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Russian financial market development strategic initiatives under sanctions and in the aftertime 制裁下和制裁后俄罗斯金融市场发展的战略举措
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-99-112
K. Astapov
New challenges and restrictions, imposed by a number of countries, affected the Russian financial system and real sector of economy, so implementation of responsive strategic decisions to support financial and real sectors of the economy is necessary. The study’s goal is to develop proposals for financial market strategy in new conditions, to support investment opportunities for Russian investors and investors from friendly and neutral countries, to control capital flow in the medium term. The research result is the justification of the new model of the Russian financial system, which is based not only on liberal economic paradigm but also on realities of economic pressure on our country. In the current crisis, it is advisable to have two models of the financial market: the first is based on recognized international principles, which applied to large public Russian companies; the second is focused on companies under sanctions and regional business. Strengthening regulation of cross-border capital movement, including introduction of strict restrictions on capital withdrawal, as well as limits on operations on foreign exchange market, are seen not only as temporary anti-crisis instruments of state regulation, but as the basis for strategy construction for the financial market development. Support of the state development institutions, commercial banks and large corporations of the limited interaction model with developed countries will reduce systemic risks not just in critical periods, but also in the future. Therefore, this can attract resources to real investment projects and stimulate the growth of the capitalization of Russian companies.
一些国家施加的新挑战和限制影响了俄罗斯的金融体系和实体经济部门,因此有必要实施响应性战略决策,以支持金融和实体经济部门。该研究的目标是为新形势下的金融市场战略提出建议,为俄罗斯投资者以及来自友好和中立国家的投资者提供投资机会,并在中期控制资本流动。研究结果是对俄罗斯金融体系新模式的论证,这种新模式既建立在自由主义经济范式的基础上,也建立在我国面临经济压力的现实基础上。在当前的危机中,有两种金融市场模式是可取的:第一种是基于公认的国际原则,适用于俄罗斯大型上市公司;二是针对受到制裁的公司和地区业务。加强对跨境资本流动的监管,包括严格的资本撤出限制,以及对外汇市场操作的限制,不仅是国家监管的临时抗危机工具,而且是金融市场发展战略构建的基础。国家发展机构、商业银行和与发达国家有限互动模式的大公司的支持将不仅在关键时期,而且在未来降低系统性风险。因此,这可以为真正的投资项目吸引资源,并刺激俄罗斯公司资本的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Anti-russian sanctions impact: aftermath of a reduction in foreign trade and production growth in the Russian Federation 反俄制裁的影响:俄罗斯联邦对外贸易减少和生产增长的后果
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-34-44
S. V. Kazantsev
There are technological, economic, transport links in the production, storage and delivery of goods in the contemporary economy. Therefore, the appearance of a new or an increase in the volume of production of an existing product requires changes in the production of other products, linked with this one through the technological chains. Statistical data and models of input-output balance allow us to trace such chains of connections and calculate the volumes production of different goods. This paper contains the results of a study of intersectoral chains of influence of bans and restrictions imposed on Russian exports. The study shows the reduction in the export of some goods has a negative effect on the output of a number of other goods. The decrease in imports has a similar effect. The author also shows calculations’ results of the growth impact on the output of different goods and services on changes in the scale of other types of goods production and services in the Russian economy.
在当代经济中,商品的生产、储存和交付都有技术、经济和运输环节。因此,一种新产品的出现或现有产品产量的增加,需要其他产品的生产发生变化,并通过技术链与此产品联系起来。投入产出平衡的统计数据和模型使我们能够追踪这种联系链,并计算不同商品的产量。本文载有对俄罗斯出口禁令和限制的跨部门影响链的研究结果。这项研究表明,一些商品出口的减少对许多其他商品的产量产生了负面影响。进口的减少也有类似的效果。作者还展示了不同商品和服务产出的增长对俄罗斯经济中其他类型商品生产和服务规模变化的影响的计算结果。
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引用次数: 1
The concept, features and prospects for the metaverse construct development 元构的概念、特点及发展前景
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-6-19
A. Yukhno
The paper discusses formation features of the metaverse concept in terms of the active introduction of information and communication technologies (ICT) into the state governance and business. The work’ goal is to study the concept content, its structure and development prospects. The author used such general scientific research methods as content analysis, comparative and correlation analysis, grouping, synthesis, systematization. In order to reveal the concept content, the paper reflects various approaches to the definition of the term “metaverse”. The author proposes his understanding and analyzes the issues of transition to the Web3 era and its relationship with the metaverse in the digital transformation of society and economy. The research presents a vision of the major elements of the metaverse at the current time. Despite the emerging risks, it assumes the active use of ICT and trends towards decentralization of the economy will contribute to the further implementation of the metaverse concept in our daily life. A practical significance of the research lies in the possibility of using its provisions in the compilation of strategies for the development of corporations and state institutions. As an inference, the study gives some recommendations to corporations on taking part in the creation and it makes development of virtual worlds and a conclusion about the prospects for the concept progress in the medium term.
