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An empirical study to predict churn of online multiplayer games and its impact on revenue of the game developing company 一项预测在线多人游戏流失及其对游戏开发公司收益影响的实证研究
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1169
Krishna Kumar Singh, Sachin Rohatgi, M. P. Singh
Online multiplayer games are becoming massively popular nowadays. However, the churn of the players is becoming a significant concern as it is challenging to predict whether a player will churn or not, impacting business revenue. In this research, authors tried to solve this problem by predicting the player churn in advance using predictive analytics, thereby enabling the business owners to undertake steps to prevent player churn resulting in revenue stability. To achieve this, the authors collected the data from online and gaming platforms and then applied various pre-processing steps such as data conversion to make data suitable to use and then tested and applied a machine learning-based model for prediction by selecting churn period as the threshold value. Finally, various classifiers, such as logistic regression, were applied to predict whether a player will churn. The results were very satisfactory, as predicting churn with perfect accuracy was possible. The decision tree provides the best results, which were proximately 99.1 %, and other algorithms like logistic regression, random forest, and Adaboost gave predictive results of 96.86 %, 95.47 %, and 98.8 %, respectively. The accuracy of all the models has also been summarised. Hence, by making predictions in advance, the online platforms will take preventive measures to minimize the churn of players and increase revenue accordingly.
如今,在线多人游戏正变得非常流行。然而,玩家的流失率正在成为一个重要的问题,因为预测玩家是否会流失是一个挑战,这会影响到商业收益。在这项研究中,作者试图通过使用预测分析提前预测玩家流失来解决这个问题,从而使企业所有者能够采取措施防止玩家流失导致收益稳定。为了实现这一目标,作者从在线和游戏平台收集数据,然后应用各种预处理步骤,如数据转换,使数据适合使用,然后通过选择流失期作为阈值,测试并应用基于机器学习的模型进行预测。最后,各种分类器(如逻辑回归)被用于预测玩家是否会流失。结果非常令人满意,因为可以非常准确地预测搅动。决策树提供了最好的结果,大约为99.1%,其他算法如逻辑回归、随机森林和Adaboost分别给出了96.86%、95.47%和98.8%的预测结果。本文还总结了所有模型的准确性。因此,通过提前预测,在线平台将采取预防措施,尽量减少玩家的流失,从而增加收益。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying stock market bubbles and evaluation with momentum index and CCI 基于动量指数和CCI的股市泡沫识别与评价
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1183
Sumera Aluru, B. V. R. Vishnu Tej, Mahathi Arkanath
Stock markets ought to be efficient while stock prices reflect all available information fairly and equitably. This bubble majorly forms when market participants inflate stock prices above the stock value based on some valuation system. Identifying the formation of these bubbles becomes imperative to provide information for the investors and these bubbles need to be validated as well, hence this paper contemplates to identify the existence of stock market bubbles between 2017 and 2022 with respect to the BSE Sensex. It also aims to analyse, if the momentum index and consumer confidence index reflect the market bubbles along with performance when the bubbles crashed. The E-views platform for the data analysis and Dickey-fuller, Augmented Dickey-Fuller, Rolling ADF, and Supremum ADF tests were deployed for identification of bubbles. It is found that a major market bubble occurred between January-May 2020. Apart from identifying the bubble that occurred previously, this paper also intends to alert investors of future bubbles following the same pattern of indices. By analysing contributing factors leading to a bubble, investors can be better prepared for the next bubble and can adjust their strategies accordingly to minimize losses. Identification of stock market bubbles and validating them with momentum and consumer confidence indices just doesn’t suffice the investor requirements. Further the factors leading to the formation of these bubbles, nature of these bubbles also attention. Bubbles happen for commodity prices, crypto-currencies and often might be of different types and might reflect entirely different behaviour, in that case how far can momentum and CC indices serve as leading indicators need to be explored as well.
