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NEXUS BETWEEN OUTREACH AND PRODUCTIVITY OF MICROFINANCE IN LATIN AMERICA 拉丁美洲小额信贷推广与生产力之间的关系
Pub Date : 2021-10-26 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.05.119
Syed Imran Azhar Bokhari Dr. HajraIhsan Fouzia Jamshaid
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引用次数: 0
FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS AND STOCHASTIC MODELS ON DAY OF THE WEEK EFFECT: A CASE STUDY OF KSE 100 INDEX 基于神经网络和随机模型的周中日效应预测——以上证100指数为例
Pub Date : 2021-10-23 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.05.116
Mir G.H.Talpur, A. Marri
The main objective of this research was to determine the day of the week effect in Karachi stock exchange (KSE) 100 Index. The problems of financial market structure is analyzed and forecasted by many statistical models. For example Auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and artificial neural network (ANN) models. In this research day of the week effect was investigated Wednesday found significant and Monday was noted not significant. 15 step ahead prediction of Wednesday was observed through ARIMA model and ANN models. The coefficient of correlation for actual and forecasted values was perceived 0.8871 by ARIMA model and 0.924 by ANN model. Power of accuracy was displayed 88.765% by ARIMA model and 97.18% by ANN model. The ARIMA model prediction for time series data is crucial with uncertainty. Adebiyi, Adewumi and Ayo (2014); Falinouss (2007); Setty, Rangaswamy and Subramanya (2010) observed ARIMA model depends on the historical time series data as well as the pervious error terms. Wijaya, S. and Napitupulu (2010) proposed that the ARIMA model is a statistical technique of prediction which follows certain rules such as autocorrelation and linearity. Wijaya, S. and Napitupulu (2010) ARIMA model is suitable for making short-term prediction. Falinouss (2007) reported ARIMA model is relatively more robust and effective than the other complex models. Wijaya, S. and Napitupulu (2010) noted ARIMA model based on the design of current and past price changes.
本研究的主要目的是确定卡拉奇证券交易所(KSE) 100指数的星期影响。运用多种统计模型对金融市场结构问题进行了分析和预测。例如自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型和人工神经网络(ANN)模型。在本研究中,研究人员发现周三的影响显著,而周一的影响不显著。利用ARIMA模型和ANN模型对周三天气进行了提前15步预测。ARIMA模型与ANN模型的相关系数分别为0.8871和0.924。ARIMA模型的准确率为88.765%,ANN模型的准确率为97.18%。ARIMA模型对具有不确定性的时间序列数据的预测至关重要。Adebiyi, Adewumi and Ayo (2014);Falinouss (2007);Setty, Rangaswamy和Subramanya(2010)观察到ARIMA模型依赖于历史时间序列数据以及以前的误差项。Wijaya, S. and Napitupulu(2010)提出ARIMA模型是一种统计预测技术,它遵循一定的自相关和线性等规则。Wijaya, S. and Napitupulu (2010) ARIMA模型适合做短期预测。Falinouss(2007)报道ARIMA模型相对于其他复杂模型更为稳健和有效。Wijaya, S.和Napitupulu(2010)提出了基于当前和过去价格变化设计的ARIMA模型。
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引用次数: 0
A NEXUS BETWEEN FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION 金融发展与可再生能源消费之间的联系
Pub Date : 2021-10-03 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.103
Fareeha Zaidi, Salman Riaz, Z. Saleem
The purpose of the present study is to explore the impact of financial development on renewable energy consumption. The period of study is from 1980 to 2018. Economic growth plays a mediating role in the nexus between energy consumption and financial development. The transmission and distribution losses are the moderator between economic growth and renewable energy consumption in the structural model. For developing economies like Pakistan, estimation for energy demand without considering financial development would provide an inaccurate picture. Zivot-Andrews unit root test has been applied under the structural break method to check the stationary property of variables. The study is employing Simple time-series regression analysis to find out the relationship between the variables. The results of the empirical research indicate that financial development and economic growth have a significant impact on renewable energy consumption, and the findings of the economic growth equation suggest that there is a significant impact of financial development and investment on economic growth in Pakistan. The study results urge the attention of policymakers in Pakistan to design a comprehensive energy conservation policy to minimize the consequences of massive energy consumption and energy export-driven revenue by adding financial development and investment as explanatory determinants in the energy demand function..
