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Edge-cloud collaboration-driven predictive planning of electric vehicle charging load for microgrids 边缘云协同驱动的微电网电动汽车充电负荷预测规划
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127362
Shuaiyin Ma , Chenyang Niu , Mengmeng Zhang , Lingxiang Yun , Qinge Xiao , Benyong Yue , Jun Xu
The rapid development of smart grids has driven the intelligent transformation of charging-load forecasting for electric vehicle (EV), opening new avenues for real-time microgrid dispatch and load management. However, deep-learning models typically demand substantial computational resources, posing a challenge for deployment on resource-constrained edge devices. To address this, an Edge-Cloud Collaboration (ECC) architecture is proposed that offloads heavy training tasks to the cloud while enabling real-time inference at the edge. At its core lies a hybrid Multi-Head Attention–Long Short-Term Memory (MHA-LSTM) model: The Multi-Head Attention module computes attention weights across all input features to capture complex, nonlinear inter-feature relationships; these weighted representations are then fed sequentially into the LSTM, which learns both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. The proposed approach is validated on a one-year, real-world charging load dataset from a microgrid station in Baoji. Its performance is benchmarked against two traditional machine learning methods, including GBDT and MLP, and several deep learning models such as LSTM, Attention-LSTM, TPA-LSTM and Transformer. Compared with the next-best Transformer, MHA-LSTM reduces MAE by 13.3 % and RMSE by 10.6 %, achieves an R2 of 0.7979 and a peak-period MAE of just 10.7915, and attains the CPU inference time of 0.2367 s, demonstrating its feasibility for edge deployment. Furthermore, SHAP analysis reveals that Price_Band and Hour are the primary drivers of load variation, while fine-grained features such as Minute and Work_Rest improve accuracy through nonlinear interactions. The ECC-driven MHA-LSTM architecture thus delivers both high precision and low latency, providing a practical tool for energy optimization and real-time EV charging management in intelligent microgrids.
智能电网的快速发展推动了电动汽车充电负荷预测的智能化转型,为微电网实时调度和负荷管理开辟了新的途径。然而,深度学习模型通常需要大量的计算资源,这对在资源受限的边缘设备上部署提出了挑战。为了解决这个问题,提出了一种边缘云协作(ECC)架构,该架构将繁重的训练任务卸载到云中,同时在边缘实现实时推理。其核心是多头注意-长短期记忆(mah - lstm)混合模型:多头注意模块计算所有输入特征的注意权重,以捕获复杂的非线性特征间关系;然后依次将这些加权表示输入LSTM, LSTM学习短期波动和长期时间依赖性。该方法在宝鸡市某微电网一年的真实充电负荷数据集上进行了验证。它的性能与两种传统机器学习方法(包括GBDT和MLP)以及LSTM、Attention-LSTM、TPA-LSTM和Transformer等几种深度学习模型进行了基准测试。与第二优的Transformer相比,MHA-LSTM的MAE降低了13.3%,RMSE降低了10.6%,实现了R2为0.7979,峰值MAE仅为10.7915,CPU推理时间为0.2367 s,证明了其边缘部署的可行性。此外,SHAP分析显示,Price_Band和Hour是负载变化的主要驱动因素,而Minute和Work_Rest等细粒度特征通过非线性相互作用提高了准确性。因此,ecc驱动的MHA-LSTM架构具有高精度和低延迟,为智能微电网中的能源优化和电动汽车实时充电管理提供了实用工具。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid data-model driven approach for time-decoupled power flexibility aggregation of heterogeneous distributed energy resources 异构分布式能源时解耦电力柔性聚合的混合数据模型驱动方法
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127386
Chen Hai , Haoming Liu , Kang Yue , Jian Wang , Yuran Wang , Dong Pan
Power flexibility aggregation provides an efficient way to harness the significant flexibility of large-scale distributed energy resources (DERs). However, the inherent heterogeneity and temporal coupling of DERs make it challenging to directly aggregate power flexibility, leading to conservatism and computational inefficiency. Therefore, we propose a novel hybrid data-model driven approach to characterize the aggregated active and reactive power flexibility region. The design of the proposed aggregation model consists of two stages. In the first stage, the active power related constraints of DERs are represented as high-dimensional polytopes. These polytopes are then inner-approximated by hyperrectangles to decouple the temporal coupling constraints. In the second stage, leveraging the mathematical models of DERs, we develop a computationally efficient data selection approach to obtain high-quality aggregated power boundary samples. The convex hull of these feasible samples is subsequently constructed to accurately characterize the aggregated active and reactive power flexibility region. The numerical simulations demonstrate that the proposed aggregation method significantly improves both the accuracy and the computational efficiency of the approximate flexibility region.
