Accurate streamflow prediction is critical for flood forecasting and water resource management, particularly in data-scarce regions. Deep learning models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) offer a bridge to hydrologic regionalization utilizing climate data and catchment characteristics to improve behavioral insights and constrain predictive uncertainties. Here we evaluate transfer learning (TL) approaches using 441 “donor” basins from regions rich in quality hydrological data (Scotland GB-SCT; Switzerland CH; and Canada's British Columbia; BC) to pre-train LSTM runoff models by fine-tuning in data-poor areas like CA (36 target basins). Pairing measured streamflow (lagged) records with global climate data (ERA-5) boosted the explanatory power of LSTM predictions especially in snowmelt and glacier-influenced basins. A K-Means clustering algorithm was applied to categorize basins into five hydrologically meaningful Clusters (labeled 1–5) based on catchment attributes. The results show that TL-LSTM models perform better when pre-trained using Clusters compared to the locally trained model (NSE = 0.85 and KGE = 0.80). The LSTM model trained on basins Cluster 3 data (LSTM3) most closely resembling those in the target region yielded the most accurate predictions. Fine-tuning with limited local data substantially improved prediction accuracy in the validation split (blind-tested and treated as “ungauged”), evidencing that even short-records of local data can enhance a regional model of hydrological behavior. These results demonstrate that TL-LSTM can effectively enhance streamflow prediction in data-scarce regions. These insights advance understanding of cross-basin generalization and support the development of efficient, scalable modeling strategies for hydrological prediction in regions with limited observational data.
{"title":"Investigating Deep Learning Knowledge Transfer in Streamflow Prediction From Global to Local Catchment","authors":"Jamal Hassan Ougahi, John S. Rowan","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041194","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041194","url":null,"abstract":"Accurate streamflow prediction is critical for flood forecasting and water resource management, particularly in data-scarce regions. Deep learning models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) offer a bridge to hydrologic regionalization utilizing climate data and catchment characteristics to improve behavioral insights and constrain predictive uncertainties. Here we evaluate transfer learning (TL) approaches using 441 “donor” basins from regions rich in quality hydrological data (Scotland GB-SCT; Switzerland CH; and Canada's British Columbia; BC) to pre-train LSTM runoff models by fine-tuning in data-poor areas like CA (36 target basins). Pairing measured streamflow (lagged) records with global climate data (ERA-5) boosted the explanatory power of LSTM predictions especially in snowmelt and glacier-influenced basins. A K-Means clustering algorithm was applied to categorize basins into five hydrologically meaningful Clusters (labeled 1–5) based on catchment attributes. The results show that TL-LSTM models perform better when pre-trained using Clusters compared to the locally trained model (NSE = 0.85 and KGE = 0.80). The LSTM model trained on basins Cluster 3 data (LSTM<sub>3</sub>) most closely resembling those in the target region yielded the most accurate predictions. Fine-tuning with limited local data substantially improved prediction accuracy in the validation split (blind-tested and treated as “ungauged”), evidencing that even short-records of local data can enhance a regional model of hydrological behavior. These results demonstrate that TL-LSTM can effectively enhance streamflow prediction in data-scarce regions. These insights advance understanding of cross-basin generalization and support the development of efficient, scalable modeling strategies for hydrological prediction in regions with limited observational data.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146129276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Louisa M. Rochford, Nevenka Bulovic, Steven Flook, Phil J. Hayes, Neil McIntyre
Sustainable management of groundwater resources requires a comprehensive understanding of the groundwater system and its water balance, including groundwater extraction. Bores (otherwise known as wells) used for cattle grazing are not typically metered and extraction is usually estimated using analytical models based on supply and demand-based factors. A world-first program of metering of 36 bores on 24 beef cattle grazing properties and landholder interviews on factors affecting water use was undertaken in semi-arid southern Queensland, Australia, over a 6-year period. This study investigated whether data from this program could be used to develop empirical models that could improve estimates of groundwater extraction. A model to predict cattle numbers was initially developed. The outputs from this model, together with public domain spatial data sets, were then used to predict groundwater extraction using a generalized linear model. Modeled property groundwater extraction ranged from 0.31 to 25.5 ML a−1 and was 7.6 ML a−1 on average. The model explained 83.3% of the variance in metered extraction and was found to be more accurate for the metered properties than models previously applied. The study demonstrates that models developed using data for a representative subset of users can be an effective means of estimating groundwater extraction. The approach could be applied across a range of hydrological environments and agricultural settings globally to improve estimation of unmetered take.
