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Edge Computing for Energy-Efficient Sensor Scheduling in Water Distribution Systems 供水系统中节能传感器调度的边缘计算
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040149
Shaosong Wei, Tingchao Yu, Avi Ostfeld, Chengyin Liu, Shipeng Chu, Hao Shen
Water distribution systems (WDSs) utilize battery-powered sensors to monitor essential parameters like flow rate and pressure. Limited battery life requires reducing data upload frequencies to conserve energy, potentially compromising real-time monitoring vital for system reliability and performance. This challenge is addressed by leveraging temporal redundancies from daily cycles and spatial redundancies from sensor data correlations, enabling data extrapolation instead of continuous transmission. This study proposes an edge computing-based sensor scheduling method that optimizes data transmission frequency while maintaining high data accuracy, thereby extending sensor longevity without sacrificing monitoring capabilities. The proposed approach uses predictive models to forecast future sensor values over multiple time steps based on existing data redundancies. If the deviation between predicted and actual measurements is within a predefined threshold, data transmission is skipped, reducing sensor power consumption; otherwise, data is transmitted to ensure accuracy. Applied to a realistic WDS sensor network, the method achieved up to a 75% reduction in sensor energy consumption with 48 estimation steps and a 0.5 m error threshold, while maintaining a relative data error of only 0.7%. These results demonstrate the method's effectiveness in balancing energy savings with data reliability, suggesting a viable solution for enhancing WDS sustainability and efficiency.
配水系统(WDSs)利用电池供电的传感器来监测流量和压力等基本参数。有限的电池寿命要求降低数据上传频率以节省能源,这可能会影响对系统可靠性和性能至关重要的实时监控。这一挑战可以通过利用日常周期的时间冗余和传感器数据相关性的空间冗余来解决,从而实现数据外推而不是连续传输。本研究提出了一种基于边缘计算的传感器调度方法,在保持较高数据精度的同时优化数据传输频率,从而在不牺牲监测能力的情况下延长传感器寿命。提出的方法使用预测模型来预测基于现有数据冗余的多个时间步长的未来传感器值。如果预测和实际测量值之间的偏差在预定义的阈值内,则跳过数据传输,降低传感器功耗;否则,传输数据以保证准确性。应用于实际的WDS传感器网络,该方法通过48个估计步骤和0.5 m的误差阈值,实现了高达75%的传感器能耗降低,同时保持相对数据误差仅为0.7%。这些结果证明了该方法在平衡能源节约和数据可靠性方面的有效性,为提高WDS的可持续性和效率提供了可行的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
InSAR Ground Deformation and Pumping Energy Consumption Reveal Urban Water Security InSAR地表变形与抽水能耗揭示城市水安全
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040704
Martín Marañón, Alfredo Durán, Rigel Rocha, Monika Winder, Carmen Ledo, Virgilio Martínez, Alfredo Mendoza, Fernando Jaramillo
Water resource assessments are critical for ensuring water security (WS), particularly in rapidly urbanizing regions with increasing water demand and limited water monitoring capabilities. Earth observations and indirect indicators of surface and groundwater changes are valuable tools for developing such assessments. This study examines WS by combining trends in pumping energy consumption and water-induced ground deformation over time and space in the sprawling metropolitan region of Cochabamba, Bolivia. We integrate Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar data with pumping energy consumption records from an extensive well network in the period 2012 to 2022. Statistical analysis identifies four trends in energy consumption (increasing, decreasing, stable, and no consumption) and three in ground deformation (uplift, subsidence, and no change). Based on these trends, we define four WS scenarios: WS, Threatened Water Security, water insecurity (WI), and Reversible Water Insecurity. Results reveal predominant domestic groundwater use and an increasing trend in energy consumption by pumping. In more than 1000 of these wells, both unsustainable water use and subsidence occur, implying WI. This study demonstrates the potential of combining InSAR-derived ground deformation and pumping energy consumption as a cost-effective and scalable groundwater monitoring tool for WS assessments.
