Pub Date : 2024-06-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2024-18-1-27-44
S. V. Kazantsev
Four processes occurring within the country and weakening contemporary Russian society are considered in this paper. These processes include: the reduction in income from foreign trade, the “brain drain”, the depopulation and the capital outflow. Their qualitative and quantitative characteristics are presented; the internal and external factors that contribute to the development of these processes are identified. Numerous restrictions, prohibitions, and sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation aim to stimulate the development of these negative phenomena and expand the scale of their unwanted consequences on the Russian economy and society. The results of the author’s research on the validity of Russia’s adversaries’ choice of the aforementioned processes as objects of sanctions impact on the Russian Federation are presented in this article.
{"title":"Anti-Russian Sanctions Impact Areas","authors":"S. V. Kazantsev","doi":"10.26794/2220-6469-2024-18-1-27-44","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2024-18-1-27-44","url":null,"abstract":" Four processes occurring within the country and weakening contemporary Russian society are considered in this paper. These processes include: the reduction in income from foreign trade, the “brain drain”, the depopulation and the capital outflow. Their qualitative and quantitative characteristics are presented; the internal and external factors that contribute to the development of these processes are identified. Numerous restrictions, prohibitions, and sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation aim to stimulate the development of these negative phenomena and expand the scale of their unwanted consequences on the Russian economy and society. The results of the author’s research on the validity of Russia’s adversaries’ choice of the aforementioned processes as objects of sanctions impact on the Russian Federation are presented in this article.","PeriodicalId":254257,"journal":{"name":"The world of new economy","volume":"54 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141268622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-120-130
N. Sorokina
The specifics of Russian economic cycles, in particular, is that their course differs markedly in different regions, resulting in increased asymmetry in regional development. The paper studied of the influence of historical and sectoral factors, which determine the economic specialisation of the region, and the features of the sectoral structure of the regional economic in growth of the old industrial regions of Russia. Thus, the author concluded the nature of their dynamics mainly determines the sectoral factor and revealed a significant number of promising economic specialisations is a characteristic of the old industrial territories in virtue of the historical features of the industry growth in the Soviet period and the external position of economic activity. The outcome is that it is necessary to conduct a selective regional policy aimed at overcoming the limitations of the resource, organizational, and institutional nature of the development of old industrial regions.
{"title":"Dynamics of Old Industrial Regions of the Upraise and Falling of Russian Economic Cycles","authors":"N. Sorokina","doi":"10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-120-130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-120-130","url":null,"abstract":"The specifics of Russian economic cycles, in particular, is that their course differs markedly in different regions, resulting in increased asymmetry in regional development. The paper studied of the influence of historical and sectoral factors, which determine the economic specialisation of the region, and the features of the sectoral structure of the regional economic in growth of the old industrial regions of Russia. Thus, the author concluded the nature of their dynamics mainly determines the sectoral factor and revealed a significant number of promising economic specialisations is a characteristic of the old industrial territories in virtue of the historical features of the industry growth in the Soviet period and the external position of economic activity. The outcome is that it is necessary to conduct a selective regional policy aimed at overcoming the limitations of the resource, organizational, and institutional nature of the development of old industrial regions.","PeriodicalId":254257,"journal":{"name":"The world of new economy","volume":"211 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139808027","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-98-108
L. V. Obolenskaya, N. Abdikeev, O. M. Abrosimova
The opportunities for Russia’s economic growth substantiate the relevance of the research in the current conditions. The authors analyze the scientific literature and summarize the approaches to the “locomotives” or “drivers” of growth. In line with the reviewed studies, the authors use the sectoral approach. This considers the important investments presented in different approaches. The purpose of the paper is to identify the sectors of the Russian manufacturing industry that could, with certain government support, act as locomotives of economic growth in the medium and long term. The authors considered the locomotive industries in relation to two interrelated tasks of the investment model of growth. The study uses methods and tools of economic, logical, cause-and-effect analysis, content analysis, as well as forecasting and statistical assessments. The work has identified two groups of engine industries, using forecast-statistical estimates reflecting the impact of external sanctions on the Russian economy. The practical significance of the study is to define the growth driver industries for the further design of measures for the strategic development of these industries.
