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Opportunities and Limitations of the “People’s Capitalism Model” 人民资本主义模式 "的机遇与局限
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-3-40-54
E. Balatsky, N. Ekimova
The article considers the opportunities and limitations of the so-called “People’s capitalism model” (PCM). For this purpose, the authors systematize the historical practice of implementation of PCM in different countries and available empirical assessments of the effectiveness of such initiatives. In addition, the authors undertake a theoretical analysis of PCM features, for which the interests of the company and its employees are modeled. The analysis of the model allowed us to determine the conditions of effectiveness of the people’s capitalism model, based on Базовыйwhich we formulate proposals for the introduction of a new initiative for Russian strategic enterprises in order to ensure Russia’s technological sovereignty.
文章探讨了所谓 "人民资本主义模式"(PCM)的机遇和局限性。为此,作者系统梳理了不同国家实施 PCM 的历史实践,以及对此类举措有效性的现有经验评估。此外,作者还对 PCM 的特点进行了理论分析,并对公司及其员工的利益进行了建模。通过对该模式的分析,我们确定了人民资本主义模式的有效性条件,并根据Базовый提出了为俄罗斯战略企业引入新举措的建议,以确保俄罗斯的技术主权。
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引用次数: 0
The Strategy of Indirect Approach in the U.S. Foreign Policy 美国外交政策中的间接策略
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-3-18-31
N. V. Lukyanovich, S. Silvestrov
The essence of the strategy of indirect approach (SIA), the definition and notion of which was introduced into the scientific discourse in the mid‑20th century by the English historian B.G. Liddell Hart, is that the main consideration in it was given not to the military force factors, as it had been previously in history, but to alternative options for subduing a hostile state. Nowadays, according to many American scientists and experts, SIA should be used primarily in the preparation of war, and therefore it has switched from the purely military sphere to other areas of state activity — economy, culture, ideology, etc. Nowadays, one of the types of the SIA of the United States is the so-called proxy war, in which military actions of the allied state are the final stage of gradual inclusion of another country into the zone of American influence through alternative methods.
英国历史学家 B.G. 利德尔-哈特(B.G. Liddell Hart)在 20 世纪中期将 "间接方法战略"(SIA)的定义和概念引入科学话语,其精髓在于,该战略的主要考虑因素不是军事力量因素(这在历史上曾出现过),而是征服敌对国家的其他选择。如今,许多美国科学家和专家认为,战略影响评估应主要用于战争准备,因此它已从纯粹的军事领域转向国家活动的其他领域--经济、文化、意识形态等。如今,美国的战略情报影响类型之一是所谓的代理战争,在这种战争中,盟国的军事行动是通过其他方法将另一个国家逐步纳入美国影响范围的最后阶段。
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引用次数: 0
Current Trends in Russian Trade in Goods with the EU and China 俄罗斯与欧盟和中国货物贸易的当前趋势
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-18-26
A. Sidorov
The article examines the current trends in Russia’s foreign trade with the EU and China in the context of sanctions restrictions imposed by “unfriendly” countries.Aim. The study aims to explore current trends in Russia’s foreign trade in goods with the EU and China in 2022.Objectives. The author conducts an analysis of the dynamics of Russia’s trade with the EU and China; identifies the main commodity groups that have contributed to the changes in trade with the EU and China; explores the impact of sanctions restrictions on Russia’s trade with the EU; assesses the possibilities of reorienting Russia’s foreign trade towards China.Methods. The main methods are the analysis of current statistics of foreign trade in goods between the EU and China; a comparative analysis of the dynamics of trade in commodity groups and individual goods with the EU and China; method of mirror statistics (due to the suspension of the publication of official data by the Federal Customs Service (FCS) of Russia).Results. The analysis shows a decrease in trade turnover between Russia and the EU and its growth with China. With the EU the decline in exports was mainly due to metal industry products, chemical products, precious stones and metals, and timber; in imports —  at the expense of machinery and equipment. Trade with China in the main commodity groups has expanded, most significantly in terms of exports —  in chemical products, in terms of imports —  in machinery and equipment.Conclusions. The role of Russian exports of mineral fuels and energy as the basis for trade with the EU and China in 2022 has strengthened in the face of sanctions restrictions and rising prices. Russia’s trade with the EU reduced mainly due to the sanctioned goods. The reorientation of Russia’s foreign trade towards China is partially possible, with the restraining factors: in terms of imports —  China’s lack of strong positions in certain high-tech goods; in terms of exports —  objective limitations on China’s domestic market capacity, a slowdown in economic growth, a decrease in the energy intensity of the economy, competition with Russia.
