在较小的夏季风暴期间脉冲较大。我们发现co2和DOC浓度在河流的不同阶段有所不同。由于气候的变化,非多年生河流在美国东南部变得越来越普遍,河流网络进出的流量和碳运动之间的关系对于理解河流碳生物地球化学将变得越来越重要。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating dynamic non‐water‐limited canopy resistance over the globe: Changes, contributors and implications 估算全球动态非水限冠层阻力:变化、贡献因素和意义
1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1029/2022wr034209
Meixian Liu, Alexander Y Sun, Kairong Lin, Wei Luo, Xinjun Tu, Xiaohong Chen
Abstract Non‐water‐limited canopy resistance ( r cs , also known as the bulk stomatal resistance or surface resistance) is a critical variable in estimating potential evapotranspiration (PET), which is widely used in ecohydrology related fields. However, quantifying r cs is a challenging work. Here we develop an approach for estimating r cs over the globe. Comparing results over the globe and across 10 ET data sets (used as inputs), which are based on diverse mechanisms and algorithms, we find that the approach can capture canopy resistance well (mean correlation of 0.84 ± 0.04, mean relative Root Mean Squared Error of 4.4% ± 1.0%, and mean relative Mean Absolute Error of 5.8% ± 1.4%), and the estimated r cs are very close to those estimated using another method ( R 2 = 0.92), which is based on a quite different hypothesis that is only suitable for saturated regions. Based on these, we find that the r cs shows an overall increasing trend (0.43 ± 0.13 s m −1 year −1 ) over the globe (at 77.6% ± 3.9% of the land grid cells) during 1982–2014, and the air temperature dominates the variabilities of r cs in regions with decreasing r cs (mean relative contribution of 57.9% ± 11.4%), while air CO 2 concentration controls the changes in r cs in regions with increasing r cs (mean relative contribution of 47.3% ± 8.0%). Moreover, we also find that the traditional PET estimator explicitly overestimates the increasing trends in PET, and tends to overestimate (underestimate) the increasing (decreasing) trends in regions with increasing (decreasing) PET. These findings can improve our knowledge on the complex water‐vegetation‐environment interactions and would be helpful for developing more accurate models for quantifying the impacts of global change on water resources.
非限水冠层阻力(rcs),又称体积气孔阻力或表面阻力,是估算潜在蒸散发(PET)的关键变量,在生态水文相关领域得到广泛应用。然而,量化碳排放是一项具有挑战性的工作。在这里,我们开发了一种估算全球r cs的方法。对比基于不同机制和算法的全球和10个ET数据集(作为输入)的结果,我们发现该方法可以很好地捕获冠层阻力(平均相关系数为0.84±0.04,平均相对均方根误差为4.4%±1.0%,平均相对平均绝对误差为5.8%±1.4%),估计的r cs与使用另一种方法估计的r cs非常接近(r2 = 0.92)。这是基于一个完全不同的假设,只适用于饱和区域。在此基础上,我们发现r cs显示了一个总体增加的趋势(0.43±0.13 s m 1年−−1)在世界各地(在77.6%±3.9%的土地网格细胞)在1982 - 2014年期间,和空气温度的主导着可变性r cs与减少区域r cs(平均57.9%±11.4%)的相对贡献,而空气CO 2浓度控制地区r cs的变化随着r cs(平均47.3%±8.0%)的相对贡献。此外,我们还发现传统的PET估计器明显高估了PET的增加趋势,并且倾向于高估(低估)PET增加(减少)区域的增加(减少)趋势。这些发现可以提高我们对水-植被-环境复杂相互作用的认识,并有助于开发更准确的模型来量化全球变化对水资源的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the Supercooling Characteristics of Freezing Soil Based On Nucleation Theory 基于成核理论的冻土过冷特性研究
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1029/2023WR034800
Chong Wang, Kunyu Li, Zhikun Lin, Zhijie Yang, Honghong Cai, Yuanming Lai, Shuangyang Li
The clarification of freezing in a soil‐water system is critical for assessing the formation of a freezing zone and liquid water flow. The supercooling phenomenon of soil pore solutions has been found during the freezing process, but the mechanism remains poorly understood. In this study, we propose a free energy function of soil‐water systems based on the Classical Nucleation Theory. The analytical solution of the critical nucleation problem of saline soil‐water system is obtained by combining the initial freezing temperature model and Pitzer activity coefficients model in electrolyte solutions. Then, the freezing‐thawing experiments of saline soil with various salt contents were conducted for verifying the analytical solution. The derived boundary nucleation rate is the quantitative solution of the critical condition for the supercooling. The findings suggested that the theory results agreed well with the experiment results. For the salt‐free soil‐water system, the critical maximum radius of supercooling was 7.15 nm. We compared eight classical ice‐water interfacial tension models, and the “Reinhardt & Doye” and “DeMott & Rogers” models showed excellent performance when using the new free energy theoretical framework to predict the crystallization nucleation rate of soil‐water systems. A positive correlation between the boundary nucleation rate and soil‐water potential is detected. According to the influencing factors, the boundary nucleation rate of soil‐water system can be divided into three zones: salt nature control zone (R > 100 μm), salt‐pore mixed control zone (100 μm > R > 100 nm), and pore size control zone (R < 100 nm).
