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Instantaneous urban facade PV potential assessment: An end-to-end deep learning framework for arbitrary planning horizons 即时城市立面光伏潜力评估:针对任意规划视界的端到端深度学习框架
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127357
Kechuan Dong , Zhiling Guo , Qing Yu , Jian Xu , Xuanyu Liu , Jinyue Yan
Traditional physics-based simulation approaches for urban facade photovoltaic potential assessment remain computationally intractable for metropolitan-scale deployment, requiring weeks to months of processing time that effectively paralyzes evidence-based urban energy policy development. This computational barrier has prevented the transition from theoretical renewable energy potential to operational decarbonization planning tools despite building facades representing the primary scalable pathway for distributed solar generation in space-constrained urban environments. To overcome this fundamental barrier, we introduce E2AY-Net, an end-to-end deep learning framework that transforms urban facade PV assessment from slow multi-stage simulation into instantaneous spatially-resolved energy yield generation. E2AY-Net integrates three specialized encoding pathways: convolutional neural networks capturing hierarchical urban morphological features across spatial scales from individual facades to city-scale configurations, Transformer architectures processing arbitrary-length meteorological sequences spanning hours to years with attention mechanisms preserving long-range temporal dependencies, and multilayer perceptrons accommodating diverse photovoltaic module specifications. Validated in the hyper-dense urban environment of Hong Kong, the framework achieves comprehensive annual assessment of the complete urban domain in 33.79 s with 678,955× computational acceleration, while maintaining engineering-grade accuracy with 5.56% mean relative error and 84.6% of building surfaces achieving predictions within 10% tolerance. The anytime capability enables flexible assessment across arbitrary planning horizons from short-term feasibility studies to comprehensive annual evaluations through processing variable-length meteorological sequences in single forward passes without architectural modification or pipeline re-execution. Strategic deployment analysis reveals that targeted installation on the highest-performing 25% of facades, concentrated within merely 9.2% of total available facade area, achieves 3200 GWh annual generation potential with 1500 kt CO2 emission reduction capacity. This work establishes a practical breakthrough enabling the transition from computationally intractable urban energy assessment to real-time interactive planning tools, fundamentally transforming urban building envelopes into accessible distributed energy infrastructure for evidence-based decarbonization policy development across space-constrained metropolitan environments worldwide.
传统的基于物理的城市立面光伏潜力评估模拟方法在大都市规模的部署中仍然难以计算,需要数周到数月的处理时间,这有效地瘫痪了基于证据的城市能源政策制定。这种计算障碍阻碍了从理论上的可再生能源潜力到实际的脱碳规划工具的过渡,尽管建筑立面代表了在空间有限的城市环境中分布式太阳能发电的主要可扩展途径。为了克服这一基本障碍,我们引入了E2AY-Net,这是一个端到端的深度学习框架,将城市立面光伏评估从缓慢的多阶段模拟转变为即时的空间分辨能量生成。E2AY-Net集成了三种专门的编码途径:卷积神经网络捕获从单个立面到城市尺度配置的跨空间尺度的分层城市形态特征,Transformer架构处理跨越数小时到数年的任意长度的气象序列,注意机制保持长期的时间依赖性,以及适应不同光伏组件规格的多层感知器。该框架在香港高密度城市环境中得到验证,在33.79秒内以678,955倍的计算加速完成了对整个城市领域的全面年度评估,同时保持了工程级的精度,平均相对误差为5.56%,84.6%的建筑表面实现了10%容差范围内的预测。任何时候都可以灵活地评估任意规划范围,从短期可行性研究到综合年度评估,通过处理单一向前通道的可变长度气象序列,无需修改建筑或重新执行管道。战略部署分析显示,目标安装在性能最高的25%的立面上,集中在仅占总可用立面面积9.2%的区域内,实现了3200吉瓦时的年发电潜力,减少了1500千瓦时的二氧化碳排放能力。这项工作建立了一个实际的突破,实现了从计算上难以处理的城市能源评估向实时交互式规划工具的过渡,从根本上将城市建筑围护结构转变为可访问的分布式能源基础设施,从而在全球空间有限的大都市环境中制定基于证据的脱碳政策。
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引用次数: 0
An incentivized cooperative scheme for transmission expansion in a 100% renewable Europe 在100%可再生能源的欧洲进行输电扩展的激励合作计划
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127415
Alessio Santecchia , Ivan Kantor , Rafael Castro-Amoedo