本文考察了在“不友好”国家实施制裁限制的背景下,俄罗斯与欧盟和中国的对外贸易的当前趋势。该研究旨在探讨2022年俄罗斯与欧盟和中国对外货物贸易的当前趋势。作者对俄罗斯与欧盟和中国的贸易动态进行了分析;确定导致与欧盟和中国贸易变化的主要商品类别;探讨制裁限制对俄罗斯与欧盟贸易的影响;评估俄罗斯对外贸易转向中国的可能性。研究的主要方法是对欧盟与中国货物贸易的统计数据进行分析;与欧盟和中国的大宗商品组和个别商品贸易动态比较分析;镜像统计方法(由于俄罗斯联邦海关总署暂停公布官方数据)。分析显示,俄罗斯与欧盟之间的贸易额有所下降,而俄罗斯与中国之间的贸易额有所增长。对欧盟的出口下降主要是由于金属工业产品、化学产品、宝石和金属以及木材;在进口方面——以牺牲机器和设备为代价。在主要商品类别中,对华贸易有所扩大,最显著的是在出口方面——化学产品,在进口方面——机械和设备。面对制裁限制和价格上涨,俄罗斯矿物燃料和能源出口作为2022年与欧盟和中国贸易基础的作用得到加强。俄罗斯与欧盟的贸易减少主要是由于制裁商品。俄罗斯对外贸易转向中国是部分可能的,但存在以下制约因素:在进口方面——中国在某些高科技产品方面缺乏强势地位;在出口方面——中国国内市场容量的客观限制、经济增长放缓、经济能源强度下降、与俄罗斯的竞争。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon Pricing as a Tool for Cross-Border Carbon Regulation and “Green” Transformation of the Global Economy 碳定价:跨境碳监管与全球经济“绿色”转型的工具
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-27-36
M. V. Lysunets
The relevance of the study stems from the need to establish a mechanism for cross-border carbon regulation in the global economy.The subject of the study is different systems of carbon pricing in international practice in order to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.The purpose of the work is to analyse the current state of decarbonisation of the economy and energy transition as well as the challenges, taking into account current trends in the world economy; to identify the existing problems in the further development of transboundary carbon regulation. Using data from official Russian and foreign sources one can examine specific features and shortcomings of the major existing systems of carbon regulation in international practice, one can also analyse carbon charges in major countries and regions of the world from the perspective of sufficiency for meeting carbon neutrality targets by 2050.The study is based on a comprehensive approach to the consideration of possible options for the development of international carbon regulation and pricing. In the course of the research, the authors identify the existing problems in the decarbonisation of the world economy; study the objectives and possible consequences of the introduction of a carbon tax in the European region in 2026; and study the scenarios for the further development of the Russian economy as part of the global energy transition as set out in the Strategy for Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation. The main directions for the development of Russia’s regional system of international carbon units trade were also outlined and the prospects for this system integration into the international emissions trading system were assessed.
这项研究的相关性源于在全球经济中建立跨境碳监管机制的必要性。研究的主题是国际实践中不同的碳定价制度,以减少温室气体的排放。这项工作的目的是分析当前经济和能源转型的脱碳状况以及挑战,同时考虑到当前世界经济的趋势;找出跨境碳监管进一步发展中存在的问题。利用俄罗斯官方和国外来源的数据,人们可以研究国际实践中主要现有碳监管体系的具体特点和缺点,也可以从满足2050年碳中和目标的充足性的角度分析世界主要国家和地区的碳收费。这项研究是基于对发展国际碳管制和定价的可能选择进行综合考虑的方法。在研究过程中,作者指出了世界经济脱碳中存在的问题;研究2026年在欧洲地区征收碳税的目标和可能产生的后果;研究俄罗斯经济在《俄罗斯联邦社会经济发展战略》所规定的全球能源转型中进一步发展的情景。概述了俄罗斯国际碳单位交易区域体系发展的主要方向,并对该体系融入国际排放交易体系的前景进行了评估。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Value Chain as a Tool for the Development of eSG-Models of Petrochemical Industries 以可持续价值链为工具的石油化工企业社会责任管理模式发展
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-62-69
M. Vechkasova, A. A. Zubarev, S. Y. Shevchenko
The article presents the results of a study aimed at substantiating the need to develop the principles of sustainable development in the oil and gas sector of the economy, which, in turn, determines the change of the raw commodity material model of economic development and the transition to the ESG principles of all enterprises within the industry to ensure the targets of the concept of sustainable development. The search for new ways to manage the added value of the oil and gas sector of the economy is determined by the shift of interests towards renewable energy sources, which limits the use of conventional hydrocarbons and, as a result, leads to a reduction in demand for them. Within the framework of a certain problem, the authors consider the value chain of the oil and gas sector of the economy, taking into account the implemented ESG principles, which allows taking into account the interests of all participants: government-business-science-education. The authors define the current state of industrial development at the point of bifurcation, which necessitates the transformation of existing business models by improving the concept of added value through product life cycle assessment. The authors also identified the principle of emergence of ESG-transition of industrial enterprises, contributing to the widespread introduction and implementation of the principles of sustainable development in the oil and gas sector. In addition, the article discusses circular business models involving the practice of increasing the added value of petrochemical industries by transforming the value chain. Taking into account the regularity of added value from the production cycles of Stan Shi’s product, the authors constructed a «Smiling curve» of changes in added value for the oil and gas sector of the economy, which once again proves that high added value in the oil and gas sector of the economy is created in the petrochemical industries. Taking into account these circumstances, the authors proposed a sustainable life cycle of products of petrochemical industries (using the example of polypropylene).