水资源评估对于确保水安全(WS)至关重要,特别是在水需求不断增加而水监测能力有限的快速城市化地区。地球观测和地表水和地下水变化的间接指标是开展这种评估的宝贵工具。本研究通过结合玻利维亚科恰班巴大都市地区抽水能源消耗和水引起的地面变形随时间和空间的变化趋势来研究WS。在2012年至2022年期间,我们将干涉合成孔径雷达数据与广泛油井网络的抽水能耗记录相结合。通过统计分析,确定了能源消耗的四种趋势(增加、减少、稳定和无消耗)和地面变形的三种趋势(隆起、下沉和不变)。基于这些趋势,我们定义了四种水安全情景:水安全、受威胁的水安全、水不安全(WI)和可逆的水不安全。结果表明,地下水的使用占主导地位,抽水能源消耗呈上升趋势。在其中1000多口井中,出现了不可持续的用水和下沉,这意味着WI。这项研究表明,将insar衍生的地面变形和抽水能耗结合起来,作为一种具有成本效益和可扩展的地下水监测工具,可以用于WS评估。
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引用次数: 0
A Century of Drought Research (1900–2023): Scientific Developments, Methodological Innovations, and Emerging Frontiers 干旱研究的一个世纪(1900-2023):科学发展、方法创新和新兴前沿
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041987
Amitesh Sabut, Ashok Mishra
Drought significantly affects water resources, agriculture, energy, and ecosystems, revealing enduring socio-economic vulnerabilities over the centuries. This review synthesizes a century of development and recent advances in drought research (1900–2023), drawing on a bibliometric analysis of over 152,000 peer-reviewed publications. The review begins by exploring ancient and historical droughts, their climatic drivers, and societal impacts, then examines the evolving disciplinary landscape, shifting research priorities, and the progression of drought research over the past century. Key methodological advances are discussed, including statistical and probabilistic modeling, machine learning, and deep learning. Technical milestones such as satellite remote sensing, hydrological and land surface modeling, and global climate modeling have greatly expanded both the scope and precision of drought studies. Research on climate change has deepened understanding of drought processes by examining changes in climate variability and teleconnections, attributing events to human influence, and projecting future risks. Simultaneously, there has been a notable shift from reactive approaches to resilience-oriented management, enhancing preparedness. In the past decade, increasing attention has focused on emerging societal challenges such as environmental degradation, public health risks, social inequities, and resource conflicts. Despite significant progress, critical gaps remain, including the need for stakeholder-informed indicators, improved flash drought detection, a deeper understanding of cascading processes, integration of human-driven factors, enhanced interpretability of AI models, next-generation satellite monitoring, and comprehensive risk management for drought-related compound hazards. This synthesis consolidates a century of progress and presents a forward-looking framework aimed at strengthening resilience and guiding actionable drought risk governance.