In the age of transformative European initiatives like the Green Deal, the electrification surge in mobility, heating, and services stands as a beacon towards carbon neutrality. This study illuminates the pivotal role of electrical grid interconnection in this monumental endeavor. Through a comparative analysis between isolated grids and an interconnected European system, we unveil the extraordinary potential of a collaborative grid: a 30 EUR/kWh (18%) reduction in electricity costs and a 12 gCO2eq/MWh (24%) decrease in environmental impact. The equitable distribution of this economic advantage across European nations allows us to establish the price nations ought to pay for the security of supply (96 EUR/MWh for Belgium) or, alternatively, the rightful compensation for providing cost-effective renewable energy (75 EUR/MWh for Sweden). Overall, the collaborative grid ushers in remarkable cost savings of 130 billion EUR annually, amounting to 174 EUR per European citizen. Furthermore, uncertainty analysis, grounded in a comprehensive literature review, reinforces the robustness of our findings. The transition towards a 100% renewable, interconnected European electricity grid over the next two decades necessitates an investment of 7 trillion EUR. In annual terms, this represents a manageable 4.2% of the European GDP. The payoff, however, is colossal: an 85% reduction in the environmental footprint of the European economy, equating to 2000 Mt of annually avoided CO2 emissions–a significant stride towards combating global climate change.
在“绿色协议”(Green Deal)等欧洲变革性倡议的时代,交通、供暖和服务领域的电气化激增,是迈向碳中和的灯塔。这项研究阐明了电网互联在这一巨大努力中的关键作用。通过对孤立电网和互联欧洲系统的比较分析,我们揭示了协作电网的非凡潜力:电力成本降低30欧元/千瓦时(18%),环境影响减少12克二氧化碳当量/兆瓦时(24%)。这种经济优势在欧洲各国之间的公平分配使我们能够确定各国应该为供应安全支付的价格(比利时为96欧元/兆瓦时),或者,或者,提供具有成本效益的可再生能源的合理补偿(瑞典为75欧元/兆瓦时)。总体而言,协同电网每年可节省1300亿欧元的成本,相当于每个欧洲公民节省174欧元。此外,基于全面文献回顾的不确定性分析加强了我们研究结果的稳健性。在未来20年向100%可再生、互联的欧洲电网过渡,需要7万亿欧元的投资。按年计算,这相当于欧洲GDP的4.2%。然而,回报是巨大的:欧洲经济的环境足迹减少了85%,相当于每年避免了2000亿吨的二氧化碳排放——这是对抗全球气候变化的重要一步。
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引用次数: 0
Performance and feasibility assessment of a wave energy converter with underwater vehicle docking and charging 水下航行器对接充电波能转换器性能与可行性评估
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127453
David Okushemiya , Bryson Robertson , Curtis J. Rusch
Wave energy converters (WECs) offer a promising renewable solution to enable persistent unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) missions by supporting at-sea docking and recharging. However, integrated WEC–UUV systems remain under-studied, with no broadly applicable frameworks for assessing their long-term effectiveness and viability. This study addresses these gaps by developing two complementary and generalizable frameworks: (i) one for evaluating long-term WEC power performance under realistic, time-varying sea conditions, and (ii) another for assessing UUV docking feasibility. The frameworks were demonstrated using the field-deployed TigerRAY WEC–UUV system with 2024 wave data from NDBC buoy station 42,036 on the U.S. Atlantic South Coast. Power performance results showed that TigerRAY could sustain persistent UUV operations although it could not always guarantee uninterrupted recharging, with the BlueROV2 and REMUS100 completing 368 and 109 missions, respectively, compared with 2927 and 627 missions possible under an unlimited power source. This suggests the need for supplemental battery buffering or hybrid energy sources, where each kilowatt-hour of energy buffer added approximately 1.67 missions for BlueROV2 and 0.5 for REMUS100. Docking feasibility probability for BlueROV2 remained 1 (i.e., 100 % feasible) across all operational sea states, decreasing slightly to 0.7 under extremes (Hs=5 m), indicating that dock motions stayed within UUV motion limits, although actual docking success will ultimately depend on UUV control, sensing, and communication. These results demonstrate that WEC-UUV systems are technically viable, while the developed frameworks provide a generalizable foundation for performance assessment, design optimization, and system integration of future WEC–UUV technologies toward persistent autonomous ocean observation and intervention.