本文介绍了一项研究的结果,旨在证实在经济的石油和天然气部门制定可持续发展原则的必要性,这反过来又决定了经济发展的原材料模式的变化和行业内所有企业向ESG原则的过渡,以确保可持续发展概念的目标。寻找新的方法来管理经济中石油和天然气部门的附加价值,是由对可再生能源的兴趣转向决定的,这限制了传统碳氢化合物的使用,从而导致对它们的需求减少。在某个问题的框架内,作者考虑了经济中石油和天然气部门的价值链,考虑到实施的ESG原则,这允许考虑所有参与者的利益:政府-企业-科学-教育。作者在分叉点上定义了产业发展的现状,这需要通过产品生命周期评估来改进附加值的概念,从而改变现有的商业模式。作者还确定了工业企业esg转型的出现原则,为油气行业可持续发展原则的广泛引入和实施做出了贡献。此外,本文还讨论了通过价值链转型提高石化行业附加值的循环商业模式。考虑到斯坦石产品生产周期中附加价值的规律性,作者构建了经济中油气行业附加价值变化的“微笑曲线”,再次证明了经济中油气行业的高附加价值是由石化行业创造的。考虑到这些情况,作者提出了石化工业产品的可持续生命周期(以聚丙烯为例)。
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引用次数: 0
Methodological Tools for the Implementation of Oil and Gas Projects on the arctic and Continental Shelf 在北极和大陆架实施石油和天然气项目的方法工具
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-94-102
S. Trofimov
The presented article considers the methodological tools for the practical implementation of offshore hydrocarbon projects from the perspective of the system-functional approach. The research analyzes the provisions of the concept of integrated field development in the context of the policy of import substitution in the Russian oil and gas industry. A number of directions of methodological tools application have been identified and distinguished: environmental, technological, transport, infrastructure (including construction and improvement of new supply routes). The article shows how the sustainable development of all segments of the oil and gas complex, the institutional platform on which they are based, and the introduction of the latest technologies —  all contribute to the integrated development of offshore hydrocarbon reserves.
本文从系统功能方法的角度考虑了海上油气项目实际实施的方法工具。本研究分析了在俄罗斯油气行业进口替代政策背景下油气田综合开发理念的规定。已经确定和区分了一些方法工具的应用方向:环境、技术、运输、基础设施(包括建造和改进新的供应路线)。文章展示了油气综合体的所有部分的可持续发展,它们所基于的制度平台,以及最新技术的引入-所有这些都有助于海上油气储量的综合开发。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring of Inflation in the New Geopolitical Reality 在新的地缘政治现实中监测通货膨胀
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-48-61
T. Burtseva, A. Frenkel, B. I. Tikhomirov, A. Surkov
The article is devoted to the assessment of the inflation rate based on the aggregated inflation index, which characterizes the dynamics of business processes in the main sectors and spheres of the national economy in the conditions of a new geopolitical reality due to the coronavirus pandemic and sanctions wars in connection with Russia’s special military operation in the Donbas and Ukraine (SMO). The object of the study is the monitoring of inflation, acting as an up-todate leading socio-economic barometer formed through the integration of private inflation indicators. During periods of macroeconomic instability, private inflation indices ambiguously reflect the real situation about the ongoing production and inflationary processes in the national economy. As a result, the decisions made are based mainly on unilateral expert analysis, which reduces the effectiveness of the decisions made. The article proposes an approach based on the selection and integration of private inflation indicators and the construction of an aggregated index using statistical methods. This makes it possible to more accurately and quickly calculate the impact of prices and tariffs on the development of key economic complexes, which determines the change in income levels and, accordingly, the quality of life of the population. The proposed methodology opens up significant prospects for monitoring inflation in comparison with the consumer price index used in Russian practice. The result of the work were the conclusions of the authors obtained by analyzing the calculations of the dynamic series of aggregated and partial inflation indices. It is determined that it is advisable to use the aggregated inflation index when indexing pensions, justifying the subsistence minimum and other macro indicators characterizing the level of economic growth and social progress. The aggregated inflation index is proposed to be considered as a target macro indicator of strategic development.
