Yuhao Wang, Ke Zhang, Edward Park, Jie Liu, Yuning Luo, Shunzhang Li, Sheng Wang
Understanding how catchments respond to environmental changes is critical for water resource management. However, few studies have systematically linked catchment characteristics, environmental changes, and hydrological responses. Therefore, this study proposes a novel dual-clustering approach for identifying hydrological response patterns. It constructs the catchment characteristic indicator system for the baseline period and introduces dynamic similarity indicators that reflect climate change and anthropogenic impacts to achieve dual clustering, thereby identifying hydrological response differences. Furthermore, it employs the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) methods to identify key influencing factors of runoff change significance, providing interpretable insights into differences in hydrological responses. The approach is applied to the Haihe River Basin, indicating that 160 catchments are classified into nine static groups (A1–A9) based on catchment characteristics and five dynamic groups (B1–B5) based on environmental changes. The XGBoost model demonstrates good performance in identifying hydrological response patterns, SHAP analysis identifies the top four important factors as percentage of areas with substantial declines in the water table (positive), proportion of natural land use (positive), degree of humidity (negative), and mean elevation (positive). Catchments located in the northwestern mountainous areas are more susceptible to environmental changes, while those located in the southwestern mountainous areas and the southern plains show relatively stable response patterns. Additionally, environmental change patterns characterized by substantial water table decline are more likely to trigger significant runoff change. This approach provides new insights into the effects of interactions between static catchment characteristics and dynamic environmental changes on hydrological functioning.
{"title":"A Novel Dual-Clustering Approach for Identifying Hydrological Response Patterns From Catchment Characteristics and Environmental Changes","authors":"Yuhao Wang, Ke Zhang, Edward Park, Jie Liu, Yuning Luo, Shunzhang Li, Sheng Wang","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041613","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041613","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding how catchments respond to environmental changes is critical for water resource management. However, few studies have systematically linked catchment characteristics, environmental changes, and hydrological responses. Therefore, this study proposes a novel dual-clustering approach for identifying hydrological response patterns. It constructs the catchment characteristic indicator system for the baseline period and introduces dynamic similarity indicators that reflect climate change and anthropogenic impacts to achieve dual clustering, thereby identifying hydrological response differences. Furthermore, it employs the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) methods to identify key influencing factors of runoff change significance, providing interpretable insights into differences in hydrological responses. The approach is applied to the Haihe River Basin, indicating that 160 catchments are classified into nine static groups (A1–A9) based on catchment characteristics and five dynamic groups (B1–B5) based on environmental changes. The XGBoost model demonstrates good performance in identifying hydrological response patterns, SHAP analysis identifies the top four important factors as percentage of areas with substantial declines in the water table (positive), proportion of natural land use (positive), degree of humidity (negative), and mean elevation (positive). Catchments located in the northwestern mountainous areas are more susceptible to environmental changes, while those located in the southwestern mountainous areas and the southern plains show relatively stable response patterns. Additionally, environmental change patterns characterized by substantial water table decline are more likely to trigger significant runoff change. This approach provides new insights into the effects of interactions between static catchment characteristics and dynamic environmental changes on hydrological functioning.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147383879","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Abdelrahman Hosny Abdou, Jason Duguay, Pascale Biron, Jay Lacey
Mixing processes in confluences influence concentrations of water quality parameters such as suspended sediment loads and water chemistry in the post-confluent reach. Thus, improving our understanding of confluence flow structures and mixing is key to predicting the impact of the downstream propagation of pollutants and nutrients. Parameters such as density difference <span data-altimg="/cms/asset/01665dc1-ef2c-4cda-9454-08a6f4fa4f7d/wrcr70778-math-0001.png"></span><math altimg="urn:x-wiley:00431397:media:wrcr70778:wrcr70778-math-0001" display="inline" location="graphic/wrcr70778-math-0001.png">