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Economic growth of India and the impact of direct and indirect tax : An ARDL approach 印度经济增长及直接税和间接税的影响:一种ARDL方法
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130578
T. Durga Prasad, Astha Sharma, Manish Mittal, M. Govardhan Reddy, B. Giri Babu
Abstract This paper examines and portrays the impact of direct and indirect tax revenue on economic growth in India. Numerous studies were conducted earlier to study taxation from various perspectives, but very few have discussed the impact of taxation on economic growth. Various tax revenue reports from 1990 to 2021 were collected to conduct the present research. An ARDL inbound and outbound tests were applied to continue the investigation further. The study identifies tax variables that have a positive relationship with economic performance. Finally, an in-depth analysis was conducted between variables with the help of ARDL long-run trend analysis. The outcome reveals that direct and indirect tax growth rates positively impact GDP growth. It was suggested that government should focus on corporate tax policies, and more incentives for upcoming and existing entrepreneurs must be provided. The present study is limited only to tax and GDP revenue; it does not focus on economic or corporate policies. However, this research forms a base for further study in taxation, which will support designing policies for economic growth. It is known that the Indian government has introduced nation-one tax policy and implemented GST. Hence, further study can be conducted on the dynamics of GST and its impact on GDP or revenue growth rates.
摘要本文考察并描绘了印度直接和间接税收收入对经济增长的影响。之前有很多研究从不同的角度来研究税收,但很少有人讨论税收对经济增长的影响。本研究收集了1990年至2021年的各种税收报告。应用ARDL入站和出站试验继续进一步调查。该研究确定了与经济表现呈正相关的税收变量。最后,借助ARDL长期趋势分析对变量之间进行深入分析。结果表明,直接税和间接税增长率对GDP增长具有正向影响。有人建议,政府应把重点放在企业税收政策上,并为即将到来的和现有的企业家提供更多的奖励。目前的研究仅限于税收和GDP收入;它并不关注经济或企业政策。然而,这项研究为进一步研究税收奠定了基础,这将有助于制定促进经济增长的政策。据悉,印度政府出台了“一国合一”的税收政策,并实施了商品及服务税。因此,可以进一步研究商品及服务税的动态及其对GDP或收入增长率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical analysis of learners’ ubiquity and autonomy: Sustaining the development of learning management system (LMS) for L2 proficiency 学习者普遍性与自主性的统计分析:促进二语熟练度的学习管理系统(LMS)的持续发展
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130571
Divya Jyot Kaur, N. Saraswat
Abstract In recent times learning ubiquity and autonomy have emerged as prominent e-learning models as they equip learners with the access of resources at any place and any time which implies taking charge of one’s learning as per the need and purpose. The present study takes stock of ubiquitous (UL) and autonomous learning (LA) as influencing factors for assessing students’ willingness to adopt (WA) LMS for enhancing L2 proficiency. The target population for this study consisted 302 professional students. Data is analyzed using SPSS ver.21. Regression model indicates that both LA (p=.000, β=.289) and UL (p=.000, β=.461) significantly contribute to students’ adoption of LMS. Independent sample t-test results indicate that no significant variation is found in test performance between male and female students. The findings of the proposed model will prove beneficial to assess the reception of LMS among students and will enable the educational institutions to concentrate on LMS’s effective implementation so that they can invest in e-learning technology wisely.
近年来,学习的泛在性和自主性已成为突出的电子学习模式,因为它们使学习者能够随时随地访问资源,这意味着根据需要和目的负责自己的学习。本研究以泛在学习(UL)和自主学习(LA)为影响因素,评估学生采用(WA) LMS提高二语熟练程度的意愿。本研究的目标人群为302名专业学生。数据分析使用SPSS ver.21。回归模型表明,两者LA (p=。000, β=.289)和UL (p=。000, β=.461)显著促进了学生对LMS的采用。独立样本t检验结果表明,男女学生在考试成绩上没有显著差异。该模型的研究结果将有助于评估学生对LMS的接受程度,并使教育机构能够专注于LMS的有效实施,从而明智地投资于电子学习技术。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the NSE stock index trends considering global financial variables and ARIMA model 考虑全球金融变量和ARIMA模型的NSE股指走势预测
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130563
R. Maheshwari, V. Kapoor
Abstract With the advent of technology and advancements in storage capacities, one can get the historical data for any of the major stock markets of the world. In the last few decades, the Indian stock market grew very fast. The investment capacity and frequency for Indian stock markets increased drastically recently. More and more people are investing in stock markets and mutual funds nowadays and as a result of that there have been numerous attempts to forecast the stock market index so as to gain maximum profit. The proposed work forecasts the opening value of the National Stock Exchange index using the ARIMA model.