电力柔性聚合为利用大规模分布式能源的巨大灵活性提供了一种有效途径。然而,分布式电源固有的异质性和时间耦合性给直接聚合电源灵活性带来了挑战,导致保守性和计算效率低下。因此,我们提出了一种新的混合数据模型驱动方法来表征聚合有功和无功柔性区域。该聚合模型的设计分为两个阶段。在第一阶段,将有功功率相关约束表示为高维多面体。然后用超矩形对这些多面体进行内部逼近,以解耦时间耦合约束。在第二阶段,利用DERs的数学模型,我们开发了一种计算效率高的数据选择方法来获得高质量的聚合功率边界样本。然后构建这些可行样本的凸包,以准确表征聚合的有功和无功柔性区域。数值模拟结果表明,该方法显著提高了近似柔度区域的精度和计算效率。
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引用次数: 0
Deep reinforcement learning real-time dispatch approach for cascade hydropower with hybrid pumped-storage mitigating photovoltaic uncertainties 缓解光伏不确定性的梯级水电混合抽水蓄能深度强化学习实时调度方法
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127403
Zizhao Wang , Yang Li , Feng Wu , Linjun Shi , Renshan Ding , Shengming He
The integration of high levels of photovoltaic (PV) generation into grids poses a significant challenge to stability due to its inherent variability. Since cascade hydropower (CHP) plants provide rapid response and large storage, and retrofitted hybrid pumped-storage (HPS) adds further flexibility, integrating PV into complementary systems can mitigate fluctuations. However, their real-time coordination is complicated by spatio-temporal hydraulic coupling and PV uncertainties. Thus, this study develops a model-free deep reinforcement learning (RL) real-time dispatch approach based on the soft actor-critic (SAC) method to coordinate power output of CHP and HPS online. A comprehensive reward function is designed to balance generation plan tracking, reservoir volume flexible tracking, and output smoothing. In addition, a framework combining Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) day-ahead model is proposed to generate robust generation plans and unit operation status schemes. WDRO is employed to reduce infeasible exploration risk and facilitate stability in the training process of SAC. A case study on the Yalong River basin CHP-PV complementary system demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The SAC agent learns optimal policies directly from interactions with the nonlinear system environment, enabling it to make real-time decisions based on actual PV power and system states, thus avoiding online computational burdens of multi-step optimization. Compared to the method without WDRO guidance, the integrated power volatility is reduced by 93.5%. Compared to model-based methods, the constraint violation rate is reduced from approximately 2% to zero.
