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Eight Months of 2022 for the Consolidated Budgets of the Subjects of the Russian Federation and Prospects for the Budget Triennial 2022年8个月的俄罗斯联邦各主体综合预算和三年预算展望
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-68-86
L. Lykova
The change in the geopolitical situation and the increase in economic sanctions against the Russian economy in the first eight months of 2022 did not lead to a serious deterioration in the budget results for regional budgets. Receipts of the total amount of revenues of the consolidated budgets of the subjects of the Russian Federation and key tax revenues grew faster than the rate of inflation. There is a gradual deterioration in the situation with the receipt of corporate income tax in regional budgets starting from May of this year. Personal income tax receipts are growing, but mainly due to payments from high-income categories of the population. In the conditions of growing price volatility on world markets, the factor of industry specialization of the region is gaining an increasing influence on the differentiation of regional budget revenues. Changes in tax legislation coming into force from 2023 may result in the redistribution of some of the revenues of regional budgets in favor of the federal budget. There is a tendency to reduce tax revenues in relatively prosperous regions. The planned reduction of federal transfers in real terms and relative to GDP will mainly affect the problem regions — their main recipients. This will inevitably lead to an aggravation of problems with the fulfillment of growing social obligations in all categories of regions.
2022年前8个月,地缘政治形势的变化和对俄罗斯经济制裁的增加并未导致地区预算结果严重恶化。俄罗斯联邦各主体的综合预算收入总额和主要税收收入的增长速度快于通货膨胀率。从今年5月开始,随着地方预算征收法人所得税,情况正在逐渐恶化。个人所得税收入在增长,但主要是由高收入人群缴纳的。在世界市场价格日益波动的情况下,本区域工业专业化的因素对区域预算收入的差异产生越来越大的影响。从2023年开始生效的税收立法变化可能会导致部分地区预算收入重新分配给联邦预算。在相对繁荣的地区有减少税收的趋势。按实际价值计算和相对于国内生产总值(GDP)削减联邦转移支付的计划,将主要影响到问题地区——这些转移支付的主要接受者。这将不可避免地导致各类区域在履行日益增加的社会义务方面的问题恶化。
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引用次数: 0
The Contents of «Federalism» Journal for 2022 《联邦主义》杂志2022年版内容
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-218-223
A. Editorial
.
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引用次数: 0
Probable Consequences of Permafrost Degradation of the Social Infrastructure 永久冻土退化对社会基础设施的可能影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-155-167
S. Badina
The article proposes an approach to assessing the probable damage from permafrost degradation by the middle of the 21st century for the fixed assets of healthcare and education located in the permafrost zone of the Russian Arctic. The high importance of social infrastructure in the Arctic territories implies the need for priority attention to ensuring its safety and smooth functioning. The lack of publicly available statistical information on the fixed assets value by economy sectors at the municipal level, required to assess potential damages, predetermined the need to solve the problem of developing an appropriate methodology for its assessment. The study showed that under the worst scenario of climate warming by 2050 and subsequent permafrost degradation in the Russian Arctic permafrost zone, the fixed assets of healthcare and education with a total value of about 79 and 162 billion rubles, respectively, can be subjected to destruction and deformation. 