地下水资源的可持续管理需要全面了解地下水系统及其水平衡，包括地下水开采。用于放牧的钻孔（也称为井）通常不计量，提取通常使用基于供需因素的分析模型进行估计。在澳大利亚半干旱的昆士兰州南部，在6年的时间里，对24头肉牛放牧地的36个钻孔进行了测量，并对影响用水的因素进行了土地所有者访谈，这是世界上第一个项目。本研究调查了该项目的数据是否可以用于开发经验模型，以改善地下水开采的估计。最初开发了一个模型来预测牛的数量。该模型的输出与公共领域空间数据集一起，然后使用广义线性模型来预测地下水开采。模拟的地下水提取属性范围为0.31 ~ 25.5 ML a−1，平均为7.6 ML a−1。该模型解释了计量提取中83.3%的方差，并且发现对于计量属性比以前应用的模型更准确。该研究表明，使用具有代表性的用户子集的数据开发的模型可以是估计地下水采掘的有效手段。该方法可以应用于全球一系列水文环境和农业环境，以改进对未计量取水量的估计。
{"title":"Modeling Groundwater Extraction for Cattle Grazing in Semi-Arid Southern Queensland, Australia","authors":"Louisa M. Rochford, Nevenka Bulovic, Steven Flook, Phil J. Hayes, Neil McIntyre","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041588","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041588","url":null,"abstract":"Sustainable management of groundwater resources requires a comprehensive understanding of the groundwater system and its water balance, including groundwater extraction. Bores (otherwise known as wells) used for cattle grazing are not typically metered and extraction is usually estimated using analytical models based on supply and demand-based factors. A world-first program of metering of 36 bores on 24 beef cattle grazing properties and landholder interviews on factors affecting water use was undertaken in semi-arid southern Queensland, Australia, over a 6-year period. This study investigated whether data from this program could be used to develop empirical models that could improve estimates of groundwater extraction. A model to predict cattle numbers was initially developed. The outputs from this model, together with public domain spatial data sets, were then used to predict groundwater extraction using a generalized linear model. Modeled property groundwater extraction ranged from 0.31 to 25.5 ML a<sup>−1</sup> and was 7.6 ML a<sup>−1</sup> on average. The model explained 83.3% of the variance in metered extraction and was found to be more accurate for the metered properties than models previously applied. The study demonstrates that models developed using data for a representative subset of users can be an effective means of estimating groundwater extraction. The approach could be applied across a range of hydrological environments and agricultural settings globally to improve estimation of unmetered take.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"72 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146135155","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maud Demarty, Paul A. del Giorgio, Charles P. Deblois, François Bilodeau, Alain Tremblay
Hydropower is considered essential in meeting the increasing demand in low carbon energy in the context of climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) by hydroelectric reservoirs have nevertheless become a major concern to the energy sector. The challenge lies in developing robust estimates and models that account for temporal and spatial heterogeneity of emissions, and validating projections, because comprehensive studies are scarce due to their complexity and cost. Here we present the long term (2005–2022) GHG trajectories and other aspects of the biogeochemical functioning of the Eastmain-1 (or Paix des Braves) reservoir in boreal Québec, Canada. The study considers both seasonal and spatial heterogeneity of diffusive, ebullitive and downstream CO2 and CH4 emissions by combining discrete sampling with continuous, automated monitoring instrumentation. CH4 fluxes represented only 1.2%–6.8% of the total gross emissions, and CO2 diffusive emissions represented 80.1%–90.0% of the total emissions in CO2 equivalents. Our results confirm the projected decreasing trend in dissolved CO2 over the initial years after flooding, a pattern i.e. not observed for CH4 concentrations. Total reservoir emissions after 17 years are on the order of 434 103 tCO2eq yr−1 (i.e., ∼2 gCO2eq m−2.d−1) very close to those initially modeled right after impoundment. Based on a comparison with regional lakes, we estimate that only 45% of the current diffusive GHG emissions are attributable to the impoundment itself. This leads to current generation efficiencies of around 38 to 41 gCO2eq kW h1.