干旱严重影响水资源、农业、能源和生态系统,揭示了几个世纪以来持续存在的社会经济脆弱性。本综述综合了干旱研究一个世纪的发展和最新进展(1900-2023),借鉴了152,000多份同行评审出版物的文献计量学分析。这篇综述首先探讨了古代和历史上的干旱、它们的气候驱动因素和社会影响,然后考察了学科格局的演变、研究重点的转移以及过去一个世纪干旱研究的进展。讨论了关键的方法进展,包括统计和概率建模,机器学习和深度学习。诸如卫星遥感、水文和陆地表面模拟以及全球气候模拟等技术里程碑极大地扩展了干旱研究的范围和精度。气候变化研究通过考察气候变率和遥相关的变化、将事件归因于人类影响以及预测未来风险,加深了对干旱过程的理解。与此同时,从反应性方法到面向复原力的管理已经发生了显著转变,加强了准备工作。在过去十年中,越来越多的注意力集中在新出现的社会挑战上,如环境退化、公共卫生风险、社会不平等和资源冲突。尽管取得了重大进展,但仍存在重大差距,包括需要为利益攸关方提供知情指标、改进突发性干旱检测、更深入地了解级联过程、整合人为驱动因素、增强人工智能模型的可解释性、下一代卫星监测以及干旱相关复合灾害的综合风险管理。这一综合报告巩固了一个世纪以来取得的进展,并提出了一个前瞻性框架,旨在加强抗灾能力并指导可行的干旱风险治理。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrologic Dynamics of Ephemerally Flooded Playas in a Dryland Environment 旱地环境中短暂淹水Playas的水文动力学
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr038848
Charles R. Kimsal, Enrique R. Vivoni, Osvaldo E. Sala, H. Curtis Monger, Owen P. McKenna
Ephemerally flooded playas are common in the southwestern United States and globally in drylands. Often formed in closed basins, playas are depressions which inundate infrequently from local precipitation and streamflow produced near the playa or from upland areas. Few studies have quantified the hydrologic connectivity between upland catchments and playas using observations. Here, we used rain gauge-corrected precipitation from weather radar and water level measurements in 18 playas of the Chihuahuan Desert to identify precipitation thresholds leading to playa inundation over a 6.4-year period. Geospatial data sets on topography, soil properties, and vegetation cover were employed to determine the controls on inundation. Only 9.4% of all precipitation events above 1 mm led to inundation, with 69.8% of all inundations occurring during the North American monsoon (NAM, July-September). Mean and standard deviations (Std) of runoff ratios at all playas were 2.74 ± 4.08% and 3.29 ± 5.19% for annual and NAM periods. At the annual scale, playa inundation occurred when mean precipitation thresholds of 18.3 ± 7.5 mm (event total) and 12.0 ± 4.5 mm/hr (60-min intensity) were exceeded. Across all playas, inundation occurrence and volume were related most strongly to precipitation metrics and catchment area, with secondary controls of soil and terrain properties. The explanatory power of the derived regressions describing the inundation response across the playas were significantly improved when considering their geological origin. As a result, the inundation response classification system could be applied to ephemeral playas in other arid and semiarid landscapes.
在美国西南部和全球干旱地区,短暂被淹没的玩耍区很常见。playas通常形成于封闭的盆地,是由局部降水和playas附近或高地地区产生的水流偶尔淹没的洼地。很少有研究利用观测来量化高地集水区和playas之间的水文连通性。在这里,我们使用气象雷达和18个奇瓦瓦沙漠的水位测量的雨量计校正的降水来确定6.4年期间导致playa淹没的降水阈值。利用地形、土壤性质和植被覆盖的地理空间数据集来确定对洪水的控制。在所有1毫米以上的降水事件中,只有9.4%导致了淹没,其中69.8%发生在北美季风期间(NAM, 7 - 9月)。各流域径流比的平均值和标准差(Std)分别为2.74±4.08%和3.29±5.19%。在年尺度上,当平均降水超过18.3±7.5 mm(事件总量)和12.0±4.5 mm/hr(60分钟强度)的阈值时,就会发生playa淹没。在所有playas中,淹没发生率和体积与降水指标和集水区面积关系最为密切,其次是土壤和地形特性。在考虑其地质成因时,描述整个playas的淹没响应的推导回归的解释力显着提高。因此,淹没响应分类系统可应用于其他干旱和半干旱景观的短暂性playas。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptation Triggers and Indicator Interpretability for Dynamic Reoptimization of Reservoir Control Policies Under Climate Change 气候变化下水库调控政策动态再优化的适应触发因素及指标可解释性
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040531
Sai Veena Sunkara, Jonathan D. Herman, Matteo Giuliani
Recent studies have shown the potential for reservoir control policies to adapt to uncertain future climate and demand by reoptimizing on a fixed time interval. However, this strategy is independent of the system evolution and might implement late or unnecessary adaptation. This study develops a framework to identify dynamic decisions on two levels: an “outer loop” adaptation policy that establishes indicator thresholds for reoptimization based on recently observed data, and an “inner loop” control policy that undergoes reoptimization according to these thresholds. We demonstrate this method for a case study of Oroville Reservoir, California, using an ensemble of climate model projections split into training and testing sets. The control policy uses inputs of storage, day of year, and a 5-day inflow forecast, while the adaptation policy indicators include long-term statistics of climate and demand as well as the recent system performance. Both policy levels are optimized simultaneously using heuristic policy search and analyzed with policy interpretation methods, including Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and global sensitivity analysis. Results show that the adaptation solutions provide equal or better performance compared to the historical benchmark and are robust to out-of-sample scenarios. Additionally, the decision to reoptimize is primarily driven by demand, flood cost and mean annual flow indicators on different timescales. The proposed methodology identifies how control policy reoptimization can be initiated using observed thresholds of climate, demand, and system performance to improve adaptation under future uncertainty.
