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Experimental validation of real-time energy management for hybrid energy storage systems based on predictive wavelet transforms 基于预测小波变换的混合储能系统实时能量管理实验验证
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127212
Ganglei Zhao, Xiang Li, Changxing Liu, Huiliu Zhang, Po Li
The wavelet transform (Wav), due to its capability of effectively allocating high- and low-frequency energy, has been widely applied in real-time energy management strategy (EMS) for hybrid energy storage systems (HESS). However, the time delay generated by Wav during signal processing can reduce the overall effectiveness of HESS. In this paper, a real-time hardware platform for HESS is built to study the effect of Wav on the performance of batteries (Bat) and supercapacitors (SC) with and without neural networks for delay compensation. Furthermore, a current-prediction-based predictive adaptive wavelet transform method is proposed to enhance system real-time performance and examine the potential risks of speed prediction. Rapid control prototype experimental results show that, compared with conventional Wav, the predictive wavelet transform can reduce SC peak current by approximately 7.6 % and 15.6 % in urban and highway conditions, respectively, and decrease energy cycling losses by about 5 %. The proposed predictive adaptive wavelet transform further reduces peak current by approximately 12.6 % and 20 %, decreases energy cycling losses by 14 % and 20 %, and extends battery lifetime by 1.5 %.
小波变换(Wav)由于能够有效地分配高低频能量,在混合储能系统(HESS)的实时能量管理策略(EMS)中得到了广泛的应用。然而,Wav在信号处理过程中产生的时间延迟会降低HESS的整体有效性。本文建立了HESS的实时硬件平台,研究了Wav对电池(Bat)和超级电容器(SC)性能的影响,并对有无神经网络进行了延迟补偿。在此基础上,提出了一种基于电流预测的预测自适应小波变换方法,以提高系统的实时性,并检测速度预测的潜在风险。快速控制原型实验结果表明,与传统的Wav相比,预测小波变换在城市和公路工况下的SC峰值电流分别降低约7.6%和15.6%,能量循环损失降低约5%。提出的预测自适应小波变换进一步降低了峰值电流约12.6%和20%,降低了能量循环损耗14%和20%,延长了1.5%的电池寿命。
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引用次数: 0
Innovative approaches to waste heat recovery: Coupling high temperature vapour compression heat pumps with salt hydrate thermochemical systems 创新的方法废热回收:耦合高温蒸汽压缩热泵与盐水合物热化学系统
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127229
K. Malleswararao , Inga Bürger , Aldo Cosquillo Mejia , Seon Tae Kim , Marc Linder
Efficient utilization of waste heat is a crucial method to meet global energy demands and carbon neutrality. High Temperature mechanical Heat Pumps (HTHPs) are vital in this context but are limited by evaporator temperature constraints. This study proposes an innovative approach to upgrading and reintegrating waste heat from HTHPs (105–140 °C) by coupling them with a dual reactor salt hydrate based Thermo-Chemical Energy Storage (TCES) system. Operating in a quasi-continuous mode, the system utilizes the waste heat from the HTHP to drive hydration (discharge) in one reactor and dehydration (charge) in another. The key to heat upgrading lies in the evaporator of the TCES system, which governs system performance. Therefore, an empirical relation has been developed to determine its optimum temperature as a function of waste heat temperature, heat upgrade temperature, and the thermal properties of the salt hydrate. Subsequently, the system performance with K2CO3-H2O was assessed by applying the first law of thermodynamics, with the evaporator temperature of the TCES varied from 100 °C to 90 °C. Lowering the evaporator temperature of the TCES enhances thermal output but is constrained by the HTHP's temperature requirements. The system delivers 55.4 kW per kg/s of air with a heat upgrade efficiency of 45.7 %, using waste heat at 140 °C and the evaporator of the TCES at 100 °C. This study attempts to establish a framework for designing efficient thermally driven cascaded heat pumps.