由于其固有的可变性,将高水平的光伏发电并入电网对稳定性提出了重大挑战。由于梯级水电(CHP)电厂提供快速响应和大容量存储,而改造后的混合抽水蓄能(HPS)增加了进一步的灵活性,将光伏集成到互补系统中可以减轻波动。然而,由于时空水力耦合和PV的不确定性,它们的实时协调变得复杂。因此,本研究提出了一种基于软行为者评论(SAC)方法的无模型深度强化学习(RL)实时调度方法,以在线协调热电联产和HPS的输出功率。设计了一个综合奖励函数来平衡发电计划跟踪、库容柔性跟踪和输出平滑。此外,结合Wasserstein分布式鲁棒优化(WDRO)日前模型,提出了鲁棒发电计划和机组运行状态方案的生成框架。在SAC的训练过程中,采用WDRO来降低不可行的勘探风险,促进稳定性。以雅砻江流域热电联产互补系统为例,验证了该方法的有效性。SAC代理直接从与非线性系统环境的交互中学习最优策略,使其能够根据实际光伏功率和系统状态进行实时决策,从而避免了多步优化的在线计算负担。与无WDRO指导的方法相比,集成功率波动率降低了93.5%。与基于模型的方法相比,约束违反率从大约2%降至零。
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引用次数: 0
Distributed collaborative optimization for integrated energy system clusters: A power allocation strategy based on consensus algorithm and logistic function 集成能源系统集群的分布式协同优化:基于共识算法和logistic函数的电力分配策略
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127388
Ye He , Mingjie Yu , Ming Wu , Bin Xu , Jinjin Ding , Hongbin Wu
With the increasing penetration of renewable energy into integrated energy systems (IES), the intensifying source-load mismatch ‌has led to real-time power imbalance‌ in off-grid IES clusters, decrease in system energy utilization efficiency and power supply reliability, thereby affecting the safe and stable operation of IES clusters. To address this gap, by fully utilizing the information transmission and energy complementarity between IES, a two-stage distributed collaborative optimization strategy for IES clusters is proposed in this paper. In the first stage, the load capacity of IES is evaluated based on the load margin, and a power allocation model based on a consensus algorithm is established. The real-time power of each controllable unit of IES is obtained through iterative processes, the reasonable output and minimum adjustment cost of multiple IES devices can be achieved, and the total power command of the electric‑hydrogen hybrid energy storage system (HESS) is transmitted to the second stage. In the second stage, a HESS energy management strategy is developed considering the operational characteristics of alkaline electrolyzers. Furthermore, dynamic adjustment rule for charging and discharging power weighting factors is designed based on a logistic function, and a multi-mode real-time power allocation strategy for HESS is proposed, adjusting the output of two types of energy storage in real time. Finally, numerical simulation verified the feasibility and superiority of the proposed power allocation strategy of IES clusters.
随着可再生能源在综合能源系统(IES)中的渗透率不断提高,源负荷失配加剧,导致离网IES集群实时功率失衡,降低了系统能量利用效率和供电可靠性,从而影响了IES集群的安全稳定运行。为了解决这一差距,充分利用IES之间的信息传递和能量互补,本文提出了一种两阶段分布式IES集群协同优化策略。第一阶段,基于负荷余量对IES的负荷能力进行评估,建立基于共识算法的功率分配模型;通过迭代过程获得IES各可控单元的实时功率,实现多个IES设备的合理输出和最小调节成本,并将电氢混合储能系统(HESS)的总功率指令传输到第二阶段。在第二阶段,考虑碱性电解槽的运行特点,制定了HESS能量管理策略。在此基础上,设计了基于logistic函数的充放电功率加权因子动态调整规则,提出了一种多模式HESS实时功率分配策略,实时调整两种储能系统的输出。最后,通过数值仿真验证了所提出的IES集群功率分配策略的可行性和优越性。
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引用次数: 0
How long is long enough? toward an optimal year span for typical meteorological year selection in a changing climate 多长时间够长?气候变化条件下典型气象年选择的最佳年跨度
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127376
Lin Ye , Yi Wu , Xue Liu , Jingjing An , Xin Zhou , Da Yan
A typical meteorological year (TMY) is a fundamental boundary condition for building performance simulations (BPSs), and its representativeness governs both the reliability of simulation results and the credibility of design decisions. In the context of global warming, conventional long-span (30-year) TMYs risk blending outdated conditions with recent trends, and cannot reflect warming trends. This study adopted the ERA5 reanalysis from 1980 to 2024 as a database and evaluated seven historical year spans (1, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 years) based on the BPS of various prototype buildings across 20 cities in China. TMYs were generated from multiple periods and validated against subsequent decades of actual meteorological years, with the performance measured by the deviation in annual cumulative heating and cooling loads. The analysis showed that the local climatic variation, rather than the climate zone or building type, was the primary factor shaping the optimal span. Shorter spans consistently improve representativeness compared with the traditional 30-year baseline, and a span of approximately 10 years achieves the most robust balance between bias and variability. These findings provide evidence for revising the current practices and support the use of a 10-year TMY in China to deliver more reliable inputs for building energy assessments, efficient designs, and long-term planning.