最近的研究表明,通过在固定的时间间隔内重新优化,水库控制政策有可能适应不确定的未来气候和需求。然而,这个策略是独立于系统演化的,并且可能实现后期的或不必要的适应。本研究开发了一个框架,在两个层面上识别动态决策:一个“外环”适应策略,根据最近观察到的数据建立再优化的指标阈值,以及一个“内环”控制策略,根据这些阈值进行再优化。我们以加利福尼亚州奥罗维尔水库为例,使用分为训练集和测试集的气候模型预测集合来演示这种方法。控制政策使用存储、年份和5天流量预测的输入,而适应政策指标包括气候和需求的长期统计数据以及近期系统性能。使用启发式策略搜索同时优化两个策略级别,并使用Shapley加性解释(SHAP)和全局敏感性分析等策略解释方法进行分析。结果表明,与历史基准相比,自适应方案提供了相同或更好的性能,并且对样本外场景具有鲁棒性。此外,再优化决策主要受不同时间尺度上的需求、洪水成本和年平均流量指标的驱动。所提出的方法确定了如何利用观测到的气候、需求和系统性能阈值来启动控制政策再优化,以提高对未来不确定性的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Operator Inference for Physical and Generalized Surrogate Groundwater Modeling 物理和广义代理地下水模拟的算子推理
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr039961
Yongda Liu, Xi Chen, Zitao Wang, Jianzhi Dong
Groundwater flow and solute transport models, governed by partial differential equations (PDEs), are computationally intensive, particularly in large-scale. Traditional numerical models are prohibitively expensive, and existing surrogate models often fail under out-of-distribution (OOD) conditions, such as unseen initial conditions, boundary configurations or altered source terms. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework based on Operator Inference (OpInf), a physics-informed surrogate modeling approach. OpInf preserves the structure of governing equations, ensuring physical consistency and interpretability, while significantly improving computational efficiency and generalization capabilities. By leveraging Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) for dimensionality reduction and inferring reduced operators directly from simulation data, OpInf enables robust prediction of system behavior. We evaluate the proposed method through two case studies: the two-dimensional and three-dimensional solute transport problem under different point-source concentration fluctuation release conditions with heterogeneous hydraulic conductivity. The inversion framework is further appraised by integrating OpInf with Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks with Gradient Penalty (WGAN-GP) parameterization methods and the Ensemble Smoother (ES) data assimilation. Results demonstrate that OpInf relatively outperforms other surrogate models, particularly under OOD conditions and the inversion efficiency can be increased by over 99%. We establish OpInf as a transformative tool for dynamic surrogate groundwater modeling, offering robust generalization, reduced computational costs, and strong potential for real-world applications.