{"title":"Drivers of Russian Industrial Growth in the Face of New Reality","authors":"L. V. Obolenskaya, N. Abdikeev, O. M. Abrosimova","doi":"10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-98-108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-98-108","url":null,"abstract":"The opportunities for Russia’s economic growth substantiate the relevance of the research in the current conditions. The authors analyze the scientific literature and summarize the approaches to the “locomotives” or “drivers” of growth. In line with the reviewed studies, the authors use the sectoral approach. This considers the important investments presented in different approaches. The purpose of the paper is to identify the sectors of the Russian manufacturing industry that could, with certain government support, act as locomotives of economic growth in the medium and long term. The authors considered the locomotive industries in relation to two interrelated tasks of the investment model of growth. The study uses methods and tools of economic, logical, cause-and-effect analysis, content analysis, as well as forecasting and statistical assessments. The work has identified two groups of engine industries, using forecast-statistical estimates reflecting the impact of external sanctions on the Russian economy. The practical significance of the study is to define the growth driver industries for the further design of measures for the strategic development of these industries.","PeriodicalId":254257,"journal":{"name":"The world of new economy","volume":"2 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139868195","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-109-119
L. Kupriyanova, T. V. Petrusevich
In terms of market relations, Russia actively integrated into the world space as an outcome of globalization processes, which significantly determined its foreign economic activity. Increased political tension, growing threats to Russia’s national interests and unprecedented sanctions pressure bring to the fore the need seeking for new ways and tools for the country’s economic development. Analysis of import operations in real circumstances helps to identify factors of influence and opportunities for strengthening the Russian economy. In particularly such as analysis of the structure and dynamics of imports, expenses managing of import operations, income and efficiency, formats of interaction between counterparties. The study’s aim is to consider the issues of legal regulation of import operations in the Russian Federation, considering international and national legal norms, as well as aspects that reveal the analysis’ basis and accounting of import operations in nowadays realities. Timely analysis of import operations and identifying factors influencing efficiency allows developing additional procedures. The authors consider the need focusing on cost savings, conducting simplified customs declaration procedures within the framework of international and national law and minimizing risks.
{"title":"Regulation of Import Operations under Sanctions Restrictions","authors":"L. Kupriyanova, T. V. Petrusevich","doi":"10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-109-119","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-109-119","url":null,"abstract":"In terms of market relations, Russia actively integrated into the world space as an outcome of globalization processes, which significantly determined its foreign economic activity. Increased political tension, growing threats to Russia’s national interests and unprecedented sanctions pressure bring to the fore the need seeking for new ways and tools for the country’s economic development. Analysis of import operations in real circumstances helps to identify factors of influence and opportunities for strengthening the Russian economy. In particularly such as analysis of the structure and dynamics of imports, expenses managing of import operations, income and efficiency, formats of interaction between counterparties. The study’s aim is to consider the issues of legal regulation of import operations in the Russian Federation, considering international and national legal norms, as well as aspects that reveal the analysis’ basis and accounting of import operations in nowadays realities. Timely analysis of import operations and identifying factors influencing efficiency allows developing additional procedures. The authors consider the need focusing on cost savings, conducting simplified customs declaration procedures within the framework of international and national law and minimizing risks.","PeriodicalId":254257,"journal":{"name":"The world of new economy","volume":"73 5-6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139868366","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-87-97
R. Fattakhov, M. Nizamutdinov, V. Oreshnikov
The relevance of this work is determined by the important problems of improving living standards in Russia, increasing the welfare of the population, and reducing poverty. High differentiation of the country’s regions also creates additional risks associated with forming undesirable migration flows of both population and business. Studies show that while being a leader in one area, a region may lag in other areas. It is necessary to determine how interrelated the various indicators of living standards in the subjects of the Russian Federation are. The research methods are based on the analysis of indicators of living standards of the population of Russian regions. In particular, the authors analyzed current and retrospective values, compared the values of indicators in different regions of the country, correlation and cluster analysis. The study formed integral indicators of regional development in five areas that characterize the population’s living standard to carry out calculations. The analysis results showed that there is no significant linear correlation between 22 selected private indicators of living standards in the vast majority of cases. The prospects of the study lie in further identification of ways to improve the situation, considering the specifics of the ratio of various indicators of living standards.