本文从信息通信技术(ICT)积极引入国家治理和商业的角度探讨了元宇宙概念的形成特征。本文的工作目标是研究其概念、内容、结构和发展前景。本文采用了内容分析、比较与相关分析、分组、综合、系统化等一般的科学研究方法。为了揭示“元宇宙”这一概念的内涵,本文对“元宇宙”一词的定义进行了不同的解读。作者提出了自己的理解,并分析了在社会经济数字化转型中向Web3时代过渡的问题及其与虚拟世界的关系。该研究呈现了当前元宇宙主要元素的远景。尽管存在新出现的风险,但它假设积极使用信息通信技术和经济分散化的趋势将有助于在我们的日常生活中进一步实施元宇宙概念。本研究的一个现实意义在于,它的规定有可能用于企业和国家机构发展战略的编制。作为推论,本研究对企业参与虚拟世界的创造和虚拟世界的发展提出了一些建议,并对虚拟世界概念的中期发展前景进行了展望。
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引用次数: 0
Synergy of state support and novel approaches to implementing the diversification strategy by defense industry companies 国家支持的协同作用与国防工业企业实施多元化战略的新途径
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-67-78
M. Musatova
The study’s aim is to identify the features of interaction between state structures and companies of the military-industrial complex (DIC) in the course of diversification. Many scientific papers devoted to various aspects of this process show the need for its comprehensive study. Russian publications comment on certain aspects of these interactions. However, the approaches and initiatives of the dominant corporations of the military-industrial complex to carry out diversification, being supported by the state, have not yet fallen on the radar of analysis. The author focuses on solving the problem of removing institutional barriers that hinder the scale and direction of diversification. Also, the study updates new solutions for an active policy of stimulating and expanding the production of civilian products. The author identifies the specifics and advantages of unconventional methods in defense companies. The methodological basis of the work is an institutional approach using a structural and logical analysis. The author highlighted the research methods for using of systematization, grouping, comparative analysis. The paper reflects the results of monitoring relevant approaches to implementing the diversification strategy in state defense corporations. The research showed that it has to increase the share of civilian production for the successful implementation of plans as well as to change the fiscal model for the development of the defense industry to an investment-motivational one. The findings and results obtained indicated scientific novelty and may interest in leading defense companies in order to adjust their strategies, as well as to state agencies in the formation of state policy in defense industry diversification.
该研究的目的是确定国家结构与军工复合体(DIC)公司在多元化过程中相互作用的特征。许多科学论文致力于这一过程的各个方面,表明需要对其进行全面研究。俄罗斯出版物评论了这些相互作用的某些方面。然而,在国家的支持下,军工联合体中占主导地位的公司开展多样化的方法和倡议尚未进入分析的范围。本文主要研究如何消除阻碍多元化规模和方向的制度障碍。此外,该研究为刺激和扩大民用产品生产的积极政策提供了新的解决办法。作者指出了非常规方法在国防企业中的具体特点和优势。这项工作的方法论基础是使用结构和逻辑分析的制度方法。研究方法主要采用系统化、分组化、比较分析法。本文反映了对国防企业实施多元化战略的相关途径进行监测的结果。研究表明,要成功实施计划,必须增加民用生产的份额,并将国防工业发展的财政模式转变为投资激励模式。所获得的发现和结果表明了科学的新颖性,并可能对领先的国防公司感兴趣,以调整其战略,以及国家机构在国防工业多元化政策的形成中。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of russian and foreign experience of unmanned aerial systems state regulation 俄、外无人机系统国家监管经验比较分析
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-79-87
A. Sazanova
Nowadays, there have been various fields of human life and economic activity used unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and unmanned aerial systems (UAS) based on them. The capabilities of modern UAVs allow them to become participants in air traffic, which implies regulation of their creation and use by the state. However, regarding rapidly developing technologies, state regulators do not always keep pace with transforming realities in their decisions, both in the Russian Federation and in other countries of the world. The paper considers state regulation issues of the UAS development, their certification, registration, operation, as well as ensuring the safety of use in Russia and abroad in order to assess the possibilities for further development of legislation to achieve a compromise between the needs of the state, private business and citizens in this field.