由偏微分方程(PDEs)控制的地下水流动和溶质运移模型是计算密集型的,特别是在大尺度上。传统的数值模型非常昂贵,而且现有的替代模型经常在分布外(OOD)条件下失效,例如不可见的初始条件、边界配置或源项改变。为了解决这些挑战,我们提出了一个基于算子推理(OpInf)的新框架,这是一种物理知情的代理建模方法。OpInf保留了控制方程的结构,确保了物理一致性和可解释性,同时显著提高了计算效率和泛化能力。通过利用适当的正交分解(POD)进行降维,并直接从模拟数据中推断降维算子,OpInf实现了对系统行为的鲁棒预测。通过不同点源浓度波动释放条件下的二维和三维溶质输运问题以及非均质导电性,对所提出的方法进行了评价。通过将OpInf与WGAN-GP参数化方法和集成平滑(ES)数据同化方法相结合,进一步评价了反演框架。结果表明,OpInf相对优于其他代理模型,特别是在OOD条件下,反演效率可提高99%以上。我们将OpInf建立为动态替代地下水建模的变革性工具,提供了强大的泛化,降低了计算成本,并具有强大的现实应用潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A Novel Hydrological Signature-Informed Framework for Enhancing Streamflow Prediction Using Multi-Task Learning 利用多任务学习增强流量预测的水文特征信息框架
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr041485
Zili Wang, Chaoyue Li, Ruilong Wei, Binlan Zhang, Peng Cui
Hydrological signatures (HS) have proven to be highly effective in calibrating physically-based hydrological models, enhancing their process consistency. However, their integration into parameter optimization for deep learning (DL)-based hydrological models has been limited. To address this gap, we propose a novel HS-informed framework that dynamically integrates HS into DL parameterization through a multi-task learning approach. This study evaluates the impact of HS integration on model performance using a large-scale, global hydrological data set. The HS-informed model achieved a significant performance improvement, with a median Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.739, compared to 0.666 for the baseline model across the test set. Notably, the most pronounced improvements in NSE were observed in hydrologically complex basins, including baseflow-dominated (+0.135), drought-prone (+0.148), and flood-prone basins (+0.159). Sensitivity analysis further revealed that the HS-informed model could leverage extended historical input data (over 120 days) to sustain robust performance (median NSE of 0.715) over a 30-day forecast period. Shapley Additive Explanations analysis highlighted two key mechanisms underlying these improvements: the enhanced recognition of long-term hydrological patterns through improved memory and a better representation of catchment heterogeneity by emphasizing non-climatic attributes. These findings demonstrate that integrating HS offers a superior approach to traditional point-error-based calibration in AI-driven hydrological modeling.
水文特征(HS)已被证明在校准基于物理的水文模型方面非常有效,增强了其过程一致性。然而,将它们集成到基于深度学习(DL)的水文模型的参数优化中受到限制。为了解决这一差距,我们提出了一种新的HS通知框架,通过多任务学习方法动态地将HS集成到DL参数化中。本研究使用大规模全球水文数据集评估了HS集成对模型性能的影响。hs通知模型取得了显著的性能改进,与基线模型的0.666相比,测试集的纳什-苏特克利夫效率(NSE)中位数为0.739。值得注意的是,NSE的改善最明显的是在水文复杂的流域,包括基流为主(+0.135)、干旱易发(+0.148)和洪水易发(+0.159)的流域。敏感性分析进一步表明,HS-informed模型可以利用延长的历史输入数据(超过120天),在30天的预测期内保持稳健的性能(中位数NSE为0.715)。Shapley加性解释分析强调了这些改善背后的两个关键机制:通过改善记忆增强对长期水文模式的识别,以及通过强调非气候属性更好地代表流域异质性。这些发现表明,在人工智能驱动的水文建模中,集成HS为传统的基于点误差的校准提供了一种优越的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Weakened Isotope Altitude Gradient in the Central Asian Water Tower: Role of Topography and Local Circulation 中亚水塔同位素高度梯度减弱:地形和局地环流的作用
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040283
Yudong Shi, Shengjie Wang, Xiaokang Liu, Kei Yoshimura, Hayoung Bong, Chenggang Zhu, Yanjun Che, Huawu Wu, Mingjun Zhang
The altitude effect (AE) of stable isotopes in meteoric water (δ18O and δ2H), that is, the depletion of water isotopes with increasing altitude, is an important theoretical assumption of isotope-based paleoaltimetry. However, this assumption has recently been challenged, as many in situ observations fail to consistently demonstrate the expected negative correlation between altitude and isotope values. Here we used 1,255 records of surface water isotopes to investigate AE and inverse altitude effect (IAE) and their mechanisms in arid Central Asia. The results show that isotope altitude gradients across Central Asia are weaker than the global average. Comparisons of the gradients for both the mountain-basin system and mountain system reveal that the windward and leeward slopes of the westerlies consistently exhibit opposite gradients: AE on the windward side and IAE on the leeward. The observed IAE on the leeward slope across all basins is influenced by topography and local circulation. The orientation of mountain ranges perpendicular to large-scale westerly circulation blocks eastward transport of westerly moisture, and the resulting longer moisture pathways weaken AE. Stronger local circulation and sub-cloud evaporation processes enrich water isotopes in the leeward mountain regions, diminishing AE and even leading to the emergence of IAE. Our results highlight the impact of local circulation on water isotopes during different uplift phases when using stable hydrogen and oxygen isotopes to reconstruct paleoelevation.
