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Life after ISIS: the problem of the Islamic State foreign fighters “伊斯兰国”后的生活:“伊斯兰国”外国武装分子的问题
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/220195
Aleksandra Ciślar
After the collapse of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria many states faced theproblem of the foreign fighters wanting to return. Some governments refused toaccept their citizens arguing that they pose too much of a threat to the public.Are the governments across the world justified to revoke the citizenships of theformer members of the Caliphate? Do states have a responsibility for their owncitizens and are obligated to help them no matter the circumstances? These arethe questions that this article examines from the legal and political point ofview. The article examines a high profile case study of Shamima Begun –a former jihadi wife, who travelled to Syria as a teenager, caught in a battle forher British citizenship
在伊拉克和叙利亚伊斯兰国瓦解后,许多国家都面临着外国武装分子想要返回的问题。一些政府拒绝接收他们的公民,认为他们对公众构成了太大的威胁。世界各国政府有理由撤销前哈里发成员的公民身份吗?国家是否对自己的公民负有责任,是否有义务在任何情况下帮助他们?这些都是本文从法律和政治角度考察的问题。这篇文章研究了Shamima Begun的一个引人注目的案例。Shamima是一个前圣战分子的妻子,她十几岁时前往叙利亚,在争取英国公民身份的斗争中被捕
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引用次数: 0
Projecting the Foreign propaganda on the Georgian Politics 对外宣传对格鲁吉亚政治的影响
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/220194
M. Urushadze
From 2016, the powerful and permanent ideological impact of the Russianmessages on the global community is perceived as one of the most importantchallenges for the western civilization at the beginning of the 21st century. Itis without a doubt that the challenge is more acute for the so-called “youngdemocracies”. Georgia is considered to be one of such states. Thus, we havedecided to use Georgia as the example to discuss the general essenceof propaganda, the mechanisms of its use, the level of resistance by the localsocieties towards it and the influence that this phenomenon can have on asmall country. There is no doubt that the success of the propagandist attackson the sovereignty of a state directly depends on the level of trust of the widelayers of the society towards the governmental structures of the target state.The higher the level of mistrust, the more successful is the propagandistcampaign conducted against a state, and vice versa: the higher the level ofadequacy between the government and society, stronger the society is inwithstanding the propagandist attacks. In case of Georgia, the ideologicalframe of the Georgian society is saturated by the mix of the right-conservativeideas with the left-socialist directions, where all the narratives of outsidepolitical actors definitely find their support. Based on this, we can supposethat their rhetoric places the society at the risk of negative radicalization
从2016年开始,俄罗斯对全球社会的强大而持久的意识形态影响被视为21世纪初西方文明面临的最重要挑战之一。毫无疑问,所谓的“年轻民主国家”面临的挑战更为严峻。格鲁吉亚被认为是这样的州之一。因此,我们决定以格鲁吉亚为例,讨论宣传的一般本质、宣传的使用机制、当地社会对宣传的抵制程度,以及这种现象对小国的影响。毫无疑问,宣传攻击国家主权的成功直接取决于社会各阶层对目标国家政府结构的信任程度。不信任程度越高,反对国家的宣传运动就越成功,反之亦然:政府和社会之间的充分程度越高,社会就越能抵御宣传攻击。以格鲁吉亚为例,格鲁吉亚社会的意识形态框架被右翼保守思想与左翼社会主义方向的混合所饱和,所有外部政治行动者的叙述都肯定会得到他们的支持。基于此,我们可以假设他们的言论将社会置于消极激进化的风险之中
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引用次数: 2
Odstraszanie jako element strategii bezpieczeństwa Izraela
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/220196
Michał Harkot