本研究的目的是探讨金融发展对可再生能源消费的影响。研究时间为1980年至2018年。经济增长在能源消费与金融发展之间的关系中起中介作用。在结构模型中,输配电损失是经济增长与可再生能源消费之间的调节因子。对于像巴基斯坦这样的发展中经济体,如果不考虑金融发展,对能源需求的估计将是不准确的。在结构断裂法下,采用Zivot-Andrews单位根检验检验变量的平稳性。本研究采用简单的时间序列回归分析来找出变量之间的关系。实证研究结果表明,金融发展和经济增长对可再生能源消费有显著影响,经济增长方程的结果表明,巴基斯坦金融发展和投资对经济增长有显著影响。研究结果敦促巴基斯坦决策者注意设计一个全面的节能政策,通过在能源需求函数中增加金融发展和投资作为解释性决定因素,将大规模能源消耗和能源出口驱动的收入的后果降到最低。
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引用次数: 0
INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL AND FIRM PERFORMANCE: THE EMERGENCE OF KNOWLEDGE BASED ECONOMY 知识资本与企业绩效:知识经济的出现
Pub Date : 2021-10-03 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.104
Al-Hareth Muhammad, Haqqani Kanwal
: In the last few decades ‘ intellectual capital ’ has been among the most investigated constituent of corporate finance and accounting research. The immense empirical and theoretical research published in different journals, for instance, “ Measuring Business Excellence ” and the development and formation of specific journal, such as, “ Journal of Intellectual Capital ” are the evidence of this novel and emergent area of research. After the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the great financial crisis of 2008, the significance and magnitude of IC increase. The motive behind the critical role of IC during financial instability and disorder is that when companies are economically vulnerable and troubled during the financial disorder, the firms consider and explore alternative approaches of survival, such as, the use of intangible assets and resources.
在过去的几十年里,“智力资本”一直是企业财务和会计研究中被研究最多的组成部分之一。大量的实证和理论研究发表在不同的期刊上,如《衡量企业卓越性》,以及特定期刊的发展和形成,如《智力资本杂志》,都是这一新兴研究领域的证据。在1997年亚洲金融危机和2008年金融大危机之后,国际投资的重要性和规模都有所增加。在金融不稳定和混乱期间,IC的关键作用背后的动机是,当公司在金融混乱期间经济上脆弱和陷入困境时,公司会考虑和探索替代的生存方法,例如使用无形资产和资源。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Leadership Patterns and their impact on Innovation Performance: An analytical study at the Ministry of Interior 战略领导模式及其对创新绩效的影响:内政部的分析研究
Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.100
Salim Taha Ali Prof. Salah Abdel Qader Alnuaimy
The Purpose of current research to test the effect of Strategic Leadership Patterns as an independent variable in the innovation performance as a dependent variable, in the Baghdad Intelligence and Counter-Terrorism Directorate of the Ministry of Interior, and then try to come up with a set of recommendations that contribute to enhancing the innovation performance of the researched organization. And based on the importance of the research topic in the researched organization, and the importance of the research organization to society, a descriptive-analytical approach was adopted in its achievement, and the research was applied in the Intelligence and Counter-Terrorism Directorate in Baghdad, and the research targeted an intentional quota sample of leaders and military ranks, and data were collected from (145) respondents representing a community. The research is exclusively and comprehensive, represented by (director of the directorate, assistant director of the directorate, directors of departments, assistants of department directors, divisional directors, unit officials), by adopting the questionnaire that included (45) paragraphs, and using personal interviews and field observations as tools to help in collecting them. The research adopted the program (Amos V.25, Spss V.26) with the adoption of descriptive statistical methods (linearity test, normal distribution test, confirmatory factor analysis, building variables models, arithmetic mean, percentages, standard deviation, relative importance, coefficient of variation, And the correlation coefficient (Pearson coefficient, and the simple and multiple regression coefficients) to test its hypotheses, and the research concluded the most prominent result represented in the validity of its hypotheses, the existence of a positive positive effect of strategic leadership patterns on innovation performance, as well as the availability of the two variables, practice, interest, and adoption.