本文提出了一种评估21世纪中叶永久冻土退化对俄罗斯北极永久冻土带内医疗保健和教育固定资产可能造成的损害的方法。北极地区社会基础设施的高度重要性意味着需要优先注意确保其安全和顺利运作。由于缺乏市一级各经济部门固定资产价值的公开统计资料,而这些资料是评估潜在损害所必需的,这就决定了必须解决制定适当的评估方法的问题。研究表明,在2050年气候变暖以及随后俄罗斯北极永久冻土带永久冻土退化的最坏情况下,总价值分别约为790亿卢布和1620亿卢布的医疗保健和教育固定资产可能遭受破坏和变形。
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引用次数: 2
Scientific and Technological Priorities in the Federal Spatial Development Policy in Russia 俄罗斯联邦空间发展政策中的科技优先事项
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-5-20
О. Kuznetsova
The need to activate and increase the effectiveness of science and technology policy in the modern conditions of the development of the Russian economy requires, among other things, the definition of spatial priorities of such a policy. It is proposed to assess the spatial component in the federal science and technology policy according to its compliance with such requirements as the widest possible coverage of territories with potential for scientific and technological development by federal support, the correctness of the assessment of such potential, the presence of a well-built system of support tools and compliance of higher education with the needs of scientific and technological development. It is shown that there are unresolved problems in each of these areas, including those related to the shortcomings of official statistics (there is no information on the actual number of researchers in the equivalent of full employment, on the structure of university students), with the disunity of measures to support scientific and technological development of territories (technological special economic zones, science cities, techno-parks in the field of high technologies, state scientific, innovative scientific-technological and scientific-educational centers), in some cases, insufficient elaboration of such measures. As a result, the geography of federal support for scientific and technological development develops spontaneously, spatial priorities of such a policy are not defined, the location of federal and national research universities does not always correspond to the location of research centers. The article suggests ways to solve these problems, including the development of a spatial strategy for scientific and technological development and embedding it into a new strategy for the spatial development of the country.
在俄罗斯经济发展的现代条件下,需要激活和提高科学和技术政策的效力,除其他外,需要确定这种政策的空间优先次序。建议根据下述要求对联邦科技政策的空间组成部分进行评估:尽可能广泛地覆盖具有联邦支持科技发展潜力的地区、对这种潜力进行评估的正确性、建立完善的支持工具系统的存在以及高等教育与科技发展需求的一致性。报告显示,这些领域都存在未解决的问题,包括与官方统计的缺陷有关的问题(没有关于相当于充分就业的研究人员的实际人数的资料,没有关于大学生结构的资料),以及支持领土科学和技术发展的措施不统一(技术经济特区、科学城市、高技术领域的技术园区、国家科学、创新的科学技术和科学教育中心),在某些情况下,这些措施的阐述不足。因此,联邦政府支持科技发展的地理位置是自发发展的,这种政策的空间优先级没有明确,联邦和国家研究型大学的位置并不总是与研究中心的位置相对应。本文提出了解决这些问题的途径,包括制定科技发展的空间战略,并将其纳入国家空间发展的新战略。
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引用次数: 1
Agricultural Land Involvement into Economic Circulation: Problems and Solutions 农地参与经济流通:问题与对策
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-123-141
A. Petrikov
One of the important reserves for further growth of agricultural production in Russia is the economic development of currently unused agricultural land, the area of which is about 33 million hectares (16,7% of the total area of agricultural land in the country), including 18 million hectares of arable land. The measures taken by the government to stimulate the introduction of agricultural land into economic circulation are considered. The conclusion is made about the need for the development of small and medium-sized businesses as an important direction for improving the efficiency of land use. Proposals have been formulated to improve land policy in agriculture, including the adjustment of legislative legislation.
俄罗斯农业生产进一步增长的重要储备之一是目前未利用的农业用地的经济发展,其面积约为3300万公顷(占全国农业用地总面积的16.7%),其中包括1800万公顷的耕地。考虑了政府为促进农用地进入经济循环而采取的措施。得出中小企业发展是提高土地利用效率的重要方向的结论。制定了完善农业土地政策的建议,包括调整立法立法。
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引用次数: 0
Methodology and Implementation of Factor Analysis of Differentiation of the Subjects of the Russian Federation by the Level of Socio-Economic Development 俄罗斯联邦主体按社会经济发展水平划分的因素分析方法与实施
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-187-202
R. O. Bolotov
The high level of interregional socio-economic inequality is one of the main problems of spatial development of the Russian Federation, which is enshrined in several state strategic planning documents. One of the directions of finding a solution to the problem of regional inequality is the implementation of factor analysis, which is designed to identify the main causes of inequality in the subjects of the Russian Federation to develop effective tools for state regional policy. The article provides the formation and calculation of a few mathematical and statistical factor models that explain the differences in the socio-economic development of the subjects of the Russian Federation, based on which conclusions are formed about the further directions of state policy aimed at reducing regional development disparities. One of the main conclusions of the article is that the subjects of the Russian Federation have a capital-intensive path of economic development, which should be supported by a sufficient level of investment.