随着技术的发展和存储容量的提高,人们可以获得世界上任何一个主要股票市场的历史数据。在过去的几十年里,印度股市增长非常快。最近,印度股市的投资能力和频率急剧增加。现在越来越多的人投资股票市场和共同基金,因此有许多人试图预测股票市场指数,以获得最大的利润。本文采用ARIMA模型对全国证券交易所指数的开盘值进行预测。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical analysis of query processing time in cache-based cloud database systems 基于缓存的云数据库系统查询处理时间的统计分析
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130576
R. Nanda, Amita Sharma, Pooja Choraria, A. Pareek, N. Tiwari, Anubha Jain
Abstract With the proliferation of data in cloud-based systems, the performance of the data retrieval process from the database management system is becoming indispensable. Caching is one of the techniques to retrieve the data faster. It reduces the number of database accesses for similar queries, which in turn, reduces the processing time. It also facilitates in reducing the load on database servers, which results in the reduction of the overall response time. This paper is based on our caching framework for NOSQL datastores, which seeks to speed up the processing of many requests. The frequently used queries, which are expensive to reevaluate, are cached by this framework on top of a column-based datastore. In order to speed up query processing, certain queries are cached. In this study, query processing times without the influence of the database or system cache are used to evaluate the framework’s performance.
随着云系统中数据的激增,数据库管理系统对数据检索过程的性能要求越来越高。缓存是快速检索数据的技术之一。它减少了对类似查询的数据库访问次数,从而减少了处理时间。它还有助于减少数据库服务器上的负载,从而减少总体响应时间。本文基于我们的NOSQL数据存储缓存框架,该框架旨在加快许多请求的处理速度。该框架将频繁使用的查询缓存在基于列的数据存储之上,这些查询的重新计算成本很高。为了加快查询处理速度,某些查询被缓存。在本研究中,使用不受数据库或系统缓存影响的查询处理时间来评估框架的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Economic and financial ratios: Relevant for stock selection in power and energy sector? 经济和财务比率:与电力和能源板块的股票选择有关吗?
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130569
Nishu Gupta, Ity Patni, S. Choubey, Arpita Sharma
Abstract The study shows the effect of Macro-Economic Factors such as Interest Rate (INT) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Inflation (INF), Financial Ratios such as EPS, NPM, ROC, DE, ATR, CR, ITR, EV on Power and Energy stock prices. The period of the study is from 2011-2021. S&P BSE Energy Index consists of 26 companies, but the study has been conducted on 21 companies due to the unavailability of data in the continuous form. While in S & P BSE Power Index, 14 companies are listed, out of which data of 4 companies was not available in continuous form, thus the final power index sample is locked with 10 companies. The results are important for investors to select the stocks of Power and Energy sectors by considering the resultant effective factors of the study. The Random Effect (RE) Model of Panel Regression was applied which shows that Inflation, Interest Rate, GDP, EPS, ATR and CR have significant effect on Stock Prices. The Research Paper is based on the stocks of Power and energy sector which empowers an investor in analyzing the stock by considering these ratios and accordingly they may include the stock in their portfolio and diversify the risk. The study hasn’t covered other economic factors and financial ratios. Other factors and ratios may be considered to know the association with stock return.
摘要本文研究了利率(INT)、国内生产总值(GDP)、通货膨胀率(INF)、每股收益(EPS)、NPM、ROC、DE、ATR、CR、ITR、EV等宏观经济因素对电力和能源类股票价格的影响。研究时间为2011-2021年。标准普尔BSE能源指数由26家公司组成,但由于无法获得连续形式的数据,本研究仅对21家公司进行了研究。而在标普BSE动力指数中,有14家公司上市,其中有4家公司的数据无法以连续形式获得,因此最终的动力指数样本锁定在10家公司。研究结果对投资者选择电力和能源板块股票具有重要意义。采用面板回归的随机效应(RE)模型,结果表明通货膨胀率、利率、GDP、每股收益、ATR和CR对股票价格有显著影响。研究论文是基于电力和能源部门的股票,授权投资者通过考虑这些比率来分析股票,因此他们可以将股票纳入他们的投资组合并分散风险。这项研究没有涵盖其他经济因素和财务比率。可以考虑其他因素和比率来了解与股票收益的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive MLELM-AE model for efficient prediction of stock market data 自适应MLELM-AE模型对股市数据的有效预测
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130567
A. K. Rout, A. Sethy, Soumyabrata Nayak
Abstract The stock market makes a mention of public markets that contains buying, issuing, and selling shares which trade on a stock exchange. The aim of stock market is to confer capital to companies that they can utilize for funding and spreading their businesses also to serve investors. But it is elusive to prepare right decision for the companies in particular trading of stocks because of dynamic and intermediate nature of the share price. The charge of funding and commercial enterprise possibilities within the inventory market can boom if an efficient algorithm could be developed to predict the price of an individual stock. There are many deep learning algorithms available in which Extreme learning machine (ELM) is one of the most efficient technique for training single layer feed-forward neural networks (SLFNs). Integrating ELM with auto encoder has gotten another viewpoint for extracting features using unlabeled data. This paper attempts to focus on predicting stock market five days ahead by using a new variant of deep neural network i.e multilayer extreme learning machine with auto encoder (MLELMAE). This model is applied on YES, SBI, and BOI datasets there by the performance of the proposed model is measured and compared with other Deep Learning (DL) techniques like Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBF), Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), and ELM in terms of Mean Absolute error (MAE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results also show that the proposed model outperforms best over other DL techniques.