如今,人类生活和经济活动的各个领域都使用了无人机(uav)和基于它们的无人机系统(UAS)。现代无人机的能力使它们成为空中交通的参与者,这意味着国家对它们的创造和使用进行监管。然而,对于快速发展的技术,无论是在俄罗斯联邦还是在世界其他国家,国家监管机构的决策并不总是与不断变化的现实保持同步。本文考虑了国家对无人机开发、认证、注册、操作以及确保在俄罗斯和国外使用安全的监管问题,以评估进一步发展立法的可能性,以实现国家、私营企业和公民在这一领域的需求之间的妥协。
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引用次数: 0
Progress of state financial support methods of russian exports in modern conditions 现代条件下俄罗斯出口国家财政支持方式的进展
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-54-66
D. M. Sakharov
The paper studies methods of support for Russian exports in modern conditions. The purpose of the research is to review the current system of financial support for Russian exports and determine ways for its further development. The study concluded that it is necessary to develop instruments of financial support for exports by introducing standardized financial products. The author highlights the importance of providing financial services to counterparties of Russian exporters from friendly countries as well as using the opportunities of the Russian financial market to support exports, including syndicated lending and the ruble bond market. This allows relating prospects for further research to the development of additional mechanisms for increasing Russian exports to friendly countries, as well as identifying ways to increase the export of services, including financial, information and telecommunications.
本文研究了现代条件下支持俄罗斯出口的方法。这项研究的目的是审查目前对俄罗斯出口的财政支持制度,并确定其进一步发展的途径。该研究的结论是,有必要通过引入标准化的金融产品来开发出口金融支持工具。作者强调了向来自友好国家的俄罗斯出口商的交易对手提供金融服务的重要性,以及利用俄罗斯金融市场的机会支持出口,包括银团贷款和卢布债券市场。这样就可以把进一步研究的前景与发展增加俄罗斯对友好国家出口的其他机制联系起来,并确定增加金融、信息和电信等服务出口的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Quotas for catch of aquatic biological resources 水生生物资源捕捞配额
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-124-139
A. N. Asanov, E. L. Li, E. Ageshina
The transformation of the system for distributing quotas for the extraction of aquatic biological resources (ABR) in quotas in Russia affects the interests of many parties. The new system of allocation of rights to catch ABR, which provides for quotas for investment, changes the established order in Russia in fisheries, which caused discussions in the industry. Innovations reduced the level of monopolization of industrial fishing, the development of shipbuilding and the ABR processing in Russia’s territory. The aim of the study is to identify the structure of interests of economic entities and the population within the framework of the current quota system of ABR catch in Russia on the example of the Far Eastern fishery basin of the country. Being studying the materials for the paper, the authors used methods of scientific analysis and comparison in the research of the regulatory framework and the distribution of total allowable catches. There is an inductive method prevails in the statistical part of the study, and the monographic method allowed to combine the results obtained in the scientific paper. According to the analysis of the detailed structure and short-term dynamics of the allocation of quotas for the catch of ABR in the Far Eastern Federal District (FEFD), the authors found that the current system of distribution of rights does not fit to global trends aimed at reducing the catch of the wild resource, the capacity and number of fishing vessels. Innovations mainly reflect the interests of large fish producers to the detriment of small ones. However, the potential effect of introducing investment quotas is positive, as it ensures intersectoral cooperation. Against the background of unstable external demand for Russian products, this mechanism stimulates reorienting the activities of fishers from foreign markets to domestic ones, from the sale of raw materials to processed products and making added value within the country, including in the FEFD.