区域间高度的社会经济不平等是俄罗斯联邦空间发展的主要问题之一,这一问题载于若干国家战略规划文件中。寻找解决区域不平等问题的办法的方向之一是实施因素分析,其目的是查明俄罗斯联邦各主体不平等的主要原因,以便制定国家区域政策的有效工具。本文提供了几个数学和统计因素模型的形成和计算,这些模型解释了俄罗斯联邦主体的社会经济发展差异,并在此基础上得出旨在减少区域发展差距的国家政策的进一步方向的结论。本文的一个主要结论是,俄罗斯联邦主体的经济发展道路是资本密集型的,这应该得到足够水平的投资的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Main Approaches to the Implementation of Budget Policy Under the Conditions of Sanctions 制裁条件下预算政策实施的主要途径
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-87-106
S. I. Shabel’nikova
The formation of the main financial document of the country for the next budget cycle was carried out in the face of growing sanctions pressure. Trade, technological, financial restrictions on the part of a number of states have necessitated the adoption of systemic measures aimed at structural restructuring and technological modernization of the economy. Accordingly, the Government of the Russian Federation faced a serious task of financing priority measures to reorient export deliveries, develop transport and logistics corridors, digitalize sectors of the economy, ensure production chains within the country, technological sovereignty, stimulate entrepreneurial, private investment, innovative activity, develop the financial system, increase flexibility labor market. At the same time, it is mandatory to maintain a balanced budget system. The article discusses the main approaches to the implementation of budget policy, the formation of the federal budget, the definition of mechanisms for financial support of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in order to ensure the sustainability of budgets at all levels.
我国下一个预算周期的主要财政文件是在面临越来越大的制裁压力的情况下编制的。由于一些国家在贸易、技术和财政方面的限制,有必要采取旨在结构改革和经济技术现代化的系统措施。因此,俄罗斯联邦政府面临着一项严峻的任务,即为优先措施提供资金,以调整出口交付方向,发展运输和物流走廊,实现经济部门数字化,确保国内生产链、技术主权,刺激企业、私人投资和创新活动,发展金融体系,增加劳动力市场的灵活性。与此同时,必须保持平衡的预算制度。本文讨论了执行预算政策的主要途径,联邦预算的形成,为确保各级预算的可持续性,俄罗斯联邦各组成实体的财政支持机制的定义。
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引用次数: 1
The Institute of the Federal Territory as a Tool to Reduce Regulatory Risks and Unlock the Intellectual Potential of the “Sirius” Science City 作为降低监管风险和释放“天狼星”科学城智力潜力的工具的联邦领土研究所
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-37-49
О. N. Afanasyeva, V. Sychev
In the context of escalating tensions between Russia and Western countries, the effective use of human intellectual capital becomes an ‘insurance certificate’ for ensuring technological sovereignty of each nation. In this regard, it is relevant to study the experience of creating the first federal territory on the basis of ‘Sirius’ science city, which is considered in this article in the framework of managerial paradigm of decision-making. The chosen theoretical and methodological approach makes it possible to assess the feasibility of using the institute of federal territory in relation to science city, taking into account the comparative advantages of the Sirius management model over other special legal regimes. The author concludes that the federal territory has public authorities, its own budget, property and built-in legal ‘brain drain stopper’ in the form of a grant agreement together with a set of measures to minimise the risks of legal regulation will reveal the intellectual potential of the federal territory institution, which can become a launching pad for scaling the ‘Sirius’ experience to other regions with a developed cluster of science and innovation and technology centres.