股票市场应该是有效的,而股票价格应该公平公正地反映所有可获得的信息。这种泡沫主要是在市场参与者根据某种估值系统将股票价格抬高到股票价值之上时形成的。识别这些泡沫的形成对于为投资者提供信息变得至关重要,这些泡沫也需要得到验证,因此本文考虑在2017年至2022年之间就BSE Sensex确定股市泡沫的存在。它还旨在分析动量指数和消费者信心指数是否反映了市场泡沫以及泡沫破裂时的表现。使用E-views平台进行数据分析,并使用Dickey-fuller、Augmented Dickey-fuller、Rolling ADF和Supremum ADF测试来识别气泡。研究发现,主要的市场泡沫发生在2020年1月至5月之间。除了识别先前发生的泡沫外,本文还打算提醒投资者注意遵循相同指数模式的未来泡沫。通过分析导致泡沫的因素,投资者可以更好地为下一次泡沫做好准备,并相应地调整策略,将损失降到最低。识别股市泡沫,并用动量和消费者信心指数来验证它们,不足以满足投资者的要求。进一步研究导致这些气泡形成的因素,也注意这些气泡的性质。泡沫发生在商品价格、加密货币上,通常可能是不同类型的,可能反映完全不同的行为,在这种情况下,动量和CC指数能在多大程度上作为领先指标也需要探索。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable finance from foreign actors into renewable energy and economic growth: An Indian perspective 从外国参与者到可再生能源和经济增长的可持续融资:印度的视角
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1154
Anita Kohli, Ritu Wadhwa, G. C. Tripathi
Energy is a basic ingredient to the economic growth story. Given the increased climate change risk, India like all other countries must transit from fossil -based energy to renewable energy. The transition requires large investments from domestic and foreign actors. The major source of sustainable finance from foreign actors is through the Foreign Direct Investment and External Commercial Borrowings routes. This study analyses the causal relationship between ‘Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth’ and ‘External Commercial Borrowings and Economic Growth’ in India in Renewable Energy sector, also explores the causal relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and External Commercial Borrowings. The study will help in recommending policy changes to increase Foreign Direct Investment and External Commercial Borrowings into Renewable Energy in India.
能源是经济增长的基本要素。鉴于气候变化风险的增加,印度和所有其他国家一样,必须从化石能源转向可再生能源。这种转变需要国内外的大量投资。从外国行动者获得可持续资金的主要来源是通过外国直接投资和对外商业借款途径。本研究分析了印度可再生能源领域“外国直接投资与经济增长”和“对外商业借款与经济增长”的因果关系,并探讨了外国直接投资与对外商业借款之间的因果关系。这项研究将有助于建议政策变化,以增加印度可再生能源领域的外国直接投资和外部商业贷款。
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引用次数: 0
A study on impact of leadership on organizational culture to employee development: An empirical analysis 领导对组织文化对员工发展影响的实证研究
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1162
Sadaf Khan, Shikha Mishra
This study aims to find the impact of leadership on organizational culture and its subsequent effect on employee development. A quantitative research approach was employed, and data were collected through a survey questionnaire from a sample of employees working in various organizations. The study used correlation analysis to examine the relationship between leadership, organizational culture, and employee development. The result of the study revealed a positive and significant relationship between leadership and organizational culture. Also, the study found that organizational culture has a significant impact on employee development.
本研究旨在发现领导对组织文化的影响及其对员工发展的后续影响。采用定量研究的方法,并通过调查问卷从不同组织工作的员工样本中收集数据。本研究运用相关分析的方法来检视领导、组织文化与员工发展之间的关系。研究结果表明,领导与组织文化之间存在显著的正相关关系。研究还发现,组织文化对员工发展有显著的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Indian working women millennials: An assessment of the relevance of green banking practices 印度千禧一代职业女性:绿色银行实践相关性评估
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1190
Sadhana Tiwari, Nitendra Kumar, Priyanka Agarwal, Mohd Nafees Siddiqui, Arti Malik
Green banking encourage environment-friendly practices and minimizing carbon foot-printing from banking activities. By using latest emerging technologies in Indian banking services, customers reduce using paper such as they used in traditional banking but now they doing banking transactions by digitally instead of paper. Green Banking service is a service that is given by the bank to its customers and done through mainly green phones. So, in this research paper, the researchers’ goal is to gauge the awareness level of millennial working women towards green banking practices in Indian Banking sector. The study is centered on millennial working women, who were born in 1981-96 (22-37age group).The study is descriptive and cross-sectional in nature and it is completely based on primary research and data gathered from 100 millennial working women of India.