俄罗斯配额中水生生物资源(ABR)开采配额分配制度的转变影响到多方利益。新的ABR捕捞权分配制度规定了投资配额,改变了俄罗斯渔业的既定秩序,引发了业内的讨论。创新降低了工业渔业的垄断水平,发展了造船业和俄罗斯境内的ABR加工。这项研究的目的是以俄罗斯远东渔业盆地为例,在俄罗斯现行ABR捕捞配额制度的框架内确定经济实体和人口的利益结构。在研究论文材料的过程中,作者采用科学的分析和比较的方法,对监管框架和总允许捕获量的分布进行了研究。在研究的统计部分有一种归纳方法,而专著方法允许将在科学论文中获得的结果结合起来。通过对远东联邦区(FEFD) ABR捕捞配额分配的详细结构和短期动态的分析,发现目前的权利分配制度不适应旨在减少野生资源捕捞、渔船容量和数量的全球趋势。创新主要反映了大型鱼类生产者的利益而损害了小型鱼类生产者的利益。但是,实行投资配额的潜在影响是积极的,因为它确保了部门间的合作。在对俄罗斯产品的外部需求不稳定的背景下,这一机制促使渔民的活动从国外市场转向国内市场,从销售原材料转向加工产品,并在国内,包括在远东地区创造附加值。
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引用次数: 1
Global value chains of Asia-Pacific area: State and corporate sector 亚太地区全球价值链:国家和企业部门
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-20-33
V. S. Rutkovskaya, S. Silvestrov
The paper presents an analysis of the dynamics results, structure and nature of the participation of the countries of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement on the Trans-Pacific Partnership in global value chains. The analysis result revealed trends that took shape in international production in the 20th century. It has been determined a higher involvement in the international division of labor characterizes that the developing countries of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement on the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The study shows that, despite high involvement of the developing countries of the Agreement in global value chains, they act more than suppliers of resources, as well as assembly points, while participation leads to the consolidation of their technological backwardness. Based on the analysis of the countries cost taking part in the partnership for R&D, it was determined that in developed countries, the internal functions of the state are gradually being transferred in terms of supporting and developing science in favor of the corporate sector. The authors concluded this trend contributed to the monopolization of scientific and technological achievements sphere by the corporate sector and the formation of oligopolies from a limited number of technology giant corporations.
本文分析了《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》成员国参与全球价值链的动态、结果、结构和性质。分析结果揭示了20世纪国际生产中形成的趋势。人们已经确定,参与国际分工的特点比《跨太平洋伙伴关系全面与进步协定》的发展中国家高。研究表明,尽管《协定》的发展中国家高度参与了全球价值链,但它们的行为不仅仅是资源的供应者和集结地,而参与导致了它们技术落后的巩固。通过对参与研发伙伴关系的国家成本的分析,确定了在发达国家,在支持和发展科学方面,国家的内部职能正在逐渐向有利于企业部门的方向转移。作者认为,这种趋势导致了企业部门对科技成果领域的垄断,以及少数科技巨头形成寡头垄断。
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引用次数: 0
The meaning of Russia’s transport and logistics in expanding integration processes 俄罗斯交通物流在扩大一体化进程中的意义
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-88-98
T. Goroshnikova, O. I. Donde
The paper considers the role and tasks of the transport industry in the economic complex of Russia in the economic sanctions imposed. The analysis of the predicted changes in the international transport and logistics complex allowed the staging recommendations for amendments to the basic policy documents for the industry growth. Also, the paper substantiates the need to adjust certain points in the development of logistics projects within Russia and the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU). The authors analyzed the meaning of railway transport, which is the primary carrier of the considered commodity groups (products of the metallurgical, logging, coal industry) in the new economic conditions.The research proposed the calculation of the projected increase in rail freight traffic in the Siberian Federal District and the Far Eastern Federal District. This assessment is based on the analysis of external exports of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus in the logging, metallurgical, and coal industries in 2020 and a valuation of the sanctions’ impact on foreign trade activity.