废热的有效利用是满足全球能源需求和实现碳中和的关键方法。高温机械热泵(HTHPs)在这种情况下至关重要,但受蒸发器温度限制。本研究提出了一种创新的方法,通过将HTHPs(105-140°C)的废热与双反应堆盐水合物热化学储能(TCES)系统耦合,来升级和重新整合HTHPs(105-140°C)的废热。该系统以准连续模式运行,利用高温高压锅炉的余热驱动一个反应器的水化(排放)和另一个反应器的脱水(充电)。热升级的关键在于TCES系统的蒸发器,它决定着系统的性能。因此,建立了确定其最佳温度作为余热温度、热升级温度和盐水合物热性能函数的经验关系。随后,应用热力学第一定律评价了含K2CO3-H2O的系统性能,TCES的蒸发器温度在100 ~ 90℃范围内变化。降低TCES的蒸发器温度可以提高热输出,但会受到高温高压系统温度要求的限制。该系统每公斤/秒输出55.4千瓦的空气,热升级效率为45.7%,利用140°C的废热和100°C的TCES蒸发器。本研究试图建立一个设计高效热驱动级联热泵的框架。
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引用次数: 0
AI-assisted design and optimization of novel asymmetric microchannel flow fields for proton exchange membrane fuel cells 质子交换膜燃料电池新型非对称微通道流场的ai辅助设计与优化
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127238
Ke Jiang , Haolin Jiang , Liang Zhang , Yang Luan , Tongxi Zheng , Mingxin Liu , Xunkang Su , Yihui Feng , Guolong Lu , Zhenning Liu
Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) are promising candidates for zero‑carbon power generation; however, the complexity of flow field design remains a key barrier to large-scale application. In this work, a novel asymmetric microchannel flow field (AMFF) with under-rib channels is proposed to enhance oxygen distribution and improve water removal, particularly at high current densities. To optimize the proposed structure, an AI-aided auto fast design system (AAFDS) was applied. This framework integrates a multi-objective AI optimization algorithm directly with a multi-physics simulation model, enabling fully automated and simultaneous optimization of multiple geometric parameters without the need for pre-generated datasets or surrogate model training. Nineteen parameters of the AMFF were optimized to maximize current density, improve gas distribution uniformity, and reduce pressure drop. The optimized AMFF achieved a 7.22 % increase in peak power density, and the uniformity of current density and gas distribution at the peak-power operating point improved by 20.9 % and 24.7 %, respectively. Moreover, the system completed 400 design iterations within 140 h, representing an 8.6-fold increase in efficiency compared with manual optimization. Validation through simulations and full-scale experiments confirmed the robustness of the design, especially under high current density, high temperature, and high humidity conditions. This study introduces a novel structural approach for PEMFC flow field design and demonstrates the potential of AI-assisted optimization to accelerate the development of high-performance fuel cell systems.
质子交换膜燃料电池(pemfc)是零碳发电的有希望的候选者;然而,流场设计的复杂性仍然是大规模应用的主要障碍。在这项工作中,提出了一种具有下肋通道的新型不对称微通道流场(AMFF),以增强氧气分布并改善水的去除,特别是在高电流密度下。为了优化所提出的结构,应用了人工智能辅助自动快速设计系统(AAFDS)。该框架将多目标人工智能优化算法直接与多物理场仿真模型集成在一起,无需预先生成数据集或代理模型训练,即可实现多个几何参数的全自动同时优化。优化了AMFF的19个参数,最大限度地提高了电流密度,改善了气体分布均匀性,减小了压降。优化后的AMFF峰值功率密度提高了7.22%,峰值功率工作点电流密度和气体分布均匀性分别提高了20.9%和24.7%。此外,该系统在140小时内完成了400次设计迭代,与人工优化相比,效率提高了8.6倍。通过仿真和全尺寸实验验证了该设计的稳健性,特别是在高电流密度、高温和高湿条件下。本研究为PEMFC流场设计引入了一种新的结构方法,并展示了人工智能辅助优化加速高性能燃料电池系统开发的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Recent advances in COF-based separators for rechargeable batteries: Design, properties, and applications 可充电电池用cof基隔膜的最新进展:设计、性能和应用
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127232
Urbana Kawsar Mitali , Arshad Hussain , Md. Billal Hossain , Syed Shaheen Shah , Karnan Manickavasakam , Bong-Joong Kim , Md. Abdul Aziz , A.J. Saleh Ahammad
Research into novel materials for rechargeable batteries has increased due to the growing need for long-lasting, high-performance energy storage solutions. One of the most important components is the separator, which ensures the safe and quick passage of ions while maintaining system stability. Covalent organic frameworks (COFs) are porous crystalline polymers that exhibit remarkable chemical stability and a variety of topologies. Their applications as components for next-generation battery separators have grown. This study examines current advances in the design, fabrication, and application of COF-based separators in a variety of rechargeable battery systems, including lithium-ion, lithium‑sulfur, sodium‑sulfur, zinc‑sulfur, and zinc‑iodine batteries. We explore into the way COFs' distinct structural properties, such as structured nanochannels, variable functional groups, and high porosity, can improve ion selectivity, electrolyte wettability, and prevent dendritic and polysulphide movement. We also discuss the relationship between structure and property, synthesis methods, and critical performance criteria, with an emphasis on recent developments in COF membrane design. The study concluded by outlining the present problems and offering suggestions for the future development of scalable, highly effective COF-based separators for the upcoming generation of energy storage devices.