典型气象年(TMY)是建筑性能模拟的基本边界条件,其代表性决定着模拟结果的可靠性和设计决策的可信度。在全球变暖的背景下,传统的长跨度(30年)TMYs有将过时的条件与最近的趋势混合在一起的风险,不能反映变暖趋势。本研究以1980 - 2024年的ERA5再分析数据为数据库,基于中国20个城市各种原型建筑的BPS,对7个历史年跨度(1、5、10、15、20、25和30年)进行了评估。tmy是由多个时期产生的,并与随后几十年的实际气象年进行验证,其性能通过年累积供暖和制冷负荷的偏差来衡量。分析表明,局部气候变化是影响最优跨度的主要因素,而非气候带或建筑类型。与传统的30年基线相比,较短的跨度持续提高代表性,大约10年的跨度在偏差和变率之间达到了最稳健的平衡。这些发现为修订现行做法提供了证据,并支持在中国使用10年TMY,为建筑能源评估、高效设计和长期规划提供更可靠的投入。
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引用次数: 0
Offline inverse reinforcement learning for joint optimization of energy costs and demand charge in industrial PV-battery load systems 工业光伏-电池负荷系统能源成本与需求费用联合优化的离线逆强化学习
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127416
Yulong Hu , Sen Li
Industrial electricity bills are typically composed of two major components: the energy charge, which is based on the total accumulated energy consumption over a billing period (e.g., one month), and the demand charge, which depends on the highest peak power observed during the same period. Consequently, the joint optimization of energy costs (through energy arbitrage) and demand charges (through peak shaving) is crucial for effective cost management in industrial PV-battery load systems. However, this task remains fundamentally challenging due to the volatility of renewable generation and load, the complex temporal dependencies introduced by peak demand charges, and the competing objectives between immediate cost savings and long-term peak reduction—rendering existing model-based and data-driven energy management approaches inadequate for real-world applications. To tackle these challenges, this paper formulates the problem as a soft Markov Decision Process (MDP) and proposes a novel Offline Inverse Reinforcement Learning (OIRL) framework based on a dual reward-policy iterative optimization mechanism. Our approach introduces an innovative synthesis of contrastive reward learning—leveraging both expert demonstrations and on-policy trajectory rollouts—with conservative soft Q-learning optimization. This architecture enables accurate reconstruction of implicit reward structures through comparative analysis of expert and agent behaviors, while ensuring stable policy improvement via regularized value function updates with pessimistic value initialization. Extensive experiments using real-world data from our industrial partner in China demonstrate that OIRL achieves substantial energy arbitrage and peak shaving improvement compared to state-of-the-art reinforcement learning baselines in energy management. Furthermore, the framework maintains robust performance across diverse operating conditions, establishing a new paradigm for intelligent control of industrial PV-battery load systems.