在气候变化的背景下，水电被认为是满足日益增长的低碳能源需求的关键。然而，水力发电水库的温室气体排放（GHG）已成为能源部门关注的主要问题。面临的挑战在于制定强有力的估算和模型来解释排放的时空异质性，并验证预测，因为由于其复杂性和成本，全面的研究很少。在这里，我们提出了长期（2005-2022年）的温室气体轨迹和其他方面的生物地球化学功能的东main1（或paaix des Braves）水库在加拿大quamesbec北部。该研究通过将离散采样与连续自动化监测仪器相结合，考虑了扩散、沸腾和下游CO2和CH4排放的季节和空间异质性。CH4通量仅占总排放量的1.2% ~ 6.8%，CO2扩散排放量占CO2当量总排放量的80.1% ~ 90.0%。我们的结果证实了预估的溶解二氧化碳在洪水后最初几年的下降趋势，即CH4浓度没有观察到这种模式。17年后水库总排放量约为434 103 tCO2eq yr - 1（即~ 2 gCO2eq m - 2）。D−1)非常接近最初在蓄水后的模型。通过与区域湖泊的比较，我们估计目前扩散的温室气体排放中只有45%可归因于蓄水本身。这导致目前的发电效率约为38至41 gCO2eq kW h1。
{"title":"The Long-Term C Footprint Trajectory and Emissions Attribution of a Large Boreal Reservoir (Paix Des Braves (Eastmain-1), Québec)","authors":"Maud Demarty, Paul A. del Giorgio, Charles P. Deblois, François Bilodeau, Alain Tremblay","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041366","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041366","url":null,"abstract":"Hydropower is considered essential in meeting the increasing demand in low carbon energy in the context of climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) by hydroelectric reservoirs have nevertheless become a major concern to the energy sector. The challenge lies in developing robust estimates and models that account for temporal and spatial heterogeneity of emissions, and validating projections, because comprehensive studies are scarce due to their complexity and cost. Here we present the long term (2005–2022) GHG trajectories and other aspects of the biogeochemical functioning of the Eastmain-1 (or Paix des Braves) reservoir in boreal Québec, Canada. The study considers both seasonal and spatial heterogeneity of diffusive, ebullitive and downstream CO<sub>2</sub> and CH<sub>4</sub> emissions by combining discrete sampling with continuous, automated monitoring instrumentation. CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes represented only 1.2%–6.8% of the total gross emissions, and CO<sub>2</sub> diffusive emissions represented 80.1%–90.0% of the total emissions in CO<sub>2</sub> equivalents. Our results confirm the projected decreasing trend in dissolved CO<sub>2</sub> over the initial years after flooding, a pattern i.e. not observed for CH<sub>4</sub> concentrations. Total reservoir emissions after 17 years are on the order of 434 10<sup>3</sup> tCO<sub>2</sub>eq yr<sup>−1</sup> (i.e., ∼2 gCO<sub>2</sub>eq m<sup>−2</sup>.d<sup>−1</sup>) very close to those initially modeled right after impoundment. Based on a comparison with regional lakes, we estimate that only 45% of the current diffusive GHG emissions are attributable to the impoundment itself. This leads to current generation efficiencies of around 38 to 41 gCO<sub>2</sub>eq kW h<sup>1</sup>.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146129279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Christa A. Kelleher, John Patrick Gannon, Dominick Ciruzzi
Supporting undergraduate education in hydrology is crucial to enhancing workforce development, research, and training necessary to advance the future of hydrologic science. Many professionals encounter the subject of hydrology in an undergraduate course that serves as an introduction to this discipline. However, there is limited synthesis regarding how educators design and teach introductory courses in hydrology. In this work, we analyzed 43 syllabi for undergraduate hydrology courses primarily from North America to identify how such approaches may vary and/or converge. We found that course titles varied widely, as do the use and titles of required or recommended textbooks. We also found variability in how instructors structured assessments, with 48% of syllabi reporting a distributed approach to grading rather than favoring a particular type of assessment. Instructors articulated 257 learning objectives spanning the range of Bloom's Taxonomy, as well as a small number of affective and skills-based objectives. The majority of syllabi favored mid-range objectives within Bloom's taxonomy (“understand” and “apply”), with fewer syllabi emphasizing objectives at lower (“remember”) and upper (“evaluate” and “create”) levels. In alignment with emphasis within the water cycle, most courses introduce key processes including precipitation, streamflow generation, groundwater, and evapotranspiration, but tended to diverge in whether they included topics such as climate change, human impacts on the water cycle, and water management. Overall, our synthesis provides a useful starting point for developing a common introductory curriculum in the field of hydrology, and considering what needs may still exist when first introducing undergraduate students to hydrologic science.