由于对持久、高性能的能量存储解决方案的需求日益增长,对可充电电池新材料的研究也在增加。分离器是最重要的部件之一,它确保离子安全快速通过,同时保持系统的稳定性。共价有机框架(COFs)是一种多孔晶体聚合物,具有优异的化学稳定性和多种拓扑结构。它们作为下一代电池隔膜组件的应用也在增长。本研究考察了cof基隔膜在各种可充电电池系统中的设计、制造和应用的最新进展,包括锂离子电池、锂硫电池、钠硫电池、锌硫电池和锌碘电池。我们探讨了COFs独特的结构特性,如结构纳米通道、可变官能团和高孔隙率,如何提高离子选择性、电解质润湿性,并防止枝晶和多硫化物的运动。我们还讨论了结构与性能之间的关系,合成方法和关键性能标准,重点介绍了碳纤维膜设计的最新进展。该研究总结了目前存在的问题,并为未来开发可扩展的、高效的基于cof的隔膜提供了建议,这些隔膜适用于下一代储能设备。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of carbon taxation under fiscal reforms: A computable general equilibrium analysis for the Pakistan economy 财政改革下碳税的影响:巴基斯坦经济的可计算一般均衡分析
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127206
Arshad Mahmood , Charles O.P. Marpaung
In Pakistan, implementing the long overdue fiscal reforms such as indirect tax rationalization and subsidies removal can not only generate substantial government revenue but also reduce energy consumption and pollutant emissions. The intended outcomes of environmental reforms–reducing local pollutants or GHG emissions–can therefore be achieved at relatively low costs if such policies are complemented with comprehensive fiscal overhauling of the economy. This study aimed to assess the economic and environmental implications of these policies under different scenarios using a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium modeling approach. The main findings of the study reveal that both tax rationalization and subsidies removal policies will lead to reduced energy consumption and pollutant emissions while positively impacting GDP. In the combined scenarios where a carbon tax is imposed in conjunction with fiscal reforms, the energy sector will bear the greatest impact due to the upward adjustment of various energy product prices under all the policies considered. Moreover, the relative impact of reducing energy use and GHG emissions per unit of GDP loss will be greater under the combined carbon tax and fiscal policies scenarios than under the independent carbon tax scenario.