工业用电帐单通常由两个主要部分组成:能源费,这是基于在一个结算期间(例如,一个月)累计的总能源消耗,以及需求费,这取决于在同一期间观察到的最高峰值功率。因此,能源成本(通过能源套利)和需求费用(通过调峰)的联合优化对于工业光伏电池负载系统的有效成本管理至关重要。然而,由于可再生能源发电和负荷的波动性,高峰需求收费引入的复杂时间依赖性,以及即时成本节约和长期峰值减少之间的竞争目标,使得现有的基于模型和数据驱动的能源管理方法不适合实际应用,因此这项任务仍然具有根本性的挑战性。为了解决这些问题,本文将该问题描述为软马尔可夫决策过程(MDP),并提出了一种基于双奖励策略迭代优化机制的离线逆强化学习(OIRL)框架。我们的方法引入了一种创新的综合对比奖励学习——利用专家演示和政策轨迹上的推出——与保守的软q学习优化。该架构通过对专家和代理行为的比较分析,能够准确地重建隐性奖励结构,同时通过正则化的价值函数更新和悲观值初始化来确保稳定的策略改进。使用来自中国工业合作伙伴的真实世界数据进行的广泛实验表明,与能源管理中最先进的强化学习基线相比,OIRL实现了实质性的能源套利和调峰改进。此外,该框架在不同的运行条件下保持稳健的性能,为工业光伏电池负载系统的智能控制建立了新的范例。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive droop control scheme with error functioned-based SoC balancing for distributed battery storage system in renewable energy-based DC shipboard microgrid 基于误差函数的分布式电池储能系统SoC平衡自适应下垂控制方案
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127405
Rashid Iqbal , Yancheng Liu , Muhammad Zeeshan , Qinjin zhang , Yuji Zeng , Syed Awais Ali Shah
As the world faces increasingly severe energy shortages and environmental pollution, the maritime industry is compelled to explore new energy solutions for sustainable and environmentally friendly ship operations. DC microgrid systems are garnering increased attention because of their significant advantages in facilitating the integration of sustainable energy sources. This paper introduces an adaptive droop control strategy with an error function-based State-of-Charge (SoC) equilibrium approach for parallel battery storage systems within renewable energy-based DC shipboard microgrids. The strategy addresses critical challenges such as maintaining dynamic SoC equilibrium, ensuring precise load current sharing, and regulating DC bus voltage. In the primary control layer, this work introduces a novel SoC-based current sharing (SBCS) controller that utilizes SoC information and dynamically adjusts droop coefficients based on an error function. The SBCS is designed to dynamically balance the state of charge (SoC) while ensuring accurate current distribution among the energy storage units (ESUs). This controller also lessens the severity of line impedance mismatches. Additionally, to mitigate deviations in the DC bus voltage, a Voltage Drop Compensation (VDC) controller is employed at the secondary control level. In the communication level, communication is recognized through a series of sparse systems, with each ESU communicating exclusively to its neighboring ESUs. An iterative multi-agent consensus method is applied to collectively estimate the average of global variables, thereby reducing communication overhead and enhancing coordinated control.Furthermore, this paper carries out a comprehensive stability assessment of the proposed control methodology. Lastly, To validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, a MATLAB/Simulink simulation platform and a Star Sim HIL experimental environment have been established. The findings demonstrate that the introduced methodology successfully achieves SoC balance, accurate current distribution, and restoration of bus voltage across diverse operating conditions. Additionally, it demonstrates significantly rapid SoC equalization compared to current modern and advanced approaches.
随着世界面临日益严重的能源短缺和环境污染,海运业不得不探索新的能源解决方案,以实现可持续和环保的船舶运营。直流微电网系统因其在促进可持续能源整合方面的显著优势而日益受到关注。本文介绍了一种基于误差函数的船舶微电网并联电池储能系统的自适应下垂控制策略。该策略解决了诸如维持动态SoC平衡,确保精确负载电流共享和调节直流母线电压等关键挑战。在主控制层,本工作引入了一种新的基于SoC的电流共享(SBCS)控制器,该控制器利用SoC信息并根据误差函数动态调整下垂系数。SBCS旨在动态平衡荷电状态(SoC),同时确保储能单元(esu)之间的精确电流分配。该控制器还减少了线路阻抗不匹配的严重程度。此外,为了减轻直流母线电压的偏差,在二级控制级采用了电压降补偿(VDC)控制器。在通信层,通过一系列稀疏系统识别通信,每个ESU与相邻ESU独占通信。采用迭代的多智能体共识方法对全局变量的平均值进行集体估计,从而减少了通信开销,增强了协调控制。此外,本文还对所提出的控制方法进行了全面的稳定性评估。最后,为了验证该方法的有效性,建立了MATLAB/Simulink仿真平台和Star Sim HIL实验环境。结果表明,所介绍的方法成功地实现了SoC平衡,精确的电流分布,并在不同的工作条件下恢复母线电压。此外,与当前的现代和先进方法相比,它显示出显着的快速SoC均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Real-time wind power forecasting using an evolving fuzzy system based on Multivariate Gaussian and Chebyshev mapping 基于多元高斯和切比雪夫映射的演化模糊系统实时风电预测