{"title":"The Current State of Undergraduate Hydrology Courses in North America: A Path Forward","authors":"Christa A. Kelleher, John Patrick Gannon, Dominick Ciruzzi","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041736","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041736","url":null,"abstract":"Supporting undergraduate education in hydrology is crucial to enhancing workforce development, research, and training necessary to advance the future of hydrologic science. Many professionals encounter the subject of hydrology in an undergraduate course that serves as an introduction to this discipline. However, there is limited synthesis regarding how educators design and teach introductory courses in hydrology. In this work, we analyzed 43 syllabi for undergraduate hydrology courses primarily from North America to identify how such approaches may vary and/or converge. We found that course titles varied widely, as do the use and titles of required or recommended textbooks. We also found variability in how instructors structured assessments, with 48% of syllabi reporting a distributed approach to grading rather than favoring a particular type of assessment. Instructors articulated 257 learning objectives spanning the range of Bloom's Taxonomy, as well as a small number of affective and skills-based objectives. The majority of syllabi favored mid-range objectives within Bloom's taxonomy (“understand” and “apply”), with fewer syllabi emphasizing objectives at lower (“remember”) and upper (“evaluate” and “create”) levels. In alignment with emphasis within the water cycle, most courses introduce key processes including precipitation, streamflow generation, groundwater, and evapotranspiration, but tended to diverge in whether they included topics such as climate change, human impacts on the water cycle, and water management. Overall, our synthesis provides a useful starting point for developing a common introductory curriculum in the field of hydrology, and considering what needs may still exist when first introducing undergraduate students to hydrologic science.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146129255","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Otto I. Lang, Joachim Meyer, J. Michelle Hu, S. McKenzie Skiles
Snow in the Great Salt Lake Basin is a vital resource for regional agriculture, municipal water use, and the Great Salt Lake. Accumulation of light absorbing particles (LAPs) on mountain snowpacks results in lower albedos and earlier melt compared to clean snow. Though snow darkening is linked to dust events and varies spatially, snowmelt impacts have primarily been studied at the point scale. To address this gap, a spatially distributed process-based snow model (iSnobal) was used to simulate the snowpack under different albedos: a “baseline” estimate uninfluenced by episodic LAP variability, and an “observed” scenario where MODIS snow albedo retrievals informed darkened snow conditions. Shifts in snow disappearance date (SDD) between scenarios were used to quantify the cumulative impact of snow darkening on melt over contrasting water years (WYs). The SDD shifts were greater in WY 2022, with snow disappearing 23–29 days earlier, attributed to sunny weather and darker snow. In WY 2023, SDD shifts were moderate with melt advancing 11–16 days, despite similar melt season albedos to WY 2022. Frequent storms in WY 2023 delayed darkening until later in the season, when melt progressed suddenly due to rapid albedo declines and weak longwave losses. In both years, SDD shifts were pronounced at subalpine elevations (∼2,300–2,900 m), potentially related to snow albedo declines coinciding with high solar irradiance and snowfall patterns. These findings suggest that melt sensitivity to snow darkening shows consistent spatial patterns, but the magnitude of snowmelt impacts is controlled by seasonal variability in meteorology.