本研究旨在以内务部巴格达情报与反恐局为研究对象,检验战略领导模式作为自变量对创新绩效作为因变量的影响,并试图提出一套有助于提升所研究组织创新绩效的建议。基于研究课题在研究组织中的重要性,以及研究组织对社会的重要性,在其成果中采用了描述分析方法,并将该研究应用于巴格达的情报和反恐局,该研究针对领导和军衔的故意配额样本,并从代表一个社区的(145)名受访者中收集数据。研究是专门和全面的,由(首长级主任、首长级助理主任、各部门主任、部门主任助理、司司长、单位官员)代表,采用了包含(45)段的问卷,并使用个人访谈和实地观察作为工具来帮助收集这些问卷。本研究采用Amos V.25、Spss V.26程序,采用描述性统计方法(线性检验、正态分布检验、验证性因子分析)、建立变量模型、算术平均值、百分比、标准差、相对重要性、变异系数、相关系数(Pearson系数、单回归系数和多元回归系数)检验假设。研究得出的最突出的结果体现在假设的有效性、战略领导模式对创新绩效存在正正向影响以及实践、兴趣和采纳这两个变量的可用性。
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引用次数: 0
Recognizing Factors Influencing Viral Marketing Success fromThe Standpoint of Iranian Clients 从伊朗客户的角度分析影响病毒式营销成功的因素
Pub Date : 2021-09-14 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.099
F. Souri
Context and Purpose : Although viral marketing research is relatively considerable and also qualitative, But most of them focus mainly on the different constituentof viral marketing And less research in Iran has identified the factors that influence the position of this type of marketing; Therefore, the purpose of the present study is to identify the factors that influence viral marketing success. Analysis method : The study population included all Tehran internet clients in the first half of 1398(second half of 2019). Data were collected through field research using a simple randomized questionnaire among 398 people during the period of July 2019 to the end of August 2019. Descriptive and inferential statistics were used to analyze the conceptual model of research using SPSS software. Results : The results of the analysis of the research hypotheses showed that the rational effect of the message can confirm the success of viral marketing.
背景和目的:虽然病毒式营销的研究相对可观,也定性,但大多数主要集中在病毒式营销的不同组成部分和较少的研究在伊朗已经确定了影响这类营销的地位的因素;因此,本研究的目的是确定影响病毒式营销成功的因素。分析方法:研究人群包括1398年上半年(2019年下半年)的所有德黑兰互联网客户。在2019年7月至2019年8月底期间,通过对398人进行简单随机调查问卷的实地调查收集数据。使用SPSS软件对研究的概念模型进行描述统计和推理统计分析。结果:对研究假设的分析结果表明,信息的合理效果可以确认病毒式营销的成功。
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引用次数: 0
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT ON MSMEs IN LALADAN VILLAGE LAMONGAN REGENCY THROUGH DIGITAL LITERACY DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC 在COVID-19大流行期间,拉蒙干县拉拉丹村通过数字扫盲的中小微企业的产品开发
Pub Date : 2021-09-07 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.098
Abid Muhtarom Nurul Badriyah Yunni Rusmawati Dj Indah Puryan
: The clustered community in Laladan Village, Lamongan District has a characteristic in making unsangrebon shrimp paste. During the pandemic, business actors experienced many problems, especially in the field of product marketing. Traditionally, the community and partners do not understand the true meaning and function of digital literacy. The method used consists of three stages, namely the preparation stage, implementation stage and mentoring. The results of the service activities that have been carried out by MSME Partners are that MSME actors are very enthusiastic about the digital literacy program.