波浪能转换器(WECs)通过支持海上对接和充电,为无人水下航行器(UUV)的持久任务提供了一种有前途的可再生解决方案。然而,集成的WEC-UUV系统的研究仍然不足,没有广泛适用的框架来评估其长期有效性和可行性。本研究通过开发两个互补且可推广的框架来解决这些差距:(i)一个用于评估现实时变海况下WEC的长期功率性能,(ii)另一个用于评估UUV对接可行性。这些框架使用现场部署的TigerRAY WEC-UUV系统进行了演示,该系统使用了来自美国大西洋南海岸NDBC浮标站42,036的2024年波浪数据。动力性能结果表明,TigerRAY能够维持持续的UUV操作,尽管它不能总是保证不间断的充电,BlueROV2和REMUS100分别完成368和109个任务,而在无限电源下可能完成2927和627个任务。这表明需要补充电池缓冲或混合能源,其中每千瓦时的能量缓冲为BlueROV2增加约1.67次任务,为REMUS100增加0.5次任务。在所有运行海况下,BlueROV2的对接可行性概率保持为1(即100%可行性),在极端情况下(Hs=5 m)略微下降至0.7,这表明对接运动保持在UUV运动限制内,尽管实际对接成功最终取决于UUV控制、传感和通信。这些结果表明,wecu - uuv系统在技术上是可行的,而所开发的框架为未来wecu - uuv技术的性能评估、设计优化和系统集成提供了可推广的基础,以实现持续自主的海洋观测和干预。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency-driven tax rebates for low-carbon transition: A translog–evolutionary game approach 低碳转型中效率驱动的退税:一个跨对数进化博弈方法
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127436
Ali Hamidoğlu, Hao Wang
Achieving an effective energy transition requires carbon policies that adapt to firm behavior and reward performance rather than penalize uniformly. While existing rebate schemes often overlook firm-level heterogeneity, this study hypothesizes that aligning rebates with efficiency, workforce, and R&D performance can deliver stronger environmental and economic outcomes. To test this, we propose the Efficiency-Enhanced Carbon Tax Rebate Allocation (EECRA) framework, a firm-sensitive system that integrates policy design with stakeholder dynamics. In the first stage, EECRA applies a translog production function to estimate firm-level efficiency, deriving workforce- and R&D-oriented efficiency scores that guide conditional rebate allocation. In the second stage, an evolutionary game framework models stakeholder adaptation through interconnected dynamics of replication, workforce expansion, and R&D investment. Evidence from a Canadian case study utilizing five years of firm-level data, alongside a Norwegian case study employing three years of data, indicates that EECRA generates stable evolutionary equilibria, enhances energy output, reduces emission intensity, promotes green employment, and boosts wage-based GDP and social welfare. By aligning fiscal signals with firm-specific performance, EECRA has the potential to transform rising uniform carbon taxes into scalable drivers of cleaner production, innovation, and competitiveness, while strengthening economic resilience and offering policymakers a robust tool for accelerating low-carbon transitions across diverse economies.