澄清土壤-水系统中的冻结对于评估冻结区和液态水流的形成至关重要。土壤孔隙溶液在冻结过程中存在过冷现象,但其机理尚不清楚。在这项研究中,我们基于经典成核理论提出了土壤-水系统的自由能函数。将电解质溶液中的初始冻结温度模型和Pitzer活度系数模型相结合,得到了盐水-土壤系统临界成核问题的解析解。然后,对不同含盐量的盐渍土进行了冻融实验,以验证分析溶液。导出的边界成核率是过冷临界条件的定量解。研究结果表明,理论结果与实验结果吻合较好。对于无盐土壤-水系统,过冷的临界最大半径为7.15 nm。我们比较了八个经典的冰水界面张力模型,当使用新的自由能理论框架预测土壤-水系统的结晶成核速率时,“Reinhardt&Doye”和“DeMott&Rogers”模型表现出优异的性能。边界成核速率与土壤水势之间存在正相关关系。根据影响因素,土壤-水系统的边界成核率可分为三个区域:盐性控制区(R>100μm)、盐孔混合控制区(100μm>R>100 nm)和孔径控制区(R<100 nm)。
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引用次数: 1
Soil Moisture Estimation by Assimilating In‐Situ and SMAP Surface Soil Moisture Using Unscented Weighted Ensemble Kalman Filter 利用无气味加权集合卡尔曼滤波同化原位和SMAP地表土壤水分估算土壤水分
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1029/2023WR034506
Xiaolei Fu, Yuchen Zhang, Qi Zhong, Haishen Lü, Yongjian Ding, Zhaoguo Li, Zhongbo Yu, Xiaolei Jiang
Highly accurate soil moisture information is necessary to understand land surface processes. However, observational techniques do not produce adequately accurate spatial‐temporal continuous regional soil moisture data. The data assimilation method can be used to improve the soil moisture estimations by merging multi‐source observed data, but its performance is affected by error covariance and the quality of assimilated data. We designed eight numerical experiments to analyze how to improve the filter performance through soil moisture assimilation using the unscented weighted ensemble Kalman filter (UWEnKF) and 1‐D Richards equation at Maqu and Erlinghu (ELH) observational sites in the source region of Yellow River (SRYR), China. The experimental results show that the filter performance improves as the quality of assimilated data increases in the soil moisture assimilation experiment when assimilating in‐situ surface soil moisture (SSM) observations, SMAP SSM data and downscaled SMAP SSM data. In other aspects, filter performance is readily affected by model and observation error covariances in soil moisture assimilation. If the SMAP SSM data are taken to be perfect (i.e., small bias), UWEnKF performs differently between different sites because of the underestimation or overestimation of SMAP SSM and model simulations compared to the in‐situ observations. Additionally, different soil moisture assimilation results can be obtained with different initial values at the beginning of the assimilation period. Overall, filter performance can be improved primarily by improving the quality of assimilated data (e.g., downscaling the remote sensing data), and by creating a reasonable and effective method for determining error covariance.