绿色银行鼓励环境友好的做法,并尽量减少银行活动的碳足迹。通过在印度银行服务中使用最新的新兴技术,客户减少了在传统银行中使用的纸张,但现在他们通过数字而不是纸张进行银行交易。绿色银行服务是指银行主要通过绿色电话向客户提供的服务。因此,在这篇研究论文中,研究人员的目标是衡量千禧一代职业女性对印度银行业绿色银行实践的认识水平。该研究以1981- 1996年出生的千禧一代职业女性(22-37岁年龄组)为中心。该研究本质上是描述性和横断面的,它完全基于从印度10万名千禧一代职业女性收集的初步研究和数据。
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引用次数: 0
Real estate and Covid-19: Impact and regulatory response in India 房地产和Covid-19:印度的影响和监管应对
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1156
Anthony De Sa, Satya N. Mandal, Deepak Bajaj, N. Sridharan
As a supplier of commercial and residential infrastructure, real estate acts as a fulcrum for growth and enables holistic socio-economic development in India. This paper studies the extent of the impact of Covid-19 on the Indian real estate sector and evaluates the response to the challenges on the part of Real Estate Regulatory Authorities, government and other agencies in the real estate regulatory framework. Using primary data from a survey covering 257 respondents from 16 states, and secondary data from CREDAI and Anarock surveys conducted in two separate waves of Covid-19, notifications issued by RERAs and Ministries, RBI directives, stakeholder association representations, and a focus group discussion of experts, the regulatory response is assessed and evaluated. The data indicate that the measures announced are inadequate; a more robust response, including GST and other fiscal changes, and amendments to the RERA Act are required, as are technology infusion and management innovation for long-term adjustment.
作为商业和住宅基础设施的供应商,房地产作为增长的支点,使印度的整体社会经济发展成为可能。本文研究了2019冠状病毒病对印度房地产行业的影响程度,并评估了房地产监管机构、政府和房地产监管框架中的其他机构对挑战的反应。使用来自16个州的257名受访者的调查的主要数据,以及在两次不同的Covid-19浪潮中进行的CREDAI和Anarock调查的次要数据,rera和部委发布的通知,印度储备银行指令,利益相关者协会的陈述以及专家焦点小组讨论,对监管反应进行了评估和评估。数据表明,宣布的措施是不够的;需要采取更有力的应对措施,包括商品及服务税和其他财政改革,修订《可再生能源法案》,以及为长期调整提供技术注入和管理创新。
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引用次数: 0
A study on students’ satisfaction in remote learning behaviour using digital platforms in Indian higher education institutions 印度高等教育机构学生使用数字平台远程学习行为满意度研究
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1175
Shalini Kumari, Balvinder Shukla, Paritosh Mishra
Students are impacted by new developments in digital learning tools in various ways, enhancing their learning experience. The transition of the education system towards online education requires scrutiny of the satisfaction of the students with remote learning through the digital platform. This study intends to examine the level of satisfaction of undergraduate and postgraduate students through their experience with online learning. The present study took a sample of 147 students from higher education institutions and the data was collected through a questionnaire based on simple random sampling methods. The present study’s result shows a significant and positive relationship between students’ satisfaction and remote learning. The findings will aid educators and academics in identifying elements that can improve the level of students’ satisfaction with remote learning.