实现有效的能源转型需要适应企业行为、奖励绩效而不是统一惩罚的碳政策。虽然现有的回扣方案往往忽略了公司层面的异质性,但本研究假设,将回扣与效率、劳动力和研发绩效挂钩,可以带来更强的环境和经济效益。为了验证这一点,我们提出了效率增强型碳退税分配(EECRA)框架,这是一个将政策设计与利益相关者动态相结合的企业敏感系统。在第一阶段,EECRA应用超对数生产函数来估计企业层面的效率,得出以劳动力和研发为导向的效率分数,从而指导有条件的回扣分配。在第二阶段,一个进化博弈框架通过复制、劳动力扩张和研发投资的相互关联的动态来模拟利益相关者的适应。利用五年企业层面数据的加拿大案例研究和利用三年数据的挪威案例研究的证据表明,EECRA产生了稳定的进化均衡,提高了能源产出,降低了排放强度,促进了绿色就业,并提高了基于工资的GDP和社会福利。通过将财政信号与企业具体绩效相结合,EECRA有可能将不断上升的统一碳税转化为可扩展的清洁生产、创新和竞争力驱动因素,同时增强经济韧性,并为政策制定者提供一个强有力的工具,加速不同经济体的低碳转型。
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引用次数: 0
Energy-efficient greenhouse climate control with diffusion reinforcement learning 基于扩散强化学习的节能温室气候控制
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127437
Guodong Chen , Fengqi You
Greenhouse agriculture is vital for sustainable food production, yet its high energy demand and resource inefficiency pose significant challenges. Traditional climate control methods often rely on heuristic strategies or suboptimal rule-based systems, leading to excessive energy consumption and operational costs. To address this, we propose a diffusion reinforcement learning framework for resource-efficient greenhouse climate control, optimizing temperature, humidity, and CO₂ levels while minimizing energy use. Unlike conventional deep reinforcement learning, or stochastic policy methods, our diffusion-based approach enhances policy robustness by modeling stochastic environmental dynamics, enabling adaptive decision-making under uncertainty. We validate our method using real-world greenhouse data and simulations, demonstrating superior performance over conventional proportional–integral–derivative method. Simulation results show energy savings of 47.31% (±4.14%) in spring, 45.69% (±4.51%) in summer, 55.54% (±2.06%) in autumn, and 42.92% (±2.29%) in winter, compared to baseline methods while maintaining optimal crop growth conditions. This study advances intelligent control in precision agriculture by integrating denoising diffusion probabilistic models with reinforcement learning, offering a data-driven pathway toward energy-efficient and carbon-neutral greenhouse operations.
温室农业对可持续粮食生产至关重要,但其高能源需求和资源效率低下构成了重大挑战。传统的气候控制方法往往依赖于启发式策略或次优的基于规则的系统,导致过度的能源消耗和运行成本。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一个扩散强化学习框架,用于资源高效的温室气候控制,优化温度、湿度和CO 2水平,同时最大限度地减少能源消耗。与传统的深度强化学习或随机策略方法不同,我们基于扩散的方法通过建模随机环境动力学来增强策略的鲁棒性,从而实现不确定性下的自适应决策。我们使用真实世界的温室数据和模拟验证了我们的方法,证明了比传统的比例-积分-导数方法优越的性能。模拟结果表明,与基线方法相比,在保持最佳作物生长条件的情况下,春季节能47.31%(±4.14%),夏季节能45.69%(±4.51%),秋季节能55.54%(±2.06%),冬季节能42.92%(±2.29%)。本研究通过将去噪扩散概率模型与强化学习相结合,推进了精准农业的智能控制,为节能和碳中和温室运营提供了一条数据驱动的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Is a carbon-free Europe possible? Evaluation of sustainable green steel production performance in EU member states 一个无碳的欧洲可能吗?欧盟成员国可持续绿色钢铁生产绩效评价
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127431
Gökçe Candan , Zeynep Küçükakça Meral
The high CO2 levels generated during steel production and other high-emission sectors are seen as the largest causes of global warming. The EU, which is trying to solve this problem with the utmost seriousness, aims to reduce emissions and produce green steel without harming nature with a series of implemented precautionary plans. For a carbon-free Europe, reducing emissions generated during production, especially in the steel sector, minimising fossil fuel consumption, and using energy efficiently are essential. In addition, the necessary share should be provided from the states' budgets for new technologies and R&D investments to be developed for decarbonization and recycling the waste with effective methods is essential for sustainability. This study fills the gap in the literature as the first study to evaluate the green steel production performances of EU member countries. According to the rankings obtained with fuzzy logic-based decision-making methods, the countries with the highest performance are Germany, Portugal, Italy, France, and Sweden. In contrast, Greece, Hungary, Bulgaria, Slovenia, and Croatia are the countries with the lowest performance. The issues required for higher performance of the countries are presented in detail as policy recommendations, and the outputs obtained from the study will shed light on many stakeholders, especially the EU, manufacturing institutions and researchers.