高度精确的土壤水分信息是了解地表过程的必要条件。然而,观测技术不能产生足够精确的时空连续区域土壤湿度数据。数据同化方法可以通过合并多源观测数据来改进土壤水分估算,但其性能受误差协方差和同化数据质量的影响。在黄河源区玛曲和二令湖(ELH)观测点,设计了8个数值试验,分析了利用unscented加权集合卡尔曼滤波(UWEnKF)和1‐D Richards方程通过同化土壤水分来提高过滤性能的方法。实验结果表明,在土壤水分同化实验中,同化现场地表土壤水分(SSM)观测数据、SMAP SSM数据和缩小后的SMAP SSM数据时,滤波性能随着同化数据质量的提高而提高。在其他方面,土壤水分同化过程中模型误差和观测误差的协方差很容易影响过滤性能。如果SMAP SSM数据被认为是完美的(即小偏差),UWEnKF在不同站点之间的表现不同,因为与现场观测相比,SMAP SSM和模式模拟的低估或高估。此外,同化初期不同初始值的土壤水分同化结果也不同。总的来说,滤波器性能的提高主要是通过提高同化数据的质量(例如,降低遥感数据的比例),以及创建一个合理有效的方法来确定误差协方差。
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引用次数: 1
The Safe Drinking Water Act at 50: A Policy Model for Grand Challenges 《安全饮用水法》50周年:应对重大挑战的政策模式
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1029/2023wr035172
Robert B. Sowby
Since its passage in 1974, the U.S. Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA) has become a pillar of water resources engineering, utility management, and public health policy. Complementing other environmental legislation from the same period, SDWA set standards for drinking water suppliers, service, and quality and has made an unmistakable positive impact on U.S. communities for the past 50 years. While drinking water faces different specific challenges today, the general principles established by SDWA are the same. Its success may be attributed to its broad political commitment at the federal level, firm enforcement at the state level, and dutiful execution at the local (public water supplier) level—all while customers know exactly what to expect—thus creating clear accountability for safe water. Just as SDWA helped resolve last century's drinking water problems, it can serve as a policy model for addressing this century's grand challenges.
自1974年通过以来,《美国安全饮用水法案》(SDWA)已成为水资源工程、公用事业管理和公共卫生政策的支柱。作为同一时期其他环境立法的补充,SDWA为饮用水供应商、服务和质量制定了标准,并在过去50年中对美国社区产生了明显的积极影响。虽然饮用水今天面临着不同的具体挑战,但SDWA制定的一般原则是相同的。它的成功可能归功于它在联邦层面的广泛政治承诺、州层面的坚定执法以及地方(公共供水商)层面的尽职执行——所有这些都让客户确切地知道该期待什么——从而为安全用水建立了明确的问责。正如SDWA帮助解决了上个世纪的饮用水问题一样,它也可以成为应对本世纪重大挑战的政策模式。
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引用次数: 1
Displacement Patterns of a Newtonian Fluid by a Shear‐Thinning Fluid in a Rough Fracture 粗糙裂缝中剪切稀化流体对牛顿流体的驱替模式
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1029/2023WR034958
Le Zhang, Zhibing Yang, Y. Méheust, I. Neuweiler, R. Hu, Yi‐Feng Chen
Two‐phase flow involving non‐Newtonian fluids in fractured media is of vital importance in many natural processes and subsurface engineering applications, such as rock grouting, groundwater remediation, and enhanced oil recovery. Yet, how the displacement dynamics is impacted by the non‐Newtonian rheology remains an open question. Here, we conduct primary drainage experiments in which a shear‐thinning Xanthan gum solution displaces a silicone oil in a transparent rough fracture for a wide range of shear‐thinning property (controlled by polymer concentration) and flow rates. We first evaluate the effects of shear‐thinning property on displacement efficiency. Based on qualitative and quantitative analyses of the observed fluid morphologies, we present an experimental phase diagram of the obtained displacement patterns. We characterize a novel displacement pattern where the fluid‐fluid interface changes from stable (plug flow) to unstable (fingering) as the fracture aperture, averaged over the transverse direction, varies along the mean flow direction. We demonstrate that the existence of this mixed displacement pattern can be explained by local viscosity heterogeneity induced by the coupling of the shear‐thinning behavior and the spatial variability of apertures. Finally, we propose a theoretical model elucidating the mechanisms behind the flow regime transitions. The interface stability criterion predicted by this model exhibits good agreement with the experimental measurements, and stresses the potentially important role of fluid rheology, coupled to aperture variability, in immiscible displacements in rough fractures. These findings provide new insights into the dynamics of immiscible two‐phase flows with non‐Newtonian effects, and has potential implications for the aforementioned engineering applications.