在巴基斯坦,实施间接税合理化和取消补贴等姗姗来迟的财政改革,不仅可以产生可观的政府收入,还可以减少能源消耗和污染物排放。环境改革的预期结果——减少当地污染物或温室气体排放——因此,如果这些政策与经济的全面财政改革相辅相成,就可以以相对较低的成本实现。本研究旨在利用递归动态可计算一般均衡建模方法,评估这些政策在不同情景下的经济和环境影响。研究的主要结果表明,税收合理化和取消补贴政策都将导致能源消耗和污染物排放的减少,同时对GDP产生积极影响。在碳税与财政改革相结合的情况下,能源部门将受到最大的影响,因为在所有考虑的政策下,各种能源产品价格都将向上调整。此外,在碳税和财政政策相结合的情景下,减少单位GDP损失的能源使用和温室气体排放的相对影响将大于单独征收碳税的情景。
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引用次数: 0
Hierarchical fuzzy RL control strategy and economic evaluation for molten salt energy storage systems 熔盐储能系统层次模糊RL控制策略及经济性评价
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127234
Zhiguo Mu , You Lv , Fang Fang , Jizhen Liu
Increasing integration of volatile renewable energy threatens grid security and raises demand for flexibility services such as deep peak shaving and rapid load adjustment from conventional coal-fired power plants (CFPPs). Energy storage systems (ESS) significantly enhance the load-adjustment capability of CFPPs, but the economic operation of thermal plants coupled with ESS is increasingly critical. In this study, a molten salt energy storage system (MSESS) is integrated with a CFPP to facilitate rapid and economical load adjustment. Two charging schemes are designed and analyzed for rapid and economical operation of the coupled system. To address limitations of traditional control strategies, a hierarchical control strategy based on multivariable fuzzy reinforcement learning is proposed. The strategy comprises an upper-level multivariable fuzzy control (MFC) to eliminate tracking errors in load adjustment and a lower-level reinforcement learning agent using a twin-delayed deep deterministic policy gradient (TD3) algorithm. The coupled system's flexibility demand is decomposed into a load-adjustment subproblem and an economic-operation subproblem, solved by the upper-level MFC and lower-level RL agent, respectively. A multi-criteria objective function is formulated, considering load-tracking cost, energy storage status, and coal consumption. A 48-h simulation under automatic power control (APC) regulation demonstrates that the proposed hierarchical RL-MFC strategy improves the load regulation performance of the coupled system by 1.05 % and enhances operational economy by 1.40 % compared to conventional strategies. Additionally, the proportion of the energy storage system operating within its optimal state-of-charge (SOC) range increased by 16.57 %
易波动的可再生能源的日益整合威胁着电网安全,并提高了对传统燃煤电厂(CFPPs)的深度调峰和快速负荷调整等灵活性服务的需求。储能系统(ESS)显著提高了cfp的负荷调节能力,但与储能系统相结合的热电厂的经济运行越来越重要。在本研究中,熔盐储能系统(mess)与CFPP集成,以促进快速和经济的负荷调节。为了使耦合系统快速、经济地运行,设计并分析了两种充电方案。针对传统控制策略的局限性,提出了一种基于多变量模糊强化学习的分层控制策略。该策略包括上层多变量模糊控制(MFC)和下层强化学习代理,前者用于消除负载调整中的跟踪误差,后者使用双延迟深度确定性策略梯度(TD3)算法。将耦合系统的柔性需求分解为负荷调节子问题和经济运行子问题,分别由上层MFC和下层RL agent进行求解。考虑负荷跟踪成本、储能状态和煤耗,建立了多准则目标函数。在功率自动控制(APC)下的48小时仿真表明,与传统策略相比,提出的分级RL-MFC策略使耦合系统的负载调节性能提高了1.05%,运行经济性提高了1.40%。此外,在其最佳充电状态(SOC)范围内运行的储能系统比例增加了16.57%
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引用次数: 0
Policy-constrained agrivoltaics in Italy: a potato case study linking shading, crop and economics 意大利政策约束下的农业发电:一个将遮阳、作物和经济联系起来的马铃薯案例研究
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127225
A. Ademollo , N. Ulivi , L. Ferretti , F. Serafini , C. Carcasci , C. Pacini
Solar energy is set to play a pivotal role in the energy transition. However, the large-scale deployment of Photovoltaic (PV) systems competes with agricultural land use, creating a need for integrated approaches that balance energy generation and food production. Agrivoltaic (AV) systems offer a promising solution by combining farming with PV electricity generation, addressing both energy and resource efficiency within the food-energy-water nexus. Here, we present a modelling framework that couples PV power production, high-resolution shading mapping, process-based biomass growth and economic analysis, and apply it to a one-hectare AV field in Sesto Fiorentino, Tuscany, Italy, driven by 5-min meteorological data at 13 cm × 6.5 cm spatial resolution. Results show ground-level irradiance reductions up to 55 % beneath the panels during the potato-growing season. Despite this reduction in irradiance, the spatial distribution of simulated tuber growth diverges from shading patterns: moderately shaded zones can exhibit up to 6 % higher production owing to delayed senescence and improved water-use efficiency. Overall, annual potato yield under AV averaged 26.8 t/ha—15 % below the full-light reference—yet achieved a land equivalent ratio of 1.58, indicating synergistic land-use benefits. Economic analysis distinguishes between abandoned and conventionally cultivated farmland: on abandoned land with 70 % electricity self-consumption, AV achieves an internal rate of return of 13 % (payback in 10 years) versus 21 % (payback in 6 years) for ground-mounted PV, while on conventional farmland the mitigation of crop revenue losses under AV narrows the return gap.