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127387
Lei Hu , Xinghan Xu , Xingyi Miao , Jianwei Liu , Min Han
The increasing penetration of wind energy, driven by global energy transition goals, has intensified the demand for highly accurate short-term wind power forecasting to ensure the stability and efficiency of power systems. However, the inherently chaotic, intermittent, and nonlinear nature of wind power, coupled with rapidly changing meteorological conditions, poses significant challenges to forecasting accuracy in real-world operations. Most existing approaches focus on offline training and validation, lacking the adaptability required for real-time prediction in dynamic environments. To address this gap, we propose a novel online forecasting framework, termed Multivariate Gaussian Chebyshev Mapping Evolving Fuzzy System (MGCM-EFS). Unlike prior evolving fuzzy systems (EFSs) that rely on fixed thresholds or univariate memberships, MGCM-EFS jointly integrates multivariate Gaussian memberships, dual-side Chebyshev adaptation (antecedent thresholds and consequent forgetting), and density-utility pruning to preserve a compact yet expressive rule base in real time. Specifically, Chebyshev mapping is incorporated into both the antecedent and consequent parts to enhance nonlinear modeling capability, while the density-based pruning mechanism dynamically removes low-contribution rules to prevent model bloat and overfitting. This design enables MGCM-EFS to evolve its fuzzy rules and parameters in real time, effectively adapting to non-stationary wind power data streams. Experimental results on multi-country wind-power datasets show that MGCM-EFS achieves up to 29.3% higher prediction accuracy and up to 86.9% faster computation than state-of-the-art models, while providing second-level response and multi-scale adaptability suitable for real-time dispatch in high-frequency power systems.
在全球能源转型目标的推动下,风能的渗透率不断提高,为确保电力系统的稳定性和效率,对高精度的短期风电预测的需求也随之增加。然而,风力发电固有的混沌、间歇性和非线性特性,加上快速变化的气象条件,对实际操作中的预测准确性提出了重大挑战。大多数现有方法侧重于离线训练和验证,缺乏动态环境下实时预测所需的适应性。为了解决这一差距,我们提出了一种新的在线预测框架,称为多元高斯切比雪夫映射演化模糊系统(MGCM-EFS)。与依赖于固定阈值或单变量隶属度的先前进化模糊系统(efs)不同,MGCM-EFS联合集成了多变量高斯隶属度、双面切比雪夫适应(前置阈值和后续遗忘)和密度-效用修剪,以实时保持紧凑而富有表达的规则库。具体而言,将Chebyshev映射引入前、后两个部分,增强了非线性建模能力;基于密度的剪枝机制动态去除低贡献规则,防止模型膨胀和过拟合。该设计使MGCM-EFS能够实时演化其模糊规则和参数,有效适应非平稳风电数据流。在多国风电数据集上的实验结果表明,与现有模型相比,MGCM-EFS的预测精度提高了29.3%,计算速度提高了86.9%,同时具有适合高频电力系统实时调度的二级响应和多尺度适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal design of megawatt-scale proton exchange membrane water electrolysis module by hierarchical multi-scale modeling 基于分层多尺度建模的兆瓦级质子交换膜水电解模块优化设计
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.127325
Kaihao Fu , Ping Li , Xinyuan Li , Chenxi Cao , Wangli He , Wenli Du , Feng Qian
Proton exchange membrane water electrolyzers (PEMWEs) play a crucial role in the long-term utilization of large-scale, intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power. This study addresses the critical, unresolved issue of optimizing megawatt-scale PEMWE cluster architectures by developing an equivalent transport resistance network model that incorporates the coupled multi-scale flow and electric fields. Within 5 % error and with full techno-economic metrics returned in minutes, a systematic comparison of hierarchical PEMWE layouts pinpoints the pivotal role of the bipolar plate-electrolysis cell configuration; an optimized 1 MW module with fewer stacks can deliver greater than 231 Nm3/h of hydrogen at a cost of less than 1.50 CNY/Nm3. Our approach establishes a theoretical foundation and provides practical design insights for implementation of advanced commercial-scale water electrolysis technologies towards net-zero energy and chemicals production.