{"title":"Differentiation of Regions According to the Standard of Living of the Population","authors":"R. Fattakhov, M. Nizamutdinov, V. Oreshnikov","doi":"10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-87-97","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-87-97","url":null,"abstract":"The relevance of this work is determined by the important problems of improving living standards in Russia, increasing the welfare of the population, and reducing poverty. High differentiation of the country’s regions also creates additional risks associated with forming undesirable migration flows of both population and business. Studies show that while being a leader in one area, a region may lag in other areas. It is necessary to determine how interrelated the various indicators of living standards in the subjects of the Russian Federation are. The research methods are based on the analysis of indicators of living standards of the population of Russian regions. In particular, the authors analyzed current and retrospective values, compared the values of indicators in different regions of the country, correlation and cluster analysis. The study formed integral indicators of regional development in five areas that characterize the population’s living standard to carry out calculations. The analysis results showed that there is no significant linear correlation between 22 selected private indicators of living standards in the vast majority of cases. The prospects of the study lie in further identification of ways to improve the situation, considering the specifics of the ratio of various indicators of living standards.","PeriodicalId":254257,"journal":{"name":"The world of new economy","volume":"25 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139867589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-87-97
R. Fattakhov, M. Nizamutdinov, V. Oreshnikov
The relevance of this work is determined by the important problems of improving living standards in Russia, increasing the welfare of the population, and reducing poverty. High differentiation of the country’s regions also creates additional risks associated with forming undesirable migration flows of both population and business. Studies show that while being a leader in one area, a region may lag in other areas. It is necessary to determine how interrelated the various indicators of living standards in the subjects of the Russian Federation are. The research methods are based on the analysis of indicators of living standards of the population of Russian regions. In particular, the authors analyzed current and retrospective values, compared the values of indicators in different regions of the country, correlation and cluster analysis. The study formed integral indicators of regional development in five areas that characterize the population’s living standard to carry out calculations. The analysis results showed that there is no significant linear correlation between 22 selected private indicators of living standards in the vast majority of cases. The prospects of the study lie in further identification of ways to improve the situation, considering the specifics of the ratio of various indicators of living standards.
{"title":"Differentiation of Regions According to the Standard of Living of the Population","authors":"R. Fattakhov, M. Nizamutdinov, V. Oreshnikov","doi":"10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-87-97","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-87-97","url":null,"abstract":"The relevance of this work is determined by the important problems of improving living standards in Russia, increasing the welfare of the population, and reducing poverty. High differentiation of the country’s regions also creates additional risks associated with forming undesirable migration flows of both population and business. Studies show that while being a leader in one area, a region may lag in other areas. It is necessary to determine how interrelated the various indicators of living standards in the subjects of the Russian Federation are. The research methods are based on the analysis of indicators of living standards of the population of Russian regions. In particular, the authors analyzed current and retrospective values, compared the values of indicators in different regions of the country, correlation and cluster analysis. The study formed integral indicators of regional development in five areas that characterize the population’s living standard to carry out calculations. The analysis results showed that there is no significant linear correlation between 22 selected private indicators of living standards in the vast majority of cases. The prospects of the study lie in further identification of ways to improve the situation, considering the specifics of the ratio of various indicators of living standards.","PeriodicalId":254257,"journal":{"name":"The world of new economy","volume":"569 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139807676","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-120-130
N. Sorokina
The specifics of Russian economic cycles, in particular, is that their course differs markedly in different regions, resulting in increased asymmetry in regional development. The paper studied of the influence of historical and sectoral factors, which determine the economic specialisation of the region, and the features of the sectoral structure of the regional economic in growth of the old industrial regions of Russia. Thus, the author concluded the nature of their dynamics mainly determines the sectoral factor and revealed a significant number of promising economic specialisations is a characteristic of the old industrial territories in virtue of the historical features of the industry growth in the Soviet period and the external position of economic activity. The outcome is that it is necessary to conduct a selective regional policy aimed at overcoming the limitations of the resource, organizational, and institutional nature of the development of old industrial regions.