太阳能将在能源转型中发挥关键作用。然而,大规模部署光伏(PV)系统与农业用地竞争,因此需要采用平衡能源生产和粮食生产的综合方法。农业光伏(AV)系统通过将农业与光伏发电相结合,解决了食物-能源-水关系中的能源和资源效率问题,提供了一个很有前途的解决方案。在这里,我们提出了一个建模框架,将光伏发电、高分辨率阴影映射、基于过程的生物质增长和经济分析结合起来,并将其应用于意大利托斯卡纳Sesto Fiorentino一公顷的AV田,由13 cm × 6.5 cm空间分辨率的5分钟气象数据驱动。结果表明,在马铃薯生长季节,面板下方的地面辐照度减少了55%。尽管辐照度降低,但模拟块茎生长的空间分布与遮荫模式不同:适度遮荫区由于延迟衰老和提高水分利用效率,产量可提高6%。总体而言,在全光照条件下,马铃薯年平均产量为26.8吨/公顷,比全光照条件下的参考产量低15%,但土地当量比为1.58,表明土地利用效益协同。经济分析区分了废弃农田和传统耕地:在自用电量为70%的废弃土地上,自动发电的内部回报率为13%(10年回收期),而地面安装光伏的内部回报率为21%(6年回收期),而在传统农田上,自动发电减少了作物收入损失,缩小了回报差距。
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引用次数: 0
A novel modeling framework for demand response-based energy management systems in smart electricity markets, using optimization and multi-criteria decision making techniques 智能电力市场中基于需求响应的能源管理系统的新型建模框架,使用优化和多标准决策技术
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127228
Dalia Rabie , Hooman Farzaneh
Modern power grids require adaptive demand-side management, yet existing mechanisms often rely on static strategies that fail to reflect consumer heterogeneity. This study develops a demand response program (DRP)-based Energy Management System (ESM) as a novel framework designed to overcome these limitations. The innovation lies in a hybrid methodology that integrates a tri-actor welfare optimization model, capturing generators, service providers, and consumers, alongside a dynamic Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) approach. The proposed DRP-based ESM autonomously allocates the most suitable program between a Price-Based Program (PBP) and an Incentive-Based Program (IBP) on an hourly basis. Empirical validation uses the Japanese electricity market data, disaggregated across four consumer segments: residential, industrial, commercial offices, and wholesale/retail facilities. Results confirm that no single DRP is universally optimal; rather, effectiveness depends on temporal and sectoral contexts. Sensitivity analysis indicates that, PBPs dominate during valley hours, accounting for up to 75 % of allocations due to lower tariffs that enhance affordability and improve load factor recovery. During off-peak periods, the DRP-based ESM alternates between PBPs and IBPs depending on hourly demand conditions. On low-demand days, IBPs represent 66.67 % of selections, while during the Obon holiday, PBPs are chosen for roughly 75 % of operating hours, effectively managing heightened demand variability. Findings demonstrate that the proposed DRP-based ESM adapts effectively to changes in demand magnitude, elasticity, and operator priorities. The results underscore the importance of behavioral context in shaping DRP performance and highlight the potential of dynamic, data-driven program selection to enhance grid flexibility and consumer welfare.