在俄罗斯与西方国家紧张关系不断升级的背景下,有效利用人力智力资本成为确保每个国家技术主权的“保险证书”。在这方面,研究在“天狼星”科学城的基础上创建第一个联邦领土的经验是有意义的,这是本文在决策管理范式的框架下考虑的。所选择的理论和方法方法使我们能够评估在科学城方面使用联邦领土研究所的可行性,同时考虑到Sirius管理模式相对于其他特殊法律制度的相对优势。作者的结论是,联邦领土拥有公共权力机构、自己的预算、财产和以赠款协议的形式内置的法律“人才流失阻止器”,以及一套将法律监管风险降至最低的措施,将揭示联邦领土机构的智力潜力,这可以成为将“天狼星”经验扩展到其他拥有发达科技创新中心集群的地区的发射台。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and Prospects for the Development of the Strategic Approach to Law-Making in the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦立法战略方针发展的趋势与前景
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-50-67
E. V. Kiskin
The complexity of social interactions in the modern world and the growing speed of changes taking place in society require an improvement in the quality of legal regulation. The solution of this problem can be facilitated by the further development of a strategic approach to lawmaking, as opposed to the currently prevailing situational approach (ad hoc). The article discusses some trends, as well as prospects for implementing a strategic approach to lawmaking in Russia based on the author’s concept of lawmaking strategy. The author stands on the communicative understanding of law and lawmaking, defining strategy as a model of interaction between participants in lawmaking activities for a long period, aimed at the formation of effective and legitimate regulation. An attempt is made to classify the law-making strategies implemented in Russia. All theoretical conclusions are confirmed by numerous examples from domestic law-making practice. The author also formulate proposals aimed at further improving the strategic approach to lawmaking in Russia.
现代社会相互作用的复杂性和社会变化的日益迅速要求提高法律规制的质量。进一步发展一种战略的立法办法,而不是目前普遍采用的视情况而定的办法,可以促进这一问题的解决。本文根据笔者提出的立法战略概念,探讨了俄罗斯实施战略立法的一些趋势和前景。作者站在对法律与立法的交际理解的立场上,将战略定义为立法活动参与者之间长期互动的模式,目的是形成有效的、合法的规则。本文试图对俄罗斯实施的立法策略进行分类。所有的理论结论都得到了国内立法实践实例的证实。作者还提出了进一步完善俄罗斯立法战略方法的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Status and Prospects of Federal Budget Sustainability in the New Environment 新环境下联邦预算可持续性的现状与展望
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2022-4-142-154
I. S. Bukina
The sustainability of the federal budget is currently subject to multiple risks. Despite a temporary increase in oil prices, federal budget revenues are declining rapidly. As correlation analysis has shown, oil and gas revenues of the federal budget become more volatile during structural crises. At the same time, non-oil and gas revenues are declining. The instability of the foreign policy situation and the ongoing military actions greatly increase the risks of increased federal budget expenditures. In the short term, the budget deficit can be covered by the accumulated liquid reserves of the National Welfare Fund. However, in the longterm perspective, the restrictions affecting Russia’s sustainable economic growth will have an impact on the fiscal sphere. The government will have to take unpopular measures to reduce expenditures and raise taxes on the non-oil and gas sector in order to maintain the stability of the public finance system.
联邦预算的可持续性目前面临多重风险。尽管油价暂时上涨,但联邦预算收入正在迅速下降。相关性分析表明,在结构性危机期间,联邦预算的油气收入变得更加不稳定。与此同时,非石油和天然气收入正在下降。外交政策形势的不稳定和正在进行的军事行动大大增加了联邦预算支出增加的风险。在短期内,预算赤字可以由国家福利基金积累的流动储备来弥补。然而,从长期来看,影响俄罗斯经济可持续增长的限制将对财政领域产生影响。政府将不得不采取不受欢迎的措施,减少支出,提高非石油和天然气部门的税收,以维持公共财政体系的稳定。
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引用次数: 0
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Perspectives on Federalism
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