裂隙介质中非牛顿流体的两相流在许多自然过程和地下工程应用中至关重要,如岩石灌浆、地下水修复和提高石油采收率。然而,位移动力学如何受到非牛顿流变学的影响仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。在这里,我们进行了初步排水实验,其中剪切稀化黄原胶溶液置换透明粗糙裂缝中的硅油,以获得广泛的剪切稀化性能(由聚合物浓度控制)和流速。我们首先评估了剪切减薄特性对驱油效率的影响。在对观察到的流体形态进行定性和定量分析的基础上,我们给出了所获得的位移模式的实验相图。我们描述了一种新的位移模式,其中随着横向平均裂缝孔径沿平均流动方向变化,流体-流体界面从稳定(塞流)变为不稳定(指进)。我们证明,这种混合驱替模式的存在可以用剪切减薄行为和孔隙空间变异性的耦合引起的局部粘度不均匀性来解释。最后,我们提出了一个理论模型来解释流态转变背后的机制。该模型预测的界面稳定性标准与实验测量结果吻合良好,并强调了流体流变学与孔隙变异性在粗糙裂缝中不混溶位移中的潜在重要作用。这些发现为具有非牛顿效应的不混溶两相流的动力学提供了新的见解,并对上述工程应用具有潜在意义。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Pressure Waves on Water Imbibition and Flow in Unsaturated Porous Media 压力波对非饱和多孔介质吸水和渗流的影响
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1029/2023WR034461
Doron Kalisman, A. Yakirevich, S. Sorek, T. Kamai
The wetting front dynamics during water imbibition in dry porous media affect the ultimate water distribution pattern. In this study, we investigate the impact of pressure pulses that emit waves in the water phase on the water distribution and imbibition patterns in porous media. We present experimental results of water spatial distribution in sand columns following infiltration under abrupt pressured‐water pulses and compare them with those of continuous inflow. Applying pressure waves during infiltration increases pressure gradients behind the wetting front, which can overcome capillary and gravitational forces, leading to uniform imbibition. To simulate the process, we developed a pore‐network model incorporating an analytical solution of pressure wave attenuation to predict the imbibition pattern. Our results demonstrate that the amplitude of the pressure wave is associated with a sharp wetting front, resulting in higher water content compared to Darcy‐type continuous flow. The findings suggest that pressure waves have the potential to achieve high water content in unsaturated media and provide insights into the spatial extent of their impact on water distribution.
在干多孔介质中吸水过程中的润湿锋动力学影响最终的水分布模式。在这项研究中,我们研究了在水相中发射波的压力脉冲对多孔介质中水分分布和自吸模式的影响。我们给出了在突然压力水脉冲下入渗后沙柱中水空间分布的实验结果,并将其与连续入流的结果进行了比较。在渗透过程中施加压力波会增加润湿锋后面的压力梯度,这可以克服毛细管力和重力,导致均匀的自吸。为了模拟这一过程,我们开发了一个孔隙网络模型,该模型结合了压力波衰减的分析解,以预测自吸模式。我们的结果表明,与达西型连续流相比,压力波的振幅与尖锐的润湿锋有关,导致含水量更高。研究结果表明,压力波有可能在非饱和介质中实现高含水量,并深入了解其对水分布影响的空间范围。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinear Riparian Interactions Drive Changes in Headwater Streamflow 非线性河岸相互作用驱动水头流量变化
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1029/2023wr034870
Sarah K. Newcomb, S. Godsey
As drought and wildfire frequency increase across the western United States, our ability to predict how water resources will respond to these disturbances depends on our understanding of the feedbacks that maintain watershed function and streamflow. Previous studies of non‐perennial headwater streams have ranked drivers of low‐flow conditions; however, there is a limited understanding of the interactions between these drivers and the processes through which these interactions affect streamflow. Here, we use stream water level, soil moisture, sap flow, and vapor pressure deficit data to investigate eco‐hydrological interactions along a mountainous headwater stream. Correlation and cross‐correlation analyses of these variables show that ecohydrological interactions are (1) nonlinear and (2) interconnected, suggesting that analyses assuming linearity and independence of each driver are inadequate for quantifying these interactions. To account for these issues and investigate causal linkages, we use convergent cross‐mapping (CCM) to characterize the feedbacks that influence non‐perennial streamflow. CCM is a nonlinear, dynamic method that has only recently been applied to hydrologic systems. CCM results reveal that atmospheric losses associated with local sap flow and vapor pressure deficit are driving changes in soil moisture and streamflow (p < 0.01) and that atmospheric losses influence stream water more directly than shallow soil moisture. These results also demonstrate that riparian processes continue to affect subsurface flows in the channel corridor even after stream drying. This study proposes a nonlinear framework for quantifying the ecohydrologic interactions that may determine how headwater streams respond to disturbance.