现代电网需要适应性需求侧管理,但现有机制往往依赖于静态策略,无法反映消费者的异质性。本研究开发了一个基于需求响应计划(DRP)的能源管理系统(ESM),作为一个旨在克服这些限制的新框架。创新之处在于一种混合方法,该方法将三参与者福利优化模型与动态多标准决策(MCDM)方法集成在一起,该模型涵盖了发电商、服务提供商和消费者。拟议的基于drp的ESM以小时为基础,在基于价格的计划(PBP)和基于激励的计划(IBP)之间自主分配最合适的计划。实证验证使用日本电力市场数据,分为四个消费细分市场:住宅、工业、商业办公室和批发/零售设施。结果表明,没有单一的DRP是普遍最优的;相反,有效性取决于时间和部门背景。敏感性分析表明,pbp在低谷时段占主导地位,占分配的75%,因为较低的电价提高了可负担性并提高了负载系数恢复。在非高峰时段,基于drp的ESM根据每小时的需求情况在pbp和ibp之间交替。在需求低的日子里,ibp占了66.67%的选择,而在Obon假期,pbp占了大约75%的运营时间,有效地管理了需求的变化。研究结果表明,基于drp的ESM可以有效地适应需求规模、弹性和运营商优先级的变化。研究结果强调了行为环境在塑造DRP性能中的重要性,并强调了动态、数据驱动的程序选择的潜力,以增强电网的灵活性和消费者福利。
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引用次数: 0
Polymer-enabled self-healing and performance recovery: a route to significantly enhance durability and extend lifespan of perovskite-based photovoltaics 聚合物自愈和性能恢复:一条显著提高钙钛矿基光伏电池耐久性和延长寿命的途径
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127272
Ryan Fasti, Dawen Li
Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) combine exceptional power conversion efficiencies with low-cost solution-based processing but remain hindered by environmental instability, mechanical fragility on flexible substrates, and lead leakage. This review evaluates polymer-enabled self-healing strategies for both rigid and flexible PSCs. Rigid PSCs benefit from polymeric scaffolds that sequester volatile degradation products to enable in situ perovskite recrystallization, environmental stimulus-responsive additives that continuously neutralize emerging defects, and self-healing outer encapsulants that autonomously mend impact-induced damage while also reducing lead leakage. In flexible devices, dynamic supramolecular networks based on hydrogen bonding, ionic interactions, and reversible covalent linkages facilitate autonomous repair of bending-induced microcracks, leading to nearly complete restoration of initial performance after extensive deformation cycles. Multifunctional polymer design holds promise for enhancing intrinsic stability by passivating defects at grain boundaries, enhancing extrinsic resistance to moisture and thermal stress, and increasing mechanical robustness under cyclic bending. Future research directions include expanding self-healing capabilities across all PSC functional layers, optimizing healing kinetics, and addressing scalability for industrial manufacturing. Overall, polymer-enabled self-healing approaches are poised to play a critical role in the commercialization of highly robust perovskite-based photovoltaics with enhanced operational stability.
钙钛矿太阳能电池(PSCs)结合了卓越的功率转换效率和低成本的基于解决方案的加工,但仍然受到环境不稳定、柔性基板上的机械脆弱性和铅泄漏的阻碍。本综述评估了刚性和柔性psc的聚合物自愈策略。刚性PSCs受益于聚合物支架,聚合物支架可以隔离挥发性降解产物,使钙钛矿原位再结晶,环境刺激响应添加剂可以持续中和新出现的缺陷,自我修复的外部封装剂可以自主修复撞击引起的损伤,同时减少铅泄漏。在柔性器件中,基于氢键、离子相互作用和可逆共价键的动态超分子网络促进了弯曲引起的微裂纹的自主修复,在大量变形循环后几乎完全恢复了初始性能。多功能聚合物设计有望通过钝化晶界缺陷来增强其固有稳定性,增强对湿气和热应力的外在抵抗能力,并增加循环弯曲下的机械坚固性。未来的研究方向包括扩展所有PSC功能层的自修复能力,优化修复动力学,以及解决工业制造的可扩展性问题。总体而言,聚合物自修复方法将在具有增强操作稳定性的高鲁棒性钙钛矿基光伏电池的商业化中发挥关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-driven evolution of global wind-solar complementarity for hybrid energy systems (1940–2024) 全球混合能源系统风能-太阳能互补的气候驱动演变(1940-2024)