拉蒙安区拉拉丹村的集群式社区有一个特色,就是制作unsangrebon虾酱。在大流行期间,商业行为者遇到了许多问题,特别是在产品营销领域。传统上,社区和合作伙伴并不理解数字素养的真正含义和功能。所使用的方法包括三个阶段,即准备阶段、实施阶段和指导阶段。MSME合作伙伴开展的服务活动的结果是,MSME参与者对数字扫盲计划非常热情。
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引用次数: 0
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY, DIVIDEND POLICY AND NUMBER OF INDEPENDENT COMMISSIONERS 企业社会责任、股利政策与独立董事人数
Pub Date : 2021-09-07 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.097
Abid Muhtarom Lina Kusuma Wardani Abdul Ghofur Angelina Nurindyah
: Dividend policy of a company is an important information for shareholders and prospective shareholders. Dividends distributed by the company is a positive signal, because the company is considered profitable in its business. Dividend policy taken is influenced by CSR. CSR programs have a positive influence on the company but these activities can cause agency problems between company managers and shareholders. With the emergence of agency problems, companies must look for outsiders to help reduce agency problems, namely the emergence of independent commissioners in the organizational structure. The independent commissioner functions to provide advice and control the activities of the company manager. This study aims to examine and analyze the relationship between corporate CSR with dividend policy taken by the company, later the relationship of CSR with dividend policy is moderated by the percentage of the number of independent commissioners. The sample used is non-financial companies listed on the Stock Exchange in the 2015-2019 period. The method used was purposive sampling involving 235 observations. Research analysis techniques are multiple linear regression analysis and multiple linear regression analysis with moderation. The results of this study are that there is no significant relationship between corporate CSR with dividend policy, then the percentage of the number of independent commissioners cannot strengthen the relationship between CSR and dividend policy, but the percentage of the number of independent commissioners has a significant negative effect on dividend policy. In this study also found that the size and growth of the company does not affect dividend policy. Then for leverage and profitability the company has a significant positive relationship to the company's dividend policy.
股利政策是公司股东和潜在股东的重要信息。公司分配股息是一个积极的信号,因为公司在其业务中被认为是盈利的。企业社会责任对股利政策的影响。企业社会责任计划对公司有积极的影响,但这些活动会导致公司管理者和股东之间的代理问题。随着代理问题的出现,公司必须寻找外部人员来帮助减少代理问题,即在组织结构中出现独立专员。独立专员的职能是提供建议和控制公司经理的活动。本研究旨在检验和分析企业社会责任与公司所采取的股利政策之间的关系,之后企业社会责任与股利政策之间的关系受到独立董事人数比例的调节。使用的样本是2015-2019年期间在证券交易所上市的非金融公司。使用的方法是有目的的抽样,涉及235个观察。研究分析方法有多元线性回归分析和多元线性回归分析。本研究的结果是:企业社会责任与股利政策之间不存在显著的关系,那么独立董事人数百分比不能强化企业社会责任与股利政策之间的关系,但独立董事人数百分比对股利政策有显著的负向影响。在本研究中还发现,公司的规模和成长性并不影响股利政策。在杠杆率和盈利能力方面,公司的股利政策与公司的杠杆率和盈利能力呈正相关。
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引用次数: 0
Rationality, Obstruction and Identity Deconstruction —— Focusing on Sir. Peter Shaffer's Trilogy of Faith 理性、阻碍与身份解构——以彼得·谢弗爵士的《信仰三部曲》为中心
Pub Date : 2021-09-05 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2021.27.06.094
Q. Jiao
. Peter Shaffer is an outstanding British playwright in the 20th century. His plays "The Royal Hunt of the Sun", "Equus" and "Amadeus" are called "Faith Trilogy". The eternal conflict between rationalism and irrationalism prompted Schaeffer to reflect on the enslavement of human nature by reason under the rule of instrumental reason. He tried to rebel against rational hegemony through belief, and proposed that only by seeking faith and spiritual God can human beings escape the shackles of rationalism. This paper first explores the philosophical source of Schaf-er's anti rational thought, that is, the confrontation and conflict between rationalism and irrationalism. Secondly, it studies the social source of Schafer's anti rational thought, taking the critical theory of instrumental rationalism as an example. Thirdly, it explores the content of Schafer's anti rational thought and its con-crete presentation in his works. This paper analyzes Schaefer's belief rebelling against rational thought from three angles. Firstly, from the perspective of rational power rulers, this paper analyzes the control of rationalism on individual free nature. Secondly, rational obstruction, that is, from the perspective of the weak and the ruled, analyzes their spiritual struggle against the representa-tives of rational power. Finally, the rational identity of rational figures is deconstructed. This provides a new research perspective for the irrational existence of human beings. In a word, Schaefer's plays are of great significance expansion of instrumental rationality and listening to the call of faith.