The geopolitical location of Israel in the Middle East region is extremelyunfavorable. As a result, Israeli policymakers were forced to developa comprehensive mechanism of responding in relation to real or potentialthreats. Currently, one of these mechanisms is focused on deterring. It shouldbe noted that in the context of Israeli security policy, in recent years initiativesdevoted to prevention have started to play a decisive role. According to the Israeli security strategy, deterrence should be connected with three elements:a credible threat of conducting by Israel forces offensive retaliatory actions,the extension of armed forces and seeking to reduce resources and developmentopportunities in the context of groups hostile to Israel. Taking into accountcurrent political events in the Middle East, I will try to point out the essenceof the Israeli deterrence doctrine
以色列在中东地区的地缘政治位置极为不利。因此,以色列的政策制定者被迫制定一个全面的机制,以应对实际或潜在的威胁。目前,这些机制之一侧重于威慑。应当指出,在以色列安全政策方面,近年来专门用于预防的倡议已开始发挥决定性作用。根据以色列的安全战略,威慑应与三个要素相联系:以色列部队进行进攻性报复行动的可信威胁、武装部队的扩大以及在敌视以色列的集团的情况下设法减少资源和发展机会。考虑到中东当前的政治事件,我将试图指出以色列威慑理论的本质
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引用次数: 0
FIGHTING FOR ISIS – THE CASE OF GREAT BRITAIN 为ISIS而战——以英国为例
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/2201810
Aleksandra Cieslar
Abstract: The purpose of this research paper is to examine the online recruitment processes and socio-economic factors that allow for the radicalisation of people in Great Britain. The paper will address the following questions: 1) what are ISIS recruitment methods? 2) what makes the recruitment successful? 3) is religious motivation the main factor why people decide to fight for the Islamic State? According to the US National Counterterrorism Centre, in the recent years Islamic State (ISIS) recruited an estimate of 3,400 Westerners ready to fight its cause around the globe. Islamic State has a far more successful rate in luring members from the West than Al-Qaeda. In a relatively short time ISIS went from being an unknown terror cell to threatening worldwide security. Great Britain experienced a number of terrorist attacks in the recent years and the responsibility for them had been claimed by ISIS. However, with the arrival of easy access to the internet the radicalisation of young Britons has been on the rise in the recent years. The studies suggest that there are different motivations for joining Islamic State. Foreign fighters are made to believe that the terrorist group offers values that western democracies seem to lack, namely a common purpose, good morals and sense of belonging. These values are attractive for Muslims and for the new converts alike. Additionally, ISIS recruiters run an online propaganda machine. The process of radicalisation moved from the mosques into more effective online chat-rooms and social media forums.
摘要:本研究论文的目的是研究在线招聘过程和社会经济因素,这些因素允许英国人激进化。本文将解决以下问题:1)ISIS的招募方法是什么?招聘成功的原因是什么?宗教动机是人们决定为伊斯兰国而战的主要因素吗?根据美国国家反恐中心的数据,近年来,伊斯兰国(ISIS)招募了大约3400名准备在全球范围内为其事业而战的西方人。伊斯兰国在吸引西方成员方面比基地组织要成功得多。在相对较短的时间内,ISIS从一个不知名的恐怖组织变成了威胁全球安全的组织。近年来,英国经历了多次恐怖袭击,ISIS声称对这些袭击负责。然而,随着互联网的普及,英国年轻人的激进化趋势近年来呈上升趋势。这些研究表明,加入伊斯兰国有不同的动机。外国战斗人员被说服相信,该恐怖组织提供了西方民主国家似乎缺乏的价值观,即共同目标、良好道德和归属感。这些价值观对穆斯林和新皈依者都很有吸引力。此外,ISIS的招募人员还运行着一个在线宣传机器。激进化的进程从清真寺转移到了更有效的在线聊天室和社交媒体论坛。
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引用次数: 0
Composition and structure of the ideological matrix of Russian media 俄罗斯媒体意识形态矩阵的构成与结构
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/220197
N. Slukhai