质子交换膜水电解槽(PEMWEs)在风能和太阳能等大规模、间歇性可再生能源的长期利用中发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究通过开发包含耦合多尺度流场和电场的等效传输电阻网络模型,解决了优化兆瓦级PEMWE集群架构的关键问题。在5%的误差范围内,在几分钟内返回完整的技术经济指标,分层PEMWE布局的系统比较确定了双极板电解池配置的关键作用;优化后的1兆瓦模块,具有更少的堆,可以以低于1.50元/Nm3的成本提供超过231 Nm3/h的氢气。我们的方法建立了理论基础,并为实现先进的商业规模水电解技术实现净零能源和化学品生产提供了实际的设计见解。
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引用次数: 0
Valuing operational flexibility in hybrid energy systems: A neural solution to the Hamilton–jacobi–bellman equation 评价混合能源系统的操作灵活性:Hamilton-jacobi-bellman方程的神经解法
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127418
Dávid Zoltán Szabó
This paper develops a continuous-time stochastic control framework for the joint operation of gas-fired generation, wind power, and energy storage under correlated electricity and gas price uncertainty. The operator’s decision problem is formulated as a finite-horizon Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation, capturing the trade-off between immediate revenues and the continuation value of storage under physical and operational constraints.
To address the resulting high-dimensional control problem, we employ a mesh-free neural approximation based on physics-informed and Deep Galerkin methods. An analytical linear–quadratic (LQ) formulation is derived as a benchmark, providing structural insight and a reference point under simplified assumptions.
Numerical experiments demonstrate stable convergence of the neural HJB solver and recovery of economically interpretable policy structures. When calibrated to historical electricity and gas price data and evaluated under realistic transaction costs, the learned policy exhibits sparse, threshold-driven storage operation with extended no-trade regions. In these regimes, optimal behavior leaves the storage inactive despite ongoing generation, reflecting the option-like and highly state-dependent value of operational flexibility.
Overall, the results show that neural HJB solvers provide an economically consistent and transparent framework for analyzing hybrid energy systems. By linking stochastic price dynamics, operational constraints, and realized storage decisions, the approach clarifies when flexibility is actively exercised and when it remains economically dormant in low-carbon power systems.
本文建立了在相关电价和天然气价格不确定性下燃气发电、风电和储能联合运行的连续时间随机控制框架。作业者的决策问题被表述为有限视界Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB)方程,在物理和操作约束下获取即时收益和存储的持续价值之间的权衡。为了解决由此产生的高维控制问题,我们采用了基于物理信息和深度伽辽金方法的无网格神经近似。推导了一个解析线性二次(LQ)公式作为基准,在简化假设下提供结构洞察力和参考点。数值实验证明了神经HJB求解器的稳定收敛性和经济上可解释的政策结构的恢复。当校准历史电力和天然气价格数据并在实际交易成本下进行评估时,学习到的策略显示出稀疏的、阈值驱动的存储操作,并扩展了非贸易区域。在这些机制中,最优行为使存储处于不活动状态,尽管正在生成,反映了操作灵活性的选项和高度依赖状态的价值。总体而言,结果表明,神经HJB求解器为分析混合能源系统提供了一个经济一致和透明的框架。通过将随机价格动态、运行约束和实现的存储决策联系起来,该方法明确了在低碳电力系统中,灵活性何时被积极发挥,何时在经济上处于休眠状态。
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Applied Energy
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