本文考虑了俄罗斯经济综合体中交通运输业在经济制裁中的作用和任务。对国际运输和物流综合体的预测变化进行了分析,从而提出了修订促进工业增长的基本政策文件的阶段性建议。此外,本文还提出了在俄罗斯和欧亚经济联盟(EEU)内部发展物流项目时需要调整的一些要点。分析了铁路运输在新经济条件下作为所考虑的商品群(冶金、伐木、煤炭工业产品)的主要载体的意义。研究提出了西伯利亚联邦区和远东联邦区铁路货运量预计增长的计算方法。这一评估是基于对2020年俄罗斯联邦和白俄罗斯共和国伐木、冶金和煤炭行业对外出口的分析,以及对制裁对外贸活动影响的评估。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the readiness of russian industrial enterprises for digital integration in the new economic conditions 评估俄罗斯工业企业在新经济条件下对数字集成的准备情况
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2022-16-4-45-53
N. Abdikeev, O. Kozhevina
Integration processes ensure the progressive growth of the national economy, especially reckoning the factors of the crisis and the imbalance of the socio-economic environment in different forms of manifestation, including those caused by sanctions restrictions. The actualization of the problem of assessing digital integration at the level of the sectoral economy is due to the lack of comprehensive analytical methods that allow to identify the prerequisites and prospects for the digital integration of Russian industrial enterprises, considering various factors of the internal and external environment. The study’s aim is to generalize related approaches and tools for analyzing the digital transformation of industrial enterprises and to develop a methodological approach to assessing the readiness of Russian industrial enterprises for digital integration. The study is based on an interdisciplinary approach, since digital integration relations cover a wide range of tasks, the solution of which involves the use of systemic, factorial, statistical, evidence-based, comparative and expert methods, as well as grouping and clustering. These methods make it possible to identify specific features of the assessment of digital integration in the industry. The information base for the assessment is the officially submitted data from the Russian system of statistical observation, as well as samples of approved target indicators of Russian strategic planning documents in digitalization and ensuring the sustainability of industrial enterprises. Based on the generalization of foreign and domestic experience, the authors have identified the parameters that were a subject to evaluation in terms of digital integration of industry complexes, groups of enterprises and legal entities. Systematization of scientific approaches to the research of digital aspects of industrial facilities proposed by domestic and foreign scientists. This allowed the authors to determine the basic conditions and factors that were the main ones for assessing the readiness of Russian industrial enterprises to the digital integration. In addition, the authors proposed evaluation indicators with the possibility of visualizing the results obtained for making further management decisions. The assessment results can be incorporated into making strategic decisions aimed at involving IT business entities, development institutions and industrial enterprises in digital integration. Considering the results obtained from the position of the authors, it makes sense to strengthen the functional and regulatory impact on large regional manufacturing enterprises with a high potential for digital integration.
一体化进程确保国民经济的逐步增长,特别是考虑到危机的因素和不同表现形式的社会经济环境的不平衡,包括制裁限制造成的不平衡。在部门经济层面评估数字一体化问题的实现是由于缺乏综合分析方法,无法在考虑内部和外部环境的各种因素的情况下确定俄罗斯工业企业数字一体化的先决条件和前景。该研究的目的是概括分析工业企业数字化转型的相关方法和工具,并制定一种方法学方法来评估俄罗斯工业企业数字化整合的准备情况。该研究基于跨学科方法,因为数字集成关系涵盖了广泛的任务,其解决方案涉及使用系统,析因,统计,循证,比较和专家方法,以及分组和聚类。这些方法可以确定行业中数字集成评估的具体特征。评估的信息库是俄罗斯统计观察系统正式提交的数据,以及俄罗斯数字化和确保工业企业可持续性战略规划文件批准的目标指标样本。在总结国内外经验的基础上,作者确定了在产业综合体、企业集团和法人实体的数字集成方面需要评估的参数。将国内外科学家提出的工业设施数字化方面研究的科学方法系统化。这使得作者能够确定基本条件和因素,这些条件和因素是评估俄罗斯工业企业对数字集成的准备程度的主要因素。此外,作者还提出了评价指标,并可以将所得结果可视化,为进一步的管理决策提供依据。评估结果可用于制定战略决策,旨在使IT业务实体、开发机构和工业企业参与数字集成。从作者的立场得出的结果来看,加强对具有高数字集成潜力的大型区域制造企业的功能和监管影响是有意义的。
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引用次数: 0
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The world of new economy
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