股票市场是指在证券交易所买卖、发行和出售股票的公共市场。股票市场的目的是为公司提供资金,他们可以利用这些资金来融资和扩展业务,也为投资者服务。但由于股票价格的动态性和中间性,为公司特别是股票交易做好正确的决策是难以捉摸的。如果能够开发出一种有效的算法来预测单个股票的价格,那么在库存市场中融资的费用和商业企业的可能性就会激增。深度学习算法有很多,其中极限学习机(Extreme learning machine, ELM)是训练单层前馈神经网络(slfn)最有效的技术之一。将ELM与自动编码器相结合,为利用未标记数据提取特征提供了另一种视角。本文试图通过使用深度神经网络的一种新变体即多层自编码器极限学习机(MLELMAE)来预测五天前的股票市场。该模型应用于YES、SBI和BOI数据集,通过测量所提出模型的性能,并与其他深度学习(DL)技术(如径向基函数神经网络(RBF)、反向传播神经网络(BPNN)和ELM在平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方误差(MSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)方面进行比较。结果还表明,该模型优于其他深度学习技术。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of perceived value on the adoption of contactless mobile payments in small island developing states (SIDS): A study on emerging payments systems from Mauritius 感知价值对小岛屿发展中国家(SIDS)采用非接触式移动支付的影响:毛里求斯新兴支付系统研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130579
Rajesh Sannegadu, Bhoomika Batra, Thanika Devi Juwaheer, S. Pudaruth
Abstract This study aims at assessing the impact of perceived value on the adoption intention of mobile payment in Mauritius. The study empirically investigates 255 Mauritius, mobile payment users, using the survey. Structural equation modeling (SEM) using Smart PLS software has been used to validate the variables and their relationships. Results reveal that social value and utilitarian value positively and significantly influence behavioural value. Conversely, enjoyment value is inversely proportionate and insignificantly influences the behavioural value. Overall, this study projects consumer’s perceptions of value as an influential factor in the adoption of mobile payment in the context of small island economies. This study contributes to the ongoing debate on mobile payment usage and its acceptance in small island states. This research is pertinent and timely as the Mauritian government is working towards the transformation of the island into a digital economy. Further, the findings are important to digital marketers and other professionals who are developing effective marketing tactics to reinforce value to encourage mobile payment.
摘要本研究旨在评估感知价值对毛里求斯移动支付采用意向的影响。该研究对255名毛里求斯移动支付用户进行了实证调查。使用Smart PLS软件进行结构方程建模(SEM)来验证变量及其关系。结果表明,社会价值和功利价值对行为价值有显著的正向影响。相反,享受价值成反比,对行为价值的影响不显著。总体而言,本研究预测,在小岛屿经济体的背景下,消费者对价值的看法是采用移动支付的一个影响因素。这项研究有助于正在进行的关于移动支付的使用及其在小岛屿国家的接受度的辩论。这项研究是相关的和及时的,因为毛里求斯政府正在努力将岛屿转变为数字经济。此外,这些发现对数字营销人员和其他正在开发有效营销策略以增强价值以鼓励移动支付的专业人士也很重要。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of ARIMA and double exponential smoothing for forecasting rice sales in fair price shop ARIMA与双指数平滑法在公平价格商店大米销售预测中的比较分析
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2130572
Archana Sasi, Thiruselvan Subramanian
Abstract One of the most challenging issues during the pandemic is managing uncertainties in demand, customer behavior, and market trends. Such instability and unpredictability resulted in numerous cases of excess stock when demand declined or a shortage of commodities when demand for certain goods increased significantly. The research presented in this paper contributes to modelling and forecasting rice sales demand in a Fair Price Shop (FPS) in Kerala, India by employing a time series technique. Our research shows how past demand data can be used to estimate future demand and how these forecasts impact the Public Distribution System (PDS). Our study employs Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) techniques to develop future prediction models that significantly increase the efficiency and accuracy of demand and inventory forecasting. The forecast models generated from past data are verified and validated in the real case application using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) that helps to forecast the demand of inventory required in FPS. The proposed ARIMA and DES outperform the forecasts made by the empirical model, with ARIMA doing better in terms of future forecasts.