本文致力于根据综合通货膨胀指数评估通货膨胀率,该指数反映了由于冠状病毒大流行和与俄罗斯在顿巴斯和乌克兰的特别军事行动(SMO)有关的制裁战争造成的新的地缘政治现实条件下,国民经济主要部门和领域的业务流程动态。这项研究的目的是监测通货膨胀,作为通过综合私人通货膨胀指标形成的最新的主要社会经济晴雨表。在宏观经济不稳定期间,私人通货膨胀指数模糊地反映了国民经济中正在进行的生产和通货膨胀过程的真实情况。因此,所做的决策主要是基于单方面的专家分析,这降低了决策的有效性。本文提出了一种基于民间通货膨胀指标的选择与整合以及运用统计方法构建综合指数的方法。这样就可以更准确和迅速地计算价格和关税对主要经济综合体发展的影响,这决定了收入水平的变化,从而也决定了人口的生活质量。与俄罗斯实践中使用的消费者价格指数相比,拟议的方法为监测通货膨胀开辟了广阔的前景。本文的研究结果是作者通过对通货膨胀总指数和部分通货膨胀指数动态序列的计算分析得出的结论。在确定养老金指数、最低生活保障和其他表征经济增长和社会进步水平的宏观指标时,建议使用综合通货膨胀指数。建议将综合通货膨胀指数作为战略发展的目标宏观指标。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Models of Innovation Activity Based on Digital Platforms 基于数字平台的创新活动经济模型
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-6-17
E. Popov, V. Simonova, A. Tikhonova
The relevance of the topic of economic models of innovative activity based on digital platforms is due, firstly, to the importance of the transition of the modern economy to an innovative development path; secondly, the importance of analyzing international experience in the development of innovative systems in order to possibly use the approaches that have developed in the world to form a national model of innovative development.The purpose of this study is to determine the possibility of using the experience of implementing innovative activity models in individual countries of the world in shaping the directions for the development of the economy of the Russian Federation in order to improve the indicators of its socio-economic development.The object of the study is the development of innovative activities of economic entities in the context of digitalization; the subject of research is digital platforms. The authors analyzed the ranking of the most innovative countries in the world; the types of models of innovative activity of developed countries are identified (leadership in science, dissemination of innovations, stimulation of innovations); the authors also traced the relationship, for which model of innovation, what types of platforms are most characteristic. The article substantiates the fact that a significant number of effects from innovation activity is achieved through the use of certain technologies and the modernization (restructuring) of individual business processes in the implementation of inter-company interactions based on digital platforms. Based on the characteristics and features of each considered type, the authors propose the most appropriate types of digital platforms for use in the implementation of one or another model of innovative activity.The practical significance of the proposals lies in the fact that, depending on the chosen development strategy, the use of one or another type of digital platform will be effective for a particular economic entity.
基于数字平台的创新活动的经济模型这一主题的相关性在于:首先,现代经济向创新发展道路过渡的重要性;其次,分析创新制度发展的国际经验的重要性,以便可能地利用世界上已经发展起来的方法来形成一个国家的创新发展模式。这项研究的目的是确定是否有可能利用在世界各国实施创新活动模式的经验来确定俄罗斯联邦经济发展的方向,以便改善其社会经济发展的指标。研究的对象是数字化背景下经济主体创新活动的发展;研究的主题是数字平台。作者分析了全球最具创新力国家的排名;确定了发达国家创新活动模式的类型(科学方面的领导、创新的传播、创新的激励);作者还追溯了两者之间的关系,哪种创新模式,哪种类型的平台最具特色。这篇文章证实了这样一个事实,即创新活动的大量影响是通过使用某些技术和实现基于数字平台的公司间互动的单个业务流程的现代化(重组)来实现的。基于每种考虑类型的特征和特征,作者提出了用于实施一种或另一种创新活动模型的最合适类型的数字平台。这些建议的实际意义在于,根据所选择的发展战略,使用一种或另一种类型的数字平台将对特定的经济实体有效。
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引用次数: 0
The financial function and the Creation of firm Value 财务职能与企业价值创造
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-70-82
V. D. Smirnov
A sure sign that the society needs a firm’s product is its willingness to buy such a product in amounts and at prices that ensure the firm’s profits. In turn, the firm’s sustainable development depends on its ability to convert profits into increased company value by improving the efficiency of current processes, developing new products and implementing innovative business models. The purpose of the study is to determine the directions of the corporate financial service and the ways of its assistance to maximize the value of the firm in the current environment. Theoretical and methodological basis of research was made by scientific works of foreign scientists and experts on the formation of company value. Methods of qualitative and quantitative analysis of scientific publications, analytical materials of famous consulting organizations, statistical data were used. The author proves in the article that the modern corporate financial service has the ability and capacity to manage the creation of value inside and outside the balance sheet of the firm, to actively contribute to the effectiveness of the use of its tangible and intangible assets. In this regard, the author proposes to reclassify the financial function from supporting the firm’s core activities as part of the firm’s infrastructure in the value chain to a primary function.