{"title":"Darkened Snow Triggers Different Snowmelt Responses Over Contrasting Water Years in Great Salt Lake Headwater Basins","authors":"Otto I. Lang, Joachim Meyer, J. Michelle Hu, S. McKenzie Skiles","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041598","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041598","url":null,"abstract":"Snow in the Great Salt Lake Basin is a vital resource for regional agriculture, municipal water use, and the Great Salt Lake. Accumulation of light absorbing particles (LAPs) on mountain snowpacks results in lower albedos and earlier melt compared to clean snow. Though snow darkening is linked to dust events and varies spatially, snowmelt impacts have primarily been studied at the point scale. To address this gap, a spatially distributed process-based snow model (iSnobal) was used to simulate the snowpack under different albedos: a “baseline” estimate uninfluenced by episodic LAP variability, and an “observed” scenario where MODIS snow albedo retrievals informed darkened snow conditions. Shifts in snow disappearance date (SDD) between scenarios were used to quantify the cumulative impact of snow darkening on melt over contrasting water years (WYs). The SDD shifts were greater in WY 2022, with snow disappearing 23–29 days earlier, attributed to sunny weather and darker snow. In WY 2023, SDD shifts were moderate with melt advancing 11–16 days, despite similar melt season albedos to WY 2022. Frequent storms in WY 2023 delayed darkening until later in the season, when melt progressed suddenly due to rapid albedo declines and weak longwave losses. In both years, SDD shifts were pronounced at subalpine elevations (∼2,300–2,900 m), potentially related to snow albedo declines coinciding with high solar irradiance and snowfall patterns. These findings suggest that melt sensitivity to snow darkening shows consistent spatial patterns, but the magnitude of snowmelt impacts is controlled by seasonal variability in meteorology.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"156 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146135157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Morteza Imani, Wei Zeng, Aaron Zecchin, Martin F. Lambert
This paper presents a modal and participation factor (PF) analysis of water distribution systems (WDSs) using the elastic water column model (EWCM). Modal analysis, widely used in other engineering fields, is adapted here to characterize the dynamic behavior of WDSs under transient conditions. By linearizing the EWCM around an operating point, a state-space representation is developed, enabling the extraction of natural modes via eigenvalue analysis. These modes, defined by their frequencies and damping ratios, are validated through comparison with the admittance matrix method in the frequency domain. The study introduces PF analysis to quantify how each state variable (nodal head or flow rate) contributes to each mode. This spatial information identifies critical locations that are more sensitive to excitations and capable of amplifying transient responses. To verify the effectiveness of PF analysis, time-domain simulations are conducted for three test cases, including a real-world network (the New York tunnel system). The results confirm that exciting the system at high-PF locations can generate significant transients, while low-PF locations produce minimal responses. The analysis also reveals how resonance behavior in WDSs is spatially distributed, enabling the identification of vulnerable areas where transients are amplified. This work provides a unified time-domain framework for modal and PF analysis, contributing to improved system monitoring, management, and fault detection in WDSs.
{"title":"Modal Analysis of Water Distribution Systems With the Elastic Water Column Model","authors":"Morteza Imani, Wei Zeng, Aaron Zecchin, Martin F. Lambert","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041242","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041242","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a modal and participation factor (PF) analysis of water distribution systems (WDSs) using the elastic water column model (EWCM). Modal analysis, widely used in other engineering fields, is adapted here to characterize the dynamic behavior of WDSs under transient conditions. By linearizing the EWCM around an operating point, a state-space representation is developed, enabling the extraction of natural modes via eigenvalue analysis. These modes, defined by their frequencies and damping ratios, are validated through comparison with the admittance matrix method in the frequency domain. The study introduces PF analysis to quantify how each state variable (nodal head or flow rate) contributes to each mode. This spatial information identifies critical locations that are more sensitive to excitations and capable of amplifying transient responses. To verify the effectiveness of PF analysis, time-domain simulations are conducted for three test cases, including a real-world network (the New York tunnel system). The results confirm that exciting the system at high-PF locations can generate significant transients, while low-PF locations produce minimal responses. The analysis also reveals how resonance behavior in WDSs is spatially distributed, enabling the identification of vulnerable areas where transients are amplified. This work provides a unified time-domain framework for modal and PF analysis, contributing to improved system monitoring, management, and fault detection in WDSs.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146135156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kaushlendra Verma, Simon Munier, Aaron Boone, Patrick Le Moigne
The integration of satellite-based observations into hydrological models offers transformation potential for improving discharge predictions globally, especially in regions lacking in situ measurements. This study presents CTRIP-HyDAS, a global-scale hydrological data assimilation framework that merges SWOT-derived discharge observations with the CTRIP river routing model at 1/12° spatial resolution. The framework was applied at the global scale and evaluated using Observing System Simulation Experiments under controlled discharge observation uncertainty scenarios (10%, 20%, and 40%). Performance metrics computed globally show widespread improvements, with Assimilation Index (AI) values exceeding 0.7 in most regions and relative errors reduced to within 5%–10% under low-error conditions. To illustrate the framework's adaptability, six representative river basins, that is, Amazon, Congo, Ganges, Indus, Mississippi, and Reka, were selected to showcase HyDAS performance under diverse hydrological regimes. A physics-based localization method enabled efficient propagation of corrections beyond the observed swath. These findings confirm the scalability and robustness of CTRIP-HyDAS for global SWOT-based assimilation and underline its potential to enhance discharge prediction and water management in data-scarce regions.