数字学习工具的新发展以各种方式影响学生,提高他们的学习体验。教育系统向在线教育的转变需要审视学生对通过数字平台进行远程学习的满意度。本研究旨在探讨本科生与研究生对线上学习的满意度。本研究以147名高校学生为样本,采用简单随机抽样的问卷调查方法收集数据。本研究结果显示,学生满意度与远程学习之间存在显著的正相关。研究结果将有助于教育工作者和学者确定可以提高学生对远程学习满意度的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Framework to assess Conference Outcome Assessment Tool (COAT) in educational institutions 评估教育机构会议成果评估工具(COAT)的框架
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1179
Shafali Sharma, Sanjeev Bansal
The Science, Technology & Innovation (STI) Policy of India focuses to accelerate collaborative and interconnection translational research between the different stakeholders which enables addressing complex topics. To reach that level, conferences play an important role in the debate and exposure of these complex issues. HEIs spend lots of funds on organizing these conferences. However, the desired outcome assessment for sustainable impact is always lacking. The conference reports or proceedings ignore significant attributes of the stakeholders/ participants such as behavioural skills and motivational aspects such as attitude and ambition behind their participation in the conference. The objective of this paper is to identify parameters for conference outcome mapping and assessment which is useful to ascertain the translation of the discussions and presentations during conference in the prospects – career, research, outreach, etc., not only for participants but also for the organizing institutions. The Authors have developed the Conference Outcome Assessment Tool – COAT© to bring out the culture of Outcome and Quality enhancement in all aspects of research activities in HEIs with qualitative and quantitative assessments of their performance. To develop the Tool, the authors have identified various factors having a direct/indirect impact on all stakeholders throughout the conference. The Implementation of COAT© in HEIs will contribute to maintaining the overall research quality and provide the expected outcomes to researchers/scholars/scientists/industry. This will also boost the collaborations between academia and industry.
科学、技术&;印度的创新(STI)政策侧重于加速不同利益相关者之间的协作和互连转化研究,从而能够解决复杂的主题。为了达到这一水平,会议在辩论和揭露这些复杂问题方面发挥了重要作用。高等院校在组织这些会议上花费了大量资金。然而,对可持续影响的预期结果评估总是缺乏。会议报告或会议记录忽略了利益相关者/参与者的重要属性,如行为技能和动机方面,如他们参与会议背后的态度和雄心。本文的目的是确定会议成果映射和评估的参数,这有助于确定会议期间讨论和演示的翻译前景-职业,研究,外展等,不仅对参与者而且对组织机构。作者开发了会议成果评估工具- COAT©,通过对其表现进行定性和定量评估,在高等教育院校研究活动的各个方面推广成果和质量提升的文化。为了开发该工具,作者确定了在整个会议期间对所有利益相关者产生直接/间接影响的各种因素。高等教育院校实施大衣©有助维持整体研究质素,并为研究人员/学者/科学家/业界提供预期的成果。这也将促进学术界和工业界之间的合作。
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引用次数: 0
Securing healthcare data management using machine learning and blockchain technology: A comparative performance evaluation of support vector machine and conventional classifiers 使用机器学习和区块链技术保护医疗保健数据管理:支持向量机和传统分类器的比较性能评估
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1080
Vaibhav Nivrutti Patil, Vijay H. Kalmani
As access to healthcare has become more central to people’s daily lives, the amount of medical big data has grown exponentially. Wearable Internet of Things (IoT)-reliant technology is gaining popularity in the medical field as a means to improve patient care and reduce wait times. In recent years, billions of sensors, devices, and machines have been hooked up to the web. One such technology, remote patient monitoring, is increasingly used in modern patient care and treatment. In addition, these developments pose substantial security issues about the recording of transaction data and the transmission of information itself, and pose considerable dangers to users’ privacy. Concerns about the privacy of a patient’s medical records have the ability to discontinue treatment, putting the patient’s life in threat. Thus, a system is proposed using machine learning in combination with blockchain technology to allow secure management as well as analysis of large amounts of healthcare data. With the help of machine learning, it is feasible to sort through all of the data and extract out only the most pertinent information. This is accomplished with the help of trained methodologies. After this data has been saved, the next issue will be the exchange of data and ensuring its trustworthiness. The concept of blockchain is introduced at this point. The Blockchain technology relies on consensus to ensure that all data is accurate and that all transactions are conducted in a safe manner. The management of healthcare is one area where blockchain technology offers the ability to have a huge impact by placing patients at the center of the system and improving the privacy and portability of health records. This study is primarily concerned with finding solutions to issues relating to the administration of healthcare data by utilizing Blockchain technology and incorporating some crucial characteristics developed with Machine Learning. The performance evaluation of proposed Support Vector Machine is compared with the other conventional machine learning classifiers. It is observed from the experimental finding that performance accuracy of Support vector machine is 98% which is better as compared to other traditional machine learning classifiers.