随着美国西部干旱和野火频率的增加,我们预测水资源将如何应对这些干扰的能力取决于我们对维持流域功能和流量的反馈的理解。先前对非常年性源头河流的研究对低流量条件的驱动因素进行了排名;然而,对这些驱动因素之间的交互作用以及这些交互作用影响流的过程的理解有限。在这里,我们使用溪流水位、土壤湿度、树液流量和蒸汽压不足数据来研究山区源头溪流的生态水文相互作用。这些变量的相关性和互相关分析表明,生态水文相互作用(1)是非线性的,(2)是相互关联的,这表明假设每个驱动因素的线性和独立性的分析不足以量化这些相互作用。为了解释这些问题并研究因果关系,我们使用收敛交叉映射(CCM)来表征影响非常年径流的反馈。CCM是一种非线性动态方法,最近才应用于水文系统。CCM结果表明,与局部树液流和蒸汽压不足相关的大气损失是土壤水分和流量变化的驱动因素(p<0.01),大气损失比浅层土壤水分更直接地影响径流。这些结果还表明,即使在河流干涸后,河岸过程仍会继续影响河道走廊的地下水流。本研究提出了一个用于量化生态水文相互作用的非线性框架,该框架可能决定源头溪流对扰动的反应。
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引用次数: 1
SatVITS‐Flood: Satellite Vegetation Index Time Series Flood Detection Model for Hyperarid Regions SatVITS‐Flood:超干旱地区的卫星植被指数时间序列洪水探测模型
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1029/2023WR035164
Omer Burstein, T. Grodek, Y. Enzel, D. Helman
We present the satellite vegetation index time series model for detecting historical floods in ungauged hyperarid regions (SatVITS‐Flood). SatVITS‐Flood is based on observations that floods are the primary cause of local vegetation expansion in hyperarid regions. To detect such expansion, we used two time‐series metrics: (a) trend change detection from the Breaks For Additive Season and Trend and (b) a newly developed seasonal change metric based on Temporal Fourier Analysis (TFA) and the growing‐season integral anomaly (TFA‐GSIanom). The two metrics complement each other by capturing changes in perennial plant species following extreme, rare floods and ephemeral vegetation changes following more frequent floods. Metrics were derived from the time series of the normalized difference vegetation index, the modified soil‐adjusted vegetation index, and the normalized difference water index, acquired from MODIS, Landsat, and Advanced Very High‐Resolution Radiometer. The timing of the change was compared with the date of the flood and the magnitude of change with its volume and duration. We tested SatVITS‐Flood in three regions on different continents with 40‐year‐long, systematic, reliable gauge data. Our results indicate that SatVITS‐Flood can predict flood occurrence with an accuracy of 78% and precision of 67% (Recall = 0.69 and F1 = 0.68; p < 0.01), and the flood volume and duration with NSE of 0.79 (RMSE = 15.4 × 106 m3 event−1), and R2 of 0.69 (RMSE = 5.7 days), respectively. SatVITS‐Flood proved useful for detecting historical floods and may provide valuable long‐term hydrological information in poorly documented areas, which can help understand the impacts of climate change on the hydrology of hyperarid regions.