社会需要企业产品的一个明确标志是,它愿意以确保企业利润的数量和价格购买这种产品。反过来,公司的可持续发展取决于其将利润转化为增加公司价值的能力,通过提高当前流程的效率,开发新产品和实施创新的商业模式。本研究的目的是确定企业财务服务的方向及其在当前环境下帮助企业实现价值最大化的方式。国外科学家和专家关于公司价值形成的科学著作为研究提供了理论和方法基础。方法采用科学出版物、知名咨询机构分析资料、统计数据进行定性和定量分析。本文论证了现代企业金融服务有能力和能力管理企业资产负债表内外的价值创造,积极促进企业有形资产和无形资产的有效利用。在这方面,作者建议将财务功能从作为企业价值链基础设施的一部分支持企业的核心活动重新分类为主要功能。
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引用次数: 0
The Arab East: Civil Aviation in the Light of Modern Challenges 阿拉伯东方:现代挑战下的民用航空
Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-2-37-47
V. A. Isaev, A. Filonik
The article analyzes the features of the development of civil aviation in the Arab East with an emphasis on the beginning of the current century, as the most important period in the life of the Arab nations, on the one hand the time when they suffered huge losses as a result of the global financial crisis, the drama of the Arab Spring, the wars on terrorism, the pandemic and other circumstances, and on the other — t he time when they managed to accumulate colossal oil revenues, which were invested in economic construction and especially in infrastructure, including its aviation part. The article is built around a description of the contrasts between Arabian oil exporters and the Arab outsiders, whose difference in growth potentials is exacerbated by the pitfalls and traps of the so-called catch-up development. This model a priori puts weak facilities at a disadvantage, since less wealthy countries experience the greatest difficulties in overcoming problems and challenges across the entire range of socio-economic development topics compared to those that form the basis of infrastructure construction, including the aviation services industry. The article emphasizes that the reduction of the gap in terms of the maturity of transport and logistics connectivity in the region, along with other advances and developments in the field of transport arrangement of the Middle East and North African economic space, could potentially in the future create conditions for a more representative presence of the Arab nations in the system of world economic ties, and at the shorter-range stages of growth it will more fully ensure the current and ongoing tasks and objectives of regional intersectoral and intra-economic connectivity in the interests of integration.
本文分析了阿拉伯东方民航发展的特点,重点分析了本世纪初作为阿拉伯国家生命中最重要的时期,一方面是由于全球金融危机、阿拉伯之春的戏剧性事件、反恐战争、流行病等情况而遭受巨大损失的时期,另一方面当时,他们设法积累了巨额的石油收入,这些收入被投资于经济建设,尤其是基础设施,包括航空部分。这篇文章是围绕着阿拉伯石油出口国和阿拉伯外部国家之间的对比展开的,这些国家在增长潜力上的差异因所谓的追赶式发展的陷阱和陷阱而加剧。这一先验模式将薄弱的设施置于不利地位,因为与构成基础设施建设基础的国家(包括航空服务业)相比,较不富裕的国家在克服整个社会经济发展主题范围内的问题和挑战方面遇到的困难最大。文章强调,该地区运输和物流连通性成熟度方面差距的缩小,以及中东和北非经济空间运输安排领域的其他进步和发展,可能在未来为阿拉伯国家在世界经济联系体系中更具代表性的存在创造条件。在短期增长阶段,它将更充分地确保当前和正在进行的区域部门间和经济内部互联互通的任务和目标,以促进一体化。
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引用次数: 0
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The world of new economy
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