随着医疗保健在人们的日常生活中变得越来越重要,医疗大数据的数量呈指数级增长。可穿戴物联网(IoT)技术作为改善患者护理和减少等待时间的一种手段,在医疗领域越来越受欢迎。近年来,数以十亿计的传感器、设备和机器已经连接到网络上。其中一项技术,远程病人监护,越来越多地用于现代病人护理和治疗。此外,这些发展对交易数据的记录和信息本身的传输构成了重大的安全问题,并对用户的隐私构成了相当大的危险。考虑到患者医疗记录的隐私,有可能停止治疗,使患者的生命受到威胁。因此,提出了将机器学习与区块链技术相结合的系统,以实现对大量医疗保健数据的安全管理和分析。在机器学习的帮助下,可以对所有数据进行分类,并仅提取出最相关的信息。这是在训练有素的方法的帮助下完成的。在这些数据保存之后,下一个问题将是数据的交换和确保其可信度。区块链的概念在这里被引入。区块链技术依靠共识来确保所有数据都是准确的,所有交易都以安全的方式进行。医疗保健管理是区块链技术能够产生巨大影响的一个领域,它将患者置于系统的中心,并改善健康记录的隐私性和可移植性。本研究主要是通过利用区块链技术并结合机器学习开发的一些关键特征,寻找与医疗数据管理相关问题的解决方案。将所提出的支持向量机分类器的性能与其他传统机器学习分类器进行了比较。实验发现,支持向量机的性能准确率达到98%,优于其他传统的机器学习分类器。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation and selection of sustainable suppliers using fuzzy topsis method in a dairy product company 乳品企业可持续供应商的模糊topsis评价与选择
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47974/jsms-1186
Reema Agarwal, Ankur Agrawal, Nitendra Kumar, Samrat Ray, Priyanka Agarwal
The selection of providers with sustainability considerations is the most significant activity in contemporary supply chain operations. Using the MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) technique, vendors are chosen. By choosing the right sustainable supplier, the organizations can upgrade their products, decrease costs, and satisfying customers’ requirements. Dodla dairy is a renowned name in dairy companies in Hyderabad and Andhra Pradesh where purchasing managers choose the farmers. The purchasing managers gave their references so that the weights of the identified criterion and the ranking of another possibility on the basis of each criterion are to be determined. Quality and cost of the products are the most prominent criterion in the dairy supply chain. The method called Fuzzy TOPSIS is utilized in this paper to choose the dairy suppliers. The major goal of employing fuzzy logic is to assist purchasing managers in deciding how much importance to give each criterion and how to rank each sustainable dealer. The outcome of the Fuzzy TOPSIS technique, which has been successfully applied, establishes the weights of the criterion and the best and worst sustainable suppliers.
选择具有可持续性考虑的供应商是当代供应链运营中最重要的活动。使用MCDM(多准则决策)技术,选择供应商。通过选择合适的可持续供应商,组织可以升级他们的产品,降低成本,满足客户的需求。多德拉乳业在海得拉巴和安得拉邦的乳制品公司中享有盛名,那里的采购经理选择农民。采购经理提供了他们的参考,以便确定所确定的标准的权重和在每个标准的基础上确定另一种可能性的排名。产品的质量和成本是乳制品供应链中最重要的标准。本文采用模糊TOPSIS方法对乳制品供应商进行选择。采用模糊逻辑的主要目的是帮助采购经理决定给予每个标准的重要性以及如何对每个可持续经销商进行排名。模糊TOPSIS技术的结果,已成功地应用,建立了标准的权重和最佳和最差的可持续供应商。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Statistics and Management Systems
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