大气水稳定同位素(δ18O和δ2H)的海拔效应(AE),即水同位素随海拔升高而耗竭,是同位素古测高学的一个重要理论假设。然而,这一假设最近受到了挑战,因为许多实地观测未能始终如一地证明海拔高度和同位素值之间预期的负相关关系。本文利用1255个地表水同位素记录,对中亚干旱地区的声发射和逆海拔效应(IAE)及其机制进行了研究。结果表明,中亚地区的同位素海拔梯度弱于全球平均水平。对比山盆系统和山地系统的梯度,发现西风带的迎风坡和背风坡始终呈现相反的梯度:AE在迎风侧,IAE在背风侧。各盆地背风坡上观测到的IAE受地形和局地环流的影响。垂直于大尺度西风环流的山脉方向阻碍了西风水汽向东输送,由此产生的较长的水汽通道减弱了声发射。较强的局地环流和云下蒸发过程丰富了背风山区的水同位素,减弱了声发射,甚至导致了声发射的出现。利用稳定的氢、氧同位素重建古海拔,突出了不同隆升阶段局部环流对水同位素的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Relative Importance of Floodplain Storage and Flow Path Dispersion on Flood Attenuation in Mountain Streams 洪泛区蓄水量和流道分散对山涧洪水衰减的相对重要性
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1029/2024wr039628
Nicholas Christensen, Ryan R. Morrison
Intensifying flooding throughout the western United States threatens human infrastructure, human life, and ecological integrity. Flash floods are particularly dangerous because they rise quickly and often unexpectedly. Floodplains that are hydrologically connected to river channels can act as buffers to attenuate peak flows and slow flood movement, providing natural resilience against flood risks. Comparatively low-gradient reaches (1%–3% slopes) with wide floodplains (beads) have been identified as important for attenuating floods, yet the degree to which they can reduce peak flows is not well constrained. Additionally, the relative importance of attenuation mechanisms have not been discerned. We quantified flood attenuation provided by beads by utilizing two-dimensional hydrodynamic models simulating flash floods in three river beads located in the Colorado Rocky Mountains, United States. We quantified the (a) magnitude of attenuation, (b) total accessible floodplain volume, (c) volume of floodwater stored in floodplain depressions, (d) variability of flow path travel times, (e) floodplain heterogeneity, and (f) relative importance of these mechanisms in flood attenuation. We found unprecedently high discharge attenuation with an average 13.8% reduction in peak flow per kilometer reach length and continued attenuation up to the 100-year recurrence interval flood. For the studied sites the strongest correlations were between attenuation and storage in floodplain depressions. Flow path diversity metrics correlated best with attenuation for floods with a time-to-peak greater than 1 hr. Our findings also indicated that maintenance of high floodplain roughness and accessibility may be an effective strategy for bolstering attenuation of flash floods in mountain systems.