大流行期间最具挑战性的问题之一是管理需求、客户行为和市场趋势的不确定性。这种不稳定和不可预测性造成了许多情况,当需求下降时库存过剩,或当对某些商品的需求显著增加时商品短缺。本文采用时间序列技术对印度喀拉拉邦一家公平价格商店(FPS)的大米销售需求进行建模和预测。我们的研究表明,过去的需求数据可以用来估计未来的需求,以及这些预测如何影响公共分配系统(PDS)。本研究采用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)和双指数平滑(DES)技术建立未来预测模型,显著提高了需求和库存预测的效率和准确性。利用平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)在实际应用中对过去数据生成的预测模型进行了验证和验证,这有助于预测FPS所需的库存需求。本文提出的ARIMA和DES的预测结果优于实证模型的预测结果,其中ARIMA对未来的预测效果更好。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical analysis and estimation of the cumulative distribution function of COVID-19 cure duration in Iraq 伊拉克新冠肺炎治愈时间累积分布函数的统计分析与估计
Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2060915
Behzad Mansouri, Sami Atiyah Sayyid Al-Farttosi, H. Mombeni, R. Chinipardaz
Abstract COVID-19 disease has aggressively affected all aspects of human life since late 2019. Hospital staff have been under unprecedented pressure from a large number of patients, and in some countries, the lack of space for patients at the height of the epidemic has reached a point where hospitals do not have the capacity to accept new patients. Therefore, studying the duration of treatment of COVID-19 patients is very important in managing the ability of treatment staff and hospital facilities. In this paper, the length of hospitalization of all COVID-19 patients in Al-Sadr General Hospital in Al-Amarah, Iraq, is statistically studied from March 2020 to April 2021. The cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the patients’ treatment duration is estimated using Birnbaum-Saunders (B-S) kernel estimator. This estimate allows us to estimate the probability of a patient’s stay in the hospital for a specified period of time. In this paper, we obtain an asymptotic confidence interval for the B-S kernel estimator. However, due to the dependence of the obtained confidence interval on the unknown cdf and its derivatives, we propose a bootstrap algorithm to calculate the confidence interval and use it for the length of hospital stay of COVID-19 patients.
自2019年底以来,COVID-19疾病已经严重影响了人类生活的方方面面。大量病人给医院工作人员带来了前所未有的压力,在一些国家,在疫情最严重的时候,由于病人空间不足,医院已经没有能力接收新的病人。因此,研究COVID-19患者的治疗时间对于管理治疗人员和医院设施的能力非常重要。本文对2020年3月至2021年4月伊拉克Al-Amarah Al-Sadr总医院所有COVID-19患者的住院时间进行统计研究。使用Birnbaum-Saunders (B-S)核估计器估计患者治疗持续时间的累积分布函数(cdf)。这个估计使我们能够估计病人在指定时间内住院的概率。本文给出了B-S核估计量的渐近置信区间。然而,由于得到的置信区间依赖于未知的cdf及其导数,我们提出了一种bootstrap算法来计算置信区间,并将其用于COVID-19患者的住院时间。
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引用次数: 0
Dual generalized order statistics with moments properties using powered inverse Rayleigh distribution 基于幂逆瑞利分布的矩性质的对偶广义阶统计量
Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2022.2060615
M. I. Khan
Abstract The basic concept of ordered random variables is how the ordering is being done for a model. Dual generalized order statistics (dgos) is one of them. The powered inverse Rayleigh distribution is introduced in this research investigation to analyze the moments’ properties based on dgos. This introduced distribution was coined by Nashaat [1]. The characterization findings based on the recurrence relations and conditional moments are also derived. In addition, some statistical calculations are performed.
有序随机变量的基本概念是如何对模型进行排序。对偶广义阶统计量(dgos)就是其中之一。本研究引入有源逆瑞利分布来分析基于dgos的矩的性质。这种引入的分布是由Nashaat[1]创造的。并推导了基于递归关系和条件矩的表征结果。此外,还进行了一些统计计算。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Statistics and Management Systems
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