{"title":"CTRIP-HyDAS: A Global-Scale Data Assimilation Framework for SWOT-Derived Discharge Using Synthetic Observations at High Resolution (1/12°)","authors":"Kaushlendra Verma, Simon Munier, Aaron Boone, Patrick Le Moigne","doi":"10.1029/2025wr040888","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr040888","url":null,"abstract":"The integration of satellite-based observations into hydrological models offers transformation potential for improving discharge predictions globally, especially in regions lacking in situ measurements. This study presents CTRIP-HyDAS, a global-scale hydrological data assimilation framework that merges SWOT-derived discharge observations with the CTRIP river routing model at 1/12° spatial resolution. The framework was applied at the global scale and evaluated using Observing System Simulation Experiments under controlled discharge observation uncertainty scenarios (10%, 20%, and 40%). Performance metrics computed globally show widespread improvements, with Assimilation Index (AI) values exceeding 0.7 in most regions and relative errors reduced to within 5%–10% under low-error conditions. To illustrate the framework's adaptability, six representative river basins, that is, Amazon, Congo, Ganges, Indus, Mississippi, and Reka, were selected to showcase HyDAS performance under diverse hydrological regimes. A physics-based localization method enabled efficient propagation of corrections beyond the observed swath. These findings confirm the scalability and robustness of CTRIP-HyDAS for global SWOT-based assimilation and underline its potential to enhance discharge prediction and water management in data-scarce regions.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"89 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146129253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ge Sun, Zihao Bian, Kul Khand, Peter V. Caldwell, Johnny Boggs, Chen Wang, Yujuan Chen, Ning Liu, Yulong Zhang, Xi Chen, Gabriel B. Senay, Steven G. McNulty
Urban forests and other green infrastructures have been viewed as part of the “Nature-based Solutions” (NbS) to mitigate emerging urban environmental change. This study focuses on the role of evapotranspiration (ET) in regulating water balances of small watersheds in the eastern United States. We compared streamflow and ET patterns at daily, monthly and annual scales and linked these hydrological variables to the physical properties of 11 paired watersheds dominated by forests (FW) or urban (UW) land covers. The annual precipitation ranged from 1028 mm to 1683 mm and potential ET (PET) from 815 mm to 1450 mm. The mean annual flow/precipitation (Q/P) ratios were 0.26 ± 0.13 and 0.41 ± 0.1 for FW and UW, respectively. Overall, UW had lower annual ET (772 mm in UW vs. 947 mm in FW), but higher mean annual and (∼58% higher), monthly water yield (17%–186% higher), and peakflow rates (up to 100 times higher) than FW. The streamflow differences between FW and UW were most pronounced during the growing season and early winter (June-November). The mean Q/P ratios for 30 large hurricane events (2016–2021) were 0.12 ± 0.11 and 0.38 ± 0.23 for FW and UW, respectively. The flow rates in the dormant season (around December-May) in UW were similar or lower than FW. We developed conceptual models to explain the seasonal and storm event streamflow differences using background climate (PET), ET, and land surface characteristics. Urban NbS designs should factor in strategies that maximize ET while minimizing impervious surfaces enhancing watershed “sponge” and “pump” functions.