美国西部不断加剧的洪水威胁着人类的基础设施、生命和生态完整性。山洪特别危险,因为它们上升得很快,而且经常出乎意料。洪泛平原在水文上与河道相连,可以起到缓冲作用,减弱峰值流量,减缓洪水运动,提供抵御洪水风险的天然弹性。相对较低的坡度河段(1%-3%的坡度)和宽阔的洪泛平原(珠状)已被确定为对减弱洪水很重要,但它们可以减少峰值流量的程度并没有得到很好的限制。此外,衰减机制的相对重要性还没有被认识到。我们利用二维水动力模型模拟位于美国科罗拉多落基山脉的三条河珠的山洪暴发,量化了珠提供的洪水衰减。我们量化了(a)衰减幅度,(b)总可达洪泛区体积,(c)洪泛区洼地中储存的洪水体积,(d)流道行进时间的可变性,(e)洪泛区异质性,以及(f)这些机制在洪水衰减中的相对重要性。研究发现,洪峰衰减率达到前所未有的高水平,每公里河段平均减少13.8%,且持续衰减至百年一遇的洪峰。对于所研究的地点,衰减与洪泛平原洼地的储存之间的相关性最强。当洪水到达峰值的时间大于1小时时,流道多样性指标与衰减的相关性最好。我们的研究结果还表明,维持高洪泛区的粗糙度和可达性可能是加强山地系统山洪衰减的有效策略。
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引用次数: 0
More Water, More of the Time: Spatial Changes in Flooding Over 83 Years in the Upper Mississippi River Floodplain and Relationships With Streamgage-Derived Proxies 更多的水,更多的时间:密西西比河上游漫滩83年来洪水的空间变化及其与河流衍生代理的关系
IF 5.4 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1029/2025wr040614
M. Van Appledorn, N. R. De Jager, J. J. Rohweder, M. Windmuller-Campione, D. Griffin
The hydrologic regime of the upper Mississippi River (UMR) has become wetter, with greater discharges, longer-lasting high-flow conditions, and seasonal shifts in these patterns over the past several decades. How these changes are expressed spatially as floodplain inundation area, frequency, depth, duration, and timing is not well understood. It is also unclear to what degree spatial patterns of submergence are represented by examining discharge data alone. We assessed changes in floodplain inundation characteristics from 1940 to 2022 in navigation pools 3–10 of the UMR using a geospatial model to simulate daily inundation depths. Inundation characteristics shifted significantly across pools, but the direction and magnitude of change varied by pool and metric. Characteristics summarized at the pool scale correlated with streamgage-derived proxies but the strength of the relationship varied. Within pools, variability in inundation trends highlighted the importance of spatially explicit modeling. Our study demonstrates that changes in discharge over 83 years have manifested across the UMR floodplain in ways that may have consequences for ecological patterns and processes. By mapping hydrologically sensitive areas, we can anticipate which areas may be susceptible to additional shifts in river discharge in a climatically uncertain future.
在过去的几十年里,密西西比河上游(UMR)的水文环境变得更加湿润,流量更大,高流量条件持续时间更长,这些模式也发生了季节性变化。这些变化如何在空间上表现为洪泛区淹没面积、频率、深度、持续时间和时间,目前还不清楚。仅通过检查流量数据,也不清楚淹没的空间模式在多大程度上能得到体现。我们使用地理空间模型模拟日淹没深度,评估了1940年至2022年UMR导航池3-10的洪泛区淹没特征的变化。淹没特征在不同的池间发生了显著的变化,但变化的方向和幅度因池和度量而异。在池尺度上总结的特征与水流衍生的代理相关,但关系的强度各不相同。在水池内,淹没趋势的变化突出了空间显式建模的重要性。我们的研究表明,在过去的83年里,流量的变化已经在整个UMR洪泛区以可能对生态模式和过程产生影响的方式表现出来。通过绘制水文敏感地区的地图,我们可以预测在气候不确定的未来,哪些地区可能容易受到河流流量的额外变化的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Water Resources Research
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