Major Russian media outlets produce narratives which are subordinated toconcepts and ideologemes defined by their systemic nature and strongstructure. These ideologemes are the binding glue of the seemingly chaoticnarratives of the current ideological war. The chief among these concepts isRussianness (“russkost’”), in turn connected with others such as the Russiancivilization, Russians, the Western civilization, the Western man, Ukrainiansand others, which together along with their correlates produce the insidiouslyenforced worldview. The content of these ideologemes, gleaned frompublications of leading Russian media ideologists, diverges widely from theexpected, carries a high evaluative load, is suggestive and strongly polarized
主要的俄罗斯媒体机构产生的叙事服从于其系统性质和强大结构所定义的概念和意识形态。这些意识形态是当前意识形态战争中看似混乱的叙事的粘合剂。这些概念中最主要的是俄罗斯性(“russkost”),它又与其他概念联系在一起,比如俄罗斯文明、俄罗斯人、西方文明、西方人、乌克兰人等等,这些概念连同它们的关联物一起,产生了一种潜移暗化的世界观。这些意识形态的内容是从俄罗斯主要媒体思想家的出版物中收集来的,与预期大相径庭,具有很高的评价负荷,具有暗示性和强烈的两极化
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引用次数: 2
RUSSIA: FROM COLD WAR VIA “PEACE DIVIDEND” TO HYBRID WAR IN EUROPE. HOW TO RECONCILE EUROPE'S STRATEGIC INTERESTS WITH RUSSIA'S LEGITIMATE INTERESTS 俄罗斯:从冷战到“和平红利”再到欧洲的混合战争。如何调和欧洲的战略利益与俄罗斯的合法利益
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/2201813
C. Ioniță
Abstract:As of today, Europe has to face new asymmetric threats, including Hybrid Warfare, terrorist attacks, and illegal migration that transcend the common security aspects and have further roots beyond its borders, in unsolved hot spot areas, like Eastern and Southern neighbourhood. For many military theorists, the Ukrainian Crisis represented a huge opportunity to restart debates regarding hybridity in future warfare. Some definitions and conceptual elements regarding hybrid threats and hybrid challenges have been developed since the Second Lebanon War of 2006 and were improved after the 2008 Chechen War. Hybrid Warfare theory has been developed by Russia since 2004, as the future conflict concept to counter NATO’s expansion to the East and the installation of the US Anti-Missile Shield in Europe. meanwhile, Western Governments has defined the hybrid threat as an issue rather than as an operating concept that requires a solution. as a result, up to now no American National Strategy or doctrine has incorporated this theory as a new form of future conflicts. In conjunction with reviewing and adjusting strategies and war fighting concepts, the defence community must re-evaluate the force structure needed for future conflicts and build adequate capabilities. With a wider range of threats that may require the need to employ various capabilities simultaneously, NATO and member states must continue their efforts to strive for greater joint operations and possibly inter-dependence. With EU support, they must transform their industrial-era organizational structures into more agile, information-, and knowledge-based enterprises, which requires a large investment in ideas, technology, and people.
摘要:今天,欧洲面临着新的不对称威胁,包括混合战争、恐怖袭击和非法移民,这些威胁超越了共同的安全范畴,并进一步植根于边界之外,在未解决的热点地区,如东部和南部邻国。对于许多军事理论家来说,乌克兰危机代表了一个巨大的机会,可以重新开始关于未来战争中混合性的辩论。自2006年第二次黎巴嫩战争以来,有关混合威胁和混合挑战的一些定义和概念元素得到了发展,并在2008年车臣战争后得到了改进。自2004年以来,俄罗斯发展了混合战争理论,作为对抗北约东扩和美国在欧洲部署反导系统的未来冲突概念。与此同时,西方政府将混合威胁定义为一个问题,而不是一个需要解决方案的操作概念。因此,到目前为止,美国的国家战略或学说都没有将这一理论作为未来冲突的一种新形式。在审查和调整战略和作战概念的同时,防务界必须重新评估未来冲突所需的部队结构,并建立足够的能力。随着威胁范围的扩大,可能需要同时运用各种能力,北约及其成员国必须继续努力,争取更大的联合行动和可能的相互依赖。在欧盟的支持下,它们必须将工业时代的组织结构转变为更灵活、信息和知识为基础的企业,这需要在理念、技术和人员方面进行大量投资。
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引用次数: 0