钢铁生产和其他高排放行业产生的高二氧化碳水平被视为全球变暖的最大原因。欧盟正试图以最严肃的态度解决这一问题,旨在通过一系列实施的预防计划,在不损害自然的情况下减少排放,生产绿色钢铁。对于一个无碳的欧洲来说,减少生产过程中产生的排放,特别是在钢铁行业,最大限度地减少化石燃料的消耗,有效地利用能源是必不可少的。此外,应该从各州的预算中为新技术和研发投资提供必要的份额,以开发脱碳和以有效方法回收废物对可持续发展至关重要。本研究首次对欧盟成员国绿色钢铁生产绩效进行评价,填补了文献空白。根据基于模糊逻辑的决策方法得出的排名,表现最好的国家是德国、葡萄牙、意大利、法国和瑞典。相比之下,希腊、匈牙利、保加利亚、斯洛文尼亚和克罗地亚是表现最差的国家。提高国家绩效所需的问题作为政策建议详细提出,从研究中获得的产出将阐明许多利益相关者,特别是欧盟,制造机构和研究人员。
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引用次数: 0
Enabling grid-interactive data center-desalination coordination through thermo-electric coupling-based waste heat utilization 通过基于热电耦合的余热利用,实现电网-交互数据中心-脱盐协调
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127428
Ruizhang Yang , Charalambos Konstantinou , Yunhe Hou
The concurrent global expansion of data centers and seawater desalination presents a critical energy-water nexus challenge: the former are massive energy consumers generating vast quantities of waste heat, while the latter is an energy-intensive process vital for water security. This paper introduces a transformative paradigm for the synergistic integration of flexible data centers with thermo-electric desalination systems, re-conceptualizing the waste heat of data centers from an operational liability into a valuable resource for grid flexibility and sustainable water production. A key contribution is a novel, high-fidelity thermo-electric model. For the first time, this model directly embeds the complex physical dynamics of waste heat utilization, which links seawater preheating to its impact on temperature- and salinity-dependent reverse osmosis efficiency, within an integrated planning and operational optimization model. Based on this model, we propose a holistic framework that co-optimizes the long-term investment planning and short-term operational dispatch of this coupled infrastructure. The integrated planning and operation problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic MINLP and solved via a computationally efficient algorithm combining Benders decomposition with McCormick envelope linearization. A realistic case study demonstrates that the proposed framework achieves a remarkable 86.5% reduction in total annualized costs compared to conventional configurations, with the waste-heat synergy alone accounting for a 17% cost saving. The findings establish a viable and highly profitable blueprint for coupling the energy, water, and data sectors, offering a new frontier of flexibility for smart grids and a scalable model for future carbon-neutral industrial ecosystems.
数据中心和海水淡化的全球同步扩张提出了一个关键的能源-水关系挑战:前者是大量能源消耗者,产生大量废热,而后者是对水安全至关重要的能源密集型过程。本文介绍了灵活数据中心与热电脱盐系统协同集成的变革范例,将数据中心的废热从运营责任重新定义为电网灵活性和可持续水生产的宝贵资源。一个关键的贡献是一个新颖的,高保真的热电模型。该模型首次将废热利用的复杂物理动力学(将海水预热与其对温度和盐度相关的反渗透效率的影响联系起来)直接嵌入到综合规划和操作优化模型中。基于该模型,我们提出了一个整体框架,共同优化这种耦合基础设施的长期投资规划和短期运营调度。综合规划和运行问题被描述为一个两阶段的随机MINLP,并通过Benders分解和McCormick包络线性化相结合的计算效率高的算法来求解。一个实际的案例研究表明,与传统配置相比,该框架的年化总成本降低了86.5%,仅废热协同作用就节省了17%的成本。研究结果为能源、水和数据部门的结合建立了一个可行且高利润的蓝图,为智能电网的灵活性提供了一个新的前沿,并为未来的碳中和工业生态系统提供了一个可扩展的模型。
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引用次数: 0
Coupled energy-transportation network resilience improvement strategy considering dynamic traffic flow distribution: Multi-type Mobile emergency resources collaborative scheduling 考虑动态交通流分布的耦合能源交通网络弹性改进策略:多类型移动应急资源协同调度
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127367
Changxu Jiang , Longcan Zhou , Hao Xu , Junjie Lin , Zhenguo Shao , Yue Zhou , Zhenjia Lin