. 彼得·谢弗是20世纪英国杰出的剧作家。他的戏剧《皇家狩猎太阳》、《马》和《艾玛迪斯》被称为“信仰三部曲”。理性主义与非理性主义的永恒冲突促使谢弗反思工具理性统治下的理性对人性的奴役。他试图通过信仰反抗理性霸权,提出人类只有寻求信仰和精神上帝,才能摆脱理性主义的束缚。本文首先探讨了舍夫尔反理性思想的哲学渊源,即理性主义与非理性主义的对抗与冲突。其次,以工具理性主义批判理论为例,研究谢弗反理性思想的社会根源。再次,探讨谢弗反理性思想的内容及其在其作品中的具体表现。本文从三个角度分析舍费尔对理性思维的反叛信仰。首先,本文从理性权力统治者的视角,分析了理性主义对个体自由性的控制。其次,理性的阻碍,即从弱者和被统治者的角度,分析他们与理性权力代表的精神斗争。最后,解构理性人物的理性同一性。这为人类的非理性存在提供了一个新的研究视角。总之,谢弗的戏剧对工具理性的拓展和对信仰召唤的倾听具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Talent Management: A study of Indian IT Companies in NCR 人才管理:NCR下印度IT公司的研究
Pub Date : 2021-09-05 DOI: 10.47750/CIBG.2019.25.01.004
U. Singh
Organizations today have realized the significance of human assets and no organization can achieve great success without talented employees. It is the skilled and competent employees that make the organizations and they are not only to be procured but also need to be retained and sustained. Industries operating in highly volatile and dynamic environments, requiring skilled and competent workforce becomes a challenge itself, especially for the IT sector. Hence there is a need to focus on what practices and strategies can be adopted to attract and retain potential key talent. The study aims is to identify talent retention strategies that are adopted in the IT sector in India and to determine the reasons for talent management strategies and their efficiency thereof. This will help us understand the key drivers of employees' intentions to stay in their current organization based on TM's strategies. The present work is empirical in nature and the data was collected from a randomly drawn group of 185 IT professionals working in IT companies in Noida, and Gurgaon. Delhi NCR is fast emerging as India ’ s foremost IT destination. Mean and independent sample t-tests were applied for the purpose of data analysis and interpretation. The results of the study highlight salary & incentives and work life balance as the key strategies for talent retention. The main reason that emerged for TM is its upmost importance for the business to be successful and sustain well in a turbulent environment like the IT sector.
今天的组织已经意识到人力资产的重要性,没有有才华的员工,任何组织都无法取得巨大的成功。这是熟练和有能力的员工,使组织,他们不仅需要采购,而且需要保留和维持。在高度不稳定和动态的环境中运行的行业,需要熟练和有能力的劳动力,这本身就是一个挑战,特别是对于IT部门。因此,有必要关注可以采用哪些做法和战略来吸引和留住潜在的关键人才。该研究的目的是确定在印度IT部门采用的人才保留策略,并确定人才管理策略及其效率的原因。根据TM的策略,这将帮助我们理解员工留在当前组织的意图的关键驱动因素。目前的工作本质上是实证的,数据是从诺伊达和古尔冈的IT公司中随机抽取的185名IT专业人员中收集的。德里NCR正迅速成为印度最重要的IT目的地。采用均值和独立样本t检验进行数据分析和解释。研究结果强调,薪酬激励和工作与生活的平衡是留住人才的关键策略。TM出现的主要原因是,它对于企业在IT部门等动荡的环境中取得成功和维持良好的业务至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
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The Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business and Government
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