THE TRANSDNIESTRIAN CONFLICT AS A PHENOMENON OF HYBRID WAR 德涅斯特河两岸冲突是混合战争的一种现象
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/2201812
Marina Gorbatiuc
Abstract: Hybrid warfare is predominant tendency in the 21st century, therefore all states should take into consideration the possible threats and results caused by hybrid warfare strategies and tactics. Likewise, the elements of hybrid warfare are discussed from the recent conflicts. With all ensuing consequences, the article analyzes all possible evidence to detect future expansion of untraditional warfare. The important role the OSCE plays in supporting the Transdniestrian conflict. We underline the need to advance the work of the Permanent Conference on Political Issues in the Framework of the Negotiation Process for the Transdniestrian Settlement in the “5+2” format as the only mechanism to achieve a comprehensive and sustainable resolution of the conflict. Emphasize the need to achieve tangible progress in the negotiations on all three baskets of the agreed agenda for the negotiation process. Express satisfaction with the commitment of the political representatives and programs of political parties to meet on a regular basis and encourage the sides to increase the continuity and effectiveness of the process. To this end, the Mission facilitates co-operation in Moldova is to help achieve a comprehensive, just and lasting political settlement of the Transdniestrian conflict based on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Moldova and a special status for Transdniestria.
摘要:混合战争是21世纪的主流趋势,各国应充分考虑混合战争战略战术可能带来的威胁和后果。同样,从最近的冲突中讨论了混合战争的要素。鉴于所有随之而来的后果,本文分析了所有可能的证据,以发现未来非传统战争的扩张。欧安组织在支持德涅斯特河外冲突方面发挥的重要作用。我们强调有必要以“5+2”形式推进德涅斯特河外问题解决谈判进程框架下政治问题常设会议的工作,这是全面、可持续解决冲突的唯一机制。强调必须在谈判进程商定议程的所有三个篮子的谈判中取得切实进展。对政治代表和政党定期会晤的承诺表示满意,并鼓励双方加强这一进程的连续性和有效性。为此目的,特派团促进摩尔多瓦境内的合作,以摩尔多瓦的主权和领土完整以及德涅斯特河沿岸的特殊地位为基础,帮助实现德涅斯特河沿岸冲突的全面、公正和持久的政治解决。
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引用次数: 0
Bezpieczeństwo ekonomiczne, zmiany klimatyczne, wyzwania
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/2201910
M. Leszczyński
Economic security constitutes one of the main areas of research carried out byrepresentatives of security studies. Its level is conditioned by many factorsof economic, political, law or cultural character. The article points out theconditions connected with the process of climate warming and their meaningfor shaping the economic security. As a hypothesis it has been assumed that itis crucial to make a significant change in the scope of shaping the consumptionmodel and the role of the state in shaping the processes of development.It serves the creation of economic force with a simultaneous balancedapproach to the use of natural resources. The article has a review character,it's aim is to indicate the necessity of a change into the more active role of thestate in shaping the security and economic order. In this context, the useof works developed by the Swedish school of economy and Scandinavianstudies over peace (including mainly the peace economics) can become thebasis to create the development model which uses the approach that connectsthe economic, natural and institutional interests. The creation of economicsecurity bases of a state must, in a pragmatic and responsible way, include thelimitation of natural resources and at the same time take into account the socialaims connected with the quality of people’s lives.