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127245
Wei-Bo Chen , Hongey Chen , Shih-Chun Hsiao
This study examines the long-term climate-driven trends in global wind-solar power complementarity from 1940 to 2024, employing the ERA5 reanalysis dataset to evaluate wind power density (WPD) and solar power density (SPD) dynamics. Advanced statistical methods, including the Mann-Kendall test, Theil-Sen estimator, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (SRCC), composite variability index (CVI), and K-means clustering, were utilized to analyze spatiotemporal patterns and their implications for hybrid renewable energy systems. The results indicate a significant global WPD increase of 0.66 ± 0.06 W/m2 per year, with notable enhancements in the Southern Ocean (+18 W/m2 per year, 1998–2024) and North Atlantic (+10 W/m2 per year), contrasted by a decline in the equatorial Pacific (−20 W/m2 per year, 1998–2024). SPD exhibits a historical decline of −0.038 W/m2 per year (1940–2009) due to global dimming, followed by an increase of 0.054 W/m2 per year (2010–2024) driven by global brightening. Seasonal complementarity analyses reveal strong anticorrelation in the North Atlantic and Southern Ocean during DJF (CVI: 0.52–0.76, SRCC: −0.4 to −0.7), while equatorial regions display synchronized variability (CVI: 0.88–1.0). The Northern Hemisphere (NH) exhibits the strongest complementarity in JJA (CVI: 0.8221, SR: 8.90 %), and the Southern Hemisphere (SH) in DJF (CVI: 0.8922, SR: 5.39 %). K-means clustering categorizes regions into four classes, identifying Class 1 regions (e.g., Northern Europe, India, Brazil, North Atlantic, Southern Ocean) as optimal for hybrid systems, reducing relative storage needs by up to 8.90 % (when compared to a baseline scenario with no complementarity) and unmet demand hours by 20 %. Conversely, Class 4 regions (e.g., Southeast Asia, Central Africa, Central Pacific) exhibit minimal complementarity, necessitating substantial storage solutions. These findings highlight the critical role of wind-solar complementarity in enhancing energy resilience, providing a robust foundation for strategic planning of sustainable energy systems under evolving climate conditions.
本研究利用ERA5再分析数据集,考察了1940 - 2024年全球风能-太阳能互补的长期气候驱动趋势,评估了风能密度(WPD)和太阳能密度(SPD)动态。利用Mann-Kendall检验、Theil-Sen估计量、Spearman等级相关系数(SRCC)、复合变异性指数(CVI)和k均值聚类等先进的统计方法,分析了混合可再生能源系统的时空格局及其影响。结果表明,全球WPD显著增加0.66±0.06 W/m2 /年,其中南大洋(+18 W/m2 /年,1998-2024年)和北大西洋(+10 W/m2 /年)显著增强,而赤道太平洋(- 20 W/m2 /年,1998-2024年)减弱。由于全球变暗,SPD呈现出每年- 0.038 W/m2的历史下降(1940-2009),随后在全球变亮的驱动下每年增加0.054 W/m2(2010-2024)。季节互补分析表明,在DJF期间,北大西洋和南大洋的CVI值为0.52 ~ 0.76,SRCC值为- 0.4 ~ - 0.7,而赤道地区的CVI值为0.88 ~ 1.0。北半球(NH)在JJA上的互补性最强(CVI: 0.8221, SR: 8.90%),南半球(SH)在DJF上的互补性最强(CVI: 0.8922, SR: 5.39%)。K-means聚类将区域分为四类,将1类区域(如北欧、印度、巴西、北大西洋、南大洋)确定为混合系统的最佳区域,将相对存储需求减少高达8.90%(与无互补性的基线情景相比),未满足的需求小时数减少20%。相反,第4类地区(如东南亚、中非、中太平洋)的互补性很小,需要大量的存储解决方案。这些发现强调了风能-太阳能互补性在增强能源弹性方面的关键作用,为在不断变化的气候条件下可持续能源系统的战略规划提供了坚实的基础。
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