{"title":"Large Streamflow Differences Between Forested and Urbanized Watersheds in the Energy-Limited Eastern United States: The Role of Evapotranspiration and Impervious Surfaces","authors":"Ge Sun, Zihao Bian, Kul Khand, Peter V. Caldwell, Johnny Boggs, Chen Wang, Yujuan Chen, Ning Liu, Yulong Zhang, Xi Chen, Gabriel B. Senay, Steven G. McNulty","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041340","url":null,"abstract":"Urban forests and other green infrastructures have been viewed as part of the “Nature-based Solutions” (NbS) to mitigate emerging urban environmental change. This study focuses on the role of evapotranspiration (ET) in regulating water balances of small watersheds in the eastern United States. We compared streamflow and ET patterns at daily, monthly and annual scales and linked these hydrological variables to the physical properties of 11 paired watersheds dominated by forests (FW) or urban (UW) land covers. The annual precipitation ranged from 1028 mm to 1683 mm and potential ET (PET) from 815 mm to 1450 mm. The mean annual flow/precipitation (Q/P) ratios were 0.26 ± 0.13 and 0.41 ± 0.1 for FW and UW, respectively. Overall, UW had lower annual ET (772 mm in UW vs. 947 mm in FW), but higher mean annual and (∼58% higher), monthly water yield (17%–186% higher), and peakflow rates (up to 100 times higher) than FW. The streamflow differences between FW and UW were most pronounced during the growing season and early winter (June-November). The mean Q/P ratios for 30 large hurricane events (2016–2021) were 0.12 ± 0.11 and 0.38 ± 0.23 for FW and UW, respectively. The flow rates in the dormant season (around December-May) in UW were similar or lower than FW. We developed conceptual models to explain the seasonal and storm event streamflow differences using background climate (PET), ET, and land surface characteristics. Urban NbS designs should factor in strategies that maximize ET while minimizing impervious surfaces enhancing watershed “sponge” and “pump” functions.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146135154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Shashank Kumar Anand, Matteo Bertagni, Felipe Aburto, Salvatore Calabrese
Enhanced weathering (EW), the addition of finely ground silicate rock powder (RP) to soil, has emerged as a promising carbon removal strategy. However, quantifying weathering rates in soils remains challenging, as most continuum-scale EW models do not adequately account for the fraction of RP surface area (SA) that is wet at a given soil moisture and thus actively weathering. Here, we study how soil pore structure, RP particle size distribution, and RP mixing degree within the soil control water-rock contact. Using a soil-physics-based framework, we derive a scaling factor that quantifies the wet fraction of RP SA as a function of soil moisture and mixing degree within soil pores. This scaling factor varies nonlinearly with soil moisture for typical soil pore structures and RP particle size distributions, countering previous zero-order (independent of soil moisture) or linear assumptions. The scaling factor evolves dynamically with hydrological fluctuations and, for a given pore structure and RP mixing degree, it can span nearly two orders of magnitude with changes in median particle size. To illustrate its application, we integrate the derived scaling factor into the Soil Model for Enhanced Weathering and examine the sensitivity of simulated weathering fluxes to mixing degree under otherwise identical conditions. Under low mixing, results show that average weathering rates are roughly two orders of magnitude lower than under perfect mixing over 1 year of application. Our work provides a mechanistic, computationally efficient framework for representing water-rock contact in soil, offering a pathway to improve continuum-scale EW models.