经济安全是安全研究代表进行的主要研究领域之一。其水平受经济、政治、法律或文化特征等诸多因素的制约。文章指出了气候变暖过程的相关条件及其对经济安全形成的意义。作为一种假设,人们认为,在塑造消费模式的范围和国家在塑造发展过程中的作用方面做出重大改变是至关重要的。它为创造经济力量服务,同时以平衡的方式利用自然资源。这篇文章具有评论性质,其目的是指出国家在塑造安全和经济秩序方面转变为更积极的角色的必要性。在这种背景下,瑞典经济学派和斯堪的纳维亚和平研究(主要包括和平经济学)的成果可以成为创建发展模式的基础,该模式使用将经济,自然和制度利益联系起来的方法。建立一个国家的经济安全基础必须以务实和负责任的方式,包括对自然资源的限制,同时考虑到与人民生活质量有关的社会目标。
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引用次数: 1
CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE AND ITS PSYCHOLOGICAL PECULIARITIES 乌克兰东部的冲突及其心理特点
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/2201819
Vira Burdyak
The conflict that has been flaming up since 2014 in the East of Ukraine is a real multi-faceted war between Russia and Ukraine. It is also called the Anti-terrorist operation (ATO), Joint forces operation or “hybrid” war, as in Ukraine at the legislative level it has not been acknowledged as a war. When a war is defined as “hybrid” it is suggested that it is not a full-scale intervention of the Russian Federation and thus it is easier for many politician to justify their inactivity; just crossing the Ukrainian border, Russian forces take off chevrons and other identification marks. The West take advantage of this, pretending to be doubtful and, herewith, its reaction is reasonably less determined; and it vivifies “conspiracy theories” as to Putin’s probable allies. Legislative ambiguity generates not only enhancement of military threat, but also different psychological insinuation, which affect the conscious state of the Ukrainian society.
自2014年以来在乌克兰东部爆发的冲突是俄罗斯和乌克兰之间真正的多方面战争。它也被称为反恐行动(ATO)、联合部队行动或“混合”战争,因为在乌克兰的立法层面上,它还没有被承认为战争。当一场战争被定义为“混合”时,这意味着它不是俄罗斯联邦的全面干预,因此许多政治家更容易为他们的不作为辩护;刚刚越过乌克兰边境,俄罗斯军队取下了徽章和其他识别标志。西方利用了这一点,假装怀疑,因此,它的反应是合理的不那么坚定;它还使普京可能的盟友的“阴谋论”变得生动起来。立法歧义不仅会增强军事威胁,还会产生不同的心理暗示,影响乌克兰社会的意识状态。
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引用次数: 0
Political and military lessons of the Russian campaign in Syria 俄罗斯在叙利亚行动的政治和军事教训
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33674/2201913
V. Volovoj
Decision of the Russian Federation to support the regime of Bashar Assad inits fight with terrorists and opposition became a crucial event in the worldpolitics with the long-term consequences for global international relations,for the future of the Middle East and for Russia itself. One of the mostimportant questions in this context is why Kremlin decided to interfere andwhat are the political and military lessons of its campaign in Syria? It can besaid that the main political goal of Vladimir Putin was to make the UnitedStates take Russia into account as a serious (if not equal) player in theinternational arena, and he reached that goal, making his state a key factorin the Middle East. There was a doubt if Russian army is able to acteffectively abroad and change Syrian situation at low cost. It proved that it isefficient enough, showing the advantages of Russian weaponry, and gotvaluable experience in many spheres. At the same time, the end of theKremlin game in Syria is not clear, but this can be an inevitable price of itsrevived imperial ambitions.
俄罗斯联邦支持巴沙尔·阿萨德政权打击恐怖分子和反对派的决定成为世界政治中的一个关键事件,对全球国际关系、中东的未来和俄罗斯本身都产生了长期影响。在这种背景下,最重要的问题之一是,克里姆林宫为什么决定干预叙利亚,它在叙利亚的行动有什么政治和军事教训?可以说,弗拉基米尔·普京的主要政治目标是让美国把俄罗斯视为国际舞台上一个严肃的(如果不是平等的)参与者,他实现了这个目标,使他的国家成为中东的一个关键因素。俄罗斯军队是否能够有效地在国外以低成本改变叙利亚局势,这是一个疑问。它证明了它足够高效,展示了俄罗斯武器的优势,并在许多领域获得了宝贵的经验。与此同时,克里姆林宫在叙利亚的游戏结局尚不清楚,但这可能是其帝国野心复苏的不可避免的代价。
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引用次数: 0
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Ante Portas - Studia nad bezpieczeństwem
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