我们提出了卫星植被指数时间序列模型,用于检测未接种疫苗的超干旱地区的历史洪水(SatVITS‐Flood)。SatVITS‐洪水是基于洪水是超干旱地区当地植被扩张的主要原因的观测结果。为了检测这种扩展,我们使用了两个时间序列度量:(a)从加性季节和趋势的中断中检测趋势变化,以及(b)基于时间傅立叶分析(TFA)和生长季节积分异常(TFA-GSIanom)的新开发的季节变化度量。这两个指标通过捕捉极端罕见洪水后多年生植物物种的变化和更频繁洪水后短暂植被的变化来相互补充。从MODIS、Landsat和Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer获得的归一化差异植被指数、改良土壤调整植被指数和归一化差异水分指数的时间序列中得出指标。将变化的时间与洪水发生的日期进行了比较,并将变化的幅度与洪水的水量和持续时间进行了比较。我们用40年的系统可靠的测量数据在不同大陆的三个地区测试了SatVITS洪水。我们的结果表明,SatVITS‐Flood可以预测洪水发生的准确率为78%,准确率为67%(Recall=0.69和F1=0.68;p<0.01),NSE的洪水量和持续时间分别为0.79(RMSE=15.4×106 m3事件−1)和0.69(RMSE=5.7天)。SatVITS‐Flood被证明可用于探测历史洪水,并可能在记录不足的地区提供有价值的长期水文信息,这有助于了解气候变化对超干旱地区水文的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Bias in Flood Hazard Grid Aggregation 洪水灾害网格聚合中的偏差
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1029/2023WR035100
Seth Bryant, H. Kreibich, B. Merz
Reducing flood risk through disaster planning and risk management requires accurate estimates of exposure, damage, casualties, and environmental impacts. Models can provide such information; however, computational or data constraints often lead to the construction of such models by aggregating high‐resolution flood hazard grids to a coarser resolution, the effect of which is poorly understood. Through the application of a novel spatial classification framework, we derive closed‐form solutions for the location (e.g., flood margins) and direction of bias from flood grid aggregation independent of any study region. These solutions show bias of some key metric will always be present in regions with marginal inundation; for example, inundation area will be positively biased when water depth grids are aggregated and volume will be negatively biased when water surface elevation grids are aggregated through averaging. In a separate computational analysis, we employ the same framework to a 2018 flood and successfully reproduce the findings of our study‐region‐independent derivation. Extending the investigation to the exposure of buildings, we find regions with marginal inundation are an order of magnitude more sensitive to aggregation errors, highlighting the importance of understanding such artifacts for flood risk modelers. Of the two aggregation routines considered, averaging water surface elevation grids better preserved flood depths at buildings than averaging of water depth grids. This work provides insight into, and recommendations for, aggregating grids used by flood risk models.
通过灾害规划和风险管理降低洪水风险需要准确估计暴露、破坏、伤亡和环境影响。模型可以提供这样的信息;然而,计算或数据约束往往导致通过将高分辨率的洪水灾害网格聚合到较粗的分辨率来构建此类模型,其影响尚不清楚。通过应用一种新的空间分类框架,我们得出了独立于任何研究区域的洪水网格聚集的位置(例如,洪水边缘)和偏差方向的闭合解。这些解决方案表明,一些关键指标的偏差将始终存在于边际淹没地区;例如,当水深网格聚合时,淹没面积将有正偏差,而当水面高程网格通过平均值聚合时,体积将有负偏差。在另一项计算分析中,我们对2018年的洪水采用了相同的框架,并成功地再现了我们研究的区域独立推导结果。将调查扩展到建筑物的暴露,我们发现边缘淹没的区域对聚集误差更敏感一个数量级,这突出了理解这些人为因素对洪水风险建模师的重要性。在考虑的两种聚合程序中,平均水面高程网格比平均水深网格更好地保留了建筑物的洪水深度。这项工作为洪水风险模型使用的聚合网格提供了见解和建议。
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引用次数: 0
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Water Resources Research
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