To effectively enhance the resilience of the coupled energy-transportation network (CETN) after extreme events, this paper coordinates multi-type mobile emergency resources (MERs), including mobile energy storage systems (MESSs), line repair crews (LRCs) and road repair crews (RRCs), to support emergency load demand and repair faults. The collaborative scheduling strategy of MERs is influenced by various uncertainties, including the dynamic traffic flow distribution caused by urban users' travel behaviour, status changes of energy line outages and traffic road faults. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid data-model driven approach to solve the optimal routing and scheduling strategies of MERs accurately and efficiently. In the data-driven part, a novel graph diffusion attention network multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed to optimize the MERs' routing strategies. The proposed algorithm incorporates a multi-task neural network architecture and various improvement strategies to enhance decision-making speed and training efficiency. In the model-driven part, the method of successive algorithm considering random utility is introduced to solve the transportation travel allocation model based on the modified semi-dynamic user equilibrium, obtaining road traffic flow distribution to get the next moment routing strategies of MERs. Additionally, the second-order cone relaxation and big-M method are employed to construct the MERs' scheduling problem as a mixed-integer second-order cone programming model to solve MERs' scheduling strategies. The effectiveness and scalability of the proposed approach are validated in two CETNs of different scales.
为有效增强耦合能运网络(CETN)在极端事件后的应变能力,本文协调移动储能系统(MESSs)、线路抢修人员(lrc)和道路抢修人员(rrc)等多类型移动应急资源(MERs),支持应急负荷需求和故障抢修。MERs协同调度策略受到多种不确定性因素的影响,包括城市用户出行行为引起的动态交通流分布、能源线路中断状态变化和交通道路故障。为此,本文提出了一种混合数据模型驱动的方法,以准确、高效地求解MERs的最优路由和调度策略。在数据驱动部分,提出了一种新的图扩散关注网络多智能体强化学习算法来优化MERs的路由策略。该算法采用多任务神经网络结构和多种改进策略,提高了决策速度和训练效率。在模型驱动部分,引入考虑随机效用的逐次算法方法,求解基于改进半动态用户均衡的交通出行分配模型,得到道路交通流分布,从而得到下一时刻的MERs路由策略。此外,利用二阶锥松弛和大m方法将MERs的调度问题构造为混合整数二阶锥规划模型,求解MERs的调度策略。在两个不同规模的cnet中验证了该方法的有效性和可扩展性。
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引用次数: 0
A stability-constrained market clearing and pricing approach for coordinated frequency and voltage security in high-renewable electric power systems 高可再生电力系统协调频率和电压安全的稳定约束市场清算和定价方法
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127425
Yihang Jiang, Shuqiang Zhao, Chutong Wang
The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) has significantly altered power system dynamics, heightening the risks of frequency and voltage instability. Electricity markets are expected to coordinate diverse resources to maintain secure operation, yet existing market frameworks generally overlook the emerging stability requirements of high-renewable power systems, which may exacerbate stability issues and reduce market efficiency. This paper proposes a stability-constrained market clearing and pricing framework that jointly addresses frequency and voltage security within the day-ahead scheduling process. A set of linearized stability constraints is developed and integrated into the clearing model to represent system frequency and voltage stability requirements. A stability-constrained market clearing model is then established to co-optimize energy, reserve, and stability services, with RES uncertainty managed via a distributionally robust chance-constrained approach. A differentiated pricing mechanism is further proposed to quantify the marginal contribution of heterogeneous resources to frequency and voltage stability and to provide appropriate economic incentives. Case studies show that the proposed method optimizes clearing cost and produces interpretable price signals that reflect the regulation quality of participating resources. Sensitivity analyses further demonstrate how renewable penetration levels and control strategies influence market outcomes.