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Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-65-78
I. A. Sokolov, E. O. Matveev
Relevance. The Guidelines for Budget, Tax and Customs Tariff Policy for 2024 and for the planning period 2025–2026 show that there will be a significant increase in expenditures for all funds of the Russian budget system. The expenses’ structure is changing significantly: it is expected to shift towards power expenses against the backdrop of a slight reduction in investments in human capital, social policy and the national economy growth. To ensure the budgetary balance required by law, the state predicted an increase in the tax burden in the next three years. This paper attempts to assess the impact of these changes on GDP dynamics. The authors calculated multipliers, including in key functional sections of the budget classification, to assess changes in fiscal policy, tax, and budget expenditure. Methods. We based these calculations on the impulse responses of the structural VAR model of the Russian economy. Also, the authors assessed the model on data for 2004–2021 to reckon the average-sized model (10 indicators) involved having used the Bayesian estimation method. Results. The calculated financial multipliers confirm a significant effect of fiscal policy on GDP; expenditures on social policy and the national economy showed the greatest stimulating effect.
相关性。2024 年和 2025-2026 年规划期预算、税收和关税政策指南》显示，俄罗斯预算系统所有基金的支出将大幅增加。支出结构正在发生重大变化：在人力资本投资、社会政策和国民经济增长略有减少的背景下，预计将转向电力支出。为确保法律规定的预算平衡，国家预计在未来三年增加税收负担。本文试图评估这些变化对国内生产总值动态的影响。作者计算了乘数，包括预算分类的关键功能部分，以评估财政政策、税收和预算支出的变化。计算方法我们根据俄罗斯经济结构 VAR 模型的脉冲响应进行计算。此外，作者还使用贝叶斯估算法对 2004-2021 年的数据进行了评估，以计算所涉及的平均规模模型（10 个指标）。结果。计算得出的金融乘数证实了财政政策对国内生产总值的显著影响；社会政策和国民经济支出显示出最大的刺激作用。
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Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-65-78
I. A. Sokolov, E. O. Matveev
Relevance. The Guidelines for Budget, Tax and Customs Tariff Policy for 2024 and for the planning period 2025–2026 show that there will be a significant increase in expenditures for all funds of the Russian budget system. The expenses’ structure is changing significantly: it is expected to shift towards power expenses against the backdrop of a slight reduction in investments in human capital, social policy and the national economy growth. To ensure the budgetary balance required by law, the state predicted an increase in the tax burden in the next three years. This paper attempts to assess the impact of these changes on GDP dynamics. The authors calculated multipliers, including in key functional sections of the budget classification, to assess changes in fiscal policy, tax, and budget expenditure. Methods. We based these calculations on the impulse responses of the structural VAR model of the Russian economy. Also, the authors assessed the model on data for 2004–2021 to reckon the average-sized model (10 indicators) involved having used the Bayesian estimation method. Results. The calculated financial multipliers confirm a significant effect of fiscal policy on GDP; expenditures on social policy and the national economy showed the greatest stimulating effect.
相关性。2024 年和 2025-2026 年规划期预算、税收和关税政策指南》显示，俄罗斯预算系统所有基金的支出将大幅增加。支出结构正在发生重大变化：在人力资本投资、社会政策和国民经济增长略有减少的背景下，预计将转向电力支出。为确保法律规定的预算平衡，国家预计在未来三年增加税收负担。本文试图评估这些变化对国内生产总值动态的影响。作者计算了乘数，包括预算分类的关键功能部分，以评估财政政策、税收和预算支出的变化。计算方法我们根据俄罗斯经济结构 VAR 模型的脉冲响应进行计算。此外，作者还使用贝叶斯估算法对 2004-2021 年的数据进行了评估，以计算所涉及的平均规模模型（10 个指标）。结果。计算得出的金融乘数证实了财政政策对国内生产总值的显著影响；社会政策和国民经济支出显示出最大的刺激作用。
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Pub Date : 2024-02-03DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-4-53-64
A. B. Nikolaeva, T. A. Sakhnovich, K. V. Chugunov, S. V. Yudina
The international authors’ crew has recorded the weaknesses and strengths of the innovative development of the economies of the Russian Federation (RF) and the Republic of Belarus (RB), the points of their real intersection and the existing reserves of cooperation, that are relevant for the current situation having used analytical tools. The results of analysis in these materials helped define similar features of the two economies as a high scientific and educational potential. The study aimed to identify areas where the advantages of one economy under study are clear. The authors found that the RF economy excels in investments and the market environment, while RB excels in infocommunication technologies and the optimality of the branches’ economics. The research will continue to develop and clarifying ways for further cooperation between the two countries. The experience exchange and higher engineering education, high-tech sector and R&D will enable RF to use the positive experience of Belarusian partners today.
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