{"title":"Soil Structure and Mixing Controls on Water-Rock Contact: Implications for Enhanced Weathering","authors":"Shashank Kumar Anand, Matteo Bertagni, Felipe Aburto, Salvatore Calabrese","doi":"10.1029/2025wr041479","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041479","url":null,"abstract":"Enhanced weathering (EW), the addition of finely ground silicate rock powder (RP) to soil, has emerged as a promising carbon removal strategy. However, quantifying weathering rates in soils remains challenging, as most continuum-scale EW models do not adequately account for the fraction of RP surface area (SA) that is wet at a given soil moisture and thus actively weathering. Here, we study how soil pore structure, RP particle size distribution, and RP mixing degree within the soil control water-rock contact. Using a soil-physics-based framework, we derive a scaling factor that quantifies the wet fraction of RP SA as a function of soil moisture and mixing degree within soil pores. This scaling factor varies nonlinearly with soil moisture for typical soil pore structures and RP particle size distributions, countering previous zero-order (independent of soil moisture) or linear assumptions. The scaling factor evolves dynamically with hydrological fluctuations and, for a given pore structure and RP mixing degree, it can span nearly two orders of magnitude with changes in median particle size. To illustrate its application, we integrate the derived scaling factor into the Soil Model for Enhanced Weathering and examine the sensitivity of simulated weathering fluxes to mixing degree under otherwise identical conditions. Under low mixing, results show that average weathering rates are roughly two orders of magnitude lower than under perfect mixing over 1 year of application. Our work provides a mechanistic, computationally efficient framework for representing water-rock contact in soil, offering a pathway to improve continuum-scale EW models.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"86 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146110283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Floods are the second-most deadly natural hazard in Australia, following heatwaves. Monitoring flood extent and depth in near real-time (NRT) is crucial to minimize loss of life and socio-economic impacts. This study leverages advanced computing, data management systems, and high-quality data, including river gauge data APIs and Australian Water Outlook, Digital Earth Australia, Google Earth Engine and Amazon Web Service, to develop a flood monitoring workflow in Australia. Our framework provides NRT 5-m spatial resolution flood extent and depth maps using airborne LiDAR observations through three approaches: (a) gauge data, (b) coupled hydrological and hydrodynamics model, and (c) satellite observations (i.e., Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, Landsat-7/8/9). We evaluated this flood monitoring framework in seven river catchments across Australia, using both deterministic and ensemble modes. This study highlights the importance of low-latency gauge data for flood monitoring, as well as the necessity of high-resolution airborne LiDAR DEMs for accurate flood mapping. In ungauged areas, the ensemble modeling approach enhances the model's ability to capture flood inundation dynamics. In cases where this remains challenging, multi-source remote sensing can help mitigate the limitations of the modeling approach. We also demonstrated the potential for transferring this flood monitoring framework to other regions around the world. Overall, this study advances the operationalization of high-resolution flood analytics, offering a replicable blueprint to strengthen community resilience against escalating flood risks under climate change.
{"title":"Advancing Near-Real-Time Flood Inundation Mapping in Australia","authors":"Jiawei Hou, Wendy Sharples, Angelica Tarpanelli, Luigi Renzullo, Fitsum Woldemeskel, Elisabetta Carrara","doi":"10.1029/2025wr040640","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr040640","url":null,"abstract":"Floods are the second-most deadly natural hazard in Australia, following heatwaves. Monitoring flood extent and depth in near real-time (NRT) is crucial to minimize loss of life and socio-economic impacts. This study leverages advanced computing, data management systems, and high-quality data, including river gauge data APIs and Australian Water Outlook, Digital Earth Australia, Google Earth Engine and Amazon Web Service, to develop a flood monitoring workflow in Australia. Our framework provides NRT 5-m spatial resolution flood extent and depth maps using airborne LiDAR observations through three approaches: (a) gauge data, (b) coupled hydrological and hydrodynamics model, and (c) satellite observations (i.e., Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, Landsat-7/8/9). We evaluated this flood monitoring framework in seven river catchments across Australia, using both deterministic and ensemble modes. This study highlights the importance of low-latency gauge data for flood monitoring, as well as the necessity of high-resolution airborne LiDAR DEMs for accurate flood mapping. In ungauged areas, the ensemble modeling approach enhances the model's ability to capture flood inundation dynamics. In cases where this remains challenging, multi-source remote sensing can help mitigate the limitations of the modeling approach. We also demonstrated the potential for transferring this flood monitoring framework to other regions around the world. Overall, this study advances the operationalization of high-resolution flood analytics, offering a replicable blueprint to strengthen community resilience against escalating flood risks under climate change.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":"288 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146129273","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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