可再生能源(RESs)的日益普及极大地改变了电力系统的动态,增加了频率和电压不稳定的风险。电力市场有望协调各种资源以维持安全运行,但现有的市场框架通常忽视了高可再生能源系统的新稳定性要求,这可能会加剧稳定性问题并降低市场效率。本文提出了一个稳定约束的市场清算和定价框架,该框架共同解决了日前调度过程中的频率和电压安全问题。开发了一组线性化的稳定性约束,并将其集成到清算模型中,以表示系统频率和电压的稳定性要求。然后建立一个稳定约束的市场清算模型,以共同优化能源、储备和稳定服务,并通过分布式稳健的机会约束方法管理可再生能源的不确定性。进一步提出了差异化定价机制,以量化异构资源对频率和电压稳定性的边际贡献,并提供适当的经济激励。案例研究表明,该方法优化了清算成本,并产生了可解释的价格信号,反映了参与资源的监管质量。敏感性分析进一步展示了可再生能源的渗透水平和控制策略如何影响市场结果。
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引用次数: 0
Synergistic operation and maintenance enabling lifecycle-aware opportunistic management of offshore wind energy 协同操作和维护,实现海上风能的生命周期意识机会管理
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127424
Jiaxin Zhang , You Dong , Dan M. Frangopol , Songye Zhu , Hongxing Yang
Offshore wind power capitalizes on abundant wind resources and vast spatial availability, enabling a significant increase in turbine capacity. However, the deterioration of large-scale floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) under complex marine conditions remains a persistent challenge. Rapid structural degradation and the inaccessibility of far-offshore wind farms pose substantial hurdles to effective operation and maintenance (O&M) strategies. To address these challenges, an opportunistic operation and maintenance (OppOM) framework is proposed, integrating turbine de-rating control with maintenance scheduling to enable intelligent management over the lifecycle. The system state evolution of FOWTs under dynamic wind–wave environment is inferred using a Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN). A Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) then models the uncertainty in observations and guides decision-making through probabilistic reasoning. A multi-attribute utility function is developed to jointly consider turbine health, economic costs, energy yield, and carbon emissions as lifecycle O&M objectives. The integrated DBN-POMDP framework is ultimately solved using an Asynchronous Advantage Actor-Critic reinforcement learning approach. The proposed OppOM framework was benchmarked against conventional Condition-base maintenance (CBM) and de-rating free opportunistic maintenance (OppM). Compared to CBM, OppOM reduced total lifecycle costs by 30.4%. Relative to OppM, it achieved an 18.7% cost reduction, 12.7% less downtime, and notable gains in energy output and CO₂ mitigation. Average system health index increased to 0.87, while component-level HI remained above 0.95 across the service life. The proposed OppOM framework establishes a new paradigm for offshore wind energy O&M by unifying structural control and maintenance planning. By incorporating turbine self-adaptive behavior into long-term governance, it enhances resilience to environmental uncertainty while improving lifecycle-level sustainability.
海上风力发电利用了丰富的风力资源和广阔的空间可用性,使涡轮机的容量显著增加。然而,在复杂的海洋条件下,大型浮式海上风力发电机(FOWTs)的劣化仍然是一个持续的挑战。远海风力发电场的快速结构退化和不可达性对有效的运营和维护策略构成了重大障碍。为了应对这些挑战,提出了一种机会操作和维护(OppOM)框架,将涡轮机退化控制与维护计划集成在一起,从而实现整个生命周期的智能管理。利用动态贝叶斯网络(DBN)推导了风浪环境下风力发电机组的系统状态演化。然后,部分可观察马尔可夫决策过程(POMDP)对观察结果中的不确定性进行建模,并通过概率推理指导决策。开发了一个多属性效用函数,将涡轮机健康、经济成本、能源产量和碳排放作为生命周期的运营管理目标。集成的DBN-POMDP框架最终使用异步优势参与者-批评者强化学习方法解决。提出的OppOM框架与传统的状态基础维护(CBM)和无降级机会维护(OppM)进行了基准测试。与CBM相比,OppOM将总生命周期成本降低了30.4%。与OppM相比,它降低了18.7%的成本,减少了12.7%的停机时间,并显著提高了能源输出和减少了二氧化碳排放。平均系统健康指数增加到0.87,而组件级HI在整个使用寿命期间保持在0.95以上。提出的OppOM框架通过统一结构控制和维护规划,为海上风电运营管理建立了新的范例。通过将涡轮机自适应行为纳入长期治理,它增强了对环境不确定性的适应能力,同时提高了生命周期级别的可持续性。
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